MLB betting trends, odds and predictions for Saturday, April 22nd, 2017 from various handicappers and websites
MLB Knowledge
National League
Braves @ Phillies
Garcia is 0-1, 5.09 in three starts this month (over 3-0).
Eickhoff is 0-1, 3.20 in three starts this month (under 2-1).
Atlanta lost six of its last seven road games (over 6-1). Philly lost three of its last four home games; over is 3-1-1 in their last five games.
Nationals @ Mets
Gonzalez is 1-0, 2.21 in three starts this month (over 2-1).
deGrom is 0-0, 1.89 in three starts this month (under 2-1)- he was scratched from Friday’s start with a stiff neck.
Nationals won their last five games; under is 5-2-1 in their last eight games. New York lost six of its last seven games; over is 5-0-3 in their last seven home games.
Cubs @ Reds
Arrieta is 2-0, 3.50 in three starts this month (over 2-1).
Reed is making his first ’17 start; he is 1-7, 6.31 in 10 MLB starts. He’s pitched eight scoreless innings in relief (4 games) so far this year.
Chicago is 5-2 on road; five of their last six games went over total. Reds lost six of last eight games; three of their last five games stayed under.
Cardinals @ Brewers
Lynn is 1-2, 4.15 in three starts this month (over 2-1).
Anderson is 2-0, 2.00 in three starts this month (under 2-1).
St Louis won four of its last five games; under is 6-3 in their last nine. Brewers lost three of last four games; seven of their last eight games went over.
Giants @ Rockies
Moore is 1-2, 5.68 in three starts this month (under 2-1).
Senzatela is 2-0, 2.37 in three starts this month (under 3-0).
Giants lost four of their last five games (under 4-1)- they’re 3-7 on road. Colorado won four of its last five games; under is 12-3 in their last 15 games.
Dodgers @ Diamondbacks
Maeda is 1-1, 7.07 in three starts this month (over 2-1).
Ray is 2-0, 2.45 in three starts this month (under 2-1).
Dodgers lost four of their last five games (under 4-1)- they’re 2-5 on road. Arizona won its last six home games- over is 7-1 in their home games.
Marlins @ Padres
Straily is 1-1, 5.27 in three starts this month (over 2-1).
Weaver is 0-1, 4.76 in three starts this month (over 2-1).
Marlins lost four of its last five road games; under is 3-2 in their last five games overall. San Diego won its last three games after a 5-game skid; under is 7-4 in their last 11 games.
American League
Red Sox @ Orioles
Wright is 1-1, 9.64 in three starts this month (over 2-1).
Aquino is making his first MLB start; he threw 2.1 scoreless innings in three games LY. He is 1-1, 4.00 in two AAA starts this year.
Red Sox won five of their last seven games; four of their last five stayed under. Baltimore won seven of last nine games- they’re 5-1 at home- three of their last four home games went over.
Astros @ Rays
Morton is 1-1, 2.81 in three starts this month (under 3-0).
Snell is 0-1, 5.56 in two starts this month (over 1-1).
Astros won eight of last nine games; five of their last six road games went over. Rays won six of their last seven home games; over is 4-1 in their last five home games.
Royals @ Rangers
Kennedy is 0-2, 2.37 in three starts this month (under 2-1). Royals scored total of two runs in the three games.
Martinez is making his first ’17 start; he is 14-22, 4.44 in 50 big league starts- he is 1-0, 5.00 in two AAA starts this month.
Royals lost three of their last four games (under is 8-0 in their last eight). Texas won its last three home games; six of their last eight games stayed under total.
Indians @ White Sox
Carrasco is 1-1, 2.33 in three starts this month (under 3-0).
Pelfrey is making his first ‘17 start; he is 65-91, 4.57 in 235 MLB starts. He is 0-2, 7.50 in two AAA starts this month.
Indians won their last four games; under is 3-1-1 in their last five games. Chicago lost three of last four games- they’re 2-4 at home. Under is 10-3 in their last 13 games.
Tigers @ Twins
Boyd is 2-0, 0.75 in his last two starts- under is 2-1 in his starts this month.
Gibson is 1-2, 6.91 in three starts this month (under 3-0).
Detroit lost five of its last six games; over is 7-2 in their road games. Minnesota lost four of its last five games; under is 5-2-1 in their last eight home games.
Blue Jays @ Angels
Lawrence is making his first MLB start; he allowed two runs in three IP in two relief stints. He was 5-6, 3.83 in 15 AAA starts LY.
Skaggs is 0-1, 5.19 in three starts this month (under 2-1).
Blue Jays are off to a 4-12 start, 2-5 on road (under 4-3). Angels lost nine of last ten games; seven of their last eight games stayed under, but their last six home games went over. Teams played extra-inning game after midnight last night.
Mariners @ A’s
Miranda is 1-1, 3.06 in three starts this month (under 2-1).
Cotton is 1-2, 5.40 in three starts this month (under 3-0).
Mariners lost three of their last four games; three of their last four road games went over. Oakland won its last four games; over is 4-3 in its last seven games.
