MLB betting trends, odds and predictions for Friday, October 20th, 2017 from various handicappers and websites
NY YANKEES (98 - 75) at HOUSTON (106 - 65) - 8:05 PM
LUIS SEVERINO (R) vs. JUSTIN VERLANDER (R)
Top Trends for this game.
NY YANKEES are 19-32 (-13.3 Units) against the money line on the road when the money line is +125 to -125 this season.
NY YANKEES are 11-17 (-10.7 Units) against the money line when playing on Friday this season.
NY YANKEES are 17-29 (-14.3 Units) against the money line in road games after a win this season.
NY YANKEES are 8-18 (-13.2 Units) against the money line in road games after 3 or more consecutive wins over the last 3 seasons.
HOUSTON is 106-65 (+12.7 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
HOUSTON is 83-40 (+25.2 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
HOUSTON is 18-6 (+11.9 Units) against the money line after getting shut out over the last 3 seasons.
NY YANKEES are 53-35 (+16.4 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
NY YANKEES are 65-54 (+12.2 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 61-55 (-21.0 Units) against the money line in home games in night games over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 36-39 (-15.0 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
HOUSTON is 7-5 (+1.6 Units) against NY YANKEES this season
7 of 12 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.6 Units)
LUIS SEVERINO vs. HOUSTON since 1997
SEVERINO is 0-1 when starting against HOUSTON with an ERA of 7.72 and a WHIP of 1.973.
His team's record is 1-2 (-1.1 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-1. (+1.0 units)
JUSTIN VERLANDER vs. NY YANKEES since 1997
VERLANDER is 9-7 when starting against NY YANKEES with an ERA of 3.64 and a WHIP of 1.298.
His team's record is 11-12 (-2.6 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 9-12. (-4.4 units)
NY YANKEES @ HOUSTON
NY Yankees is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Houston
NY Yankees is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Houston is 15-2 SU in its last 17 games at home
Houston is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against NY Yankees
StatFox Super Situations
NY YANKEES at HOUSTON
Play On - Any team (HOUSTON) very good offensive team (>=5.4 runs/game) against a good starting pitcher (ERA<=4.20) (AL), after scoring 4 runs or less 4 straight games 46-24 since 1997. ( 65.7% | 26.3 units ) 1-1 this year. ( 50.0% | -0.5 units )
StatFox Situational Power Trends
NY YANKEES at HOUSTON
NY YANKEES are 33-13 (+18.3 Units) against the money line after a 5 game span where the bullpen ERA was 2.00 or better this season. The average score was: NY YANKEES (6.2) , OPPONENT (3.7)
MLB Playoffs
New York @ Houston
Astros are 7-5 against New York this season, winning four of five at home. Houston scored total of nine runs in first five games in this series, all won by the home team.
Severino is 1-0, 5.56 in three playoff starts this season; he is 4-0, 3.27 in his last eight starts overall. Over is 5-3 in his last eight starts. New York is 9-7 in his road starts this season. He is 0-1, 7.71 in three starts vs Houston this season.
Verlander is 7-0, 1.29 in seven starts for Houston; he also won a game in relief. Under is 8-2 in his last ten starts. Astros are 4-0 in his home starts. Verlander is 1-0, 1.00 vs New York this season; he is 10-5, 3.19 in 19 career playoff games (18 starts).
Armadillosports.com
Friday's ALCS Playoff Betting Preview: Yankees at Astros
Covers.com
New York Yankees at Houston Astros (NYY +124, HOU -134, O/U 7.5)
The Houston Astros left home a few days ago feeling very good about their chances to win the American League pennant and advance to the second World Series in franchise history, but returned home with a very different feeling. The Astros will try to stay alive one more day and force a decisive Game 7 of the AL Championship Series when they host the New York Yankees in Game 6 on Friday.
Houston won the first two games at home but totaled only nine runs in the series after leading the majors in scoring with 896 runs during the regular season, and it is looking for more from George Springer (2-for-18 in the series) and Josh Reddick (0-for-17) at home in Game 6. "It will be great," Astros manager A.J. Hinch told reporters of getting back to Houston. "There weren't a lot rooting for us here. I think getting home will be good for us. We'll have an off day (Thursday), and then get to play in front of our home crowd. Every home team has won this series, if that trend continues, we'll be in pretty good shape." The Yankees finally found their offense at home while winning all three games, and are starting to get production from Aaron Judge (4-for-9, two homers, six RBIs in the last three games) and Gary Sanchez, who drove in five runs in the last two contests. "I give our guys a lot of credit for how resilient they are, and how they continue to fight and never give up and understand, take it one game at a time and don't panic," New York manager Joe Girardi told reporters. "And just continue to fight."
