Sunday's Streaking and Slumping Starting Pitchers
By Covers.com
Streaking
Jered Weaver, Los Angeles Angels (10-1, 1.96 ERA)
Weaver is making sure he’s not passed up for the AL Cy Young this season, stringing together four straight wins and going 5-0 in his last seven appearances. The Halos’ hurler gave up just one earned run in his 27 2-3 innings heading into the break.
A.J. Burnett, Pittsburgh Pirates (10-2, 3.68 ERA)
Burnett’s tenure with the Bucs got off to a rough start, breaking his face during spring training and then going 1-2 in his first three starts for Pittsburgh. Since then, the veteran righty is 9-0 in his last dozen trips to the mound. However, while Burnett has been superb at PNC Park (6-0, 2.10 ERA), he’s not as sharp on the road (4-2, 6.55 ERA).
Slumping
Stephen Strasburg, Washington Nationals (9-4, 2.82 ERA)
The Nationals are sticking to their guns when it comes to the innings limit for Strasburg, which doesn’t sit well with the budding ace. The right-hander has dropped three straight decisions after winning six in row, but that skid has more to do with a lack of run support and bad bullpen than Strasburg.
Josh Beckett, Boston Red Sox (4-7, 4.43 ERA)
Beckett hasn’t picked up a “W” since May 20, going 0-3 in the following six starts. The BoSox ace has traditionally suffered a dip in performance after the break, which doesn’t bode well for Red Sox Nation. Luckily, he owns the Rays with a 10-4 career record and 2.82 ERA versus Tampa Bay.
Sunday Night Baseball: Cardinals at Reds
By Steve Merril
Covers.com
St. Louis Cardinals at Cincinnati Reds (-155, 8.5)
The Cincinnati Reds and St. Louis Cardinals have the spotlight on Sunday night as they continue to battle for supremacy in a crowded National League Central division.
GO WEST YOUNG MAN
Jake Westbrook gets the start for the Cardinals. He has pitched consistently for St. Louis over the past month after a rough patch in May. The righty has allowed two runs or less in three of his last four starts.
Westbrook has been able to keep the walks down which has been the key to his recent success. Westbrook has walked two hitters or less in seven straight games and eight of his last 10 starts overall.
He hasn’t faced the Reds since April 9, when he picked up a win giving up only one run and three hits in seven innings. Westbrook has made three starts in Cincinnati between his time with St. Louis and Cleveland, allowing just three earned runs total in those outings for a fantastic 1.45 ERA and 1.13 WHIP.
TAKE THAT TONY
Johnny Cueto may have a little extra motivation for this game as he gets over the snub he received from former Cardinals' manager Tony La Russa.
Cueto has been great for the Reds this season and rightfully deserved a spot on the NL All-Star team. He has allowed two runs or less in six of his last 10 starts and hasn't really been hit hard since his May 25 appearance at home against Colorado, when he allowed five runs and 11 hits.
In a span of six days in April, the Reds starter faced the Cardinals twice, giving up only four runs and 14 hits in 12 innings of work for a solid 3.00 ERA and 1.33 WHIP. The Reds have now won three straight home starts versus the Cardinals with Cueto on the mound since last season.
CLEAN BILL OF HEALTH
Both teams enter Sunday night's game pretty healthy.
The Cardinals are without Jaime Garcia, Chris Carpenter and Kyle McClellan. They may have Lance Berkman in time for Sunday night's contest.
Cincinnati's injury list features Ryan Madson and Nick Masset from their bullpen. Scott Rolen is working his way back from injury getting some work on Friday.
TRENDS
Cardinals are 4-1 in Westbrook's last five Sunday starts
Cardinals are 1-4 in Westbrook's last five road starts vs. a team with a winning record
Reds are 11-4 in their last 15 Sunday games
Reds are 18-7 in Cueto's last 25 starts
HITTERS TO WATCH
Jon Jay 10-for-21 vs. Cueto
Matt Holliday 9-for-27 vs. Cueto
Brandon Phillips 7-for-17 vs. Westbrook
Jay Bruce 3-for-12 vs. Westbrook
MLB: Streaks, Tips, Notes
Sportspic.com
Angels @ Yankees
The marquee matchup Sunday afternoon takes place at Yankee Stadium as Bombers aim for a sweep sending Ivan Nova (10-3, 3.92 ERA) to the mound while Halos try to salvage a victory handing the ball to Jered Weaver (10-1, 1.96 ERA). Nova off a win over arch-rival Boston striking out 10 while allowing two runs (one earned) on six hits over six innings will face the Angels for the second time this season. The hurler beat Angels on May 30 despite allowing five runs on eight hits in 6 2/3 innings bringing his life-time record to 3-1 in his four career starts against LAA. Weaver tossing back-2-back shutouts and his third in four starts since returning off DL is undefeated in seven consecutive starts with Halos a perfect 7-0 over the stretch. Weaver has started against Yankees eleven times posting a 5-2 mark with Angels 8-3 over the span. Yankees pegged -$1.20 favorite face a tough test. Nova is not as sharp in a home uniform (3-2, 4.70 ERA) as he is wearing road duds (7-1, 3.36 ERA) and Weaver in tremendous form should be enough to carry LAA to a win. Halos are not only 5-2 on the road avoiding a sweep but also on an 8-1 streak with Weaver following a loss the previous day. Stay with the visitors as Nova falls to 0-2 vs LAA hooked against Weaver.
Phillies @ Rockies
The one pitcher on the Phillies’ staff this season that has not disappointed is Cole Hamels, and he will get the chance to close out this series sweep when he gets the call for Sunday’s afternoon matinee. Hamels is 10-4 with a team-best 3.20 ERA, and he’s given Philadelphia at least six innings of quality work in 16 straight starts since his opening appearance. Fortunately for the Rockies they have a starter who has been hot enough of late that he might be able to match Hamels. Drew Pomeranz has thrown 12.1 straight shutout innings since being recalled from Triple-A, and if the Rockies’ bats get going they could spoil the Phillies’ online betting party.
Hot pitchers
-- Nolasco is 2-0, 1.83 in his last three starts.
