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MLB Betting News and Notes Thursday 7/26

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Thursday's Streaking and Slumping Starting Pitchers
By Covers.com

Only eight games on the Thursday schedule and we had a hard time handing any of the 16 slated starters as “slumping”. So, we present the four hottest hurlers scheduled to take the bump on Thursday.

STREAKING

Tommy Milone, Oakland Athletics (9-6, 3.34 ERA)

Two months ago, the Gio Gonzalez trade looked like a slam dunk win for the Washington Nationals. But the rapid progress of Tommy Milone, one of the pieces Oakland got back in the Gonzalez trade, makes the deal seem a bit better by the Bay.

The A’s are 6-1 in Milone’s last seven starts and the young lefty carries a 1.35 ERA and a 23-2 strikeout to walk ratio over his last three appearances.

Jason Vargas, Seattle Mariners (10-7, 3.91 ERA)

Vargas should be given a medal for winning 10 decisions with an offense this crappy behind him. The Mariners are 3-0 in his last three starts and he’s allowed two or fewer runs in four of his last five outings.

Best thing about that three-game win streak with Vargas on the road: they all came on the road with the M’s priced at plus-money each time.

Justin Verlander, Detroit Tigers (11-5, 2.42 ERA)

OK, nothing groundbreaking here. Justin Verlander is still really effing good. How good? Well, the Tigers are 7-1 in his last eight appearances.

Of course the fat price oddsmakers make bettors pay takes out a lot of the fun of backing Verlander. Who wants to bet $300 to win $100? A better way of doing would be looking at the total. The under is 5-0 in the flame-throwing righty’s last five starts.

 
Posted : July 25, 2012 10:43 pm
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Thursday Tips
By Kevin Rogers
VegasInsider.com

The Thursday night baseball card wraps up with five games, including three division leaders taking their talents to the highway. The surprising Pirates and Nationals each begin four-game series against NL Central opponents, while the Diamondbacks look to stay hot when the slumping Mets travel to the desert. We'll begin in Cleveland as the red-hot Tigers attempt to keep their hold atop the AL Central against the Tribe.

Tigers at Indians

Detroit started the season slow out of the gate, but Jim Leyland's club won 13 of 15 games before falling at Cleveland on Tuesday night. The Tigers grabbed first place in the division after sweeping the White Sox at home over the weekend, while the Indians are slowly falling out the race by compiling a 12-16 record since late June.

Last year's AL Cy Young winner and MVP Justin Verlander (11-5, 2.42 ERA) is back to his elite form following victories in five of his last six trips to the mound. Verlander has tossed at least eight innings in each of his previous three starts, including a four-hit performance in a 4-2 home triumph over the White Sox. In his only start against the Indians this season, Verlander lost a 2-1 pitchers' duel as a $1.60 road favorite on May 24, halting a mini-two game winning streak versus Cleveland since the start of 2011.

The Indians have won three of Zach McAllister's (4-2, 3.21 ERA) last five starts since returning to the rotation at the end of June. The right-hander has allowed eight hits and four earned runs in his previous two outings, while splitting decisions against the Orioles and Rays. Cleveland is 4-2 in McAllister's six home starts, as the Indians are a perfect 4-0 at Progressive Field against the Tigers in 2012.

Pirates at Astros

Pittsburgh makes it first trip to Texas this season after taking six of the first seven meetings with Houston. The Bucs avoided a sweep by knocking off the Cubs on Wednesday afternoon to stay within striking distance of the Reds atop the NL Central. The Astros traded off left-handed pitcher Wandy Rodriguez to the Pirates on Tuesday, continuing Houston's two-year long fire sale. Things have bottomed out for Brad Mills' squad, which have won two games since the end of June.

A.J. Burnett (11-3, 3.59 ERA) continues to be a Cy Young candidate in the National League after winning his 10th game in the last 12 decisions. Burnett beat his old team in his past trip to the mound by stifling the struggling Marlins, 5-1, while tossing 7.2 innings of eight-hit ball. Surprisingly, Burnett is listed as a road favorite for just the second time this season in eight away starts, as the righty gave up 12 hits and six earned runs in just five innings the last time he faced the Astros at home.

