Thursday's Streaking and Slumping Starting Pitchers
By Covers.com
Streaking
R.A. Dickey, New York Mets (8-1, 2.69 ERA)
The Mets have won each of Dickey’s last six starts and he has been next to unhittable over the last three, allowing only one run. He fired a complete-game shutout in his last turn in the rotation giving up seven hits while striking out nine and walking none. He now has 70 strikeouts in 73 2/3 innings and with his knuckler dancing, has walked only 17 this season.
Mike Leake, Cincinnati Reds (2-5, 4.95 ERA)
It wasn’t long ago Leake was a frequent resident of the Slumping section, but he’s turning it around. The Reds lost five of his first six starts before rebounding to win each of his last four trips to the mound. He’s allowed only six runs over that span while striking out 22 and serving up just a single home run.
Slumping
Henderson Alvarez, Toronto Blue Jays (3-5, 3.75 ERA)
Since a solid stretch from the end of April to the middle of May, hitters have been all over Alvarez. He has allowed at least eight hits in four consecutive outings and has yielded 14 earned runs and four home runs over his three most recent trips to the hill. Even though his strikeout numbers are down this year, he still has that heavy 95 mph sinker and is among the league leaders in ground-ball outs.
Mike Minor, Atlanta Braves (2-4, 6.98 ERA)
Minor’s last turn in the rotation was skipped thanks to a rainout last week and the club hopes the time off served him well. He has allowed at least four runs in his last six outings and served up 12 homers during that span. The lefty hasn’t won a start since April 19.
Thursday's MLB Tip Sheet
By Brian Edwards
VegasInsider.com
Stats do not include results from Wednesday’s games.
Gamblers have 12 MLB games on the menu for Thursday, including a half-dozen afternoon affairs. Let’s take a look at a pair of night games between rivals in the National League East and AL East.
Braves at Marlins
BetOnline.com opened Miami (31-24, +184) as a minus-135 favorite for the rubber match of this three-game set in South Florida. The total was 8 ½ ‘over’ (minus-115) on the send-out. Bettors can bring home a plus-150 return by backing the Marlins on the run line (minus 1 ½ runs, risk $100 to win $150).
Atlanta (30-25, +245) won Tuesday’s series opener by an 11-0 count behind Tim Hudson’s five-hit shutout. The veteran righty, who improved to 4-2 on the season and continued his dominance of the Marlins, had plenty of help from the bats. Dan Uggla blasted a pair of homers against his former team en route to a 4-for-5 effort that included three runs scored and five RBIs. Jason Heyward went 3-for-4 and drew a walk.
Mark Buehrle (5-5, 3.53 ERA) will take the mound for Ozzie Guillen’s squad. Buehrle owns a 3-1 record and 3.38 ERA in five home starts. The ‘over’ is 7-4 in the veteran left-handers 11 assignments, cashing in each of his last five outings.
Fredi Gonzalez will give the starting nod to Mike Minor, who is 2-4 with a bloated 6.98 ERA. The lefty out of Vanderbilt is 1-2 with a 7.27 ERA in six road starts, but we should note that the Braves have prevailed in four of those six games. The ‘over’ is 4-2 in Minor’s six road starts.
These clubs met in a brief two-game set at Turner Field on May 16 and 17. Miami won the series lid-lifter 8-4 before Atlanta responded with a 7-0 triumph behind Brandon Beachy.
Atlanta is 10-10 versus southpaws, 18-14 on the road and 23-15 at night.
Miami is 16-11 at home, 11-6 against lefties and 20-15 under the lights.
The ‘over’ is 29-23-3 overall for the Braves, 7-2 in their last nine games.
The ‘over’ is 29-24-2 overall for the Marlins, 11-3-1 in their last 15 contests.
The first pitch is scheduled for 7:10 p.m. Eastern.
Rays at Yankees
Most spots have installed New York (30-24, -223) as a minus-150 ‘chalk’ with a total of 7 ½ ‘over’ (minus-115). The Yankees are plus-145 on the run line.
Joe Girardi’s club captured a 7-0 win in Tuesday’s series opener as a minus-127 home favorite. Russell Martin cranked a grand slam for the Yankees and Andy Pettitte dominated again in the Bronx. Pettitte struck out 10, five in a row at one point, and gave up only two hits over 7 1/3 innings of work.
