Saturday's Streaking and Slumping Starting Pitchers
By Covers.com
Streaking
Madison Bumgarner, San Francisco Giants (8-4, 2.92 ERA)
Bumgarner continues to lead the Giants’ rotation. He allowed just one earned run on three hits over eight innings last weekend but was still stuck with a no-decision in San Francisco’s loss to Seattle. The big lefty has 16 strikeouts in his last two starts and has walked only 19 batters in 95 2/3 innings this season.
Ivan Nova, New York Yankees (9-2, 4.32 ERA)
The Yankees have won each of Nova’s last starts and he’s been absolutely dominant over his last three, allowing just two runs over the last 22 2/3 innings. After shutting out the Braves in Atlanta through seven innings, he followed that up by yielding just a solo homer in 7 2/3 innings at Washington. He owns a 0.84 WHIP in his last three starts.
Slumping
Kyle Kendrick, Philadelphia Phillies (2-7, 5.29 ERA)
Kendrick has lost each of his last three trips to the hill and owns a 9.00 ERA during the skid. While he managed to go 6 1/3 innings last week against Toronto, he still gave up five earned runs in a 6-2 loss. He has struck out 40 batters compared to 23 walks in 63 innings of work this year.
Josh Outman, Colorado Rockies (0-3, 8.41 ERA)
Outman was the first guy to take the hill under the Rockies’ new four-man rotation, so he’ll go here on just three days’ rest. He has lost three in a row, stinking it up with a 10.22 ERA. He hasn’t pitched into the sixth inning in any of his four starts and will be hard pressed to do so now that the club has issued a 70-pitch limit for its starters.
MLB's Best and Worst Bets
By Jason Logan
Covers.com
The NBA Playoffs are over. Now what?
For sports bettors with basketball blinders on, this can be a scary time of the year. You want to keep wagering through the summer months but you haven't even made it to the seventh-inning stretch of a game yet. Don’t fret. Covers will get you up to speed on the best and worst bets from the diamond so far this season.
Best moneyline bet
Baltimore Orioles (39-30): 16.49 units
The Orioles continue to be the big breadwinners in the majors but have hit some speed bumps along the way, like their current three-game losing streak heading into Friday. Baseball bettors have been waiting for the other cleat to drop on Baltimore, which currently sits second in the American League East.
Worst moneyline bet
San Diego Padres (24-46): -17.57 units
Offense – or lack thereof – has plagued the Padres for a long time and 2012 is no exception. San Diego ranks last in the bigs in runs (3.3 per game) and rest in the basement of most hitting statistical categories. A rash of injuries to both the lineup and rotation is just throwing salt on the wound.
Best runline bet
Chicago White Sox (42-27 ATS): 20.30 units
The ChiSox are just three games above .500 (36-33) but have kept it close throughout the first half of the season. Chicago has capitalized on the 1.5-run spread – AKA the runline – scoring 4.68 runs and allowing 4.00 runs per game this season. Runline backers can thanks an impressive 19-13 road record for most of those units.
Worst runline bet
San Diego Padres (31-39 ATS): -22.98 units
Why the hell are people betting the Padres? Also burinng runline bettors are the Cleveland Indians (-17.51), Detroit Tigers (-13.57), and Colorado Rockies (-12.76).
Best over bet
Philadelphia Phillies (33-38): 44-26-1 over/under
The Phillies pitching staff is not playing up to oddsmakers standards, thanks in part to injuries to key starters like Roy Halladay. On offense, Philadelphia longs for the big bats of Ryan Howard and Chase Utley.
Best under bet
Los Angeles Angels (38-32) - 25-44-1 over/under
The addition of Albert Pujols was supposed to supercharge the Halos' offense. While that hasn’t quite been the case – averaging just 4.1 runs per game – the pitching staff has done the heavy lifting. The Angels own a 3.43 team ERA, third lowest in the majors.
Top money pitcher
R.A. Dickey, New York Mets (11-1, 2.00 ERA): 11.92 units
The knuckleballer is the frontrunner for the National League Cy Young and has been nearly untouchable in recent starts. He hasn’t allowed an earned run in 41 2/3 innings, giving up just 16 hits in that span.
Worst money pitcher
Dan Haren, Los Angeles Angels (4-7, 3.97 ERA): -11.87 units
Haren can’t take all the blame for those units lost. The Angels have given the right-hander just 4.38 runs of support during his starts. Haren actually has the 20th best ERA in the AL and is 15th in strikeouts.
Top over ump
Paul Emmel: 12-1 over/under
Teams are combining for 9.77 runs per game when Emmel is behind home plate.
Top under ump
Tim Welke: 3-10 over/under
Teams are combining for 7.2 runs per game when Welke is calling balls and strikes.
Hot pitchers
-- JJohnson is 1-2, 2.18 in his last three starts.
-- Wainwright is 1-1, 2.75 in his last three starts.
-- Mendoza has a 2.65 RA in his last three outings.
-- Lewis is 2-1, 1.50 in his last three starts.
-- Shields is 1-0, 2.57 in his last couple starts.
-- Scherzer is 1-0, 1.93 in his last couple starts.
-- Keuchel allowed one run in five IP in his first MLB start.
-- Cueto is 3-0, 1.90 in his last three starts.
-- Nova is 5-0, 2.48 in his last five starts.
-- Delgado has a 2.79 RA in his last three starts, but Atlanta got blanked in his last two outings.
-- WChen is 3-0, 2.21 in his last three starts.
-- Jackson has a 2.74 RA in his last six starts.
-- Capuano is 1-0, 3.50 in his last three starts.
-- Wolf is 0-0, 2.70 in his last three starts.