Southpaw Dallas Keuchel (1-2, 4.03 ERA) looks to rebound after consecutive road losses to the Pirates and Diamondbacks. Keuchel is coming off his first start of less than five innings as the Houston hurler allowed seven runs in 3.1 innings of a 12-3 pounding at Arizona. The former Arkansas Razorback has pitched well in two starts at Minute Maid Park by delivering quality outings against the Indians and Padres.

Nationals at Brewers

Last season, Milwaukee won its division while Washington barely finished below .500. The two teams are switching roles this season as the Nationals own the best record in the National League while the Brewers likely won't make the postseason. The two clubs meet at Miller Park for the first time this season, as the home squad won all six matchups in 2011.

Milwaukee returns home following a winless trip at Cincinnati and Philadelphia, as Yovani Gallardo (8-7, 3.72 ERA) goes for his fourth consecutive quality start at Miller Park. Gallardo lost his last outing to the Reds, giving up four earned runs and striking out just one batter in a 6-2 defeat. The 'over' has cashed in six of Gallardo's nine home outings, while the Brewers are 4-0 in his previous four home starts.

The Nationals counter with Edwin Jackson (5-6, 3.73 ERA), as Washington is just 2-8 when the right-hander starts on the road. Jackson has dropped four of his last six decisions, while pitching past the sixth inning just once in his past four trips to the mound. Davey Johnson's team owns an excellent 9-2 mark the last 11 games as a road underdog heading into Thursday's action.

Mets at Diamondbacks

These two teams are going in completely different directions as New York heads out west with a 1-12 record since the All-Star break. The D-Backs have fought back after a slow start to be a force inside the NL Wild Card race with victories in seven of their previous nine contests. However, Arizona has taken care of its business against the two worst teams in the NL, Houston and Colorado.

The D-Backs send out Wade Miley (11-5, 3.02 ERA), who has cooled off following a hot start to the season. The southpaw has allowed 16 earned runs in his last four starts after giving up just 11 earned runs in his previous six outings (May-June). The 'under' is 6-2 in Miley's last six starts, while yielding four earned runs in a 5-4 victory at Citi Field in early May.

With all the injuries to the Mets' rotation, Terry Collins hands the ball to right-hander Matt Harvey, who makes his Major League debut. Harvey (7-5, 3.68 at Triple-A Buffalo) struck out 112 batters in 110 innings of work in the minors, as the former UNC standout replaces veteran Miguel Batista. The Mets have dropped six of their past seven games away from Citi Field, while looking for their first victory in Phoenix since 2009.

 
Posted : July 25, 2012 10:44 pm
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MLB: Streaks, Tips, Notes
Sportspic.com

Oakland A's at Toronto Blue Jays

The Oakland Athletics on a season-high seven game winning streak and 16-of-18 this month look to sweep Toronto pitting Tommy Milone (9-6, 3.34 ERA) against Jays port-sider Aaron Laffey (2-1, 2.77 ERA). The A's are on a 3-0 streak with their rookie left-hander and have won six of his last seven starts. On the other hill, Laffey off seven scoreless innings in a win over Boston has now tossed four quality outings in five starts since joining the rotation. Jays pounded 16-zip last night are on a 5-1 stretch at home following a loss by 10 or more runs, 10-3 in game three of a series at home, 7-2 stretch at home off back-2-back losses. Ambush time ???

Los Angeles Dodgers at St Louis Cardinals

The Dodgers aim to even this four-game set at Busch Stadium handing the ball to Chris Capuano (10-5, 2.81 ERA). The left-hander last faced Cardinals in 2011 as a member of Mets getting a ND as he was shelled for 8 hits, 4 runs over 4.2 innings in a game Metropolitans eventually won 8-6. Capuano off a smart 7 innings of 8 hit 3 run ball in a win over his former team the Mets brings to the mound a 3-1 team start road stretch. Cardinals counter with Jake Westbrook (8-8, 3.60 ERA). The right-hander off a win tossing a 3 hit shutout over Cubbies at Busch Stadium lost an earlier meeting vs Dodgers getting spanked for 6 hits, 4 runs over 6 1/3 innings of work. Westbrook has dropped 5 of his last 8 home team starts and 10 of his last 16 team home starts during July (STL, CLE).