Tampa Bay (31-24, +427) swept a three-game series from New York at The Trop in April, but it has lost three of its four games on the road against the Yankees going into Wednesday night’s matchup.
Girardi will send LHP C.C. Sabathia (7-2, 3.68) to the bump. Sabathia is 3-1 with a 2.37 ERA in four home starts. The ‘over’ is 7-4 overall in Sabathia’s 11 outings.
Joe Maddon will counter with another stellar southpaw of his own, David Price, who is 7-3 with a 2.44 ERA. Price is 3-2 with a 4.00 ERA in six road assignments. The ‘under’ is 6-5 overall in Price’s starts, cashing in his last four times out.
The Yankees are 15-11 at home, 10-6 against southpaws and 21-17 at night.
The Rays are 12-13 on the road, 8-12 versus lefties and 19-14 at night.
The ‘under’ is 30-21 overall for the Rays, 7-2 in their last nine games.
The ‘under’ is 31-22 overall for the Yankees, cashing in their last three games.
B.E.’s Bonus Nuggets
The ‘under’ is an MLB-best 34-17-3 overall for the Pirates, who pulled to within two games of the NL-Central-leading Reds with Tuesday’s win behind A.J. Burnett. Pittsburgh has the fourth-best money tally in the majors (+760).
Texas slugger Josh Hamilton is producing huge numbers with an MLB-best 21 homers and 58 RBIs. He and the Rangers will take aim at Oakland on Thursday afternoon at 3:35 p.m. Eastern.
The best ‘over’ team in baseball is the Mets, who have seen it go 34-20 overall, 19-6 in their road games.
Best fade (go-against) teams in the majors going into Wednesday’s action?
1-Tigers (-1587)
2-Padres (-1527)
3-Cubs (-1409)
4-Brewers (-1316)
5-Phillies (-945)
Hot pitchers
-- Dickey is 3-0, 0.39 in his last three starts.
-- Hamels is 5-1, 2.82 in his last six starts.
-- Harang is 3-1, 2.97 in his last five starts.
-- Cain is 5-0, 3.21 in his last five starts.
-- Leake is 2-0, 3.57 in his last three starts.
-- Happ is 2-2, 2.49 in his last four starts.
-- Lowe is 5-2, 2.90 in his last eight starts.
-- Oakland won last five McCarthy starts (4-0, 2.54).
-- Price is 2-1, 1.91 in his last four starts.
-- Sabathia is 2-1, 3.00 in his last three starts.
-- Matusz is 4-1, 3.41 in his last five starts.
-- Buchholz is 1-0, 2.40 in his last couple outings.
-- Peavy is 6-1, 2.93 in his last ten starts.
Cold pitchers
-- Wang allowed four runs in four IP in his first '12 start.
-- Garza is 0-3, 9.64 in his last three starts.
-- Wolf is 0-2, 7.54 in his last four outings.
-- Volquez is 0-3, 4.76 in his last four starts.
-- Correia is 1-5, 5.40 in his last seven starts.
-- Buehrle has a 4.85 RA in his last four starts, but Miami won five of his last six starts anyway.
-- Minor is 0-3, 9.95 in his last six starts.
-- Lynn is 2-2, 4.55 in his last five starts.
-- Crosby allowed six runs in 3.1 IP in his first MLB start.
-- Darvish is 1-2, 6.46 in his last three starts.
-- Alvarez is 0-3, 7.43 in his last four starts.
Hot Teams
-- Washington won three of its last four games.
-- Mets are 9-6 in their last fifteen games, but lost the last two.
-- Dodgers won their last three games, allowing nine runs.
-- Braves won their last three games, allowing three runs.
-- Reds won eight of their last ten home games.
-- Pittsburgh won eight of its last eleven games overall.
-- Giants won eight of their last ten games.
-- Bronx Bombers won ten of their last thirteen games.
-- Orioles won three of their last four games.
-- White Sox won ten of their last thirteen games.
Cold Teams
-- Marlins lost last two games, scoring one run.
-- Cardinals lost 10 of their last 13 road games.
-- Houston lost nine of its last eleven games overall.
-- Cubs lost 11 of their last 13 road games.
-- Brewers lost four of their last five games overall.
-- Philly lost nine of its last eleven home games.
-- Padres lost nine of their last eleven games.