Interleague
Bronx @ Pittsburgh
Pineda is 2-0, 1.84 in his last two starts; over is 2-1 in his starts this month.
Taillon is 1-0, 1.35 in three starts this month (under 2-0-1).
New York won nine of its last 11 games; over is 5-2 in their road games. Pirates lost three of their last four games; over is 5-0-2 in their home games.
Record with this pitcher starting
National League
Atl-Phil: Garcia 2-1; Eickhoff 0-3
Wsh-NY: Gonzalez 2-1; deGrom 1-3
Chi-Cin: Arietta 2-1; Reed 0-0
StL-Mil: Lynn 1-2; Anderson 2-1
SF-Colo: Moore 1-2; Senzatela 3-0
LA-Az: Maeda 2-1; Ray 3-0
Mia-SD: Straily 2-1; Weaver 0-3
American League
Bos-Balt: Wright 1-2; Aquino 0-0
Hst-TB: Morton 2-1; Snell 0-2
KC-Tex: Kennedy 1-2; Martinez 0-0
Clev-Chi: Carrasco 2-1; Pelfrey 0-0
Det-Min: Boyd 2-1; Gibson 1-2
Tor-LA: Lawrence 0-0; Skaggs 1-2
Sea-A’s: Miranda 2-1; Cotton 1-2
Interleague
NYY-Pitt: Pineda 2-1; Taillon 1-2
Pitchers allowing a run in first inning:
National League
Atl-Phil: Garcia 1-3; Eickhoff 1-3
Wsh-NY: Gonzalez 2-3; deGrom 1-3
Chi-Cin: Arietta 0-3; Reed 0-0
StL-Mil: Lynn 0-3; Anderson 1-3
SF-Colo: Moore 0-3; Senzatela 2-3
LA-Az: Maeda 1-3; Ray 0-3
Mia-SD: Straily 0-3; Weaver 0-3
American League
Bos-Balt: Wright 3-3; Aquino 0-0
Hst-TB: Morton 0-3; Snell 0-2
KC-Tex: Kennedy 0-3; Martinez 0-0
Clev-Chi: Carrasco 0-3; Pelfrey 0-0
Det-Min: Boyd 0-3; Gibson 0-3
Tor-LA: Lawrence 0-0; Skaggs 1-3
Sea-A’s: Miranda 2-3; Cotton 1-3
Interleague
NYY-Pitt: Pineda 1-3; Taillon 0-3
Umpires
National League
Atl-Phil: Over is 11-3-1 in last fifteen Dimuro games.
Wsh-NY: Four of last six Torres games went over.
Chi-Cin: Over is 4-2-1 in last seven Diaz games.
StL-Mil: Five of last six Barksdale games stayed under.
SF-Colo: Five of last seven Drake games went over.
LA-Az: Six of last eight Foster games stayed under.
Mia-SD: Six of last nine Miller games stayed under.
American League
Bos-Balt: Three of four Wendelstedt games went over this month.
Hst-TB: Under is 6-0-2 in last eight Bucknor games.
KC-Tex: Over is 13-5 in last 18 Woodring games.
Clev-Chi: Five of last seven Layne games stayed under.
Det-Min: Underdogs are 10-5 in last fifteen Baker games.
Tor-LA: Under is 7-3 in last ten Rackley games.
Sea-A’s: Over is 7-3 in last ten Ripperger games.
Interleague
NYY-Pitt: Over is 4-0-1 in last five Wolf games.
Armadillosports.com
Weekend Outlook
By Micah Roberts
VegasInsider.com
The Cubs are chasing the Reds for first-place, the Nationals look to continue dominance in New York and the Yankees have won nine of their last 10 heading to Pittsburgh to face the reeling Pirates. Those are just a few of the main storylines heading into the third weekend of MLB action. Here's a look at some of the series I'll be paying close attention to:
Washington (10-5) at N.Y. Mets (8-8 )
Scheduled rotation: Roark vs. de Grom, Gonzalez vs. Harvey, Scherzer vs. Wheeler
Series Price: Mets -130, Nationals +110
The big problem with the Nationals is lack of a closer. Blake Treinen has only blown one save in four opportunities, but his 7.11 ERA is alarming. But this is what the Nationals do and they probably won't go looking for a closer until July. But that's really the only negative right now. There's so much more to be excited about with the Nats right now. Bryce Harper is looking the the 2015 MVP version again batting .400 with six home runs. And it's not just him hitting well right now. The entire team is and their .294 batting average leads baseball. The Mets are second-best in baseball with 24 home runs, but their .219 average is ranked 25th. Still, the Mets have gone 10-5-1 to the Over. Washington has gone 39-14 in its last 53 at New York.
Chicago Cubs (8-7) at Cincinnati (9-7)
Scheduled rotation: Lester vs. Adleman, Arrieta vs. Reed, Lackey vs. Arroyo
Series Price: Cubs -260, Reds +220
The Reds lost 15 of 19 games to the Cubs last season, but they're no pushovers anymore as they lead the World Champs by a half game atop the NL Central. This weekend's series will tell us a lot about who the Reds really, but I'm liking what I've seen so far. The Reds are +18 in run differential, which is second-best in NL behind the Dodgers. Zack Cozart's .405 batting average is third highest in NL. But the real star of the team that no one is talking about is the defense. It's steady every night. They don't beat themselves and their four errors are the second fewest in baseball (Kansas City has just one error).