Detroit Tigers at Cleveland Indians

Tigers behind a solid seven innings from Max Scherzer defeated Cleveland for just the second time in eight meetings this season. Detroit also snapped an 0-4 drought in what has become a house of horrors for Tigers as they remain 5-17 last twenty-two trips into Cleveland. The victory sets up a rubber match Thursday night that features Tribe's Zach McAllister (4-2, 3.21 ERA) and Tigers' Justin Verlander (11-5, 2.42 ERA). Tough spot for host Indians, Verlander comes into Progressive Field on a roll, having allowed three runs on 11 hits over 25 innings while going 3-0 in July. The hurler has pay-back in mind, Tribe snapped Verlander's 13 game road winning streak right here in Cleveland back on May 24th as he yielded two runs on six hits in eight innings in a 2-1 loss. Tigers 10-3 last four years vs Cleveland with Verlander toeing the rubber, 14-5 in rubber matches with the hurler including 7-2 on the road have been pegged anywhere from -$1.65 to -$1.90 favorites depending on locale.

 
Posted : July 26, 2012 7:36 am
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Hot pitchers
-- Westbrook is 3-2, 2.79 in his last six starts.
-- Pirates won 13 of last 14 Burnett starts (2-1, 3.00 last three).
-- Gallardo is 2-1, 2.13 in his last four starts.
-- Miley is 2-0, 2.84 in his last couple starts.

-- Milone is 1-0, 1.35 in his last three starts.
-- Laffey is 2-0, 3.00 in his last couple starts.
-- Verlander is 6-1, 2.29 in his last seven starts.
-- McAllister is 1-1, 2.63 in his last couple outings.
-- Vargas is 3-0, 1.86 in his last four starts.

Cold pitchers
-- Capuano is 1-2, 5.79 in his last three starts.
-- Keuchel is 0-2, 11.00 in his last couple starts.
-- Jackson is 1-2, 7.40 in his last four starts.
-- Highly-touted rookie Harvey makes his MLB debut here; he was 7-5, 3.68 in 20 starts at AAA Buffalo.

-- Shields is 1-2, 6.18 in his last six starts.
-- Tillman has a 5.74 RA in his three starts, all of which were on the road.
-- Mendoza is 2-3, 3.66 in his last five starts.

Hot Teams
-- Pirates won six of their last eight games.
-- Nationals are 9-4 in their last thirteen road games.
-- Cardinals won five of their last six games.
-- Dodgers won five of last seven.
-- Arizona won eight of its last nine home games.

-- Tampa Bay won four of its last five away games.
-- A's won seven in row, 16 of their last 18 games.
-- Detroit won 14 of its last 17 games.

Cold Teams
-- Brewers lost their last six games, allowing 32 runs.
-- Mets lost twelve of their last thirteen games.
-- Astros lost 22 of their last 24 games.

-- Indians lost eight of their last twelve games.
-- Blue Jays are 4-6 in their last ten home games.
-- Baltimore lost its last three games, outscored 16-3.
-- Seattle lost six of its last eight home games.
-- Royals lost 12 of their last 15 games overall.

Totals
-- Nine of last eleven St Louis games stayed under the total.
-- Over is 6-2-1 in last nine Houston games.
-- Nine of last ten Pittsburgh tilts stayed under.
-- Under is 11-5-1 in last seventeen Washington games.
-- Over is 13-5-1 in Mets' last nineteen games.

-- Seven of last nine Tampa Bay games stayed under.
-- Six of last eight Oakland games stayed under the total.
-- Nine of last eleven Cleveland games stayed under the total.
-- Under is 21-7 in last twenty-eight Seattle games.

