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MLB Betting News and Notes Friday, July 1

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(@blade)
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National League

Reds @ Nationals
DeSclafani is 2-0, 1.20 in his last two starts (over 2-2).

Roark is 3-1, 2.31 in his last four starts (under 10-5 in last 15). .

Washington won its last five games; nine of Nationals' last 13 home games went over. Cincinnati lost ten of last 12 games; eight of Reds' last ten games went over. Over is 9-4 in last 13 Washington home games.

Cubs @ Mets
Hammel is 0-3, 3.70 in his last four starts; four of his last six stayed under.

deGrom is 0-3, 2.77 in his last four starts; Mets scored total of three runs in his last five starts, all of which stayed under.

Cubs won three of last four games; five of last six Chicago games went over. Mets lost four of last five games; under is 10-2-1 in last 13 New York games.

Marlins @ Braves
Nicolino is 0-4, 6.17 in his last eight starts; his last four starts went over.

Teheran is 2-1, 1.41 in his last four start; nine of his last ten stayed under.

Marlins lost six of last eight road games; over is 12-2 in last 14 Marlin road games. Atlanta lost five of last seven games; under is 9-4 in Braves' last 13 games.

Brewers @ Cardinals
Garza is 1-0, 2.81 in three starts this year (under 2-1).

Garcia is 1-1, 6.17 in his last four starts; under is 5-1-1 in his home starts.

Brewers lost eight of last ten road games, are 4-8 in road series openers. Over is 7-4-1 in their last 12 road games. St Louis lost its last seven road games, is 4-9 in road series openers. Six of Cardinals' last seven home games stayed under.

Giants @ Diamondbacks
Cueto is 7-0, 2.23 in his last nine starts, last three of which went over.

Miller is 1-4, 6.43 in his last five starts; five of his last seven stayed under.

Giants lost three of last four games, are 7-6 in road series openers. Four of last five Giant games went over total. Arizona lost its last five games, is 3-10 in home series openers. Five of last seven Diamondback games went over.

Rockies @ Dodgers
De la Rosa is 3-0, 2.12 in his last three starts; four of his last five went over.

Norris makes his Dodger debut; he was 2-0, 2.22 in his last four starts for Atlanta; four of his last five starts stayed under.

Rockies are 5-8 in last 13 games, 8-5 in road series openers. Eight of their last nine games went over total. Los Angeles won its last six home games, is 5-7 in home series openers. Under is 11-3 in last 14 Dodger home games.

American League

Indians @ Blue Jays
Tomlin is 2-0, 2.86 in his last five starts; over is 9-2-1 in his last 12 starts. .

Stroman is 1-3, 7.76 in his last five starts; seven of his last nine went over.

Indians won their last 13 games; five of their last eight road games went over. Toronto is 10-5 in last 15 home games; under is 9-4 in their last thirteen home games.

Tigers @ Rays
Fulmer is 5-1, 0.61 in his last seven starts; four of his last six stayed under.

Smyly is 0-4, 7.65 in his last seven starts; nine of his last ten went over.

Tigers won seven of last ten games; six of their last eight road games went over. Tampa Bay lost 13 of last 15 games; five of Rays' last six games went over the total.

Angels @ Red Sox
Chacin is 1-3, 10.06 in his last four starts; four of his last five went over.

Wright is 5-1, 3.81 in his last seven starts; over is 4-2-1 in his last seven.

Angels lost nine of last ten games, are 6-6 in road series openers. Five of their last six road games stayed under. Boston lost seven of last ten games- they're 6-7 in road series openers. Six of their last eight games went over the total.

White Sox @ Astros
Gonzalez is 0-2, 9.39 in his last three starts (over 6-4).

Fiers is 2-0, 2.65 in his last three starts; over is 7-3-1 in his last eleven.

Chicago is 7-3 in its last ten games, 7-5 in road series openers; five of last eight White Sox games went over. Astros won 10 of last 11 games, are 7-5 in home series openers. Five of last seven Houston home games stayed under.

Rangers @ Twins
Perez is 6-0, 3.40 in his last seven starts; under is 8-5 in his last 13.

