MLB Betting News and Notes Friday 4/20

Yankees-Red Sox preview
By Micah Roberts
VegasInsider.com

When Fenway Park first opened in 1912, some of the pageantry of its debut game was taken away because of the tragic sinking of the Titanic a few days earlier. A ball game was secondary to a city that had friends and family on the ship. Fast-forward 100 years later and the city of Boston is, again, watching a sinking ship right in front of their eyes and the Captain is Bobby Valentine.

Too soon for sinking ship references?

My dearest apologies if I offended anyone!

Fenway Park opened Apr. 20, 1912 with the visiting New York Highlanders, a team that would soon become the New York Yankees. It’s appropriate that Major League Baseball would schedule this classic rivalry that has been intertwined throughout the games rich history for Fenway’s Centennial weekend.

Usually, it’s the Yankees who are public enemy number one, but after two weeks, new Sox manager Bobby Valentine is finding just how ‘smaawt’ Boston fans are. They realize that a new manager shouldn’t take over a team full of veterans that have two rings and try and change their habits, call them out in public and worst of all, lose in the process. Those tactics may work on a team with young players looking for guidance, or even in Japan as second baseman Dustin Pedroia suggested when he fought back through the media, but not a team full of millionaires that has done just about everything there is to do in baseball.

Maybe worst of all for the fans in a city where beer is an intricate part of their daily lives after a hard days work, Valentine took the Red Sox beer out of the clubhouse. That will get you booed at Fenway almost as loud as Alex Rodriguez coming to bat. And at the same time, it'll also give former manager Terry Francona a roaring welcome back cheer when he’s announced during the pre-game festivities.

It’s a rare occurrence when the Red Sox (4-8) and Yankees (6-6) meet when neither team is in first place, but that’s what's about to happen when the two teams square off this Friday.

These matchups are always compelling, gripping baseball played with more intensity than any other rivalry in baseball. However, it feels as though things have changed over the last few seasons where the games don’t feel as epic as they used to be. The Yankees will always be hated in Boston, and the Red Sox will never find any love in New York, but some of the luster does appear to be gone. Part of the reason is winning which can lead to complacency from both the players and fans and might also explain Boston‘s collapse in September last year..

The Red Sox don’t seem to have that hunger and misery that haunted generations for 86 years before finally winning a World Series in 2004. Finally beating down the Yankees, who they were down 0-3 to in the ALCS, was the ultimate achievement for all of Boston. When Boston won the World Series again in 2007, it was almost as if the hunger had completely been satisfied.

In the process, Yankee fans were no longer taunting Boston with their 26 championship rings. They were equals now and had gained the respect of New York. And when the Yankees won their 27th championship, it stung, but not like the previous 26.

With catcher Jason Varitek and pitcher Tim Wakefield retiring before this season, only David Ortiz remains from the 2004 championship team. Even the instigator to many of the exciting brawls between the two squads, Francona, is gone. This is now Bobby Valentine’s team now and it will be interesting to see how he manages in this series for the first time amid all the boos directed at him on his home field.

The main concern for the 2012 Red Sox right now is a struggling bullpen. That was the big question mark coming into the season and it got even worse when their newly acquired closer Andrew Bailey was put on the shelf until at least August with ligament damage in his thumb. Thus far, the concerns have been validated as Boston’s bullpen has the second highest ERA (6.63) in baseball.

The bullpen has been one of the only areas the Yankees have all sewn up as they have the best ERA (1.99) among all teams, but unfortunately for them, their starting pitching has been letting them down. The Yankees have the 27th worst ERA (5.77) among all starting staffs with ace C.C. Sabathia getting hit hard, Freddy Garcia looking old and Phil Hughes pitching with no confidence.

To go along with bad starting pitching, the beefy parts of the batting order are fighting to stay above the Mendoza-line. Last year’s surprise player of the year, Curtis Granderson, is hitting .208 with more strikeouts than hits. Alex Rodriguez has only two RBI’s and Mark Teixeira still hasn’t hit a home run. Russell Martin, who last year burst onto the scene with some pop, has come crashing back to earth batting .148. The one shining star in the lineup has been Derek Jeter (.389), the player who experts questioned the most coming into the season.

Boston was happy to get home last weekend and the bats came alive, but Jacoby Ellsbury is going to be out of the lineup for some time and Carl Crawford’s start to the season looks to be delayed as well. Kevin Youkilis is also showing signs of fading with a paltry .184 average and he’s not even getting walks anymore. Valentine was right about Youkilis being different, but still, the conversation should have been in Valentine’s office, not with the Boston Globe and ESPN.

So while the Yankees and Red Sox classic uniforms still represent a must-watch weekend of games, the quality of play from the teams thus far don’t come close to matching the standards set over the last decade. The main hope to keep this a bitter rivalry and distract from their actual poor play is to have one of the managers pick a fight with some mandated inside pitches. Valentine could regain some creditability with the fans by at least starting a brawl with Yankees and it could ignite the players as well.

