MLB betting trends, odds and predictions for Sunday, May 14th, 2017 from various handicappers and websites
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National League
Braves @ Marlins
Dickey is 3-2, 5.30 in six starts this season; his last three starts went over.
Nicolino is making his first ’17 start- he is 8-10, 4.52 in 25 MLB starts. He is 1-3, 4.46 in seven AAA starts this season.
Braves lost six of their last eight games; over is 10-3-2 in their last 14 games. Miami lost eight of its last nine games; over is 6-2 in their last eight games.
Phillies @ Nationals
Hellickson is 0-1, 9.35 in his last two starts (under 5-2). Velasquez 2-1, 4.91 in his last three starts (over 5-1).
Gonzalez is 3-1, 3.05 in seven starts this year; over is 4-2 in his last six starts. Scherzer is 3-1, 2.75 in his last five starts (over 3-1 in his last four).
Phillies lost eight of their last nine games; over is 8-2 in their last ten games. Nationals lost three of their last five games, all of which went over total.
Mets @ Brewers
deGrom is 2-1, 5.32 in his last four starts; over is 3-1 in his road starts.
Peralta is 1-2, 7.58 in his last four starts, three of which went over.
Mets lost their last three games; over is 14-3 in their last 17 games. Milwaukee won five of last six games; over is 14-3 in last 17 games at Miller Park.
Cubs @ Cardinals
Arrieta is 1-2, 109.93 in his last three starts; his last six starts went over total.
Wainwright is 2-3, 6.44 in seven starts this year; his last five starts went over.
Cubs lost six of last seven games; over is 11-5 in their last 16 road games. St Louis won nine of its last ten games; over is 14-2-1 in their last 17 games.
Dodgers @ Rockies
Urias is 0-0, 1.00 in three starts, all of which went extra innings (under 2-0-1).
Senzatela is 5-1, 3.07 in seven starts this year; his last four starts went over.
Dodgers won seven of their last eight games; under is 6-3-1 in their last ten road games. Colorado is 5-3 in its last eight games; under is 8-2 in their last ten games.
Pirates @ Diamondbacks
Nova is 2-1, 2.22 in his last four starts; under is 4-0-1 in his last five starts.
Ray is 0-3, 5.09 in his last three starts; under is 4-2 in his last six starts.
Pirates lost six of their last seven games; under is 7-2-1 in their last ten games. Arizona won three of its last four games; under is 8-2 in their last ten games.
Reds @ Giants
Adleman is 2-0, 4.09 in his last two starts (over 2-2).
Samardzija is 0-5, 5.83 in seven starts this year; his last six starts stayed under.
Reds lost seven of their last nine road games; their last four games stayed under. San Francisco won three of last four games; under is 12-2-2 in their home games.
American League
Houston @ New York
Fiers is 1-1, 5.93 in six starts this year (over 3-3). Morton is 3-0, 3.86 in his last three starts; his last four starts went over.
Severino is 1-1, 2.75 in his last three starts (over 3-3). Tanaka is 5-0, 3.03 in his last five starts (over 5-2).
Astros won 10 of last 12 games; under is 4-0 in their last four road games. New York won six of last nine games; seven of New York’s last nine home games went over total.
Twins @ Indians
Santiago is 3-0, 2.93 in his last five starts, last four of which went over.
Bauer is 1-2, 8.44 in his last three starts (over 3-2-1).
Twins won nine of last ten road games; over is 10-3 in their last 13 games. Cleveland is 4-7 in its last 11 games; under is 7-2 in their last nine home games.
Mariners @ Blue Jays
Miranda is 1-1, 8.10 in four road starts, three of which stayed under.
Stroman is 2-0, 3.20 in his last four starts (under 4-2).
Mariners lost their last three games. Over is 8-3-1 in their last 12 games. Toronto won seven of last eight home games (under 5-2-1).
Rays @ Red Sox
Andriese is 2-1, 2.97 in his last six starts (under 4-3).
Pomeranz is 3-0, 4.15 in four home starts (over 3-3).
Tampa Bay lost five of its last seven games; under is 4-1-1 in their last six road games. Red Sox are 5-6 in last 11 home games; over is 5-1-1 in their last seven games.
