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MLB Betting News and Notes Sunday, July 31

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(@blade)
Posts: 318493
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National League

Cardinals @ Marlins
Martinez is 3-0, 2.30 in his last three starts; under is 7-0-1 in his last eight. Cardinals are 6-2 in his road starts.
Cashner makes his Miami debut here; he was 1-0, 2.55 in his last three starts for San Diego. Three of his last four starts went over.
Cardinals won six of last eight road games; six of their last eight games went over. Miami is 5-6 in its last 11 games; their last four games went over.

Rockies @ Mets
Bettis is 3-0, 2.77 in his last four starts; under is 3-1-1 in his last five. Colorado is 6-5 when he starts on the road.
Syndergaard is 0-2, 3.78 in his last three starts (under 3-0); Mets are 6-4 in his home starts.
Colorado won nine of its last nine games; under is 10-3-2 in their last 15 games. Mets lost eight of last nine home games; under is 8-3-1 in last dozen games at Citi Field.

Phillies @ Braves
Eickhoff is 0-3, 6.56 in his last four starts; under is 10-3 in his last 13. Phillies won three of his last four road starts.
Kelly allowed three runs in five IP (85 PT) in his first ’16 start.
Phillies lost five of last eight games; three of their last four games went over. Atlanta is 5-10 in its last 15 games; eight of last 12 games at Turner Field went over the total.

Pirates @ Brewers
Liriano is 1-2, 6.43 in his last four starts; five of his last seven went over. Pirates are 4-4 in his road outings.
Garza is 0-4, 8.89 in his last five starts; over is 3-1-2 in his last six starts.
Pirates lost five of last six road games (over 4-2 in last six overall). Brewers won six of last eight games; under is 10-4-1 in last 15 games at Miller Park.

Diamondbacks @ Dodgers
Corbin is 0-3, 10.24 in his last four starts; his last six starts went over. Arizona is 6-4 in his road starts.
Norris is 3-1, 4.28 in five starts for the Dodgers; three of his last four went over.
Arizona lost eight of last 12 games; over is 4-2-1 in their last seven. Dodgers won four of last six games; under is 14-4 in their last 18 home games.

Nationals @ Giants
Gonzalez is 2-0, 3.00 in his last three starts; five of his last seven went over. Washington lost five of his last six road starts.
Cain is 1-1, 9.53 in his last three starts; four of his last five went over. Giants won his last three home starts.
Nationals are 9-6 in last 15 games; seven of their last eight road games stayed under. San Francisco lost 11 of last 14 games, seven of last eight Giant home games stayed under the total.

Reds @ Padres
Bailey is making his first ’16 start; he is 58-51, 4.19 in 168 major league starts. He was 1-3, 5.14 in eight minor league rehab starts leading up to this.
Clemens is 1-1, 6.19 in three starts this season (under 2-1).
Reds won eight of last 12 games; their last three games stayed under. San Diego lost eight of last 12 games; under is 7-4 in their last 11 games.

American League

Orioles @ Blue Jays
Tillman is 4-1, 2.73 in his last five starts; under is 5-0-1 in his last six. Baltimore is 5-3 when he starts on the road.
Sanchez is 5-0, 1.72 in his last seven starts; his last six stayed under. Toronto won six of his last seven home starts.
Orioles lost last five games, 16 of their last 18 games stayed under the total- last two went over.

Toronto won five of its last six games; its last four went over.
New York @ Rays
Pineda is 2-0, 0.69 in his last two starts; his last six stayed under the total. Bronx is 3-5 in his road starts.
Snell is 1-1, 1.93 in his last three starts; six of his last eight stayed under.
New York lost its last three games (under 10-2 in last 12). Tampa Bay won its last three games (under 6-1 in last seven).

A’s @ Indians
Gray is 2-3, 6.52 in his last five starts; over is 5-0-2 in his last seven. Oakland is 3-6 in his road starts.
Kluber is 1-0, 1.64 in his last three starts; six of his last eight went over– He is 3-0, 0.39 in his last three home starts.
A’s won five of last eight games; under is 7-3-1 in their last 11 games. Cleveland won three of last four games (under 5-1-1 in last seven).

