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MLB Betting News and Notes Saturday 8/4

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Saturday's Streaking and Slumping Starting Pitchers
By Covers.com

Streaking

Gavin Floyd, Chicago White Sox (8-9, 4.28 ERA)

Floyd came off his first career stint on the DL in superb form. He's allowed just three earned runs in 12 2-3 innings since returning to the mound after taking the break due to soreness in his elbow. Floyd also allowed zero earned runs in three of his last six starts with the White Sox going 4-2 during that stretch.

Wei-Yin Chen, Baltimore Orioles (9-6, 3.65 ERA)

This major league rookie is getting better as the season wears on. Chen set a record for a Taiwanese player in his last game when he earned 12 strikeouts in a 6-1 win over the A's. It was also the first time an O's pitcher tossed at least 10 strikeouts in fewer than six innings. Chen is working a great fastball and a nasty curve ball. Baltimore is 3-1 in his last four starts.

Slumping

Roy Halladay, Philadelphia Phillies (4-6, 4.33 ERA)

The Phillies are 2-1 in Halladay's three starts since coming back from a shoulder injury but the Doc's record is 0-1 in those three with a 5.82 ERA. The good news might be that Halladay has noticed something he didn't like in his delivery and is making adjustments to correct.

"I had gotten into some bad habits, arm-slot wise," Halladay told the Philadelphia Inquirer. "I was a little low and side-to-side. I'm trying to get more top-to-bottom with it. That probably will affect the cutter more than anything and the curveball, too. I sort of started getting underneath the ball. Sometimes your body makes you do things to be comfortable."

 
Posted : August 3, 2012 10:31 pm
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MLB: Streaks, Tips, Notes
Sportspic.com

Pittsburgh at Cincinnati

Reds will be a little anxious in this one as they send Mike Leake (4-7, 4.44 ERA) to the mound while Pirates counter with James McDonald (10-5 3.37 ERA). Leake struggled mightily in his most recent outing, making his earliest exit of the season after just 1 2/3 innings of 5 hit, 5 run ball in an 11-5 loss to the Padres which snapped Reds 10-game win streak. The Cinci hurler 0-1 in two starts vs Pirates this season surrendering 7 runs over 14.0 innings is 1-3 in eight life-time starts Bucs with Reds 2-6 over the span. McDonald heads to the mound with an impressive 4-1 mark vs Cincinnati including a pair of victories this season. However, the righty has hit a brick wall going 1-2 his last four trips to the mound giving up 6 long ball, 21 runs over 20.2 innings more jacks/runs than he surrendered the previous ten starts.

 
Posted : August 3, 2012 10:32 pm
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Hot pitchers
-- Zimmerman is 5-0, 1.23 in his last seven starts.
-- Maholm was 5-0, 1.02 in his last six starts for the Cubs.
-- Harrell is 1-1, 1.82 in his last four starts.
-- Wainwright is 1-0, 2.70 in his last couple starts.
-- Bumgarner is 1-1, 2.67 in his last four starts.
-- Volquez is 4-0, 2.76 in his last seven starts.
-- Dodgers won Kershaw's last three home starts (2-0, 2.14).

-- FHernandez is 3-0, 1.38 in his last five starts.
-- Kuroda is 2-0, 1.23 in his lat three outings.
-- Griffin is 3-0, 2.51 in seven starts this season.
-- Feldman is 2-0, 0.60 in his last couple starts.
-- Smith is 1-0, 2.77 in his last two outings.
-- Fister is 3-0, 1.80 in his last four starts.
-- Hellickson is 2-0, 1.96 in his last three starts.
-- WChen is 2-1, 2.84 in his last four starts.
-- Buchholz is 1-0, 1.96 in his last three starts.
-- Floyd is 2-1, 2.21 in his last three starts.

Cold pitchers
-- Buehrle is 0-2, 8.16 in his last three starts.
-- Halladay is 0-3, 7.20 in his last five starts.
-- Saunders is 1-3, 4.22 in his last five starts.
-- McDonald is 1-2, 9.15 in his last four starts.
-- Leake is 1-1, 7.80 in his last three outings.
-- Rogers allowed two runs in 5.2 IP (98 PT) in his first '12 start.
-- Francis is 1-2, 5.76 in his last five starts.
-- Hefner is 0-2, 5.60 in his last three starts.
-- Cubs are 0-9 when Volstad starts (0-7, 8.34).

-- Romero is 0-7, 10.06 in his last seven starts.
-- Jimenez is 0-3, 7.97 in his last four starts.
-- De Vries is 0-1, 6.14 in his last four starts.
-- ESantana is 1-2, 12.32 in his last five starts.

Hot Teams
-- Washington won ten of its last fourteen games.
-- Reds won 14 of their last 15 games.
-- Pittsburgh won six of nine.
-- Arizona won six of its last seven games.
-- Braves won twelve of their last fifteen home games.
-- Cardinals won ten of their last fourteen games.
-- Mets won four of their last six games.

-- Tigers won 12 of their last 13 home games.
-- Mariners won seven of their last eight games.
-- Orioles won seven of their last ten road games.
-- Tampa Bay won seven of its last ten games.
-- White Sox won eight of their last ten games.
-- Minnesota won six of its last eight games.
-- Texas won its last three games, scoring 31 runs.
-- Oakland won eight of its last ten home games.