-- Bumgarner is 3-0, 2.73 in his last four starts.
-- Marquis has a 2.79 RA in his three starts for San Diego.
Cold pitchers
-- Kennedy is 2-6, 5.01 in his last eight starts. Maholm is 0-3, 5.59 in his last seven starts.
-- Cecil allowed two runs in five IP in his first '12 start.
-- Outman is 0-2, 10.22 in his last three starts.
-- Lee is 0-2, 4.87 in his last six starts.
-- Gomez is 1-4, 9.72 in his last five starts.
-- Lincoln is 0-2, 10.03 in his last three starts.
-- Duensing is making first '12 start; he is 25-21, 3.90 with 50 major league starts. He has pitched 34.2 innings this year, in 30 games, but no starts, with a 3.12 ERA.
-- Young is 1-1, 4.08 in three starts this season.
-- Morales allowed two runs in five IP (80 PT) in his first '12 start.
-- Ross is 0-3, 5.91 in his last four starts.
-- ESantana has a 7.06 RA in his last five starts, but pitched a shutout in his last outing.
-- Axelrod allowed two runs in 4.1 IP (99 PT) in his first '12 start.
-- FHernandez is 0-2, 5.63 in his last four starts.
Hot Teams
-- Arizona won eight of its last nine home games.
-- Blue Jays won five of their last seven games.
-- Nationals won 14 of their last 20 road games.
-- Tigers won eight of their last twelve games.
-- Pittsburgh won 11 of its last 13 home games.
-- Streaky Mets won last four games, allowing three runs; they're 11-6 in last seventeen home games.
-- Braves won their last three games, allowing nine runs.
-- Red Sox won seven of their last nine games.
-- Indians won their last four games, scoring 23 runs.
-- Rangers won their last seven games, scoring 40 runs.
-- Brewers won five of their last seven games.
-- Royals won seven of their last ten games.
-- A's won eight of their last ten games.
-- Angels won five of their last six games.
Cold Teams
-- Cubs lost 17 of their last 21 road games.
-- Baltimore lost three of its last four games, scoring five runs.
-- Phillies lost 11 of their last 15 home games.
-- Tampa Bay lost six of its last nine games.
-- Miami lost 14 of its last 16 games.
-- Twins lost six of their last nine games.
-- Cincinnati lost its last four games, allowing 26 runs.
-- Bronx Bombers lost last three games, after winning previous ten.
-- Houston lost six of its last seven games.
-- Rockies lost 13 of their last 15 games.
-- White Sox lost seven of their last nine games.
-- Cardinals lost seven of their last eleven games.
-- Mariners lost nine of their last twelve games.
-- San Diego lost five of its last even games.
-- Giants lost four of their last six games.
-- Dodgers lost five of their last six games.
Totals
-- Five of Cubs' last seven games stayed under the total.
-- Five of last seven games at Camden Yards went over.
-- Over in 10-4 in Detroit's last fourteen road games.
-- Under is 7-3-1 in Tampa Bay's last eleven road games.
-- Last five Toronto road games went over the total.
-- Five of last six games at Citi Field stayed under the total.
-- Nine of last 13 Cincinnati home games went over the total.
-- Under is 10-3-1 in Atlanta's last fourteen road games.
-- Six of last seven Cleveland road games stayed under total.
-- Over is 8-4-1 in last thirteen Texas home games.
-- Six of last seven Milwaukee road games stayed under.
-- 10 of last 13 St Louis games stayed under the total.
-- Nine of last twelve Seattle road games went over the total.
-- 12 of Giants' last 16 road games went over the total.
-- Four of last five Dodger games stayed under the total.
Umpires
-- Chi-Az-- 12 of 13 Emmel games went over the total.
-- Tor-Mia-- Eight of last 11 Nelson games stayed under.
-- StL-KC-- Six of last seven Drake games went over total.
-- Col-Tex-- Six of last eight Wolf games went over the total.
-- TB-Phil-- Don't know who the umpire is; rainout last night.
-- Cle-Hst-- Road team won five of last seven Gonzalez games.
-- Det-Pitt-- Four of last five Cooper games went over total.
-- Min-Cin-- 10 of 14 Bellino games stayed under the total.
-- NY-NY-- Six of last eight McClelland games went over total.
-- Atl-Bos-- Four of last five Eddings games went over the total.
-- Wsh-Balt-- Road team won seven of last ten Hallion games.
-- LA-LA-- Under is 6-2-1 in lat nine Iassogna games.
-- Mil-Chi-- Ten of last thirteen Wegner games stayed under.
-- SF-A's-- Underdogs are 5-5 (+$125) in last ten Randazzo games.
-- Sea-SD-- Underdogs are 5-2 (+$401) in last seven Hickox games.
AL teams were 6-7 Friday, they're 126-97 against NL teams in interleague play this season, with two days to go. Remember there are DHs in games in American League parks, no DHs in National League parks. It doesn't seem to affect totals either way.
