MLB betting trends, odds and predictions for Sunday, June 18th, 2017 from various handicappers and websites
MLB Knowledge
National League
Cubs @ Pirates
Lackey is 0-4, 6.75 in his last five starts; under is 3-1 in his last four. Cubs are 3-3 in his road starts- their 1st 5-inning record with him: 2-10-1
Taillon is 3-1, 3.95 in his last five starts; his last four went over. Pirates’ 1st 5-inning record with him: 3-2-2
Cubs are 2-11 in last 13 road games; five of their last seven games went over. Pirates won five of last seven games; under is 3-1 in their last four games.
Diamondbacks @ Phillies
Ray is 5-0, 0.24 in his last five starts; over is 5-2 in his last seven. Arizona is 5-2 in his road starts; their 1st 5-inning record with him: 6-3-4
Lively is 1-1, 3.00 in his first three MLB starts (under 3-0). Philly’s 1st 5-inning record with him: 0-3
Arizona won nine of last ten games; over is 7-3-1 in their last 11 games. Phillies lost ten of last 11 games; under is 7-4-1 in their last 12 games.
Dodgers @ Reds
Maeda is 1-1, 5.54 in three starts (!3 IP) since coming off DL; over is 6-2-1 in his last nine starts. LA is 3-2 in his road starts- their 1st 5-inning record with him:
Arroyo is 0-3, 8.24 in his last six starts; over is 8-3 in his last 11. Reds are 5-2 in his home starts- their 1st 5-inning record with him: 3-10
Dodgers won eight of their last nine games; seven of LA’s last eight games went over. Reds lost their last eight games; three of their last four games stayed under.
Nationals @ Mets
Ross is 3-2, 6.55 in eight starts this year (over 6-2). Nationals’ 1st 5-inning record with him: 6-2
deGrom is 3-2, 4.73 in his last five starts; over is 3-1 in his last four. Mets are 2-3 in his home starts; their 1st 5-inning record with him: 7-5-1
Washington won four of its last five games; their last six games went over. Mets lost four of their last five games; their last five games went over.
Marlins @ Braves
Urena is 4-0, 6.04 in his last five starts (over 4-0-1). Marlins are 3-0 in his road starts- their 1st 5-inning record with him: 6-2
Foltynewicz is 1-0, 2.65 in his last three starts; over is 6-2 in his last eight. Atlanta is 3-2 in his home starts- their 1st 5-inning record with him: 5-5-2
Marlins won six of last nine games; over is 10-5 in their last 15 road games. Atlanta lost four of its last five home games; five of their last seven games went over.
Padres @ Brewers
Perdomo is 1-3, 6.75 in his last five starts; over is 4-2 in his last six. Padres are 0-4 in his road starts- their 1st 5-inning record with him: 4-4-3
Nelson is 2-0, 2.70 in his last four starts; over is 6-4-1 in his last 11 starts. Brewers are 3-5 in his home starts- their 1st 5-inning record with him: 5-7-1
San Diego won four of its last five games; over is 11-3 in their last 14 games. Milwaukee won four of its last five games; over is 7-2 in their last nine games.
Giants @ Rockies
Blach is 0-2, 9.26 in his last two starts; over is 4-0-1 in his last five. Giants are 2-2 in his road starts- their 1st 5-inning record with him: 6-4
Chatwood is 2-0, 1.35 in his last three starts; under is 5-1-2 in his last eight. Colorado is 2-4 in his home starts; their 1st 5-inning record with him: 7-6-1
Giants are 4-14 in their last 18 games; over is 8-4-1 in their last 13 games. Colorado won its last five home games; over is 5-2-1 in their last eight home tilts.
American League
White Sox @ Blue Jays
Shields’ last start was April 16; he is 1-0, 1.62 in three starts this year. Chicago’s 1st 5-inning record with him: 1-1-1
Happ is 1-1, 4.11 in three starts since coming off the DL (under 3-2-1). Toronto’s 1st 5-inning record with him: 2-4
White Sox won five of last six games; over is 7-5 in their last 12 road games. Toronto is 3-5 in its last eight home games; over is 6-4-1 in their last 11 home games.