Here’s a look at this weekend’s matchups:

Friday

Ivan Nova (2-0, 4.15) vs. Clay Buchholz (1-0, 9.82): Buchholz got the win in his last outing despite giving up five runs, thanks to the Sox bats. In both of his starts he’s given up five runs or more. Buchholz gets the tough draw of Nova who just always seems to win no matter the circumstances. Nova has won 14 straight decisions dating back to last season and based on the two pitchers form, despite it being the centennial game, Nova should make it 15 straight.

Early Selection: Yankees

Saturday (Fox, 4:05 p.m. ET)

Freddy Garcia (0-1, 6.97) vs. Felix Doubront (0-0, 5.40): This has the makings of a high-scoring game and may be the only game of the series we can expect the Red Sox to win. Doubront has gone only five innings in each of his first two starts and has given up six runs, four in his last start against the Rays. Garcia has had two awful starts and been hit harder in each ensuing game. This could be a lopsided game that the Red Sox bullpen might be able to hang onto for the win.

Early Selection: Red Sox and OVER

Sunday

C.C. Sabathia (1-0, 5.59) vs. Daniel Bard (0-2, 4.63): The Red Sox bullpen sure could use Bard right now, but his conditioning throughout spring set him up for every five days so Valentine is sticking with it. The way Bard is pitching right now he’d fit right in with the bullpen. His ERA is fortunate to be at 4.63 because he’s pitched much worse. In his last outing against the Rays he gave up seven walks and yet somehow only allowed one run. It’s possible that Jon Lester could make the start since his day was cut short Tuesday against the Rangers. Meanwhile, Sabathia tries to shake the funk against his No. 1 nemesis. Unlike last year when Sabathia had a groove going before getting slapped around by the Sox, this year he’s struggling giving up 12 runs in 19.1 innings of work. The positive for him is that he finally did beat Boston in August after losing four straight to them. He only lost eight games last season and four of them were to Boston. His fourth start should be better than his first three, so look for the Yankees to take this one.

Early Selection: Yankees

Friday's Tip Sheet
By Brian Edwards
VegasInsider.com

Marlins at Nationals

Most betting shops are listing Washington (10-4, +525) as a minus-115 favorite for the series opener between these National League East rivals. Gamblers can take the Nationals on the run line (minus 1 ½ runs) for a plus-175 payout (risk $100 to win $175).

Davey Johnson’s club dropped an 11-4 decision to Houston last night as a minus-155 home favorite. The Nationals fell into a 5-0 hole in the first inning, only to cut the deficit to 5-4 thanks to a Ryan Zimmerman three-run homer the bottom of the third. But the Astros put up another five-spot in the fifth and cruised to victory. Washington RHP Edwin Jackson took his first loss of the season.

Washington has still won eight of its last 10 games despite Thursday night’s loss. The Nats maintain a 1 ½-game lead over Atlanta in the NL East. They are 6-2 at home.

Miami (7-6, +45) completed a three-game sweep of the Cubs with Thursday afternoon’s 5-3 win as a minus-150 home ‘chalk.’ Ricky Nolasco improved to 2-0 and veteran closer Heath Bell picked up his second save. Greg Dobbs had a two-run double and the Marlins, who have won five of their last six, also got a 2-for-4 effort from Hanley Ramirez that upped his batting average to .300.

Ozzie Guillen’s squad will give Carlos Zambrano (0-0, 3.75 ERA) his third start after the right-hander pitched well in a pair of no-decisions. In his first two outings, Miami lost by one run both times, at Cincinnati (6-5) and vs. Houston (5-4). The ‘over’ has hit in both of Zambrano’s assignments.

Washington will give the starting nod to LHP Ross Detwiler (1-0, 0.90), who won his first start against the Mets on the road and took a no-decision in a home loss to the Reds.

The Marlins went 7-2 at Nationals Park last season and own a 26-9 ledger since the stadium opened in 2008.

Miami’s Omar Infante has missed back-to-back games with a strained groin but is expected to return to the lineup at some point this weekend. Infante is hitting .333 with four homers and six RBIs.

The ‘over’ is 10-3 overall for Miami, 4-2 in its road games.

The ‘under’ is 9-5 overall for the Nats, 5-3 in their home outings.

The first pitch from Detwiler is scheduled for 7:05 p.m. Eastern.

Orioles at Angels

Most spots are listing Los Angeles (4-8, -774) as a minus-140 favorite with a total of nine flat (minus-110 either way). Bettors can back the Angels on the run line for a plus-145 payout (risk $100 to win $145).

Baltimore (8-5 +483) took three of four against the White Sox in the Windy City, capturing a 5-3 win in Thursday afternoon’s series finale. Jason Hammel (2-0, 2.37) struck out 10 in six innings of work, while Adam Jones hit his fifth homer of the season and also had an RBI double. Jim Johnson worked a scoreless ninth to collect his sixth save.

Baltimore LHP Brian Matusz (0-2, 8.38) will try to solve his problems when the fourth overall selection of the 2008 MLB Draft takes the hill. Matusz went 1-6 with a 10.28 ERA last year.

The Angels will turn to RHP Jerome Williams (0-1, 16.88), who got rocked by the Yankees in the Bronx in his first start. Williams couldn’t get out of third inning in an 11-5 loss.

Baltimore is 5-2 on the road, while the Angels took a 2-4 home mark into Thursday’s game vs. Oakland.

