Thursday's Streaking and Slumping Starting Pitchers
By Covers.com
Streaking
Ryan Vogelsong, San Francisco Giants (2-2, 2.27 ERA)
Vogelsong shocked everybody and made the NL All-Star team last season. This year he’s right back at it, holding batters to a meager .214 average. He has also allowed only three runs over his last 24 1/3 innings. Vogelsong has had a few control issues, issuing at least three walks in three of his last four trips to the mound.
Justin Verlander, Detroit Tigers (5-1, 2.14 ERA)
Verlander was denied his third career no-hitter last week, seeing his bid spoiled by a single in the ninth inning. He was dominant in the 6-0 victory over Pittsburgh, striking out 12 and walking only two. Verlander’s 68 strikeouts put him just one behind MLB-leader Gio Gonzalez and he has walked more than two batters only once in a start this year.
Slumping
Joe Blanton, Philadelphia Phillies (4-4, 3.74 ERA)
Blanton has been hot and cold and is coming off a tough loss to Boston. He surrendered nine hits and six earned runs in a 7-5 loss. Blanton served up four home runs in the loss, which snapped a stretch that saw him go 3-0 with a 2.10 ERA over four starts. We’ll see if he can get back to that form Thursday against the Cards.
Dan Haren, Los Angeles Angels (1-5, 4.37 ERA)
Haren showed some improvement last week, allowing three runs over 6 2/3 innings against San Diego, but still picked up his fourth consecutive loss. He still remains the league’s worst money pitcher (-12.30 units) by a wide margin and will need a lot of run support to dig out of that hole.
Hot pitchers
-- Bailey is 1-0, 2.77 in his last couple starts. Delgado is 0-2, 2.96 in his last four starts.
-- Stults has a 2.84 RA in two starts, one each with White Sox/Padres.
-- Vogelsong is 2-1, 1.27 in his last four starts. ASanchez has a 2.57 RA in his last six starts.
-- Verlander is 3-0, 1.80 in his last four starts.
-- Humber has a 2.08 RA in his last couple starts.
-- Vargas is 2-0, 1.27 in his three home starts.
Cold pitchers
-- Hefner is 3-2, 2.72 in seven minor league starts; he allowed two runs in eight IP in relief in the majors this season.
-- Blanton is 1-1, 6.00 in his last three starts. Westbrook is 1-2, 4.38 in his last four outings.
-- Masterson is 0-1, 4.74 in his last three starts.
-- DeVries is 1-4, 4.24 in eight minor league starts this season. This is his first major league start.
-- Haren is 0-4, 6.56 in his last four starts.
Hot teams
-- Reds won their last five games, allowing 12 runs.
-- Marlins won five of their last seven home games. San Franciscon won five of its last seven games overall.
-- Mets won seven of their last ten home games.
-- St Louis won its last three games, allowing six runs.
-- Indians won seven of their last nine games.
-- White Sox won five of their last six games. Minnesota won five of its last seven games.
-- Mariners won five of their last six games.
Cold teams
-- Braves lost four of their last five games.
-- Padres lost five of their last seven games.
-- Phillies lost four of their last five games.
-- Detroit lost five of its last seven games.
-- Angels lost 15 of their last 22 road games.
Totals
-- Last five Atlanta road games stayed under the total.
-- Four of last five San Diego games stayed under total.
-- Nine of last ten Miami home games went over the total.
-- Over is 11-2 in Philly's last thirteen road games.
-- Four of last five Cleveland home games stayed under.
-- Seven of last ten White Sox home games went over total.
-- Angels' last five road games stayed under the total.
Armadillosports.com
SAN DIEGO (16 - 29) at NY METS (24 - 20) - 7:10 PM
ERIC STULTS (L) vs. JEREMY HEFNER (R)
Top Trends for this game.
SAN DIEGO is 9-22 (-11.9 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
SAN DIEGO is 87-121 (-23.7 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 87-121 (-23.7 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
NY METS are 23-18 (+9.3 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
NY METS are 24-20 (+8.7 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
SAN DIEGO is 63-58 (+21.1 Units) against the money line in road games against right-handed starters over the last 3 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
ERIC STULTS vs. NY METS since 1997
STULTS is 1-1 when starting against NY METS with an ERA of 3.38 and a WHIP of 1.188.
His team's record is 1-2 (-0.6 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-2. (-1.2 units)
JEREMY HEFNER vs. SAN DIEGO since 1997
No recent starts.
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ATLANTA (26 - 19) at CINCINNATI (24 - 19) - 7:10 PM
RANDALL DELGADO (R) vs. HOMER BAILEY (R)
Top Trends for this game.
