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MLB Betting News and Notes Saturday 4/21

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Saturday's Best MLB Bets
By Covers.com

St. Louis Cardinals at Pittsburgh Pirates (116, 8)

Albert Pujols is gone, but that doesn't mean the Cardinals aren't still the defending champions. They are, and they're playing like it.

St. Louis is 10-4 and kicked off a three-game set at Pittsburgh with a 4-1 victory on Friday night. The team is 6-2 on the road so far in 2012.

Chris Carpenter is on the disabled list, but Jake Westbrook is picking up the slack. The 6'3'' righty has made two starts for the year and will toe the rubber again for this one. He is 2-0 and boasts a 0.64 ERA, having allowed only one earned run in 14 innings.

New manager Mike Matheny made sure to have Westbrook hear his voice during spring training. “I wanted to reinforce to him his style of pitching, which is the exact same philosophy this organization has, which is pound the bottom of the zone, make guys put it in play,” Matheny explained. “I believe we have the kind of defense that can make a lot of plays for him.”

Pick: Cardinals

Minnesota Twins at Tampa Bay Rays (-181, 7.5)

The Twins were expected to be one of the worst teams in baseball and they have not disappointed in that regard. Even after edging Tampa Bay 5-4 on Friday night, Minnesota is 5-9 overall and 3-5 on the road.

Adding insult to injury, the Twins have to go up against James Shields on Saturday. In three starts this season, Shields is 2-0 with a 3.38 ERA and 13 strikeouts in 21 1/3 innings. The righty has gone at least eight innings in each of his last two outings and he allowed no runs on four hits in a 1-0 win at Boston on Monday.

Minnesota is countering with Carl Pavano, who has been solid at times but mostly unspectacular so far in 2012. Through three starts the veteran right-hander is 1-1 with a 5.23 ERA.

The Rays are 3-1 at home this season and they are 10-2 in their last 12 home games against right-handed starters dating back to last season. The are 8-0 in Shields' last eight starts at Tropicana Field.

Pick: Rays

 
Posted : April 20, 2012 11:28 pm
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MLB: Streaks, Tips, Notes
Sportspic.com

Cincinnati Reds vs. Chicago Cubs

When Cincinnati Reds and Chicago Cubs meet at Wrigley Field Saturday afternoon you'll have plenty of reason to back Reds as they pit Mike Leake against Paul Maholm. Cubbies are not only on an 0-6 skid outscored 41-14 but Cubbies are 1-6 vs Cincinnati when Reds send Mike Leake to the bump. If that were not enough, newly acquired Paul Maholm lasting just four innings in each of his losses with Cubs has now tasted defeat six straight times dating back to last season and has posted nine consecutive team start losses. The kicker, Maholm has a 1-7 April team start skid on the go.

Texas Rangers at Detroit Tigers

Rangers and Tigers go at it in a double header Saturday as Friday's game was postponed due to rain. Texas has won seven straight games and is off to a major league-best 11-2 (+$732) including 6-0 (+$607) on the road after spanking Tigers 10-3 in the opener of this four-game set. Rick Porcello (1-0, 1.84 ERA) of Detroit will face Matt Harrison (2-0, 0.64 ERA) of Texas in the day game. Harrison is on a 6-0 stretch in regular-season starts since last season but owns a dismal 1-4 record with a 6.89 ERA in five career starts and two relief appearances against the Tigers. Rick Porcello is 1-1 lifetime vs Texas with a 6.30 ERA. In the night cap Detroit's ace Justin Verlander (1-1, 2.13 ERA) takes the mound against Neftali Feliz (1-0, 2.25 ERA). Verlander is showing no signs of slowing down as he has gone into the eighth inning in all three starts in 2012 and the reigning MVP and Cy Young winner is 6-2 in nine starts against the Rangers with a 2.31 ERA. Tigers are on a 13-3 streak at home with Verlander touching toe to rubber. Feliz has a career 4.70 ERA against the Tigers but has not allowed a run in three innings at Comerica Park.

 
Posted : April 21, 2012 7:59 am
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Hot pitchers
-- Washington won all three Strasburg starts (2-0, 1.42).
-- Vogelsong is 3-0, 3.04 in his last four starts.
-- Correia is 1-0, 1.50 in two starts this season. Westbrook is 2-0, 1.93 in his two outings.
-- Estrada is 2-1, 1.59 in his last three starts (back in August '11).
-- Kershaw is 0-0, 2.94 in three starts this month; LA won all three tilts.
-- Saunders allowed one run in 14 IP in two starts this season. Leake is 0-1, 5.84 in two starts this season.
-- Halladay is 3-0, 1.17 in his three starts this month. Luebke is 1-0, 1.46 in his last two starts.