The Orioles are in first place in the AL East with a one-game lead over both the Yankees and the Rays.

Dating back to August of last season, Baltimore’s Johnson has converted 14 consecutive save opportunities.

The ‘over’ is 7-5-1 overall for the O’s, 5-1-1 in their road assignments.

Totals have been an overall wash for the Angels, going 6-6 overall and 3-3 in their home games.

This game will come off the board at 10:05 p.m. Eastern.

B.E.’s Bonus Nuggets

Texas remained perfect on the road with Thursday’s 10-3 series-opening win at Detroit as a minus-120 favorite. The Rangers (11-2) have won each of their six road tilts to date. They lead the AL West by four games over second-place Seattle (pending the M’s late-Thursday result).

The most storied rivalry in MLB history will be renewed Friday afternoon at 3:05 p.m. Eastern when the Red Sox host the Yankees in a pick ‘em affair. The total is 10 ‘over’ (minus-115).

The Dodgers improved to 10-3 with Thursday’s 4-3 win at Milwaukee as a plus-105 underdog. Don Mattingly’s club will try to stay hot in Friday’s series opener at Houston with Ted Lilly taking the mound.

Dodgers slugger Matt Kemp popped his seventh homer of the season and went 2-for-5 yesterday at Miller Park. Kemp is second in the NL with a .452 batting average, trailing only the Mets’ David Wright (.500).

Best money pitcher in baseball to date? That would be Houston’s Bud Norris (+405).

Worst? The Angels’ Dan Haren (-500).

Hot pitchers
-- Lynn is 2-0, 1.50 in his first two '12 starts.
-- Detwiler is 3-0, 1.93 in his last four starts.
-- Niese is 2-0, 2.84 in his first two starts this season. Zito is 1-0, 1.69 in his first two starts, both SF wins.
-- Lilly is 4-0, 0.66 in his last four starts. Happ is 1-0, 3.75 in his first two starts this year.
-- Cahill is 1-0, 1.35 in his first two NL starts.
-- Hamels is 2-1, 2.83 in his last five starts.

-- Nova is 3-1, 3.54 in his last seven starts.
-- Harrison allowed one run in 14 IP in winning his two starts this year. Porcello is 1-0, 1.84 in two starts this season.
-- Drabek is 2-0, 2.13 in two starts this season.
-- JWilliams is 2-1, 3.90 in his last five starts.
-- Sale is 1-1, 3.09 in two starts this season.

Cold pitchers
-- Volstad is 0-1, 5.73 in his first two starts for the Cubs. Bailey is 0-2, 5.40 in his first two starts this season.
-- Zanbrano is 0-1, 7.16 in his last three starts.
-- Chacin is 0-1, 5.63 in two starts this year; he was winning Saturday, but it rained when he was up 5-1 after 4th and he had to leave. Marcum is 1-4, 9.22 in his last six starts.
-- Beachy is 0-2, 4.86 in his last three road starts.
-- Padres are 0-3 when Volquez starts (0-1, 4.77).

-- Buchholz allowed 19 baserunners, 12 runs in 11 IP this season.
-- Matusz allowed nine runs in 9.2 IP in two starts this season.
-- Moore allowed eight runs in 13 IP and two starts this year. Hendriks is 1-2, 5.22 in five starts this year and last.
-- Hochevar allowed nine runs in 10.1 IP in two starts this season.
-- Jimenez is 3-4, 4.98 in his last seven starts. Godfrey allowed seven runs in 11 IP in two starts this season.
-- Noesi allowed seven runs in 11 IP in two starts this season.

Hot teams
-- St Louis won four of its last five games. Pirates won three of their last four. Morton is 1-2, 4.94 in his last five starts.
-- Nationals won eight of their last ten games. Miami won its last four games, allowing 10 runs.
-- Giants won five of their last seven games.
-- Dodgers won 10 of their first 13 games.
-- Colorado won four of its last six games.
-- Braves won their last three games, scoring 33 runs.

-- Bronx won seven of its last ten games.
-- Rangers won 11 of first 13 games; they're 6-0 on road. Detroit won four of its last five games.
-- Rays won three of last four games; they're 3-0 at home.
-- Orioles won four of their last six games.
-- Oakland won its last three games, allowing five runs. Indians won four of their last five games.

Cold teams
-- Cubs lost their last five games, scoring 10 runs. Cincinnati lost five of its last seven games.
-- Mets lost three of last four games, allowing 23 runs in last two.
-- Astros lost four of their last five games.
-- Milwaukee lost five of its last seven games.
-- Arizona lost its last three games, scoring seven runs.
-- San Diego lost seven of its last eight games. Phillies lost four of last six games, scoring four runs in last three.

-- Red Sox lost their last three games, outscored 25-6.
-- Twins lost five of their first five road games.
-- Royals lost their first six home games. Toronto lost four of its last six games.
-- Angels lost their last three games, scoring five runs.
-- White Sox lost four of their last five games. Seattle is 4-6 in its last ten games.