ATLANTA is 59-32 (+25.1 Units) against the money line in road games after 3 or more consecutive losses since 1997.
CINCINNATI is 45-59 (-21.7 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
CINCINNATI is 4-1 (+3.2 Units) against ATLANTA this season
4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+3.0 Units)
RANDALL DELGADO vs. CINCINNATI since 1997
DELGADO is 0-0 when starting against CINCINNATI with an ERA of 0.00 and a WHIP of 1.049.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.3 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)
HOMER BAILEY vs. ATLANTA since 1997
BAILEY is 1-0 when starting against ATLANTA with an ERA of 2.13 and a WHIP of 1.263.
His team's record is 2-0 (+2.2 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-1. (-0.1 units)
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SAN FRANCISCO (23 - 21) at MIAMI (24 - 20) - 7:10 PM
RYAN VOGELSONG (R) vs. ANIBAL SANCHEZ (R)
Top Trends for this game.
SAN FRANCISCO is 861-716 (+105.9 Units) against the money line in night games since 1997.
SAN FRANCISCO is 462-456 (+44.2 Units) against the money line in road games against right-handed starters since 1997.
MIAMI is 32-43 (-19.3 Units) against the money line in home games in night games over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI is 27-42 (-21.8 Units) against the money line in home games against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI is 21-32 (-16.3 Units) against the money line in home games after a loss over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI is 37-57 (-23.0 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
MIAMI is 42-55 (-23.1 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI is 42-55 (-23.1 Units) against the money line in home games in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
MIAMI is 3-0 (+3.5 Units) against SAN FRANCISCO this season
3 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+3.0 Units)
RYAN VOGELSONG vs. MIAMI since 1997
VOGELSONG is 1-2 when starting against MIAMI with an ERA of 1.59 and a WHIP of 1.191.
His team's record is 1-2 (-1.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-3. (-3.3 units)
ANIBAL SANCHEZ vs. SAN FRANCISCO since 1997
SANCHEZ is 3-0 when starting against SAN FRANCISCO with an ERA of 0.87 and a WHIP of 0.742.
His team's record is 3-1 (+2.4 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 3-1. (+1.8 units)
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PHILADELPHIA (22 - 23) at ST LOUIS (25 - 19) - 8:15 PM
JOE BLANTON (R) vs. JAKE WESTBROOK (R)
Top Trends for this game.
ST LOUIS is 93-61 (+21.6 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 301-311 (+45.8 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.
BLANTON is 64-46 (+20.7 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.
ST LOUIS is 115-102 (-32.5 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
JOE BLANTON vs. ST LOUIS since 1997
BLANTON is 3-2 when starting against ST LOUIS with an ERA of 2.86 and a WHIP of 1.125.
His team's record is 3-2 (+1.3 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 4-1. (+3.0 units)
JAKE WESTBROOK vs. PHILADELPHIA since 1997
WESTBROOK is 1-1 when starting against PHILADELPHIA with an ERA of 3.52 and a WHIP of 1.631.
His team's record is 1-2 (-0.7 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-1. (+0.9 units)
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DETROIT (20 - 23) at CLEVELAND (25 - 18) - 12:05 PM
JUSTIN VERLANDER (R) vs. JUSTIN MASTERSON (R)
Top Trends for this game.
DETROIT is 20-23 (-12.2 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
DETROIT is 20-23 (-12.2 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
CLEVELAND is 25-18 (+7.7 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
CLEVELAND is 21-10 (+12.0 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
CLEVELAND is 25-18 (+7.7 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
DETROIT is 12-0 (+12.0 Units) against the money line as a road favorite of -150 to -175 over the last 3 seasons.
DETROIT is 59-31 (+18.9 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
VERLANDER is 12-0 (+12.0 Units) against the money line as a road favorite of -150 to -175 over the last 2 seasons.
VERLANDER is 16-2 (+11.2 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
VERLANDER is 52-23 (+21.7 Units) against the money line in day games since 1997.
VERLANDER is 53-24 (+18.9 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
CLEVELAND is 2-0 (+2.1 Units) against DETROIT this season
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+2.0 Units)
JUSTIN VERLANDER vs. CLEVELAND since 1997
VERLANDER is 13-11 when starting against CLEVELAND with an ERA of 4.82 and a WHIP of 1.247.
His team's record is 14-13 (-2.3 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 11-16. (-7.6 units)
JUSTIN MASTERSON vs. DETROIT since 1997
MASTERSON is 0-4 when starting against DETROIT with an ERA of 5.79 and a WHIP of 1.795.