Astros @ Tigers
Keuchel is 2-1, 2.45 in his last five starts; his last four stayed under the total. Astros are 4-7 in his road starts.
Pelfrey is 1-2, 6.00 in his last four starts; his last five home starts went over. Detroit won five of his last six home starts.
Astros lost four of last five games; under is 6-3-1 in their last ten. Detroit won its last five games; under is 6-2 in their last eight home games.

White Sox @ Twins
Rodon was 0-3, 5.19 in his last six starts before going on DL; over is 6-4 in his last ten. Sox lost six of his seven road starts.
Santana is 1-2, 2.16 in his last six starts, all of which stayed under. Minnesota lost eight of his ten home starts.
Chicago is 5-6 in its last 11 games; under is 7-3-1 in their last 11 road games. Minnesota lost four of last six games; under is 6-2-1 in Twins’ last nine home games.

Royals @ Rangers
Gee is 1-3, 9.17 in his last four starts, which all went over the total.
Harrell was 2-2, 3.99 in five starts for Atlanta (over 2-2-1). This is his Texas debut.
Kansas City lost nine of last ten games; under is 13-4-1 in their last 18 road games. Texas won six of last eight games; over is 10-5 in last 15 Texas home games.

Red Sox @ Angels
Wright is 4-0, 6.98 in his last five starts; Boston scored 42 runs in those five games. Three of his last four starts went over. Boston is 5-4 in his road starts.
Skaggs shut the Royals out for seven innings (88 PT) in his first start since 2014.
Red Sox lost seven of last nine games; last seven Boston road games stayed under total. Angels won eight of last nine home games; last three Halo games stayed under.

Interleague

Mariners @ Cubs
Hernandez is 1-0, 6.39 in two starts since coming off the DL, allowing three first-inning runs in both games. Under is 8-3-1 in his starts this season. Seattle won his last three road starts.
Matusz is making his first ’16 start; he is 27-41, 4.85 in 279 big league games (68 starts); his last major league start was in 2012 for the Orioles.
Seattle lost three of their last five games; four of their last six went over. Cubs won six of last ten games, under is 11-2-2 in Cubs’ last 15 games.

Teams’ record when this pitcher starts

StL-Mia– Martinez 10-9; Cashner 0-0/7-9
Col-NY– Bettis 13-8; Syndergaard 12-7
Phil-Atl– Eickhoff 9-12; Kelly 0-1
Pitt-Mil– Liriano 9-11; Garza 2-6
Wsh-SF– Gonzalez 8-12; Cain 5-8
Az-LA– Corbin 7-14; Norris 3-2/5-5
Cin-SD– Bailey 0-0; Clemens 0-1/1-1
Balt-Tor– Tillman 18-4; Sanchez 13-7
NY-TB– Pineda 10-10; Snell 2-6
A’s-Clev– Gray 7-12; Kluber 9-11
Hst-Det– Keuchel 9-12; Pelfrey 9-11
Chi-Min– Rodon 5-11; Santana 4-15
KC-Tex– Gee 2-4; Harrell 0-0/3-2
Bos-LAA– Wright 12-8; Skaggs 1-0
Sea-Cubs– Hernandez 7-5; Matusz 0-0

Starting pitchers allowing 1+ runs in first inning:

Stl-Mia– Martinez 1-19; Cashner 5-15
Col-NY– Bettis 6-21; Syndergaard 4-19
Phil-Atl– Eickhoff 6-21; Kelly 0-1
Pitt-Mil– Liriano 4-20; Garza 4-8
Wsh-SF– Gonzalez 6-20 (6 of last 9); Cain 2-13
Az-LA– Corbin 10-21; Norris 3-15
Cin-SD– Bailey 0-0; Clemens 0-3
Balt-Tor– Tillman 7-22; Sanchez 4-20
NY-TB– Pineda 8-20; Snell 3-8
A’s-Clev– Gray 4-19; Kluber 5-20
Hst-Det– Keuchel 4-21; Pelfrey 9-20
Chi-Min– Rodon 5-16; Santana 6-19
KC-Tex– Gee 3-6; Harrell 1-5
Bos-LAA– Wright 6-20; Skaggs 0-1
Sea-Cubs– Hernandez 2-12; Matusz 0-0