Totals
-- Over is 5-1-1 in Cubs' last seven games.
-- Under is 7-1-1 in last nine Pittsburgh games.
-- Four of last five Miami road games went over the total.
-- Under is 4-1-1 in games at Citi Field this season.
-- Four of last five Houston home games went over the total.
-- Three of last four Colorado games stayed under the total.
-- Five of seven Arizona home games went over the total.
-- Five of seven Philly road games stayed under the total.

-- Five of six games at Fenway Park went over the total.
-- Six of last seven Detroit games stayed under the total.
-- Minnesota's last four road games went over the total.
-- Last eight Toronto games went over the total.
-- Six of last seven Baltimore games went over the total.
-- Five of last seven Cleveland games went over the total.
-- Four of White Sox' five road games stayed under total.

Armadillosports.com

CINCINNATI (5 - 8) at CHICAGO CUBS (3 - 10) - 2:20 PM

HOMER BAILEY (R) vs. CHRIS VOLSTAD (R)
Top Trends for this game.
CINCINNATI is 85-91 (-17.3 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 11-21 (-12.3 Units) against the money line on the road with a money line of -100 to -125 over the last 2 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 83-90 (-19.1 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 34-51 (-24.2 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 568-656 (+45.1 Units) against the money line in road games since 1997.
CINCINNATI is 418-476 (+43.1 Units) against the money line in road games against right-handed starters since 1997.
CINCINNATI is 305-280 (+48.8 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1997.
BAILEY is 19-5 (+13.2 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
CHICAGO CUBS are 1190-1276 (-240.8 Units) against the money line in all games since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 77-93 (-30.8 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 3 seasons.
CHICAGO CUBS are 71-97 (-33.6 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
CHICAGO CUBS are 648-655 (-125.0 Units) against the money line in day games since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 77-93 (-30.8 Units) against the money line in home games in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.
CHICAGO CUBS are 51-66 (-22.8 Units) against the money line in home games against right-handed starters over the last 3 seasons.
CHICAGO CUBS are 69-83 (-31.1 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
VOLSTAD is 20-33 (-17.1 Units) against the money line in home games since 1997. (Team's Record)
VOLSTAD is 1-10 (-11.3 Units) against the money line in home games when playing on Friday since 1997. (Team's Record)
VOLSTAD is 6-16 (-12.4 Units) against the money line in home games against division opponents since 1997. (Team's Record)
VOLSTAD is 20-33 (-17.1 Units) against the money line in home games in games played on a grass field since 1997. (Team's Record)
VOLSTAD is 2-13 (-11.9 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

HOMER BAILEY vs. CHICAGO CUBS since 1997
BAILEY is 2-2 when starting against CHICAGO CUBS with an ERA of 6.75 and a WHIP of 1.875.
His team's record is 4-2 (+1.8 units) in these starts. The OVER is 4-1. (+3.0 units)

CHRIS VOLSTAD vs. CINCINNATI since 1997
VOLSTAD is 1-2 when starting against CINCINNATI with an ERA of 4.34 and a WHIP of 1.393.
His team's record is 1-2 (-1.3 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-3. (-3.1 units)

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ST LOUIS (9 - 4) at PITTSBURGH (5 - 7) - 7:05 PM

LANCE LYNN (R) vs. CHARLIE MORTON (R)
Top Trends for this game.
ST LOUIS is 100-93 (-36.1 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 437-418 (+51.3 Units) against the money line in home games in night games since 1997.
PITTSBURGH is 297-317 (+39.5 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.
ST LOUIS is 56-42 (+16.6 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 55-40 (+17.4 Units) against the money line in road games in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 82-50 (+24.6 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

LANCE LYNN vs. PITTSBURGH since 1997
No recent starts.

CHARLIE MORTON vs. ST LOUIS since 1997
MORTON is 2-5 when starting against ST LOUIS with an ERA of 6.25 and a WHIP of 1.881.
His team's record is 3-6 (-2.5 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 3-5. (-2.7 units)

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MIAMI (7 - 6) at WASHINGTON (10 - 4) - 7:05 PM

CARLOS ZAMBRANO (R) vs. ROSS DETWILER (L)
Top Trends for this game.
WASHINGTON is 90-86 (+14.9 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 35-27 (+17.0 Units) against the money line in April games over the last 3 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 90-86 (+14.9 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 40-33 (+18.7 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI is 33-28 (+13.8 Units) against the money line in road games in night games over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI is 59-38 (+23.0 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters over the last 3 seasons.
ZAMBRANO is 88-59 (+31.0 Units) against the money line in road games since 1997. (Team's Record)
ZAMBRANO is 52-24 (+27.0 Units) against the money line in road games against division opponents since 1997. (Team's Record)
ZAMBRANO is 88-57 (+33.2 Units) against the money line in road games in games played on a grass field since 1997. (Team's Record)
ZAMBRANO is 62-41 (+22.4 Units) against the money line in road games in night games since 1997. (Team's Record)
ZAMBRANO is 40-27 (+20.8 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

CARLOS ZAMBRANO vs. WASHINGTON since 1997
ZAMBRANO is 8-3 when starting against WASHINGTON with an ERA of 3.39 and a WHIP of 1.224.
His team's record is 8-4 (+1.7 units) in these starts. The OVER is 5-7. (-2.2 units)

ROSS DETWILER vs. MIAMI since 1997
No recent starts.

