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MLB Betting News and Notes Monday 6/11

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Monday's Streaking and Slumping Starting Pitchers
By Covers.com

Streaking

Brandon Morrow, Toronto Blue Jays (7-3, 2.90 ERA)

The 27-year-old right-hander tossed a complete-game shutout against the White Sox last time out, and he beat the Orioles in his start before that. Batters are hitting .191 against Morrow, who has an incredible WHIP of 0.99. He’s allowed one or zero runs in three of his last four starts.

Garrett Richards, Los Angeles Angels (1-0, 1.13 ERA)

Richards’ first start was a beauty, as he allowed one run over seven innings in a 6-1 win over the Mariners. He struck out eight, walked two and scattered four hits. He’ll try to keep it up Monday in the Battle for L.A. at Dodger Stadium.

Slumping

Chris Capuano, Los Angeles Dodgers (8-2, 2.82 ERA)

The 33-year-old lefty isn’t dominating like he was earlier this season. In his last two starts, Capuano has given up four homers, 11 hits, five walks and eight earned runs in just 10 1/3 innings. However, he’s still holding batters to a .203 average overall.

Ivan Nova, New York Yankees (7-2, 5.09 ERA)

The 25-year-old right-hander is coming off his best outing, an eight-inning performance against the Rays in which he allowed one run on four hits. But hey, it’s a light schedule of games and we had to pick someone in the slumping category. Nova had given up five earned runs in three of his previous four starts. Batters are hitting .297 against him this season.

 
Posted : June 10, 2012 9:12 pm
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Monday's Interleague Tips
By Kevin Rogers
VegasInsider.com

The Monday baseball card showcases only four games, but each contest involves solid matchups. Interleague continues with a huge rivalry taking place in Southern California as the Dodgers host the Angels for the first time this season. The other three games spotlight the AL East against its NL East counterparts, including Washington heading north of the border for a battle in Toronto.

Nationals at Blue Jays

Washington continues to be one of the biggest surprises in baseball as the Nats continue to lead the NL East nearly 2 ½ months into the season. The Blue Jays have to deal with the Yankees and Rays inside the tight AL East race, as Toronto tries to win its second straight game after avoiding the sweep in Atlanta on Sunday.

The Nationals haven't been successful when Edwin Jackson takes the mound this season (3-8 team record), even though the veteran right-hander owns a 3.11 ERA. Jackson won the first time in two months by beating the Mets in his most recent outing, allowing three hits and two earned runs in 7 innings of a 5-3 victory. Washington is 0-6 in Jackson's six road outings, while the Nats have scored one run in three of those defeats.

Brandon Morrow (7-3, 2.90 ERA) is turning into an early Cy Young candidate, coming off his third complete game shutout. Morrow blanked the White Sox as a short road favorite in his last start, scattering less than three hits for the fourth time this season in a 4-0 triumph. The Toronto righty has won three of his past four home starts after the Jays lost his first two outings at Rogers Center to the Orioles and Rays.

Yankees at Braves

The Bronx Bombers hit the road for the first time in interleague play as the Yanks head to Turner Field. Atlanta continues a nine-game homestand after having its six-game winning streak snapped by Toronto on Sunday. The Yankees are making their first trip to Atlanta since 2009, when New York grabbed two of three matchups.

Ivan Nova (7-2, 5.09 ERA) continues to rack up wins despite allowing five earned runs or more in five of his previous eight outings. New York's offense has scored at least five runs in nine of Nova's 11 starts, while the Yankees have hit the 'over' in four of his last five trips to the mound. Nova is unbeaten on the road in five starts away from the Bronx, while the Yanks are 4-1 in his five career interleague outings.

The Braves counter with Randall Delgado (4-5, 4.26 ERA), who has lost three of his last four home starts. The 22-year old puts together better numbers at night (4-2, 3.68 ERA) than during the day (0-3, 5.71 ERA), while Atlanta is 15-6 since 2010 at Turner Field in interleague action.

Red Sox at Marlins

Miami is falling apart at nearly the same rate as it came together in an impressive May run (21-8), as the Fish owns a 2-7 record in the month of June. Ozzie Guillen's team looks to get on track against a Red Sox club that exits Fenway Park after getting swept by the Nationals. The Marlins will see an old World Series hero for the first time as both squads try to get on a winning track.