Armadillosports.com

 
Posted : July 26, 2012 7:38 am
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LA DODGERS (53 - 46) at ST LOUIS (52 - 46) - 1:45 PM

CHRIS CAPUANO (L) vs. JAKE WESTBROOK (R)

Top Trends for this game.
CAPUANO is 17-33 (-20.0 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 since 1997.
ST LOUIS is 33-22 (+13.8 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 10-21 (-16.5 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
WESTBROOK is 1-8 (-9.6 Units) against the money line as a home favorite of -125 to -150 over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA DODGERS is 4-2 (+2.5 Units) against ST LOUIS this season
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+0.9 Units)

CHRIS CAPUANO vs. ST LOUIS since 1997
CAPUANO is 5-5 when starting against ST LOUIS with an ERA of 5.40 and a WHIP of 1.494.
His team's record is 9-5 (+6.5 units) in these starts. The OVER is 7-7. (-0.8 units)

JAKE WESTBROOK vs. LA DODGERS since 1997
WESTBROOK is 0-1 when starting against LA DODGERS with an ERA of 4.27 and a WHIP of 1.106.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 0-0. (+0.0 units)

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PITTSBURGH (55 - 42) at HOUSTON (34 - 65) - 8:05 PM

A.J. BURNETT (R) vs. DALLAS KEUCHEL (L)

Top Trends for this game.
PITTSBURGH is 37-61 (-24.0 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
BURNETT is 72-99 (-33.4 Units) against the money line in road games since 1997.
BURNETT is 48-72 (-27.5 Units) against the money line in road games in night games since 1997.
BURNETT is 31-51 (-26.0 Units) against the money line in road games after a win since 1997.
PITTSBURGH is 55-42 (+20.2 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
PITTSBURGH is 18-9 (+10.9 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 this season.
PITTSBURGH is 59-71 (+12.8 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 22-15 (+9.5 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season.
PITTSBURGH is 55-42 (+20.2 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
PITTSBURGH is 33-30 (+6.5 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
PITTSBURGH is 29-25 (+7.0 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
PITTSBURGH is 28-15 (+13.0 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
BURNETT is 14-3 (+12.6 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
BURNETT is 14-3 (+12.6 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
HOUSTON is 34-65 (-22.5 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
HOUSTON is 38-70 (-25.9 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 2-19 (-16.6 Units) against the money line in July games this season.
HOUSTON is 41-73 (-22.2 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 34-65 (-22.5 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
HOUSTON is 68-115 (-27.1 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 23-50 (-21.1 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
HOUSTON is 20-44 (-18.4 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
HOUSTON is 41-85 (-28.4 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
PITTSBURGH is 6-1 (+4.6 Units) against HOUSTON this season
4 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+0.6 Units)

A.J. BURNETT vs. HOUSTON since 1997
BURNETT is 2-5 when starting against HOUSTON with an ERA of 5.37 and a WHIP of 1.615.
His team's record is 4-5 (-0.5 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 4-5. (-1.4 units)

DALLAS KEUCHEL vs. PITTSBURGH since 1997
KEUCHEL is 0-1 when starting against PITTSBURGH with an ERA of 6.35 and a WHIP of 1.940.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 0-1. (-1.2 units)

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WASHINGTON (58 - 39) at MILWAUKEE (44 - 53) - 8:10 PM

EDWIN JACKSON (R) vs. YOVANI GALLARDO (R)

Top Trends for this game.
JACKSON is 5-12 (-8.6 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
JACKSON is 14-23 (-14.8 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 88-49 (+25.4 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 39-17 (+17.6 Units) against the money line in home games after a loss over the last 2 seasons.
GALLARDO is 18-3 (+13.2 Units) against the money line in home games in night games over the last 3 seasons.
GALLARDO is 11-1 (+9.2 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 58-39 (+12.7 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
WASHINGTON is 56-41 (+20.0 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 30-20 (+9.8 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
WASHINGTON is 55-39 (+8.8 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
WASHINGTON is 38-23 (+12.1 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
WASHINGTON is 42-27 (+11.3 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
WASHINGTON is 76-61 (+16.1 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 44-53 (-17.5 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
MILWAUKEE is 13-22 (-13.6 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 this season.
MILWAUKEE is 22-35 (-18.0 Units) against the money line at home with a money line of -100 to -125 over the last 3 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 7-17 (-12.8 Units) against the money line when playing on Thursday over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 44-53 (-17.5 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
MILWAUKEE is 32-40 (-14.3 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