-- Burnett is 5-0, 3.55 in his last six starts.
-- Gallardo is 1-1, 2.45 in his last three outings.
-- Hamels is 1-1, 2.89 in his last four starts.
-- Pomeranz has a 2.05 RA in his last four starts.
-- Cueto is 5-2, 2.37 in his last seven starts.
-- Westbrook is 2-1, 3.21 in his last five starts.
-- Weaver is 4-0, 0.33 since coming off the DL.
-- Nova is 2-0, 1.17 in his last two home outings.
-- Villanueva is 1-0, 2.45 in two starts for Toronto.
-- Verlander is 4-1, 2.77 in his last five starts.
-- Gonzalez allowed one run in seven IP in his first '12 start.
-- Parker is 3-1, 2.59 in his last five starts.
-- Sale is 2-0, 1.21 in his last three starts.
-- Harrison is 8-1, 1.52 in his last nine starts.
Cold pitchers
-- Strasburg is 0-3, 5.40 in his last three starts.
-- JSantana is 0-1, 8.53 in two starts against Atlanta this year.
-- Sheets makes his first start since he made 20 starts in '10 (he also missed all of '09). For his career, Sheets is 90-92, 3.79 in 241 career starts.
-- Cahill is 2-2, 7.13 in his last four starts.
-- Garza is 2-3, 5.72 in his last five.
-- Norris is 0-5, 8.35 in his last five starts.
-- Cain is 1-1, 4.26 in his last four.
-- Billingsley is 0-5, 6.52 in his last five starts.
-- Marquis is 0-4, 5.74 in his last five starts.
-- Lowe is 1-3, 7.94 in his last six starts.
-- Shields is 1-1, 6.07 in his last four starts.
-- Beckett is 0-3, 4.91 in his last five starts.
-- Duensing is 0-3, 7.15 in his last three starts.
-- Mendoza is 1-2, 3.93 in his last three outings.
-- Iwakuma allowed three runs in five IP in his first '12 start.
Hot Teams
-- Cubs won seven of their last eight home games.
-- Washington won nine of its last 14 games.
-- Marlins won five of their last six home games.
-- Reds won eight of their last eleven home games.
-- Braves won seven of their last eight games.
-- Pirates won 11 of their last 14 games.
-- Milwaukee is 11-6 in its last 17 home games.
-- Bronx won six of its last seven games.
-- Indians are 8-5 in their last thirteen games.
-- Detroit won six of its last seven games.
-- White Sox won ten of their last fourteen games.
-- Kansas City won four of its last five home games.
-- A's won eight of their last nine games.
Cold Teams
-- Arizona lost eight of its last ten road games.
-- Mets lost four of their last five games.
-- Philadelphia lost 11 of its last 13 games.
-- Rockies lost 11 of their last 15 home games.
-- Dodgers lost 16 of their last 22 games. San Diego lost four of five.
-- San Francisco lost seven of its last eleven games.
-- Astros lost their last 12 games on foreign soil.
-- Cardinals lost their last three road games, scoring eight runs.
-- Angels lost their last four road games, allowing 32 games.
-- Orioles lost six of their last eight home games.
-- Blue Jays are 4-6 in their last ten games.
-- Red Sox lost seven of their last nine games.
-- Tampa Bay is 6-10 in its last 16 games, 6-9 in last fifteen at home.
-- Twins lost six of their last seven games.
-- Mariners lost five of their last seven games.
-- Texas lost four of its last five games on the road.
Totals
-- Nine of last twelve Cub games stayed under the total.
-- Under is 7-2-1 in last ten Miami home games.
-- Nine of last eleven Cincinnati home games stayed under.
-- Over is 8-3-1 in Atlanta's last twelve home games.
-- Over is 24-5 in last 29 games at Miller Park.
-- Six of last eight games at Coors Field went over the total.
-- Six of last eight Dodger games stayed under the total.
-- 15 of last 22 Houston road games went over the total.
-- Nine of Angels' last eleven road games went over total.
-- Under is 11-5-2 in Cleveland's last eighteen road games.
-- Over is 5-1-2 in last eight games at Camden Yards.
-- Under is 13-3 in Boston's last sixteen road games.
-- Last three White Sox games went over the total.
-- Under is 12-4 in last sixteen Oakland games (1-3 in last four).
-- Under is 10-3 in last thirteen games at Safeco Field.
Umpires
-- Phil-Col-- Five of last seven Barry games went over the total.
-- NY-Atl-- Home side won six of last seven Bucknor games.
-- Az-Chi-- Four of last five Runge games went over the total.
-- Pitt-Mil-- Four of last five Vanover games went over the total.
-- StL-Cin-- Under is 5-2-1 in West's last eight games behind plate.
-- Wsh-Mia-- Four of last five Foster games stayed under.
-- Hst-SF-- Road team won five of last six Winters games.
-- SD-LA-- Home side won seven of last nine Davis games.
-- LA-NY-- Last ten TWelke games stayed under the total.
-- Cle-Tor-- Six of last seven Marquez games stayed under total.
-- Det-Balt-- Over is 7-2-1 in last ten Timmons games.
-- A's-Min-- Three of last four Porter games went over total.
-- Chi-KC-- All three Baker games went under, with home side 3-0.
-- Bos-TB-- Seven of last ten Dimuro games stayed under; home team won the last five.
-- Tex-Sea-- Over is 9-3-1 in last thirteen Cederstrom games.
Armadillosports.com
WASHINGTON (50 - 35) at MIAMI (42 - 45) - 1:10 PM
STEPHEN STRASBURG (R) vs. RICKY NOLASCO (R)
Top Trends for this game.
MIAMI is 309-334 (+48.8 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1997.
WASHINGTON is 50-35 (+9.7 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
WASHINGTON is 53-46 (+18.4 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 127-117 (+15.5 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 96-88 (+15.7 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI is 42-45 (-9.8 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
MIAMI is 54-70 (-28.7 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI is 113-130 (-20.2 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI is 27-32 (-9.7 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
MIAMI is 19-27 (-10.3 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
NOLASCO is 14-23 (-13.8 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 3 seasons.
