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MLB Betting News and Notes Saturday, October 4

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(@blade)
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SAN FRANCISCO (90 - 74) at WASHINGTON (96 - 67) - 5:35 PM

TIM HUDSON (R) vs. JORDAN ZIMMERMANN (R)

Top Trends for this game.
WASHINGTON is 96-67 (+8.6 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
WASHINGTON is 96-67 (+8.6 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
WASHINGTON is 41-24 (+11.5 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
ZIMMERMANN is 45-19 (+19.6 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
ZIMMERMANN is 25-7 (+17.4 Units) against the money line when the total is 7 or less over the last 2 seasons.
ZIMMERMANN is 45-19 (+19.6 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 90-74 (+11.1 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 45-38 (+11.1 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 29-18 (+18.2 Units) against the money line in road games in October games since 1997.
SAN FRANCISCO is 38-26 (+10.9 Units) against the money line in day games this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 90-74 (+11.1 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 60-44 (+12.3 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 51-38 (+12.5 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 20-17 (+8.3 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
HUDSON is 50-30 (+18.1 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
HUDSON is 49-29 (+17.7 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
HUDSON is 163-93 (+36.1 Units) against the money line after a win since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON is 5-3 (+0.8 Units) against SAN FRANCISCO this season
6 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+4.3 Units)

TIM HUDSON vs. WASHINGTON since 1997
HUDSON is 18-5 when starting against WASHINGTON with an ERA of 2.35 and a WHIP of 1.089.
His team's record is 21-10 (+6.2 units) in these starts. The OVER is 16-15. (-0.0 units)

JORDAN ZIMMERMANN vs. SAN FRANCISCO since 1997
ZIMMERMANN is 5-2 when starting against SAN FRANCISCO with an ERA of 2.79 and a WHIP of 1.123.
His team's record is 5-3 (+2.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 6-2. (+4.0 units)

ST LOUIS (91 - 72) at LA DODGERS (94 - 69) - 9:35 PM

LANCE LYNN (R) vs. ZACK GREINKE (R)

Top Trends for this game.
ST LOUIS is 45-44 (-7.9 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
LA DODGERS are 29-10 (+15.4 Units) against the money line in home games when playing on Saturday over the last 3 seasons.
LA DODGERS are 46-22 (+18.6 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
GREINKE is 42-21 (+15.0 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
GREINKE is 24-6 (+14.2 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
GREINKE is 42-21 (+15.0 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
GREINKE is 45-20 (+18.1 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 3 seasons.
GREINKE is 22-8 (+12.4 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons
ST LOUIS is 197-145 (+16.2 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 153-100 (+27.9 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 41-30 (+8.8 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
ST LOUIS is 22-13 (+10.1 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season this season.
LA DODGERS are 45-37 (-6.9 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
LA DODGERS are 45-37 (-6.9 Units) against the money line in home games in games played on a grass field this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
ST LOUIS is 4-4 (+1.2 Units) against LA DODGERS this season
5 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.8 Units)

LANCE LYNN vs. LA DODGERS since 1997
LYNN is 4-1 when starting against LA DODGERS with an ERA of 4.31 and a WHIP of 1.564.
His team's record is 4-2 (+2.1 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-4. (-2.5 units)

ZACK GREINKE vs. ST LOUIS since 1997
GREINKE is 10-5 when starting against ST LOUIS with an ERA of 3.39 and a WHIP of 1.186.
His team's record is 10-6 (+3.7 units) in these starts. The OVER is 7-9. (-2.7 units)

SAN FRANCISCO vs. WASHINGTON
San Francisco is 4-8 SU in its last 12 games when playing Washington
San Francisco is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Washington's last 10 games when playing at home against San Francisco
Washington is 9-3 SU in its last 12 games when playing at home against San Francisco

ST. LOUIS vs. LA DODGERS

The total has gone UNDER in 10 of St. Louis's last 15 games when playing LA Dodgers
St. Louis is 11-5 SU in its last 16 games
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of LA Dodgers's last 15 games when playing St. Louis
LA Dodgers are 4-2 SU in their last 6 games when playing at home against St. Louis

StatFox Super Situations

SAN FRANCISCO at WASHINGTON
Play On - Any team (SAN FRANCISCO) terrible speed team - averaging 0.35 or less SB's/game on the season against opponent with a hot starting pitcher- ERA less than 2.50 over his last 5 starts 183-152 over the last 5 seasons. ( 54.6% | 50.8 units ) 23-34 this year. ( 40.4% | -10.2 units )

