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MLB Betting News and Notes Saturday, July 30

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National League

Cardinals @ Marlins
Garcia is 1-1, 5.02 in his last four starts; under is 8-6-1 in his last 15. Cardinals are 6-3 in his road starts.
Rea makes his Miami debut here; he was 0-2, 5.74 in his last three starts for San Diego. Over is 9-4 in his last 13 starts.
Cardinals won six of last seven road games; five of their last seven games went over. Miami is 4-6 in its last ten games; their last three games went over.

Rockies @ Mets
De la Rosa is 2-2, 3.34 in his last five road starts (over 9-5). Colorado is 4-5 when he starts on the road.
Colon is 3-1, 5.86 in his last five starts; under is 5-1-1 in his last seven. Mets are 5-4 in his home starts.
Colorado won eight of its last nine games; under is 10-2-2 in their last 14 games. Mets lost seven of last eight home games; under is 8-2-1 in last eleven games at Citi Field.

Phillies @ Braves
Hellickson is 3-1, 2.37 in his last six starts; his last seven stayed under. Phillies are 5-4 in his road starts.
Teheran is 1-1, 2.21 in his last six starts; under is 11-3 in his last 14. Braves are somehow 1-10 in his home starts.
Phillies lost five of last seven games; under is 10-5 in their last 15 games. Atlanta is 5-9 in its last 14 games; seven of last 11 games at Turner Field went over the total.

Pirates @ Brewers
Taillon is 1-0, 3.00 in his last three starts; four of his last five starts went over.
Anderson is 1-4, 8.75 in his last six starts; over is 5-1-1 in his last seven. Milwaukee is 4-5 in his home starts.
Pirates lost four of last five road games (over 4-1 in last five overall). Brewers won five of last seven games; under is 9-4-1 in last 14 games at Miller Park.

Diamondbacks @ Dodgers
Shipley allowed six runs in 5.1 IP (101 PT) in his first MLB start.
Kazmir is 4-0, 3.81 in his last five starts; seven of his last nine went over. Dodgers won five of his last six home starts.
Arizona lost eight of last 11 games; over is 4-1-1 in their last six. Dodgers won four of last five games; under is 13-4 in their last 17 home games.

Nationals @ Giants
Lopez allowed six runs in 4.2 IP (108 PT) in his MLB debut.
Peavy is 1-3, 7.11 in his last five starts; six of his last eight stayed under. Giants won five of his last six home starts.
Nationals are 9-5 in last 14 games; six of last seven Washington road games stayed under. San Francisco lost 11 of last 13 games, six of last seven Giant home games stayed under the total.

Reds @ Padres
DeSclafani is 5-0, 3.40 in his last six starts (under 3-1-2). Reds are 3-2 in his road starts.
Friedrich is 0-4, 8.87 in his last five starts (over 10-3). San Diego is 3-2 when he starts at home.
Reds won eight of last 11 games; three of their last five went over. San Diego lost eight of last 11 games; three of their last five went over. Padres waved white flag yesterday by trading two starting pitchers to Miami.

American League

Orioles @ Blue Jays
Gallardo is 0-1, 4.88 in his last five starts; seven of his last nine stayed under. Baltimore is 3-4 in his road starts.
Happ is 7-0, 2.98 in his last eight starts; over is 5-3-1 in his last nine. Blue Jays are 9-1 in his home starts.
Orioles lost last four games, 16 of their last 17 games stayed under the total. Toronto won four of its last five games; its last three went over.

Bronx @ Rays
Eovaldi is 2-0, 2.25 in his last two starts; three of his last four stayed under. New York lost his last four road starts.
Smyly is 0-4, 8.10 in his last five starts; over is 11-3 in his last 14. Tampa Bay is 2-6 in his home starts.
New York won seven of last 11 games (under 10-1). Tampa Bay lost four of last six games (under 6-0).

A’s @ Indians
Overton is 1-1, 8.40 in his three starts (over 2-1).
Tomlin is 1-2, 6.38 in his last three starts; three of his last four stayed under. Cleveland is 6-2 in his home starts.
A’s won five of last seven games; seven of their last ten games stayed under. Cleveland lost four of last six games (under 5-1).