NOLASCO is 14-23 (-13.8 Units) against the money line in home games in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.
NOLASCO is 6-15 (-11.4 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
MIAMI is 4-3 (+0.8 Units) against WASHINGTON this season
5 of 6 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+3.8 Units)
STEPHEN STRASBURG vs. MIAMI since 1997
STRASBURG is 2-1 when starting against MIAMI with an ERA of 2.22 and a WHIP of 0.953.
His team's record is 3-2 (-0.9 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 4-1. (+2.8 units)
RICKY NOLASCO vs. WASHINGTON since 1997
NOLASCO is 8-3 when starting against WASHINGTON with an ERA of 3.92 and a WHIP of 1.108.
His team's record is 9-5 (+2.5 units) in these starts. The OVER is 5-9. (-4.6 units)
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NY METS (46 - 42) at ATLANTA (48 - 39) - 1:35 PM
JOHAN SANTANA (L) vs. BEN SHEETS (R)
Top Trends for this game.
ATLANTA is 29-18 (+10.0 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
NY METS are 46-42 (+7.7 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
NY METS are 63-60 (+20.5 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons.
NY METS are 18-14 (+8.6 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season.
NY METS are 22-15 (+7.8 Units) against the money line in day games this season.
NY METS are 119-125 (+3.5 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
NY METS are 34-22 (+15.1 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
NY METS are 30-29 (+10.8 Units) against the money line in road games after a loss over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 24-28 (-15.4 Units) against the money line in home games against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 4-11 (-9.1 Units) against the money line in home games against left-handed starters this season.
SHEETS is 26-40 (-25.6 Units) against the money line in home games against division opponents since 1997.
Head-to-Head Series History
NY METS is 4-4 (+0.8 Units) against ATLANTA this season
5 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.7 Units)
JOHAN SANTANA vs. ATLANTA since 1997
SANTANA is 3-7 when starting against ATLANTA with an ERA of 2.53 and a WHIP of 1.301.
His team's record is 5-9 (-7.3 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 12-2. (+9.9 units)
BEN SHEETS vs. NY METS since 1997
SHEETS is 4-2 when starting against NY METS with an ERA of 4.56 and a WHIP of 1.331.
His team's record is 4-4 (+0.5 units) in these starts. The OVER is 6-2. (+3.8 units)
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PITTSBURGH (49 - 38) at MILWAUKEE (41 - 46) - 2:10 PM
A.J. BURNETT (R) vs. YOVANI GALLARDO (R)
Top Trends for this game.
PITTSBURGH is 31-57 (-24.9 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
BURNETT is 72-98 (-32.4 Units) against the money line in road games since 1997.
MILWAUKEE is 85-48 (+23.1 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 37-17 (+15.5 Units) against the money line in home games after a loss over the last 2 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 49-38 (+19.3 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
PITTSBURGH is 15-7 (+10.4 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 this season.
PITTSBURGH is 57-69 (+12.8 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 21-12 (+12.6 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season.
PITTSBURGH is 19-11 (+11.7 Units) against the money line in day games this season.
PITTSBURGH is 49-38 (+19.3 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
PITTSBURGH is 35-29 (+13.0 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
PITTSBURGH is 22-11 (+12.1 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
BURNETT is 13-2 (+12.6 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
BURNETT is 14-3 (+10.3 Units) against the money line in day games over the last 2 seasons.
BURNETT is 13-2 (+12.6 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
BURNETT is 7-0 (+7.4 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
BURNETT is 7-0 (+7.6 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
MILWAUKEE is 41-46 (-13.8 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
MILWAUKEE is 12-17 (-9.5 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 this season.
MILWAUKEE is 14-22 (-13.3 Units) against the money line in day games this season.
MILWAUKEE is 41-46 (-13.8 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
MILWAUKEE is 29-34 (-11.6 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
MILWAUKEE is 114-168 (-48.6 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1997.
GALLARDO is 24-33 (-18.8 Units) against the money line in day games since 1997.
Head-to-Head Series History
PITTSBURGH is 3-2 (+1.9 Units) against MILWAUKEE this season
4 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+3.0 Units)
A.J. BURNETT vs. MILWAUKEE since 1997
BURNETT is 2-2 when starting against MILWAUKEE with an ERA of 5.68 and a WHIP of 1.447.
His team's record is 4-2 (+1.2 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-5. (-4.7 units)
YOVANI GALLARDO vs. PITTSBURGH since 1997
GALLARDO is 7-1 when starting against PITTSBURGH with an ERA of 1.91 and a WHIP of 1.152.
His team's record is 10-1 (+8.5 units) in these starts. The OVER is 3-8. (-5.7 units)
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ARIZONA (42 - 45) at CHICAGO CUBS (35 - 52) - 2:20 PM
TREVOR CAHILL (R) vs. MATT GARZA (R)
Top Trends for this game.
ARIZONA is 139-117 (+18.0 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 26-14 (+11.0 Units) against the money line when playing on Sunday over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 139-117 (+18.0 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 98-76 (+22.9 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 81-56 (+16.5 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 36-18 (+14.2 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO CUBS are 1222-1318 (-244.0 Units) against the money line in all games since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 655-612 (-143.2 Units) against the money line in home games since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 665-675 (-126.5 Units) against the money line in day games since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 1165-1234 (-221.7 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 898-966 (-163.7 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 41-65 (-18.7 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO CUBS are 68-68 (-25.7 Units) against the money line in home games after 3 or more consecutive wins since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 16-29 (-11.6 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
GARZA is 8-19 (-13.8 Units) against the money line at home with a money line of -100 to -125 since 1997.
GARZA is 34-39 (-17.4 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record since 1997.
Head-to-Head Series History
ARIZONA is 3-2 (+0.7 Units) against CHICAGO CUBS this season
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+0.9 Units)
TREVOR CAHILL vs. CHICAGO CUBS since 1997
CAHILL is 1-0 when starting against CHICAGO CUBS with an ERA of 6.35 and a WHIP of 1.411.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.2 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)
MATT GARZA vs. ARIZONA since 1997
GARZA is 1-1 when starting against ARIZONA with an ERA of 3.60 and a WHIP of 0.933.