Cold Teams
-- Marlins lost twelve of their last seventeen games.
-- Astros lost 23 of their last 24 road games.
-- Phillies lost five of their last seven games.
-- Milwaukee lost eight of its last nine road games.
-- Rockies lost ten of their last twelve games.
-- Giants lost seven of their last nine games.
-- Padres lost five of their last seven games.
-- Cubs are 3-6 in their last nine road games.
-- Dodgers are 4-6 in their last ten games overall.

-- Indians lost their last seven games, outscored 58-19.
-- Bronx lost four of its last six games.
-- Red Sox lost six of their last eight home games.
-- Angels are 4-10 in their last 14 road games.
-- Kansas City lost six of its last eight games.
-- Toronto lost eleven of its last seventeen games.

Totals
-- Under is 11-5-1 in Miami's last 17 games.
-- Five of last seven Philly home games went over total.
-- Five of last seven Cincinnati games went over the total.
-- Seven of last nine Atlanta home games stayed under.
-- Under is 9-4-1 in last fourteen St Louis home games.
-- Over is 14-5-1 in Giants' last twenty road games.
-- 13 of last 19 San Diego games went over the total.
-- Over is 5-2-1 in last eight Dodger games.

-- Under is 5-1-1 in last seven Cleveland home games.
-- Under is 4-0-1 in last five Seattle road games.
-- Seven of last eight Tampa Bay home games stayed under.
-- Nine of last thirteen Minnesota games went over the total.
-- Last five White Sox home games went over the total.
-- Over is 10-5-1 in Royals' last sixteen home games.
-- Under is 12-5 in Oakland's last seventeen home games.

Umpires
-- Mia-Wsh-- Under is 7-1-1 in last nine Muchlinski games.
-- Az-Phil-- Underdogs are 7-5 in last dozen Kulpa games.
-- Pitt-Cin-- Under is 8-2-1 in last eleven Gorman games.
-- Hst-Atl-- Underdogs won six of last eight Reynolds games.
-- Mil-StL-- Underdogs are 8-6 in last fourteen TWelke games.
-- SF-Col-- Home teams won last four Tschida games.
-- NY-SD-- Favorites won six of last seven Hernandez games.
-- Chi-LA-- 15 of last 18 Miller games stayed under total.

-- Sea-NY-- Seven of last ten Vanover games went over total.
-- Tor-A's-- Underdogs won six of last ten Davis games.
-- Tex-KC-- Underdogs won five of last six McClelland games.
-- Clev-Det-- Over is 14-7-1 in last 22 Drake games.
-- Balt-TB-- Last three Marquez games went over the total.
-- Min-Bos-- All three Rackley games stayed under the total.
-- LA-Chi-- Five of last six Nauert games went over the total.

Armadillosports.com

 
Posted : August 4, 2012 8:01 am
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SEATTLE vs. NY YANKEES
Seattle is 2-7 SU in their last 9 games when playing on the road against NY Yankees
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Seattle's last 6 games when playing NY Yankees
NY Yankees are 2-4 SU in their last 6 games
NY Yankees are 7-2 SU in their last 9 games when playing at home against Seattle

TORONTO vs. OAKLAND
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Toronto's last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Toronto's last 7 games when playing on the road against Oakland
Oakland is 16-5 SU in its last 21 games
Oakland is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Toronto

TEXAS vs. KANSAS CITY
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Texas's last 11 games on the road
Texas is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
Kansas City is 4-10 SU in its last 14 games when playing at home against Texas
Kansas City is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games at home

ARIZONA vs. PHILADELPHIA
Arizona is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
Arizona is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing Philadelphia
Philadelphia is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games when playing at home against Arizona
Philadelphia is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Arizona

CLEVELAND vs. DETROIT
Cleveland is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Cleveland is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Detroit's last 9 games when playing at home against Cleveland
Detroit is 17-8 SU in its last 25 games

MIAMI vs. WASHINGTON
Miami is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games when playing Washington
The total has gone UNDER in 12 of Miami's last 18 games when playing Washington
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Washington's last 8 games when playing at home against Miami
Washington is 5-14 SU in its last 19 games when playing at home against Miami

LA ANGELS vs. CHI WHITE SOX
The total has gone OVER in 4 of LA Angels's last 5 games on the road
LA Angels are 2-5 SU in their last 7 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Chi White Sox's last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Chi White Sox's last 5 games at home

HOUSTON vs. ATLANTA
Houston is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Atlanta
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Houston's last 6 games when playing on the road against Atlanta
Atlanta is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Atlanta's last 6 games when playing at home against Houston

MINNESOTA vs. BOSTON
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Minnesota's last 7 games on the road
Minnesota is 3-8 SU in its last 11 games when playing Boston
Boston is 10-3 SU in its last 13 games when playing at home against Minnesota
Boston is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games at home

PITTSBURGH vs. CINCINNATI
Pittsburgh is 11-5 SU in its last 16 games
Pittsburgh is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Cincinnati
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Cincinnati's last 5 games at home
Cincinnati is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games at home

BALTIMORE vs. TAMPA BAY
Baltimore is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Baltimore's last 13 games when playing Tampa Bay
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Tampa Bay's last 13 games when playing Baltimore
Tampa Bay is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Baltimore

