National League
Reds @ Nationals
Straily is 0-3, 10.93 in his last three starts; five of his last six starts went over.
Ross is 4-0, 3.95 in his last seven starts; four of his last five went over.
Washington won its last six games; nine of Nationals' last 14 home games went over. Cincinnati lost 11 of last 13 games; eight of Reds' last 11 games went over.
Cubs @ Mets
Arrieta is 3-1, 3.52 in his last four starts (over 13-3).
Colon is 3-1, 2.03 in his last seven starts; three of his last four stayed under.
Cubs are 6-1 in second game of series if they lost the opener; six of last seven Chicago games went over the total. Mets lost four of last six games, but won last four at home; under is 10-3-1 in last 14 New York games.
Marlins @ Braves
Fernandez is 7-1, 1.18 in his last nine starts; under is 7-3 in his last ten. .
Harrell is making first MLB start since '14; he is 18-33, 4.84 in 62 MLB starts, 3-1, 2.86 in six AAA starts this season. .
Marlins lost six of last nine road games; over is 13-2 in last 15 Marlin road games. Atlanta lost six of last eight games; under is 9-5 in Braves' last 14 games.
Brewers @ Cardinals
Nelson is 0-0, 0.90 in his last two starts; under is 5-2-2 in his last nine starts. .
Wainwright is 1-2, 3.69 in his last five starts; seven of his last eight stayed under.
Brewers lost nine of last 11 road games; over is 7-4-2 in their last 13 road games. St Louis lost seven of last eight home games; underis 6-1-1 in Cardinals' last eight at home.
Giants @ Diamondbacks
Samardzija is 1-3, 7.16 in his last six starts; six of his last seven went over.
Corbin is 1-1, 5.63 in his last four starts; over is 9-4-1 in his last 14 starts.
Giants lost three of their last five games; five of last six Giant games went over total. Arizona lost its last six games; six of last eight Diamondback games went over.
Rockies @ Dodgers
Bettis is 2-3, 9.72 in his last seven starts (over 5-2). .
Kazmir is 3-0, 3.89 in his last seven starts; four of his last five went over.
Rockies are 5-9 in last 14 games; eight of their last ten games went over the total. Los Angeles won its last seven home games; under is 12-3 in last 15 Dodger home games.
American League
Indians @ Blue Jays
unknown . .
Estrada is 1-1, 4.01 in his last four starts; four of his last six starts stayed under.
Indians won their last 14 games; their last three games stayed under. Toronto lost eight of its last 12 games; under is 10-4 in their last fourteen home games.
Tigers @ Rays
Verlander is 1-1, 6.75 in his last three starts; five of his last seven stayed under.
Snell is 1-2, 5.76 in his four starts (over 2-2) this year.
Tigers won eight of last 11 games; seven of their last nine road games went over. Tampa Bay lost 14 of last 16 games; six of Rays' last seven games went over the total.
Angels @ Red Sox
Santiago is 1-1, 6.41 in his last four starts; seven of his last eight went over.
Buchholz is 0-4, 7.59 in his last four starts, three of which stayed under.
Angels lost ten of last 11 games; six of their last seven road games stayed under. Boston lost seven of last 11 games; six of their last nine games went over the total.
White Sox @ Astros
Sale is 4-0, 3.54 in his last four starts,last three of which stayed under.
Fister is 4-1, 2.45 in his last five starts; three of his last four stayed under.
Chicago is 7-4 in its last 11 games; six of last nine White Sox road games went over. Astros won 11 of last 12 games, six of last eight Houston home games stayed under.
Rangers @ Twins
Gonzalez allowed five runs in five IP (87 PT) in his first '16 start.
Duffey is 1-2, 8.27 in his last four starts; six of his last eight went over.
Rangers won 15 of last 19 games, over is 12-5-1 in their last 18 road games. Minnesota lost six of its last eight games, over is 17-4 in last 21 games at Target Field.
Orioles @ Mariners
Wilson is 2-0, 3.79 in his last three starts; four of his last five went over.
Paxton is 1-3, 5.97 in six starts this year (over 3-3).
Orioles won six of their last eight games; five of last eight Baltimore games stayed under. Seattle won five of last seven games; seven of last ten Mariner games stayed under.
Interleague
Royals @ Phillies
Duffy is 2-0, 3.04 in his last four starts; under is 3-1-1 in his last five.
Nola is 0-3, 17.31 in his last four starts; seven of his last eight went over.
Royals won four of last six games, five of KC's last six games stayed under. Phillies won six of last eight games, over is 18-9 in their last 27 games.
Pirates @ A's
Kulh allowed three runs in five IP (82 PT) in his first MLB start. .
Hill was 5-0, 1.97 in his last five starts, before going on DL (under 6-4-1).
