MLB Betting News and Notes Sunday, July 16th, 2017

MLB Knowledge

National League

Cardinals @ Pirates
Martinez is 0-3, 6.14 in his last four starts; over is 4-1 in his last five. Cardinals are 3-5 in his road starts- their first 5-inning record with him: 8-8-2

Williams is 0-1, 5.12 in his last six starts; his last four stayed under. Pirates are 2-4 in his home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 6-5-1

Cardinals won four of last six games; under is 4-0 in their last four games. Pittsburgh won six of last eight games; under is 11-2 in their last 13 home games.

Nationals @ Reds
Roark is 0-4, 10.72 in his last five starts (over 10-6-1). Nationals are 4-4 in his road starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 8-8-1

Bailey is 2-0, 1.42 in his last two starts (over 2-2). Reds are 0-1 in his home starts- their first 5-inning record with him: 1-2-1

Nationals won seven of last nine games; over is 6-3 in their last nine games. Cincinnati lost its last three home games; under is 10-1-1 in their last 12 games.

Rockies @ Mets
Hoffman is 3-0, 1.67 in four road starts; his last three starts stayed under. Colorado is 3-1 in his road starts- their first 5-inning record with him: 6-3

Matz is 1-1, 2.45 in his last three starts (over 3-3). Mets are 0-1 in his home starts-— their first 5-inning record with him: 2-3-1

Rockies are 2-13 in last 15 road games; under is 10-3-1 in their last 14 games. New York won five of last six home games; over is 3-1 in their last four home games.

Dodgers @ Marlins
Hill is 2-1, 1.73 in his last four starts; over is 5-2 in his last seven. Dodgers are 3-2 in his road starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 5-6-1

O’Grady allowed three runs in 5.1 IP (81 PT) in his first MLB start; Marlins’ first 5-inning record with him: 1-0

Dodgers won their last eight games; under is 6-2-2 in their last ten games. Miami lost its last four home games; under is 6-1-1 in their last eight home games.

Diamondbacks @ Braves
Godley is 2-2, 3.09 in his last five starts; under is 6-2 in his last eight. Arizona is 4-2 in his road starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 6-4-1

Garcia is 0-4, 6.87 in his last six starts; over is 3-1 in his last four. Atlanta is 3-4 in his home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 5-7-4

Diamondbacks lost seven of last eight games; under is 6-2-2 in their last ten games. Atlanta is 6-5 in its last 11 games; six of their last eight games went over.

Phillies @ Brewers
Hellickson is 0-0, 3.20 in his last four starts (under 9-5-4). Phillies are 4-5 in his road staets— their first 5-inning record with him: 6-10-2

Garza is 1-1, 2.60 in his last three starts (under 3-0). Milwaukee is 5-3 in his home starts-— their first 5-inning record with him: 6-5-2

Phillies lost seven of last eight games; under is 8-1-1 in their last ten games. Milwaukee is 11-2 in its last 13 games; under is 6-3 in their last nine games.

Giants @ Padres
Samardzija is 2-1, 3.72 in his last three starts; over is 5-3 in their last eight. Giants are 4-6 in his road starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 2-11-5

Cahill is 0-1, 4.70 in his last three starts; under is 3-0-1 in his last four. San Diego is 3-0 in his home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 2-6-1

Giants lost six of last eight games; over is 4-0 in their last four games. San Diego won six of last nine games; under is 9-5 in their last 14 games.

American League

New York @ Boston
Tanaka is 2-1, 2.81 in his last four starts; under is 5-1-1 in his last seven. New York is 4-5 in his road starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 9-7-2. Mitchell is making his first ’17 start; he is 2-6, 4.63 in 40 MLB games (81.2 IP, 8 starts). He is 2-2, 3.60 in nine AAA starts this year.

Porcello is 0-2, 3.54 in his last three starts; under is 6-3 in his last nine. Boston is 4-6 in his home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 4-14-1. Price is 2-0, 2.37 in his last three starts (under 4-3-2). Red Sox are 2-1 in his home starts- their first 5-inning record with him: 5-4

New York lost seven of last ten games; over is 5-3-1 in their last nine road games. Boston lost five of last seven games; under is 6-1-1 in their last eight home games.

Blue Jays @ Tigers
Estrada is 0-4, 9.46 in his last seven starts; over is 3-1 in his last four. Toronto is 5-5 in his road starts — their first 5-inning record with him: 5-10-3

Sanchez is 1-0, 3.47 in four starts this year (over 2-2). Detroit is 2-0 in his home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 3-0-1

Blue Jays won four of last six road games; over is 5-1-1 in their last seven games. Detroit is 4-6 in its last ten games; under is 4-2-2 in their last eight games.