-- Verlander is 1-1, 2.13 in three starts this season. Harrison allowed one run in 14 IP in winning his two starts this year. Porcello is 1-0, 1.84 in two starts this season. Feliz is 1-0, 2.25 in his two starts.
-- Beavan has a 2.70 RA in two starts this season.
-- Shields is 2-0, 1.10 in his last couple starts.
-- Gomez is 5-1, 4.17 in his last seven starts; he was ejected from his first '12 start for hitting a batter on purpose.
-- Weaver is 2-0, 2.18 in three starts this season. Arrieta is 1-0, 3.54 in his three starts this season.

Cold pitchers
-- Maholm is 0-2, 13.40 in his first two starts this season.
-- ASanchez is 1-2, 4.13 in his last five starts.
-- Pelfrey is 0-3, 5.20 in his last eight starts.
-- Guthrie is 1-1, 7.79 in three starts this season.
-- Wieland is 0-2, 8.44 in two starts for Houston this year.
-- Hanson was 1-2, 4.24 in his first three starts.

-- Danks is 1-2, 4.82 in three starts this season.
-- Garcia allowed nine runs in 10.1 IP in two starts this year. Doubrant allowed six runs in ten IP in two starts this season.
-- 21-year old Hutchinson is making his MLB debut for the Blue Jays. Mendoza allowed ten runs in 9.2 IP in two starts this season.
-- Pavano has a 5.23 RA in three starts this season.
-- McCarthy is 0-2, 3.60 in four starts this season.

Hot teams
-- St Louis won five of its last six games.
-- Nationals won nine of their last 11 games. Miami won four of its last five games, allowing 12 runs.
-- Giants won six of their last eight games.
-- Dodgers won 11 of their first 14 games.
-- Colorado won five of its last seven games.
-- Braves won their last four games, scoring 42 runs.
-- Phillies have now won 13 games in a row at Petco Park.

-- Bronx won eight of its last eleven games.
-- Rangers won 11 of first 13 games; they're 6-0 on road. Detroit won four of its last five games.
-- Rays won three of their first four home games.
-- Blue Jays won three of their four road games.
-- Orioles are 5-3 in their first eight road games.
-- Oakland won three of its last four games. Indians won five of six.

Cold teams
-- Cubs lost their last six games, scoring 14 runs. Cincinnati is 3-5 in its last eight games.
-- Pirates lost seven of their last ten games.
-- Mets lost four of last five games, allowing 27 runs in last three.
-- Astros lost five of their last six games.
-- Milwaukee lost six of its last eight games.
-- Arizona lost its last four games, scoring eight runs.
-- San Diego lost eight of its last nine games.

-- Red Sox lost their last four games, outscored 31-8.
-- Twins lost five of their first seven road games.
-- Royals lost their first seven home games.
-- Angels lost three of their last four games.
-- White Sox lost four of their last six games. Seattle is 4-7 in its last 11 games.

Totals
-- Over is 6-1-1 in Cubs' last eight games.
-- Under is 8-1-1 in last ten Pittsburgh games.
-- Four of last six Miami road games went over the total.
-- Under is 5-1-1 in games at Citi Field this season.
-- Four of last six Houston home games went over the total.
-- Four of last five Colorado games stayed under the total.
-- Six of eight Arizona home games went over the total.
-- Six of eight Philly road games stayed under the total.

-- Five of seven games at Fenway Park went over the total.
-- Six of last seven Detroit games stayed under the total.
-- Minnesota's last five road games went over the total.
-- Eight of last nine Toronto games went over the total.
-- Over is 6-1-1 in last eight Baltimore games.
-- Four of last five Oakland games stayed under the total.
-- Four of White Sox' six road games stayed under total.

Umpires
-- Cin-Chi-- Over is 17-11 in Barry's last 28 games behind dish.
-- Mia-Wsh-- Both Gibson games went over total this month; under was 22-9 in Gibson games LY.
-- SF-NY-- Home side won all three Eddings games this season.
-- LA-Hst-- Home side won 19 of last 28 Reyburn games.
-- StL-Pitt-- All three Reynolds games this month went over total.
-- Colo-Mil-- Home side won all three Randazzo games this year.
-- Atl-Az-- Since start of 2011, over is 23-12 in West games.
-- Phil-SD-- In Layne's two games this season, there have been four walks, 31 strikeouts and 14 runs.