His team's record is 1-1 (+0.1 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-2. (-2.1 units)
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PHILADELPHIA (38 - 51) at COLORADO (34 - 53) - 3:10 PM
COLE HAMELS (L) vs. DREW POMERANZ (L)
Top Trends for this game.
PHILADELPHIA is 38-51 (-25.8 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 3-12 (-11.7 Units) against the money line when playing on Sunday this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 9-20 (-14.9 Units) against the money line in day games this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 38-48 (-22.8 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 9-19 (-14.6 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters this season.
COLORADO is 34-53 (-15.4 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
COLORADO is 19-26 (-9.4 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
COLORADO is 9-30 (-25.9 Units) against the money line when playing on Sunday over the last 2 seasons.
COLORADO is 9-20 (-11.4 Units) against the money line in day games this season.
COLORADO is 34-53 (-15.4 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
COLORADO is 58-67 (-19.1 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
COLORADO is 2-3 (+0.2 Units) against PHILADELPHIA this season
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+0.9 Units)
COLE HAMELS vs. COLORADO since 1997
HAMELS is 2-3 when starting against COLORADO with an ERA of 4.58 and a WHIP of 1.285.
His team's record is 3-3 (-1.3 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 3-2. (+0.9 units)
DREW POMERANZ vs. PHILADELPHIA since 1997
No recent starts.
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HOUSTON (33 - 55) at SAN FRANCISCO (48 - 40) - 4:05 PM
BUD NORRIS (R) vs. MATT CAIN (R)
Top Trends for this game.
HOUSTON is 90-162 (-47.6 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 9-34 (-20.5 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
HOUSTON is 40-80 (-34.3 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 7 or less since 1997.
HOUSTON is 7-29 (-19.9 Units) against the money line in July games over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 10-30 (-17.6 Units) against the money line when playing on Sunday over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 23-54 (-26.4 Units) against the money line in day games over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 9-34 (-20.5 Units) against the money line in road games in games played on a grass field this season.
HOUSTON is 7-24 (-13.6 Units) against the money line in road games against right-handed starters this season.
HOUSTON is 7-26 (-15.8 Units) against the money line in road games after a loss this season.
HOUSTON is 41-81 (-24.4 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
NORRIS is 7-1 (+12.2 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1997.
Head-to-Head Series History
SAN FRANCISCO is 4-1 (+2.9 Units) against HOUSTON this season
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.0 Units)
BUD NORRIS vs. SAN FRANCISCO since 1997
NORRIS is 0-1 when starting against SAN FRANCISCO with an ERA of 4.36 and a WHIP of 0.968.
His team's record is 1-1 (+0.9 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-0. (+2.0 units)
MATT CAIN vs. HOUSTON since 1997
CAIN is 2-3 when starting against HOUSTON with an ERA of 3.99 and a WHIP of 1.035.
His team's record is 3-4 (-2.9 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 2-5. (-3.7 units)
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SAN DIEGO (35 - 54) at LA DODGERS (48 - 41) - 4:10 PM
JASON MARQUIS (R) vs. CHAD BILLINGSLEY (R)
Top Trends for this game.
SAN DIEGO is 106-146 (-25.0 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 15-37 (-16.9 Units) against the money line as a road underdog of +125 to +150 over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 42-66 (-18.6 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 106-146 (-25.0 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 10-25 (-13.6 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
LA DODGERS are 16-4 (+11.6 Units) against the money line in home games when playing on Sunday over the last 2 seasons.
LA DODGERS are 29-13 (+15.0 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 39-34 (+16.1 Units) against the money line in road games in day games over the last 3 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 41-42 (+13.2 Units) against the money line in road games against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
MARQUIS is 33-17 (+15.8 Units) against the money line when playing on Sunday since 1997.
Head-to-Head Series History
LA DODGERS is 8-3 (+4.9 Units) against SAN DIEGO this season
7 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+4.9 Units)
JASON MARQUIS vs. LA DODGERS since 1997
MARQUIS is 5-4 when starting against LA DODGERS with an ERA of 2.83 and a WHIP of 1.116.
His team's record is 7-7 (-0.3 units) in these starts. The OVER is 6-8. (-2.6 units)
CHAD BILLINGSLEY vs. SAN DIEGO since 1997
BILLINGSLEY is 11-8 when starting against SAN DIEGO with an ERA of 2.71 and a WHIP of 1.188.
His team's record is 13-9 (+1.4 units) in these starts. The OVER is 6-15. (-10.5 units)
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ST LOUIS (46 - 42) at CINCINNATI (49 - 38) - 8:05 PM
JAKE WESTBROOK (R) vs. HOMER BAILEY (R)
Top Trends for this game.
ST LOUIS is 31-33 (-10.7 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
ST LOUIS is 8-19 (-16.1 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
WESTBROOK is 47-60 (-24.3 Units) against the money line against division opponents since 1997.
ST LOUIS is 55-40 (+15.1 Units) against the money line in road games in night games over the last 2 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 31-20 (+14.2 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 87-85 (-48.2 Units) against the money line as a home favorite of -150 to -175 since 1997.
CINCINNATI is 59-70 (-21.2 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
CINCINNATI is 4-4 (+0.3 Units) against ST LOUIS this season
5 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+2.7 Units)
JAKE WESTBROOK vs. CINCINNATI since 1997
WESTBROOK is 3-1 when starting against CINCINNATI with an ERA of 3.83 and a WHIP of 1.362.
His team's record is 3-5 (-2.7 units) in these starts. The OVER is 4-4. (-0.3 units)
HOMER BAILEY vs. ST LOUIS since 1997
BAILEY is 2-6 when starting against ST LOUIS with an ERA of 5.72 and a WHIP of 1.530.
His team's record is 2-8 (-6.4 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 5-4. (+0.3 units)
LA ANGELS (48 - 40) at NY YANKEES (54 - 33) - 1:05 PM
JERED WEAVER (R) vs. IVAN NOVA (R)
Top Trends for this game.
