MLB betting trends, odds and predictions for Friday, June 9th, 2017 from various handicappers and websites
MLB Knowledge
National League
Rockies @ Cubs
Marquez is 3-1, 4.15 in his last four starts, last three of which went over. Colorado split his four road starts..
Montgomery is making his first ’17 start; he’s started 23 MLB games, 15 of them for Seattle in 2015. He is 0-3, 2.21 in 18 relief stints (36.2 IP) this year.
Colorado won its last five games; over is 8-4-1 in their last 13 road games. Cubs won eight of their last ten home games, but lost last two; under is 9-4-1 in their last 14 games.
Marlins @ Pirates
Worley is 0-2, 7.11 in three starts this year (over 2-1).
Glasnow is 0-2, 6.19 in his last three starts (over 7-2-2). Pirates split his six home starts.
Marlins won nine of last 12 games; over is 9-4 in their last 13 road games. Pirates are 2-6 in last eight games. Five of their last seven games went over.
Mets @ Braves
Harvey is 2-0, 5.06 in his last three starts; over is 5-1-1 in his last seven. Mets are 2-4 in his road starts.
Teheran is 2-0, 6.75 in his last three starts; Braves scored 19 runs in his last two starts- his last four starts went over. Atlanta lost his last five home starts.
Mets lost five of last seven games, are 5-3 in road series openers. Over is 14-2-1 in their last 17 road games. Atlanta won four of last six games; they’re 4-4 in home series openers. Over is 5-2 in their last seven home games.
Phillies @ Cardinals
Hellickson is 0-2, 8.82 in his last three starts (under 7-3-2). Phillies are 4-2 in his road starts.
Wacha is 0-2, 12.71 in his last three starts; his last seven starts went over. Cardinals lost his last four home starts.
Phillies are 3-11 in last 14 road games, 5-5 in road series openers. Over is 5-3 in their last eight games. St Louis is off an 0-7 road trip; they’re 3-7 in home series openers. Under is 3-1 in their last four home games.
Brewers @ Diamondbacks
Davies is 4-1, 3.44 in his last six starts; under is 3-1 in his last four. Milwaukee is 3-2 in his road starts.
Delgado is 0-1, 2.40 in three starts this year (under 2-1).
Brewers won six of last nine road games; they’re 5-3 in road series openers. Under is 5-3-1 in their last nine games. Arizona won its last nine home games, is 8-2 in home series openers. Over is 5-1 in their last six games.
Reds @ Dodgers
Garrett 0-2, 16.97 in his last three starts; his last four went over. Reds split his four road starts.
Hill is 1-1, 6.23 in his last three starts (under 5-1).
Reds won their last four games, are 5-4 in road series openers. Over is 7-4 in their last eleven games. Dodgers lost three of last four games, are 7-3 in home series openers. Under is 7-2 in their last nine home games.
American League
White Sox @ Indians
Gonzalez is 1-6, 7.19 in his last seven starts; over is 6-2 in his last eight. White Sox lost his last five road starts.
Kluber is 3-1, 2.88 in his last four starts (under 3-0-1). Indians aw 3-0 in his home starts.
White Sox lost seven of last eight games, are 3-8 in road series openers. Over is 5-2 in their last seven road games. Cleveland lost four of last five games, is 3-6 in home series openers. Under is 4-2-1 in their last seven games.
Tigers @ Red Sox
Zimmerman is 1-2, 6.35 in his last three starts (over 9-2). Detroit is 0-5 in his road starts.
Johnson is 2-0, 2.57 in two starts this year (over 1-1).
Tigers won five of last seven games, are 6-4 in road series openers. Over is 5-2 in their last seven games. Boston won five of last six home games, are 6-4 in home series openers. Last four games at Fenway Park stayed under the total.
A’s @ Rays
Triggs is 0-3, 10.80 in his last three starts; his last four went over. Oakland is 3-1 in his road outings.
Cobb is 0-2, 0-2, 7.27 in his last three starts; over is 3-1 in his last four. Rays lost his last three home starts.
A’s lost five of last six road games, are 2-7 in road series openers. Over is 4-1-1 in their last six games. Tampa Bay won four of last five home games; they’re 3-7 in home series openers. Under is 7-1 in Rays’ last eight home games.