-- Tex-Det-- No idea who the umpires are for this game.
-- Chi-Sea-- Under is 22-15 in Runge games since start of LY.
-- NY-Bos-- Home team won all three BWelke games this season.
-- Tor-KC-- Over is 19-15 in Foster's last 34 games behind dish.
-- Min-TB-- All three Bell games this season stayed under total.
-- Clev-A's-- Under was 19-10 when Porter did the plate in 2011.
-- Balt-LAA-- Favorites won all three Miller games this season.

Armadillosports.com

 
Posted : April 21, 2012 8:00 am
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Posts: 318493
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CINCINNATI (6 - 8) at CHICAGO CUBS (3 - 11) - 1:05 PM

MIKE LEAKE (R) vs. PAUL MAHOLM (L)

Top Trends for this game.
CINCINNATI is 35-51 (-23.2 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 84-90 (-18.1 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
MAHOLM is 48-44 (+17.1 Units) against the money line against division opponents since 1997. (Team's Record)
CINCINNATI is 306-280 (+49.8 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1997.
CINCINNATI is 569-656 (+46.1 Units) against the money line in road games since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 69-84 (-32.1 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
CHICAGO CUBS are 1190-1277 (-241.8 Units) against the money line in all games since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 77-94 (-31.8 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 3 seasons.
CHICAGO CUBS are 71-98 (-34.6 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
CHICAGO CUBS are 648-656 (-126.0 Units) against the money line in day games since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 77-94 (-31.8 Units) against the money line in home games in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.
CHICAGO CUBS are 51-67 (-23.8 Units) against the money line in home games against right-handed starters over the last 3 seasons.
MAHOLM is 7-21 (-14.0 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
MAHOLM is 7-20 (-13.0 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
CINCINNATI is 1-0 (+1.0 Units) against CHICAGO CUBS this season
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.2 Units)

MIKE LEAKE vs. CHICAGO CUBS since 1997
LEAKE is 4-1 when starting against CHICAGO CUBS with an ERA of 2.66 and a WHIP of 1.105.
His team's record is 6-1 (+5.3 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-4. (-2.2 units)

PAUL MAHOLM vs. CINCINNATI since 1997
MAHOLM is 6-4 when starting against CINCINNATI with an ERA of 3.81 and a WHIP of 1.346.
His team's record is 11-8 (+5.4 units) in these starts. The OVER is 9-9. (-0.8 units)

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MIAMI (7 - 7) at WASHINGTON (11 - 4) - 1:05 PM

ANIBAL SANCHEZ (R) vs. STEPHEN STRASBURG (R)

Top Trends for this game.
MIAMI is 54-73 (-17.3 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 91-86 (+15.9 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 36-27 (+18.0 Units) against the money line in April games over the last 3 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 39-37 (+13.4 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 91-86 (+15.9 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 48-42 (+10.6 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON is 1-0 (+1.0 Units) against MIAMI this season
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.0 Units)

ANIBAL SANCHEZ vs. WASHINGTON since 1997
SANCHEZ is 7-0 when starting against WASHINGTON with an ERA of 2.06 and a WHIP of 1.204.
His team's record is 12-5 (+6.3 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 8-8. (-1.2 units)

STEPHEN STRASBURG vs. MIAMI since 1997
STRASBURG is 2-1 when starting against MIAMI with an ERA of 2.82 and a WHIP of 0.985.
His team's record is 2-2 (-1.9 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-3. (-2.3 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

SAN FRANCISCO (7 - 6) at NY METS (7 - 6) - 1:10 PM

RYAN VOGELSONG (R) vs. MIKE PELFREY (R)

Top Trends for this game.
PELFREY is 21-13 (+11.0 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
SAN FRANCISCO is 457-451 (+44.3 Units) against the money line in road games against right-handed starters since 1997.
NY METS are 38-50 (-17.5 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
NY METS are 38-50 (-17.5 Units) against the money line in home games in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
NY METS are 17-31 (-17.6 Units) against the money line in home games after a loss over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN FRANCISCO is 1-0 (+1.3 Units) against NY METS this season
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.0 Units)

RYAN VOGELSONG vs. NY METS since 1997
VOGELSONG is 1-0 when starting against NY METS with an ERA of 3.50 and a WHIP of 1.444.
His team's record is 2-1 (+0.8 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-2. (-1.1 units)

MIKE PELFREY vs. SAN FRANCISCO since 1997
PELFREY is 2-2 when starting against SAN FRANCISCO with an ERA of 2.18 and a WHIP of 0.992.
His team's record is 4-2 (+2.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-4. (-3.0 units)

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LA DODGERS (11 - 3) at HOUSTON (5 - 9) - 7:05 PM