MILWAUKEE vs. ST. LOUIS
Milwaukee is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against St. Louis
Milwaukee is 7-16 SU in its last 23 games when playing St. Louis
The total has gone UNDER in 12 of St. Louis's last 18 games when playing at home against Milwaukee
St. Louis is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games at home

SAN FRANCISCO vs. COLORADO
San Francisco is 11-3 SU in its last 14 games when playing Colorado
The total has gone OVER in 10 of San Francisco's last 13 games when playing on the road against Colorado
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Colorado's last 13 games when playing at home against San Francisco
Colorado is 1-8 SU in its last 9 games at home

NY METS vs. SAN DIEGO
NY Mets are 4-12 SU in its last 16 games when playing on the road against San Diego
The total has gone OVER in 8 of NY Mets's last 12 games when playing San Diego
San Diego is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing NY Mets
San Diego is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games

CHI CUBS vs. LA DODGERS
Chi Cubs are 4-9 SU in their last 13 games when playing on the road against LA Dodgers
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Chi Cubs's last 7 games when playing LA Dodgers
LA Dodgers are 2-4 SU in their last 6 games when playing Chi Cubs
LA Dodgers are 9-4 SU in their last 13 games when playing at home against Chi Cubs

 
Posted : August 4, 2012 8:02 am
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MIAMI (49 - 58) at WASHINGTON (63 - 43) - 7:05 PM

MARK BUEHRLE (L) vs. JORDAN ZIMMERMANN (R)

Top Trends for this game.
MIAMI is 49-58 (-15.6 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
MIAMI is 48-56 (-14.7 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
MIAMI is 32-38 (-10.7 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
MIAMI is 30-42 (-16.6 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
MIAMI is 23-37 (-15.3 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
WASHINGTON is 63-43 (+13.1 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
WASHINGTON is 63-53 (+19.5 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 60-43 (+9.2 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
WASHINGTON is 41-27 (+10.4 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
WASHINGTON is 24-11 (+10.7 Units) against the money line in home games against left-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI is 313-344 (+43.8 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1997.
BUEHRLE is 44-15 (+27.6 Units) against the money line when playing on Saturday since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
MIAMI is 6-5 (+1.1 Units) against WASHINGTON this season
6 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+3.7 Units)

MARK BUEHRLE vs. WASHINGTON since 1997
BUEHRLE is 2-0 when starting against WASHINGTON with an ERA of 4.50 and a WHIP of 1.350.
His team's record is 3-0 (+3.1 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-1. (+0.8 units)

JORDAN ZIMMERMANN vs. MIAMI since 1997
ZIMMERMANN is 1-3 when starting against MIAMI with an ERA of 4.08 and a WHIP of 1.109.
His team's record is 2-5 (-3.1 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 3-3. (-0.3 units)
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

ARIZONA (55 - 51) at PHILADELPHIA (47 - 59) - 7:05 PM

JOE SAUNDERS (L) vs. ROY HALLADAY (R)

Top Trends for this game.
PHILADELPHIA is 69-37 (+25.2 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
ARIZONA is 89-63 (+23.2 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 89-60 (+18.7 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 44-22 (+16.4 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 152-123 (+23.8 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 68-68 (+10.1 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 37-24 (+15.3 Units) against the money line in August games over the last 3 seasons.
ARIZONA is 152-123 (+23.8 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 111-87 (+18.6 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 106-81 (+25.5 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 22-35 (-20.0 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 22-38 (-23.7 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 47-59 (-25.1 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 21-30 (-20.8 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 4-13 (-11.5 Units) against the money line when playing on Saturday this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 47-56 (-22.1 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 15-19 (-12.5 Units) against the money line in home games in night games this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 12-22 (-14.7 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHILADELPHIA is 2-2 (+0.0 Units) against ARIZONA this season
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.9 Units)

JOE SAUNDERS vs. PHILADELPHIA since 1997
SAUNDERS is 1-2 when starting against PHILADELPHIA with an ERA of 5.26 and a WHIP of 1.402.
His team's record is 1-3 (-2.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-2. (-0.3 units)

ROY HALLADAY vs. ARIZONA since 1997
HALLADAY is 3-1 when starting against ARIZONA with an ERA of 2.73 and a WHIP of 0.977.
His team's record is 3-1 (+0.7 units) in these starts. The OVER is 3-1. (+2.0 units)
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

PITTSBURGH (60 - 45) at CINCINNATI (65 - 41) - 7:10 PM

JAMES MCDONALD (R) vs. MIKE LEAKE (R)

Top Trends for this game.
PITTSBURGH is 212-428 (-94.4 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.
PITTSBURGH is 91-215 (-66.6 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1997.
PITTSBURGH is 17-44 (-21.0 Units) against the money line in August games over the last 3 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 17-5 (+10.7 Units) against the money line after 3 or more consecutive wins this season.
CINCINNATI is 16-6 (+8.6 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
CINCINNATI is 65-41 (+17.9 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
CINCINNATI is 118-82 (+25.0 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 65-41 (+17.9 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
CINCINNATI is 45-29 (+11.5 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
PITTSBURGH is 27-17 (+14.0 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
PITTSBURGH is 59-45 (+20.6 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
PITTSBURGH is 63-74 (+13.2 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 15-2 (+16.5 Units) against the money line when playing on Saturday this season.
PITTSBURGH is 26-18 (+9.9 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season.
PITTSBURGH is 59-45 (+20.6 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
PITTSBURGH is 36-32 (+7.3 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
PITTSBURGH is 42-34 (+13.9 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
CINCINNATI is 302-324 (-70.1 Units) against the money line in home games after a win since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
PITTSBURGH is 5-5 (+0.9 Units) against CINCINNATI this season
5 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+0.3 Units)