Santana is 1-5, 6.25 in his last seven starts; four of his last five went over.

Rangers won 14 of last 18 games, are 7-5 in road series openers. Over is 12-4-1 in their last 17 road games. Minnesota lost five of its last seven games, is 6-7 in home series openers. Over is 17-3 in last 20 games at Target Field.

Orioles @ Mariners
Gausman is 1-2, 5.74 in his last three starts; seven of his last eight stayed under.

LeBlanc threw six shutout innings (87 PT) in his first '16 start. .

Orioles won six of their last seven games; three of last four Baltimore games went over the total. Seattle lost eight of last 12 games; three of last five Mariner games went over the total.

Interleague

Royals @ Phillies
Kennedy is 2-1, 3.57 in his last three starts (under 8-4-3).

Hellickson is 1-4, 5.70 in his last five starts; under is 7-3 in his last ten.

Royals won four of last five games, are 4-9 in road series openers. Four of KC's last five games stayed under. Phillies won five of last seven games, are 2-10 in first game of a home series. Over is 18-8 in their last 26 games.

Pirates @ A's
Locke is 2-0, 0.66 in his last two starts; nine of his last 11 starts went over.

Gray is 0-1, 3.52 in five starts since coming off the DL (over 9-2-1 last 12).

Pirates are 3-12 in last 15 road games, 8-6 in road series openers. Six of their last nine games went over total. Oakland won six of last eight games, is 7-6 in first game of home series. Under is 6-1-1 in last eight games in Oakland Coliseum.

Bronx @ San Diego
Eovaldi is 0-3, 8.65 in his last five starts, four of which went over.

Rea is 1-1, 7.47 in his last six starts; seven of his last nine went over.

Bronx lost three of last four games, is 6-6 in road series openers. Over is 7-3-1 in their last 11 games. San Diego lost its last three games, is 8-6 in home series openers. The last seven games at Petco Park went over the total.

Teams won-lost records when this pitcher starts:

Cin-Wsh-- DeSclafani 3-1; Roark 8-8
Chi-NY-- Hammel 9-6 (0-4 last 4); deGrom 6-7
Mia-Atl-- Nicolino 4-6; Teheran 4-12
Mil-StL-- Garza 1-2; Garcia 8-7
SF-Az-- Cueto 14-2; Miller 4-8
Col-LA-- De la Rosa 5-4; Norris 0-0/

Cle-Tor-- Tomlin 12-2; Stroman 8-8
Det-TB-- Fulmer 9-2; Smyly 6-9
LA-Bos-- Chacin 4-5/2-3; Wright 8-7
Chi-Hst-- Gonzalez 5-5; Fiers 8-6
Tex-Min-- Perez 9-7 (7-0 last 7); Santana 2-12
Blt-Sea-- Gausman 5-8; LeBlanc 1-0

KC-Phil-- Kennedy 9-6; Hellickson 7-9
Pitt-A's-- Locke 7-8; Gray 5-9
NY-SD-- Eovaldi 8-7; Rea 8-6

Starting pitchers allowing 1+ runs in first inning:

Cin-Wsh-- DeSclafani 1-4; Roark 3-16
Chi-NY-- Hammel 3-15; deGrom 2-13
Mia-Atl-- Nicolino 2-10; Teheran 3-16
Mil-StL-- Garza 0-3; Garcia 5-15
SF-Az-- Cueto 5-16; Miller 4-12
Col-LA-- De la Rosa 4-9; Norris 0-0/

Cle-Tor-- Tomlin 7-14; Stroman 4-16
Det-TB-- Fulmer 2-11; Smyly 4-15
LA-Bos-- Chacin 5-14; Wright 5-15
Chi-Hst-- Gonzalez 6-10; Fiers 3-14
Tex-Min-- Perez 5-16; Santana 5-14
Blt-Sea-- Gausman 4-13; LeBlanc 0-1

KC-Phil-- Kennedy 4-15; Hellickson 6-16
Pitt-A's-- Locke 4-15; Gray 3-14
NY-SD-- Eovaldi 3-15; Rea 8-14