Josh Beckett (4-6, 4.04 ERA) makes his first start against the team he led to a title in 2003, as the Sox righty is coming off consecutive home defeats to the Orioles and Tigers. Since June 2009, the Red Sox own a 4-1 record in Beckett's last five interleague starts, as all five games have finished 'under' the total. In Beckett's only interleague action this season, the 32-year old allowed one earned run in seven innings of a 5-1 road underdog victory at Philadelphia last month.

The Marlins send out their tall right-hander in Josh Johnson (3-4, 4.56 ERA), who looks to stay hot after going winless in his first five starts. Miami has won five of Johnson's previous six outings, while coming off a 2-1 home defeat to Atlanta in his last start. The offense attempts to get on track after plating just 10 runs during this six-game losing streak, including five setbacks as home 'chalk.'

Angels at Dodgers

The Freeway Series takes on plenty of meaning in the first of six meetings this month, as the Dodgers own the best record in baseball at 39-22. The Halos are becoming the team many expected in spring training by winning nine of the past 13 games, including a series victory at Colorado this past weekend. In spite of getting no-hit on Friday, the Dodgers took two of three from the Mariners, while winning six of the previous seven contests.

The Dodgers picked up a steal in the offseason by signing veteran southpaw Chris Capuano (8-2, 2.82 ERA), who looks to rebound after allowing four earned runs in each of his last two outings. Los Angeles owns a 5-0 record in Capuano's five home starts, while putting together quality outings in all five outings at Chavez Ravine.

The Angels have won nine of the last 12 meetings with the Dodgers dating back to 2010, including a 5-1 record at Chavez Ravine in this span. Garrett Richards (1-0, 1.12 ERA) makes his second start of the season, in place of the injured Jered Weaver. Richards beat the Mariners in his season debut, giving up one earned run and four hits in seven innings of work.

 
Posted : June 10, 2012 9:15 pm
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MLB: Streaks, Tips, Notes
Sportspic.com

The Tampa Bay Rays and Baltimore Orioles have established themselves as the top two teams in the American League East through the first two weeks of June. However, with all five teams sporting records above .500, a case can be made that any of those teams could come through and win the division in the end. The Toronto Blue Jays, New York Yankees, and Boston Red Sox are all in action on Monday, and will look to open the week on a winning note to set the tone with just four games on the MLB schedule.

Washington Nationals @ Toronto Blue Jays

The Blue Jays have kept their heads above water with a strong record at home, but in order to have any chance at challenging for a playoff spot they will need to be more consistent. Toronto's offense ranks fifth in runs scored, but the pitching staff isn't deep and has been exposed at times, including last week in Chicago where they lost at least one game to the White Sox that they should have had. One of the brightest spots on the Blue Jays' pitching staff has been Brandon Morrow, who is 7-3 with a 2.90 ERA on the season. Morrow will get the call for the baseball betting series opener against the Nationals, opposite Edwin Jackson for Washington.

Pick: Toronto Blue Jays

New York Yankees @ Atlanta Braves

Similar to Toronto, the Yankees have scored a ton of runs but have struggled with their consistency for the most part because of an average pitching staff. The perfect example of New York's offensive potential is Monday's starter Ivan Nova, who despite a 5.09 ERA that would make him a sub-.500 pitcher on most major league teams, is 7-2 on the season. Nova will get the call opposite 22-year old Atlanta starter Randall Delgado, and while he could struggle to keep his earned runs down once again versus the Braves, look for the offense to bring in a ton of run support and get him another sports bet win.

Pick: New York Yankees

Boston Red Sox @ Miami Marlins

As far as inconsistency goes, you don't have to go fishing much further than the Red Sox to find it. Despite such an up and down season that currently has Boston ranked fifth in the AL East, David Ortiz and company are still treading above the .500 mark and not out of contention in the division race. Monday's starter Josh Beckett has been better of late, getting his ERA down from 5.97 to 4.04 despite not being able to get a win in any of his last three starts. That could change in Miami against Josh Johnson and the Marlins, as long as the Red Sox don't get caught up in the spectacle that is playing in Miami for the first time since they moved to their new MLB stadium.