JAMES MCDONALD vs. CINCINNATI since 1997
MCDONALD is 4-1 when starting against CINCINNATI with an ERA of 2.53 and a WHIP of 1.266.
His team's record is 4-3 (+1.5 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-3. (-1.1 units)

MIKE LEAKE vs. PITTSBURGH since 1997
LEAKE is 1-3 when starting against PITTSBURGH with an ERA of 4.21 and a WHIP of 1.247.
His team's record is 2-6 (-5.8 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 4-4. (-0.6 units)
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

HOUSTON (35 - 72) at ATLANTA (61 - 45) - 7:10 PM

LUCAS HARRELL (R) vs. PAUL MAHOLM (L)

Top Trends for this game.
HOUSTON is 21-49 (-22.1 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
HOUSTON is 42-88 (-30.1 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 35-71 (-27.2 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
HOUSTON is 38-76 (-31.9 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 6-32 (-21.0 Units) against the money line as a road underdog of +175 to +200 over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 10-45 (-30.4 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
HOUSTON is 8-33 (-20.8 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 21-48 (-23.3 Units) against the money line when playing on Saturday over the last 3 seasons.
HOUSTON is 35-71 (-27.2 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
HOUSTON is 24-50 (-20.1 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
ATLANTA is 39-22 (+15.0 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
ATLANTA is 13-2 (+10.6 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season this season.
ATLANTA is 61-45 (+11.7 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
ATLANTA is 59-44 (+10.2 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
ATLANTA is 43-23 (+18.1 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
HOUSTON is 60-61 (+14.4 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
ATLANTA is 3-1 (+1.4 Units) against HOUSTON this season
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+2.0 Units)

LUCAS HARRELL vs. ATLANTA since 1997
No recent starts.

PAUL MAHOLM vs. HOUSTON since 1997
MAHOLM is 12-6 when starting against HOUSTON with an ERA of 3.24 and a WHIP of 1.280.
His team's record is 13-8 (+5.6 units) in these starts. The OVER is 9-10. (-1.7 units)
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MILWAUKEE (48 - 57) at ST LOUIS (57 - 49) - 7:15 PM

MARK ROGERS (R) vs. ADAM WAINWRIGHT (R)

Top Trends for this game.
MILWAUKEE is 9-20 (-12.7 Units) against the money line in road games after a loss this season.
MILWAUKEE is 20-31 (-14.1 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 48-57 (-18.0 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
MILWAUKEE is 49-67 (-24.4 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 3 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 18-31 (-15.7 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
MILWAUKEE is 19-40 (-20.7 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 3 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 48-57 (-18.0 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
MILWAUKEE is 34-43 (-15.7 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
ST LOUIS is 113-81 (+15.8 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 11-17 (-20.6 Units) against the money line as a home favorite of -175 to -200 over the last 3 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 30-41 (-20.8 Units) against the money line when playing on Saturday over the last 3 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 35-38 (-13.2 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
ST LOUIS is 53-57 (-34.4 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
WAINWRIGHT is 8-13 (-10.3 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
WAINWRIGHT is 3-8 (-8.5 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season.
WAINWRIGHT is 8-13 (-10.3 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
ST LOUIS is 6-4 (+1.5 Units) against MILWAUKEE this season
5 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=-0.3 Units, Under=-0.7 Units)

MARK ROGERS vs. ST LOUIS since 1997
No recent starts.

ADAM WAINWRIGHT vs. MILWAUKEE since 1997
WAINWRIGHT is 7-6 when starting against MILWAUKEE with an ERA of 2.24 and a WHIP of 0.932.
His team's record is 9-7 (-1.4 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 8-6. (+1.5 units)
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------

SAN FRANCISCO (57 - 49) at COLORADO (38 - 66) - 8:10 PM

MADISON BUMGARNER (L) vs. JEFF FRANCIS (L)

Top Trends for this game.
SAN FRANCISCO is 12-20 (-17.3 Units) against the money line in August games over the last 2 seasons.
FRANCIS is 8-3 (+8.2 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
FRANCIS is 8-3 (+8.2 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
FRANCIS is 8-1 (+10.2 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
FRANCIS is 7-2 (+8.2 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 29-13 (+14.7 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 166-125 (+24.4 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 3 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 22-11 (+12.3 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters this season.
COLORADO is 5-15 (-12.2 Units) against the money line after allowing 10 runs or more over the last 2 seasons.
COLORADO is 12-22 (-11.0 Units) against the money line in home games after a loss this season.
COLORADO is 46-76 (-25.7 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
COLORADO is 14-37 (-20.7 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
COLORADO is 38-66 (-23.5 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
COLORADO is 21-35 (-16.1 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
COLORADO is 8-18 (-10.1 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 10 to 10.5 this season.
COLORADO is 3-14 (-11.8 Units) against the money line when playing on Saturday this season.
COLORADO is 44-67 (-30.9 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
COLORADO is 38-66 (-23.5 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
COLORADO is 131-160 (-44.7 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 3 seasons.
FRANCIS is 5-18 (-14.5 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN FRANCISCO is 4-2 (+1.7 Units) against COLORADO this season
3 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=-0.2 Units, Under=-0.3 Units)