EDWIN JACKSON vs. MILWAUKEE since 1997
JACKSON is 2-2 when starting against MILWAUKEE with an ERA of 4.93 and a WHIP of 1.487.
His team's record is 4-3 (+1.3 units) in these starts. The OVER is 3-3. (-0.3 units)

YOVANI GALLARDO vs. WASHINGTON since 1997
GALLARDO is 3-1 when starting against WASHINGTON with an ERA of 4.15 and a WHIP of 1.319.
His team's record is 3-2 (+0.2 units) in these starts. The OVER is 3-2. (+0.9 units)

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NY METS (47 - 51) at ARIZONA (49 - 49) - 9:40 PM

MATT HARVEY (R) vs. WADE MILEY (L)

Top Trends for this game.
NY METS are 4-15 (-13.3 Units) against the money line in July games this season.
ARIZONA is 146-121 (+20.5 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 146-121 (+20.5 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 102-79 (+24.3 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 86-58 (+18.5 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 41-20 (+16.3 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
MILEY is 13-3 (+10.8 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
NY METS are 64-63 (+18.7 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons.
NY METS are 8-1 (+7.3 Units) against the money line when playing on Thursday this season.
NY METS are 60-61 (+15.2 Units) against the money line in road games in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 32-36 (-9.1 Units) against the money line in night games this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
NY METS is 2-1 (+1.0 Units) against ARIZONA this season
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=-0.2 Units, Under=-0.2 Units)

MATT HARVEY vs. ARIZONA since 1997
No recent starts.

WADE MILEY vs. NY METS since 1997
MILEY is 0-0 when starting against NY METS with an ERA of 6.00 and a WHIP of 1.500.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 0-1. (-1.2 units)

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TAMPA BAY (51 - 47) at BALTIMORE (51 - 47) - 12:35 PM

JAMES SHIELDS (R) vs. CHRIS TILLMAN (R)

Top Trends for this game.
BALTIMORE is 51-47 (+12.4 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
BALTIMORE is 19-11 (+10.3 Units) against the money line in day games this season.
BALTIMORE is 48-41 (+13.9 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
BALTIMORE is 32-26 (+13.1 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
TAMPA BAY is 68-60 (+11.8 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 34-25 (+11.3 Units) against the money line in road games against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 62-47 (+15.9 Units) against the money line in road games after a win over the last 3 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 218-300 (-81.7 Units) against the money line in home games against division opponents since 1997.
BALTIMORE is 287-365 (-101.2 Units) against the money line in home games after a loss since 1997.
BALTIMORE is 173-297 (-101.5 Units) against the money line after 3 or more consecutive losses since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
TAMPA BAY is 5-3 (+1.2 Units) against BALTIMORE this season
5 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.3 Units)

JAMES SHIELDS vs. BALTIMORE since 1997
SHIELDS is 9-5 when starting against BALTIMORE with an ERA of 3.54 and a WHIP of 1.263.
His team's record is 13-9 (-0.4 units) in these starts. The OVER is 10-10. (-1.0 units)

CHRIS TILLMAN vs. TAMPA BAY since 1997
TILLMAN is 0-2 when starting against TAMPA BAY with an ERA of 5.06 and a WHIP of 1.425.
His team's record is 3-2 (+2.3 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-4. (-3.3 units)

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OAKLAND (53 - 44) at TORONTO (48 - 49) - 12:35 PM

TOM MILONE (L) vs. AARON LAFFEY (L)

Top Trends for this game.
TORONTO is 316-227 (+51.9 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 9 to 9.5 since 1997.
OAKLAND is 53-44 (+18.7 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
OAKLAND is 16-2 (+16.7 Units) against the money line in July games this season.
OAKLAND is 84-67 (+19.8 Units) against the money line in day games over the last 3 seasons.
OAKLAND is 31-21 (+14.4 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
MILONE is 17-7 (+12.8 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
MILONE is 9-3 (+7.7 Units) against the money line after a win this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
OAKLAND is 3-1 (+2.4 Units) against TORONTO this season
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+0.9 Units)

TOM MILONE vs. TORONTO since 1997
No recent starts.