Baltimore @ New York
Bundy is 2-0, 3.00 in his last three starts; under is 4-1 in his last five. Orioles are 2-3 in his road starts.
Montgomery is 1-1, 2.12 in his last three starts; his last five stayed under. New York lost his last three home starts.
Orioles lost their last six road games, are 3-6 in road series openers. Over is 6-3 in their last nine games. New York won four of last five home games; they’re 1-4 in last five home series openers. Under is 7-2 in their last nine home games.
Angels @ Astros
Shoemaker is 4-1, 3.07 in his last five starts; over is 3-1 in his last four. Angels split his six road starts.
Peacock is 1-0, 3.60 in three starts this year (under 2-1).
Angels are 3-5 in last eight road games, 4-6 in road series openers. Under is 7-3 in their last ten road games. Houston is 12-2 in its last 14 games, 7-2 in home series openers. Over is 8-2-1 in their last 11 games.
Blue Jays @ Mariners
Biagini is 0-3, 5.91 in his last four starts (under 5-1). Toronto is 2-1 in his road starts.
Gaviglio is 2-1, 4.71 in four starts this year (over 1-1-2).
Toronto is 11-5 in its last 16 games, 6-4 in road series openers. Under is 3-1-1 in their last five games. Seattle won five of its last six games, is 8-2 in home series openers. Over is 5-2 in their last seven games.
Interleague
Rangers @ Nationals
Cashner is 1-2, 5.50 in his last three starts; over is 3-1 in his last four. Texas is 1-4 in his road starts.
Roark is 3-0, 2.08 in his last three starts; over is 6-2 in his last eight. Washington is 4-2 in his home starts.
Texas is 3-11 in its last 14 games, 6-5 in home series openers. Over is 11-2 in last 13 Ranger home games. Washington won eight of last ten games; they’re 8-2 in home series openers. Nationals’ last six home games stayed under.
Royals @ Padres
Skoglund is 1-1, 4.32 in two starts this season (under 2-0).
Chacin is 0-2, 11.45 in his last three starts; over is 6-2 in his last eight. San Diego lost his last three home starts.
Royals is 8-7 in its last 15 games, 3-5 in road series openers. Over is 4-2 in their last six games. San Diego lost its last five games; they’re 7-3 in home series openers. Five of their last six games went over.
Twins @ Giants
Santana 1-2, 4.67 in his last four starts; Twins are 4-1 in his road starts (under 3-1-1).
Moore is 0-2, 5.82 in his last three starts; over is 3-1 in his last four. Giants are 2-3 in his home starts.
Twins are 16-5 in their last 21 road games, 7-2 in road series openers. Over is 7-3-1 in their last 11 games. Giants are 3-7 in their last 10 games, 4-4 in home series openers. Under is 14-6-2 in their last 22 home games.
Record with this pitcher starting
National League
Col-Chi: Marquez 4-4; Montgomery 0-0
Mia-Pitt: Worley 1-2; Glasnow 5-6
NY-Atl: Harvey 4-7; Teheran 5-7
Phil-StL: Hellickson 9-3; Wacha 3-7
Mil-Az: Davies 7-5; Delgado 1-2
Cin-LA: Garrett 4-5 (0-3 last 3); Hill 3-3
American League
Chi-Clev: Gonzalez 5-6; Kluber 5-2
Det-Bos: Zimmerman 5-6; Johnson 2-0
A’s-TB: Triggs 6-5; Cobb 5-7
Balt-NY: Bundy 7-5; Montgomery 4-6
LA-Hst: Shoemaker 8-4; Peacock 3-0
Tor-Sea: Biagini 3-3; Gaviglio 3-1
Interleague
Tex-Wsh: Cashner 4-6; Roark 9-3
KC-SD: Skoglund 1-1; Chacin 5-7
Minn-SF: Santana 7-5; Moore 3-9
Pitchers allowing a run in first inning
National League
Col-Chi: Marquez 2-8; Montgomery 0-0
Mia-Pitt: Worley 3-3; Glasnow 4-11
NY-Atl: Harvey 5-11; Teheran 5-12
Phil-StL: Hellickson 5-12; Wacha 1-10
Mil-Az: Davies 2-12; Delgado 0-3
Cin-LA: Garrett 5-9 (5 of last 6); Hill 1-6
American League
Chi-Clev: Gonzalez 3-11; Kluber 1-7
Det-Bos: Zimmerman 4-11; Johnson 1-2
A’s-TB: Triggs 4-11; Cobb 2-12
Balt-NY: Bundy 1-12; Montgomery 3-10
LA-Hst: Shoemaker 8-12; Peacock 0-3
Tor-Sea: Biagini 1-6; Gaviglio 2-4
Interleague
Tex-Wsh: Cashner 3-10; Roark 5-12
KC-SD: Skoglund 0-2; Chacin 5-12
Minn-SF: Santana 2-12; Moore 4-12