Rays @ Tigers
Faria is 2-0, 1.42 in his first two MLB starts (under 1-0-1). Rays’ 1st 5-inning record with him: 2-0
Farmer is 2-0, 3.52 in three starts this year (under 2-1). Detroit’s 1st 5-inning record with him: 2-1
Rays lost three of their last four games; over is 7-2-1 in their last ten games. Detroit is 6-5 in its last 11 home games; over is 9-6 in their last 15 games.
Mariners @ Rangers
Bergman is 0-2, 12.91 in his last two starts (under 4-3). Seattle’s 1st 5-inning record with him: 3-4
Darvish is 1-0, 2.51 in his last two starts; his last eight starts stayed under. Texas is 4-4 in his home starts; their 1st 5-inning record with him: 7-3-4
Seattle lost six of last eight games; over is 5-1-1 in their last seven road games. Texas won seven of its last eight games; over is 11-1 in their last 12 home games.
Red Sox @ Astros
Price is 1-1, 5.09 in four starts this year (under 2-1-1). Boston’s 1st 5-inning record with him: 3-1
Musgrove is 1-2, 5.52 in his last three starts; under is 3-1-1 in his last five. Astros are 2-6 in his home starts; their 1st 5-inning record with him: 3-8
Boston won six of last nine games; under is 7-3 in their last ten road games. Astros lost four of last six games; under is 12-6-1 in their last 19 home games.
Indians @ Twins
Bauer is 1-1, 4.30 in his last five starts; under is 6-3 in his last nine. Indians are 3-4 in his road starts; their 1st 5-inning record with him: 6-5-2
Santiago is 0-4, 9.55 in his last five starts; over is 7-2 in his last nine. Twins are 4-3 in his home starts; their 1st 5-inning record with him:
Indians won their last four games; under is 19-6 in their last 25 road games. Twins lost nine of last 11 home games; over is 6-3–2 in their last 11 home games.
New York @ A’s
Cessa is making his first ’17 start; he is 4-4, 4.40 in 18 big league games (9 starts). He is 3-6, 4.15 in 10 AAA starts this season.
Cotton is 0-4, 7.90 in his last five starts; over is 4-1-2 in his last seven. Oakland is 1-4 in his home starts- their 1st 5-inning record with him: 3-7-1
New York lost its last five games; seven of their last nine games went over. Oakland won its last three games; over is 10-2-2 in their last 14 games.
Royals @ Angels
Vargas is 4-0, 1.69 in his last four starts; Royals are 4-2 in his road starts. Under is 9-4 in his starts this year. Royals’ 1st 5-inning record with him: 8-4-1
Ramirez is 1-1, 7.31 in his last three starts (under 8-4). Angels are 4-2 in his home starts; their 5-inning record with him: 9-12
Royals won eight of last 11 games; over is 9-2-1 in their last 12 games. Angels are 4-6 in last ten home games; under is 4-2-1 in their last seven home games.
Interleague
Cardinals @ Orioles
Lynn is 1-0, 1.69 in his last three starts; over is 6-3 in his last nine. St Louis lost his last four road starts- their 1st 5-inning record with him: 7-5-1
Asher is 0-2, 11.00 in his last two starts (under 5-1). Orioles’ 1st 5-inning record with him: 1-4-1
Cardinals lost four of last five games; five of their last six games went over. Orioles lost eight of last ten games; over is 7-2 in their last nine games.
