Baseball Information
National League
Pirates @ Mets
Locke is 1-1, 6.53 in his last four starts (over 3-0-1).
Harvey is 3-0, 0.74 in his last four starts; under is 5-1 in his last six at home.
Pittsburgh won seven of last nine games (over 6-2-1). Mets won 12 of last 16 games, but lost last two in extra innings; four of last six stayed under. Pirates won eight of last nine games vs New York; seven of last eleven series games stayed under.
Diamondbacks @ Braves
de la Rosa is 4-0, 2.81 in his last five starts; six of his last eight went over.
Braves scored total of 13 runs in losing last ten Miller starts (0-3, 3.20 in last four); six of his last seven stayed under.
Arizona won four of last six games with Atlanta; over is 4-2-1 in last seven in series. D'backs won four of last six games, with four of last five going over total. Braves lost four of last five games; over is 7-3-1 in their last eleven.
Phillies @ Brewers
Phillies are 1-11 in last 12 Harang starts (1-8, 8.28 in his last nine- over 6-3).
Jungmann is 1-3, 4.64 in his last four starts; under is 4-1 in his home starts.
Road team won 10 of last 12 Philly-Milwaukee games, with Brewers winning last six; over is 4-2-1 in last seven series games. Phillies lost four of last five games; six of their last nine went over. Brewers lost five of their last eight.
Marlins @ Cardinals
Phelps is 0-5, 5.79 in his last six starts; under is 8-4 in his last twelve.
Cardinals won the last eight Martinez starts (1-0, 5.50 in last three); under is 11-1-1 in his last 13.
Miami lost its last six games with St Louis; under is 4-2-1 in last seven series games. Marlins won thee of last five games; nine of their last 12 went over total. Cardinals won eight of last ten games; under is 8-3-1 in their last 12.
Padres @ Rockies
Kennedy is 3-1, 2.90 in his last five starts; under is 9-2 in his last 11.
Rusin is 0-3, 5.72 in his last seven starts; four of his last six stayed under.
San Diego won its last seven games with Colorado, scoring 51 runs; Padres won four of last five games overall-- eight of their last ten went over. Rockies lost seven of their last eight games (over 6-0 in last six at home).
Reds @ Dodgers
DeSclafani is 2-0, 2.37 in his last three starts; under is 4-1-1 in his last six.
Greinke is 7-0, 1.27 in his last ten starts; under is 8-3 in his last 11.
Cincinnati lost eight of last 11 games; its last five went over. Dodgers won four of last five games; eight of their last ten games went over the total. Reds are 4-6 in last ten games against the Dodgers (last three went over).
Nationals @ Giants
Ross is 1-3, 4.30 in his last five starts; three of his last four stayed under.
Bumgarner is 5-1, 2.63 in his last six starts; under is 3-1-1 in his last five.
Nationals lost six of last seven games; three of their last five stayed under. San Francisco won last three games, scoring 23 runs; four of their last six stayed under. Washington split its last eight games with the Giants; seven of last ten in series stayed under total.
American League
A's @ Orioles
Oakland lost last six Graveman starts (0-4, 6.75); five of his last seven starts stayed under.
Chen is 1-0, 2.92 in his last two starts; under is 16-2-1 in his last 19.
Oakland lost last five games, last two on walkoffs- five of their last eight games stayed under. A's are 5-7 in last dozen games with Baltimore- nine of last 12 went over total. Orioles won four of last five home games.
Bronx @ Blue Jays
Severino is 0-1, 3.27 in his first two MLB starts (over 1-1).
Toronto won last five Hutchison starts (3-0, 7.00), scoring 34 runs; five of his last seven went over.
Bronx won last two days to regain first place; eight of last ten stayed under. Toronto won 11 of last 13 games but lost last two; five of last seven stayed under- they've won five of their last eight games with New York, with five of last six staying under the total.
Mariners @ Red Sox
Nuno is 0-1, 6.00 in his two starts this season (over 1-1).
Owens is 1-1, 3.60 in his two starts (over 1-0-1).
Seattle lost last two days, allowing 37 runs; they lost last three road games, all of which went over total. Red Sox won five of last six home games, scoring 66 runs; their last six games overall went over. Boston won three of last four in series; over is 6-4 in last ten series games.
Rays @ Rangers
Smyly comes off DL to make first start since May 5; he is 0-1, 2.70 in his three starts (under 2-1).
Gallardo is 1-1, 6.57 in his last five starts; under is 8-3 in his last 11.
Tampa Bay split last eight games with Texas (over 5-2-1); Rays are 7-4 in last ten games- eight of last ten went over. Rangers won last three games, scoring 23 runs; five of their last eight went over the total.
Indians @ Twins
Carrasco is 1-0, 1.04 in his last three starts; seven of his last nine went over.