-- Tampa Bay lost three of its last four games.
-- Indians lost eight of their last eleven games.
-- Detroit lost six of nine.
-- Boston lost its last three games, scoring eight runs.
-- Toronto lost six of its last seven road games.
-- Oakland lost 11 of its last 14 games.
-- Texas lost six of last eight.
Totals
-- Over is 17-4 in Mets' last twenty-one road games.
-- Over is 6-2-1 in the Phillies' last nine games.
-- Reds' last four home games went over the total.
-- Under is 7-1-1 in Atlanta's last nine road games.
-- Four of last six Houston road games stayed under.
-- Under is 7-2-1 in Cubs' last ten road games.
-- Four of last six games at Petco Park stayed under.
-- Under is 13-3-1 in last seventeen Bronx home games.
-- Over is 9-3-1 in Cleveland's last thirteen road games.
-- Six of last nine Baltimore games stayed under total.
-- Last five games at Fenway Park went over.
-- 11 of last 13 White Sox home games went over the total.
-- Over is 7-3-1 in Rangers' last eleven games.
Umpires
-- SF-SD-- Six of last seven Miller games stayed under total.
-- LA-Phil-- Five of last seven Kulpa games stayed under.
-- NY-Wsh-- Visiting team won seven of last eight Knight games.
-- Atl-Mia-- Eight of last eleven Culbreth games went over total.
-- Pitt-Cin-- Over is 5-2-1 in last eight BWelke games.
-- StL-Hst-- Under is 5-2-1 in last eight Conroy games.
-- Chi-Mil-- Seven of last eight Schrieber games went over total.
-- TB-NY-- Underdogs won seven of last ten Nauert games.
-- Clev-Det-- Favorites won six of last seven Davis games.
-- Balt-Bos-- Home team won last six Davidson games; over is 3-1-1 in his last five games behind plate.
-- Tor-Chi-- Five of last seven Reynolds games went over total.
-- Tex-A's-- Five of last six Meals games went over the total.
Armadillosports.com
LA DODGERS vs. PHILADELPHIA
LA Dodgers are 4-1 SU in their last 5 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia
LA Dodgers are 6-12 SU in their last 18 games when playing Philadelphia
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 6 games when playing LA Dodgers
Philadelphia is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games at home
CLEVELAND vs. DETROIT
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Cleveland's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Cleveland's last 6 games when playing Detroit
Detroit is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Cleveland
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Detroit's last 7 games when playing at home against Cleveland
NY METS vs. WASHINGTON
The total has gone OVER in 4 of NY Mets's last 5 games when playing on the road against Washington
The total has gone OVER in 7 of NY Mets's last 9 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Washington's last 5 games when playing at home against NY Mets
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Washington's last 6 games when playing NY Mets
CHI CUBS vs. MILWAUKEE
Chi Cubs are 1-5 SU in their last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Chi Cubs's last 5 games when playing on the road against Milwaukee
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Milwaukee's last 7 games at home
Milwaukee is 13-5 SU in their last 18 games when playing Chi Cubs
SAN FRANCISCO vs. SAN DIEGO
The total has gone OVER in 9 of San Francisco's last 10 games when playing on the road against San Diego
San Francisco is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games when playing on the road against San Diego
The total has gone OVER in 9 of San Diego's last 10 games when playing at home against San Francisco
The total has gone OVER in 4 of San Diego's last 6 games
TEXAS vs. OAKLAND
Texas is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games
Texas is 14-5 SU in its last 19 games when playing Oakland
Oakland is 5-14 SU in its last 19 games when playing Texas
Oakland is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Texas
TAMPA BAY vs. NY YANKEES
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Tampa Bay's last 6 games on the road
Tampa Bay is 8-4 SU in their last 12 games when playing NY Yankees
NY Yankees are 4-1 SU in their last 5 games when playing Tampa Bay
NY Yankees are 4-1 SU in their last 5 games when playing at home against Tampa Bay
PITTSBURGH vs. CINCINNATI
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Pittsburgh's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Pittsburgh's last 11 games when playing Cincinnati
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Cincinnati's last 5 games at home
Cincinnati is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games at home
BALTIMORE vs. BOSTON
Baltimore is 12-6 SU in its last 18 games on the road
Baltimore is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Boston's last 9 games
Boston is 2-7 SU in its last 9 games when playing Baltimore
ATLANTA vs. MIAMI
Atlanta is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games when playing on the road against Miami
Atlanta is 14-5 SU in its last 19 games when playing Miami
The total has gone OVER in 11 of Miami's last 16 games
The total has gone OVER in 14 of Miami's last 19 games at home
ST. LOUIS vs. HOUSTON
St. Louis is 3-10 SU in its last 13 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 7 of St. Louis's last 10 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Houston's last 9 games
Houston is 2-9 SU in its last 11 games
TORONTO vs. CHI WHITE SOX
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Toronto's last 5 games when playing Chi White Sox
Toronto is 6-2 SU in their last 8 games when playing Chi White Sox
Chi White Sox are 2-6 SU in their last 8 games when playing Toronto
Chi White Sox are 14-4 SU in their last 18 games
NY METS (31 - 26) at WASHINGTON (32 - 22) - 1:05 PM
R.A. DICKEY (R) vs. CHIEN-MING WANG (R)
Top Trends for this game.
