MLB betting trends, odds and predictions for Sunday, June 4th, 2017 from various handicappers and websites
MLB Knowledge
National League
Cardinals @ Cubs
Wacha is 0-2, 5.23 in his last six starts, all of which went over. He is 0-2, 6.75 on the road.
Hendricks is 2-2, 4.44 in his last four starts; under is 5-2 in his last seven. Cubs are 3-2 in his home starts.
Cardinals are 5-11 in their last 16 games; under is 9-3 in their last 12 games. Chicago lost six of its last eight games but won last two; over is 16-5 in last 21 games at Wrigley Field.
Diamondbacks @ Marlins
Ray is 3-0, 0.00 (23.2 IP) in his last three starts; Arizona is 5-1 in his road starts (under 5-1).
Worley is 0-2, 5.00 in two starts this year (over 1-1).
Arizona is 13-6 in its last 19 games; under is 10-4 in their last 14 games. Miami won seven of last nine games; over is 9-5-1 in their last 15 games.
Giants @ Phillies
Moore is 0-2, 3.79 in his last three starts; giants are 1-5 in his road starts (over 5-0-1).
Hellickson is 0-2, 9.00 in his last two starts (under 7-2-2). Phillies are 4-1 in his home starts.
Giants lost eight of last 11 games; over is 6-4 in their last ten road games. Phillies lost 11 of last 14 games; over is 7-4-1 in their last 12 home games.
Pirates @ Mets
Williams is 1-1, 3.32 in his last four starts (under 2-2-1).
Pill allowed one run in 5.1 IP (103 PT) in his first MLB start, a win over Milwaukee.
Pirates won three of its last four road games; over is 8-3 in their last 11 games. Mets lost five of last eight home games; under is 5-2 in their last seven home games.
Braves @ Reds
Teheran is 1-1, 8.81 in his last three starts; over is 6-1-1 in his last eight. Braves are 3-2 in his road starts.
Bonilla is 0-3, 7.84 in four starts this year (over 2-2).
Braves lost five of last seven games; over is 6-3-1 in their last ten road games. Cincinnati lost four of its last five games; over is 10-5 in their last 15 home games.
Dodgers @ Brewers
Maeda is 3-0, 3.68 in his last five starts; over is 6-1-1 in his last eight. Dodgers are 3-1 in his road outings.
Davies is 3-1, 4.18 in his last five starts (over 8-3). Brewers split his six home starts.
Dodgers are 7-2 in last nine games; under is 8-4 in their last 12 games. Milwaukee is 4-11 in its last 15 games; over is 19-7 in last 26 games at Miller Park.
Rockies @ Padres
Hoffman is 2-0, 2.92 in two starts this year (over 2-0).
Cosart is 0-1, 4.66 in five starts (19.1 IP) this year (under 3-2).
Rockies lost four of last six games; over is 7-2-1 in their last ten road games. San Diego won five of its last six games; under is 7-4-1 in their last 12 games.
American League
New York @ Toronto
Severino is 2-0, 0.93 in his last three starts; over is 5-1 in his last six. New York is 3-2 in his road starts.
Stroman is 4-0, 2.45 in his last five starts; over is 6-1 in his last seven. Blue Jays won his last three home starts.
New York is 8-5 in its last 13 games; over is 4-1 in last five Bronx games. Blue Jays won nine of last 12 games; over is 7-4 in their last 11 home games.
Red Sox @ Orioles
Sale is 5-0, 4.69 in his last six starts; Boston scored 52 runs in those games. Under is 7-3 in his last ten starts. Red Sox are 3-2 in his road starts.
Tillman is 0-2, 7.90 in his last three starts (under 4-1).
Boston won nine of last 13 games; under is 7-2-1 in last ten Red Sox games. Baltimore lost nine of its last 13 games; three of last five Oriole games went over.
White Sox @ Tigers
Holmberg allowed three runs in four IP 972 PT) in his first ’17 start, vs Boston.
Verlander is 1-2, 4.91 in his last four starts; Detroit is 3-1 in his home starts (under 3-1).
White Sox are 3-12 in last 15 road games; over is 9-2 in their last 11 road games. Detroit is 6-8 in its last 14 games; five of their last six games went over.
Astros @ Rangers
Peacock 0-0, 4.00 (9 IP) in two starts this year (over 1-1).