A’s @ Rangers
Graveman is 0-2, 5.51 in his last three starts (under 4-2).
Griffin is 4-0, 1.73 in his last four starts (over 4-1).
Oakland lost three of its last four games; over is 10-4 in their last 14 games. Rangers are 11-4 in last 15 home games; under is 12-4-1 in their last 17 home games.
Orioles @ Royals
Gausman is 1-3, 8.59 in his last five starts (over 4-4).
Young allowed four runs in three IP (66 PT) in his first ’17 start, at Tampa Bay.
Baltimore lost its last three games; under is 5-2 in their last seven road games. Royals won five of their last six games. Under is 8-1 in their last nine home games.
Tigers @ Angels
Verlander is 2-0, 2.70 in his last three starts. All four of his road starts went over.
Meyer is 1-1, 7.62 in three starts this year (over 3-0).
Detroit won four of last six games; over is 13-5-1 in their road games. Angels lost eight of last 11 games; under is 6-2 in their last eight games.
Interleague
Padres @ White Sox
Weaver is 0-3, 15.63 in his last three starts (over 5-2).
Quintana is 2-1, 2.84 in his last three starts; his last six starts stayed under.
San Diego lost seven of its last ten games; over is 7-4 in their last 11 games. White Sox lost six of their last seven games. Over is 7-1 in their last eight home games.
Record with this pitcher starting
National League
Atl-Mia: Dickey 3-3; Nicolino 0-0
Phil-Wsh: Hellickson 6-1 Velasquez 2-4; Gonzalez 5-2 Scherzer 4-3
NY-Mil: deGrom 4-3; Peralta 5-2
Chi-StL: Arrieta 4-3; Wainwright 3-4
LA-Col: Urias 2-1; Senzatela 6-1
Pitt-Az: Nova 3-4; Ray 4-3
Cin-SF: Adleman 2-2; Samardzija 2-5
American League
Hst-NY Fiers 4-2 Morton 5-2; Severino 3-3 Tanaka 5-2
Min-Clev: Santiago 4-3; Bauer 2-4
Sea-Tor: Miranda 5-2; Stroman 3-4
TB-Bos: Andriese 3-4; Pomeranz 4-2
A’s-Tex: Graveman 3-3; Griffin 5-0
Balt-KC: Gausman 4-4; Young 1-0
Det-LAA: Verlander 4-3; Meyer 1-2
Interleague SD-Chi: Weaver 0-7; Quintana 2-5
Pitchers allowing a run in first inning:
National League
Atl-Mia: Dickey 2-6; Nicolino 0-0
Phil-Wsh: Hellickson 2-7 Velasquez 3-6; Gonzalez 5-7 Scherzer 2-7
NY-Mil: deGrom 2-7; Peralta 3-7
Chi-StL: Arrieta 3-7; Wainwright 1-7
LA-Col: Urias 0-3; Senzatela 3-7
Pitt-Az: Nova 0-7; Ray 3-7
Cin-SF: Adleman 1-4; Samardzija 3-7
American League
Hst-NY Fiers 4-2 Morton 1-7; Severino 3-3 Tanaka 3-7
Min-Clev: Santiago 0-7; Bauer 1-6
Sea-Tor: Miranda 4-7; Stroman 1-7
TB-Bos: Andriese 4-7; Pomeranz 3-6
A’s-Tex: Graveman 3-6 (3 of last 3); Griffin 1-5
Balt-KC: Gausman 2-8; Young 1-1
Det-LAA: Verlander 3-7; Meyer 2-3
Interleague
SD-Chi: Weaver 2-5; Quintana 2-7
Umpires
National League
Atl-Mia: Favorites won four of five Hudson games.
Phil-Wsh: Over is 5-3-1 in Wendelstedt games. Under is 5-1-1 in Fletcher games.
NY-Mil: Last three Cuzzi games stayed under total.
Chi-StL: Over is 5-2 in Dreckman games this season.
LA-Col: Four of last five Danley games stayed under.
Pitt-Az: Under is 4-2 in Meals games this season.
Cin-SF: Three of last four Fagan games stayed under.
American League
Hst-NY: Under is 5-2 in Morales games this season. Under is 6-1 in Cooper games.
