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MLB Betting News and Notes Saturday 5/5

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Saturday's Streaking and Slumping Starting Pitchers
By Covers.com

STREAKING

Jason Hammel, Baltimore Orioles 3-1, 1.97 ERA

The 29-year-old right-hander has a WHIP of 1.03 and is holding batters to a .200 average. He has gone at least six innings in four of his five starts. Dating back to last season, Hammel has allowed two or fewer earned runs in six straight starts. When he faces the Red Sox at Fenway on Saturday, he needs to be especially careful with David Ortiz, who is 6-for-10 lifetime against Hammel.

Madison Bumgarner, San Francisco Giants 4-1, 2.53 ERA

Bumgarner, who didn’t get his first win last year until May 19, goes for his fifth Saturday at home against the Brewers. The young, hard-throwing lefty has gone at least six innings in four straight starts, allowing a total of five earned runs in that span. Ryan Braun is 4-for-10 against Bumgarner in his career, with two doubles and a homer.

SLUMPING

Max Scherzer, Detroit Tigers 1-3, 7.77 ERA

After walking seven Yankees in 4 2/3 innings last time out, Scherzer and pitching coach Jeff Jones said they had detected a flaw in his mechanic and would fix it in bullpen sessions. We’ll believe it when we see it. The league is hitting .356 against the 27-year-old right-hander, and his WHIP is a hard-to-believe 2.05. Scherzer gets the White Sox on Saturday.

Clayton Richard, San Diego Padres 1-3, 5.12 ERA

The 28-year-old lefty has served up five homers in five starts, and has nearly as many walks (13) as strikeouts (17). He’s given up at least four earned runs in three of his last four starts. Current Marlins are 5-for-13 against him with a .615 slugging percentage. On the plus side, he’s been far better at home than on the road.

 
Posted : May 4, 2012 10:22 pm
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PHILADELPHIA vs. WASHINGTON
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Philadelphia's last 9 games on the road
Philadelphia is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Washington is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Philadelphia
The total has gone UNDER in 14 of Washington's last 20 games at home

LA DODGERS vs. CHI CUBS
The total has gone OVER in 4 of LA Dodgers's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of LA Dodgers's last 6 games when playing on the road against Chi Cubs
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Chi Cubs's last 10 games
Chi Cubs are 4-2 SU in their last 6 games when playing LA Dodgers

BALTIMORE vs. BOSTON
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Baltimore's last 11 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Baltimore's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Boston's last 5 games when playing at home against Baltimore
Boston is 1-8 SU in its last 9 games at home

MILWAUKEE vs. SAN FRANCISCO
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Milwaukee's last 7 games when playing on the road against San Francisco
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Milwaukee's last 10 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of San Francisco's last 6 games when playing Milwaukee
San Francisco is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games at home

CHI WHITE SOX vs. DETROIT
Chi White Sox are 2-8 SU in their last 10 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Chi White Sox's last 6 games when playing Detroit
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Detroit's last 6 games when playing Chi White Sox
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Detroit's last 5 games when playing at home against Chi White Sox

ARIZONA vs. NY METS
Arizona is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against NY Mets
The total has gone UNDER in 14 of Arizona's last 21 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of NY Mets's last 6 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 7 of NY Mets's last 8 games when playing at home against Arizona

TEXAS vs. CLEVELAND
Texas is 11-2 SU in its last 13 games when playing Cleveland
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Texas's last 7 games when playing Cleveland
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Cleveland's last 5 games at home
Cleveland is 2-11 SU in its last 13 games when playing at home against Texas

ST. LOUIS vs. HOUSTON
St. Louis is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of St. Louis's last 7 games
Houston is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Houston's last 5 games when playing St. Louis

CINCINNATI vs. PITTSBURGH
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Cincinnati's last 6 games when playing on the road against Pittsburgh
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Cincinnati's last 6 games when playing Pittsburgh
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Pittsburgh's last 7 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Pittsburgh's last 5 games

NY YANKEES vs. KANSAS CITY
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of NY Yankees's last 9 games when playing Kansas City
NY Yankees are 15-8 SU in their last 23 games when playing on the road against Kansas City
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Kansas City's last 9 games when playing NY Yankees
Kansas City is 1-12 SU in its last 13 games at home