Milone is 0-2, 9.28 in his last three starts; under is 5-3-1 in his last nine.
Cleveland won four of last six games with Minnesota; over is 7-1-1 in last nine series games. Indians won five of last seven games overall; over is 5-2-1 in last eight. Twins lost nine of last 13 games; over is 7-2-1 in last ten.
Angels @ Royals
Santiago is 0-2, 6.33 in his last four starts; five of his last seven went over.
Ventura is 3-0, 4.32 in his last four starts; four of his last six went over.
Royals won nine of last ten games with the Angels; five of last seven went over total. KC won seven of its last nine games overall; five of last eight got over the total. Halos lost six of last eight games overall.
Tigers @ Astros
Boyd is 1-1, 2.92 in two starts for Detroit; three of his four starts went under.
Fiers is 0-2, 5.56 in his last four starts.
Tigers are 4-6 in last ten games with Houston; over is 3-3-1 in last seven series games. Detroit lost four of last six games; over is 4-4-1 in their last nine. Astros lost eight of last 11 games; six of last seven stayed under.
Interleague
Cubs @ White Sox
Haren is 1-2, 5.08 in his last five starts.
Rodon is 2-1, 5.06 in his last four starts; over is 5-3 in his last eight.
Cubs won 14 of their last 15 games overall; eight of last ten went over total. Pale Hose won three of last five, allowing 16 runs; over is 9-3 in their last 12. Cubs won first two games of this inner-city series, 6-5/6-3
Win-loss records this year for team with this starting pitcher:
Pitt-NY-- Locke 12-10; Harvey 14-8
Az-Atl-- de la Rosa 14-9 (5-0 last 5); Miller 9-14 (0-10 last 10)
Phil-Mil-- Harang 6-14 (1-11 last 12); Jungmann 7-5
Mia-StL-- Phelps 5-13 (0-6 last 6); Martinez 18-3
SD-Colo-- Kennedy 10-11 (4-1 last 5); Rusin 3-9
Cin-LA-- DeSclafani 11-11; Greinke 16-7 (7-1 last 8)
Wsh-SF-- Ross 3-5; Bumgarner 14-9
A's-Balt-- Graveman 8-11 (0-6 last 6); Chen 14-8 (4-0 last 4)
NY-Tor-- Severino 0-2; Hutchison 16-7 (5-0 last 5)
Sea-Bos-- Nuno 1-1; Owens 1-1
TB-Tex-- Smyly 2-1; Gallardo 12-12
Clev-Minn-- Carrasco 14-9; Milone 7-7
LA-KC-- Santiago 12-10; Ventura 8-10
Det-Hst-- Boyd 1-3/1-1; Fiers 11-11/0-1
Chi-Chi-- Haren 11-12/1-1; Rodon 10-6
Times this starting pitcher allowed a run in first inning:
Pitt-NY-- Locke 5-22; Harvey 6-22
Az-Atl-- de la Rosa 6-23; Miller 4-23
Phil-Mil-- Harang 7-20; Jungmann 2-12
Mia-StL-- Phelps 6-18; Martinez 4-21
SD-Colo-- Kennedy 8-21; Rusin 4-12
Cin-LA-- DeSclafani 5-22; Greinke 6-23
Wsh-SF-- Ross 0-8; Bumgarner 5-23
A's-Balt-- Graveman 5-19; Chen 6-22
NY-Tor-- Severino 1-2; Hutchison 11-23 (6 of last 7)
Sea-Bos-- Nuno 2-2; Owens 1-2
TB-Tex-- Smyly 0-3; Gallardo 8-24
Clev-Minn-- Carrasco 12-23; Milone 2-14
LA-KC-- Santiago 6-22; Ventura 4-18
Det-Hst-- Boyd 2-4; Fiers 1-22
Chi-Chi-- Haren 3-23; Rodon 5-16
Umpires
Pitt-NY-- Over is 4-2-1 in last seven Rackley games.
Az-Atl-- Under is 5-1-1 in last seven Segal games.
Phil-Mil-- Home team won last five Dreckman games.
Mia-StL-- Under is 9-4 in last thirteen Cuzzi games.
SD-Col-- Seven of last nine Bucknor games stayed under.
Cin-LA-- Over is 11-5 in last sixteen Estabrook games.
Wsh-SF-- Under is 5-2-1 in last eight Nelson games.
NY-Tor-- Five of last seven Emmel games stayed under.
Sea-Bos-- Under is 12-7 in Ripperger games this year.
A's-Balt-- Under is 5-2-1 in last eight Kulpa games.
Det-Hst-- Last three Eddings games went over the total.
LA-KC-- Home side won five of last six Wolcott games.
Cle-Min-- Under is 8-2-1 in last eleven May games.
TB-Tex-- Favorites won last five HGibson games.