WASHINGTON is 112-104 (+16.7 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 20-11 (+10.3 Units) against the money line in June games over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 50-43 (+18.7 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 112-104 (+16.7 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 86-82 (+11.6 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 61-50 (+14.3 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 52-43 (+19.9 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
NY METS are 31-26 (+9.3 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
NY METS are 55-52 (+19.8 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons.
NY METS are 37-22 (+17.0 Units) against the money line in June games over the last 3 seasons.
NY METS are 17-9 (+9.3 Units) against the money line in day games this season.
NY METS are 30-24 (+9.9 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
NY METS are 24-12 (+15.6 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
NY METS are 27-23 (+13.8 Units) against the money line in road games after a loss over the last 2 seasons.
DICKEY is 9-2 (+8.5 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
DICKEY is 9-2 (+8.5 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON is 4-1 (+2.9 Units) against NY METS this season
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=-0.1 Units, Under=-0.4 Units)
R.A. DICKEY vs. WASHINGTON since 1997
DICKEY is 2-4 when starting against WASHINGTON with an ERA of 4.21 and a WHIP of 1.500.
His team's record is 3-6 (-4.4 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 4-5. (-1.8 units)
CHIEN-MING WANG vs. NY METS since 1997
WANG is 2-2 when starting against NY METS with an ERA of 4.99 and a WHIP of 1.337.
His team's record is 3-2 (+0.8 units) in these starts. The OVER is 3-2. (+1.0 units)
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LA DODGERS (36 - 21) at PHILADELPHIA (28 - 30) - 1:05 PM
AARON HARANG (R) vs. COLE HAMELS (L)
Top Trends for this game.
LA DODGERS are 36-21 (+12.3 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
LA DODGERS are 36-21 (+12.3 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
LA DODGERS are 23-12 (+10.4 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
HARANG is 67-63 (+21.3 Units) against the money line in road games since 1997.
HARANG is 33-22 (+21.1 Units) against the money line in road games after a win since 1997.
PHILADELPHIA is 28-30 (-10.8 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 12-18 (-14.4 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 28-30 (-10.8 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 3-12 (-14.4 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
HAMELS is 3-9 (-10.6 Units) against the money line in June games over the last 3 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
LA DODGERS is 3-0 (+3.7 Units) against PHILADELPHIA this season
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+0.9 Units)
AARON HARANG vs. PHILADELPHIA since 1997
HARANG is 3-2 when starting against PHILADELPHIA with an ERA of 5.37 and a WHIP of 1.515.
His team's record is 8-3 (+8.6 units) in these starts. The OVER is 5-6. (-1.7 units)
COLE HAMELS vs. LA DODGERS since 1997
HAMELS is 6-0 when starting against LA DODGERS with an ERA of 2.19 and a WHIP of 1.006.
His team's record is 7-2 (+4.8 units) in these starts. The OVER is 3-4. (-1.1 units)
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CHICAGO CUBS (19 - 37) at MILWAUKEE (25 - 31) - 2:10 PM
MATT GARZA (R) vs. RANDY WOLF (L)
Top Trends for this game.