Armadillosports.com

 
Posted : July 1, 2016 8:07 am
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Friday's Diamond Notes
By Tony Mejia
VegasInsider.com

Hottest team: Indians (13-0 last last 13)

The Tribe takes the field for a Canada Day matinee against the Blue Jays, looking to set a new franchise record for consecutive wins at 14. Standing in the way is a Toronto squad that has a 4-0 record on the holiday under manager John Gibbons, winning three straight in this his second tenure. The Jays will wear special red uniforms and should be energized by a sellout crowd, so this one could have a postseason feel in a game where the home team has been installed as a slight favorite despite Cleveland’s hot streak. Staff ace Marcus Stroman has won just once in his last six starts and his ERA has ballooned from 3.89 to 5.33 since May 22, so he’ll be looking to start hitting his stride against a Indians squad against whom he has a career 27.00 ERA against, getting rocked four earned runs in 1.1 innings in his rookie season of 2014. Josh Tomlin will look to try and help Cleveland make more history by improving to 10-1, which would tie likely All-Star Danny Salazar for the team lead in wins. The Indians are 12-2 in Tomlin’s starts this season. They’ve outscored teams 80-26 during their current run of victories.

Coldest team: Angels (0-3 last 3, 1-9 last 10)

After being swept at home by Houston by a combined margin of 21-7, the Angels held a closed-door meeting before heading East for a 10-game road trip. Mike Scioscia’s team is on pace for the worst record in franchise history after an 8-19 June record that their worst in the month since 1980. That team lost 95 games, one less than this current team is on pace for. Yunel Escobar has missed the last few games with a knee injury and hopes to return here to provide some help for Mike Trout, who went 18-for-30 with three homers despite their 1-6 homestand. Friday’s starter, Jhoulys Chacin, has failed to get out of the sixth in any of his last five starts, surrendering nine earned runs while walking nine and striking out a single batter over his last 6.2 innings. The Red Sox will turn to Steven Wright, who leads the team with a 2.18 ERA and 12 quality starts. The knuckleballer went 3-1 with a 1.62 ERA in June despite struggling in his last outing at Texas, lasting just 4.2 innings. Trout and Albert Pujols have each homered despite just five career at-bats against him. These teams will close July with a four-game set in Anaheim.

Hottest pitcher: Michael Fulmer (7-2, 2.40 ERA)

Detroit’s 23-year-old rookie went 3.1 with a remarkable 0.61 ERA in June, giving up just two earned runs and one homer in 29.2 innings. He lasted just 4.1 innings on June 22 against the Mariners, leaving after a wild stretch that the Tigers chalked up to arm fatigue. With extra rest under his belt, he’ll look to bounce back against a Rays offense he held to just one run over seven innings in Detroit on May 21, striking out a career-high 11. Considering his teammates completed an epic comeback from a 7-2 ninth-inning defict by scoring eight runs, it’s no surprise the Tigers have been bet up to a heavier favorite over host Tampa Bay, which turns to lefty Drew Smyly.

Coldest pitcher: Nathan Eovaldi (6-5, 5.19 ERA)

“Nasty” Nate opened the season 6-2 and was arguably New York’s most consistent starter over the first two months, but the bottom fell out in June. The Yankees won just one of his five starts, needing to score 13 runs to do so. In all, Eovaldi completed six innings only once, closing the month with an 8.65 ERA and surrendering a home run each time out, giving up 10 in all. For the season, he’s already given up 17, a career-high despite having worked just 86.2 innings, barely half his expected workload if he stays healthy. The Padres will look to tee off on Eovaldi, who in turn hopes the turning of the page on the calendar can get him back on track.

Biggest UNDER run: Mets (8-3 last 11)

The Mets benefited from a Javier Baez throwing error to pull off a 4-3 win in the series opener against the Cubs, snapping a four-game losing streak in the first meeting with Chicago since last season’s NLCS. Chicago had runners reach second and third against closer Jeurys Familia in the top of the 9th on Thursday, but Kris Bryant and Willson Contreras struck out while Baez popped up to end it. Chicago hasn’t beaten New York since last July 2, losing its last six in this series. The Mets have scored more than four runs in a single game just once in their last 13 and turn to Jacob deGrom (3-4, 2.67) against Jason Hammel (7-4, 2.58) in what might set up a pitcher’s duel. Oddsmakers have set the total at 7.