CLAYTON KERSHAW (L) vs. KYLE WEILAND (R)

Top Trends for this game.
HOUSTON is 50-47 (+16.0 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters over the last 3 seasons.
LA DODGERS are 59-38 (+18.6 Units) against the money line when the total is 7 or less over the last 2 seasons.
KERSHAW is 26-10 (+13.9 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
KERSHAW is 23-7 (+14.3 Units) against the money line when the total is 7 or less over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
KERSHAW is 26-10 (+13.9 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
HOUSTON is 62-116 (-36.2 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 188-213 (-53.7 Units) against the money line when playing on Saturday since 1997.
HOUSTON is 60-115 (-38.1 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 25-59 (-23.5 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA DODGERS is 1-0 (+1.0 Units) against HOUSTON this season
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.0 Units)

CLAYTON KERSHAW vs. HOUSTON since 1997
KERSHAW is 2-1 when starting against HOUSTON with an ERA of 3.19 and a WHIP of 1.097.
His team's record is 3-2 (+0.4 units) in these starts. The OVER is 4-1. (+2.9 units)

KYLE WEILAND vs. LA DODGERS since 1997
No recent starts.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

ST LOUIS (10 - 4) at PITTSBURGH (5 - 8) - 7:05 PM

JAKE WESTBROOK (R) vs. KEVIN CORREIA (R)

Top Trends for this game.
ST LOUIS is 101-93 (-35.1 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 111-81 (+35.2 Units) against the money line in home games when playing on Saturday since 1997.
PITTSBURGH is 437-419 (+50.3 Units) against the money line in home games in night games since 1997.
PITTSBURGH is 297-318 (+38.5 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.
CORREIA is 72-60 (+26.5 Units) against the money line in all games since 1997. (Team's Record)
CORREIA is 31-18 (+18.5 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 since 1997. (Team's Record)
CORREIA is 70-60 (+23.5 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field since 1997. (Team's Record)
CORREIA is 49-39 (+21.8 Units) against the money line in night games since 1997. (Team's Record)
CORREIA is 43-29 (+25.0 Units) against the money line after a loss since 1997. (Team's Record)
ST LOUIS is 57-42 (+17.6 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 16-7 (+9.9 Units) against the money line in road games in April games over the last 2 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 56-40 (+18.4 Units) against the money line in road games in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 83-50 (+25.6 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 87-60 (+13.5 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
ST LOUIS is 1-0 (+1.0 Units) against PITTSBURGH this season
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.0 Units)

JAKE WESTBROOK vs. PITTSBURGH since 1997
WESTBROOK is 0-3 when starting against PITTSBURGH with an ERA of 7.06 and a WHIP of 1.707.
His team's record is 1-3 (-3.4 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 3-1. (+1.8 units)

KEVIN CORREIA vs. ST LOUIS since 1997
CORREIA is 2-3 when starting against ST LOUIS with an ERA of 3.65 and a WHIP of 1.540.
His team's record is 3-3 (+1.3 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-4. (-2.3 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

COLORADO (7 - 6) at MILWAUKEE (6 - 8) - 7:10 PM

DREW POMERANZ (L) vs. MARCO ESTRADA (R)

There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
COLORADO is 1-0 (+1.3 Units) against MILWAUKEE this season
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.0 Units)

DREW POMERANZ vs. MILWAUKEE since 1997
No recent starts.

MARCO ESTRADA vs. COLORADO since 1997
No recent starts.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

ATLANTA (9 - 5) at ARIZONA (7 - 7) - 8:10 PM

TOMMY HANSON (R) vs. JOE SAUNDERS (L)

Top Trends for this game.
ATLANTA is 27-39 (-18.1 Units) against the money line on the road with a money line of -100 to -125 over the last 3 seasons.
ATLANTA is 21-35 (-18.8 Units) against the money line in road games against left-handed starters over the last 3 seasons.
ARIZONA is 104-79 (+24.8 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 58-35 (+14.8 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 104-79 (+24.8 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 77-55 (+21.6 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 76-53 (+25.2 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
SAUNDERS is 98-70 (+22.5 Units) against the money line in all games since 1997. (Team's Record)
SAUNDERS is 14-4 (+11.1 Units) against the money line as a home underdog of +100 to +125 since 1997. (Team's Record)
SAUNDERS is 94-67 (+21.1 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field since 1997. (Team's Record)
SAUNDERS is 75-53 (+17.9 Units) against the money line in night games since 1997. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
ATLANTA is 2-0 (+2.0 Units) against ARIZONA this season
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+2.0 Units)

