MLB Playoffs
Detroit is 5-3 vs Oakland this year, but Verlander is three of the five wins; A's have won eight of last ten games, Tigers nine of last 11. Winning team scored 10+ runs in four of eight series games. Milone is 2-0, 3.58 in last five starts; he was 1-0, 3.86 in two starts vs Detroit this year-- he started only game the A's won here, back on Sept 20. Fister is 1-2, 3.96 in his last four starts-- Detroit won his last four home starts. Fister lost 3-1 in Oakland May 12, allowing one run in six IP. A's are only road team to lose in first four playoff games.
Washington is 4-3 vs World Champ Cardinals this year, with home side 5-2 in those games; six of the seven games went over total. Not sure if Strasburg not pitching matters here, but he is Washington's best pitcher and he is inactive. Gonzalez won 21 games, is 5-1, 1.80 in his last six starts; om August 31, he threw 5-hit shutout vs St Louis (won 10-0). Just for the record, Strasburg blanked the Cards on two hits over six innings on Sept 2nd. Wainwright is 1-3, 6.34 in his last six starts, but the win was Sept 28 against Washington- they KO'd him in 3rd inning of that August 31 game.
Bronx-Baltimore split 18 games this year, with road team winning 12 of the 18 games (6-3 in each park). Last five series games all went over total. Hammel (knee) hasn't pitched since Sept 11; he had a 3.09 RA in his last three starts, and was 0-1, 4.50 in three starts vs Bronx this season. Sabathia is 2-0, 1.50 in his last three starts, going 8 innings in all three; he is 0-2, 6.38 in three starts against Baltimore this year. Keep in mind this is first time in years Bombers don't have Rivera to lean on to close out a playoff game.
Arroyo is 0-3, 4.32 in his last four starts; he allowed four runs in 11 IP in his two no-decisions against Giants this year. Bumgarner was 2-2, 6.15 in his five September starts; he threw one-hitter vs Cincinnati here June 28. Reds/Giants are both 11-6 in last 17 games- Reds are 5-3 against SF this year, with 5-2 win last night first of the five games here to go over total. Cueto got back spasms after eight pitches last night, had to leave, which fouled up rotation but Latos bailed them out with stellar effort in long relief.
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WASHINGTON (98 - 64) at ST LOUIS (89 - 74) - 3:05 PM
GIO GONZALEZ (L) vs. ADAM WAINWRIGHT (R)
Top Trends for this game.
ST LOUIS is 17-8 (+12.2 Units) against the money line in October games over the last 3 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 49-36 (+13.5 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 98-64 (+22.9 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
WASHINGTON is 48-33 (+14.4 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
WASHINGTON is 95-64 (+19.0 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
WASHINGTON is 69-45 (+16.2 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
WASHINGTON is 59-38 (+13.5 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
WASHINGTON is 47-35 (+10.0 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
WASHINGTON is 39-30 (+13.5 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
GONZALEZ is 24-8 (+14.5 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
GONZALEZ is 14-4 (+9.7 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
GONZALEZ is 25-10 (+13.6 Units) against the money line in day games over the last 2 seasons.
GONZALEZ is 24-8 (+14.5 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
GONZALEZ is 16-5 (+9.8 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
ST LOUIS is 89-74 (-3.7 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
ST LOUIS is 8-15 (-9.3 Units) against the money line when the total is 7 or less this season.
ST LOUIS is 89-74 (-3.7 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
ST LOUIS is 26-35 (-16.8 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
WAINWRIGHT is 10-16 (-13.3 Units) against the money line when the total is 7 or less since 1997.
Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON is 4-3 (+1.0 Units) against ST LOUIS this season
6 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+5.0 Units)
GIO GONZALEZ vs. ST LOUIS since 1997
GONZALEZ is 1-0 when starting against ST LOUIS with an ERA of 0.00 and a WHIP of 0.889.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-0. (+1.1 units)
ADAM WAINWRIGHT vs. WASHINGTON since 1997
WAINWRIGHT is 4-3 when starting against WASHINGTON with an ERA of 3.78 and a WHIP of 1.447.
