Thursday's Streaking and Slumping Starting Pitchers
By Covers.com
Streaking
Matt Harrison, Texas Rangers (11-3, 3.16 ERA)
Harrison was voted the American League Pitcher of the Month for June after going 5-0 in six starts with a shutout and a 1.29 ERA. The lefty hasn’t lost a start since way back on May 12 and is coming off a 4-3 win over Oakland. He went eight innings in that one, allowing two runs while striking out seven with a season-high 121 pitches.
Michael Fiers, Milwaukee Brewers (3-2, 2.29 ERA)
Fiers is on a major hot streak, heading into Thursday’s start having allowed just one run in his last 20 1/3 innings on the mound. The rookie allowed just two hits while striking out 10 and walking a pair in six innings of work to help the Brewers cruise to a 10-2 victory over Arizona. He has 41 strikeouts and eight walks in 39 1/3 innings this year.
Slumping
Bud Norris, Houston Astros (5-5, 4.90 ERA)
Norris came back off the DL just before his last start and picked up right where he left off – allowing runs. He was smacked for four runs and three homers over six innings in a loss to the lowly Cubs. Since leading the Astros to wins in eight of his first nine starts, Houston has lost each of his last five outings.
Lance Lynn, St. Louis Cardinals (10-4, 3.63 ERA)
Lynn will make his first appearance in the All-Star Game, but he’s searching for answers right now. He has allowed 17 runs in his last 15 1/3 innings over his last three starts. During that span he served up four homers and has walked seven, helping his ERA jump from 2.42 to 3.62.
MLB: Streaks, Tips, Notes
Sportspic.com
San Francisco at Washington
The N.L. East leading Washington Nationals flexing it's newly found offensive muscle opened this set brutalizing Lincecum in a 9-3 victory then followed it up with a 9-4 July 4th win in which they spanked Madison Bumgarner for 7 runs snapping his six game undefeated streak. Nationals looking to sweep the series pin their hopes on Ross Detwiler (4-3, 3.30 ERA) who made it through six scoreless frames last time out before running into trouble in the seventh giving up 4 runs earning a no-decision as Michael Morse blasted a tie-breaking homer in the eighth saving the day. Giants hope to avoid the dreaded sweep with Matt Cain (9-3, 2.53 ERA) toeing the rubber. Cain struggled in his last time out allowing 11 hits, 5 runs in a 5-1 loss to Cinci but the right-hander can't be sold short as outside that disaster Cain was 4-0 with a miniscule 1.25 ERA in June. San Francisco should feel good about their chances, Giants are on a solid 11-5 stretch in July with Cain, on a 6-2 streak vs Washington with the hurler and on a 7-2 road stretch avoiding a sweep with the right-hander.
Mets - Phillies Preview
By Bovada.lv
It’s one of the best pitching matchups of the season on Thursday in New York as Mets ace R.A. Dickey faces off against Philadelphia Phillies ace Cole Hamels, with the Mets as slight -120 favorites and the total at 7.
Dickey (12-1, 2.15) leads the National League in wins, complete games (three) and WHIP (0.88), is second in strikeouts (116) and third in ERA. In June, the veteran right-hander was a ridiculous 5-0 with a 0.93 ERA, 55 strikeouts, three complete games and two shutouts in being named the no-brainer NL Pitcher of the Month. Not bad for a knuckleballer.
Dickey faced the Phillies back on April 13 and got the win, allowing just one run and striking out seven in seven innings. It’s likely that NL All-Star manager Tony La Russa will go with Dickey as the starter for next Tuesday’s game, although that won’t be decided until Monday. And it appears that soon after the ASG, the Mets are going to start pitching Dickey on three days’ rest instead of four because he can take it because he throws mainly knuckleballs.
Hamels (10-4, 3.08) also would be a candidate to start in the ASG and will be the most-sought after pitching free agent this offseason. With the Phils going nowhere, it’s likely that Hamels will get dealt before the July 31 trade deadline. Hamels wasn’t quite as good in June, going 2-3 with a 4.20 ERA. He has faced the Mets twice this season. On May 28 at Citi Field, Hamels got the win, allowing four runs in eight innings. On April 15 vs. the Mets he also got the win, allowing two runs in seven innings. Hamels struck out a season-high 10 in that one. For some reason, the Mets’ Scott Hairston owns Hamels, going hitting .420 with three homers and six RBIs in his past 20 at-bats vs. the lefty
Hot pitchers
-- Buehrle is 2-0, 1.29 in his last couple starts.
-- Fiers is 2-0, 0.44 in his last three outings.
-- Cain is 5-1, 2.74 in his last seven starts.