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SAN FRANCISCO (6 - 6) at NY METS (7 - 5) - 7:10 PM

BARRY ZITO (L) vs. JON NIESE (L)
Top Trends for this game.
SAN FRANCISCO is 136-100 (+21.6 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 3 seasons.
NY METS are 17-30 (-16.2 Units) against the money line in home games after a loss over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

BARRY ZITO vs. NY METS since 1997
ZITO is 3-2 when starting against NY METS with an ERA of 3.31 and a WHIP of 1.359.
His team's record is 3-3 (+0.5 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 3-3. (-0.4 units)

JON NIESE vs. SAN FRANCISCO since 1997
NIESE is 0-1 when starting against SAN FRANCISCO with an ERA of 1.29 and a WHIP of 1.286.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-1. (-1.2 units)

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LA DODGERS (10 - 3) at HOUSTON (5 - 8) - 8:05 PM

TED LILLY (L) vs. J.A. HAPP (L)
Top Trends for this game.
LILLY is 31-44 (-17.7 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1997. (Team's Record)
HOUSTON is 50-46 (+17.0 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters over the last 3 seasons.
LA DODGERS are 21-7 (+14.7 Units) against the money line when playing on Friday over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 62-115 (-35.2 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 5-23 (-16.8 Units) against the money line when playing on Friday over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 60-114 (-37.1 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 25-58 (-22.5 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

TED LILLY vs. HOUSTON since 1997
LILLY is 7-3 when starting against HOUSTON with an ERA of 2.64 and a WHIP of 1.070.
His team's record is 7-8 (-3.9 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 10-4. (+5.6 units)

J.A. HAPP vs. LA DODGERS since 1997
HAPP is 0-1 when starting against LA DODGERS with an ERA of 1.80 and a WHIP of 1.300.
His team's record is 0-2 (-2.1 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-1. (-0.2 units)

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COLORADO (6 - 6) at MILWAUKEE (6 - 7) - 8:10 PM

JHOULYS CHACIN (R) vs. SHAUN MARCUM (R)
Top Trends for this game.
COLORADO is 79-97 (-33.0 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
COLORADO is 67-100 (-35.4 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 3 seasons.
COLORADO is 79-97 (-33.0 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
COLORADO is 108-120 (-33.1 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 3 seasons.
COLORADO is 52-71 (-30.4 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
COLORADO is 33-44 (-19.6 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons.
COLORADO is 75-82 (-31.2 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 59-33 (+19.8 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 65-29 (+27.8 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 35-13 (+17.3 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 65-29 (+27.8 Units) against the money line in home games in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 87-57 (+22.5 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
MARCUM is 6-13 (-11.4 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
MARCUM is 6-13 (-11.4 Units) against the money line in home games in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
MARCUM is 11-18 (-11.1 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

JHOULYS CHACIN vs. MILWAUKEE since 1997
CHACIN is 0-0 when starting against MILWAUKEE with an ERA of 7.11 and a WHIP of 1.264.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.2 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 0-1. (-1.3 units)

SHAUN MARCUM vs. COLORADO since 1997
MARCUM is 2-1 when starting against COLORADO with an ERA of 4.00 and a WHIP of 1.222.
His team's record is 2-1 (+0.2 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 2-0. (+2.0 units)

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ATLANTA (8 - 5) at ARIZONA (7 - 6) - 9:40 PM

BRANDON BEACHY (R) vs. TREVOR CAHILL (R)
Top Trends for this game.
ATLANTA is 27-39 (-18.1 Units) against the money line on the road with a money line of -100 to -125 over the last 3 seasons.
BEACHY is 1-9 (-10.2 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
ARIZONA is 104-78 (+25.8 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 38-21 (+17.4 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 58-34 (+15.8 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 104-78 (+25.8 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 77-54 (+22.6 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 76-52 (+26.2 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 52-38 (+16.2 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
CAHILL is 35-25 (+16.1 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997. (Team's Record)
ARIZONA is 0-8 (-8.9 Units) against the money line in home games after allowing 10 runs or more over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
ATLANTA is 1-0 (+1.0 Units) against ARIZONA this season
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.0 Units)

BRANDON BEACHY vs. ARIZONA since 1997
BEACHY is 1-0 when starting against ARIZONA with an ERA of 1.50 and a WHIP of 0.833.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)

TREVOR CAHILL vs. ATLANTA since 1997
No recent starts.

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PHILADELPHIA (6 - 7) at SAN DIEGO (3 - 11) - 10:05 PM

COLE HAMELS (L) vs. EDINSON VOLQUEZ (R)
Top Trends for this game.
VOLQUEZ is 23-11 (+13.2 Units) against the money line after a loss since 1997. (Team's Record)
PHILADELPHIA is 105-86 (+28.4 Units) against the money line in road games when playing on Friday since 1997.
SAN DIEGO is 74-103 (-21.4 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 49-74 (-24.4 Units) against the money line when the total is 7 or less over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 9-23 (-13.5 Units) against the money line as a home underdog of +100 to +125 over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 37-52 (-18.4 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 37-50 (-16.4 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 7 or less over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 12-28 (-16.3 Units) against the money line in April games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 7-20 (-14.2 Units) against the money line when playing on Friday over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 74-103 (-21.4 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 1-9 (-8.2 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
VOLQUEZ is 7-16 (-10.6 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
PHILADELPHIA is 1-0 (+1.0 Units) against SAN DIEGO this season
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.0 Units)