Armadillosports.com
TORONTO vs. MIAMI
Toronto is 1-8 SU in its last 9 games when playing Miami
Toronto is 5-10 SU in its last 15 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Miami's last 6 games when playing at home against Toronto
Miami is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Toronto
ST. LOUIS vs. KANSAS CITY
St. Louis is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games on the road
St. Louis is 6-12 SU in its last 18 games on the road
Kansas City is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing St. Louis
Kansas City is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games
COLORADO vs. TEXAS
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Colorado's last 6 games when playing Texas
Colorado is 8-4 SU in its last 12 games when playing Texas
Texas is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Texas's last 6 games when playing Colorado
TAMPA BAY vs. PHILADELPHIA
Tampa Bay is 2-4-1 SU in its last 7 games ,when playing Philadelphia
Tampa Bay is 3-6-1 SU in its last 10 games ,
Philadelphia is 5-13-1 SU in its last 19 games ,
Philadelphia is 2-7-1 SU in its last 10 games ,at home
DETROIT vs. PITTSBURGH
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Detroit's last 6 games
Detroit is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 13 of Pittsburgh's last 19 games at home
Pittsburgh is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games at home
CLEVELAND vs. HOUSTON
Cleveland is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Cleveland's last 7 games when playing on the road against Houston
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Houston's last 6 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Houston's last 7 games when playing at home against Cleveland
MINNESOTA vs. CINCINNATI
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Minnesota's last 5 games when playing Cincinnati
Minnesota is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Cincinnati
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Cincinnati's last 13 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Cincinnati's last 5 games when playing Minnesota
MILWAUKEE vs. CHI WHITE SOX
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Milwaukee's last 5 games
Milwaukee is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 15 of Chi White Sox's last 22 games at home
Chi White Sox are 1-4 SU in their last 5 games at home
ATLANTA vs. BOSTON
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Atlanta's last 7 games when playing Boston
Atlanta is 5-12 SU in its last 17 games when playing Boston
Boston is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
Boston is 12-5 SU in its last 17 games when playing Atlanta
LA DODGERS vs. LA ANGELS
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of LA Dodgers's last 5 games when playing LA Angels
LA Dodgers are 6-16 SU in their last 22 games when playing on the road against LA Angels
LA Angels are 5-1 SU in their last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of LA Angels's last 5 games when playing LA Dodgers
WASHINGTON vs. BALTIMORE
Washington is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Baltimore
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Washington's last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Baltimore's last 7 games at home
Baltimore is 8-4 SU in its last 12 games
NY YANKEES vs. NY METS
The total has gone OVER in 4 of NY Yankees's last 6 games on the road
NY Yankees are 7-1 SU in their last 8 games on the road
NY Mets are 4-2 SU in their last 6 games when playing at home against NY Yankees
NY Mets are 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
SAN FRANCISCO vs. OAKLAND
San Francisco is 2-4-1 SU in its last 7 games ,when playing Oakland
San Francisco is 1-4-1 SU in its last 6 games ,on the road
Oakland is 4-8-1 SU in its last 13 games ,when playing San Francisco
Oakland6-0-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against San Francisco
SEATTLE vs. SAN DIEGO
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Seattle's last 5 games on the road
Seattle is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games on the road
San Diego is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games
San Diego is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Seattle
CHI CUBS vs. ARIZONA
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Chi Cubs's last 5 games when playing on the road against Arizona
Chi Cubs are 6-14 SU in their last 20 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Arizona's last 7 games
Arizona is 10-5 SU in its last 15 games
CHICAGO CUBS (24 - 46) at ARIZONA (35 - 35) - 10:10 PM
PAUL MAHOLM (L) vs. IAN KENNEDY (R)
Top Trends for this game.
CHICAGO CUBS are 24-46 (-17.3 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
CHICAGO CUBS are 354-396 (-94.5 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 10-27 (-12.6 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
CHICAGO CUBS are 1-10 (-9.3 Units) against the money line when playing on Saturday this season.
CHICAGO CUBS are 24-46 (-17.3 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
CHICAGO CUBS are 893-963 (-167.4 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters since 1997.
MAHOLM is 12-27 (-13.1 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
MAHOLM is 2-15 (-11.9 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons.
MAHOLM is 2-14 (-10.9 Units) against the money line in road games in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
MAHOLM is 6-19 (-11.5 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 132-107 (+24.1 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 95-77 (+16.4 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 76-56 (+18.5 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 78-49 (+22.7 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 132-107 (+24.1 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 51-32 (+17.2 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
ARIZONA is 1-0 (+1.0 Units) against CHICAGO CUBS this season
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.0 Units)
PAUL MAHOLM vs. ARIZONA since 1997
MAHOLM is 0-2 when starting against ARIZONA with an ERA of 4.08 and a WHIP of 1.604.
His team's record is 1-4 (-3.1 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 3-2. (+0.9 units)
IAN KENNEDY vs. CHICAGO CUBS since 1997
KENNEDY is 1-1 when starting against CHICAGO CUBS with an ERA of 5.90 and a WHIP of 1.078.
His team's record is 1-2 (-1.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-2. (-1.2 units)
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TORONTO (36 - 34) at MIAMI (33 - 37) - 1:10 PM
BRETT CECIL (L) vs. JOSH JOHNSON (R)
Top Trends for this game.
MIAMI is 68-50 (+17.9 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters over the last 3 seasons.
MIAMI is 33-37 (-10.5 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
MIAMI is 48-66 (-30.1 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI is 19-29 (-13.3 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI is 4-15 (-12.2 Units) against the money line in June games this season.
MIAMI is 32-35 (-9.6 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
MIAMI is 52-73 (-22.1 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI is 13-31 (-18.7 Units) against the money line after 3 or more consecutive losses over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI is 45-70 (-19.6 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
TORONTO is 1-0 (+1.1 Units) against MIAMI this season
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.0 Units)
BRETT CECIL vs. MIAMI since 1997
No recent starts.
JOSH JOHNSON vs. TORONTO since 1997
JOHNSON is 2-0 when starting against TORONTO with an ERA of 2.45 and a WHIP of 1.636.
His team's record is 2-0 (+2.5 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-1. (+0.0 units)
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ST LOUIS (36 - 35) at KANSAS CITY (31 - 37) - 2:10 PM
ADAM WAINWRIGHT (R) vs. LUIS MENDOZA (R)
Top Trends for this game.