Pick: Boston Red Sox

 
Posted : June 11, 2012 10:02 am
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Hot pitchers
-- Morrow is 2-0, 0.59 in his last two starts.
-- Jackson has a 2.83 RA in his last four starts.
-- Delgado is 2-0, 3.09 in his last couple of starts.
-- Nova is 3-0, 3.74 in his last three starts.
-- Johnson is 3-1, 2.95 in his last six starts.
-- Former Marlin Beckett is 2-2, 2.21 in his last five starts.

Cold pitchers
-- Williams is 1-2, 4.91 in his four road starts.
-- Capuano is 1-1, 9.58 in his last two starts.

Hot Teams
-- Nationals won five of their last six games.
-- Bronx Bombers, Braves both won eight of their last ten games.
-- Dodgers won six of their last seven games.
-- Angels won four of their last five games, scoring 40 runs.

Cold Teams

-- Blue Jays lost three of their last four games.
-- Miami lost its last six games, outscored 43-10.
-- Red Sox lost six of their last seven games.

Totals
-- Under is 3-0-1 in Jackson's last four starts.
-- Nine of last twelve Atlanta home games went over the total.
-- Over is 5-1-2 in Johnson's last eight starts.
-- Four of last five Dodger games went over the total.

AL teams were 8-6 Sunday, 22-20 for the weekend; they're 46-38 against NL teams in interleague play this season. Remember there are DHs in games in American League parks, no DHs in National League parks. It doesn't seem to affect totals either way.

Armadillosports.com

 
Posted : June 11, 2012 10:04 am
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WASHINGTON (35 - 23) at TORONTO (31 - 29) - 7:05 PM

EDWIN JACKSON (R) vs. BRANDON MORROW (R)

Top Trends for this game.
MORROW is 26-13 (+14.7 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 23-12 (+12.8 Units) against the money line in June games over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 75-69 (+14.1 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 87-83 (+11.6 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 63-51 (+15.8 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 53-44 (+19.9 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 35-23 (+9.5 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
WASHINGTON is 46-35 (+16.9 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons.
MORROW is 3-9 (-10.3 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

EDWIN JACKSON vs. TORONTO since 1997
JACKSON is 3-3 when starting against TORONTO with an ERA of 4.41 and a WHIP of 1.195.
His team's record is 5-8 (-3.3 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 8-5. (+2.6 units)

BRANDON MORROW vs. WASHINGTON since 1997
No recent starts.

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

NY YANKEES (34 - 25) at ATLANTA (34 - 26) - 7:10 PM

IVAN NOVA (R) vs. RANDALL DELGADO (R)

Top Trends for this game.
NY YANKEES are 79-73 (-19.7 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 40-22 (+17.3 Units) against the money line in June games over the last 3 seasons.
ATLANTA is 26-15 (+8.7 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
NY YANKEES are 126-77 (+18.3 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
NOVA is 28-11 (+12.5 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
NOVA is 14-4 (+9.2 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons.
NOVA is 27-11 (+11.2 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
NOVA is 7-0 (+7.4 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 0-8 (-10.8 Units) against the money line when playing on Monday this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

IVAN NOVA vs. ATLANTA since 1997
No recent starts.

RANDALL DELGADO vs. NY YANKEES since 1997
No recent starts.

-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

BOSTON (29 - 31) at MIAMI (31 - 29) - 7:10 PM

JOSH BECKETT (R) vs. JOSH JOHNSON (R)

Top Trends for this game.
BOSTON is 78-72 (-25.0 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 52-54 (-23.2 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 121-103 (-20.4 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 36-18 (+18.5 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
BECKETT is 17-5 (+11.4 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI is 23-38 (-21.7 Units) against the money line in home games after a loss over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI is 11-29 (-18.8 Units) against the money line after 3 or more consecutive losses over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI is 6-21 (-14.5 Units) against the money line as a home underdog of +100 to +125 over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI is 47-63 (-27.9 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI is 0-6 (-7.4 Units) against the money line in home games in June games this season.
MIAMI is 47-63 (-27.9 Units) against the money line in home games in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI is 35-49 (-23.9 Units) against the money line in home games in night games over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI is 69-88 (-21.2 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

JOSH BECKETT vs. MIAMI since 1997
No recent starts.