Interleague play
NL @ AL– 33-16 AL, favorites -$49
AL @ NL– 29-28 AL, favorites +$284
Total: 62-44 AL, favorites +$235
Totals in interleague games
NL @ AL: Over 29-24-1
AL @ NL: Over 32-21-1
Total: Over 61-45-2
Armadillosports.com
Friday's Diamond Notes
By Kevin Rogers
VegasInsider.com
Hottest team: Nationals (13-4 last 17) vs. Rangers
Washington is a tired squad, coming off a three-city California trip in which it finished 7-2, followed by beating Baltimore in a make-up game on Thursday. The Nationals have built an impressive 11 ½-game edge in the National League East as no other team in the division is even close to the .500 mark.
The Nats have won five straight series openers as they welcome in the Rangers for an interleague series this weekend. Tanner Roark looks to extend that streak as the right-hander hits the hill for Washington. Roark has won three consecutive starts, while tossing at least seven innings in each of those appearances. Both the Nationals and Rangers have performed well in interleague play this season as Washington owns a 6-2 record, while Texas is 7-2 against National League competition.
Coldest team: Cardinals (0-7 last seven) vs. Phillies
The good news for St. Louis is it faces the team with the worst record in baseball when Philadelphia invades Busch Stadium. The bad news is the Cardinals have gone completely backwards of late by getting swept in consecutive road series by the Cubs and Reds. The Cardinals have dropped 12 of their past 15 games overall, while posting an 0-8 record in their last eight series openers.
Hottest pitcher: Matt Shoemaker, Angels (5-3, 4.12 ERA)
Since losing to the Astros at home last month, Shoemaker has been dealing by posting a solid 4-1 record in his last five starts. Shoemaker has put together two scoreless performances in wins over the Tigers and Rays, while scattering five hits in 6.1 innings of work in a 7-2 victory over the Twins his last time out. The right-hander is winless in his last five starts against the Astros since last season, but four of those outings were quality appearances.
Coldest pitcher: Amir Garrett, Reds (3-4, 7.17 ERA)
The Cincinnati southpaw was one of the top surprises in baseball by picking up road underdog victories over the Pirates and Cardinals. Garrett followed up those two wins by striking out 12 in seven innings against the Orioles, but lost a 2-0 decision at home. Garrett has not been sharp recently by allowing 21 earned runs in his 11.1 innings, while the Reds are 0-3 in those three outings. The Reds look to extend their winning streak to five games when they head out west to face the Dodgers, who have lost five of their past eight contests.
Biggest OVER run: Diamondbacks (6-2 last eight)
Arizona improved to 24-8 at Chase Field this season after whipping San Diego on Thursday, 15-3. The D-backs plated 32 runs in the three-game sweep of the Padres, while eclipsing the OVER in all three victories. Arizona has scored at least five runs in nine straight home contests as Milwaukee heads to the desert this weekend. Randall Delgado makes his fourth start of the season for Arizona, coming off three outings in which he gave up one earned run each time.
Biggest UNDER run: Dodgers (7-1 last eight)
Los Angeles and Washington played to three pitcher’s duels this week as the winning team plated two runs only once. The final two games were exact 2-1 scores with each team winning by that count, capped off by Clayton Kershaw outdueling Stephen Strasburg on Wednesday. For the exception of a huge ninth inning rally at Milwaukee last Saturday in which the Dodgers ended with 10 runs, L.A. has scored two runs or less in seven of the past eight games. Rich Hill takes the mound for the Dodgers against the Reds as the southpaw has finished UNDER the total in five of six starts this season.