Chi-Chi-- Home side won six of last eight Reyburn games.
Armadillosports.com
Sunday Scouting Edge
By Coach Fletcher
Pittsburgh Pirates at New York Mets
Matt Harvey has a 0.40 era in his last 7. In a big game like this you might be thinking about taking the under. Well, wait just a minute. In his last 3 starts Jeff Locke has an era of 6.32. He’s given up 4 runs to both the Cards and Cubs and 3 runs to the Reds in his last 13 2/3 innings. You think that’s bad? Locke’s road era is worse. Locke is 3-4 on the road with a 1.723 whip. Overall Locke is 6-7 with a 4.43 era. Harvey has made one start this year against the Pirates in Pittsburgh and did not fare well. On May 23, Harvey was torched for 7 runs on 6 hits, including 2 bombs in just 4 innings. Harvey and the Mets opened at about -160 with the total at 7.
Arizona Diamondbacks at Atlanta Braves
The Arizona Diamondbacks invade Atlanta as -115 opening favorite here with the total set at 7. Ruby De La Rosa takes the bump for the D-Backs. Ruby is 10-5 with a 4.55 era. He faces my nomination for tough luck pitcher of the year, Shelby Miller of the Braves. Miller is 5-9 on the year with a 2.48 era. Poor Miller. The Braves just don’t score any runs for him which may be one reason the linemakers set the total at 7. De La Rosa is 3-4 on the road with a hefty 5.02 era. In his last 3 starts he’s gone 2-0 with a 4.76 era. Poor Miller again. He is 2-5 at home with a 2.09 era. That’s just ridiculous. And that home era might be another reason for the total. But as anyone can and would do under the circumstances, Miller is starting to crumble before our very eyes. He’s 0-2 in his last 3 starts with a 4.00 era. De La Rosa has one start against Atlanta this year. On June 3 he went 5 innings and gave up 7 runs on 9 hits including two bombs. The D-backs actually won that game 9-8. Miller also has but one start against Arizona this year. On June 2 he gave up 4 runs on 6 hits in just 4 ½ innings.
Seattle Mariners at Boston Red Sox
Saturday in what appeared to be a football game, the Red Sox beat Felix Hernandez and the Mariners 22-7. Felix was only able to get 7 outs while getting torched for 10 runs and 12 hits, including 3 home runs. The rest of the staff obliged to allow the other 12 runs. Hopefully Vidal Nuno will have better luck Sunday. Nuno is 0-1 with a 5.19 era. He’s facing Henry Owens who is 1-1 with a 3.60 era. I’m guessing we could see a mini-replay tomorrow because Nuno has not had much success on the road. He’s 0-0 with a 7.36 road era. Of course that start was at Colorado and anything can happen there. In his other 2 starts Nuno went 5 innings against Baltimore and Minnesota allowing each team 2 runs on 2 hits. Last year Nuno made one start against Boston at home and shut them out on 2 hits in 5 2/3 innings. As for the Red Sox, they have scored 37 runs in their last 2 games. They’ve actually been on an offensive tear scoring 22, 15, 6, 4, 7, 6, 7 runs in their last 7 games. Boston is a -140 favorite and the total is 9.
Cleveland Indians at Minnesota Twins
Carlos Carrasco is 11-8 with a 3.68 era for the Cleveland Indians. That’s not bad for a team that is 54-60 on the year. Carlos opened as about a -140 favorite on the road. Let’s find out why. For one, the Twins had a glimmer of hope for the Wild card a while back, but going 3-7 in their last 10 has pretty much closed the door on them. They trail KC by 12 games and aren’t really in the Wild Card hunt. Cleveland was eliminated long ago but appear to still be playing hard. They’ve won 6 of their last 10. Carrasco is also a road warrior with a 7-2 road record with a 2.49 era and a whip of .829. In his last 3 starts Carlos has gone 1-0 with a 1.04 era and an absurd whip of 0.346. Twins’ starter, Tom Milone, has fallen on hard times going 0-2 with a 7.98 era in his last 3 appearances.
Chicago Cubs at Chicago White Sox
Not unless he improves on his recent performance. Sale is 10-7 on the year with a 3.47 era. But Sale has been roughed up a bit in his last few starts. After beating these same Cubs, Sale has had a string of disappointments. He gave up 4 runs on 11 hits to KC. He settled down in his next start and went 7 innings allowing 2 runs and 7 hits in 7 innings. Sale would like to forget his next 2 starts. Boston bombed him for 7 runs on 12 hits in 5 innings and Tampa also nailed Sale for 7 earned runs in 5 `1/3 innings. In his last start he gave up 5 hits and 2 runs to the Angels in 7 1/3 innings. You remember that Sale had a streak of 8 straight games with double digit strike out totals. He’s only had one game in his last 7 where he reached 10 K’s. And who was that against? The Cubs! In his single start against the Cubs this year in Wrigley, Sale held the Cubs to 6 hits and 1 run over 7 innings.