His team's record is 2-5 (-3.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 3-4. (-1.7 units)
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MINNESOTA (15 - 28) at CHI WHITE SOX (22 - 22) - 8:10 PM
COLE DE VRIES (R) vs. PHILIP HUMBER (R)
Top Trends for this game.
MINNESOTA is 75-121 (-28.9 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 53-96 (-30.2 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 44-82 (-27.1 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 78-128 (-32.0 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
CHI WHITE SOX are 28-40 (-21.4 Units) against the money line in home games against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
CHI WHITE SOX are 21-29 (-17.0 Units) against the money line in home games after a win over the last 2 seasons.
CHI WHITE SOX are 19-30 (-21.1 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
CHI WHITE SOX are 44-58 (-27.6 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
CHI WHITE SOX are 21-28 (-15.2 Units) against the money line in home games against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
CHI WHITE SOX are 44-58 (-27.6 Units) against the money line in home games in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
CHI WHITE SOX are 29-39 (-17.9 Units) against the money line in home games in night games over the last 2 seasons.
HUMBER is 4-13 (-11.0 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
HUMBER is 4-13 (-11.0 Units) against the money line in home games in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
HUMBER is 5-16 (-10.5 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
MINNESOTA is 1-1 (+0.3 Units) against CHI WHITE SOX this season
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=-0.1 Units, Under=-0.2 Units)
COLE DE VRIES vs. CHI WHITE SOX since 1997
No recent starts.
PHILIP HUMBER vs. MINNESOTA since 1997
HUMBER is 1-1 when starting against MINNESOTA with an ERA of 5.06 and a WHIP of 1.687.
His team's record is 1-1 (-0.5 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)
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LA ANGELS (20 - 25) at SEATTLE (21 - 25) - 10:10 PM
DAN HAREN (R) vs. JASON VARGAS (L)
Top Trends for this game.
LA ANGELS are 31-38 (-14.5 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
LA ANGELS are 20-22 (-11.6 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
LA ANGELS are 13-16 (-9.6 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
LA ANGELS are 5-10 (-9.4 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters this season.
LA ANGELS are 7-12 (-10.3 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
LA ANGELS are 20-25 (-14.7 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
HAREN is 1-8 (-12.3 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
HAREN is 14-25 (-15.5 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons.
HAREN is 17-27 (-20.3 Units) against the money line in May games since 1997.
HAREN is 10-19 (-14.8 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
HAREN is 1-8 (-12.3 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
HAREN is 0-5 (-8.4 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
HAREN is 0-6 (-10.0 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
HAREN is 7-13 (-11.7 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
LA ANGELS are 631-627 (+56.6 Units) against the money line in road games since 1997.
SEATTLE is 150-221 (-58.1 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 3 seasons.
SEATTLE is 9-28 (-20.5 Units) against the money line when playing on Thursday over the last 3 seasons.
SEATTLE is 46-82 (-30.6 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
DAN HAREN vs. SEATTLE since 1997
HAREN is 10-5 when starting against SEATTLE with an ERA of 2.60 and a WHIP of 1.164.
His team's record is 11-8 (+0.8 units) in these starts. The OVER is 5-10. (-5.6 units)
JASON VARGAS vs. LA ANGELS since 1997
VARGAS is 3-3 when starting against LA ANGELS with an ERA of 2.20 and a WHIP of 1.027.
