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MLB Betting News and Notes Thursday 5/31

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(@blade)
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Thursday's Streaking and Slumping Starting Pitchers
By Covers.com

Streaking

Josh Beckett, Boston Red Sox (4-4, 4.15 ERA)

Outside of two starts that saw Beckett yield 14 runs, he has been very consistent on the mound. He’s allowed just three runs over his last three outings, striking out 19 and walking four, while throwing at least seven innings in each start. He’s working on a 1.19 WHIP so far this year.

Bud Norris, Houston Astros (5-1, 3.34 ERA)

Norris was roughed up a bit last week, allowing three earned runs and walking four in just 4 2/3 innings of work, but we’ll give him a pass considering how good he’s been all month. He has won four of his five starts in May, yielding only four runs in the entire month. Norris sits second in MLB starter money standings, having earned 7.72 units for his supporters.

Slumping

Zach Greinke, Milwaukee Brewers (5-2, 3.66 ERA)

Greinke probably wouldn’t be in the Slumping section if we had more matchups to choose from, but he was terrible last weekend against the Diamondbacks. He gave up seven runs on 10 hits and walked three in just 2 1/3 innings. Before that, he had allowed just a single run in three starts.

Jeremy Guthrie, Colorado Rockies (2-3, 5.31 ERA)

Guthrie has just one win in his last four trips to the bump and has served up five dingers over his last two outings. He allowed 10 hits and six runs (but just two earned) in last weekend’s loss to the Reds. He did strike out a season-high five batters and now has 18 punch-outs compared to 17 walks this season.

 
Posted : May 30, 2012 10:25 pm
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Hot pitchers
-- Norris is 4-0, 1.47 in his last five starts.
-- Greinke is 2-1, 3.00 in his last four starts, but got rocked in his last start, at Arizona.

-- Beckett is 2-0, 1.25 in his last three starts.
-- Detroit won Scherzer's last four starts (3-0, 5.16) scoring 30 runs.

Cold pitchers
-- Guthrie is 0-2, 9.92 in three starts at Coors Field.
-- Billingsley is 0-3, 6.69 in his last seven starts.

-- None.

Hot teams
-- Colorado won its last three games, scoring 29 runs.
-- Brewers won their last three games, allowing six runs.

-- Red Sox won eight of their last ten home games.

Cold teams
-- Houston lost nine of their last ten road games.
-- Dodgers lost their last three games: 3-2/2-1/6-3.

-- Tigers are 5-9 in their last fourteen road games.

Totals
-- Over is 13-4-1 in last seventeen games at Coors Field.
-- Four of last six Milwaukee games stayed under total.

-- Five of last seven Boston games went over the total.

Armadillosports.com

 
Posted : May 31, 2012 8:02 am
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HOUSTON (22 - 28) at COLORADO (20 - 29) - 8:40 PM

BUD NORRIS (R) vs. JEREMY GUTHRIE (R)

Top Trends for this game.
HOUSTON is 21-54 (-22.0 Units) against the money line in road games after a loss over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 16-42 (-20.9 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 79-135 (-33.1 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 31-75 (-28.6 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 206-245 (-57.0 Units) against the money line in May games since 1997.
HOUSTON is 77-134 (-35.1 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 50-101 (-36.4 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
NORRIS is 8-2 (+7.8 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
NORRIS is 7-0 (+10.3 Units) against the money line when playing on Thursday over the last 2 seasons.
NORRIS is 8-2 (+7.8 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
NORRIS is 8-2 (+8.2 Units) against the money line after 3 or more consecutive losses over the last 2 seasons.
COLORADO is 20-29 (-10.4 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
COLORADO is 117-135 (-38.5 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 3 seasons.
COLORADO is 63-87 (-34.9 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
COLORADO is 38-52 (-22.6 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons.
COLORADO is 83-91 (-33.4 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
COLORADO is 20-29 (-10.4 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
COLORADO is 50-57 (-24.3 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
COLORADO is 17-39 (-28.6 Units) against the money line in May games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
COLORADO is 4-2 (+1.4 Units) against HOUSTON this season
5 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+4.2 Units)

BUD NORRIS vs. COLORADO since 1997
NORRIS is 0-0 when starting against COLORADO with an ERA of 4.50 and a WHIP of 1.417.
His team's record is 1-1 (+0.3 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-1. (-0.1 units)

JEREMY GUTHRIE vs. HOUSTON since 1997
GUTHRIE is 1-0 when starting against HOUSTON with an ERA of 2.40 and a WHIP of 0.733.
His team's record is 2-0 (+2.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-1. (+0.0 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MILWAUKEE (22 - 28) at LA DODGERS (32 - 18) - 10:10 PM

ZACK GREINKE (R) vs. CHAD BILLINGSLEY (R)

Top Trends for this game.
MILWAUKEE is 22-28 (-11.1 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
MILWAUKEE is 5-15 (-12.6 Units) against the money line when playing on Thursday over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 22-28 (-11.1 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
GREINKE is 12-23 (-14.2 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons.
GREINKE is 7-18 (-13.5 Units) against the money line in road games in night games over the last 3 seasons.
GREINKE is 4-14 (-12.2 Units) against the money line in road games after a win over the last 3 seasons.
GREINKE is 15-39 (-23.4 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.
LA DODGERS are 32-18 (+10.2 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
LA DODGERS are 72-46 (+20.6 Units) against the money line when the total is 7 or less over the last 2 seasons.
LA DODGERS are 21-8 (+9.9 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
LA DODGERS are 51-28 (+17.6 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 7 or less over the last 2 seasons.
LA DODGERS are 32-18 (+10.2 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
LA DODGERS are 24-12 (+9.4 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
LA DODGERS are 21-9 (+9.3 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
GREINKE is 30-11 (+17.2 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
GREINKE is 30-11 (+17.2 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MILWAUKEE is 5-1 (+4.6 Units) against LA DODGERS this season
4 of 6 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.9 Units)