The Cubs will miss rookie sensation Amir Garrett in the rotation and come loaded with Jon Lester on Friday and Jake Arrieta on Saturday, which is why they are the biggest favorite of the weekend to win the series. If the Reds were able to take two out of three in the series, it would be a major accomplishment.
San Francisco (6-10) at Colorado (10-6)
Scheduled rotation: Cueto vs. Chatwood, Moore vs. Senzatela, Samardzija vs. Freeland
Series Price: Giants -110, Rockies -110
We've got first-place against last-place in the NL West here, but this time around its the surprising Rockies on top. The Rockies have the edge in this series just because they don't have to face Madison Bumgarner, even though the Giants have lost all four of his starts. The star of the Rockies so far has been Greg Holland who leads MLB in saves. Holland is giving Colorado something they've never really had to close games out. He's saved all eight of his opportunities. On Friday the Giants face Tyler Chatwood who is coming off the best outing of his career, and it came at San Francisco. He tossed a complete-game shutout allowing just two hits. The Rockies have a big test in the next six days with a visit from first-place Washington on Monday. The will go home to face the Dodgers.
L.A. Dodgers (8-8 ) at Arizona (10-7)
Scheduled rotation: Wood vs. Walker, Maeda vs. Ray, McCarthy vs. Miller
Series Price: Dodgers -135, Diamondbacks +115
Arizona gets lucky in this series because they won't face Clayton Kershaw who won his third straight start on Wednesday. He was masterful last week against Arizona at Dodger Stadium. When they met last week the Dodgers took the first twoi games, but Arizona bounced back with wins in the final two of the four game series. Arizona comes off a 10-game west coast road trip where they went 4-6, but they now return home where they are 6-1 averaging 6.9 runs a game while hitting .313. They've gone 5-1-1 to the Over in those home games, which is something to look for in this series with the bottom of the rotation. One of the of most pleasant suprises for Arizona has been closer Fernando Rodney who is 5-for-5 in save opportunities. Also, the Arizona pitching staff has surrendered only 11 home runs, which is the lowest total in the NL. Expect lots of runs in this series.
Boston (10-6) at Baltimore (10-4)
Scheduled rotation: Pomeranz vs. Bundy, Wright vs. Asher, Rodriguez vs. Gausman
Series Price: Orioles -115 Red Sox -105
Baltimore got off to a 14-9 April last season and made the playoffs for the third time in the past five seasons and here they are in first-place of the competitive AL East again. They're season win total at the Westgate Las Vegas SuperBook was 79.5. Buck Showalter just gets the job done no matter what they're rotation looks like and they've been doing it all this year without Chris Tillman who they went 22-8 behind last season. Boston went 11-8 against Baltimore last season, outscoring them 102-82. They split in Boston April 11-12 and the Under has gone 6-1-1 in the past eight meetings.
Detroit (8-7) at Minnesota (7-8 )
Scheduled rotation: Verlander vs. Santiago, Boyd vs. Mejia, Fulmer vs. Gibson
Series Price: Tigers -130, Twins +110
Detroit gets lucky in this series because they don't have to face Ervin Santana and both teams are sliding coming into this series. The Tigers lead the AL Central with Cleveland But the good news for each is that tight AL Central where last-place is only one game back. Detroit comes off being swept at Tampa Bay and manger Brad Ausmus says there going to be changes if the level of play doesn't improve. After a hot start, Minnesota's bullpen is proving to be as bad as many expected and the team has lost four straight coming in. Detroit has gone 20-7 in the last 27 meetings. The Twins have have gone 10-3-2 to the Under this season.
N.Y. Yankees (10-5) at Pittsburgh (6-9)
Scheduled rotation: Sabathia vs. Glasnow, Pineda vs. Taillon, Montgomery vs. Nova
Series Price: Yankees -110, Pirates -110
The Yankees have an MLB-leading +28 run differential, most of it coming at home where they just completed an 8-1 homestand. They went 2-4 on the road to start the season, but they look as though they're starting to jell with the young crop of future stars exceeding expectations. And then there's veterans like Chase Headley second in the AL batting .396 and Starlin Castro third at .368. Aaron Judge has five homers and the starting rotation has looked capable of holding opponents down. The Yankees have won nine of the past 12 meetings and the Pirates come in slumping having been swept at St. Louis by three identical 2-1 scores, the last two coming after Starling Marte got suspended 80 games for taking PED's.
The Cubs visit Pittsburgh on Monday, so the Bucs could find themselves deep in last place heading into May if they don't pick up the pace. Jameson Taillon comes in with the second lowest ERA in the NL at 0.90. The Bucs have stayed Under the total in their last four and six of the last seven. This is a huge series for both squads. Pittsburgh needs some traction and New York's confidence could blow up by winning the series, and of course, we'll all hear about it non-stop because they're the Yankees.