MADISON BUMGARNER vs. COLORADO since 1997
BUMGARNER is 3-3 when starting against COLORADO with an ERA of 2.10 and a WHIP of 1.130.
His team's record is 5-3 (+2.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-5. (-3.4 units)

JEFF FRANCIS vs. SAN FRANCISCO since 1997
FRANCIS is 7-6 when starting against SAN FRANCISCO with an ERA of 4.83 and a WHIP of 1.318.
His team's record is 8-8 (-0.4 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 9-5. (+3.4 units)
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

NY METS (52 - 55) at SAN DIEGO (45 - 63) - 8:35 PM

JEREMY HEFNER (R) vs. EDINSON VOLQUEZ (R)

Top Trends for this game.
NY METS are 34-33 (+12.2 Units) against the money line in road games after a loss over the last 2 seasons.
NY METS are 21-14 (+10.8 Units) against the money line when the total is 7 or less this season.
NY METS are 25-17 (+11.7 Units) against the money line as a road underdog of +100 to +125 over the last 2 seasons.
NY METS are 69-67 (+21.6 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons.
NY METS are 65-65 (+18.1 Units) against the money line in road games in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
NY METS are 35-31 (+6.6 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
SAN DIEGO is 73-105 (-27.1 Units) against the money line when the total is 7 or less over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 58-75 (-18.8 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 56-73 (-18.8 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 7 or less over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 58-75 (-18.8 Units) against the money line in home games in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 69-109 (-33.9 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 19-36 (-19.6 Units) against the money line in home games after a win over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
NY METS is 3-2 (+0.3 Units) against SAN DIEGO this season
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+0.0 Units)

JEREMY HEFNER vs. SAN DIEGO since 1997
HEFNER is 0-1 when starting against SAN DIEGO with an ERA of 14.71 and a WHIP of 2.452.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.4 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 0-1. (-1.1 units)

EDINSON VOLQUEZ vs. NY METS since 1997
VOLQUEZ is 0-3 when starting against NY METS with an ERA of 5.32 and a WHIP of 1.636.
His team's record is 0-4 (-4.8 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 2-2. (-0.1 units)
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CHICAGO CUBS (43 - 61) at LA DODGERS (57 - 50) - 9:10 PM

CHRIS VOLSTAD (R) vs. CLAYTON KERSHAW (L)

Top Trends for this game.
CHICAGO CUBS are 1230-1327 (-243.4 Units) against the money line in all games since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 16-37 (-13.1 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
CHICAGO CUBS are 188-242 (-71.0 Units) against the money line in August games since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 0-9 (-9.0 Units) against the money line in road games when playing on Saturday this season.
CHICAGO CUBS are 16-37 (-13.1 Units) against the money line in road games in games played on a grass field this season.
VOLSTAD is 0-9 (-9.0 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
VOLSTAD is 0-9 (-9.0 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
VOLSTAD is 2-16 (-14.9 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons.
LA DODGERS are 35-23 (+10.8 Units) against the money line when the total is 7 or less this season.
LA DODGERS are 58-35 (+17.6 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 7 or less over the last 2 seasons.
LA DODGERS are 13-4 (+9.5 Units) against the money line when playing on Saturday this season.
LA DODGERS are 33-23 (+11.5 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
KERSHAW is 37-18 (+12.7 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
KERSHAW is 34-12 (+16.8 Units) against the money line when the total is 7 or less over the last 2 seasons.
KERSHAW is 22-6 (+12.0 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
KERSHAW is 21-6 (+11.0 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 7 or less over the last 2 seasons.
KERSHAW is 37-18 (+12.7 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
LA DODGERS are 25-30 (-9.0 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHICAGO CUBS is 2-2 (+0.3 Units) against LA DODGERS this season
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+0.8 Units)

CHRIS VOLSTAD vs. LA DODGERS since 1997
VOLSTAD is 3-4 when starting against LA DODGERS with an ERA of 5.01 and a WHIP of 1.307.
His team's record is 3-4 (-1.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 3-4. (-1.6 units)

CLAYTON KERSHAW vs. CHICAGO CUBS since 1997
KERSHAW is 2-1 when starting against CHICAGO CUBS with an ERA of 1.71 and a WHIP of 1.000.
His team's record is 2-1 (+1.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 3-0. (+3.0 units)

 
Posted : August 4, 2012 9:32 am
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Posts: 318493
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Topic starter
 

SEATTLE (50 - 58) at NY YANKEES (62 - 43) - 1:05 PM

FELIX HERNANDEZ (R) vs. HIROKI KURODA (R)

Top Trends for this game.
SEATTLE is 179-254 (-58.9 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 3 seasons.
SEATTLE is 47-84 (-34.3 Units) against the money line in day games over the last 3 seasons.
SEATTLE is 98-154 (-46.0 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 3 seasons.
NY YANKEES are 65-25 (+30.8 Units) against the money line in day games over the last 2 seasons.
NY YANKEES are 61-36 (+11.1 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
SEATTLE is 12-5 (+8.7 Units) against the money line when playing on Saturday this season.
SEATTLE is 22-22 (+8.6 Units) against the money line in road games in games played on a grass field this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
NY YANKEES is 5-2 (+2.0 Units) against SEATTLE this season
5 of 6 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+4.0 Units)