ZACK GREINKE vs. LA DODGERS since 1997
GREINKE is 1-0 when starting against LA DODGERS with an ERA of 2.84 and a WHIP of 1.263.
His team's record is 3-0 (+3.3 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-2. (-1.2 units)

CHAD BILLINGSLEY vs. MILWAUKEE since 1997
BILLINGSLEY is 2-1 when starting against MILWAUKEE with an ERA of 3.79 and a WHIP of 1.132.
His team's record is 3-3 (-0.6 units) in these starts. The OVER is 5-1. (+3.9 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

DETROIT (23 - 27) at BOSTON (26 - 24) - 7:10 PM

MAX SCHERZER (R) vs. JOSH BECKETT (R)

Top Trends for this game.
DETROIT is 23-27 (-14.3 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
DETROIT is 12-16 (-11.4 Units) against the money line in May games this season.
DETROIT is 23-27 (-14.3 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
BOSTON is 48-46 (-18.2 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 76-67 (-20.3 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
BOSTON is 3-3 (+0.4 Units) against DETROIT this season
5 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+4.0 Units)

MAX SCHERZER vs. BOSTON since 1997
SCHERZER is 0-2 when starting against BOSTON with an ERA of 11.81 and a WHIP of 2.313.
His team's record is 1-3 (-2.1 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 0-3. (-3.5 units)

JOSH BECKETT vs. DETROIT since 1997
BECKETT is 3-3 when starting against DETROIT with an ERA of 3.65 and a WHIP of 1.105.
His team's record is 4-3 (+0.3 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 2-4. (-2.4 units)

 
Posted : May 31, 2012 8:02 am
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DETROIT vs. BOSTON
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Detroit's last 6 games on the road
Detroit is 4-10 SU in its last 14 games when playing Boston
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Boston's last 13 games when playing at home against Detroit
Boston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Detroit

HOUSTON vs. COLORADO
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Houston's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Houston's last 5 games when playing on the road against Colorado
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Colorado's last 5 games at home
Colorado is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games

MILWAUKEE vs. LA DODGERS
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Milwaukee's last 13 games when playing LA Dodgers
Milwaukee is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of LA Dodgers's last 13 games when playing Milwaukee
LA Dodgers are 1-5 SU in their last 6 games when playing Milwaukee

 
Posted : May 31, 2012 8:03 am
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National League

Houston at Colorado
Norris: 7-0 TSR on Thursday
Guthrie: COL 5-1 Over vs. Houston

Milwaukee at Dodgers
Greinke: 4-14 TSR Away off win
Billingsley: LAD 21-9 vs. righties

American League

Detroit at Boston
Scherzer: 8-0 TSR after giving up 2+ HR last outing
Beckett: 24-12 Under in all games

 
Posted : May 31, 2012 11:34 am
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Diamond Trends - Thursday
By Vince Akins
VegasInsider.com

SU TREND OF THE DAY:

The Astros are 0-16 since May 08, 2011 after a 5+ run loss in a night game for a net profit of $1600 when playing against.

OU TREND OF THE DAY:

The Brewers are 0-9 OU since April 07, 2011 within 20 cents of pickem vs a team that has lost at least their last two games and it is the last game of a series after playing in a night game for a net profit of $900 when playing the under.

STARTER TREND OF THE DAY:

The Red Sox are 0-7-1 OU since April 16, 2011 when Josh Beckett starts after more strike outs than hits allowed at home for a net profit of $700 when playing the under.

MLB BIBLE TREND OF THE DAY:

The Astros are 10-0 (3.4 rpg) since August 2008 after a game where the total was at least 8 and they allowed at least four home runs.

TODAY’S TRENDS:

The Rockies are 1-12 since April 24, 2011 when they are off a win in which they never trailed and it is the last game of a series for a net profit of $1185 when playing against.
The Astros are 8-1 since June 08, 2011 when Bud Norris starts after the team lost their last three games for a net profit of $927.

 
Posted : May 31, 2012 11:35 am
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MLB: Streaks, Tips, Notes
Sportspic.com

Milwaukee Brewers at Los Angeles Dodgers

In one of only three scheduled for Major League Baseball on Thursday the Dodgers and Brewers complete a four game set in L.A. Dodgers count on Chad Billingsley (2-3, 3.88 ERA) and the Brewers go with Zach Greinke (5-2, 3.66 ERA). Billingsley 0-1 with a 5.40 ERA last three on the hill is now winless in eight trips to the mound (4-4 TSR). Meanwhile, Greinke off his shortest start of the season lasting just 2.1 innings of 10 hit 7 run ball in an 8-5 loss to the D'Backs is 2-1 last three with a 4.50 ERA. With Dodgers sporting an 0-3 slide vs Milwaukee with Billingsley, Brew Crew on a 3-0 streak vs Dodgers with Greinke were sticking with the visitor. Keep in mind, Brew Crew have a smart 8-2 stretch in Greinke's May starts and that the hurler usually redeems himself following a sub 5 inning performance as his teams are 4-1 the next start with righty allowing just 2.8 runs/game over 34 innings of work.

 
Posted : May 31, 2012 11:38 am
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