His team's record is 4-4 (-1.7 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 4-3. (+0.4 units)
CINCINNATI (97 - 65) at SAN FRANCISCO (94 - 68) - 9:35 PM
BRONSON ARROYO (R) vs. MADISON BUMGARNER (L)
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
CINCINNATI is 4-3 (+1.4 Units) against SAN FRANCISCO this season
4 of 6 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.8 Units)
BRONSON ARROYO vs. SAN FRANCISCO since 1997
ARROYO is 3-5 when starting against SAN FRANCISCO with an ERA of 2.93 and a WHIP of 1.415.
His team's record is 4-7 (-3.2 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 9-1. (+7.8 units)
MADISON BUMGARNER vs. CINCINNATI since 1997
BUMGARNER is 1-2 when starting against CINCINNATI with an ERA of 5.16 and a WHIP of 1.279.
His team's record is 1-3 (-2.2 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 2-2. (-0.1 units)
OAKLAND (94 - 68) at DETROIT (88 - 74) - 12:05 PM
TOM MILONE (L) vs. DOUG FISTER (R)
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
DETROIT is 4-3 (+0.1 Units) against OAKLAND this season
5 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+3.1 Units)
TOM MILONE vs. DETROIT since 1997
MILONE is 1-0 when starting against DETROIT with an ERA of 3.08 and a WHIP of 1.542.
His team's record is 2-0 (+2.5 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-0. (+2.2 units)
DOUG FISTER vs. OAKLAND since 1997
FISTER is 5-4 when starting against OAKLAND with an ERA of 2.45 and a WHIP of 1.212.
His team's record is 5-6 (-0.2 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 6-4. (+1.5 units)
NY YANKEES (95 - 67) at BALTIMORE (94 - 69) - 6:05 PM
C.C. SABATHIA (L) vs. JASON HAMMEL (R)
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
BALTIMORE is 9-9 (+4.1 Units) against NY YANKEES this season
9 of 18 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=-0.7 Units, Under=-1.1 Units)
C.C. SABATHIA vs. BALTIMORE since 1997
SABATHIA is 16-4 when starting against BALTIMORE with an ERA of 3.12 and a WHIP of 1.136.
His team's record is 19-6 (+8.1 units) in these starts. The OVER is 14-9. (+4.4 units)
JASON HAMMEL vs. NY YANKEES since 1997
HAMMEL is 1-3 when starting against NY YANKEES with an ERA of 5.53 and a WHIP of 1.574.
His team's record is 3-5 (+0.1 units) in these starts. The OVER is 4-4. (-0.4 units)
OAKLAND vs. DETROIT
Oakland is 4-8 SU in its last 12 games on the road
Oakland is 16-8 SU in its last 24 games on the road
Detroit is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 15 of Detroit's last 23 games at home
WASHINGTON vs. ST. LOUIS
Washington is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Washington's last 5 games on the road
St. Louis is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games when playing Washington
The total has gone OVER in 5 of St. Louis's last 6 games when playing at home against Washington
NY YANKEES vs. BALTIMORE
NY Yankees are 5-1 SU in their last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of NY Yankees's last 7 games when playing on the road against Baltimore
Baltimore is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
Baltimore is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games
CINCINNATI vs. SAN FRANCISCO
Cincinnati is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games when playing San Francisco
Cincinnati is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games on the road
San Francisco is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of San Francisco's last 6 games when playing at home against Cincinnati
Washington at St. Louis
Gonzalez: 14-4 TSR in road games
Wainwright: St. Louis 8-15 SU with a total of 7 runs or less
Cincinnati at San Francisco
Arroyo: 13-3 Under in road games
Bumgarner: 20-5 TSR as a home favorite
Oakland at Detroit
Milone: 16-4 TSR in the second half of the season
Fister: 20-37 TSR with a total of 7 to 8.5 runs
NY Yankees at Baltimore
Sabathia: Yankes 14-24 SU away off BB home games
Hammel: Baltimore 20-10 SU off a win by 4+ runs