Astros @ Tigers
Fiers is 4-1, 4.50 in his last seven starts; Astros scored 53 runs in the seven games. Four of his last five starts went over total.
Astros are 2-5 in his road starts.
Verlander is 3-0, 2.14 in his last five starts; under is 10-2 in his last 12. Detroit is 5-3 in his last eight home starts.
Astros lost three of last four games; under is 5-3-1 in their last nine. Detroit won its last four games; under is 5-2 in their last seven home games.

Royals @ Rangers
Kennedy is 0-4, 6.67 in his last five starts; his last three stayed under. Royals are 3-7 when he starts on the road.
Perez is 0-3, 12.05 in his last four starts; under is 6-2 in his last eight home starts. Texas won his last six home starts.
Kansas City lost eight of last nine games; under is 12-4-1 in their last 17 road games. Texas won five of last seven games; over is 10-4 in last 13 Texas home games.

White Sox @ Twins
Gonzalez is 1-1, 3.16 in his last four starts; under is 6-4 in his last ten. Chicago lost his last three road starts.
Milone is 3-1, 5.57 in his last four starts (over 5-5). Minnesota won all three of his home starts.
Chicago is 4-6 in its last ten games; under is 7-2-1 in their last ten road games. Minnesota lost three of last five games; under is 6-1-1 in Twins’ last eight home games.

Red Sox @ Angels
Pomeranz is 0-1, 7.00 in his first two starts for Boston (over 1-1).
Santiago is 5-0, 1.78 in his last five starts; three of his last four stayed under. Angels are 6-3 in his home starts.
Red Sox lost six of last eight games; last six Boston road games stayed under total. Angels won seven of last eight home games; over is 13-6 in Halos’ last 19 home games.

Interleague

Mariners @ Cubs
Miley is 0-6, 5.13 in his last six starts; his last four stayed under the total. Seattle lost his last three road starts.
Arrieta is 0-2, 5.55 in his last four starts; over is 4-1-1 in his last six. Chicago lost four of his last five home starts.
Seattle lost three of their last four games; four of their last five went over. Cubs won six of last nine games, under is 10-2-2 in Cubs’ last 14 games.

Teams won-lost records when this pitcher starts

StL-Mia– Garcia 10-10; Rea 0-0/10-8
Col-NY– De la Rosa 6-8; Colon 13-7 (8-2 last 10)
Phil-Atl– Hellickson 11-10; Teheran 5-15
Pitt-Mil– Taillon 5-2; Anderson 7-12
Az-LA– Shipley 0-1; Kazmir 12-8 (6-0 last 6)
Wsh-SF– Lopez 0-1; Peavy 10-10
Cin-SD– DeSclafani 7-2; Friedrich 6-7 (1-4 last 5)
Balt-Tor– Gallardo 8-4; Happ 15-5 (8-0 last 8 )
NY-TB– Eovaldi 10-8; Smyly 6-13 (0-6 last 6)
A’s-Clev– Overton 2-1; Tomlin 14-4
Hst-Det– Fiers 11-7; Verlander 12-9
KC-Tex– Kennedy 11-9 (0-5 last 5); Perez 11-10
Chi-Min– Gonzalez 7-8; Milone 5-5
Bos-LAA– Pomeranz 1-1/9-8; Santiago 15-6 (6-0 last 6)
Sea-Cubs– Miley 9-9 (0-6 last 6); Arrieta 13-7 (0-4 last 4)

Starting pitchers allowing 1+ runs in first inning:

StL-Mia– Garcia 7-20; Rea 0-0/9-18
Col-NY– De la Rosa 6-14; Colon 6-19
Phil-Atl– Hellickson 6-21; Teheran 4-20
Pitt-Mil– Taillon 2-7; Anderson 7-19
Az-LA– Shipley 1-1; Kazmir 11-20 (6 of last 9)
Wsh-SF– Lopez 1-1; Peavy 4-20
Cin-SD– DeSclafani 5-9; Friedrich 5-13
Balt-Tor– Gallardo 6-12; Happ 5-20
NY-TB– Eovaldi 4-18; Smyly 6-19
A’s-Clev– Overton 1-3; Tomlin 8-18
Hst-Det– Fiers 3-18; Verlander 8-21
KC-Tex– Kennedy 8-20 (5 of last 7); Perez 8-21
Chi-Min– Gonzalez 6-15; Milone 0-10
Bos-LAA– Pomeranz 3-19; Santiago 8-21 (0 of last 8 )
Sea-Cubs– Miley 7-18; Arrieta 3-20

Umpires

Wsh-SF– Under is 8-4-1 in last 13 Fairchild games.
Phil-Atl– Seven of last eight Rackley games went over.
StL-Mia– Over is 7-2-1 in last ten BWelke games.
Pitt-Mil– Over is 7-4 in last eleven Foster games.
Col-NY– Over is 10-3-1 in last 14 Porter games.
Cin-SD– Over is 5-3 in last eight Gibson games.
Az-LA– Ten of last eleven Miller games went over.
Blt-Tor– Six of last eight Reynolds games stayed under.
NY-TB– Underdogs won nine of last ten Blaser games.
Chi-Min– Under is 8-4 in last twelve Wolf games.
A’s-Clev– Last four HGibson games stayed under.
Hst-Det– Underdogs are 9-6 in last 15 Hamari games.
KC-Tex– Last three Conroy games stayed under.
Bos-LA– Home side won eight of last ten West games.
Sea-Chi– Six of last nine LBarrett games went over.

Armadillosports.com

 
Posted : July 30, 2016 7:45 am
(@blade)
Posts: 318493
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Saturday's Diamond Notes
By Tony Mejia
VegasInsider.com

Hottest team: Tigers (4-0 last four, 6-2 last eight)

Although the Astros have the top record in MLB (38-18) since May 24, they fell 14-6 on the road to sizzling Detroit, which has pulled a half-game behind them in the tightly-packed AL wild card chase. The resurgent Tigers, who came off a sweep at Fenway Park, set a new season-high for runs scored against Houston pitching, banging out 16 hits, three of them home runs. Justin Upton, Tyler Collins and James McCann went yard, so it's not the usual suspects raking for Detroit. Everyone is getting into the act. Mike Fiers (7-4, 4.69 ERA) has been perhaps the Astros' most consistent starter this season and will square off against Justin Verlander (10-6, 3.64), who has won six of his last seven decisions and is 3-0 with a 1.60 ERA over six July starts, surrendering more than one earned run in a game only once. Verlander beat the Astros 5-3 for his first win of the season back on April 16.

Coldest team: Giants (2-11 last 13)

San Francisco supported its Big Three of Madison Bumgarner, Johnny Cueto and Jeff Samardzija with just four total runs over the last three games, wasting solid pitching performances from all of them. The Giants have managed only two runs or fewer in six of the last eight games. With Hunter Pence expected to return on Saturday, Eduardo Nunez coming over from the Twins and Denard Span having returned to the starting lineup on Thursday, the hope is that they now have enough ammo to get back on track. San Francisco will take aim at 22-year-old rookie Reynaldo Lopez (0-1, 11.57), taking the ball for Washington despite giving up six runs on 10 hits in 4.2 innings in his major league debut against the Dodgers. He did manage to strike out nine, walking only one. Jake Peavy (5-9, 5.42) makes perhaps his biggest start of the season, looking to snap his first-place team's latest losing streak at three games.

Hottest pitcher: Hector Santiago (9-4, 4.28 ERA)

The Red Sox snapped a maddening four-game losing streak that saw them lose the last three by one run apiece, but they remain in third place in the AL East, clinging to the second wild card. They'll now run into one of the hottest pitchers in baseball since Santiago hasn't dropped a decision since June 10, a span of eight straight outings. The Angels have won seven of those games outright and have seen Santiago surrender three runs of fewer in seven of those starts. Included in this run is a 21-2 win at Fenway Park where Santiago allowed one unearned run over six innings on July 2. Teams have been scouting him heavily as a potential trade target, so this could be one last showcase of his abilities against a top contender.