Record with this pitcher starting
National League
Chi-Pitt: Lackey 6-7; Taillon 3-4
Az-Phil: Ray 9-4; Lively 1-2
LA-Cin: Maeda 7-3; Arroyo 7-6
Wsh-NY: Ross 6-2; deGrom 7-6
Mia-Atl: Urena 6-2; Foltynewicz 5-7
SD-Mil: Perdomo 4-7; Nelson 6-7
SF-Col: Blach 4-6; Chatwood 6-8
American League
Chi-Tor: Shields 2-1; Happ 2-4
TB-Det: Faria 2-0; Farmer 2-1
Sea-Tex: Bergman 3-4; Darvish 8-6
Bos-Hst: Price 2-2; Musgrove 5-6
Clev-Min: Bauer 6-7; Santiago 5-7
NY-A’s: Cessa 0-0; Cotton 3-8
KC-LA: Vargas 9-4; Ramirez 8-4
Interleague
StL-Balt: Lynn 6-7; Asher 1-5
Pitchers allowing a run in first inning:
National League
Chi-Pitt: Lackey 8-13; Taillon 1-7
Az-Phil: Ray 4-13; Lively 2-3
LA-Cin: Maeda 5-10; Arroyo 6-13
Wsh-NY: Ross 4-8; deGrom 5-13
Mia-Atl: Urena 1-8; Foltynewicz 2-12
SD-Mil: Perdomo 5-11; Nelson 2-13
SF-Col: Blach 2-10; Chatwood 2-14
American League
Chi-Tor: Shields 1-3; Happ 2-6
TB-Det: Faria 1-2; Farmer 1-3
Sea-Tex: Bergman 0-7; Darvish 2-14
Bos-Hst: Price 0-4; Musgrove 2-11
Clev-Min: Bauer 2-13; Santiago 3-12
NY-A’s: Cessa 0-0; Cotton 5-11
KC-LA: Vargas 2-13; Ramirez 9-12
Interleague
StL-Balt: Lynn 4-13; Asher 1-6
Umpires
National League
Chi-Pitt: Over is 8-4 in last dozen Timmons games.
Az-Phil: Over is 4-2-1 in last seven Hoye games.
LA-Cin: Four of last five Reynolds games went over.
Wsh-NY: Favorites are 9-3 (+$571) in Kulpa games this year.
Mia-Atl: Six of last seven Segal games went over.
SD-Mil: Over is 8-2 in last ten Wolcott games.
SF-Col: Over is 5-2-1 in last eight Johnson games.
American League
Chi-Tor: Last four Wegner games went over total.
TB-Det: Four of last five Conroy games stayed under.
Sea-Tex: Favorites are 10-4 (+$414) in Wendelstedt games this year.
Bos-Hst: Under is 5-2-1 in last eight Gibson games.
Clev-Min: Under is 9-2 in Bellino games this season.
NY-A’s: Five of last six TBarrett games stayed under.
KC-LA: Over is 8-0-1 in last nine Gonzalez games.
Interleague
StL-Balt: Under is 5-2-1 in last eight Drake games.
Interleague play
NL @ AL– 37-21 AL, favorites +$64
AL @ NL– 37-35 AL, favorites -$629
Total: 74-56 AL, favorites -$565
Totals in interleague games
NL @ AL: Over 36-26-1
AL @ NL: Over 41-26-2
Total: Over 77-52-3
Armadillosports.com
Sunday's Diamond Notes
By Joe Williams
VegasInsider.com
Hottest team: Diamondbacks (6-0 past six games, 9-1 past 10 overall)
The Diamondbacks have picked up six consecutive victories, taking advantage of the schedule. Since May 7, Arizona has faced just one team (the Milwaukee Brewers) over .500 across the past 36 games. As such, the Snakes find themselves nipping at the heels of the Rockies in the National League West. The Diamondbacks have outscored the Phillies 10-5 in the past two games, and they're averaging 7.1 runs per game over the past 10 outings while allowing just 3.2 runs per game during the span. With Robbie Ray on the hill, they have a great shot at a sweep. The Diamondbacks are 5-0 in Ray's past five outings, 7-1 in his past eight against teams with a losing record and 5-1 over his past six on the road.