NY YANKEES are 54-33 (+10.7 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
NY YANKEES are 62-21 (+33.8 Units) against the money line in day games over the last 2 seasons.
NY YANKEES are 53-26 (+17.1 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
NY YANKEES are 36-18 (+10.9 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
NY YANKEES are 37-18 (+13.9 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
NOVA is 32-13 (+14.0 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
NOVA is 13-3 (+8.5 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
NOVA is 23-9 (+11.3 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
LA ANGELS are 645-634 (+63.2 Units) against the money line in road games since 1997.
LA ANGELS are 110-94 (+30.5 Units) against the money line in road games when playing on Sunday since 1997.
LA ANGELS are 383-316 (+54.6 Units) against the money line in day games since 1997.
LA ANGELS are 534-521 (+65.2 Units) against the money line in road games in games played on a grass field since 1997.
LA ANGELS are 638-546 (+70.5 Units) against the money line after a loss since 1997.
LA ANGELS are 629-618 (+43.9 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.
WEAVER is 34-14 (+15.4 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
WEAVER is 33-13 (+15.7 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
NY YANKEES is 5-3 (+1.8 Units) against LA ANGELS this season
4 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=-0.2 Units, Under=-0.5 Units)
JERED WEAVER vs. NY YANKEES since 1997
WEAVER is 5-2 when starting against NY YANKEES with an ERA of 4.84 and a WHIP of 1.321.
His team's record is 8-3 (+5.8 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 4-6. (-3.1 units)
IVAN NOVA vs. LA ANGELS since 1997
NOVA is 3-1 when starting against LA ANGELS with an ERA of 5.11 and a WHIP of 1.581.
His team's record is 3-1 (+2.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 3-1. (+2.0 units)
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CLEVELAND (45 - 42) at TORONTO (44 - 44) - 1:05 PM
DEREK LOWE (R) vs. CARLOS VILLANUEVA (R)
Top Trends for this game.
TORONTO is 316-225 (+54.4 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 9 to 9.5 since 1997.
CLEVELAND is 128-124 (+8.2 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 35-25 (+10.5 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
CLEVELAND is 24-17 (+8.4 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
Head-to-Head Series History
TORONTO is 3-2 (+0.7 Units) against CLEVELAND this season
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+0.9 Units)
DEREK LOWE vs. TORONTO since 1997
LOWE is 5-4 when starting against TORONTO with an ERA of 4.17 and a WHIP of 1.348.
His team's record is 7-4 (+1.5 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 5-5. (-0.8 units)
CARLOS VILLANUEVA vs. CLEVELAND since 1997
VILLANUEVA is 0-0 when starting against CLEVELAND with an ERA of 0.00 and a WHIP of 1.333.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)
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DETROIT (45 - 43) at BALTIMORE (46 - 41) - 1:35 PM
JUSTIN VERLANDER (R) vs. MIGUEL GONZALEZ (R)
Top Trends for this game.
DETROIT is 45-43 (-12.6 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
DETROIT is 10-15 (-11.6 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 this season.
DETROIT is 42-42 (-14.5 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
BALTIMORE is 46-41 (+12.6 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
BALTIMORE is 21-12 (+13.4 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 this season.
BALTIMORE is 17-10 (+9.2 Units) against the money line in day games this season.
BALTIMORE is 43-35 (+14.1 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
BALTIMORE is 25-20 (+8.4 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
BALTIMORE is 30-23 (+13.8 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
DETROIT is 30-11 (+18.4 Units) against the money line when playing on Sunday over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 65-41 (+15.1 Units) against the money line in day games over the last 2 seasons.
VERLANDER is 27-6 (+18.8 Units) against the money line when playing on Sunday since 1997.
VERLANDER is 55-25 (+21.4 Units) against the money line in day games since 1997.
BALTIMORE is 159-243 (-83.3 Units) against the money line when playing on Sunday since 1997.
Head-to-Head Series History
BALTIMORE is 1-1 (+0.2 Units) against DETROIT this season
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.1 Units)
JUSTIN VERLANDER vs. BALTIMORE since 1997
VERLANDER is 6-0 when starting against BALTIMORE with an ERA of 3.05 and a WHIP of 1.077.
His team's record is 8-1 (+5.5 units) in these starts. The OVER is 4-5. (-1.3 units)
MIGUEL GONZALEZ vs. DETROIT since 1997
No recent starts.
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BOSTON (44 - 44) at TAMPA BAY (46 - 42) - 1:40 PM
JOSH BECKETT (R) vs. JAMES SHIELDS (R)
Top Trends for this game.
BOSTON is 136-116 (-21.6 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 53-54 (-18.2 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 26-33 (-14.7 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
BOSTON is 60-60 (-22.4 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 27-13 (+12.3 Units) against the money line when playing on Sunday over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 456-547 (+26.8 Units) against the money line against division opponents since 1997.
BOSTON is 39-20 (+19.5 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
BOSTON is 6-5 (+0.5 Units) against TAMPA BAY this season
6 of 11 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+0.5 Units)
JOSH BECKETT vs. TAMPA BAY since 1997
BECKETT is 11-4 when starting against TAMPA BAY with an ERA of 3.25 and a WHIP of 1.009.
His team's record is 14-9 (+1.3 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 14-9. (+3.5 units)
JAMES SHIELDS vs. BOSTON since 1997
SHIELDS is 8-14 when starting against BOSTON with an ERA of 4.26 and a WHIP of 1.257.
His team's record is 8-16 (-9.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 15-8. (+5.5 units)
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OAKLAND (45 - 43) at MINNESOTA (36 - 51) - 2:10 PM
JARROD PARKER (R) vs. BRIAN DUENSING (L)
Top Trends for this game.
OAKLAND is 45-43 (+10.2 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
OAKLAND is 8-1 (+8.2 Units) against the money line in July games this season.
OAKLAND is 81-67 (+15.9 Units) against the money line in day games over the last 3 seasons.