ST LOUIS is 120-108 (-35.6 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 27-38 (-19.8 Units) against the money line when playing on Saturday over the last 3 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 38-43 (-16.4 Units) against the money line in day games over the last 2 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 11-21 (-11.4 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
KANSAS CITY is 233-348 (-103.4 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 9 to 9.5 since 1997.
KANSAS CITY is 77-121 (-44.2 Units) against the money line in home games when playing on Saturday since 1997.
KANSAS CITY is 11-21 (-11.4 Units) against the money line in home games in games played on a grass field this season.
KANSAS CITY is 20-36 (-15.8 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
KANSAS CITY is 2-2 (+1.2 Units) against ST LOUIS this season
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=-0.3 Units, Under=-0.4 Units)
ADAM WAINWRIGHT vs. KANSAS CITY since 1997
WAINWRIGHT is 2-1 when starting against KANSAS CITY with an ERA of 3.21 and a WHIP of 1.036.
His team's record is 2-2 (-1.4 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-2. (-1.2 units)
LUIS MENDOZA vs. ST LOUIS since 1997
MENDOZA is 0-0 when starting against ST LOUIS with an ERA of 3.00 and a WHIP of 1.167.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.7 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-1. (-1.2 units)
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COLORADO (26 - 43) at TEXAS (44 - 27) - 3:05 PM
JOSH OUTMAN (L) vs. COLBY LEWIS (R)
Top Trends for this game.
COLORADO is 26-43 (-18.0 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
COLORADO is 18-29 (-11.3 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
COLORADO is 15-28 (-13.2 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
COLORADO is 37-61 (-25.6 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
COLORADO is 26-43 (-18.0 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
COLORADO is 77-120 (-42.4 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 3 seasons.
COLORADO is 1-10 (-10.9 Units) against the money line when playing on Saturday this season.
COLORADO is 1-12 (-12.3 Units) against the money line in an inter-league game this season.
COLORADO is 6-18 (-14.4 Units) against the money line in day games this season.
TEXAS is 151-99 (+19.3 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS is 144-92 (+19.9 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
TEXAS is 1-0 (+1.0 Units) against COLORADO this season
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.0 Units)
JOSH OUTMAN vs. TEXAS since 1997
OUTMAN is 1-1 when starting against TEXAS with an ERA of 4.43 and a WHIP of 1.567.
His team's record is 1-3 (-2.1 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 4-0. (+4.0 units)
COLBY LEWIS vs. COLORADO since 1997
No recent starts.
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TAMPA BAY (38 - 31) at PHILADELPHIA (33 - 38) - 4:05 PM
JAMES SHIELDS (R) vs. KYLE KENDRICK (R)
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
JAMES SHIELDS vs. PHILADELPHIA since 1997
SHIELDS is 2-0 when starting against PHILADELPHIA with an ERA of 2.31 and a WHIP of 1.371.
His team's record is 2-0 (+2.8 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-1. (-0.2 units)
KYLE KENDRICK vs. TAMPA BAY since 1997
No recent starts.
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CLEVELAND (37 - 32) at HOUSTON (28 - 42) - 4:05 PM
JEANMAR GOMEZ (R) vs. DALLAS KEUCHEL (L)
Top Trends for this game.
CLEVELAND is 120-114 (+10.1 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 117-111 (+8.9 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 85-149 (-39.6 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 6-20 (-13.9 Units) against the money line in home games in June games over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 19-44 (-21.7 Units) against the money line when playing on Saturday over the last 3 seasons.
HOUSTON is 4-18 (-13.1 Units) against the money line in home games in an inter-league game over the last 3 seasons.
HOUSTON is 20-49 (-24.8 Units) against the money line in day games over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 83-148 (-41.5 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 53-112 (-43.1 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
CLEVELAND is 1-0 (+1.0 Units) against HOUSTON this season
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.0 Units)
JEANMAR GOMEZ vs. HOUSTON since 1997
No recent starts.
DALLAS KEUCHEL vs. CLEVELAND since 1997
No recent starts.
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DETROIT (34 - 36) at PITTSBURGH (37 - 32) - 4:05 PM
MAX SCHERZER (R) vs. BRAD LINCOLN (R)
Top Trends for this game.
DETROIT is 34-36 (-14.9 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
DETROIT is 7-14 (-13.3 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 this season.
DETROIT is 34-36 (-14.9 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
SCHERZER is 6-15 (-12.9 Units) against the money line when playing on Saturday since 1997.
PITTSBURGH is 14-7 (+7.3 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
PITTSBURGH is 37-32 (+11.3 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
PITTSBURGH is 22-12 (+10.2 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
PITTSBURGH is 28-18 (+14.0 Units) against the money line in June games over the last 2 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 9-2 (+8.9 Units) against the money line when playing on Saturday this season.
PITTSBURGH is 37-32 (+11.3 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
Head-to-Head Series History
PITTSBURGH is 2-2 (+0.6 Units) against DETROIT this season
4 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+4.0 Units)
MAX SCHERZER vs. PITTSBURGH since 1997
SCHERZER is 2-1 when starting against PITTSBURGH with an ERA of 3.60 and a WHIP of 1.120.
His team's record is 3-1 (+1.8 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-1. (+0.9 units)
BRAD LINCOLN vs. DETROIT since 1997
No recent starts.
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MINNESOTA (28 - 41) at CINCINNATI (38 - 31) - 4:10 PM
BRIAN DUENSING (L) vs. JOHNNY CUETO (R)
Top Trends for this game.