TOMMY HANSON vs. ARIZONA since 1997
HANSON is 1-1 when starting against ARIZONA with an ERA of 4.42 and a WHIP of 1.037.
His team's record is 2-1 (+0.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 3-0. (+3.0 units)

JOE SAUNDERS vs. ATLANTA since 1997
SAUNDERS is 1-0 when starting against ATLANTA with an ERA of 0.68 and a WHIP of 1.125.
His team's record is 2-0 (+2.1 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-2. (-2.2 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

PHILADELPHIA (7 - 7) at SAN DIEGO (3 - 12) - 8:35 PM

ROY HALLADAY (R) vs. CORY LUEBKE (L)

Top Trends for this game.
HALLADAY is 22-4 (+16.0 Units) against the money line when the total is 7 or less over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
SAN DIEGO is 3-12 (-9.2 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
SAN DIEGO is 49-75 (-25.4 Units) against the money line when the total is 7 or less over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 37-53 (-19.4 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 37-51 (-17.4 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 7 or less over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 3-12 (-9.2 Units) against the money line in April games this season.
SAN DIEGO is 3-12 (-9.2 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
SAN DIEGO is 1-10 (-9.2 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
SAN DIEGO is 25-38 (-15.8 Units) against the money line in home games against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHILADELPHIA is 2-0 (+2.0 Units) against SAN DIEGO this season
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+2.0 Units)

ROY HALLADAY vs. SAN DIEGO since 1997
HALLADAY is 3-0 when starting against SAN DIEGO with an ERA of 1.90 and a WHIP of 1.098.
His team's record is 3-0 (+3.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-2. (-1.1 units)

CORY LUEBKE vs. PHILADELPHIA since 1997
LUEBKE is 0-1 when starting against PHILADELPHIA with an ERA of 3.60 and a WHIP of 1.400.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)

 
Posted : April 21, 2012 8:01 am
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Posts: 318493
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TEXAS (11 - 2) at DETROIT (9 - 4) - 1:05 PM

MATT HARRISON (L) vs. RICK PORCELLO (R)

There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
TEXAS is 1-0 (+1.0 Units) against DETROIT this season
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.0 Units)

MATT HARRISON vs. DETROIT since 1997
HARRISON is 0-4 when starting against DETROIT with an ERA of 6.82 and a WHIP of 2.021.
His team's record is 1-5 (-4.6 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 3-2. (+0.8 units)

RICK PORCELLO vs. TEXAS since 1997
PORCELLO is 1-1 when starting against TEXAS with an ERA of 4.86 and a WHIP of 1.620.
His team's record is 1-2 (-0.9 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-2. (-1.3 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CHI WHITE SOX (7 - 6) at SEATTLE (7 - 8) - 4:05 PM

PHILIP HUMBER (R) vs. BLAKE BEAVAN (R)

Top Trends for this game.
CHI WHITE SOX are 48-41 (+12.3 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons.
CHI WHITE SOX are 225-174 (+45.3 Units) against the money line when playing on Saturday since 1997.
CHI WHITE SOX are 46-35 (+16.0 Units) against the money line in road games in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
CHI WHITE SOX are 73-60 (+21.3 Units) against the money line in road games against right-handed starters over the last 3 seasons.
SEATTLE is 136-204 (-60.0 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 3 seasons.
SEATTLE is 17-37 (-21.0 Units) against the money line when playing on Saturday over the last 3 seasons.
SEATTLE is 35-65 (-31.1 Units) against the money line in day games over the last 3 seasons.
SEATTLE is 133-192 (-52.8 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.
SEATTLE is 74-128 (-47.5 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHI WHITE SOX is 1-0 (+1.0 Units) against SEATTLE this season
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.0 Units)

PHILIP HUMBER vs. SEATTLE since 1997
HUMBER is 1-0 when starting against SEATTLE with an ERA of 1.84 and a WHIP of 0.954.
His team's record is 1-1 (+0.2 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-2. (-2.2 units)

BLAKE BEAVAN vs. CHI WHITE SOX since 1997
No recent starts.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

NY YANKEES (8 - 6) at BOSTON (4 - 9) - 4:05 PM

FREDDY GARCIA (R) vs. FELIX DOUBRONT (L)