AARON LAFFEY vs. OAKLAND since 1997
LAFFEY is 1-0 when starting against OAKLAND with an ERA of 0.00 and a WHIP of 0.857.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-1. (-1.0 units)

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DETROIT (53 - 45) at CLEVELAND (49 - 49) - 7:05 PM

JUSTIN VERLANDER (R) vs. ZACH MCALLISTER (R)

Top Trends for this game.
DETROIT is 25-29 (-11.5 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
DETROIT is 24-28 (-12.5 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
CLEVELAND is 132-131 (+4.4 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 126-124 (+3.9 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 34-25 (+9.8 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
CLEVELAND is 39-29 (+9.9 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
CLEVELAND is 27-21 (+6.5 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
DETROIT is 72-37 (+23.0 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
VERLANDER is 20-4 (+13.8 Units) against the money line as a road favorite of -150 to -175 since 1997.
VERLANDER is 28-6 (+17.8 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
VERLANDER is 60-27 (+21.1 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 108-116 (-36.9 Units) against the money line in home games in July games since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
CLEVELAND is 6-2 (+5.5 Units) against DETROIT this season
6 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+3.6 Units)

JUSTIN VERLANDER vs. CLEVELAND since 1997
VERLANDER is 13-12 when starting against CLEVELAND with an ERA of 4.70 and a WHIP of 1.230.
His team's record is 14-14 (-3.9 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 12-16. (-6.6 units)

ZACH MCALLISTER vs. DETROIT since 1997
MCALLISTER is 0-0 when starting against DETROIT with an ERA of 1.59 and a WHIP of 1.324.
His team's record is 1-1 (+0.1 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-2. (-2.1 units)

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KANSAS CITY (41 - 56) at SEATTLE (43 - 57) - 10:10 PM

LUIS MENDOZA (R) vs. JASON VARGAS (L)

Top Trends for this game.
KANSAS CITY is 14-39 (-18.9 Units) against the money line in road games against left-handed starters over the last 3 seasons.
VARGAS is 24-18 (+12.6 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
VARGAS is 10-3 (+9.7 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
SEATTLE is 110-153 (-29.5 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 18-29 (-13.2 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
SEATTLE is 21-52 (-29.6 Units) against the money line in July games over the last 3 seasons.
SEATTLE is 11-30 (-20.8 Units) against the money line when playing on Thursday over the last 3 seasons.
SEATTLE is 18-29 (-13.2 Units) against the money line in home games in games played on a grass field this season.
SEATTLE is 97-154 (-47.0 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 3 seasons.
SEATTLE is 4-11 (-9.7 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
SEATTLE is 285-278 (-84.1 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
SEATTLE is 3-1 (+2.2 Units) against KANSAS CITY this season
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+2.0 Units)

LUIS MENDOZA vs. SEATTLE since 1997
MENDOZA is 0-0 when starting against SEATTLE with an ERA of 8.44 and a WHIP of 1.689.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 0-1. (-1.1 units)

JASON VARGAS vs. KANSAS CITY since 1997
VARGAS is 3-1 when starting against KANSAS CITY with an ERA of 4.32 and a WHIP of 1.400.
His team's record is 3-1 (+2.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-2. (-0.1 units)

 
Posted : July 26, 2012 7:40 am
(@blade)
Posts: 318493
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TAMPA BAY vs. BALTIMORE
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Tampa Bay's last 8 games when playing on the road against Baltimore
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Tampa Bay's last 11 games when playing Baltimore
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Baltimore's last 5 games
Baltimore is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games at home

OAKLAND vs. TORONTO
Oakland is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Oakland is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Toronto is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing Oakland
Toronto is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Oakland

