MLB betting trends, odds and predictions for Sunday, September 3rd, 2017 from various handicappers and websites
MLB Knowledge
National League
Braves @ Cubs
Fried is making first MLB start; he’s allowed four runs in 6.2 IP in four relief stints this season. Fried was 2-11, 5.92 in 19 AA starts this year- that not good.
Montgomery is 3-0, 0.95 in his last three starts; over is 4-1 in his last five. Cubs are 2-2 in his home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 6-3-1
Atlanta lost five of last seven games; under is 4-2 in their last six games. Cubs won seven of last eight games; under is 6-3-1 in their last ten games.
Reds @ Pirates
Romano is 2-0, 2.70 in his last three starts (under 6-5). Reds are 2-3 in his road starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 4-6-1
Williams is 0-3, 5.73 in his last four starts; under is 11-2 in his last 13. Pirates are 5-6 in his home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 9-9-3
Cincinnati won three of last five games; over is 8-4 in their last 12 road games. Pirates are 4-8 in last 12 games; five of their last seven games stayed under the total.
Phillies @ Marlins
Thompson is 1-1, 1-1, 7.20 in three starts this year (over 2-1). Phillies lost his only road start— their first 5-inning record with him: 2-1
Urena is 3-1, 4.26 in his last five starts; under is 3-0-3 in his last six home starts. Miami is 6-5 in his home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 12-7-3
Phillies are 6-6 in last 12 games; under is 4-2 in their last six. Marlins lost five of their last six games; under is 4-3 in their last seven games.
Nationals @ Brewers
Jackson is 3-1, 2.52 in his last four starts (under 6-2). Washington is 2-2 in his road starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 3-3-2
Suter is 0-1, 8.16 in his last three starts; over is 3-1-1 in his last five. Milwaukee is 3-1 in his home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 5-3-1
Washington won five of its last seven games; six of their last nine games went over. Milwaukee won seven of their last nine home games; 10 of their last 13 games stayed under.
Diamondbacks @ Rockies
Godley is 1-3, 5.32 in his last four starts; under is 8-4-2 in his last 14. Arizona is 6-5 in his road starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 9-8-3
Marquez is 2-0, 4.50 in his last three starts; under is 7-0-1 in his last eight. He is 0-1, 3.42 in four starts vs Arizona this season. Colorado won his last nine home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 14-6-3
Arizona won 11 of last 12 games; over is 4-1-1 in their last six games. Colorado lost six of last seven home games; five of their last six games stayed under.
Dodgers @ Padres
Wood is 3-0, 3.09 in his last five starts; over is 4-2 in his last six starts. Dodgers won his last seven road starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 12-6-2
Chacin is 0-3, 4.56 in his last five starts, last three of which stayed under. He is 1-0, 1.17 in his last three starts against the Dodgers. Padres are 8-5 in his home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 9-14-4
Dodgers seven of their last eight games; over is 4-2-1 in their last seven games. San Diego is 13-7 in its last 20 home games; under is 7-3-1 in their last 11.
Cardinals @ Giants
Weaver is 3-0, 1.89 in his last three starts (over 2-2). St Louis won both his road starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 3-1
Bumgarner is 2-1, 2.77 in his last four starts; under is 5-1 in his last six. Giants are 2-4 inches home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 3-7-3
Cardinals lost five of last seven games; over is 4-2 in their last six. Giants lost five of their last seven games; nine of their last 11 games overall stayed under.
American League
Indians @ Tigers
Tomlin is 4-0, 2.43 in his last five starts; under is 3-1 in his last four. Cleveland is 4-6 in his road starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 7-10-4
Bell is making his first MLB start; he is 0-1, 5.48 in 19 MLB relief stints this year (42.2 IP). He was 2-4, 3.41 in seven AAA starts this year.
Indians won their last ten games- four of their last seven games went over. Detroit lost eight of last ten home games; over is 10-4-1 in their last 15 home games.
Boston @ New York
Sale is 1-2, 4.50 in his last four starts; under is 4-1 in his last five. He is 0-2, 2.43 in four starts vs NY this season. Red Sox are 10-5 in his road starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 13-7-8
Severino is 2-1, 2.75 in his last three starts; his last seven starts went over. He is 1-1, 5.40 in three starts vs Boston this Year. New York is 7-5 in his home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 14-9-3
Red Sox won six of last nine road games; seven of their last eight games stayed under. New York lost four of its last six games; under is 12-4 in their last 16 home games.