Perez is 1-1, 4.40 in his last five starts (over 4-1). Texas is 3-4 in his home starts.
Astros won their last nine games; over is 7-1-2 in their last ten road games. Texas lost nine of last 11 games; last seven Texas home games went over.
Indians @ Royals
Bauer is 3-0, 4.18 in his last four starts; under is 4-2 in his last six. Cleveland is 2-3 in his road starts.
Skoglund blanked Detroit for 6.1 innings (90 PT) in his first MLB start.
Indians lost three of last four games; under is 15-4 in their last 19 road games. Royals won three of last four games; under is 12-6 in their last 18 home games.
Twins @ Angels
Berrios is 3-1, 2.77 in four starts this season (under 3-0-1).
Nolasco is 0-3, 7.98 in his last three starts; under is 6-2 in his last eight. Angels are 2-3 in his home outings.
Minnesota lost six of last eight games; over is 5-0-1 in their last six games. Angels won six of last eight home games; six of Halos’ last eight home games went over.
Rays @ Mariners
Ramirez is 2-0, 4.26 in four starts this year (over 3-1).
Miranda is 2-0, 2.45 in his last four starts; under is 6-3 in his last nine. Seattle split his four home starts.
Tampa Bay lost three of last four games; over is 11-2 in their last 13 road games. Seattle won six of last seven games; over is 13-5 in their last 18 home games.
Interleague
Nationals @ A’s
Roark is 2-0, 0.64 in his last two starts (over 7-3-1). Nationals are 3-2 in his road starts.
Home team won all six Gray starts (over 5-1); he is 2-0, 3.86 in three home starts.
Washington won nine of last 12 games; three of their last four games went over. A’s lost six of their last nine games. Over is 11-4 in A’s last 15 home games.
Record with this pitcher starting
National League
StL-Chi: Wacha 3-6; Hendricks 5-5
Az-Mia: Ray 7-4; Worley 0-2
SF-Phil: Moore 3-8; Hellickson 8-3
Pitt-NY: Williams 3-2; Pill 1-0
Atl-Cin: Teheran 4-7; Bonilla 1-3
LA-Mil: Maeda 7-2; Davies 6-5
Col-SD: Hoffman 2-0; Cosart 3-2
American League
NY-Tor: Severino 6-4; Stroman 7-4
Bos-Balt: Sale 8-3; Tillman 2-3
Chi-Det: Holmberg 1-0; Verlander 5-6
Hst-Tex: Peacock 2-0; Perez 3-8
Clev-KC: Bauer 5-5; Skoglund 1-0
Minn-LA: Berrios 3-1; Nolasco 3-8
TB-Sea: Ramirez 4-0; Miranda 7-4
Interleague
Wsh-A’s: Roark 8-3; Gray 3-3
Pitchers allowing a run in first inning:
National League
StL-Chi: Wacha 1-9; Hendricks 4-10
Az-Mia: Ray 4-11; Worley 2-2
SF-Phil: Moore 3-11; Hellickson 4-11
Pitt-NY: Williams 2-5; Pill 1-1
Atl-Cin: Teheran 4-11; Bonilla 2-4
LA-Mil: Maeda 4-9; Davies 2-11
Col-SD: Hoffman 0-2; Cosart 1-5
American League
NY-Tor: Severino 2-10; Stroman 2-9
Bos-Balt: Sale 0-11; Tillman 2-5
Chi-Det: Holmberg 1-1; Verlander 4-11
Hst-Tex: Peacock 0-2; Perez 5-11
Clev-KC: Bauer 2-10; Skoglund 0-1
Minn-LA: Berrios 0-4; Nolasco 4-11
TB-Sea: Ramirez 4-4; Miranda 4-11
Interleague
Wsh-A’s: Roark 5-11; Gray 1-6
Umpires
National League
StL-Chi: Home side won seven of last eight Guccione games.
Az-Mia: Under is 6-4 in last ten Danley games.
SF-Phil: Under is 5-2 in last seven Ripperger games.
Pitt-NY: Under is 7-3 in last ten Reynolds games.
Atl-Cin: Over is 7-4 in Muchlinski games this season.
LA-Mil: Over is 5-2-1 in last eight Holbrook games.
Col-SD: Both Ortiz games this season stayed under.
American League
NY-Tor: Last six Cederstrom games went over.
Bos-Balt: Over is 4-1-1 in last six Blaser games.