Pirates are 4-12 in last 16 road games, seven of their last ten games went over the total. Oakland won six of last nine games, under is 6-2-1 in last nine home games
Bronx @ San Diego
Nova is 0-2, 9.64 in his last three starts; over is 3-1-1 in his last five.
Pomeranz is 2-0, 2.08 in his last two starts; nine fo his last 11 starts stayed under.
Bronx lost four of last five games, over is 8-3-1 in their last 12 games. San Diego lost three of last four games, last eight games at Petco Park went over the total.
Teams won-lost records when this pitcher starts:
Cin-Wsh-- Straily 6-8; Ross 10-5
Chi-NY-- Arrieta 13-3; Colon 9-6
Mia-Atl-- Fernandez 11-4; Harrell 0-0
Mil-StL-- Nelson 7-9; Wainwright 10-6
SF-Az-- Samardzija 10-6; Corbin 6-10
Col-LA-- Bettis 8-8; Kazmir 8-8
Cle-Tor-- unknown x-x; Estrada 8-7
Det-TB-- Verlander 9-7; Snell 1-3
LA-Bos-- Santiago 10-6; Buchholz 3-9
Chi-Hst-- Sale 13-3; Fister 11-4
Tex-Min-- Gonzalez 1-0; Duffey 4-8
Blt-Sea-- Wilson 6-6; Paxton 1-5
KC-Phil-- Duffy 6-3; Nola 7-9
Pitt-A's-- Kuhl 1-0; Hill 8-3
NY-SD-- Nova 5-5; Pomeranz 7-8
Starting pitchers allowing 1+ runs in first inning:
Cin-Wsh-- Straily 3-14; Ross 5-14 (4 of last 5)
Chi-NY-- Arrieta 2-16; Colon 4-14
Mia-Atl-- Fernandez 3-15; Harrell 0-0
Mil-StL-- Nelson 4-16; Wainwright 6-16
SF-Az-- Samardzija 3-16; Corbin 7-16
Col-LA-- Bettis 7-16 (5 of last 6); Kazmir 9-16 (4 of last 5)
Cle-Tor-- unknown x-x; Estrada 3-15
Det-TB-- Verlander 6-16; Snell 2-4
LA-Bos-- Santiago 8-16; Buchholz 6-12
Chi-Hst-- Sale 4-16; Fister 3-15
Tex-Min-- Gonzalez 0-1; Duffey 3-12
Blt-Sea-- Wilson 5-12; Paxton 2-6
KC-Phil-- Duffy 1-9; Nola 7-16 (3 of last 3)
Pitt-A's-- Kuhl 0-1; Hill 3-11
NY-SD-- Nova 3-10; Pomeranz 3-15
Umpires
Cin-Wsh-- Six of last seven Cooper games stayed under.
Chi-NY-- Over is 9-3-1 in last thirteen Diaz games.
Mia-Atl-- Under is 5-1-1 in last seven Guccione games.
Mil-StL-- Five of last six Barber games stayed under.
SF-Az-- Over is 7-1-1 in last nine Knight games.
Col-LA-- Six of last nine Wolf games stayed under.
Cle-Tor-- Three of last four Reyburn games went over.
Det-TB-- Last five TGibson games went over.
LA-Bos-- Underdogs won six of last nine Nauert games.
Chi-Hst-- Seven of last nine Timmons games went over.
Tex-Min-- Three of last four LBarrett games went over.
Blt-Sea-- Three of last four Winters games stayed under.
KC-Phil-- Four of last five Bellino games went over.
Pitt-A's-- Under is 7-3-1 in last eleven Drake games.
NY-SD-- Eight of last nine Hoberg games stayed under.
Armadillosports.com
MLB: Streak, Tips, Notes
Sportspic.com
Chicago Cubs at NY Mets
Jake Arrieta (12-2, 2.10 ERA) will lock horns with Mets counterpart Bartolo Colon (6-4, 2.86 ERA) when the clubs clash in game three of this four game series at Citi Field. To say Arrieta has been dominant on the road would be an understatement. The righthander is 8-0 this season in an opposing park.
Such success has not been limited to this season, the Cubs have emerged triumphant in eighteen consecutive Arrieta regular season road starts and in twenty-two of his last twenty-three tossing in unfriendly territory. Matching that, the Cubs has been the correct betting option vs Mets with Arrieta. In his last four regular season starts the Cubs are 4-0 outscoring New York 16-4.
One final betting nugget. When Chicago is off a loss like the one they suffered last night, Arrieta certainly knows how to follow up with a stellar effort. The last 12 times the team has suffered a loss prior to his start, the right-hander it has come out to win the next game 10 times including a perfect 6-0 as road chalk.
Bovada/Bodog currently has Cubs -$1.75 moneyline favorites with the total set at 7.0 runs across all shops.