FELIX HERNANDEZ vs. NY YANKEES since 1997
HERNANDEZ is 7-5 when starting against NY YANKEES with an ERA of 3.37 and a WHIP of 1.361.
His team's record is 8-5 (+4.4 units) in these starts. The OVER is 5-8. (-3.4 units)

HIROKI KURODA vs. SEATTLE since 1997
KURODA is 2-1 when starting against SEATTLE with an ERA of 3.10 and a WHIP of 1.033.
His team's record is 2-1 (+0.2 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-2. (-1.2 units)
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

TORONTO (51 - 55) at OAKLAND (58 - 48) - 4:05 PM

RICKY ROMERO (L) vs. A.J. GRIFFIN (R)

Top Trends for this game.
TORONTO is 22-32 (-12.2 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
ROMERO is 2-9 (-9.0 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
OAKLAND is 58-48 (+19.5 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
OAKLAND is 31-22 (+11.2 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
OAKLAND is 247-182 (+62.3 Units) against the money line in August games since 1997.
OAKLAND is 84-70 (+16.6 Units) against the money line in day games over the last 3 seasons.
OAKLAND is 54-46 (+16.3 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
OAKLAND is 33-24 (+13.2 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
TORONTO is 21-11 (+11.7 Units) against the money line after 3 or more consecutive losses over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
OAKLAND is 5-2 (+3.3 Units) against TORONTO this season
4 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.7 Units)

RICKY ROMERO vs. OAKLAND since 1997
ROMERO is 4-1 when starting against OAKLAND with an ERA of 3.30 and a WHIP of 1.237.
His team's record is 4-3 (+0.4 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 2-4. (-2.6 units)

A.J. GRIFFIN vs. TORONTO since 1997
GRIFFIN is 1-0 when starting against TORONTO with an ERA of 0.00 and a WHIP of 0.833.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.2 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

TEXAS (62 - 43) at KANSAS CITY (44 - 61) - 6:10 PM

SCOTT FELDMAN (R) vs. WILL SMITH (L)

Top Trends for this game.
TEXAS is 19-4 (+12.6 Units) against the money line as a road favorite of -150 to -175 over the last 2 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 20-31 (-13.4 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
KANSAS CITY is 20-31 (-13.4 Units) against the money line in home games in games played on a grass field this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
KANSAS CITY is 2-1 (+2.7 Units) against TEXAS this season
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+0.9 Units)

SCOTT FELDMAN vs. KANSAS CITY since 1997
FELDMAN is 2-2 when starting against KANSAS CITY with an ERA of 2.97 and a WHIP of 1.154.
His team's record is 3-2 (+0.6 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-3. (-1.1 units)

WILL SMITH vs. TEXAS since 1997
No recent starts.
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CLEVELAND (50 - 56) at DETROIT (56 - 50) - 7:05 PM
UBALDO JIMENEZ (R) vs. DOUG FISTER (R)
Top Trends for this game.
DETROIT is 73-38 (+22.4 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 98-84 (+18.3 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 40-33 (+7.0 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
DETROIT is 56-50 (-10.2 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
DETROIT is 52-47 (-10.7 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
DETROIT is 27-33 (-14.5 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
DETROIT is 25-30 (-14.1 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
FISTER is 27-44 (-18.4 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.
FISTER is 17-34 (-17.4 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CLEVELAND is 7-3 (+6.0 Units) against DETROIT this season
6 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+2.6 Units)

UBALDO JIMENEZ vs. DETROIT since 1997
JIMENEZ is 4-5 when starting against DETROIT with an ERA of 5.28 and a WHIP of 1.569.
His team's record is 5-5 (+0.3 units) in these starts. The OVER is 3-6. (-3.3 units)

DOUG FISTER vs. CLEVELAND since 1997
FISTER is 3-3 when starting against CLEVELAND with an ERA of 2.52 and a WHIP of 0.979.
His team's record is 3-7 (-4.9 units) in these starts. The OVER is 4-6. (-2.5 units)
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

BALTIMORE (55 - 51) at TAMPA BAY (56 - 50) - 7:10 PM

WEI-YIN CHEN (L) vs. JEREMY HELLICKSON (R)

Top Trends for this game.
TAMPA BAY is 171-173 (+24.6 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1997.
TAMPA BAY is 459-549 (+27.8 Units) against the money line against division opponents since 1997.
BALTIMORE is 36-30 (+14.1 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
BALTIMORE is 55-51 (+13.4 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
BALTIMORE is 30-25 (+14.9 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
BALTIMORE is 40-39 (+6.8 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
TAMPA BAY is 6-4 (+1.0 Units) against BALTIMORE this season
7 of 10 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+3.3 Units)

WEI-YIN CHEN vs. TAMPA BAY since 1997
CHEN is 0-2 when starting against TAMPA BAY with an ERA of 5.83 and a WHIP of 1.297.
His team's record is 0-2 (-2.4 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 2-0. (+2.1 units)