Chi-Det: Over is 7-0-1 in last eight Gonzalez games.
Hst-Tex: Under is 3-1 in Blakney games this season.
Clev-KC: Four of last five Meals games went over.
Minn-LA: Under is 5-3 in last eight Little games.
TB-Sea: Under is 7-2-1 in Barksdale games this year.
Interleague
Wsh-A’s: Over is 7-3 in Barry games this season.
Interleague play
NL @ AL– 30-15 AL, favorites +$40
AL @ NL– 28-25 AL, favorites +$202
Total: 58-40 AL, favorites +$242
Totals in interleague games
NL @ AL: Over 25-23-1
AL @ NL: Over 31-19-1
Total: Over 56-42-2
Armadillosports.com
Sunday's Diamond Notes
By Joe Williams
VegasInsider.com
Hottest team: Astros (9-0 past nine games, 11-1 past 13 overall)
The Astros continued their assault on the rest of the league, topping the Rangers 6-5 in Arlington for their second win in as many days against their Lone Star State rivals. Houston is averaging 8.3 runs per game during the nine-game run while allowing just 3.8 runs per outings. Not only are they hitting on moneylines, they're 7-1 on the run line over the past eight outings. The Astros turn to Brad Peacock to keep it going in Sunday's series finale. The Astros are 4-1 over Peacock's past five road outings, but just 1-6 over his past seven assignments against divisional foes and 2-6 in his past eight aainst teams with a losing overall mark.
Coldest team White Sox (0-4 past four games, 4-8 past 12 overall)
The White Sox haven't enjoyed their stay in Motown, as Michael Fulmer and Jordan Zimmermann have held down the Chicago offense while the Tigers have blasted Derek Holland Miguel Gonzalez. Detroit is outscoring Chicago 25-6 over their first two games. Chicago is just 2-5 over their past seven against a right-handed starting pitcher, and they're 9-24 in their past 33 road games against a team with a losing record. Chicago will have to try and solve ace Justin Verlander. The Tigers are 4-1 over J.V.'s past five home outings, although the Tigers are 0-6 over Verlander's past six against a team with a losing record.
Hottest pitcher: Chris Sale, Red Sox (6-2, 2.77 ERA)
Sale has made a seamless transition from Chicago to Boston, as he hasn't skipped a beat in changing his socks from white to red. The Red Sox are 5-1 over his past six outings while going 4-1 over his past five against teams with a winning overall mark. He also leads the majors with 110 strikeouts while holding the opposition to a .197 batting average and 0.91 WHIP. He'll look to make quick work of the Orioles, a team which has won just four times over the past 13 outings while going 2-6 across Chris Tillman's past eight assignments. The O's are also just 1-4 in his past five in Oriole Park at Camden Yards against a team with a winning overall record. All of this bodes well for Sale to keep steaming right along.
Coldest pitcher: Ricky Nolasco, Angels (2-5, 5.07 ERA)
The Opening Day starter for the Angels has been tagged frequently of late. In fact, he is tied for third in the majors with 16 homers allowed, trailing only Cincinnati's Bronson Arroyo (19) and Houston's Mike Fiers (18) in the category. Opposing hitters are humming along to the tune of a .278 batting average while Nolasco has posted a 1.39 WHIP. After posting a 2-2 record with a respectable 4.13 ERA in five April starts it has been all downhill. The veteran went 0-3 with a 5.91 ERA in May, serving up nine homers across 32 innings over six outings. The Twins have averaged 5.5 runs per game over the past 12 outings, so Nolasco could get trampled again on Sunday.
Biggest UNDER run: Red Sox (8-2 past 10 games overall)
The 'under' has been the play for the Red Sox lately, and it's always the suggested course of action when Sale is on the bump. The under is 4-1 in Boston's past five on the road vs. RHP, and a perfect 7-0 in their past seven overall against a righty. While the 'over' has hit in four of Sale's past five outings, the under has cashed in four of his past five against American League East foes. On the other side, the under is 8-1 in Chris Tillman's past nine starts while going 5-1 over his past six in his home yard. The under is also 8-1-1 in the past 10 installments in this series while going 15-5-2 in the past 22 meetings overall.