Blue Jays @ Orioles
Anderson allowed one run in 5.2 IP (85 PT) in his first Toronto start, a 3-0 home loss to Boston, Toronto’s first 5-inning record with him: 0-0-1
Tillman is 0-2, 13.24 in his last four starts; over is 8-5 in his last 13 starts. Baltimore is 5-7 in his home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 3-11-3
Toronto lost 10 of last 14 games; under is 7-3 in their last ten. Orioles won nine of last 12 games; over is 4-3 in their last seven home games.
Angels @ Rangers
Heaney is 1-0, 5.63 in three starts this year (over 2-1). Angels lost his only road start— their first 5-inning record with him: 2-1
Perez is 5-0, 2.91 in his last five starts; over is 5-2 in his last seven home starts. Texas is 7-8 in his home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 11-11-3
Angels won five of last seven games; over is 8-2 in their last ten games. Texas lost five of last eight games; over is 8-2 in their last ten games.
Royals @ Twins
Kennedy is 0-4, 10.60 in his last six starts; over is 6-2 in his last eight. Royals are 7-5 in his road starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 8-14-3
Santana is 2-0, 3.66 in his last three starts; under is 5-3-2 in his last ten. Minnesota is 7-7 in his home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 14-7-6
Royals lost seven of last nine games (over 6-2-1). Minnesota won five of its last six games; over is 6-2 in their last eight home games.
Rays @ White Sox
Andriese is making his first start since June 10; he is 3-0, 4.35 in his last five starts; over is 5-1 in his last six. Rays are 1-3 in his road starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 10-2
Giolito is 1-1, 2.77 in two starts this year (under 2-0). White Sox split his two home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 1-1
Rays won six of last nine games; under is 8-5-1 in their last 14 road games. Chicago lost five of last seven games; under is 8-3 in their last 11 games.
A’s @ Mariners
Gossett is 1-2, 5.64 in his last four starts; under is 5-1-1 in his last seven. A’s are 3-5 in his road starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 4-8
Albers is 2-1, 7.80 in three starts this year (over 2-1). Seattle won his only home start— their first 5-inning record with him: 2-1
A’s lost nine of last 11 road games; five of their last seven games went over. Seattle lost five of its last seven games; over is 4-2 in their last six.
Interleague
Mets @ Astros
Flexen is 1-2, 6.75 in his last three starts; under is 3-1 in his last four. Mets are 2-2 in his road starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 3-4
Fiers is 1-5, 7.85 in his last seven starts; over is 5-2-1 in his last eight starts. Houston is 7-7 in his home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 11-12-3
Mets are 5-15 in last 20 games; over is 6-2 in their last eight. Astros won their last three games; under is 7-1 in their last eight games in Houston.
Record with this pitcher starting
Atl-Chi: Fried 0-0; Montgomery 5-5
Cin-Pitt: Romano 5-6; Williams 9-12
Phil-Mia: Thompson 1-2; Urena 15-7
Wsh-Mil: Jackson 5-3; Suter 4-5
Az-Colo: Godley 12-8; Marquez 15-8
LA-SD: Wood 16-4; Chacin 13-14 (0-5 last 5)
StL-SF: Weaver 3-1; Bumgarner 3-10
American League
Clev-Det: Tomlin 9-12; Bell 0-0
Tor-Balt: Anderson 0-1 (3-3); Tillman 6-11
Bos-NY: Sale 19-8; Severino 15-11
LA-Tex: Heaney 1-2; Perez 12-14 (5-0 last 5)
KC-MIn: Kennedy 12-13; Santana 16-11
TB-Chi: Andriese 6-6; Giolito 1-1
A’s-Sea: Gossett 4-8; Albers 2-1
Interleague
NY-Hst: Flexen 4-3; Fiers 14-12
Pitchers allowing a run in first inning
National League
Atl-Chi: Fried 0-0; Montgomery 2-10
Cin-Pitt: Romano 4-11; Williams 7-21
Phil-Mia: Thompson 1-3; Urena 4-22
Wsh-Mil: Jackson 4-8; Suter 1-9
Az-Colo: Godley 4-20; Marquez 6-23
LA-SD: Wood 3-20; Chacin 11-27
StL-SF: Weaver 1-4; Bumgarner 3-13
American League
Clev-Det: Tomlin 6-21; Bell 0-0
Tor-Balt: Anderson 4-7; Tillman 7-17
Bos-NY: Sale 2-27; Severino 6-27
LA-Tex: Heaney 0-3; Perez 11-26
KC-MIn: Kennedy 7-25; Santana 5-27
TB-Chi: Andriese 7-12; Giolito 0-2
A’s-Sea: Gossett 1-12; Albers 2-3
Interleague
NY-Hst: Flexen 4-7; Fiers 7-26
Umpires
Atl-Chi: Home team won 10 of last 12 Carlson games.