Mariners @ White Sox
Moore is 1-1, 3.86 in three MLB starts (under 2-1). This is his first road start. Seattle’s first 5-inning record with him: 1-1-1

Holland is 0-3, 10.00 in his last four starts; over is 10-3 in his last 13 starts. White Sox are 2-5 in his home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 7-9-1

Mariners won five of last six road games; under is 4-0 in their last four road games. Chicago lost six of last seven games; under is 4-0 in their last four games.

Twins @ Astros
Gibson is 1-3, 6.00 in his last five starts (under 4-1). Twins are 5-2 in his road starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 6-9-1

Fiers is 0-2, 4.02 in his last three starts; under is 4-2 in his last six. Houston is 4-4 in his home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 7-7-3

Twins lost seven of last ten road games; over is 8-5 in their last 13 games. Houston won seven of last ten games; over is 12-3 in their last 15 games.

Rangers @ Royals
Darvish is 0-4, 5.16 in his last five starts; under is 13-2-1 in his last 16. Texas is 4-4 in his road starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 7-7-5

Kennedy is 3-0, 3.26 in his last five starts; over is 9-2-1 in his last 12. Royals are 2-5 in his home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 4-10-2

Rangers won five of last six games; under is 5-0-1 in their last six games. Kansas City lost its last five games; under is 4-0-1 in their last five games.

Indians @ A’s
Bauer is 1-2, 5.00 in his last three starts; under is 8-2 in his last ten. Indians are 4-4 in his road starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 8-7-2

Manaea is 1-1, 2.70 in his last three starts; over is 4-2 in his last six. Oakland is 4-4 in his home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 5-6-5

Indians are 9-4 in last 13 road games, but lost last two; under is 8-4-2 in their last 14 games. Oakland won six of last eight games; over is 4-3-1 in their last eight games.

Rays @ Angels
Archer is 1-2, 5.11 in his last four starts; over is 10-6-1 in his last 17. Rays are 5-4 in his road starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 11-3-5

Bridwell is 3-1, 3.72 in five starts this year (over 3-2). Angels split his two home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 4-1

Rays won five of last six games; over is 3-1 in their last four road games. Angels are 3-9 in last 12 games; under is 5-1-1 in their last seven games.

Interleague

Cubs @ Orioles
Quintana is making his Cub debut; he is 2-0, 3.03 in his last five starts. Under is 3-1 in his last four starts. White Sox were 6-4 in his road starts— their first 5-inning record with him was 7-10-1

Jimenez is 2-2, 7.87 in his last four starts (over 9-3-1). Orioles are 4-1 in his home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 5-7-1

Cubs won their last three road games; under is 11-4 in their last 15 road games. Baltimore lost six of last seven home games; over is 5-1 in their last six games.

Record with this pitcher starting

National League
StL-Pitt: Martinez 8-10; Williams 5-7
Wsh-Cin: Roark 9-8; Bailey 2-2
Col-NY: Hoffman 6-3; Matz 2-4
LA-Mia: Hill 7-5; O’Grady 1-0
Az-Atl: Godley 7-4; Garcia 7-9
Phil-Mil: Hellickson 9-9; Garza 7-6
SF-SD: Samardzija 7-11; Cahill 5-4

American League
NY-Bos: Tanaka 9-9 Mitchell; Porcello 8-11 Price 5-4
Tor-Det: Estrada 8-10; Sanchez 2-2
Sea-Chi: Moore 1-2; Holland 6-11
Min-Hst: Gibson 8-8; Fiers 10-7
Tex-KC: Darvish 8-11; Kennedy 7-9
Clev-A’s: Bauer 8-9; Manaea 8-8
TB-LAA: Archer 11-8; Bridwell 4-1

Interleague
Chi-Balt: Quintana 0-0 (10-8 ); Jimenez 8-5

Pitchers allowing a run in first inning

National League
StL-Pitt: Martinez 5-18; Williams 4-12
Wsh-Cin: Roark 7-17; Bailey 3-4
Col-NY: Hoffman 2-9; Matz 1-6
LA-Mia: Hill 3-12; O’Grady 0-1
Az-Atl: Godley 1-11; Garcia 4-16
Phil-Mil: Hellickson 6-18; Garza 3-13
SF-SD: Samardzija 7-18; Cahill 2-9

American League
NY-Bos: Tanaka 9-18 Mitchell; Porcello 7-19 Price 4-9
Tor-Det: Estrada 7-18; Sanchez 0-4
Sea-Chi: Moore 1-3; Holland 6-17
Min-Hst: Gibson 4-16; Fiers 6-17
Tex-KC: Darvish 5-19; Kennedy 3-16
Clev-A’s: Bauer 2-17; Manaea 4-16
TB-LAA: Archer 5-19; Bridwell 0-5

Interleague
Chi-Balt: Quintana 4-18; Jimenez 4-13

Umpires

National League
StL-Pitt: Home team is 10-3 in last 13 Guccione games.
Wsh-Cin: Underdogs are 10-6 in last 16 Timmons games.
Col-NY: Last seven Baker games went over total.
LA-Mia: Three of last four Carlson games went over.
Az-Atl: Under is 8-1-3 in Blakney games this season.
Phil-Mil: Under is 5-2 in last seven Tichenor games.
SF-SD: Four of last five Woodring games went over.