MINNESOTA is 91-141 (-30.4 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 42-72 (-23.7 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 3-16 (-12.2 Units) against the money line in road games when playing on Saturday over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 88-134 (-27.4 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 62-106 (-30.1 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 18-8 (+10.3 Units) against the money line in day games this season.
CINCINNATI is 104-80 (+19.7 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 3 seasons.
CUETO is 26-12 (+13.0 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
CUETO is 7-0 (+7.8 Units) against the money line in day games this season.
CUETO is 26-11 (+14.0 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
CUETO is 15-4 (+10.1 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 27-18 (+13.8 Units) against the money line in June games over the last 2 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 305-286 (-72.7 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1997.
CINCINNATI is 90-110 (-34.3 Units) against the money line in home games in June games since 1997.
Head-to-Head Series History
MINNESOTA is 1-0 (+1.7 Units) against CINCINNATI this season
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.0 Units)
BRIAN DUENSING vs. CINCINNATI since 1997
No recent starts.
JOHNNY CUETO vs. MINNESOTA since 1997
No recent starts.
NY YANKEES (41 - 28) at NY METS (39 - 32) - 7:15 PM
IVAN NOVA (R) vs. CHRIS YOUNG (R)
Top Trends for this game.
NY YANKEES are 84-75 (-17.4 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
NY METS are 30-19 (+16.0 Units) against the money line in an inter-league game over the last 3 seasons.
NY METS are 35-30 (+8.9 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
NY METS are 29-17 (+16.0 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
NY METS are 39-32 (+12.4 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
NY METS are 23-15 (+8.0 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
NY METS are 45-28 (+20.1 Units) against the money line in June games over the last 3 seasons.
NY METS are 14-5 (+9.7 Units) against the money line in home games when playing on Saturday over the last 2 seasons.
NY YANKEES are 39-17 (+20.9 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 3 seasons.
NY YANKEES are 32-13 (+15.5 Units) against the money line in June games over the last 2 seasons.
NY YANKEES are 21-9 (+11.0 Units) against the money line in road games in games played on a grass field this season.
NOVA is 11-2 (+8.0 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
NOVA is 16-4 (+11.2 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons.
NOVA is 11-2 (+8.0 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
NOVA is 23-9 (+10.4 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
NOVA is 17-5 (+9.5 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
NY YANKEES is 3-1 (+1.6 Units) against NY METS this season
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=-0.1 Units, Under=-0.2 Units)
IVAN NOVA vs. NY METS since 1997
NOVA is 1-0 when starting against NY METS with an ERA of 3.08 and a WHIP of 1.799.
His team's record is 2-0 (+2.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-1. (-0.1 units)
CHRIS YOUNG vs. NY YANKEES since 1997
YOUNG is 1-0 when starting against NY YANKEES with an ERA of 6.23 and a WHIP of 1.730.
His team's record is 1-1 (+0.8 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-2. (-2.4 units)
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ATLANTA (38 - 32) at BOSTON (36 - 34) - 7:15 PM
RANDALL DELGADO (R) vs. FRANKLIN MORALES (L)
Top Trends for this game.
ATLANTA is 9-2 (+9.9 Units) against the money line as a road underdog of +125 to +150 this season.
ATLANTA is 23-15 (+10.3 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
ATLANTA is 18-7 (+13.2 Units) against the money line in road games in June games over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 21-14 (+8.8 Units) against the money line in road games in games played on a grass field this season.
ATLANTA is 18-8 (+11.4 Units) against the money line in road games in night games this season.
ATLANTA is 15-6 (+11.4 Units) against the money line in road games after a win this season.
ATLANTA is 18-9 (+12.1 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
BOSTON is 6-13 (-11.6 Units) against the money line in home games after a loss this season.
BOSTON is 7-16 (-14.5 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
BOSTON is 64-56 (-22.2 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 64-56 (-22.2 Units) against the money line in home games in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 9-16 (-12.4 Units) against the money line in home games against right-handed starters this season.
Head-to-Head Series History
ATLANTA is 1-0 (+1.8 Units) against BOSTON this season
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.0 Units)
RANDALL DELGADO vs. BOSTON since 1997
No recent starts.
FRANKLIN MORALES vs. ATLANTA since 1997
No recent starts.
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WASHINGTON (40 - 28) at BALTIMORE (40 - 30) - 7:15 PM
EDWIN JACKSON (R) vs. WEI-YIN CHEN (L)
Top Trends for this game.
WASHINGTON is 15-36 (-18.8 Units) against the money line as a road underdog of +100 to +125 over the last 3 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 40-30 (+17.4 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
BALTIMORE is 19-9 (+13.8 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 this season.
BALTIMORE is 9-2 (+8.7 Units) against the money line when playing on Saturday this season.
BALTIMORE is 37-24 (+18.9 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
BALTIMORE is 26-23 (+8.2 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
BALTIMORE is 29-23 (+11.0 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
BALTIMORE is 24-15 (+12.7 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
BALTIMORE is 26-15 (+17.1 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
CHEN is 7-1 (+7.7 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 this season.
CHEN is 9-3 (+8.3 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
WASHINGTON is 40-28 (+10.3 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
WASHINGTON is 48-37 (+17.4 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 28-17 (+13.6 Units) against the money line in June games over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 117-110 (+16.1 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 79-72 (+15.8 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 57-49 (+19.7 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
BALTIMORE is 3-1 (+2.1 Units) against WASHINGTON this season
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=-0.1 Units, Under=-0.4 Units)
EDWIN JACKSON vs. BALTIMORE since 1997
JACKSON is 5-1 when starting against BALTIMORE with an ERA of 3.31 and a WHIP of 1.103.