CHICAGO CUBS are 19-37 (-15.1 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
CHICAGO CUBS are 7-22 (-11.9 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
CHICAGO CUBS are 18-41 (-18.7 Units) against the money line in road games against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO CUBS are 8-27 (-17.5 Units) against the money line in road games in day games over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO CUBS are 19-37 (-15.1 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
CHICAGO CUBS are 2-11 (-9.7 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters this season.
CHICAGO CUBS are 8-21 (-12.6 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
GARZA is 13-26 (-16.5 Units) against the money line in road games after a loss since 1997. (Team's Record)
MILWAUKEE is 44-13 (+24.6 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 25-31 (-12.2 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
MILWAUKEE is 19-32 (-17.7 Units) against the money line at home with a money line of -100 to -125 over the last 3 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 6-15 (-11.6 Units) against the money line when playing on Thursday over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 6-16 (-13.8 Units) against the money line in day games this season.
MILWAUKEE is 25-31 (-12.2 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
MILWAUKEE is 17-23 (-10.4 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
MILWAUKEE is 3-9 (-8.6 Units) against the money line in home games after a win this season.
Head-to-Head Series History
MILWAUKEE is 6-3 (+2.2 Units) against CHICAGO CUBS this season
8 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+7.3 Units)
MATT GARZA vs. MILWAUKEE since 1997
GARZA is 3-1 when starting against MILWAUKEE with an ERA of 2.88 and a WHIP of 1.165.
His team's record is 3-2 (+1.1 units) in these starts. The OVER is 3-2. (+1.0 units)
RANDY WOLF vs. CHICAGO CUBS since 1997
WOLF is 6-11 when starting against CHICAGO CUBS with an ERA of 4.05 and a WHIP of 1.321.
His team's record is 9-15 (-5.9 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 13-9. (+3.2 units)
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SAN FRANCISCO (32 - 25) at SAN DIEGO (19 - 38) - 3:35 PM
MATT CAIN (R) vs. JASON MARQUIS (R)
Top Trends for this game.
SAN FRANCISCO is 464-458 (+44.4 Units) against the money line in road games against right-handed starters since 1997.
SAN DIEGO is 19-38 (-16.2 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
SAN DIEGO is 64-92 (-24.6 Units) against the money line when the total is 7 or less over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 16-31 (-14.0 Units) against the money line as a home underdog of +100 to +125 over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 49-65 (-18.2 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 49-63 (-16.1 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 7 or less over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 36-63 (-23.8 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 19-38 (-16.2 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
Head-to-Head Series History
SAN FRANCISCO is 3-2 (+0.9 Units) against SAN DIEGO this season
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+0.9 Units)
MATT CAIN vs. SAN DIEGO since 1997
CAIN is 5-11 when starting against SAN DIEGO with an ERA of 3.39 and a WHIP of 1.201.
His team's record is 9-19 (-13.5 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 12-14. (-4.1 units)
JASON MARQUIS vs. SAN FRANCISCO since 1997
MARQUIS is 5-4 when starting against SAN FRANCISCO with an ERA of 2.94 and a WHIP of 1.039.
His team's record is 8-4 (+4.8 units) in these starts. The OVER is 5-6. (-1.7 units)
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PITTSBURGH (28 - 27) at CINCINNATI (31 - 24) - 7:10 PM
KEVIN CORREIA (R) vs. MIKE LEAKE (R)
Top Trends for this game.
PITTSBURGH is 67-138 (-47.2 Units) against the money line in road games in June games since 1997.
PITTSBURGH is 38-89 (-29.1 Units) against the money line in road games in night games over the last 3 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 207-422 (-96.0 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.
PITTSBURGH is 28-27 (+6.5 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
PITTSBURGH is 53-51 (+12.4 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 28-27 (+6.5 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
PITTSBURGH is 17-9 (+11.5 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
CORREIA is 75-65 (+24.9 Units) against the money line in all games since 1997.
CORREIA is 33-18 (+20.9 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 since 1997.
CORREIA is 13-7 (+11.1 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons.
CORREIA is 10-2 (+12.0 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons.
CORREIA is 12-7 (+9.8 Units) against the money line in road games in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
CORREIA is 52-42 (+22.2 Units) against the money line in night games since 1997.
CORREIA is 8-2 (+9.0 Units) against the money line in road games after a loss over the last 2 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 85-83 (-46.8 Units) against the money line as a home favorite of -150 to -175 since 1997.