OAKLAND vs. TAMPA BAY
The total has gone UNDER in 15 of Oakland's last 21 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Oakland's last 15 games
Tampa Bay is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Tampa Bay's last 10 games at home

ATLANTA vs. COLORADO
Atlanta is 16-7 SU in its last 23 games
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Atlanta's last 8 games when playing Colorado
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Colorado's last 8 games when playing Atlanta
Colorado is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games at home

MIAMI vs. SAN DIEGO
Miami is 0-4-1 SU in its last 5 games ,when playing San Diego
Miami is 5-13-1 SU in its last 19 games ,on the road
San Diego8-0-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing Miami
San Diego is 2-3-1 SU in its last 6 games ,

TORONTO vs. LA ANGELS
Toronto is 6-2 SU in their last 8 games when playing LA Angels
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Toronto's last 6 games when playing LA Angels
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of LA Angels's last 6 games at home
LA Angels are 4-8 SU in their last 12 games

MINNESOTA vs. SEATTLE
Minnesota is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Minnesota's last 6 games on the road
Seattle is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games at home
Seattle is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Minnesota

 
Posted : May 5, 2012 9:50 am
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National League

LA Dodgers at Chicago Cubs
Capuano: LA 15-7 off BB losses
Volstad: 4-13 TSR in home games

Philadelphia at Washington
Worley: PHI 17-6 Under Away when the total is 6 to 6.5
Gonzalez: WASH 12-1 off one run division win

Milwaukee at San Francisco
Wolf: MIL 0-7 if bullpen allowed no runs last game
Bumgarner: SF 7-0 Under as home favorite

Arizona at NY Mets
Corbin: ARI 12-2 Over when the total is 7 to 8.5
Santana: 105-37 TSR as favorite of -150 or more

St. Louis at Houston
Garcia: 20-9 Over as a favorite
Norris: 14-5 Over in night games

Cincinnati at Pittsburgh
Leake: CIN 11-20 off win by 4+ runs
McDonald: PIT 17-7 Under in all games

Atlanta at Colorado
Minor: ATL 30-13 Over vs. NL West
Moyer: COL 1-8 after scoring 7+ runs BB games

Miami at San Diego
Buehrle: 40-15 TSR on Saturday
Richard: 2-14 TSR in night games

American League

Baltimore at Boston
Hammel: BAL 11-1 when the money line is +125 to -125
Cook: BOS 0-6 at home off 3+ home games

Chicago White Sox at Detroit
Floyd: 8-17 TSR vs. division
Scherzer: 5-14 TSR on Saturday

Texas at Cleveland
Holland: 12-4 Over off team loss
Lowe: 3-10 TSR off BB team losses

Oakland at Tampa Bay
Colon: OAK 14-4 Under vs. righties
Hellickson: TB 13-1 in home games

NY Yankees at Kansas City
Kuroda: NYY 19-7 Away off win by 4+ runs
Paulino: KC 0-10 at home off loss

Toronto at LA Angels
Drabek: TOR 0-9 after allowing 2 runs or less BB games
Wilson: LA 9-0 Under off BB losses

Minnesota at Seattle
Marquis: 10-1 Over as underdog of +150 or higher
Hernandez: SEA 1-15 after scoring 4 runs or less 6 straight games

 
Posted : May 5, 2012 9:51 am
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Hot pitchers
-- Capuano is 2-0, 1.37 in his last three starts.
-- Worley is 2-0, 0.90 in his last three starts. GGonzalez is 2-1, 0.69 in his last four outings.
-- Bumgarner is 4-0, 1.50 in his last four starts.
-- JSantana has a 0.71 RA in last two starts, but didn't get a win in either game. Corbin won his first MLB start, allowing three runs in 5.2 IP.
-- JGarcia is 1-1, 2.08 in his last three starts.
-- McDonald is 1-0, 2.41 in his last three starts.

-- Hammel is 3-1, 1.97 in five starts this season.
-- Floyd is 1-1, 1.29 in his last couple starts.
-- Lowe is 2-0, 0.66 in his last couple starts.
-- Colon is 2-1, 1.19 in his last four starts. Hellickson is 2-0, 2.41 in his last three outings.
-- Kuroda has a 1.98 RA in his last couple starts.
-- Drabek has a 2.92 RA in his last four starts. Wilson is 3-2, 2.97 in his five starts this season.
-- FHernandez is 1-1, 1.20 in his last four starts.