Umpires

StL-Mia– Under is 8-4 in last 12 Reyburn games.
Col-NY– Six of last eight Kellogg games stayed under.
Phil-Atl– Over is 3-1-1 in last five Marquez games.
Pitt-Mil– Five of last seven Winters games stayed under.
Wsh-SF– Six of last eight Joyce games stayed under.
Az-LA– Three of last four Tichenor games went over.
Cin-SD– Seven of last eight DeJesus games went over.
Blt-Tor– Favorites won five of last six O’Nora games.
NY-TB– Underdogs won four of last seven Nelson games.
A’s-Clev– Seven of last nine Wendelstedt games stayed under.
Hst-Det– Underdogs are 8-5 in last thirteen Nauert games.
Chi-Min– Favorites won seven of last eight Johnson games.
KC-Tex– 11 of last 14 Hoberg games stayed under.
Bos-LAA– Five of last seven Morales stayed under.
Sea-Chi– Under is 7-4 in last 11 Iassogna games.

Armadillosports.com

 
Posted : July 31, 2016 9:14 am
(@blade)
Posts: 318493
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MLB: Streak, Tips, Notes
Sportspic.com

Baltimore at Toronto

Going back to the well is something that those in baseball betting have no problem doing, especially when it continues to offer up winning plays. In this case, the play involves the division clash between the Toronto Blue Jays and Baltimore Orioles. The Blue Jays taking the first two in the series opened as -$1.60 to -$1.70 home favorite depending on locale with a run total of 8.5 across most shops.

For the Blue Jays, righthander Aaron Sanchez gets the call, sporting an impressive 11-1 record, 2.72 ERA. Sanchez in great form has surrendered two earned or fewer runs in 7 consecutive starts and in 9 of his last 10. He has also won 10 consecutive decisions with Jays 12-4 over the sixteen starts. Sanchez carries to the mound a sparkling 5-1 team start stretch at home vs a division opponent.

Sanchez's pitching rival will be righthander Chris Tillman carrying a 14-3 record, 3.47 ERA. Tillman was not at his best last outing tagged with a loss giving up 6 runs over 5.0 innings and looks to be staring at back-2-back losses for the first time this season. That's because, Rogers Centre has been a tough environment for Tillman. In eleven starts he's has a 7.94 ERA getting smacked for 19 yard-ball with Orioles 3-8 in those games.

Blue Jays on a 5-0 streak at home vs Baltimore, 10-2 stretch hosting a division opponent, 13-4 the past 17 in front of the home audience the sweep is on.

 
Posted : July 31, 2016 9:33 am
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Sunday's Diamond Notes
By Joe Williams
VegasInsider.com

Hottest team: Rockies (5-0 past five, 9-1 past 10)

The Rockies have won the first three games at Citi Field by a combined 15-4 score, and they go for the four-game sweep in Sunday's contest. It has been a successful road trip so far for the Rox, winning five of their first six. Who said Colorado only can play at Coors Field? Colorado has won four straight road games against a right-handed starter, and they're 5-0 in their past five games against a team with a winning record. They're also 4-0 in Chad Bettis' past four outings, and they're 7-0 in his past seven assignments against National League East foes. On the flip side, the Mets are 1-5 in their past six vs. RHP, and they're winless in five straight against the NL West.

Coldest team: Royals (1-7 past eight, 6-17 past 23)

The Royals have been a feel-good story over the past couple of seasons, rising from the ashes of mediocrity to win the World Series last year. However, the Royals are in a freefall, losing seven of their past eight, including the first three in their four-game set at Globe Life Park in Arlington against the Texas Rangers. While two of their past three games have been one-run losses, it is their offense which has been letting them down. Kansas City has plated three or fewer runs in three straight, and six of the past seven. K.C. is winless in five in a row against teams with a winning record, and they're 4-11 in their past 15 against right-handed starters.