Matchup to watch: Orioles vs. Yankees
Baltimore ran out of gas following a pair of massive comebacks in extra-inning wins over Pittsburgh earlier this week as the Orioles were drubbed by the Nationals, 6-1 in a make-up game on Thursday. The Orioles look to rebound by starting a crucial three-game series with the division-leading Yankees in the Bronx.
The home team has captured the first three series between these AL East rivals, as the Orioles took two of three from the Yankees in their last matchup in late May. Dylan Bundy heads to the mound for Baltimore in the series opener, as the O’s have slumped to a 1-4 record in his last five starts. The only victory in this span came against the Yankees at Camden Yards on May 29 in a 3-2 triumph as the right-hander allowed two earned runs in seven innings of work.
The Yankees pummeled the Red Sox in the final two games of their series in the Bronx, capped off by a 9-1 rout on Thursday. Left-hander Jordan Montgomery looks to keep New York atop the AL East as he posted six scoreless innings in a 7-0 shutout of Toronto his last time out. However, New York is 0-4 in his previous four starts as a favorite, while the Yankees are 0-3 in his past three home outings.
Betcha didn’t know: Matt Harvey has been flipped to a road favorite as the Mets visit the Braves. However, Atlanta has been unkind to the Mets’ right-hander by beating New York in each of his last two starts, while scoring 12 runs on Harvey in 9.2 innings. Harvey’s counterpart, Julio Teheran, is 1-2 against the Mets this season and is winless in his last three home starts against New York.
Biggest public favorite: Astros (-190) vs. Angels
Biggest public underdog: Braves (+105) vs. Mets
Biggest line move: Yankees (-115 to -140) vs. Orioles
MLB Series Preview: Toronto at Seattle
Sportspic.com
The Seattle Mariners and the Toronto Blue Jays collide in a three-game set at Safeco Field this weekend.
In the opener, Mariners are handing the ball to rookie Sam Gaviglio who has won his past two starts and heads to the mound 2-1 with a 3.00 ERA in four starts since moving to the rotation. Jays counter with Joe Biagani off a pair of losses despite looking strong allowing 3 earned run over 13 innings of work.
Saturday's pitching matchup features Mariners' lefty Ariel Miranda and Jays' righty Marcus Stroman. Miranda coming off complete game and his third consecutive victory is 6-2 with a 3.74 ERA in twelve starts. Stroman, Jays most consisten starter carrying a 6-2 record 3.25 ERA to the mound has guided Jays to six consecutive team wins including a 7-2 Jay spanking of Seattle in Toronto back on May 13th.
Sunday's finale has Mariners lefty James Paxton who is 5-0 with a 1.69 ERA in eight trips to the mound. Paxton trades pitches with Jays southpaw J.A. Happ entering 0-4 with a 5.33 ERA in five attempts.
In a series that has been all Toronto so far this season (4-0) and over the last eight encounters (7-1) does bode well for Jay supporter's. However, looking at the pitching matchups and the fact that Mariners' are sending a pair of lefties to the mound is bad news for the Jays, since Toronto has a 2-10 skid against lefthanders, including a 1-3 slide in an opposing park. Another positive for Seattle backers, the Mariners enter with a boat load of confidence having won 9-of-11 platting a whopping 6.9 runs/game.
Nationals host Rangers
By: StatFox,com
The Nationals will be going for their fifth win in six games when they host the Rangers on Friday.
The Rangers are really struggling right now, as the team has lost five of its past six coming into this one. Texas most recently lost 4-3 at home against the Mets on Jun. 7, but the team will be well rested coming into this series. The Rangers had a day off to get right for this meeting with the Nationals, and they needed it. This Nationals team is scorching hot at the moment, as Washington has won eight of its past 10 games. They’ll look to keep up their excellent play in this series. The starters in this Friday night showdown are set to be RHP Andrew Cashner (2-5, 3.39 ERA, 25 K) for Texas and RHP Tanner Roark (6-2, 3.95 ERA, 60 K) for Washington. The Nationals have won in each of Roark’s past three starts, so they’ll be very confident when he takes the mound here. Washington is, however, a miserable 3-12 against the money line after allowing three runs or less in four straight games over the past two seasons. One injury that needs to be pointed out in this game is that 3B Adrian Beltre (Ankle) is likely to be out for Texas.