StatFox Situational Power Trends

SAN FRANCISCO at WASHINGTON
SAN FRANCISCO is 35-20 (+19.0 Units) against the money line in Road games vs. NL teams scoring 4.3 or less runs/game on the season this season.
The average score was: SAN FRANCISCO (4.3) , OPPONENT (3.3)

 
Posted : October 4, 2014 5:58 am
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Posts: 318493
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MLB Playoffs

Giants-Nationals

Hudson is 0-4, 9.18 in his last four starts, but was 2-0, 0.73 vs Washington this season; he is 1-3, 3.46 in nine postseason starts, with last one in 2010; the win was in 2001.

Zimmerman threw no-hitter Sunday; Nationals won his last 11 starts- he is 6-0, 2.25 in his last seven starts. He beat Giants 6-2 August 23,, allowing two runs in eight IP. He allowed five runs in four IP in two postseason tilts (one start).

Giants are in playoffs for third time in last five years; they won World Series in 2010/2012. Giants lost six of last eight road games.

Washington won 13 of its last 17 games, eight of last 12 at home; they're in the playoffs for second time in three years, after not making it since they were the Montreal Expos back in 1981.

Hudson 18-14.........8-32 first inning
Zimmerman 23-9.......4-32 first inning

Cardinals-Dodgers

Lynn is 0-2, 2.33 in his last four starts; Cardinals scored six runs in four games. He allowed nine runs in eight IP in two starts vs LA this year. Lynn is 2-3, 6.57 in five postseason starts- he's pitched more in relief in the playoffs.

Greinke is 4-0, 2.37 in his last six starts, 1-1, 3.55 vs St Louis this season. He is 2-2, 4.30 in six career postseason starts.

St Louis is in playoffs for 4th year in row, 8th time in last 12 years-- they are 4-4 in last eight games overall, 4-6 in last ten on road.

Dodgers won five of last six games, scoring 45 runs; they're in playoffs second year in row, after missing the three years before that. LA has by far biggest payroll in baseball.

Lynn 19-14.........9-33 first inning
Greinke 19-13.............7-32 first inning

Armadillosports.com

 
Posted : October 4, 2014 5:58 am
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MLB Betting News and Notes
Covers.com

Zimmerman has been lights out entering playoffs

There is no doubt that Jordan Zimmerman has been great this year, but he ended the regular season as hot as any other pitcher in the majors. The rightie has gone 8-0 with a 1.77 ERA in 11 appearances since the start of August.

Those 11 games has seen Zimmerman strikeout 69 batters while only allowing 15 runs.

Dodgers' Greinke has plenty of history with Cardinals

After seven years across the state in Kansas City and two more years in the National Leauge Central with the Milwaukee Brewers, Los Angeles Dodgers right-hander Zack Greinke has plenty of history with the St. Louis Cardinals.

Most of it is pleasant memories for Greinke. He is 9-4 with a 3.17 ERA in 14 career regular-season appearances against the Cardinals. It is more mixed in the postseason. He won two of three starts against the Cardinals in the 2011 (with the Brewers) and 2013 (with the Dodgers) National League Championship Series.

He will face them again Saturday in Game 2 of the NL Division Series between the Dodgers and Cardinals.

 
Posted : October 4, 2014 7:41 am
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Saturday's MLB Playoff Betting Preview
By Covers.com

San Francisco Giants at Washington Nationals (-203, 7)

The San Francisco Giants attempt to extend their postseason winning streak and put a stranglehold on their National League Division Series when they visit the Washington Nationals for Game 2 on Saturday. San Francisco, which advanced to the NLDS by trouncing Pittsburgh in the wild-card game on Wednesday, built a three-run lead in Friday's series opener before holding on for a 3-2 triumph. Joe Panik, Brandon Belt and Buster Posey each delivered an RBI single while Jake Peavy yielded two hits over 5 2/3 scoreless innings as the Giants posted their ninth straight playoff victory.

NL East champion Washington made a late comeback attempt, with Bryce Harper and Asdrubal Cabrera belting solo home runs in the seventh inning, but was unable to gain the upper hand in the series. The Nationals, who finished with the best record in the NL during the regular season, look to avoid being pushed to the brink of elimination in the best-of-five series and hope to head to San Francisco with the matchup even at one win apiece. Giants veteran Tim Hudson makes his 10th career playoff start as he faces Jordan Zimmermann, who enters with one postseason start - a loss at St. Louis - under his belt.