OAKLAND is 43-42 (+8.2 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
MINNESOTA is 99-151 (-31.2 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 43-75 (-25.8 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 50-76 (-26.8 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 25-40 (-15.6 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 96-144 (-28.1 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 66-113 (-32.6 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 55-95 (-27.3 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 21-40 (-15.2 Units) against the money line after 3 or more consecutive losses over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
MINNESOTA is 3-2 (+0.6 Units) against OAKLAND this season
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=-0.1 Units, Under=-0.3 Units)
JARROD PARKER vs. MINNESOTA since 1997
PARKER is 0-0 when starting against MINNESOTA with an ERA of 0.00 and a WHIP of 1.333.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.1 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)
BRIAN DUENSING vs. OAKLAND since 1997
DUENSING is 2-0 when starting against OAKLAND with an ERA of 0.00 and a WHIP of 1.000.
His team's record is 2-0 (+2.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-2. (-2.2 units)
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CHI WHITE SOX (48 - 39) at KANSAS CITY (38 - 48) - 2:10 PM
CHRIS SALE (L) vs. LUIS MENDOZA (R)
Top Trends for this game.
CHI WHITE SOX are 13-21 (-10.5 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 this season.
CHI WHITE SOX are 83-95 (-27.2 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
CHI WHITE SOX are 48-39 (+7.0 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
CHI WHITE SOX are 24-17 (+10.4 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
CHI WHITE SOX are 42-30 (+16.8 Units) against the money line in road games in day games over the last 3 seasons.
CHI WHITE SOX are 63-50 (+19.7 Units) against the money line in road games in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
CHI WHITE SOX are 36-25 (+10.3 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
KANSAS CITY is 2-9 (-8.6 Units) against the money line in home games against division opponents this season.
Head-to-Head Series History
KANSAS CITY is 3-2 (+1.7 Units) against CHI WHITE SOX this season
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.1 Units)
CHRIS SALE vs. KANSAS CITY since 1997
SALE is 0-1 when starting against KANSAS CITY with an ERA of 5.40 and a WHIP of 1.800.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.6 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)
LUIS MENDOZA vs. CHI WHITE SOX since 1997
MENDOZA is 2-1 when starting against CHI WHITE SOX with an ERA of 4.07 and a WHIP of 1.245.
His team's record is 2-1 (+1.2 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-2. (-1.2 units)
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TEXAS (53 - 35) at SEATTLE (37 - 52) - 4:10 PM
MATT HARRISON (L) vs. HISASHI IWAKUMA (R)
Top Trends for this game.
TEXAS is 50-25 (+20.2 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS is 23-5 (+15.0 Units) against the money line as a road favorite of -150 to -175 over the last 3 seasons.
TEXAS is 116-70 (+21.9 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS is 67-37 (+21.6 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons.
HARRISON is 19-8 (+10.9 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons.
HARRISON is 13-2 (+11.7 Units) against the money line when playing on Sunday since 1997.
HARRISON is 9-1 (+9.6 Units) against the money line in road games against division opponents since 1997.
HARRISON is 18-7 (+10.9 Units) against the money line in road games in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 104-148 (-31.9 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 17-26 (-11.2 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
SEATTLE is 9-26 (-16.9 Units) against the money line in July games over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 53-93 (-32.2 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
SEATTLE is 27-48 (-18.1 Units) against the money line in day games over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 17-26 (-11.2 Units) against the money line in home games in games played on a grass field this season.
SEATTLE is 21-47 (-21.7 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 344-312 (-61.8 Units) against the money line in home games after a win since 1997.
SEATTLE is 14-37 (-18.9 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
SEATTLE is 6-6 (+3.2 Units) against TEXAS this season
6 of 12 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=-0.3 Units, Under=-0.9 Units)
MATT HARRISON vs. SEATTLE since 1997
HARRISON is 8-1 when starting against SEATTLE with an ERA of 2.69 and a WHIP of 1.126.
His team's record is 8-3 (+4.8 units) in these starts. The OVER is 4-7. (-3.4 units)
HISASHI IWAKUMA vs. TEXAS since 1997
No recent starts.
LA ANGELS vs. NY YANKEES
The total has gone OVER in 10 of LA Angels's last 15 games
The total has gone OVER in 7 of LA Angels's last 10 games when playing on the road against NY Yankees
The total has gone OVER in 4 of NY Yankees's last 6 games when playing LA Angels
The total has gone OVER in 4 of NY Yankees's last 6 games
CLEVELAND vs. TORONTO
Cleveland is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games when playing Toronto
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Cleveland's last 12 games when playing Toronto
Toronto is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 15 of Toronto's last 22 games
WASHINGTON vs. MIAMI
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Washington's last 5 games
Washington is 12-6 SU in its last 18 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Miami's last 7 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Miami's last 14 games when playing Washington
DETROIT vs. BALTIMORE
Detroit is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Detroit's last 7 games when playing on the road against Baltimore
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Baltimore's last 8 games when playing Detroit
Baltimore is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games at home
NY METS vs. ATLANTA
The total has gone OVER in 4 of NY Mets's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 7 of NY Mets's last 9 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Atlanta's last 6 games when playing NY Mets
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Atlanta's last 5 games at home
BOSTON vs. TAMPA BAY
Boston is 2-7 SU in its last 9 games
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Boston's last 13 games
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Tampa Bay's last 16 games when playing at home against Boston
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Tampa Bay's last 8 games when playing Boston