Coldest team Yankees (0-5 past five games)
The Yankees haven't found themselves in the 'cold' column very often this season, but a five-game losing streak has them reeling. New York turns to minor-league recall Luis Cessa to stop the skid in Oakland opposite Jharel Cotton in a potentially high-scoring game. New York has posted a 1-4 mark over their past five road outings against a right-handed starter, but Cotton could the elixir to their road ills. The A's are 0-5 over their past five with Cotton on the hill, and 1-4 over his past five outings at O.co Coliseum.
Hottest pitcher: Jason Vargas, Royals (9-3, 2.10 ERA)
Vargas takes the ball looking to stay hot in his native Golden State. He allowed just one earned run, five hits and a walk with six strikeouts over seven innings in a win at San Francisco last time out, winning his fourth consecutive start while lowering his ERA to 2.10. Vargas has the second-best ERA in the majors, and he is a respectable 4-2 with a 2.45 ERA in six outings on the road. He is even better in day starts, going 2-0 with a 0.96 ERA in three day games this season, allowing just two hits over 18 2/3 innings under the sun. The Royals are 20-8 over his past 28 assignments, 9-1 over his past 10 against a team with a losing overall record and 6-0 over his pst six starts against AL West foes.
Coldest pitcher: Bronson Arroyo, Reds (3-5, 7.01 ERA)
Arroyo has been horrendous this season, allowing 53 earned runs and 87 hits over 68 innings across 13 starts. He is 0-1 with an 8.27 ERA in three starts in the month of June, and he has allowed 16 homers over his past 43 innings across eight starts. An average of two homers per starts simply will not do at any level. Oddly enough, the Reds are 5-1 over his past six starts at GABP, but they're 1-12 in their past 13 games against National League West opponents and 2-6 in their past eight at home against southpaws. The Dodgers counter with Clayton Kershaw, and they're 4-1 over his past five road outings against the Reds while they are 6-2 in their past eight trips to the Queen City overall.
Biggest UNDER run: Phillies (3-1-1 past five games, 6-2-2 past 10 overall)
The Phillies offense has been awful all season, as Philly limps in with a minus-89 run differential. That's 28th in the majors, and their flagging offense is a major reason for their struggles. Over the past 12 outings they're averaging just 2.4 runs per game on offense. The key to the 'under' run has been their improved pitching lately, as they're allowing just 4.6 runs per game during the past 10 outings. Arizona's Ray will help the 'under', too, as the total has gone under in five of Ray's past six road outings.
Biggest OVER run: Athletics (8-1-1 past 10 games overall)
The 'over' is an impressive 8-1-1 over Oakland's past 10, and they're not just hitting the total with poor pitching, but with solid offensive production, too. They have averaged a healthy 6.7 runs per game in three wins in the first three outings against the Yankees, while allowing 5.0 runs per game. The over is 12-3-2 in Oakland's past 17 games overall, while going 12-3-1 over their past 16 at home against teams with a winning overall record. For what it's worth, the over is also a perfect 8-0 over their past eight games on Sunday while going 7-0 in their past seven vs. AL East opponents. The over is also 7-2 in their past nine overall while going 5-2 in their past seven vs. RHP.
Matchup to watch: Astros vs. Red Sox
The Astros and Red Sox have had an entertaining series so far, splitting the first two battles at Minute Maid. They'll decide a winner of the series in the rubber match on Sunday Night Baseball. Houston's 7-1 win on Saturday was a rarity lately, as they're just 4-7 over their past 11 games. They received a surprisingly effective start from David Paulino in the middle game on Saturday while touching up Rick Porcello. The Red Sox are 7-1 in their past eight against AL West foes while going 6-1 in their past seven against a right-handed starter. They have won 10 of their past 14 against teams with a winning overall record, too, while the Astros are just 1-4 in their past five at Minute Maid, and 7-17 over the past 24 at home against a team with a winning overall mark. The 'Stros have won just two of Joe Musgrove's past eight home outings, too.