His team's record is 5-3 (+1.6 units) in these starts. The OVER is 3-5. (-2.5 units)
WEI-YIN CHEN vs. WASHINGTON since 1997
CHEN is 0-1 when starting against WASHINGTON with an ERA of 12.47 and a WHIP of 2.540.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 0-1. (-1.2 units)
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
LA DODGERS (42 - 29) at LA ANGELS (39 - 32) - 7:15 PM
CHRIS CAPUANO (L) vs. ERVIN SANTANA (R)
Top Trends for this game.
LA DODGERS are 47-81 (-33.0 Units) against the money line in road games in an inter-league game since 1997.
LA ANGELS are 24-10 (+12.5 Units) against the money line in an inter-league game over the last 2 seasons.
LA ANGELS are 380-312 (+56.4 Units) against the money line in day games since 1997.
LA ANGELS are 620-611 (+43.7 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.
LA DODGERS are 10-1 (+9.3 Units) against the money line when playing on Saturday this season.
LA DODGERS are 42-29 (+10.4 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
LA DODGERS are 42-29 (+10.4 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
LA ANGELS are 97-105 (-27.5 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 3 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
LA ANGELS is 3-1 (+1.9 Units) against LA DODGERS this season
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.7 Units)
CHRIS CAPUANO vs. LA ANGELS since 1997
CAPUANO is 0-1 when starting against LA ANGELS with an ERA of 3.27 and a WHIP of 2.091.
His team's record is 0-2 (-2.2 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-2. (-2.0 units)
ERVIN SANTANA vs. LA DODGERS since 1997
SANTANA is 4-3 when starting against LA DODGERS with an ERA of 3.45 and a WHIP of 1.240.
His team's record is 4-3 (+0.6 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-5. (-3.6 units)
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
MILWAUKEE (33 - 37) at CHI WHITE SOX (36 - 34) - 7:15 PM
RANDY WOLF (L) vs. DYLAN AXELROD (R)
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
MILWAUKEE is 1-0 (+1.2 Units) against CHI WHITE SOX this season
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.0 Units)
RANDY WOLF vs. CHI WHITE SOX since 1997
WOLF is 0-1 when starting against CHI WHITE SOX with an ERA of 5.40 and a WHIP of 1.600.
His team's record is 0-2 (-2.2 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-1. (-0.3 units)
DYLAN AXELROD vs. MILWAUKEE since 1997
No recent starts.
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SAN FRANCISCO (39 - 32) at OAKLAND (34 - 37) - 7:15 PM
MADISON BUMGARNER (L) vs. TYSON ROSS (R)
Top Trends for this game.
OAKLAND is 137-73 (+52.9 Units) against the money line in home games in June games since 1997.
OAKLAND is 91-49 (+32.5 Units) against the money line in home games in an inter-league game since 1997.
SAN FRANCISCO is 467-461 (+44.3 Units) against the money line in road games against right-handed starters since 1997.
Head-to-Head Series History
SAN FRANCISCO is 3-1 (+1.7 Units) against OAKLAND this season
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+2.1 Units)
MADISON BUMGARNER vs. OAKLAND since 1997
No recent starts.
TYSON ROSS vs. SAN FRANCISCO since 1997
ROSS is 0-1 when starting against SAN FRANCISCO with an ERA of 3.00 and a WHIP of 1.833.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
SEATTLE (30 - 42) at SAN DIEGO (25 - 46) - 10:05 PM
FELIX HERNANDEZ (R) vs. JASON MARQUIS (R)
Top Trends for this game.
SEATTLE is 155-220 (-53.1 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.
SEATTLE is 52-83 (-25.3 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 59-89 (-35.1 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
SEATTLE is 97-138 (-29.1 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 21-42 (-21.3 Units) against the money line when playing on Saturday over the last 3 seasons.
HERNANDEZ is 19-27 (-14.1 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons.
HERNANDEZ is 10-17 (-14.6 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 36-58 (-20.5 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 25-46 (-16.5 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
SAN DIEGO is 66-96 (-26.0 Units) against the money line when the total is 7 or less over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 50-69 (-21.2 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 50-67 (-19.1 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 7 or less over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 25-46 (-16.5 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
SAN DIEGO is 55-95 (-36.9 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
MARQUIS is 72-90 (-35.9 Units) against the money line in night games since 1997.
MARQUIS is 74-78 (-31.9 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record since 1997.
Head-to-Head Series History
SAN DIEGO is 4-0 (+5.2 Units) against SEATTLE this season
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+2.0 Units)
FELIX HERNANDEZ vs. SAN DIEGO since 1997
HERNANDEZ is 4-3 when starting against SAN DIEGO with an ERA of 3.50 and a WHIP of 1.200.
His team's record is 6-3 (+1.9 units) in these starts. The OVER is 4-4. (-0.1 units)
JASON MARQUIS vs. SEATTLE since 1997
MARQUIS is 2-1 when starting against SEATTLE with an ERA of 1.63 and a WHIP of 1.164.