COLE HAMELS vs. SAN DIEGO since 1997
HAMELS is 6-2 when starting against SAN DIEGO with an ERA of 2.28 and a WHIP of 0.827.
His team's record is 7-4 (+1.5 units) in these starts. The OVER is 5-6. (-1.4 units)

EDINSON VOLQUEZ vs. PHILADELPHIA since 1997
VOLQUEZ is 2-1 when starting against PHILADELPHIA with an ERA of 3.21 and a WHIP of 1.214.
His team's record is 2-1 (+1.3 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-2. (-1.0 units)

NY YANKEES (7 - 6) at BOSTON (4 - 8) - 3:05 PM

IVAN NOVA (R) vs. CLAY BUCHHOLZ (R)
Top Trends for this game.
NY YANKEES are 8-16 (-13.9 Units) against the money line when playing on Friday over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 63-24 (+31.0 Units) against the money line in home games after 3 or more consecutive losses since 1997.
BUCHHOLZ is 19-6 (+12.6 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
NY YANKEES are 45-16 (+23.7 Units) against the money line in day games over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 15-23 (-15.9 Units) against the money line in April games over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 62-56 (-20.7 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 41-42 (-17.5 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

IVAN NOVA vs. BOSTON since 1997
NOVA is 0-1 when starting against BOSTON with an ERA of 7.05 and a WHIP of 1.631.
His team's record is 1-2 (-1.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 0-3. (-3.5 units)

CLAY BUCHHOLZ vs. NY YANKEES since 1997
BUCHHOLZ is 2-3 when starting against NY YANKEES with an ERA of 5.59 and a WHIP of 1.733.
His team's record is 2-5 (-3.2 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 3-3. (-0.3 units)

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TEXAS (11 - 2) at DETROIT (9 - 4) - 7:05 PM

MATT HARRISON (L) vs. RICK PORCELLO (R)
Top Trends for this game.
DETROIT is 110-78 (+22.0 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
PORCELLO is 23-12 (+10.1 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
PORCELLO is 23-12 (+10.1 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
TEXAS is 118-74 (+22.7 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS is 112-69 (+22.0 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS is 86-49 (+19.3 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS is 86-50 (+21.1 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
TEXAS is 1-0 (+1.0 Units) against DETROIT this season
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.0 Units)

MATT HARRISON vs. DETROIT since 1997
HARRISON is 0-4 when starting against DETROIT with an ERA of 6.82 and a WHIP of 2.021.
His team's record is 1-5 (-4.6 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 3-2. (+0.8 units)

RICK PORCELLO vs. TEXAS since 1997
PORCELLO is 1-1 when starting against TEXAS with an ERA of 4.86 and a WHIP of 1.620.
His team's record is 1-2 (-0.9 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-2. (-1.3 units)

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MINNESOTA (4 - 9) at TAMPA BAY (7 - 6) - 7:10 PM

LIAM HENDRICKS (R) vs. MATT MOORE (L)
Top Trends for this game.
MINNESOTA is 67-109 (-28.6 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 28-55 (-23.9 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 36-71 (-27.0 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 47-26 (+16.4 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 22-31 (-23.9 Units) against the money line when playing on Friday over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

LIAM HENDRICKS vs. TAMPA BAY since 1997
No recent starts.

MATT MOORE vs. MINNESOTA since 1997
No recent starts.

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TORONTO (6 - 6) at KANSAS CITY (3 - 9) - 8:10 PM KYLE DRABEK (R) vs. LUKE HOCHEVAR (R)

Top Trends for this game.
HOCHEVAR is 14-6 (+11.4 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
TORONTO is 10-3 (+9.5 Units) against the money line in road games when playing on Friday over the last 2 seasons.
DRABEK is 8-1 (+8.8 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
DRABEK is 9-2 (+8.3 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
KANSAS CITY is 229-341 (-100.3 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 9 to 9.5 since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

KYLE DRABEK vs. KANSAS CITY since 1997
DRABEK is 1-0 when starting against KANSAS CITY with an ERA of 8.44 and a WHIP of 2.251.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)

LUKE HOCHEVAR vs. TORONTO since 1997
HOCHEVAR is 3-1 when starting against TORONTO with an ERA of 3.41 and a WHIP of 1.200.
His team's record is 3-2 (+1.8 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-5. (-5.2 units)

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BALTIMORE (8 - 5) at LA ANGELS (4 - 9) - 10:05 PM

BRIAN MATUSZ (L) vs. JEROME WILLIAMS (R)
Top Trends for this game.
LA ANGELS are 227-171 (+43.2 Units) against the money line when playing on Friday since 1997.
LA ANGELS are 619-534 (+65.7 Units) against the money line after a loss since 1997.
LA ANGELS are 603-596 (+44.5 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.
BALTIMORE is 72-75 (+20.9 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 3 seasons.
LA ANGELS are 4-9 (-9.9 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
LA ANGELS are 4-9 (-9.9 Units) against the money line in April games this season.
LA ANGELS are 4-9 (-9.9 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
LA ANGELS are 112-125 (-32.0 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