CHI WHITE SOX vs. KANSAS CITY
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Chi White Sox's last 5 games when playing on the road against Kansas City
Chi White Sox are 6-2 SU in their last 8 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Kansas City's last 5 games when playing at home against Chi White Sox
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Kansas City's last 6 games
OAKLAND vs. MINNESOTA
The total has gone UNDER in 12 of Oakland's last 16 games
Oakland is 8-4 SU in its last 12 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 12 of Minnesota's last 16 games when playing at home against Oakland
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Minnesota's last 9 games when playing Oakland
PITTSBURGH vs. MILWAUKEE
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Pittsburgh's last 5 games
Pittsburgh is 11-3 SU in its last 14 games
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Milwaukee's last 13 games
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Milwaukee's last 8 games when playing at home against Pittsburgh
ARIZONA vs. CHI CUBS
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Arizona's last 8 games when playing Chi Cubs
Arizona is 1-7 SU in their last 8 games when playing on the road against Chi Cubs
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Chi Cubs's last 9 games when playing at home against Arizona
Chi Cubs are 7-1 SU in their last 8 games when playing at home against Arizona
PHILADELPHIA vs. COLORADO
Philadelphia is 2-11 SU in its last 13 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Colorado's last 8 games
The total has gone OVER in 11 of Colorado's last 15 games when playing at home against Philadelphia
HOUSTON vs. SAN FRANCISCO
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Houston's last 9 games on the road
Houston is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
San Francisco is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Houston
The total has gone OVER in 4 of San Francisco's last 6 games when playing Houston
SAN DIEGO vs. LA DODGERS
San Diego is 5-18 SU in their last 23 games when playing LA Dodgers
The total has gone UNDER in 12 of San Diego's last 18 games when playing on the road against LA Dodgers
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of LA Dodgers's last 8 games
LA Dodgers are 1-4 SU in their last 5 games
TEXAS vs. SEATTLE
Texas is 8-4 SU in its last 12 games when playing on the road against Seattle
Texas is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Seattle is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Texas
Seattle is 8-17 SU in its last 25 games when playing Texas
ST. LOUIS vs. CINCINNATI
St. Louis is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing Cincinnati
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of St. Louis's last 9 games when playing Cincinnati
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Cincinnati's last 9 games when playing St. Louis
Cincinnati is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games when playing at home against St. Louis
National League
Washington at Miami
Strasburg: Washington 41-29 SU after scoring and allowing 3 runs or less
Nolasco: Miami 1-10 SU at home off a combined score of 3 runs or less
NY Mets at Atlanta
Santana: 34-7 TSR after allowing 0 walks last start
Sheets: Atlanta 4-11 SU at home vs. left-handed starters
Pittsburgh at Milwaukee
Burnett: Pittsburgh 15-6 Over away off an Over
Gallardo: Milwaukee 37-17 SU at home off a loss
Arizona at Chicago Cubs
Cahill: 15-9 TSR as a road underdog
Garza: Cubs 9-19 SU at home after winning 3 of their last 4 games
Philadelphia at Colorado
Hamels: 16-3 TSR as a road favorite of -150 or less
Pomeranz: Colorado 5-15 SU after allowing 8+ runs
Houston at San Francisco
Norris: Houston 9-24 SU in road games
Cain: San Francisco 15-6 SU after blowing a save
San Diego at LA Dodgers
Marquis: 33-17 TSR on Sundays
Billingsley: 2-10 TSR off BB starts allowing 1 or 0 walks
St. Louis at Cincinnati
Westbrook: 12-4 TSR away with a line of -125 to +125
Bailey: Cincinnati 11-21 SU after the bullpen blew a save
American League
LA Angels at NY Yankees, 1:05 ET TBS
Weaver: 18-6 TSR as a favorite of -150 or less
Nova: Yankees 14-3 Under at home off BB wins
Cleveland at Toronto
Lowe: Cleveland 22-12 Over in day games
Villanueva: Toronto 26-12 SU after scoring 8+ runs
Detroit at Baltimore
Verlander: Detroit 6-11 SU as a road favorite of -125 to -175
Tillman: Baltimore 17-10 SU in day games
Boston at Tampa Bay
Beckett: Boston 10-16 SU after losing 2 of their last 3 games
Shields: 22-10 TSR at home with a line of -125 to +125
Oakland at Minnesota
Parker: Oakland 8-23 SU after winning 5 or 6 of their last 7 games
Duensing: 17-4 TSR as a favorite
Chicago White Sox at Kansas City
Sale: White Sox 13-5 SU away off an Over
Mendoza: Kansas City 2-9 SU at home vs. division opponents
Texas at Seattle
Harrison: 9-1 TSR away vs. division opponents
Iwakuma: Seattle 9-26 SU in July
Diamond Trends - Sunday
By Vince Akins
VegasInsider.com
SU TREND OF THE DAY:
The Mariners are 0-11 since May 17, 2011 at home after a win in which they allowed 1 or fewer walks in a night game for a net profit of $1224 when playing against.
OU TREND OF THE DAY:
The Phillies are 11-0-1 OU since July 16, 2011 when playing a day game when they are off a win in which they never trailed in a night game for a net profit of $1100 when playing the over.
STARTER TREND OF THE DAY:
The Yankees are 12-0 since June 10, 2011 when Ivan Nova starts after a quality start on the road for a net profit of $1218.
MLB BIBLE TREND OF THE DAY:
The Orioles are 14-0-1 OU (4.0 rpg) since May 11, 2004 as a dog or even money play after a win in which they allowed 12+ hits in a day game.
TODAY’S TRENDS:
The Tigers are 11-0 since May 07, 2011 when Justin Verlander starts when the bullpen allowed at least three runs yesterday for a net profit of $1100.
The Brewers are 6-0 since May 13, 2011 when Yovani Gallardo starts at home vs a team that won their starters last two starts for a net profit of $600
Sunday's MLB Notes
By Chris David
VegasInsider.com
St. Louis at Cincinnati
After losing four of the first five regular season meetings against the Cardinals, the Reds have won three straight in this head-to-head series, including both battles this weekend. Fortunately for St. Louis, the Reds' ace Johnny Cueto was scratched from this start due to a blister on his pitching hand. Instead, Cincinnati will hand the ball to Homer Bailey (7-6, 4.14 ERA) tonight as the team goes for the three-game home sweep.
The Reds have gone 9-8 in Bailey's appearances this season, which includes a 7-2 mark at home. He's received an average of six runs per game from his offense, which includes 14 in the last two games, both victories. Playing at home has been difficult for Bailey lately, as he's surrendered 17 earned runs in his last four appearances at Great American Ball Park.