Cold pitchers
-- Volstad is 0-3, 7.04 in his last three starts.
-- Wolf is 2-2, 6.84 in five starts this year (2-0, 4.09 last two).
-- Norris is 1-1, 5.75 in five starts this season.
-- Leake is 0-3, 7.89 in his last four starts.
-- Minor is 0-1, 7.30 in his last couple starts. Moyer is 1-2, 4.71 in five starts this season.
-- Buehrle is 1-4, 4.18 in five starts for Miami. Richard is 0-3, 6.75 in his last three starts.

-- Cook is making first '12 start; he was 0-3, 8.41 in his lat four starts for Colorado last September.
-- Scherzer is 1-3, 5.82 in his last four starts.
-- Holland is 0-2, 8.31 in his last couple starts.
-- Paulino is making first '12 start; he wa 2-0, 3.75 in his last four starts LY.
-- Marquis has a 6.23 RA in three starts, but is 2-0.

Hot teams
-- Phillies won four of their last six road games.
-- Reds are 9-4 in their last thirteen games.
-- Diamondbacks won six of their last nine road games.
-- Houston won its last five home games.
-- Rockies won six of their last nine home games.
-- Marlins are 4-0 on this road trip, with four one-run wins.

-- Cleveland won four of its last five games.
-- Tampa Bay won six in row, 12 of last 13 games. A's are 6-4 in their last ten road games.
-- Orioles won five of their last six games.
-- Royals are 5-3 in last eight games, but are 1-11 at home this season.
-- Toronto won six of their last seven games.

Cold teams
-- Dodgers lost four of last five road games. Cubs are 6-8 at home.
-- Nationals lost five of their last eight games.
-- Pirates lost six of their last eight games.
-- Cardinals lost three of their last four road games.
-- Mets lost last four games, outscored 23-11.
-- Braves lost three of their last four games.
-- Giants are 4-7 in their last eleven home games. Brewers are 3-5 in their last eight games.
-- Padres are 4-6 in their last ten games.

-- Detroit lost five of its last seven home games. White Sox lost eight of their last ten games.
-- Rangers lost four of their last five games.
-- Red Sox lost four of their last five games.
-- Bronx lost six of its last ten games.
-- Mariners lost their last seven games, scoring 14 runs. Minnesota lost nine of last eleven games.
-- Angels got shut out in their last two games.

Totals
-- Eight of Cubs' last ten games stayed under the total.
-- Seven of Phillies' last nine road games went over the total.
-- Under is 7-2-1 in last ten Pittsburgh home games.
-- Six of Mets' last seven games went over the total.
-- Nine of last ten St Louis road games stayed under total.
-- Seven of last eight games at Coors Field went over total.
-- Nine of last ten Miami road games stayed under the total.
-- Five of Giants' last six home games stayed under the total.

-- Seven of White Sox' last nine games went over the total.
-- Under is 7-3 in Cleveland's last nine home games.
-- Eight of last ten Tampa Bay home games stayed under.
-- Four of last six Boston games stayed under the total.
-- Last six Bronx games stayed under the total.
-- Under is 11-1 in Angels' last eleven games.
-- Three of last four Minnesota games stayed under total.

Umpires
-- LA-Chi-- Under is 3-1-1 in Timmons games this year.
-- Phil-Wsh-- All three Holbrook games went over the total.
-- Mil-SF-- Four of five Rapuano games stayed under total.
-- Az-NY-- Three of last four Layne games went over.
-- StL-Hst-- Last three Barry games stayed under the total.
-- Cin-Pitt-- Home side won last three Kulpa games.
-- Atl-Col-- Three of last four TBarrett games stayed under.
-- Mia-SD-- Favorites won four of five Cederstrom games.

-- Balt-Bos-- Road team won both Estabrook games this season.
-- Chi-Det-- Four of last five Nelson games stayed under.
-- Tex-Clev-- Under is 2-0-1 in Bucknor games this season.
-- A's-TB-- Over is 4-1-1 in Nauert games this season.
-- NY-KC-- Underdogs are 3-2 in Gibson games this season.
-- Tor-LA-- Five of six Winters games stayed under the total.
-- Min-Sea-- Favorites won three of four Diaz games.

 
Posted : May 5, 2012 11:54 am
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