CINCINNATI is 48-63 (-23.9 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
PITTSBURGH is 4-4 (+0.4 Units) against CINCINNATI this season
4 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+0.5 Units)
KEVIN CORREIA vs. CINCINNATI since 1997
CORREIA is 6-1 when starting against CINCINNATI with an ERA of 4.50 and a WHIP of 1.297.
His team's record is 7-4 (+4.7 units) in these starts. The OVER is 6-3. (+2.7 units)
MIKE LEAKE vs. PITTSBURGH since 1997
LEAKE is 1-3 when starting against PITTSBURGH with an ERA of 4.06 and a WHIP of 1.286.
His team's record is 2-5 (-4.2 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 4-3. (+0.6 units)
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ATLANTA (31 - 25) at MIAMI (31 - 25) - 7:10 PM
MIKE MINOR (L) vs. MARK BUEHRLE (L)
Top Trends for this game.
ATLANTA is 43-47 (-16.5 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI is 68-44 (+24.6 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters over the last 3 seasons.
BUEHRLE is 11-1 (+9.6 Units) against the money line as a home favorite of -125 to -150 over the last 3 seasons.
BUEHRLE is 131-67 (+39.2 Units) against the money line in home games since 1997.
BUEHRLE is 51-23 (+24.2 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 8 to 8.5 since 1997.
BUEHRLE is 131-67 (+39.2 Units) against the money line in home games in games played on a grass field since 1997.
MIAMI is 47-59 (-23.3 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI is 7-26 (-20.1 Units) against the money line in June games over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI is 47-59 (-23.3 Units) against the money line in home games in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI is 35-46 (-20.4 Units) against the money line in home games in night games over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI is 23-34 (-17.1 Units) against the money line in home games after a loss over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI is 42-61 (-23.2 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
ATLANTA is 3-1 (+2.5 Units) against MIAMI this season
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=-0.1 Units, Under=-0.3 Units)
MIKE MINOR vs. MIAMI since 1997
MINOR is 0-1 when starting against MIAMI with an ERA of 7.65 and a WHIP of 1.699.
His team's record is 1-3 (-2.5 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-3. (-2.3 units)
MARK BUEHRLE vs. ATLANTA since 1997
BUEHRLE is 3-0 when starting against ATLANTA with an ERA of 4.05 and a WHIP of 1.250.
His team's record is 3-0 (+3.1 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-1. (+0.9 units)
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ST LOUIS (29 - 28) at HOUSTON (24 - 32) - 8:05 PM
LANCE LYNN (R) vs. J.A. HAPP (L)
Top Trends for this game.
ST LOUIS is 116-104 (-34.1 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
HOUSTON is 13-8 (+8.3 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 this season.
HOUSTON is 18-13 (+9.1 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
HOUSTON is 18-13 (+9.1 Units) against the money line in home games in games played on a grass field this season.
HOUSTON is 81-139 (-34.6 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 51-105 (-39.1 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
HAPP is 3-16 (-11.8 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
HOUSTON is 3-2 (+1.8 Units) against ST LOUIS this season
4 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+3.0 Units)
LANCE LYNN vs. HOUSTON since 1997
LYNN is 1-0 when starting against HOUSTON with an ERA of 1.80 and a WHIP of 1.800.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)
J.A. HAPP vs. ST LOUIS since 1997
HAPP is 1-7 when starting against ST LOUIS with an ERA of 6.70 and a WHIP of 1.510.
His team's record is 2-7 (-5.1 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 4-5. (-1.4 units)
CLEVELAND (30 - 25) at DETROIT (25 - 31) - 1:05 PM
DEREK LOWE (R) vs. CASEY CROSBY (L)
Top Trends for this game.
DETROIT is 62-34 (+17.3 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 113-107 (+10.7 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 110-104 (+9.5 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 25-31 (-17.8 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
DETROIT is 12-16 (-13.0 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
DETROIT is 25-31 (-17.8 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
DETROIT is 9-17 (-11.4 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
Head-to-Head Series History
CLEVELAND is 5-0 (+6.4 Units) against DETROIT this season
4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+2.8 Units)
DEREK LOWE vs. DETROIT since 1997
LOWE is 6-2 when starting against DETROIT with an ERA of 2.34 and a WHIP of 0.923.
His team's record is 7-3 (+3.4 units) in these starts. The OVER is 4-6. (-2.9 units)
CASEY CROSBY vs. CLEVELAND since 1997
No recent starts.