Saturday's Diamond Notes
By Joe Williams
VegasInsider.com
Hottest team: Astros (11-1 past 12)
The Houston Astros blanked the Chicago White Sox 5-0 in the series opener at Minute Maid Park Friday night, staying red hot. They have four in a row, 11 of their past 12 overall and six straight at home. They will square off against a White Sox team which has won just five times in their past 19 road games, although southpaw ace Chris Sale will be on the bump. The White Sox are also 3-13 in their past 16 road games against right-handed starting pitching. That's good news for an Astros club which has won 13 of their past 16 games at home, 26 of the past 35 games overall and 10 of their past 11 home games against a team with a losing road record. And while the ChiSox roll Sale out, the Astros have a pitcher who has been hotter than nearly anyone with Doug Fister toeing the slab.
Coldest team: Angels (1-10 past 11)
The Angels have been so-so on offense, as Albert Pujols, Mike Trout and company have hit well over the past week or two. However, it is the pitching that has let down the Halos, allowing six or more runs in five of their past seven outings. The Angels have won just seven of their past 26 games overall, and they're a dismal 2-14 in their past 16 games against American League East opponents. They're also 1-7 in their past eight games against right-handed starting pitching, and they're winless in their past four road outings. The Halos have also failed to win eight straight road games against a team with a winning home record.
Hottest pitcher: Doug Fister, Astros (8-4, 3.36 ERA)
Doug Fister has won seven of his past eight decisions dating back to April 25, and he wrapped up the month of June with a season-best 2.45 ERA in five starts. His quality start streak was snapped at five last time out in Kansas City, but he has been better at home lately. Overall, he is 3-1 with a 3.58 ERA in six starts at Minute Maid Park, and he has helpd opponents to a minuscule .212 batting average. The Astros are 10-1 in Fister's past 11 outings, and 5-0 in his past five at home. He has been a stopper, too, going 7-0 in Fister's past seven starts following a Houston loss in their previous outing.
Coldest pitcher: Clay Buchholz, Red Sox (3-8, 5.90 ERA)
Buchholz has fallen apart this season, losing five of his past six decisions, including each of his past two starts since returning from a banishment to the bullpen. Since the start of the 2013 season, Buchholz has been terrible at Fenway Park, going 13-18 with a 4.49 ERA in 43 appearances (41 starts). That includes a dismal 1-5 record with a 5.69 ERA with 11 homers served up in 49 innings and a .269 opponent batting average. The Red Sox are 3-12 in Buchholz's past 15 home starts against a team with a losing record, 8-21 in his past 29 starts overall and 0-4 in his past four overall.
Biggest UNDER run: Blue Jays (7-3 past 10)
The Blue Jays have managed a total of two runs in the first two games in this series, and that production is over 28 frames after Friday's marathon 19-inning loss.The Jays have managed two or fewer runs in six of their past 12 outings. The Jays have Marco Estrada on the hill Saturday, and the Jays are 8-0 in his past eight assignments against AL Central foes, and 17-4 in his past 21 starts against teams with a winning overal record. Toronto is also 16-5 in Estrada's past 21 home outings, and 22-8-1 in his past 31 starts overall.
Biggest OVER run: Rockies (8-2 past 10)
The Rockies have actually managed a total of three runs over their past two games, although the over is 8-2 in their past 10 outings overall. In fact, the Rockies have managed to plate nine or more runs in five of the past seven, and it's a good bet they'll score frequently against Scott Kazmir. The over is 4-1 in his past five starts overall, 4-1 in his past five against NL West foes and 5-1 in his past six against teams with an overall losing record.
Matchup to watch: Diamondbacks vs. Giants
The San Francisco Giants have been red hot lately, winning 12 of their past 15 games against a left-handed starter. They're also 9-2 in their past 11 road games vs. LHP. The Giants have turned up the intensity lately, going 23-8 in their past 31 road games and 35-16 in their past 51 against teams with a losing overall record. On the flip side, the Snakes have dropped six in a row, and they're just 2-5 in Patrick Corbin's past seven outings. They're also 0-7 in his past seven starts at home. San Francisco has won each of the past five meetings, and they're 39-19 in their past 58 trips to the desert.
Betcha didn’t know: The Pirates and Athletics have a couple of unlikely heroes on the hill. Pittsburgh's Chad Kuhl made his first career start last Sunday, besting Clayton Kershaw and the Dodgers. Kuhl was also 6-2 with a 2.58 ERA in 14 outings for Triple-A Indianapolis, so winning has been the Delaware native's thing. Southpaw Rich Hill (groin) comes off the 15-day disabled list for the A's, and he looks to win his sixth straight start. He is also 3-1 with a 3.79 ERA in seven career outings against the Pirates.
Biggest public favorite: Nationals (-200) vs. Reds
Biggest public underdog: Orioles (+140) at Mariners
Biggest line move: Mariners (-120 to -140) vs. Orioles