BRIAN MATUSZ vs. LA ANGELS since 1997
MATUSZ is 1-2 when starting against LA ANGELS with an ERA of 5.74 and a WHIP of 1.914.
His team's record is 1-2 (-0.7 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 2-1. (+1.0 units)

JEROME WILLIAMS vs. BALTIMORE since 1997
WILLIAMS is 2-0 when starting against BALTIMORE with an ERA of 2.51 and a WHIP of 1.117.
His team's record is 2-0 (+2.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-1. (-1.0 units)

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CLEVELAND (6 - 5) at OAKLAND (7 - 7) - 10:05 PM

UBALDO JIMENEZ (R) vs. GRAHAM GODFREY (R)
Top Trends for this game.
JIMENEZ is 14-20 (-12.6 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
JIMENEZ is 14-20 (-12.6 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
CLEVELAND is 24-13 (+13.7 Units) against the money line in April games over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 66-55 (+15.1 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 64-57 (+10.6 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
OAKLAND is 95-125 (-31.1 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

UBALDO JIMENEZ vs. OAKLAND since 1997
JIMENEZ is 0-0 when starting against OAKLAND with an ERA of 4.50 and a WHIP of 1.333.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)

GRAHAM GODFREY vs. CLEVELAND since 1997
No recent starts.

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CHI WHITE SOX (6 - 6) at SEATTLE (7 - 7) - 10:10 PM

CHRIS SALE (L) vs. HECTOR NOESI (R)
Top Trends for this game.
CHI WHITE SOX are 47-41 (+11.3 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons.
CHI WHITE SOX are 45-35 (+15.0 Units) against the money line in road games in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
CHI WHITE SOX are 72-60 (+20.3 Units) against the money line in road games against right-handed starters over the last 3 seasons.
SEATTLE is 136-203 (-59.0 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 3 seasons.
SEATTLE is 133-191 (-51.8 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.
SEATTLE is 12-30 (-16.3 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 74-127 (-46.5 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

CHRIS SALE vs. SEATTLE since 1997
No recent starts.

HECTOR NOESI vs. CHI WHITE SOX since 1997
No recent starts.

CINCINNATI vs. CHI CUBS
Cincinnati is 17-8 SU in their last 25 games when playing Chi Cubs
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Cincinnati's last 5 games when playing Chi Cubs
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Chi Cubs's last 6 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Chi Cubs's last 5 games when playing Cincinnati

NY YANKEES vs. BOSTON
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of NY Yankees's last 7 games when playing on the road against Boston
The total has gone OVER in 15 of NY Yankees's last 21 games when playing on the road against Boston
Boston is 2-4 SU in their last 6 games when playing NY Yankees
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Boston's last 11 games at home

MIAMI vs. WASHINGTON
Miami is 16-7 SU in its last 23 games when playing Washington
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Miami's last 5 games when playing on the road against Washington
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Washington's last 14 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Washington's last 7 games when playing Miami

TEXAS vs. DETROIT
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Texas's last 13 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Texas's last 6 games when playing Detroit
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Detroit's last 6 games when playing Texas
Detroit is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games

ST. LOUIS vs. PITTSBURGH
St. Louis is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of St. Louis's last 5 games when playing on the road against Pittsburgh
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Pittsburgh's last 7 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Pittsburgh's last 9 games when playing St. Louis

MINNESOTA vs. TAMPA BAY
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Minnesota's last 11 games on the road
Minnesota is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games
Tampa Bay is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games when playing Minnesota
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Tampa Bay's last 7 games

SAN FRANCISCO vs. NY METS
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of San Francisco's last 7 games
San Francisco is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of NY Mets's last 7 games when playing at home against San Francisco
NY Mets are 3-8 SU in its last 11 games when playing San Francisco

LA DODGERS vs. HOUSTON
LA Dodgers are 4-1 SU in their last 5 games when playing Houston
The total has gone OVER in 6 of LA Dodgers's last 9 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Houston's last 10 games at home
Houston is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games

COLORADO vs. MILWAUKEE
Colorado is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Milwaukee
Colorado is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 12 of Milwaukee's last 17 games at home
Milwaukee is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Colorado

TORONTO vs. KANSAS CITY
Toronto is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Kansas City
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Toronto's last 7 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Kansas City's last 13 games at home
Kansas City is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games at home

ATLANTA vs. ARIZONA
Atlanta is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Atlanta's last 15 games when playing Arizona
Arizona is 18-7 SU in its last 25 games at home
Arizona is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games

PHILADELPHIA vs. SAN DIEGO
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Philadelphia's last 13 games when playing San Diego
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of San Diego's last 5 games when playing at home against Philadelphia
San Diego is 1-11 SU in its last 12 games when playing Philadelphia

BALTIMORE vs. LA ANGELS
Baltimore is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games on the road
Baltimore is 7-16 SU in their last 23 games when playing on the road against LA Angels
The total has gone OVER in 5 of LA Angels's last 7 games when playing Baltimore
LA Angels are 1-4 SU in their last 5 games