St. Louis will counter with Jake Westbrook (7-7, 3.75 ERA), who closed the first-half of the season with a 3-2 loss to the Marlins on July 6 but the Cardinals had won all four of his previous starts. During this five-game span, Westbrook has gone six innings or more in each of the appearances and only gave up 10 earned runs. His ERA has been better on the road (2.94) than at home (4.53) but St. Louis only managed to go 4-4 in his eight appearances. Unfortunately for the Cardinals and Westbrook, the run support (3.6) outside of Busch Stadium hasn't been there for him. When you combine the weak offensive numbers and Westbrook's production on the road, you can see why the 'under' has produced a 5-2 mark.
Even though the pitching numbers point to Westbrook and the Cardinals, the Reds opened as short home favorites (-120) for Sunday's finale.
The total opened at nine runs. Bailey has seen the 'over' go 10-6 on the season, 6-3 at home. The 'under' has gone 5-2-1 in the first eight meetings this season between the pair.
Sunday's Sweeps
The below teams have won the first two games of their series this weekend and will try to finish off the three-game sweep today.
Cubs over Diamondbacks - Arizona swept a four-game set from Chicago in mid-June so we could be seeing a revenge sweep here for the Cubs. The D-Backs have scored one run in each of the first two games and will face the inconsistent Matt Garza (4-7, 4.32 ERA) this afternoon.
Braves over Mets - New York will have Johan Santana squaring off against Atlanta's Ben Sheets, who hasn't pitched in the majors since 2010. Sheets went 0-1 with a 5.06 ERA in two starts at the Double-A level before being called up.
Reds over Cardinals - See Above
Yankees over Angels - Los Angeles has to be happy with Jered Weaver on the hill and bettors can grab him at a real short price (-105). The Yankees will toss Ivan Nova, who's been tough to beat but he's only pitched three times (1-2, 4.67 ERA) at home this season.
A's over Twins - Minnesota will be trying to avoid the sweep at home and it could be difficult with the way Brian Duensing (1-5, 4.11 ERA) has been pitching. Plus, Oakland's offense is hot lately. They've posted 15 runs the last two outings against the Twins.
Sunday's Best & Worst
The below records are for Sunday:
Best
Arizona : 10-4
Cincinnati: 10-4
Detroit: 11-3
N.Y. Yankees: 10-3
Tampa Bay: 11-4
Texas: 11-3
Worst
Colorado: 3-11
Philadelphia: 3-12
VI Expert Samples
These are some of the games are VegasInsider.com handicappers are playing today. Check out all of their pro baseball selections here!
Ed Meyer - Houston Astros
The Giants are in a soft spot, giving the Astros plenty of line value here. We'll grab the big dog. In Norris' last start, he went seven innings and allowed two runs, but the 'Stros lost 2-0. This is actually a fine spot to invest in Bud Norris as Houston is 5-0 in franchise history as a road 170+ dog with Norris when they lost his last start. Matt Cain is also off a fine outing in which his team lost, as the bullpen allowed three runs in a 6-5 loss in Washington. One can certainly theorize that Matt Cain will be out to "avenge" the team loss in his last start, but the results tell a completely different story. The Giants are a surprising 12-30 with Matt Cain when he went at more than five innings and gave up six or fewer hits in his last start but the Giants lost nonetheless. San Francisco simply does not have the killer instinct in this spot. The Giants are a soft 2-8 as a 150-plus home favorite vs a team that has lost at least their last two games including 0-4 if they are a favorite of more than 170. Norris has the potential to throw a gem and the Giants will be looking ahead to their road trip.
Houston 4 San Francisco 3
Stephen Nover - Dodgers/Padres Over 7.5
Jason Marquis and Chad Billingsley are not dependable starters. Both are in bad form, too. They are paired here with a total of less than 8 1/2. That puts me in action on the over. Marquis is 0-4 with a 4.60 ERA in his last five starts. His ERA is 6.23 in his last three starts. Marquis doesn't have a good recent history when pitching at Dodger Stadium either with a 5.79 ERA in his last three outings there. The Dodgers are much more dangerous with Matt Kemp and Andre Ethier back in the lineup. Kemp is batting .444 in his last 14 games against the Padres and Ethier is hitting .484 in his last nine home games versus San Diego. Billingsley is 0-3 with a 5.00 ERA in his last three starts. He has a 6.21 ERA during his past five starts. The Padres are much stronger offensively away from Petco Park.
Vince Akins - St. Louis
For the Cardinals, this is almost a must win game. A loss means they fall at least 4 games back of two teams in the NL Central and that's a lot of ground to start making up. Look for St. Louis to salvage one game here. This is the final game of a three game set win Cincinnati looking to sweep. The Cardinals are 26-8 since April 13, 2011 when playing a night game and it is the last game of the series for a net profit of $1952. Also the Cardinals are 7-3 in their last 10 games when looking to avoid a three-game sweep. Cincinnati meanwhile is just 7-11 when going for the three-game sweep. Cincinnati won a nail bitter yesterday, 3-2, in 10 innings. Both teams had plenty of chances with Cincinnati leaving 18 on base individually and St. Louis stranding 22. The Reds are 11-26 since April 07, 2011 after a win in which they left 18+ men on base for a net profit of $1733 when playing against. Cincinnati was able to overcome a 5-1 differential in walks in that game. The Reds are 4-12 since April 07, 2011 after a win in which they allowed 5+ walks and it is not the first game of a series for a net profit of $961 when playing against. Jake Westbrook goes for St. Louis. They lost in his last start to Miami, 3-2, after holding an early lead. The Cardinals are 6-0 since April 13, 2011 when Jake Westbrook starts when he is off a start in which their team scored first and lost for a net profit of $665. Homer Bailey goes for Cincinnati after winning his last two starts. The Cardinals are 6-0 since April 13, 2011 when Jake Westbrook starts on the road vs a team that won their starters last two starts for a net profit of $695. However, he is going to be asked to pick up the bullpen today after Cincinnati used six pitches yesterday. The Reds are 0-6 since May 26, 2011 when Homer Bailey starts when their team used 6+ pitchers yesterday for a net profit of $640 when playing against.
St. Louis 6 Cincinnati 3