INJURY REPORT:
Yankees - SP L. Severino (Probable, Shoulder), SP L. Cessa (Out For Season, Ribs), SP M. Pineda (Out For Season, Elbow).
Astros - CF J. Marisnick (Out For Season, Thumb), SP D. Paulino (Out For Season, Suspension), RP J. Gustave (Out For Season, Elbow).
PITCHING MATCHUP: Yankees RH Luis Severino (1-0, 5.56 ERA) vs. Astros RH Justin Verlander (3-0, 2.04)
Severino is hoping to go deeper into Game 6 after being lifted from Game 2 following the fourth inning, when he struggled to get loose and was hit in the wrist by a comebacker. The 23-year-old Dominican was checked out by doctors and quickly cleared. Severino surrendered a solo home run to Carlos Correa in that outing and was strong in his lone AL Division Series appearance, yielding three runs and four hits in seven innings against Cleveland.
Verlander went up against Severino in Game 2 and earned the win while hurling a 124-pitch complete game. The former AL MVP yielded one run and five hits while striking out 13 and walking one to earn his third win in as many 2017 postseason appearances. Verlander is 8-0 with a 1.39 ERA in eight appearances since arriving in a trade from the Detroit Tigers on Aug. 31.
TRENDS:
* Yankees are 1-7 in their last 8 playoff road games.
* Yankees are 15-3 in Severino's last 18 starts.
* Astros are 13-3 in their last 16 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
* Astros are 7-0 in Verlander's 7 starts since joining Houston.
* Over is 12-3 in Severino's last 15 starts overall.
* Under is 8-0 in Astros' last 8 home games vs. a right-handed starter.
* Over is 17-6-3 in Jim Reynolds' last 26 games behind home plate.
CONSENSUS: The public is siding with the home chalk Astros at a rate of 74 percent and the Over is picking up 57 percent of the totals action.
Yankees, Astros meet in Game 6
StatFox.com
The Astros will be hoping to force a Game 7 with a victory over the Yankees in Houston on Friday.
Houston looked like it was going to cruise to a series victory after the first two games of this series, but New York has proven to be a resilient bunch. After falling behind 2-0 in the series, the Yankees came back to win all three of their games at Yankee Stadium here. Game 4 happened to be a ridiculous meeting between these teams, as Houston was up 4-0 in that game and ended up allowing New York to come back and win 6-4. One would think that the Yankees have all of the momentum on their side as this series heads back to Minute Maid Park, but the Tigers have to be pretty confident with who they have on the mound in this one. RHP Justin Verlander (3-0, 2.04 ERA, 16 K in postseason) is starting for the Astros and he has been insane for the team thus far. Starting for the Yankees, however, is stud RHP Luis Severino (1-0, 5.56 ERA, 9 K). Severino is more than capable of holding his own against Verlander when he has his stuff under control, but he is also capable of getting lit up on any given night.
The Yankees have a shot to close the series out on Friday and one would think that they will be eager to do so in Game 6. While it is going to be tough for New York to get to Verlander in this one, the team can’t possibly feel comfortable with the idea of playing a Game 7 in Houston. That game would strongly lean in the favor of the Astros, so the Yankees need to take care of business while they still have momentum. Severino will, however, need to pitch a solid game for them here. Ever since he struggled in the first inning of the Wild Card Game, the righty has settled down and been reliable for the Yankees. Over his past 11.0 innings of work, Severino has allowed just four earned runs and kept the Yankees in each of the two games he has started since the one against Minnesota. It’s just important that Severino does not hang too many pitches here. He has allowed five homers in 11.1 postseason innings and that is not a recipe for success. On offense, OF Aaron Judge and C Gary Sanchez should be able to help Severino out here. Both guys have woken up in this series and they’ll need to keep hitting moving forward.
The Astros seem to be folding right now, but Justin Verlander can stop the sledding on Friday. He was absolutely remarkable the last time he stepped on the mound against the Yankees, as he struck out 13 batters and allowed just one earned run in a complete game in Game 2. The Astros won that game and they would obviously be thrilled if he can give them something like that again here. It is, however, worth noting that the righty threw 124 pitches in that contest. It’s very possible that his arm is a bit tired, but this is a big game and he will be doing everything he can to gut out a good outing. As for Houston’s offense, the team needs some of its bats to wake up here. The Astros have not scored since holding a 4-0 lead in Game 4, and they need to snap that streak here. Expect 2B Jose Altuve and SS Carlos Correa to come through with their team on the brink of elimination.