American League
NY-Bos: Three of last four Morales games stayed under. Over is 6-2 in last eight Johnson games.
Tor-Det: Last three Porter games stayed under total.
Sea-Chi: Home side is 9-3 in last dozen Ripperger games.
Min-Hst: Under is 7-1 in last eight TBarrett games.
Tex-KC: Underdogs won six of last eight Emmel games.
Clev-A’s: Four of last five Diaz games stayed under.
TB-LAA: Under is 8-3-2 in last 13 Davis games.

Interleague

Chi-Balt: Four of last five Lentz games stayed under.

Interleague play
NL @ AL– 45-34 AL, favorites -$893
AL @ NL– 47-44 NL, favorites -$390
Total: 88-79 AL, favorites -$1,283

Totals in interleague games
NL @ AL: Over 46-36-2
AL @ NL: Over 48-37-3
Total: Over 94-73-5

Armadillosports.com

Sunday's Diamond Notes
By Joe Williams
VegasInsider.com

Hottest team: Rays (4-0 past four games, 8-3 past 11 overall)

The Dodgers aren't the only team playing well right now. The Rays have ripped off four straight victories, including each of their first two games against the Angels in Anaheim, winning by a combined score of 8-3. Pitching has been the key for Tampa Bay's turnaround, as they have allowed just seven total runs during their four-game winning streak. The Rays have also ripped off five victories over their past six against American League West foes while winning five of their past seven against right-handed starters. They turn to Chris Archer for the sweep, and they have been hot with the Raleigh-born pitcher on the hill. Tampa Bay is 5-1 over Archer's past six outings, including 4-1 over his past five road assignments.

Coldest team: Royals (0-5 past five games overall)

The Royals have climbed back into contention in the wide-open American League Central Division, but if they want to keep their postseason aspirations alive they will need to snap their losing skid. They're one game under .500 as a result of their slide, but they're still just three games back of the first-place Indians, a team experiencing some issues of their own. Danny Duffy pitched into the ninth inning and was on the short end of a 1-0 loss to the Rangers. Pitching hasn't been the problem during their losing streak, but a power outage on offense has been the issue. The Royals are averaging just 2.0 runs per game during their 0-5 run.

Hottest pitcher: Carlos Martinez, Cardinals (6-8, 3.40 ERA)

Martinez is two games under .500, so how can he be the 'hottest pitcher' on the board? Well, of all the starters in the majors on Sunday, C-Mart has the lowest ERA at 3.40. The All-Star also has a stellar .213 opponent batting average and microscopic 1.16 WHIP over 116 1/3 innings across 18 starts. Unfortunately for Martinez, he ranks 16th in the majors with the lowest run support at 3.94 runs per game. The Cardinals are 26-11 over Martinez's past 37 starts against teams with a losing record, and 10-3 in his past 13 assignments on the road against teams with an overall losing mark.

Coldest pitcher: Masahiro Tanaka, Yankees (7-8, 5.47 ERA)

Tanaka will take the ball in Game 2 of Sunday's day-night doubleheader, and he will at least have the luxury of facing some bats slower than normal. That's because the rivals just played into the 16th inning on Saturday, and they'll have another full game under their belts by the time Tanaka toes the slab Sunday night at Fenway Park. Tanaka had things going in the right direction with three consecutive quality starts from June 23-July 3, but he was smacked around for five earnedruns, six hits and two homers in just 4 1/3 innings in a loss against the Brewers on July 9 before the break. The good news is Tanaka will be working under the lights, and there is a reason he isn't working Game 1 during the daytime. He is 0-5 with a 14.81 ERA over six daytime starts and 7-3 with a 3.10 ERA across 12 outings at night.

Biggest UNDER run: Cardinals (0-4 past four overall)

The 'under' has been a frequent occurrence for the Redbirds lately, going 0-4 over the past four outings and 4-1 intheir past five vs. RHP. In addition, the under is an impressive 11-3-3 in Martinez's past 17 outing against divisional foes. That includes a 4-0 under mark in his past four showings against the Pirates. The under has cashed in nine of the past 12 meetings in this series, including the first two in this series where an average of just 5.5 combined runs per game have been scored. The under is also 9-1-1 over Pittsburgh's past 11 outings.