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TEXAS (33 - 24) at OAKLAND (25 - 32) - 3:35 PM
YU DARVISH (R) vs. BRANDON MCCARTHY (R)
Top Trends for this game.
OAKLAND is 131-71 (+48.6 Units) against the money line in home games in June games since 1997.
TEXAS is 102-64 (+15.6 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS is 61-32 (+22.0 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
OAKLAND is 3-2 (+2.2 Units) against TEXAS this season
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=-0.1 Units, Under=-0.2 Units)
YU DARVISH vs. OAKLAND since 1997
DARVISH is 1-0 when starting against OAKLAND with an ERA of 1.17 and a WHIP of 0.782.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-1. (-1.1 units)
BRANDON MCCARTHY vs. TEXAS since 1997
MCCARTHY is 1-3 when starting against TEXAS with an ERA of 4.47 and a WHIP of 1.295.
His team's record is 3-5 (-1.5 units) in these starts. The OVER is 4-3. (+0.8 units)
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TAMPA BAY (31 - 25) at NY YANKEES (31 - 24) - 7:05 PM
DAVID PRICE (L) vs. C.C. SABATHIA (L)
Top Trends for this game.
NY YANKEES are 45-22 (+16.4 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 452-545 (+25.1 Units) against the money line against division opponents since 1997.
PRICE is 35-15 (+16.8 Units) against the money line against division opponents since 1997.
NY YANKEES are 77-72 (-20.3 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
TAMPA BAY is 4-4 (+0.5 Units) against NY YANKEES this season
5 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.5 Units)
DAVID PRICE vs. NY YANKEES since 1997
PRICE is 5-3 when starting against NY YANKEES with an ERA of 4.19 and a WHIP of 1.352.
His team's record is 9-5 (+5.6 units) in these starts. The OVER is 10-4. (+5.9 units)
C.C. SABATHIA vs. TAMPA BAY since 1997
SABATHIA is 10-7 when starting against TAMPA BAY with an ERA of 3.11 and a WHIP of 1.176.
His team's record is 14-12 (-3.3 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 14-12. (+0.7 units)
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BALTIMORE (32 - 24) at BOSTON (28 - 28) - 7:10 PM
BRIAN MATUSZ (L) vs. CLAY BUCHHOLZ (R)
Top Trends for this game.
BOSTON is 64-28 (+27.1 Units) against the money line in home games after 3 or more consecutive losses since 1997.
BALTIMORE is 32-24 (+14.7 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
BALTIMORE is 18-11 (+13.3 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
BALTIMORE is 29-18 (+16.2 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
BALTIMORE is 21-17 (+8.9 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
BALTIMORE is 23-18 (+9.6 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
BALTIMORE is 19-12 (+10.3 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
BOSTON is 49-48 (-19.5 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 60-52 (-20.6 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 29-29 (-15.8 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 6-12 (-13.1 Units) against the money line in home games when playing on Thursday over the last 3 seasons.
BOSTON is 4-10 (-9.4 Units) against the money line in home games against division opponents this season.
BOSTON is 60-52 (-20.6 Units) against the money line in home games in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 38-34 (-17.2 Units) against the money line in home games in night games over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 5-11 (-9.9 Units) against the money line in home games after a loss this season.
BOSTON is 6-12 (-9.9 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
Head-to-Head Series History
BALTIMORE is 6-2 (+6.1 Units) against BOSTON this season
6 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+3.8 Units)
BRIAN MATUSZ vs. BOSTON since 1997
MATUSZ is 3-1 when starting against BOSTON with an ERA of 3.58 and a WHIP of 1.221.
His team's record is 5-2 (+5.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-5. (-3.6 units)
CLAY BUCHHOLZ vs. BALTIMORE since 1997
BUCHHOLZ is 4-3 when starting against BALTIMORE with an ERA of 4.36 and a WHIP of 1.438.
His team's record is 6-5 (-2.6 units) in these starts. The OVER is 7-3. (+3.8 units)
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TORONTO (30 - 26) at CHI WHITE SOX (31 - 25) - 8:10 PM
HENDERSON ALVAREZ (R) vs. JAKE PEAVY (R)
Top Trends for this game.