CLEVELAND vs. OAKLAND
Cleveland is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Cleveland is 5-14 SU in its last 19 games when playing on the road against Oakland
The total has gone UNDER in 16 of Oakland's last 22 games
Oakland is 14-5 SU in its last 19 games when playing at home against Cleveland

CHI WHITE SOX vs. SEATTLE
Chi White Sox are 7-1 SU in their last 8 games when playing Seattle
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Chi White Sox's last 5 games on the road
Seattle is 0-5 SU in their last 5 games when playing at home against Chi White Sox
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Seattle's last 11 games when playing at home against Chi White Sox

National League

Cincinnati at Chicago Cubs
Bailey: Cincinnati 11-21 SU as a road favorite of -125 or less
Volstad: Cubs 16-5 SU at home off BB losses

St. Louis at Pittsburgh
Lynn: St. Louis 34-15 SU away after winning 2 of their last 3 games
Morton: Pittsburgh 10-2 Under as an underdog

Miami at Washington
Zambrano: Miami 22-10 Over off 3+ games allowing 4 runs or less
Detwiler: Washington 18-8 SU after winning 6 or 7 of their last 8 games

San Francisco at NY Mets
Zito: San Francisco 24-9 Under off a one-run win
Niese: Mets 2-11 SU at home off 6+ road games

Los Angeles at Houston
Lilly: Dodgers 21-7 SU on Fridays
Happ: Houston 19-44 SU after losing 4 of their last 5 games

Colorado at Milwaukee
Chacin: Colorado 7-18 SU off a win by 4+ runs
Marcum: Milwaukee 22-4 SU at home off BB games w/ bullpen allowing 0 runs

Atlanta at Arizona
Beachy: Atlanta 15-2 Over off 3+ games scoring 8+ runs
Cahill: Arizona 0-8 SU at home after allowing 10+ runs

Philadelphia at San Diego
Hamels: 20-7 Under as a favorite of -150 or less
Volquez: San Diego 1-9 SU in night games

American League

NY Yankees at Boston
Nova: Yankees 45-16 SU in day games
Buchholz: Boston 18-4 Over at home on Fridays

Texas at Detroit
Harrison: Texas 21-44 SU away off 3+ games allowing 3 runs or less
Porcello: 23-12 TSR in his last 35 starts

Minnesota at Tampa Bay
Hendriks: Minnesota 12-34 SU vs. AL East opponents
Moore: Tampa Bay 15-3 Under at home vs. AL Central opponents

Toronto at Kansas City
Drabek: 9-2 TSR pitching off a team loss
Hochevar: 7-0 Over in April

Baltimore at LA Angels
Matusz: 0-10 TSR with a total of 8.5 to 10 runs
Williams: Angels 37-16 SU after scoring 2 runs or less

Cleveland at Oakland
Jiminez: 5-12 TSR in the first half of the season
Godfrey: Oakland 11-1 Over as a home underdog of +125 or less

Chicago White Sox at Seattle
Sale: White Sox 22-12 SU away after losing 3 of their last 4 games
Noesi: Seattle 12-30 SU vs. left-handed starters

Diamond Trends - Friday
By Vince Akins
VegasInsider.com

SU TREND OF THE DAY:

The Tigers are 10-0 since August 16, 2011 after a loss in which their opponent left 18+ men on base for a net profit of $1135.

OU TREND OF THE DAY:

The Angels are 0-14-2 OU since April 12, 2011 as a favorite after a loss in which they had a higher team-left-on-base than their opponent for a net profit of $1400 when playing the under.

STARTER TREND OF THE DAY:

The Brewers are 0-6 since May 27, 2011 when Shaun Marcum starts as a home favorite in the first game of a series for a net profit of $822 when playing against.

MLB BIBLE TREND OF THE DAY:

The Yankees are 0-12 (-2.8 rpg) since 2006 after a win where they were not 150+ dogs but overcame at least a four run deficit while scoring no more than 10 runs.

TODAY’S TRENDS:

The Rockies are 0-10 since April 29, 2011 when playing a night game after a win in which they allowed 1 or fewer walks for a net profit of $1150 when playing against.
The Yankees are 7-0 since June 15, 2011 when Ivan Nova starts after his team scored a total of seven or more runs in his last start for a net profit of $700

MLB: Streaks, Tips, Notes
Sportspic.com

Miami Marlins vs. Washington Nationals

Miami Marlins on a four-game win streak should feel good about their chances when they visit N.L. East leading Nationals. Marlins are on a sparkling 13-2 streak in Washington. Handing the ball to newly acquired Carlos Zambrano (0-0, 3.75 ERA) helps the cause. Big Z has had success vs Washington/Montreal posting an 8-3 record in 12 starts (8-4 TSR). Zambrano also has a solid 8-3 TSR on the road in April

Baltimore at Los Angeles Angels

The Orioles off to a smart 9-5 start have got a tough one Friday when they open the three-game set against Halos. Orioles were 0-3 at Angel Stadium last season. If that were not enough, Orioles are scheduled to hand the ball to Brian Matusz. The hurler still looking for his first win of the season (0-2, 8.38 ERA) is on an 0-11 slide last twelve on the mound (0-12 TSR).