MLB betting trends, odds and predictions for Monday, April 3rd, 2017 from various handicappers and websites
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National League
Braves @ Mets
Teheran is 2-0, 3.50 in his last three starts; over is 8-2 in his last ten starts.
Syndegaard is 5-2, 2.55 in his last eight starts; six of his last nine starts went over.
Marlins @ Nationals
Volquez was 0-1, 7.99 in his last seven starts for the Royals LY (over 5-1-1).
Strasburg was 0-3, 12.86 in his last four starts LY, after Washington won 19 of his first 21 starts. Over is 4-0-1 in his last five starts.
Rockies @ Brewers
Gray was 1-4, 6.14 in his last five starts LY. Seven of his last ten starts went over.
Guerra was 3-1, 2.45 in his last six starts LY; under was 8-3 in his last 11 starts.
Padres @ Dodgers
Chacin was 1-0, 1.61 in his last four starts LY (under 3-1).
Kershaw was 1-1, 1.44 in his last four regular season starts LY. Under is 8-1-1 in his last ten starts.
Phillies @ Reds
Hellickson was 2-1, 2.74 in his last four starts LY; under is 3-1-1 in his last five starts.
Feldman was 1-2, 5.44 in five starts LY, only one of which was after April 24. Over was 3-1-1 in his starts LY.
American League
Blue Jays @ Orioles
Estrada is 1-0, 0.95 in his last three starts, all of which stayed under.
Gausman is 1-2, 5.49 in his last three starts; his last eight starts stayed under total.
Tigers @ White Sox
Verlander is 2-1, 0.98 in his last four starts; under is 15-3 in his last 18 starts.
Quintana is 2-2, 3.75 in his last four starts; his last seven starts all went over.
Royals @ Twins
Duffy is 1-2, 6.59 in his last seven starts, all of which went over the total.
Santana is 0-2, 3.10 in his last five starts; his last four starts stayed under the total.
Indians @ Rangers
Kluber is 3-0, 3.33 in his last four starts; under is 7-5-1 in his last thirteen starts.
Darvish was 2-1, 3.33 in his last four starts LY (under 3-1).
Mariners @ Astros
Hernandez was 0-3, 7.65 in his last four starts LY (under 3-1).
Keuchel is 2-0, 2.40 in his last two regular season starts; under is 6-2-1 in his last nine starts.
Angels @ A’s
Nolasco was 3-0, 0.43 in his last three starts LY; under was 8-1-1 in his last ten starts.
Graveman was 0-3, 4.71 in his last six starts LY. Under was 8-2 in his last ten starts.
Interleague
Pirates @ Red Sox
Cole was 0-4, 8.75 in his last five starts LY; over is 6-0-1 in his last seven starts.
Porcello was 8-1, 2.70 in his last 11 starts LY. Three of his last four starts stayed under.
Record with this pitcher starting in 2016
National League
Atl-NY— Teheran 10-20; Syndergaard 19-11
Mia-Wsh— Volquez (KC )17-17; Strasburg 19-5
Colo-Mil— Gray 12-17; Guerra 14-6
SD-LA— Chacin (Atl/LAA) 9-12; Kershaw 17-4
Phil-Cin— Hellickson 17-15; Feldman (Hst) 1-4
American League
Tor-Balt— Estrada 15-14; Gausman 14-16
Det-CWS— Verlander 20-14; Quintana 17-15
KC-Minn— Duffy 17-9; Santana 8-22
Clev-Tex— Kluber 20-12; Darvish 10-7
Sea-Hst— Hernandez 15-10; Keuchel 12-14
LAA-A’s— Nolasco 4-7; Graveman 14-17
Interleague
Pitt-Bos— Cole 8-13; Porcello 25-8
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MLB: Streaks, Tips, Notes
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Toronto Blue Jays at Baltimore Orioles
Runs will be at a premium in Mondays' season opener between Baltimore Orioles and division rival Toronto Blue Jays at Camden Yards.
Kevin Gausman toes the rubber for Orioles. The right-hander went 9-12 in 2016 with a 14-16 Team Start Record including 8-4 at home. Orioles w/Gausman had a habit of keeping the score low in home starts last year posting 3 'Over', 9 'Under' and the hurler heads to the hill 1-7 O/U last eight in front of the home audience, 2-6-1 O/U opening a home series. Orioles were 0-3 vs Jays w/Gausman in 2016 playing 'Under' twice.
Gausman matches pitches with Marco Estrada who went 10-10 in 2016 with Jays winning 16 of his 31 starts including 9-7 in an opposing park. The 'Under' has also been the correct betting option when Jays handed the ball to Estrada, as they went 12-19 O/U in his starts including 3-7 O/U opening a road series. Jays were 3-1 vs Orioles w/Estrada in 2016 (1-3 O/U) and currently own a 6-1 stretch vs Baltimore with the hurler (3-4 O/U).
Given the hurler's strong tendancy towards 'Under' and the fact the series has played below posted totals in seven straight, the numbers point to 'Under' being the correct choice. Another factor to take into account. Orioles kept 'Under' gamblers happy last April going 2-7-2 O/U in front of the home audience. Even more eye-popping, the Blue Jays were 1-11-1 O/U in an opposing park during the first month of play last year.
According to current betting odds at BetOnline.ag, the run total for this contest has opened at 8.5.