ALVAREZ is 0-6 (-7.4 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season. (Team's Record)
CHI WHITE SOX are 572-583 (+39.4 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.
TORONTO is 153-134 (+19.3 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 3 seasons.
CHI WHITE SOX are 9-17 (-10.1 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 this season.
CHI WHITE SOX are 50-61 (-25.1 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
CHI WHITE SOX are 7-15 (-10.5 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 8 to 8.5 this season.
CHI WHITE SOX are 50-61 (-25.1 Units) against the money line in home games in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
CHI WHITE SOX are 32-41 (-17.0 Units) against the money line in home games in night games over the last 2 seasons.
CHI WHITE SOX are 34-42 (-17.9 Units) against the money line in home games against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
TORONTO is 2-0 (+2.0 Units) against CHI WHITE SOX this season
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=-0.1 Units, Under=-0.1 Units)
HENDERSON ALVAREZ vs. CHI WHITE SOX since 1997
ALVAREZ is 0-1 when starting against CHI WHITE SOX with an ERA of 2.57 and a WHIP of 1.000.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.1 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)
JAKE PEAVY vs. TORONTO since 1997
PEAVY is 1-0 when starting against TORONTO with an ERA of 5.93 and a WHIP of 1.024.
His team's record is 2-0 (+2.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-0. (+2.0 units)
National League
NY Mets at Washington
Dickey: Mets 14-6 Over off BB road games
Wang: Washington 15-3 SU off BB wins by 2 runs or less
LA Dodgers at Philadelphia
Harang: 16-8 TSR in the first half of the season
Hamels: 3-9 TSR in June
Chicago Cubs at Milwaukee
Garza: Cubs 7-22 SU in road games
Wolf: 23-9 TSR at home with a total of 7.5 runs or less
San Francisco at San Diego
Cain: San Francisco 18-4 Over away after winning 4 of their last 5 games
Marquis: San Diego 6-18 SU after the bullpen allowed 0 runs
Pittsburgh at Cincinnati
Correia: 8-2 TSR away pitching off a team loss
Leake: 11-4 Under after allowing 1 or 0 earned runs last start
Atlanta at Miami
Minor: Atlanta 9-22 SU after allowingn 1 or 0 runs in a division win
Buehrle: 11-1 TSR as a home favorite of -125 to -150
St. Louis at Houston
Lynn: St. Louis 14-4 Over off 7+ road games
Happ: Houston 13-35 SU after winning 2 of their last 3 games
American League
Cleveland at Detroit
Lowe: Cleveland 14-5 SU after winning 2 of their last 3 games
Crosby: Detroit 3-9 SU off 4+ home games
Texas at Oakland
Darvish: Texas 34-16 SU off 3+ division games
McCarthy: Oakland 13-3 Under off a division win as an underdog
Tampa Bay at New York Yankess
Price: 35-15 TSR vs. division opponents
Sabathia: 19-9 Over in the first half of the season
Baltimore at Boston
Matusz: Baltimore 7-2 SU away off a division win as an underdog
Buchholz: Boston 2-8 SU at home off BB losses
Toronto at Chicago White Sox
Alvarez: Toronto 20-9 SU away vs. AL Central opponents
Peavy: White Sox 8-18 SU at home off BB losses
Diamond Trends - Thursday
By Vince Akins
VegasInsider.com
SU TREND OF THE DAY:
The Cardinals are 11-0 since April 21, 2011 as a favorite and it is the last game of a three game series when they split the first two after playing in a night game for a net profit of $1100.
OU TREND OF THE DAY:
The Indians are 12-0 OU since April 10, 2011 on the road vs a team that has lost at least their last three games for a net profit of $1200 when playing the over.
STARTER TREND OF THE DAY:
The Yankees are 10-0 since July 23, 2009 when CC Sabathia starts at home after the team won their last three games for a net profit of $1000.
MLB BIBLE TREND OF THE DAY:
The Athletics are 19-0 (+3.0 rpg) since August 26th 2004 in the last game of a 3+ game series following a shutout win.
TODAY’S TRENDS:
The Orioles are 10-0 since September 14, 2011 when playing a night game when they lost the last time they faced this starting pitcher after playing in a night game for a net profit of $1690.
The Mets are 6-0 since May 20, 2011 when R.A. Dickey starts on the road vs a team that has won at least their last two games for a net profit of $840.