Top Trends for this game.
BOSTON is 63-25 (+29.9 Units) against the money line in home games after 3 or more consecutive losses since 1997.
NY YANKEES are 46-16 (+24.7 Units) against the money line in day games over the last 2 seasons.
GARCIA is 23-12 (+14.0 Units) against the money line as a road underdog of +100 to +125 since 1997. (Team's Record)
GARCIA is 103-64 (+31.0 Units) against the money line in road games since 1997. (Team's Record)
GARCIA is 43-22 (+20.9 Units) against the money line in road games in day games since 1997. (Team's Record)
GARCIA is 87-52 (+28.2 Units) against the money line in road games in games played on a grass field since 1997. (Team's Record)
BOSTON is 96-81 (-17.5 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 15-24 (-17.0 Units) against the money line in April games over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 62-57 (-21.8 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 41-43 (-18.5 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
NY YANKEES is 1-0 (+1.0 Units) against BOSTON this season
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.0 Units)

FREDDY GARCIA vs. BOSTON since 1997
GARCIA is 10-4 when starting against BOSTON with an ERA of 4.45 and a WHIP of 1.354.
His team's record is 10-11 (-0.4 units) in these starts. The OVER is 10-10. (-0.6 units)

FELIX DOUBRONT vs. NY YANKEES since 1997
No recent starts.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

TORONTO (7 - 6) at KANSAS CITY (3 - 10) - 7:10 PM

DREW HUTCHISON (R) vs. LUIS MENDOZA (R)

Top Trends for this game.
TORONTO is 67-74 (-33.4 Units) against the money line as a road favorite of -125 to -150 since 1997.
KANSAS CITY is 0-7 (-7.6 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
KANSAS CITY is 229-341 (-100.3 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 9 to 9.5 since 1997.
KANSAS CITY is 0-7 (-7.6 Units) against the money line in home games in April games this season.
KANSAS CITY is 75-119 (-44.2 Units) against the money line in home games when playing on Saturday since 1997.
KANSAS CITY is 0-7 (-7.6 Units) against the money line in home games in games played on a grass field this season.
KANSAS CITY is 0-7 (-7.6 Units) against the money line in home games after a loss this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
TORONTO is 1-0 (+1.0 Units) against KANSAS CITY this season
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.0 Units)

DREW HUTCHISON vs. KANSAS CITY since 1997
No recent starts.

LUIS MENDOZA vs. TORONTO since 1997
MENDOZA is 1-1 when starting against TORONTO with an ERA of 3.75 and a WHIP of 1.500.
His team's record is 1-1 (+0.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-1. (-1.0 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MINNESOTA (5 - 9) at TAMPA BAY (7 - 7) - 7:10 PM

CARL PAVANO (R) vs. JAMES SHIELDS (R)

Top Trends for this game.
MINNESOTA is 68-109 (-26.9 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 1-14 (-13.2 Units) against the money line in road games when playing on Saturday over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 46-81 (-25.6 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 47-27 (+14.7 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
SHIELDS is 12-2 (+10.6 Units) against the money line in April games over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
PAVANO is 151-130 (+26.5 Units) against the money line in all games since 1997. (Team's Record)
PAVANO is 104-89 (+24.0 Units) against the money line in night games since 1997. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
MINNESOTA is 1-0 (+1.7 Units) against TAMPA BAY this season
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.0 Units)

CARL PAVANO vs. TAMPA BAY since 1997
PAVANO is 5-4 when starting against TAMPA BAY with an ERA of 3.47 and a WHIP of 1.241.
His team's record is 7-6 (-1.4 units) in these starts. The OVER is 5-8. (-3.9 units)

JAMES SHIELDS vs. MINNESOTA since 1997
SHIELDS is 3-2 when starting against MINNESOTA with an ERA of 4.69 and a WHIP of 1.581.
His team's record is 4-5 (-2.2 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 4-5. (-1.9 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CLEVELAND (7 - 5) at OAKLAND (7 - 8) - 9:05 PM

JEANMAR GOMEZ (R) vs. BRANDON MCCARTHY (R)

Top Trends for this game.
CLEVELAND is 25-13 (+14.7 Units) against the money line in April games over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 67-55 (+16.1 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 65-57 (+11.6 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
GOMEZ is 15-8 (+10.3 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
OAKLAND is 95-126 (-32.1 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CLEVELAND is 1-0 (+1.0 Units) against OAKLAND this season
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.0 Units)

JEANMAR GOMEZ vs. OAKLAND since 1997
GOMEZ is 1-0 when starting against OAKLAND with an ERA of 0.79 and a WHIP of 1.324.
His team's record is 2-0 (+2.7 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-2. (-2.2 units)

BRANDON MCCARTHY vs. CLEVELAND since 1997
MCCARTHY is 5-2 when starting against CLEVELAND with an ERA of 3.33 and a WHIP of 1.196.
His team's record is 5-3 (+4.1 units) in these starts. The OVER is 3-5. (-2.0 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