Biggest OVER run: Twins (17-4-2 last 23)

Despite the worst record in baseball, the Twins have been involved in an astounding amount of high-scoring games since May 23. In a 35-game stretch, either Minnesota or its opponent has scored at least five runs in 30 of them, leading to the ‘over’ going 26-7-2. The ‘under’ came in three straight times from June 25-28, but each of the last two meetings in Chicago produced double-digit runs. The Twins will face the Rangers seven times between now and the All-Star break, which could lead to plenty of fireworks since Texas had scored at least six runs in seven consecutive games before losing 2-1 in the Bronx on Thursday. Lefty Martin Perez (7-4, 3.44) will pitch for the Rangers against Minnesota’s Ervin Santana (2-7, 4.64). The total has been set a 9.5.

Matchup to watch: White Sox at Astros

After a rough stretch that saw a White Sox (40-39) team that had the second-best record in baseball on May 9 slip under .500 by June 8, Chicago looks to be righting its ship entering a critical stretch before the All-Star break. Since being swept by Cleveland to fall to a season-worst 33-36, the White Sox have won seven of 10 and are right back in the Wild Card mix. The Astros (42-37) are in that mix too thanks to victories in 10 of the last 11. Houston has outscored opponents 75-37 in that span and begin a 10-game homestand here. You get the feeling that the entire season can swing for both of these teams based on how they fare over the first part of July, setting up an intriguing series. Miguel Gonzalez (1-3, 5.17) will start the opener for Chicago, who won five of six meetings between these teams last season. Mike Fiers (5-3, 4.41) will go for Houston.

Betcha didn’t know: Bud Norris (3-7, 4.22) takes Clayton Kershaw’s place in the Dodgers rotation after being acquired from Atlanta for a pair of minor leaguers Thursday once L.A.’s lefty ace went on the disabled list. Ironically, his resurgence started against the Dodgers on June 4 after he was reinserted in the Braves rotation due to injuries following a demotion to the bullpen for all of May. In Norris’ first five starts, he went 1-4 with an 8.74 ERA. After being given a second chance, he allowed just seven earned runs over 29.1 innings, highlighted by his most recent outing where he blanked the Mets on four hits over seven frames, striking out eight batters while making just 88 pitches. L.A. is banking on him bringing that form with him from Atlanta as he joins his fifth major league team. Norris, a Bay Area native who attended Cal Poly, has had just two winning seasons in his eight years in the bigs, is 0-2 in six career appearances at Dodger Stadium, compiling a 3.10 ERA. He’s 2-1 in 10 career appearances against the Rockies, who he hasn't faced yet this season.

Biggest public favorite: Giants (-160) at Diamondbacks

Biggest public underdog: Orioles (+105) at Mariners

Biggest line move: A's (-140 to -157) vs. Pirates

 
Posted : July 1, 2016 8:22 am
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MLB: Streak, Tips, Notes
Sportspic.com

Cleveland Indians at Toronto Blue Jays

Cleveland and Toronto get ready to duel again after the Red-Hot Indians held on for a 4-1 victory last night. The Indians winning thirteen straight games will look to Josh Tomlin to keep the streak alive. Tomlin manufacturing five straight quality starts in June carries a 9-1 record, 3.32 ERA to the hill with a 12-2 team start record over 14 starts. The Indians will face Jays Marcus Stroman off back-2-back losses giving the hurler a 6-4 record, 5.33 ERA over 16 starts this season (8-8 TSR).

Indians are currently +$1.02 to +$1.13 moneyline underdogs depending on local with the total at 9.0 runs across all shops.

Going back to the well is something that Cleveland backers will have no problem doing. That's because Indians are 10-1 in Tomlin's last eleven starts in an opposing park, 17-3 in his last twenty handed starting duties, 13-3 in his subsequent appearance on the mound after a quality start.

 
Posted : July 1, 2016 8:23 am
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