His team's record is 5-1 (+4.4 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-5. (-4.3 units)
National League
Chicago Cubs at Arizona
Maholm: Chicago Cubs 1-11 SU in road games after scoring 1 run or less
Kennedy: Arizona 51-32 SU when the total is 9 to 9.5
Interleague
Toronto at Miami
Cecil: Toronto 15-5 SU after a win by 6 runs or more
Johnson: Miami 4-15 SU in June
ST Louis at Kansas City
Wainwright: 19-6 TSR on the road when the total is 8.5 to 10
Mendoza: Kansas City 11-21 SU at home in games played on a grass
Colorado at Texas
Outman: Colorado 10-24 SU after having lost 4 or 5 of their last 6
Lewis: Texas 33-15 SU after 2 or more consecutive unders
Tampa Bay at Philadelphia
Shields: Tampa Bay 8-6 SU after two or more consecutive loses
Kendrick: Philadelphia 2-9 SU when playing on Saturday
Cleveland at Houston
Gomez: Cleveland 19-4 SU as a road favorite of -110 or higher
Keuchel: Houston 4-18 SU in home games in an IL game
Detroit at Pittsburgh
Scherzer: Detroit 7-14 SU when the total is 8 to 8.5
Lincoln: Pittsburgh 9-2 SU when playing on Saturday
Minnesota at Cincinnati
Duensing: Minnesota 3-16 SU in road games when playing on Saturday
Cueto: 7-0 TSR in day games
NY Yankees at NY Mets
Nova: NY Yankees 21-9 SU in road games in games played on a grass
Young: NY Mets 84-127 SU after 7 or more consecutive home games
Atlanta at Boston
Delgado: Atlanta 8-0 SU when the total is 10 or higher
Morales: Boston 6-13 SU in home games after a loss
Washington at Baltimore
Jackson: Washington 15-36 SU as a road underdog of +100 to +125
Chen: Baltimore 9-2 SU when playing on Saturday
LA Dodgers at LA Angels
Capuano: LA Dodgers 10-1 SU when playing on Saturday
Santana: LA Angels 25-29 SU when the total is 7 to 8.5
Milwaukee at Chicago White Sox
Wolf: Milwaukee 2-4 SU after a game with a combined score of 3 runs or less
Axelrod: Chicago White Sox 8-3 SU when playing on saturday
San Francisco at Oakland
Bumgarner: San Francisco 16-5 SU after 3 straight games with no home runs
Ross: Oakland 5-20 SU after having won 5 or 6 of their last 7
Seattle at San Diego
Hernandez: Seattle 6-28 SU after allowing 9 runs or more
Marquis: 81-59 TSR in the first half of the season
Diamond Trends - Saturday
By Vince Akins
VegasInsider.com
SU TREND OF THE DAY:
The Cubs are 0-13 since June 04, 2011 as a 140+ dog when they are off a loss in which they had at least three times as many hits as runs and it is not the first game of a series for a net profit of $1300 when playing against.
OU TREND OF THE DAY:
The Indians are 13-0 OU since April 10, 2011 on the road vs a team that has lost at least their last three games for a net profit of $1300 when playing the over.
STARTER TREND OF THE DAY:
The Mariners are 0-10 since April 16, 2011 when Felix Hernandez starts on the road after his team lost the last time he started vs this opponent for a net profit of $1058 when playing against.
MLB BIBLE TREND OF THE DAY:
The Diamondbacks are 17-1 (2.9 rpg) since September 16, 2008 at home as a -140+ favorite when their starter lost his past two starts and wasn’t a -200+ favorite for the last start.
TODAY’S TRENDS:
The Yankees are 10-0 since June 10, 2011 when Ivan Nova starts after a quality start on the road for a net profit of $1010.
The Reds are 7-0 since May 14, 2011 when Johnny Cueto starts as a favorite when he is off a start in which he needed more than 4 pitches per batter for a net profit of $700.
Saturday's MLB Notes
By Chris David
VegasInsider.com
The final weekend of Interleague play continues this Saturday, as the FOX network provide us with six regionally televised games that start at 7:15 p.m. ET. For this column, I’ll play the role of handicapper and break down the battles. Every gambler has their own unique style of handicapping but I believe pro baseball should be analyzed based on pitchers, current form and arguably the most important factor, the odds. Interleague play doesn’t give us great sample sizes for head-to-head matchups, but I believe we have some winners listed below.
With a little help from the VegasInsider.com experts, let’s break ‘em down!
Yankees at Mets
Pitchers: Iván Nova (9-2, 4.32 ERA) vs. Chris Young (1-1, 3.06 ERA)
The Yankees have gone 11-2 in Nova’s 13 starts this season, which includes five straight wins. Nova has allowed just two earned runs in his last three appearances. The Mets are 1-2 in Young’s three starts this season and the ‘over’ has gone 2-1 in those affairs.
Current Form: After winning 10 straight, the Yankees have now dropped three in a row, including last night’s 6-4 setback to the Mets. The victory for the Mets was their fourth straight, all coming at home.
Odds and Pick: The Yankees opened as -140 favorites and the line was bumped up to -150 quickly. Nova has been really sharp lately and he’s 2-1 versus the National League this season, the lone loss coming at home to the Reds (5-6). The total opened at 9 at a few major offshore shops and dropped to 8 ½ runs, which tells you the sharp money is on the ‘under.’ Even though Young doesn’t have great career numbers versus the Yankees, I expect both pitchers to get quality starts. Play the ‘under.’
Braves at Red Sox
Pitchers: Randall Delgado (4-7, 4.12 ERA) vs. Franklin Morales (0-1, 3.14 ERA)
Delgado hasn’t been awful for the Braves but the team is just 5-8 in his starts. He’s 1-2 in his last three starts but he’s only given up six earned runs over this span and the Braves mustered up just two runs of offense. Morales is the latest bullpen pitcher to get a chance in the Red Sox rotation and you he’s only had one start this season, which came last week in a win against the Cubs (7-4). He lasted just five innings but did have nine strikeouts. Morales is a lefthander and the Braves are 7-3 versus southpaws at night on the road this season.
Current Form: After losing six of seven, the Braves have won three in a row, including last night’s 4-1 win at Fenway Park. Prior to last night’s loss, the Red Sox had won seven of nine albeit against the Cubs (2) and Marlins (5).