BALTIMORE (8 - 6) at LA ANGELS (5 - 9) - 9:05 PM

JAKE ARRIETA (R) vs. JERED WEAVER (R)

Top Trends for this game.
LA ANGELS are 604-596 (+45.5 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.
WEAVER is 62-26 (+19.6 Units) against the money line in home games since 1997. (Team's Record)
WEAVER is 62-26 (+19.6 Units) against the money line in home games in games played on a grass field since 1997. (Team's Record)
LA ANGELS are 113-125 (-31.0 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 3 seasons.
LA ANGELS are 41-48 (-16.6 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA ANGELS is 1-0 (+1.0 Units) against BALTIMORE this season
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.0 Units)

JAKE ARRIETA vs. LA ANGELS since 1997
ARRIETA is 0-0 when starting against LA ANGELS with an ERA of 2.35 and a WHIP of 0.782.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.7 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-0. (+0.0 units)

JERED WEAVER vs. BALTIMORE since 1997
WEAVER is 3-3 when starting against BALTIMORE with an ERA of 3.52 and a WHIP of 1.174.
His team's record is 3-3 (-1.8 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 3-3. (-0.4 units)

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TEXAS (11 - 2) at DETROIT (9 - 4) - 7:05 PM

NEFTALI FELIZ (R) vs. JUSTIN VERLANDER (R)

There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
TEXAS is 1-0 (+1.0 Units) against DETROIT this season
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.0 Units)

NEFTALI FELIZ vs. DETROIT since 1997
No recent starts.

JUSTIN VERLANDER vs. TEXAS since 1997
VERLANDER is 7-3 when starting against TEXAS with an ERA of 2.84 and a WHIP of 1.148.
His team's record is 8-3 (+4.6 units) in these starts. The OVER is 4-6. (-2.3 units)

 
Posted : April 21, 2012 8:02 am
(@blade)
Posts: 318493
Illustrious Member
Topic starter
 

MIAMI vs. WASHINGTON
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Miami's last 5 games when playing on the road against Washington
Miami is 13-3 SU in its last 16 games when playing on the road against Washington
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Washington's last 15 games at home
Washington is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games at home

TEXAS vs. DETROIT
Texas is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Texas is 6-18 SU in its last 24 games when playing on the road against Detroit
Detroit is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Detroit is 18-6 SU in its last 24 games when playing at home against Texas

CINCINNATI vs. CHI CUBS
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Cincinnati's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Cincinnati's last 6 games when playing Chi Cubs
Chi Cubs are 1-4 SU in their last 5 games when playing Cincinnati
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Chi Cubs's last 6 games when playing Cincinnati

SAN FRANCISCO vs. NY METS
San Francisco is 9-3 SU in its last 12 games when playing NY Mets
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of San Francisco's last 6 games when playing NY Mets
NY Mets are 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against San Francisco
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of NY Mets's last 6 games when playing San Francisco

CHI WHITE SOX vs. SEATTLE
Chi White Sox are 8-1 SU in their last 9 games when playing Seattle
The total has gone UNDER in 12 of Chi White Sox's last 17 games
Seattle is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Seattle's last 10 games

NY YANKEES vs. BOSTON
NY Yankees are 7-14 SU in their last 21 games when playing Boston
NY Yankees are 4-1 SU in their last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Boston's last 5 games when playing at home against NY Yankees
The total has gone OVER in 15 of Boston's last 22 games when playing at home against NY Yankees

TEXAS vs. DETROIT
Texas6-2-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing Detroit
Texas is 6-18-1 SU in its last 25 games ,when playing on the road against Detroit
Detroit is 2-3-1 SU in its last 6 games ,when playing at home against Texas
Detroit4-1-1 SU in its last 6 games

ST. LOUIS vs. PITTSBURGH
St. Louis is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
St. Louis is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Pittsburgh's last 6 games when playing at home against St. Louis
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Pittsburgh's last 8 games at home

LA DODGERS vs. HOUSTON
LA Dodgers are 13-6 SU in their last 19 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of LA Dodgers's last 6 games when playing on the road against Houston
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Houston's last 6 games when playing at home against LA Dodgers
Houston is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games at home

TORONTO vs. KANSAS CITY
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Toronto's last 7 games
Toronto is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Kansas City's last 14 games at home
Kansas City is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games at home

COLORADO vs. MILWAUKEE
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Colorado's last 6 games when playing Milwaukee
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Colorado's last 5 games
Milwaukee is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Milwaukee's last 6 games when playing Colorado