JEREMY HELLICKSON vs. BALTIMORE since 1997
HELLICKSON is 5-2 when starting against BALTIMORE with an ERA of 1.99 and a WHIP of 0.828.
His team's record is 5-3 (+1.4 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-6. (-4.4 units)
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MINNESOTA (46 - 60) at BOSTON (53 - 54) - 7:10 PM

COLE DE VRIES (R) vs. CLAY BUCHHOLZ (R)

Top Trends for this game.
MINNESOTA is 109-160 (-28.1 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 3-19 (-15.2 Units) against the money line in road games when playing on Saturday over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 72-119 (-32.3 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
BUCHHOLZ is 40-20 (+15.2 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 3 seasons.
BUCHHOLZ is 11-2 (+9.1 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
MINNESOTA is 9-5 (+9.6 Units) against the money line as a road underdog of +150 to +175 this season.
MINNESOTA is 6-1 (+8.7 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 10 to 10.5 this season.
BOSTON is 60-52 (-20.8 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 53-54 (-14.2 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
BOSTON is 0-5 (-9.2 Units) against the money line as a home favorite of -175 to -200 this season.
BOSTON is 27-31 (-16.2 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
BOSTON is 14-19 (-15.3 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 10 to 10.5 over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 47-49 (-15.1 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
BOSTON is 99-88 (-23.1 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 31-40 (-19.0 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
BOSTON is 25-29 (-12.6 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
MINNESOTA is 2-3 (+0.6 Units) against BOSTON this season
4 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+2.9 Units)

COLE DE VRIES vs. BOSTON since 1997
No recent starts.

CLAY BUCHHOLZ vs. MINNESOTA since 1997
BUCHHOLZ is 3-1 when starting against MINNESOTA with an ERA of 5.56 and a WHIP of 1.545.
His team's record is 3-1 (+1.5 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 2-2. (-0.3 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

LA ANGELS (57 - 50) at CHI WHITE SOX (58 - 47) - 7:10 PM

ERVIN SANTANA (R) vs. GAVIN FLOYD (R)

Top Trends for this game.
SANTANA is 6-14 (-10.9 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
SANTANA is 6-12 (-8.6 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
CHI WHITE SOX are 42-25 (+16.6 Units) against the money line after 3 or more consecutive wins over the last 3 seasons.
CHI WHITE SOX are 585-595 (+43.8 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.
CHI WHITE SOX are 58-47 (+10.6 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
CHI WHITE SOX are 234-180 (+48.1 Units) against the money line when playing on Saturday since 1997.
CHI WHITE SOX are 55-47 (+6.8 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
CHI WHITE SOX are 42-32 (+9.4 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
CHI WHITE SOX are 34-23 (+10.3 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
LA ANGELS are 649-640 (+61.2 Units) against the money line in road games since 1997.
LA ANGELS are 538-527 (+63.2 Units) against the money line in road games in games played on a grass field since 1997.
LA ANGELS are 644-550 (+71.9 Units) against the money line after a loss since 1997.
SANTANA is 36-21 (+17.2 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1997.
CHI WHITE SOX are 64-67 (-19.7 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHI WHITE SOX is 2-1 (+1.8 Units) against LA ANGELS this season
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+0.8 Units)

ERVIN SANTANA vs. CHI WHITE SOX since 1997
SANTANA is 4-5 when starting against CHI WHITE SOX with an ERA of 4.72 and a WHIP of 1.341.
His team's record is 6-7 (-1.8 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 4-9. (-6.3 units)

GAVIN FLOYD vs. LA ANGELS since 1997
FLOYD is 2-5 when starting against LA ANGELS with an ERA of 4.98 and a WHIP of 1.214.
His team's record is 3-5 (-2.7 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 4-3. (+0.6 units)

 
Posted : August 4, 2012 9:32 am
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Posts: 318493
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Topic starter
 

National League

Miami at Washington
Buehrle: Miami 14-29 SU as an underdog of +100 or higher
Zimmerman: Washington 41-27 SU in night games

Arizona at Philadelphia
Saunders: Arizona 37-24 SU in August
Halladay: Philadelphia 10-23 SU after 2 games without giving up a stolen base

Pittsburgh at Cincinnati
McDonald: Pittsburgh 16-7 SU after scoring 1 run or less
Leake: Cincinnati 59-97 SU after allowing one run or less in a win over a div rival

Houston at Atlanta
Harrell: Houston 3-21 SU as a road underdog of +150 to +200
Maholm: 7-1 TSR at home when the total is 7 to 8.5

Milwaukee at St. Louis
Rogers: Milwaukee 6-14 SU after having won 3 of their last 4
Wainwright: ST Louis 15-3 SU at home after 2 games with no home runs

San Francisco at Colorado
Bumgarner: San Francisco 22-11 SU against left-handed starters
Francis: Colorado 6-18 SU as a home underdog of +100 or higher

NY Mets at San Diego
Hefner: NY Mets 14-6 SU after 2 games where the bullpen gave up no runs
Volquez: San Diego 19-36 SU in home games after a win

Chicago Cubs at LA Dodgers
Volstad: CHI Cubs 5-17 SU in road games after 2 or more consecutive losses
Kershaw: LA Dodgers 13-4 SU when playing on Saturday