Biggest OVER run: Tigers (5-1 past six games overall)
The 'over' has connected in five of the past six for the boys from Motown, although the only 'under' result during the stretch was with Verlander on the hill, Sunday's probably starter. Detroit's offense has compiled 25 runs in the first two games of their series against Chicago, and the over is 7-3 over the past 10 outings. The White Sox turn to southpaw David Holmberg, a former Cincinnati Reds starter, as they look to snap a five-game road skid. The over is 8-3 over Chicago's past 11 road games and 12-4-1 in their past 17 against right-handed starters.
Matchup to watch: Cubs vs. Cardinals
The Cubs have gotten well at the expense of the rival Cardinals, winning the first two games of this well-pitched series. Chicago's Jon Lester has even gotten bold enough to throw over to first base to try and keep him stationed in place. The good news for the Cubbies is that the Cards are 1-5 over their past six road games and 2-5 in their past seven overall. While the Cubs are 13-6 over Kyle Hendricks past 19 outings, they have still won just twice over the past eight. St. Louis is 1-4 in their past five against Chicago, and 1-4 in Michael Wacha's past five outings. For total bettors, the 'over' is 10-1 in Wacha's past 11 starts against the Cubbies while going 4-1 in their past five against the Cards.
Betcha didn’t know: The Nationals are looking to add to their misery of the Giants. Washington has won five of their past six on the road while going 6-2 in their past eight against a right-handed starter. The Nats are also just 25-10 over Tanner Roark's past 35 outings while going 9-4 in his past 13 starts with five days of rest. While Oakland is 14-6 in their past 20 at home, they're just 2-6 in the past eight overall and 4-10 in their past 14 interleague battles. While the A's are 7-17 in Sonny Gray's past 24 outings, Oakland is a very impressive 15-3 in Gray's past 18 appearances on Sunday.
Biggest public favorite: Tigers (-200) vs. Tigers
Biggest public underdog: Brewers (+130) vs. Dodgers
Biggest line move: Red Sox (-125 to -170) at Orioles
Cardinals, Cubs meet
By: StatFox.com
One of baseball’s best rivalries will take the national stage when the Cubs host the Cardinals on Sunday.
Both the Cardinals and Cubs have gotten off to rough starts this season, but both teams still have plenty of time to turn things around. They currently sit in second and third in the NL Central, but they’re also behind a Brewers team that many expect to fall off at some point. Milwaukee has some talented players, but the team just does not have the look of a group that is ready to play postseason baseball. That means that a small winning streak for either of these teams could easily get them into first. Only one can win on Sunday, though. The starters in this matchup are set to be RHP Michael Wacha (2-3, 3.99 ERA, 48 K) for St. Louis and RHP Kyle Hendricks (4-3, 3.75 ERA, 48 K) for Chicago. After a disastrous 2016 season, Wacha is once again productive for this Cardinals rotation. Hendricks, meanwhile, is having a bit of a down year in 2017. He is, however, still pretty solid and the Cubs will always be confident when he’s out there.
Michael Wacha got off to a great start for the Cardinals this season, allowing three or fewer earned runs in six of his first seven starts. He has, however, slowed down recently. In his past two starts, Wacha has pitched a total of seven innings and allowed nine earned runs. He will need to find his groove on Sunday, as this Cubs lineup is obviously nothing to play around with. If he does not have his best stuff then Chicago will put a big number on the scoreboard. Offensively, 1B Matt Carpenter is one guy that will need to raise his game in this one. Carpenter is one of the few Cardinals that has had success against Hendricks, as he is 6-for-19 with a homer and three RBI against the righty in his career. St. Louis will also be hoping that C Yadier Molina can get it going. Molina has struggled a bit to start the season, but he should creep back toward the .300 mark at some point.
It’s no secret that the Cubs won the World Series last year, but this team badly needs to wake up soon. Kyle Hendricks is no exception to that. The righty had the best ERA in baseball last season, but he has struggled a bit to open up the 2017 season. Hendricks has allowed four or more earned runs in three of his 10 starts this season. He did that only three times last season, and the Cubs can really use the guy they had in 2016. The biggest difference has been the velocity on his pitches, which is down from where it was a year ago. If he doesn’t regain his strength then it’s hard to imagine him being an ace. The Cubs also, however, need their hitters to get hot. 1B Anthony Rizzo has some decent power numbers, but he is not hitting for average like he is capable of. The team also needs OF Kyle Schwarber to get it going soon. He has been miserable to start the season, and he is supposed to be one of their best hitters.