MLB: Streaks, Tips, Notes
Sportspic
Toronto at New York
Toronto will be looking to avoid a sweep at the hands of New York when the clubs conclude a three game set at the Rogers Centre. Drew Hutchison toes the rubber for Gibbons' crew carrying a 11-2 record, 5.26 ERA to the mound. Hutchison trades pitches with Luis Severino (0-1, 2.45 ERA) making his third start for New York. The betting odds opened with the Blue Jays as a -$1.35 home favorite. Siding with a team off back-2-back home losses is cause to ratchet up the tension for a sports bettor. However, in this case, the numbers add up well enough to suggests that this is a losing run that is not likely to continue.
Hutchison off a solid 7 innings of 2 run ball last effort brings to the table a sparkling 9-1 home record with Jays 10-2 over the twelve starts. Hutchison has also been effective with a 9-1 team start record the last ten against a divsion opponent. A few more telling baseball betting stats leap out. Jays have a 6-0 streak going with Hutchison vs a team with a winning record. In the daylight, John Gibbons' crew is also having success with Hutchison winning 6-of-8 day games including 3-0 in front of the friendly crowd.
Arizona at Atlanta
Atlanta Braves are 1-13 in Shelby Miller's last fourteen outings. It's not entirely the righthander's fault. Miller has allowed two earned run or less in nine of those starts but Braves bats are supplying Miller with just 2.1 runs of support over the 14 games. Miller and the Braves are presently being offered around +$1.05 while the D-Backs at -$1.15 are expected to counter with Rubby De La Rosa ridding a 5-0 team start streak.
Cincinnati at Los Angeles
The L.A. Dodgers start Zack Greinkie when they conclude their four game set vs Cincinnati. Not the best news for the Reds. The L.A. righthander is undefeated in ten trips to the mound recording seven shutouts in those starts (8-2 TSR). Greinke is 6-1 with a miniscule 1.43 ERA in front of the friendly crowd (8-4 TSR), 5-0 in days games and sports a smart 14-3 team start record in Auguat. No surprise to see Dodgers pegged as hefty -$2.30 moneyline favorites. Note: Dodgers are 7-4 at home as -$2.20 chalk or higher costong backers -$310 at the betting window.
Steve's Screen Shot
By Steve Merril
Pirates @ Mets -- The Mets look like a solid play on Sunday afternoon, but after their offense made J.A. Happ and Charlie Morton look good, I’m a little hesitant, especially at the price of -165. New York’s Matt Harvey is in very good form, having allowed just 1 run in his last three starts while striking out 19 and walking none. However, Harvey was shelled by the Pirates in Pittsburgh back in May; he gave up 7 runs and six hits in four innings. Pittsburgh’s Jeff Locke has some ugly numbers, but New York is only hitting .232 against left-handed starters. The Mets are 25-11 in day games, so they’ve been pretty good in games under the sun. The Mets or Under 7 (-110) are the only options for me in this game.
Diamondbacks @ Braves -- Rubby De La Rosa has made 23 starts for Arizona. He has allowed 4 runs or more in eleven of those outings. De La Rosa also has six outings where he’s allowed 1 earned run or less. So he is up and down to say the least. One of his bad outings came at home against the Braves on June 3rd when the righty allowed 7 runs and nine hits in five innings. Shelby Miller is winless in his last 15 starts, and a major reason for that is the fact that Atlanta scores just 2.5 runs per game when he’s on the mound. Atlanta between +100 and -105 has value considering how erratic De La Rosa has been.
Padres @ Rockies -- Ian Kennedy has allowed 25 home runs this season, and he’ll pitch in Coors Field on Sunday afternoon. That’s not a good combination. However, Kennedy is 6-4 with a 2.95 ERA and 1.19 WHIP in 19 career starts versus the Rockies. In his last start in Coors Field last season, Kennedy only gave up 1 run and four hits in seven innings. But Kennedy’s poor numbers this season trump his career numbers in this spot. Colorado’s Chris Rusin is 2-1 with a 4.11 ERA in six home starts for the Rockies. The Padres are scoring 4.7 runs per game against southpaws, so Rusin will likely get roughed-up in this game. I expect another high-scoring game between the Padres and Rockies, so Over 11 (-115).
Indians @ Twins -- Sunday’s matchup between the Indians and Twins is a classic case of two pitchers heading in opposite directions. Tom Milone comes off the DL for Minnesota after allowing 15 runs and 20 hits in his last three starts. Carlos Carrasco is going the other way, having allowed 3 runs and seven hits in his last three starts while striking out 22 and only walking two. Overall, Carrasco has a 2.49 ERA in 11 road starts. Cleveland (-130) is the play in this game.