The Rangers can really use a win on Friday night and Andrew Cashner is going to need to be at his best in order to do that. He just might be going up against the best offense in baseball, so he can’t afford to make many mistakes here. The righty was awful in his most recent start, as he allowed five earned runs on 11 hits in six innings of work against the Astros on Jun. 3. This Nationals offense is similarly explosive, so Cashner must be a lot better than he was in that game. Offensively, the Rangers can use something from C Jonathan Lucroy (.256 BA, 3 HR, 13 RBI) in this one. Lucroy has more experience than of his teammates against Roark, and he is 5-for-13 with a double and an RBI against the righty in his career. This season has been a bit of a struggle for the former Brewer, but he is on a three-game hitting streak coming into this contest. He should be feeling good when he takes the field here.
The Nationals are sending Tanner Roark to the mound on Friday, and the righty has been dealing lately. In his past three starts, Roark has pitched 21.2 innings and allowed only five earned runs. He has walked only two batters over his past three starts, and he’ll need to bring that same control on Friday. He has had five starts with three or more walks this season, so that’s obviously a major issue in his game. Offensively, the Nationals have a ton of firepower. The guys to really pay attention to in this one are, however, 2B Daniel Murphy (.336 BA, 10 HR, 41 RBI) and OF Bryce Harper (.325 BA, 15 HR, 46 RBI). These two are the best hitters Washington has to offer, but they also happen to be a combined 9-for-17 with a double, a homer and five RBI against Cashner in their careers.
MLB Betting Preview
By Sportsbook.ag
L.A Angels vs. Houston Astros
Sportsbook.ag Odds: L.A (+159), Houston (-174); Total set at 8.5
The 43-18 SU league-leading Houston Astros are back at home after a very successful 10-game road trip that saw them finish it with an 8-2 SU mark.
Five runs in the 9th inning last night blew open a 1-1 tie for Houston to get a series split with Kansas City, and they'll look to keep that momentum rolling with a long homestand beginning tonight.
That first game back at home after a long road trip can be somewhat of a trap spot though, so will Houston get caught in that tonight?
Throughout the long MLB season it's these kind of trap spots that I like to look for, especially when you can get decent underdog odds to boot.
The Angels are definitely not in the same class as the Astros this year – especially without Mike Trout – but if they are going to try and hunt down the AL West leaders, it's these types of games L.A has to come up big in.
Their bats got rolling yesterday afternoon in an 11-4 win @ Detroit, and they are facing a guy in Brad Peacock tonight who doesn't really deserve to be laying anywhere near this kind of juice.
Peacock does have a 2.30 ERA in three starts this year (all Houston wins), but historically this guy gets roughed up more times than not. In two starts vs the Angels a year ago, L.A won both games by 10-4 and 7-1 scores, knocking out Peacock by the 5th inning and hitting him hard.
Albert Pujols has three doubles in 10 career at-bats against him and when Pujols leads the way for the Angels, the rest of the lineup usually has no problem following suit.
The 8 runs/game of support Peacock has gotten in his brief time on the hill this year is going to dry up soon, and what's lost in that 3-0 SU record is the fact that he hasn't gone more than five innings in two of those three starts.
Houston's bullpen isn't in the greatest shape after some high-scoring games in Kansas City this week, so if Peacock goes five innings or less again tonight, chances are the Angels will be in good shape.
L.A is sending Matt Shoemaker to the hill and while he is 0-5 SU in his last five starts vs. Houston (two this year) it's not like he's pitched poorly in any of them.
This season the Angels have fell by 2-1 and 5-3 scores with Shoemaker on the hill, and taking it back to last year's three straight losses, those scores were 2-1, 4-2, and 3-2. The results haven't been there, but Shoemaker has very good numbers against the bulk of this Astros lineup throughout his career and that shouldn't change tonight.
Add in the added bonus of facing a road-weary lineup and it's tough not to consider this +160ish line in terms of value alone.
Finally, the Astros are going to always be heavily supported by the betting public, but when you take a peek at VegasInsider.com's betting percentage numbers for this game you'll see something rather interesting.
More than 90% of the bets have come Houston's way already – both on the ML and -1.5 line – yet the opening number has dropped from -190 to it's current -174 price. That's reverse line movement at it's finest, and it's just another reason to like the Angels at these odds tonight.
Best Bet: L.A Angels +159