Cin-Pitt: Six of last nine Tumpane games went over.
Phil-Mia: Home team won 17 of last 19 Barksdale games.
Wsh-Mil: Underdogs are 5-3 in last eight Carapazza games.
Az-Colo: Last three Barry games went over the total.
LA-SD: Last six Segal games stayed under the total.
StL-SF: Underdogs won last three Everett games.
American League
Clev-Det: Under is 3-1-1 in last five Meals games.
Tor-Balt: Five of last six Randazzo games went over.
Bos-NY: Under is 5-1-1 in last seven Holbrook games.
LA-Tex: Under is 8-2-1 in last 11 Estabrook games.
KC-MIn: Home side won 11 of last 12 Foster games.
TB-Chi: Four of last five Eddings games stayed under.
A’s-Sea: Three of last four Vanover games went over.
Interleague
NY-Hst: Seven of last eight Scheurwater games stayed under.
Interleague play
NL @ AL– 78-55 AL, favorites +$303
AL @ NL– 71-65 NL, favorites +$164
Total: 143-126 AL, favorites +$467
Totals in interleague games
NL @ AL: Over 66-66-3
AL @ NL: Over 71-59-7
Total: Over 137-125-10
Armadillosports.com
Red Sox meet rival Yankees
By: StatFox.com
The Yankees will be trying to keep their hopes to win the AL East alive with a victory on Sunday.
The Yankees had a big four-game series against the Indians last week, but they ended up really hurting themselves by getting swept in that one. New York is now in a situation where it might miss out on the postseason altogether, which is pretty incredible after seeing where they were just a few weeks ago. It was once a near-lock that they’d at least earn the top wild card spot in the American League, but teams like the Twins, Angels, and Orioles are all right there with them. Having said that, there is a lot of baseball to play and the Yankees can make up ground in the division with every win over the Sox that they can get. That makes this Sunday night matchup gigantic and that is why you’ll see the aces for both teams on the mound in this one. The Red Sox are sending LHP Chris Sale (15-6, 2.77 ERA, 264 K) to the hill for this national television matchup and the Yankees are countering with RHP Luis Severino (11-6, 3.14 ERA, 192 K). Both guys have been remarkable throughout the course of this entire season, so don’t be shocked if this is very low scoring.
The last time Chris Sale pitched in Yankee Stadium was on Aug. 13, when he pitched seven innings of one-run ball and struck out a ridiculous 12 batters. This is not an easy ballpark to pitch in, but it clearly didn’t get to Sale in that outing. He’ll hope to replicate that performance here and it’s hard to say he’s going to have trouble doing that. He was brilliant in his last trip to the mound, as he threw seven innings of shutout ball against the Blue Jays on Aug. 29. Sale struck out 11 batters in that game and he only gave up three hits. You can say pretty safely that the lefty is in a groove coming into this one. As for Boston’s offense, OF Andrew Benintendi should be able to jumpstart the team a bit here. Benintendi has absolutely crushed Severino in his career, as he is 6-for-11 with a double, two homers, and seven RBI against him. He clearly likes something that he sees when facing the righty and will do his best to drive in some more runs in this game.
The Yankees are sending Luis Severino to the mound on Sunday and he’ll do his best to outduel Sale in this one. Severino has bounced back from a miserable year in 2016 to become one of the best pitchers in the American League. The righty has, however, been lousy when pitching at home this year. He is just 5-5 with a 4.14 ERA at Yankee Stadium, which is significantly worse than his 6-1 record with a 2.32 ERA when pitching on the road. He’ll need to find a way to lock in and perform at a high level in this one because it’s not likely that Sale will struggle here. On offense, the Yankees will be hoping that OF Aaron Hicks can keep up his success against Sale. Hicks is 8-for-23 with two doubles against Sale in his career, which makes him more successful than anybody else on the team is against the lefty. It’d be big if he can come through for them in a big spot here.