LINE HISTORY: Pinnacle Sports opened the Nats -208, but that is now -203. The total has held at 7.

COVERS POWER RANKINGS: Giants (-184), Nationals (-199)

WEATHER: Temperatures will be in the low-60s with wind blowing across the field at 14 mph.

PITCHING MATCHUP: Giants RH Tim Hudson (9-13, 3.57 ERA) vs. Nationals RH Jordan Zimmermann (14-5, 2.66)

Hudson struggled down the stretch, losing each of his last four outings to extend his winless streak to six starts. The 39-year-old, who hasn't pitched in the postseason since 2010 while with Atlanta, has surrendered three or more runs in five straight starts and at least five in three of those contests. Hudson improved to 18-5 in 31 career turns against the Nationals franchise on Aug. 22, when he allowed two runs - one earned - over 5 1/3 innings at Washington.

Zimmermann is coming off the best performance of his career as he tossed the first no-hitter in Nationals history on Sept. 28 against Miami. The 28-year-old won each of his last eight decisions during the regular season, ending the campaign with a 13-start unbeaten streak after losing at Philadelphia on July 11. Zimmermann raised his career record versus San Francisco to 5-2 on Aug. 23 as he yielded only two runs while striking out eight in as many innings.

TRENDS:

* Nationals are 4-0 in Zimmermann's last four home starts vs. Giants.
* Over is 5-1 in the last six meetings.
* Giants are 6-0 in their last six Divisional Playoff road games.
* Under is 13-3 in Nationals last 16 overall.

COVERS CONSENSUS:
62 percent of wagers on Covers Consensus are backing the Nationals.

St. Louis Cardinals at Los Angeles Dodgers (-162, 7)

The Los Angeles Dodgers look to shake off a disappointing loss and even their National League Division Series at one win apiece when they host the St. Louis Cardinals on Saturday. NL West champion Los Angeles appeared on its way to victory in Friday's opener as Cy Young Award favorite Clayton Kershaw was staked to a 6-2 lead after six innings. But St. Louis touched the 21-game winner for six runs and six hits during an eight-run seventh and held off a late comeback attempt to emerge with a thrilling 10-9 triumph.

Los Angeles outhit NL Central champion St. Louis 16-10 but went just 4-for-14 with runners in scoring position and stranded 11 while the Cardinals left just one runner on base. Matt Carpenter belted a solo homer and put St. Louis ahead with a three-run double during the huge seventh inning while Matt Holliday capped it with a three-run blast. A.J. Ellis highlighted a 4-for-5 performance with a two-run homer and Adrian Gonzalez added a two-run shot of his own for the Dodgers, who hope to avoid falling into an 0-2 hole in the best-of-five series.

LINE HISTORY: Pinnacle Sports opened the Dodgers -160 but that has gone to -162. The total has held at 7.

COVERS POWER RANKINGS: Cardinals (-192), Dodgers (-202)

WEATHER: Temperatures in the mid-80s under clear skies. Wind will blow slightly out to right field at 5 mph.

PITCHING MATCHUP: Cardinals RH Lance Lynn (15-10, 2.74 ERA) vs. Dodgers RH Zach Greinke (17-8, 2.71)

Lynn ended the regular season with a four-game winless streak but produced quality starts in each of his last nine outings. The 27-year-old hasn't allowed more than three runs since June 28, when he was tagged for seven - six earned - over two innings in a loss to Saturday's counterpart Zach Greinke at Los Angeles. Lynn is 3-1 in five career starts against the Dodgers but owns a hefty 4.50 ERA.

Greinke finished the 2014 campaign with an eight-game unbeaten streak that included five victories. The 30-year-old former American League Cy Young Award winner allowed more than two earned runs only twice during his run and yielded fewer than two on four occasions. Greinke fell to 9-4 in 14 career games - 12 starts - against the Cardinals on July 19, when he surrendered four runs on six hits and five walks over 5 2/3 innings at St. Louis.

TRENDS:

* Cardinals are 4-1 in Lynn's last five starts vs. Dodgers.
* Cardinals are 7-1 in their last eight vs. National League West.
* Dodgers are 5-0 in Greinke's last five starts.
* Over is 21-4-2 in Dodgers last 27 overall.

COVERS CONSENSUS: 68.33 percent of wagers on Covers Consensus are backing the Dodgers.

 
Posted : October 4, 2014 11:14 am
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