Odds and Pick: I believe the look in this game is the total, in particular the ‘over.’ The Braves have seen the ‘under’ go 8-2 in their last 10 games, plus Delgado has been in good form and his ‘under’ numbers (8-1-1) over the last 10 are great. Yet, we’re looking at a total of 10.5 runs. Anytime you see that, it makes you lean the opposite way. I also like the fact that Atlanta has averaged 4.3 runs per game against lefties this season. Play the ‘over.’
Nationals at Orioles
Pitchers: Edwin Jackson (3-4, 3.02 ERA) vs. Wei-Yin Chen (7-2, 3.36 ERA)
The Nationals have gone 4-9 with the veteran Jackson on the mound this season, while Chen has been a pleasant surprise for the Orioles (9-4).Against the American League this season, Jackson is 1-1 with a no decision but he’s only received two runs of support in two of the games. Chen has won his last three starts, surrendering just five earned runs over 20 1/3 innings. However, in his one appearance against Washington on May 20, he was tagged for six hits and six earned runs in a 9-3 loss.
Current Form: The Nationals have gone 2-5 in their last seven games while Baltimore just snapped a three-game skid last night by beating Washington, 2-1. The Orioles’ offense has been missing lately, scoring a total of 14 runs in the last seven games.
Odds and Pick: Tough game to gauge here with Washington (20-14) being a solid road team and Baltimore just as good at Camden Yards (20-14). Knowing Washington has had trouble against lefthanders on the road (3.4 RPG), makes me lean with the home squad. Plus, Baltimore is 6-1 at home in Interleague play this season. I expect Chen to learn from his first go ‘round against the Nats and get another low-scoring win. Play O’s and the ‘under.’
Dodgers at Angels
Pitchers: Chris Capuano (8-2, 2.71 ERA) vs. Ervin Santana (4-7, 5.16 ERA)
The Dodgers have gone 10-4 in Capuano’s starts this season, one of those losses coming to the Angels (2-3) on June 11. Santana is a very tough pitcher to figure out and the Angels are 5-9 in his starts this season. He’s coming off a one-hitter last Saturday against the Diamondbacks, but he gave up 19 total earned runs in his three previous appearances.
Current Form: The Dodgers have lost five of six, while the Angels have won five of six. Last night, the Angels earned an 8-5 victory over the Dodgers. And the Dodgers were leading the game 5-0 too.
Odds and Pick: The Angels have gone 12-12 versus lefthanders this season but that includes a dismal 0-4 mark at home in afternoon affairs. Capuano has some great day-time numbers (3-1, 1.29 ERA) this season and even though the Dodgers’ offense is struggling, the value is with the visitor. Play the Dodgers.
The last two games are free selections from our VI handicappers.
Brewers at White Sox - ASA
Pick – Over 9.5
The Brewers and White Sox failed to score a run in nine innings last night before the Brewers got on the board with a single run that was enough to win in the 10th inning. In ten innings these teams had one run and nine hits combined but Zack Greinke and Chris Sale are among the top handful of starting pitchers in the game right now. Things will be different on Saturday with much worse pitching on the mound and more favorable match-ups for two very good offensive teams.
Milwaukee has won five of the last seven games with 40 runs scored in those games and over the last two weeks Milwaukee owns a .335 wOBA, one of the better marks in the National League. Milwaukee has scored 5.5 runs per game over the last ten games against right-handed pitching and Dylan Axelrod gets the spot start Saturday after more than a month away from the big leagues. Axelrod has a very limited track record and his numbers in AAA were merely average. He is supported by a bullpen that owns a 5.20 ERA in the last ten games.
Milwaukee’s bullpen has also really struggled including a 4.78 ERA in the last ten games. Veteran Randy Wolf was a reliable starter the past two seasons for the Brewers but he has had horrible results this season with a 5.11 ERA. In road games Wolf owns a 6.75 ERA with a 1.84 WHIP as he has uncharacteristically had control issues this season. Opposing batters are hitting .294 against Wolf on the season and the White Sox are a great hitting team against left-handed pitching, scoring 4.7 runs per nine innings over the last ten games while batting .301. U.S. Cellular Field has averaged over 10 runs per game this season and last night’s game was not the norm for these teams.
Giants at Athletics – Kevin Rogers
Pick - Oakland
The A's threw away a 3-0 lead in last night's 5-4 loss to the Giants, as the two teams meet up again tonight in Oakland. Madison Bumgarner has struggled on the road this season, while coming off a no-decision in his last outing at Seattle, a 2-1 Giants' loss. The Giants are just 1-5 this season on the road off a win in a series opener, while going 4-10 overall on the highway off a victory. Oakland is still playing well in spite of last night's meltdown, as I'll take the A's as a short home 'dog.
MLB: Streaks, Tips, Notes
Sportspic.com
Chicago Cubs at Arizona Diamondbacks
Expect the Snakes with Ian Kennedy (5-7, 4.13 ERA) to have little trouble here vs Chicago when Cubs trot Paul Maholm (4-5, 4.88 ERA) out to the mound. The Cubbie southpaw is 0-3 with a 5.59 ERA in his past seven starts (1-6 TSR) and his teams (CHI/PIT) are 2-18 last twenty on the road. Look for Maholm to drop to 0-3 life-time vs D'Baks with his teams falling to 1-5 over six attempts. Keep in mind, DBacks have been cruising at Chase Field of late posting a 10-2 mark platting 7.0 runs/game and enter a smart 11-3 as home favorite with Kennedy touching toe to rubber. Meanwhile, Cubbies are on a 4-16 road skid crossing just 3.2 per contest.