Coldest pitcher: Wade Miley (6-8, 5.23 ERA)

It's no surprise to see the Cubs (-240) placed as the heaviest favoirite on the Saturday baseball card. Not only do they send Jake Arrieta to the mound, they'll face Seattle's slumping No. 4 starter in Miley, who hasn't won since June 7. Miley has lost six straight starts despite posting some decent numbers, but the Mariners only managed more than three runs on his behalf only once in those games, scoring one or fewer four times. Miley has given up a home run in five of those games and opponents have hit .286 against him this season. Only the Red Sox have scored more runs than the Cubs against lefties this season.

Biggest UNDER run: Orioles (16-1 last 17)

The greatest streak since Orel Hershiser’s consecutive scoreless innings run ended finally fell yesterday as the Orioles finally played a game where the posted total was surpassed. Since the Saturday prior to the All-Star break, Baltimore games had gone UNDER an incredible 16 straight times despite continuing to lead all of MLB in home runs. Sometimes Baltimore’s pitching was lights out and other times, its bats were asleep, which explains a 9-7 mark through the run. The Birds won four straight, then lost four in a row when outscored 19-4, averaging a run per game. The O’s then won five consecutive games before their current skid that reached four games despite them scoring five times, matching their largest output since July 6. Yovani Gallardo (3-2, 5.37) takes the ball for Baltimore and has pitched in four straight UNDER games. Toronto counters with J.A. Happ (13-3, 3.27), who has won seven consecutive decisions and has pitched in shutouts in two of his last three outings. If the Blue Jays win, they’ll grab the lead in the AL East.

Biggest OVER run: Diamondbacks (4-1-1 last six games; 19-9-1 last 29)

There have been at least nine runs scored in six straight games involving Arizona, which squandered a 7-3 lead after stunning L.A. with a seven-run seventh inning on Friday. The Dodgers won 9-7 to pull one game behind the slumping Giants and send Scott Kazmir (9-3, 4.35) to the mound to try and hand the Snakes their 10th loss in 12 games. The Diamondbacks are struggling despite Yasmany Tomas sporting a six-game hitting streak where he's gone 11-for-24 with four homers and 10 RBI. Rookie Braden Shipley (0-1, 10.13) will make his second career start after being lit up at Milwaukee in a 7-2 defeat that represents the lone UNDER in the streak mentioned above. The OVER is just 4-6 in Dodgers/D'Backs games to date.

Matchup to watch: Cardinals at Marlins

Since the Mets continue falling apart due to bullpen struggles and a rough stretch at the plate, these teams are in prime position to earn an NL wild card. St. Louis has overtaken Miami by winning the first two of this series in South Florida, scoring 16 runs in beating Jose Fernandez and Jose Urena. Colin Rea (5-5, 4.98), who came over from San Diego with Andrew Cashner in a blockbuster deal that cost the Fish one of their top hitting prospects, will make his debut against lefty Jaime Garcia (7-7, 3.97), who beat him 3-2 on July 20 when he was still the Padres. For added drama, Ichiro Suzuki is stuck on 2,998 hits after going 0-for-4 on Friday and is in a 2-for-14 slump. The OVER has come in four-of-five times in games between these teams thus far this season.

Betcha didn’t know: L.A.'s Kazmir helped his own cause in his last start, drilling a two-run single off rookie Mike Mayers to double his career RBI total. The Dodgers have won in six consecutive Kazmir starts despite the fact he's gotten through seven innings only once. L.A. has averaged 6.9 runs in the victories and his last three outings have all resulted in the OVER cashing.

Biggest public favorite: Tigers (-140) vs. Astros

Biggest public underdog: Royals (+125) at Rangers

Biggest line move: Pirates (-130 to -155) at Brewers

 
Posted : July 30, 2016 10:05 am
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