Min-Clev: Last five Gonzalez games went over the total.
Sea-Tor: Under is 5-2 in Barksdale games this season.
TB-Bos: Last four Diaz games went over total.
A’s-Tex: Last five Reynolds games stayed under the total.
Balt-KC: Five of six Hoye games stayed under the total.
Det-LAA: Last three Foster games stayed under.
Interleague
SD-Chi: Four of last five Marquez games went over.
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MLB: Streaks, Tips, Notes
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Minnesota Twins at Cleveland Indians
The closing matchup of a three game series is today’s baseball betting focus as the Cleveland Indians host Minnesota Twins at Progressive Field.
According to the current betting odds the Indians are -$150 to -$160 home favorites depending on locale.
Righthander Trevor Bauer will toe the rubber for Terry Francona's squad Sunday afternoon, bringing a 2-4 record, 7.35 ERA to the mound. Bauer's rough start to the season continued in his last outing, as the righty was handed his second consecutive loss and fourth on the season after allowing four runs on six hits in six innings against Blue Jays.
Bauer will be matching pitches with Twins Hector Santiago, who has a 4-1 record 2.76 ERA on the campaign. The left-hander off to a strong start has allowed 3 or less runs in each of his seven trips to the mound.
Taking an underdog is always a risky proposition, though in this case, the amount of supporting data in favor of Minnesota makes it much less risky. That's because, Twins have kept backers happy in an opposing park (11-4). Additionally, Cleveland facing a lefty is bad news, Tribe are on a 0-5 skid in front of the home audience swinging away at a southpaw starter. One final betting nuggets, Cleveland 0-5 slump in Bauer's May starts.
Yankees host Astros
By: StatFox.com
The Yankees will be retiring Derek Jeter’s number before taking on the Astros at Yankee Stadium on Sunday.
The series between two of the AL’s best teams will come to an end on Sunday, but not until the Yankees honor Derek Jeter’s career. New York is giving Jeter his place in Monument Park, and that will be the story heading into Sunday. Still, there is some good baseball to be played that night. The Astros will be hoping to finish off the series with a victory, but the Yankees will definitely have the edge on the mound in that one. That is because Houston is going to be throwing RHP Charlie Morton (4-2, 3.63 ERA, 44 K) out there to face RHP Masahiro Tanaka (5-1, 4.36 ERA, 32 K). While Morton has the better numbers thus far, Tanaka is the far better pitcher between the two. Tanaka also has the privilege to pitch inside Yankee Stadium all year, and it can be a whole other animal with the short porch in right field. Morton will need to be careful when throwing pitches high in the zone.
The Astros will be hoping to end this series with the Yankees with a win and Charlie Morton is going to need to pitch well in order for that to happen. Morton has been great in his most recent two starts for Houston, allowing two earned runs in his last 11.2 innings of work. He has been striking guys out a ton, as he has racked up 31 strikeouts over his past four games. It’d be big if he can miss some bats on Sunday night, but it’s most important that he keeps guys off the bases. Morton has walked two or more batters in all but one of his starts this season, and that is something that needs to change moving forward. Two guys that could help provide some run support for Morton are 2B Jose Altuve and SS Carlos Correa. The two of them are a combined 8-for-18 with three homers and six RBI against Tanaka in their careers, so they clearly feel comfortable going against the Yankees’ ace. It also wouldn’t be shocking to see DH Carlos Beltran or C Brian McCann take advantage of the short porch that they once saw very often as members of the Yankees.
If the Yankees are going to beat the Astros on Sunday then Masahiro Tanaka will need to pitch a good game for New York. He has had some trouble with guys like Correa and Altuve in the past, but he must find a way to get over that here. It doesn’t help that the righty is really struggling coming into this one, allowing 18 hits over his past two starts. That number is not very good, so Tanaka must do a better job of avoiding contact in this one. Offensively, two guys that could do damage for the Yankees are 2B Starlin Castro and 1B Matt Holliday. Castro is 12-for-27 with three homers and nine RBI against Morton in his career, and Holliday is 8-for-31 with a homer and five RBI. Both of them are familiar with the righty, and that is not good news for Morton.