LA DODGERS vs. ST. LOUIS
LA Dodgers are 8-17 SU in their last 25 games when playing on the road against St. Louis
LA Dodgers are 8-2 SU in their last 10 games when playing St. Louis
St. Louis is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games at home
St. Louis is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games

DETROIT vs. CLEVELAND
Detroit is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games when playing Cleveland
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Detroit's last 9 games when playing Cleveland
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Cleveland's last 5 games
Cleveland is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing Detroit

PITTSBURGH vs. HOUSTON
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Pittsburgh's last 5 games when playing on the road against Houston
Pittsburgh is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Houston
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Houston's last 6 games
Houston is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games at home

WASHINGTON vs. MILWAUKEE
Washington is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Washington is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games when playing Milwaukee
The total has gone OVER in 15 of Milwaukee's last 23 games at home
Milwaukee is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games

NY METS vs. ARIZONA
The total has gone OVER in 5 of NY Mets's last 7 games on the road
NY Mets are 1-6 SU in its last 7 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Arizona's last 5 games when playing at home against NY Mets
Arizona is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing NY Mets

KANSAS CITY vs. SEATTLE
Kansas City is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games when playing Seattle
Kansas City is 4-12 SU in its last 16 games
Seattle is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Seattle's last 6 games when playing at home against Kansas City

 
Posted : July 26, 2012 7:41 am
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Posts: 318493
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Topic starter
 

National League

LA Dodgers at St. Louis
Capuano: LA Dodgers 57-43 SU in the second half of the season
Westbrook: 1-8 TSR as a home favorite of -125 to -150

Pittsburgh at Houston
Burnett: 14-3 TSR in all games
Keuchel: Houston 2-19 SU in July

Washington at Milwaukee
Jackson: Washington 18-9 SU after 9 games versus division rivals
Gallardo: Milwaukee 7-17 SU when playing on Thursday

NY Mets at Arizona
Harvey: NY Mets 8-1 SU when playing on Thursday
Miley: Arizona 21-29 SU after 1 or more consecutive unders

American League

Tampa Bay at Baltimore
Shields: Tampa Bay 11-4 SU in road games after 2 games w/o giving up a stolen base
Tillman: Baltimore 2-11 SU at home after scoring 1 run or less

Oakland at Toronto
Milone: Oakland 16-2 SU in July
Laffey: Toronto 17-27 SU at home after 2 games without a stolen base

Detroit at Cleveland
Verlander: Detroit 9-18 SU after a win by 2 runs or less
McAllister: Cleveland 21-13 SU after 3 or more home games

Kansas City at Seattle
Mendoza: Kansas City 22-52 SU after 2 games without giving up a stolen base
Vargas: 10-3 TSR after a loss

 
Posted : July 26, 2012 10:59 am
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Posts: 318493
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Diamond Trends - Thursday
By Vince Akins
VegasInsider.com

SU TREND OF THE DAY:

The Athletics are 20-0 (+3.1 rpg) since August 26th 2004 in the last game of a 3+ game series following a shutout win.

OU TREND OF THE DAY:

The Nationals are 0-10 OU since June 25, 2011 as a road dog after a win in which they used 5+ pitchers for a net profit of $1000 when playing the under.

STARTER TREND OF THE DAY:

The Brewers are 9-0 since April 05, 2011 when Yovani Gallardo starts at home against an NL opponent after his team lost the last time he started for a net profit of $900.

MLB BIBLE TREND OF THE DAY:

The Cardinals are 18-2-1 OU since August 4, 2007 after a game yesterday which was tied on exactly three separate occasions.

TODAY’S TRENDS:

The Tigers are 7-0 since July 10, 2011 when Justin Verlander starts as a road 140+ favorite when he is off a start in which he needed more than 4 pitches per batter for a net profit of $700.

The Mariners are 0-7 OU since May 18, 2011 when Jason Vargas starts at home after his team scored a total of fewer than three runs in his last start for a net profit of $700 when playing the under.

 
Posted : July 26, 2012 11:00 am
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