American League

Seattle at NY Yankees
Hernandez: Seattle 7-27 SU in road games against AL East opponents
Kuroda: NY Yankees 61-36 SU in games played on a grass

Toronto at Oakland
Romero: Toronto 9-18 SU after 4 or more consecutive road games
Griffin: Oakland 11-5 SU after 5 or more consecutive home games

Texas at Kansas City
Feldman: Texas 19-4 SU as a road favorite of -150 to -175
Smith: Kansas City 2-10 SU at home after 2 games where they committed no errors

Cleveland at Detroit
Jimenez: Cleveland 40-33 SU against right-handed starters
Fister: 17-34 TSR in night games

Baltimore at Tampa Bay
Chen: Baltimore 30-22 SU vs a good bullpen that converts on 75%+ of their saves
Hellickson: Tampa Bay 18-25 SU vs a very good bullpen whose ERA is 3.33 or better

Minnesota at Boston
De Vries: Minnesota 8-2 SU when the total is 10 or higher
Buchholz: Boston 0-5 SU as a home favorite of -175 to -200

LA Angels at Chicago White Sox
Santana: 6-14 TSR in all games
Floyd: CHI White Sox 14-7 SU against AL West opponents

 
Posted : August 4, 2012 9:50 am
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Posts: 318493
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Diamond Trends - Saturday
By Vince Akins
VegasInsider.com

SU TREND OF THE DAY:

The Blue Jays are 0-11 since August 18, 2009 when Ricky Romero starts as a dog after throwing more than 100 pitches on the road last start for a net profit of $1100 when playing against.

OU TREND OF THE DAY:

The Mariners are 0-9 OU since May 01, 2011 on the road when they won the last two games their starter started after playing in a night game for a net profit of $900 when playing the under.

STARTER TREND OF THE DAY:

The Red Sox are 11-0 since May 02, 2011 when Clay Buchholz starts as a favorite after his team won the last time he started vs this opponent for a net profit of $1100.

MLB BIBLE TREND OF THE DAY:

The Astros are 2-21 (-2.9 rpg) since August 26, 2009 if it is not the first game of a series on the road after a game where they never led and had 6 or fewer hits.

TODAY’S TRENDS:

The Dodgers are 11-0 since May 13, 2011 when Clayton Kershaw starts at home after more strike outs than hits allowed on the road for a net profit of $1100.

The Red Sox are 0-12-1 OU since June 26, 2010 when Clay Buchholz starts after he had a WHIP of less than one his last start for a net profit of $1200 when playing the under.

 
Posted : August 4, 2012 9:51 am
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Posts: 318493
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Pirates at Reds: What Bettors Need to Know
By Covers.com

Pittsburgh Pirates at Cincinnati Reds (-130, 9)

The Cincinnati Reds seek to expand their lead on the Pittsburgh Pirates for the second straight night when the two National League Central contenders meet in Saturday’s second contest of a three-game set. The host Reds won the opener of the series to move 4.5 games ahead of the Pirates and are sitting at 24 games over .500, the franchise’s best record since 1999. Cincinnati has won 14 of its last 15 games.

Pirates starter James McDonald defeated the Reds twice in May, giving up one run in 6 1/3 innings the first time and hurling eight shutout innings on the second occasion. Pittsburgh is 5-3 on a 10-game road trip that concludes Sunday. Cincinnati expects second baseman Brandon Phillips to return to the lineup after missing three straight games with a calf injury. The Reds are 15-3 since losing All-Star first baseman Joey Votto to a knee injury.

PITCHING MATCHUP: Pirates RH James McDonald (10-5, 3.38 ERA) vs. Reds RH Mike Leake (4-7, 4.44)

McDonald has lost back-to-back starts after a stretch in which he won five straight decisions. He allowed five runs in five innings while losing to the Houston Astros and has given up 20 earned runs in 20 2/3 innings over his last four outings. McDonald walked a season-high seven against Houston. He is 5-1 with a 2.31 ERA in 10 career appearances (seven starts) against Cincinnati.

Leake has allowed 13 runs in 15 innings over his last three starts after being roughed up by the San Diego Padres in his last outing. He lasted just 1 2/3 innings and gave up five runs in the loss to the Padres. Leake is 0-1 with a 4.50 ERA in two starts against Pittsburgh this season. He is 1-3 with a 3.16 ERA in eight career starts against the Pirates.

TRENDS:

* Over is 6-2-1 in the last nine meetings in Cincinnati.
* Pirates are 6-2 in the last eight meetings in Cincinnati.
* Under is 3-1-2 in McDonalds last six starts vs. Reds.
* Reds are 2-6 in Leakes last eight starts vs. Pirates.

UMP TRENDS - Brian Gorman

* Under is 4-0 in Gormans last four games behind home plate.
* Reds are 16-5 in their last 21 games with Gorman behind home plate.
* Under is 4-1-1 in Gormans last six games behind home plate vs. Pittsburgh.

WALK-OFFS

1. Pittsburgh scored 37 runs on the first seven games of its road trip before being blanked on four hits in the opener.

2. Reds OF Drew Stubbs is just 2-for-14 with seven strikeouts against McDonald.

3. Pirates 2B Neil Walker is batting .368 with a homer and four doubles in 19 career at-bats against Leake.

 
Posted : August 4, 2012 9:53 am
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