His team's record is 4-5 (+0.3 units) in these starts. The OVER is 3-6. (-3.2 units)
DETROIT vs. CLEVELAND
Detroit is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games on the road
Detroit is 10-2 SU in its last 12 games when playing Cleveland
Cleveland is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Cleveland's last 6 games when playing at home against Detroit
ATLANTA vs. CINCINNATI
Atlanta is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Cincinnati
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Atlanta's last 5 games
Cincinnati is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Atlanta
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Cincinnati's last 6 games when playing Atlanta
SAN FRANCISCO vs. MIAMI
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of San Francisco's last 5 games when playing on the road against Miami
The total has gone OVER in 5 of San Francisco's last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Miami's last 5 games
Miami is 16-6 SU in its last 22 games
SAN DIEGO vs. NY METS
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of San Diego's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of San Diego's last 7 games when playing NY Mets
The total has gone OVER in 6 of NY Mets's last 7 games when playing San Diego
NY Mets are 7-3 SU in its last 10 games at home
MINNESOTA vs. CHI WHITE SOX
Minnesota is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games on the road
Minnesota is 3-9 SU in their last 12 games when playing Chi White Sox
Chi White Sox are 6-13 SU in their last 19 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Chi White Sox's last 5 games at home
PHILADELPHIA vs. ST. LOUIS
Philadelphia is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
Philadelphia is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing St. Louis
The total has gone OVER in 9 of St. Louis's last 13 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of St. Louis's last 9 games when playing at home against Philadelphia
LA ANGELS vs. SEATTLE
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of LA Angels's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of LA Angels's last 5 games
Seattle is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games at home
Seattle is 4-10 SU in their last 14 games when playing LA Angels
National League
San Diego at NY Mets
Stults: SD 9-22 in night games
Hefner: Mets 15-5 Over in May
Atlanta at Cincinnati
Delgado: ATL 26-19 as underdog
Bailey: 14-4 Over as favorite
San Francisco at Miami
Vogelsong: 11-1 Under after giving up 1 or less ER last outing
Sanchez: MIA 21-32 at home off loss
Philadelphia at St. Louis
Blanton: PHI 9-13 vs. St. Louis
Westbrook: 14-5 Over in home games
American League
Detroit at Cleveland
Verlander: 17-0 TSR as a road favorite of -125 or more
Masterson: CLE 15-5 at home vs. Detroit
Minnesota at Chicago White Sox
De Vries: MIN 44-82 off a loss
Humber: 4-13 TSR in home games
LA Angels at Seattle
Haren: 1-8 TSR in all starts
Vargas: 19-7 Under in home night games
Diamond Trends - Thursday
By Vince Akins
VegasInsider.com
SU TREND OF THE DAY:
The Tigers are 12-0 since July 10, 2011 when Justin Verlander starts as a road 140+ favorite for a net profit of $1200.
OU TREND OF THE DAY:
The Marlins are 0-13 OU since May 01, 2010 when playing a night game as a favorite of less than -165 after a loss in which they had a higher team-left-on-base than their opponent but less than 13 left on base.
STARTER TREND OF THE DAY:
The Reds are 12-0 OU since October 02, 2010 when Homer Bailey starts as a favorite after his team won the last time he started for a net profit of $1200 when playing the over.
MLB BIBLE TREND OF THE DAY:
The Tigers are 17-2 (2.3 rpg) since May 2011 as a favorite after a loss and it is the last game of the series. 4-2 this season.
TODAY’S TRENDS:
The Marlins are 5-0 OU since April 27, 2011 when Anibal Sanchez starts at home vs a team that won their starters last two starts for a net profit of $500 when playing the over.
The White Sox are 6-0-1 OU since May 20, 2011 when Phillip Humber starts after going at least 6 innings and giving up 6 or fewer hits and they won in his previous start for a net profit of $600 when playing the over.
2012 MLB Odds & Hot Trends for Thursday, May 24
By Anthony Rome
(The Spread) – The Tigers have been solid versus the Indians when Justin Verlander starts and the under has been hot in the Braves-Reds and Giants-Marlins series of late.
Detroit Tigers (-151) vs. Cleveland Indians (+142), 12:05PM ET
The Tigers are 10-1 in their last 11 games against the Indians and 10-2 in Verlander’s last 12 starts versus Cleveland. The Tigers are also 4-1 in their last five trips to Cleveland 5-2 in Verlander’s last seven road starts versus the Indians. Cleveland, meanwhile, is 2-5 in Justin Masterson’s last seven starts versus Detroit.
Total: 7
Atlanta Braves (+108) vs. Cincinnati Reds (-115), 7:10PM ET
The under is 4-1 in the last five meetings between these two teams and 5-2 in the last seven meetings between these two teams in Cincinnati. The Braves are also 1-5 in their last six games against the Reds and 0-4 in their last four games in Cincinnati.
Total: 9
San Francisco Giants (+148) vs. Miami Marlins (-157), 7:10PM ET
The under is 7-0 in the last seven meetings between these two teams and 4-1 in the last five meetings when the game is played in Miami. The Giants are 5-1 in their last six road games versus the Marlins but just 2-8 in their last 10 games versus Miami overall.
Total: 6.5
Los Angeles Angels (-114) vs. Seattle Mariners (+107), 10:10PM ET
The under is 5-1 in Jason Vargas’ last six starts versus the Angels and 4-1 in the last five meetings overall between these two teams. The under has also hit in eight of the last 11 games between the Angels and Mariners when the game is played in Seattle.
Total: 6.5
San Diego Padres (+114) vs. New York Mets (-121), 7:10PM ET
The over is 6-1 in the last seven meetings between these two teams and 11-5-1 in the last 17 meetings between these two teams when the game is played in New York.
Total: 8