Hottest pitcher: Aaron Sanchez, Blue Jays (11-1, 2.72 ERA)

Sanchez has been on fire lately, going 2-0 with a 1.42 ERA with a 0.95 WHIP over the past three starts spanning 19 innings. The stretch lately is even better than his overall 11-1 record, 2.72 ERA and 1.15 WHIP. There are no signs of slowing down, although Sanchez and the Blue Jays will certainly be put to the test against Chris Tillman and the Baltimore Orioles. The O's are 5-1 in Tillman's past six road starts, and 11-0 in his past 11 against divisional foes. Sanchez is just as good against the AL East, as the Blue Jays are 6-0 in his past six against divisional rivals and 6-1 in his past seven at Rogers Centre.

Coldest pitcher: Matt Garza, Milwaukee (1-4, 5.74 ERA)

Garza has been terrible lately, going 0-2 with a 6.06 ERA and 1.53 WHIP over his past three outings. He has had difficulty striking out batters, whiffing just eight over the past 16 1/3 innings. To make matters worse Ryan Braun is banged up and the Brewers agreed to a deal to ship Jonathan Lucroy to the Cleveland Indians. A lack of offensive support, and poor pitching by Garza, certainly doesn't bode well for the Brewers.

Biggest UNDER run: Giants (7-3 past 10)

The 'under' has cashed in seven of the past 10 for San Francisco, and the under is also 7-3 in their past 10 games at home against left-handed starting pitching. The under is also 6-0 in the past six for the Giants against a team with a winning record, and 5-0 in their past five at home against a team with a winning road record. In addition, the under is 4-0 in the past four home games against the Nationals, and 4-0 in their past four overall. The under is also 4-1 for the Nationals in their past five starts by Gio Gonzalez against the Giants.

Biggest OVER run: Cardinals (4-0 past four, 7-3 past 10)

The Cardinals offense has picked up the pace lately, including a series opener win against Marlins SP Jose Fernandez. While St. Louis was blanked Saturday, the Cardinas have managed four or more runs in seven of their past 13 games. The St. Louis pitching staff has also been very giving lately, giving up an average of 5.4 runs per game over the past 10. The over run will be put to the test, as the under is actually 7-0-1 in Carlos Martinez's past eight outings. The over is 7-1-1 in Miami's past nine at home against a team with a winning record, however, so look for the streak to continue.

Matchup to watch: Cubs vs. Mariners

The Mariners turn to Felix Hernandez for the series win, going up against left-handed starter Brian Matusz. While Seattle has struggled on the road lately, going 8-19 in their past 27 away from the Emerald City and 3-8 in their past 11 against left-handed starting pitching, they're still 4-1 in King Felix's past five outings on the road and 6-2 in his past eight starts overall. The Cubs are playing slightly better lately, but they're still just 7-16 in their past 23 against a team with a winning record. However, they have won seven of their past 11 against American League teams. Seattle is also an impressive 10-4 in their past 14 interleague road games, and 11-5 in their past 16 against National League squads.

Betcha didn’t know: The Reds welcome back Homer Bailey for his first start back from reconstructive elbow surgery. After eight minor-league rehab starts he was 1-3 with a 5.14 ERA between Triple-A Louisville and Double-A Pensacola. However, he is still 5-0 with a 3.61 ERA in eight career outings against the San Diego Padres. He'll be helped out by the fact the Padres are lighter on offense with Matt Kemp having been shipped off to the Atlanta Braves Saturday night. Journeyman Paul Clemens will oppose Bailey and the Reds, as he makes his fourth start of the season for his second different team.

Biggest public favorite: Dodgers (-195) vs. Diamondbacks

Biggest public underdog: Mariners (+160) at Cubs

Biggest line move: Royals (+150 to +135) at Rangers

 
Posted : July 31, 2016 9:35 am
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