MINNESOTA vs. TAMPA BAY
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Minnesota's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Minnesota's last 5 games when playing on the road against Tampa Bay
Tampa Bay is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games
Tampa Bay is 12-4 SU in its last 16 games at home

ATLANTA vs. ARIZONA
The total has gone OVER in 11 of Atlanta's last 16 games when playing Arizona
Atlanta is 8-15 SU in its last 23 games on the road
Arizona is 17-8 SU in its last 25 games at home
Arizona is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games at home

PHILADELPHIA vs. SAN DIEGO
Philadelphia is 12-1 SU in its last 13 games when playing San Diego
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 5 games
San Diego is 1-8 SU in its last 9 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of San Diego's last 5 games

CLEVELAND vs. OAKLAND
Cleveland is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Cleveland's last 5 games when playing Oakland
Oakland is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing Cleveland
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Oakland's last 5 games when playing Cleveland

BALTIMORE vs. LA ANGELS
The total has gone OVER in 13 of Baltimore's last 17 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Baltimore's last 7 games when playing on the road against LA Angels
LA Angels are 4-1 SU in their last 5 games when playing at home against Baltimore
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of LA Angels's last 5 game

 
Posted : April 21, 2012 8:03 am
(@blade)
Posts: 318493
Illustrious Member
Topic starter
 

National League

Cincinnati at Chicago Cubs
Leake: 6-1 TSR, 2.66 ERA vs. Cubs
Maholm: 2-16 TSR as an underdog

Miami at Washington
Sanchez: 12-2 Under in road day games
Strasburg: WASH 5-14 at home vs. Miami

San Francisco at NY Mets
Vogelsong: 21-8 Under in all starts
Pelfrey: 21-13 TSR off team loss

Los Angeles at Houston
Kershaw: 22-7 TSR as favorite
Weiland: HOU 15-50 as underdog of +150 or more

St. Louis at Pittsburgh
Westbrook: 1-3 TSR, 7.06 ERA vs. Pittsburgh
Correia: 14-8 TSR as underdog

Colorado at Milwaukee
Pomeranz: N/A
Narveson: N/A

Atlanta at Arizona,
Hanson: ATL 29-43 after allowing 1 run or less
Saunders: 14-4 TSR as a home underdog of +100 to +125

Philadelphia at San Diego
Halladay: PHI 9-0 at San Diego
Luebke: SD 2-16 after scoring 1 run or less BB games

American League

Texas at Detroit Game 1
Harrison: 10-2 TSR in day games
Porcello: 16-3 TSR when the money line is -100 to -150

Chicago White Sox at Seattle
Humber: CHW 17-3 vs. Seattle
Beavan: SEA 18-40 off BB losses

NY Yankees at Boston
Garcia: 11-2 Under in road games
Doubront: BOS 63-25 at home off 3+ losses

Toronto at Kansas City
Hutchison: TOR 38-25 Under when the total is 9 to 9.5
Mendoza: KC 0-7 at home

Minnesota at Tampa Bay
Pavano: 13-7 TSR Away when the total is 7.5 or less
Shields: 13-4 Under off team loss

Cleveland at Oakland
Gomez: 8-0 TSR when the total is 7 to 8.5
McCarthy: 13-3 Over at home 1st half of season

Baltimore at LA Angels
Arrieta: 14-3 Over in night games
Weaver: 22-5 Under as home favorite

 
Posted : April 21, 2012 10:11 am
(@blade)
Posts: 318493
Illustrious Member
Topic starter
 

Diamond Trends - Saturday
By Vince Akins
VegasInsider.com

SU TREND OF THE DAY:

The Tigers are 10-0 since August 16, 2011 after a loss in which their opponent left 18+ men on base for a net profit of $1135.

OU TREND OF THE DAY:

The Padres are 11-0 OU since June 15, 2011 as a dog when they are off a loss in which they held the lead and it is not the first game of a series for a net profit of $1100 when playing the over.

STARTER TREND OF THE DAY:

The Marlins are 0-8 since June 05, 2011 when Anibal Sanchez starts after more strike outs than hits allowed for a net profit of $907 when playing against.

MLB BIBLE TREND OF THE DAY:

The Orioles are 11-0 (2.5 rpg) sinced August 2008 after a game where they were not -150+ favorites and had at least three errors and benefited from less than two.

TODAY’S TRENDS:

The Dodgers are 13-0 since April 21, 2011 when Clayton Kershaw starts as a 140+ favorite for a net profit of $1300.
The Mets are 0-9 since June 17, 2011 as a home favorite after a loss in which they left 18+ men on base for a net profit of $1061 when playing against.

 
Posted : April 21, 2012 10:12 am
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