Betcha didn’t know: The Rockies are looking to complete a four-game sweep of the rival Giants. They're 9-1 over their past 10 against Colorado, including 6-0 over their past six meetings at Coors Field. Colorado has won 11 of their past 14 games overall, too, and they'll turn to Tyler Chatwood to keep up the good word. He has allowed one run in each of his past three starts, all on the road. He has a rather dismal 7.03 ERA in six starts at Coors Field. However, he posted a shutout in San Francisco earlier this season for the only complete game shutout of his career. He is also 7-3 with a 2.81 ERA over 14 career appearances (13 starts) against the Giants.
Biggest public favorite: Rangers (-190) vs. Mariners
Biggest public underdog: Nationals (+140) at Mets
Biggest line move: Astros (+130 to -115) vs. Red Sox
Red Sox face Astros
By: StatFox.com
The Astros will be hoping to pick up a big victory over the Red Sox on Sunday Night Baseball.
The Red Sox and Astros will be playing the last of a three-game set on Sunday, and you can expect that both teams will want to come out and earn a victory in this one. These are two of the best teams in the American League, and a win on Sunday night would make a statement. This game is going to be nationally televised, and all of these players know that. The starters in this Sunday night meeting are going to be LHP David Price (1-1, 5.09 ERA, 21 K) for Boston and RHP Joe Musgrove (4-5, 4.81 ERA, 45 K) for Houston. Both guys are supposed to be top of the rotation starters, but they are each struggling mightily this season. They do, however, have excuses for that. Price has been battling injuries, and rust could be the reason he hasn’t gotten it going yet. Musgrove, meanwhile, is still extremely young. He has not yet figured out how to use his stuff, but the Astros are hoping that changes shortly.
David Price has been a bit inconsistent since coming back this season, but he has looked very good in two of his past three starts. In one of those games, Price allowed just one earned run in seven innings against the Orioles on Jun. 13. And then in his most recent start, Price allowed only three earned runs in six innings of work against the Phillies on Jun. 13. Sandwiched in between both of those starts was, however, a very poor outing against the Yankees. Price gave up six earned runs on eight hits in five innings of work in that one. He’ll need to avoid that type of performance in this one. Offensively, one guy to keep an eye on in this game is 1B Mitch Moreland. Moreland might not be the most dangerous hitter on this team, but he does have success against Musgrove. In the very limited history of this matchup, Moreland is 2-for-5 with a double and two RBI against the righty. Boston would certainly welcome some production from him in this one. The Sox will also be hoping that guys like OF Mookie Betts and SS Xander Bogaerts perform like their usual selves.
If the Astros are going to go where they want to at the end of the year then Joe Musgrove needs to start pitching better. Musgrove is extremely talented, but he has some very poor outings on occasion. Fortunately for Houston, he has been a bit better lately. Over his past two starts, Musgrove has allowed just two earned runs in 11.2 innings of work. He has struck out eight batters in those games, and he walked only one. That is going to be crucial moving forward, as his walks have plagued him at times. On offense, two guys to watch out for in this game are DH Carlos Beltran and C Brian McCann. The two of them are a combined 19-for-59 with two doubles, three homers, and 11 RBI against the lefty. The two veterans should be able to spark their team here, and the other youngsters in the lineup can obviously follow suit.
MLB: Streaks, Tips, Notes
Sportspic.com
Chicago Cubs at Pittsburgh Pirates
Cubbies have not been a peg to hang your hopes on recently in road games. Over the past 13 games the result has been 2 wins, 11 losses. With Cubs 1-4 in Lackey's last 5 starts, 1-3 in the hurlers last 4 June road starts and the team 2-4 in road rubber games the numbers point to Pirates being the right choice. Currently, Sports Interaction has Pirates at -$115 favorites with the total set at 9.0 across all shops.