Biggest OVER run: Blue Jays (5-1-1 past seven overall)

Toronto's pitching has struggled mightily in recent games, allowing double-digit run totals in three of the past five outings. That including an 11-run outburst by the Tigers at Comerica Park on Saturday. The Blue Jays are yielding 7.8 runs per game over the past 10 outings. For what it's worth, the 'over' has also cashed in four straight games for Toronto on a Sunday while going 5-1-1 in the past seven during a Game 3 of a series. The under is 11-1 in Marco Estrada's past 12 tries against American League Central foes, however, while the under is 21-9 in the team's past 30 against the Central overall.

Matchup to watch: Red Sox vs. Yankees

The Yankees are Red Sox went 16 innings in Saturday's game, now they turn around and will have a 1:05pm ET start with Bryan Mitchell facing Rick Porcello. In the nightcap, Masahiro Tanaka and David Price will lock horns.

Betcha didn’t know: As always, remember that only a quarter of all doubleheaders end up in a sweep. Looking back at this season's doubleheaders, the past two have been split, each taking place on July 1. In the previous 14 doubleheaders this season, 10 have resulted in splits, three have been a sweep and one saw Game 1 rained out. Two of the teams doing the sweeping were road teams. The Red Sox haven't been involved in a doubleheader this season, but the Yankees split a twin bill with the Astros at The Stadium back on May 14. The Red Sox had one doubleheader last season, splitting a pair in Kansas City on May 18. In 2015, the Yankees were on the short end of two doubleheader sweeps, each against divisional foes. The last time Boston swept a doubleheader was June 18, 2013 against the Rays. The last time the Yankees swept a DH was Aug. 20, 2013 at home against the Blue Jays.

Biggest public favorite: Astros (-190) vs. Twins

Biggest public underdog: White Sox (+115) vs.Mariners

Biggest line move: Athletics (+110 to -105) vs. Indians

Yankees, Red Sox meet in Boston
By: StatFox.com

The Yankees will be hoping to pick up a much-needed victory when they take on the Red Sox on Sunday.

The Yankees are currently chasing the Red Sox in the AL East, and these games are all extremely important moving forward. This was already one of the most heated rivalries in all of sports, but the fact that these teams are both relevant makes it a whole lot better. Every win for either of these teams will seriously impact the standings, so there will be plenty of intensity in this Sunday night matchup. The starters in this game are set to be RHP Masahiro Tanaka (7-8, 5.47 ERA, 103 K) for New York and LHP David Price (4-2, 3.91 ERA, 50 K) for Boston. Both guys have been aces in the past, but they are far from the pitchers they once were. Tanaka has really struggled this season, and it’s actually been a serious grind for him all year. Price, meanwhile, started slow, but he has gotten himself going a bit as of late. Heading into the break, the lefty was in a serious groove. There are, however, some injuries worth pointing out for New York. One of those is that 1B Greg Bird (Foot) is still not back with the team. That forced New York to acquire 1B Garrett Cooper from the Brewers over the break. OF Aaron Hicks (Oblique), meanwhile, is also out for the time being for New York.

In his last start before the All-Star break, Masahiro Tanaka allowed five earned runs in only 4.1 innings of work in a home start against the Brewers. The righty allowed two homers in that game, and he has allowed none in his previous three starts. All of those outings were excellent, and Tanaka’s inconsistency was a huge problem in the first half of the year. Heading into this season, Tanaka was as reliable as they come for New York. The team will be hoping that he can find a way to correct his mechanical issues for the second half of the year. Offensively, keep an eye on both OF Jacoby Ellsbury and SS Didi Gregorius in this game. Ellsbury is 27-for-77 with six doubles, two triples, one homer, and seven RBI against Price in his career. He has had no trouble getting to the lefty. Gregorius, meanwhile, is 12-for-24 with a homer and five RBI against Price. He was also hot heading into the break.

The Red Sox have got to be pleased with the way David Price was pitching heading into the All-Star break, and Price will definitely be hoping that he can keep it up starting Sunday. The lefty had allowed three or fewer earned runs in six straight starts before the break, and he even struck out 21 batters over his three most recent outings. His stuff isn’t quite the same as it once was, but he still knows how to get the job done. On offense, OF Hanley Ramirez could do some damage here. Hanley has homered twice off of Tanaka in his career, and a long-ball could be exactly what he needs in order to get himself going. He had a rough first half of the season, but all will be forgotten if he helps the Sox win the division.