JOSH JOHNSON vs. BOSTON since 1997
JOHNSON is 0-0 when starting against BOSTON with an ERA of 3.86 and a WHIP of 1.143.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-1. (-1.2 units)

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

LA ANGELS (32 - 29) at LA DODGERS (39 - 22) - 10:10 PM

GARRETT RICHARDS (R) vs. CHRIS CAPUANO (L)

Top Trends for this game.
LA ANGELS are 132-139 (-30.2 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 3 seasons.
LA ANGELS are 93-102 (-27.8 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 3 seasons.
LA DODGERS are 39-22 (+15.1 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
LA DODGERS are 28-15 (+11.1 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
LA DODGERS are 25-12 (+10.7 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
LA DODGERS are 25-13 (+12.2 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
LA DODGERS are 39-22 (+15.1 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
LA DODGERS are 26-12 (+12.6 Units) against the money line when the total is 7 or less this season.
LA DODGERS are 51-29 (+16.6 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 7 or less over the last 2 seasons.
CAPUANO is 7-0 (+7.3 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
LA ANGELS are 23-9 (+15.0 Units) against the money line in road games in June games over the last 3 seasons.
LA ANGELS are 81-61 (+27.8 Units) against the money line in road games in an inter-league game since 1997.
LA ANGELS are 529-516 (+65.6 Units) against the money line in road games in games played on a grass field since 1997.
LA ANGELS are 615-609 (+40.9 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.
LA ANGELS are 638-627 (+64.0 Units) against the money line in road games since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

GARRETT RICHARDS vs. LA DODGERS since 1997
No recent starts.

CHRIS CAPUANO vs. LA ANGELS since 1997
CAPUANO is 0-1 when starting against LA ANGELS with an ERA of 3.00 and a WHIP of 1.833.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.2 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)

 
Posted : June 11, 2012 10:05 am
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WASHINGTON vs. TORONTO
Washington is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Toronto
Washington is 11-5 SU in its last 16 games on the road
Toronto is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games when playing Washington
Toronto is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Washington

NY YANKEES vs. ATLANTA
NY Yankees are 6-3 SU in their last 9 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of NY Yankees's last 5 games when playing on the road against Atlanta
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Atlanta's last 9 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Atlanta's last 7 games when playing NY Yankees

BOSTON vs. MIAMI
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Boston's last 5 games
Boston is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games
Miami is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
Miami is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Boston

LA ANGELS vs. LA DODGERS
LA Angels are 6-1 SU in their last 7 games when playing on the road against LA Dodgers
The total has gone OVER in 5 of LA Angels's last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of LA Dodgers's last 5 games when playing LA Angels
LA Dodgers are 3-9 SU in their last 12 games when playing LA Angels

 
Posted : June 11, 2012 10:06 am
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Washington at Toronto
Jackson: 8-18 TSR in the first half of the season
Morrow: Toronto 8-0 SU after scoring 8+ runs

NY Yankees at Atlanta
Nova: 9-0 TSR as a road favorite of -150 or less
Delgado: Atlanta 0-8 SU on Mondays

Boston at Miami
Beckett: Boston 25-9 Over as a favorite of -150 or less
Johnson: Miami 6-21 SU as a home underdog of +125 or less

LA Angels at LA Dodgers
Richards: Angels 5-12 SU away with a total of 7 to 8.5 runs
Capuano: 7-0 TSR pitching after a team win

 
Posted : June 11, 2012 12:47 pm
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Diamond Trends - Monday
By Vince Akins
VegasInsider.com

SU TREND OF THE DAY:

The Nationals are 12-0 since June 02, 2011 after a one run win in a day game where they had more than three hits for a net profit of $1473.

OU TREND OF THE DAY:

The Red Sox are 0-13 OU since 2008 when Josh Beckett starts on the road when he is off a start in which he needed fewer than 3.5 pitches per batter for a net profit of $1300 when playing the under.

STARTER TREND OF THE DAY:

The Blue Jays are 0-7 since May 26, 2011 when Brandon Morrow starts as a favorite in the first game of a series for a net profit of $982 when playing against.

MLB BIBLE TREND OF THE DAY:

The Dodgers are 13-1 (3.7 rpg) since 2011 as a favorite after a 5+ run win.

TODAY’S TRENDS:

The Blue Jays are 7-0-1 OU since July 20, 2011 when Brandon Morrow starts at home after throwing more than 100 pitches for a net profit of $700 when playing the over.

The Red Sox are 0-5-1 OU since April 05, 2011 when Josh Beckett starts on the road in the first game of a series for a net profit of $500 when playing the under.

 
Posted : June 11, 2012 12:48 pm
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