-- Detwiler is 0-0, 3.09 in his two starts since getting put back in rotation.
-- Dickey is 7-0, 1.01 in his last eight starts.
-- Hamels is 1-1, 2.05 in his last three starts.
-- Miley is 3-0, 1.17 in his last three home starts.
-- Former Padre Latos is 2-0, 1.00 in his last couple starts.
-- Former Red Volquez is 2-0, 1.42 in his last two outings.
-- Porcello is 2-1, 1.35 in his last three starts.
-- Diamond is 2-0, 2.81 in his last two starts.
-- Harrison is 8-0, 1.42 in his last eight starts.
-- Quintana is 3-1, 2.51 in seven starts this season.
-- Hochevar is 2-1, 1.95 in his last four starts.
Cold pitchers
-- Astros lost last five Norris starts (0-4, 9.55).
-- Karstens is 1-2, 5.63 in his five starts this season.
-- Minor is 1-2, 8.81 in his last three starts.
-- Garza is 2-2, 4.81 in his last four starts.
-- Friedrich is 0-4, 7.77 in his last five starts.
-- Lynn is 0-2, 9.98 in his last three starts.
-- Dodgers were outscored 25-5 in losing all seven Eovaldi starts (0-3, 8.82 in his last three outings).
-- Tomlin is 1-2, 8.24 in his last four starts.
-- Hellickson is 0-3, 5.57 in his last six starts.
-- Toronto is 0-7 at home with Alvarez if it scores less than seven runs.
-- Richards allowed 13 runs in 11 IP in his last two starts.
-- Arrieta is 0-1, 5.40 in his last three starts.
Hot Teams
-- Pirates won seven of their last eight games.
-- Mets won five of their last seven games.
-- Cubs won seven of their last nine games.
-- Milwaukee/Miami both won five of their last seven games.
-- Cardinals won eight of their last twelve games.
-- Dodgers won three of their last four games.
-- Padres won their last five games, scoring 33 runs.
-- Twins won five of their last six games.
-- White Sox won five of their last six home games.
-- Blue Jays won seven of their last ten home games.
-- Indians won four of last five games, scoring 38 runs in the wins, getting shut out in the loss.
Cold Teams
-- Nationals are 4-5 in their last nine home games.
-- San Francisco is 3-7 in its last ten road games.
-- Houston was outscored 58-23 in losing its last nine road games.
-- Phillies lost six of their last seven games.
-- Atlanta lost 11 of its last 15 home games.
-- Colorado lost 20 of its last 27 games.
-- Arizona lost seven of its last nine games.
-- Reds lost seven of their last ten games on foreign soil.
-- Tigers are 2-5 in game after their last seven wins.
-- Rangers lost their last three games, allowing 27 runs.
-- Royals are 6-10 in their last sixteen road games.
-- Tampa Bay lost seven of its last ten games.
-- Baltimore lost six of its last nine games.
-- Angels lost four of six.
Totals
-- Nine of last ten games at Miller Park went over.
-- 15 of last 19 Houston road games went over the total.
-- Under is 5-2-1 in last eight San Francisco games.
-- Eight of last eleven Atlanta games went over the total.
-- Over is 7-2-1 in Philly's last ten games.
-- Under is 11-4-1 in last sixteen games at Busch Stadium.
-- Six of last nine Dodger games stayed under the total.
-- Under is 12-2-1 in last fifteen Cincinnati games.
-- Seven of last eight Tampa Bay games stayed under total.
-- Ten of last fourteen Kansas City road games stayed under.
-- 11 of last 15 Detroit games stayed under the total.
-- Under is 10-4 in last fourteen White Sox games.
-- Over is 11-3-1 in last fifteen Angel games.
Armadillosports.com
MIAMI (39 - 42) at MILWAUKEE (38 - 43) - 2:10 PM
MARK BUEHRLE (L) vs. MICHAEL FIERS (R)
Top Trends for this game.
MIAMI is 39-42 (-9.9 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
MIAMI is 110-127 (-20.3 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI is 74-96 (-24.1 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 84-46 (+24.8 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 37-16 (+16.7 Units) against the money line in home games after a loss over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 49-15 (+27.1 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 41-11 (+26.3 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI is 35-22 (+15.5 Units) against the money line in July games over the last 3 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 38-43 (-12.6 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
MILWAUKEE is 47-64 (-23.1 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 3 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 22-33 (-15.8 Units) against the money line at home with a money line of -100 to -125 over the last 3 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 7-16 (-11.6 Units) against the money line when playing on Thursday over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 13-20 (-11.7 Units) against the money line in day games this season.
MILWAUKEE is 38-43 (-12.6 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
Head-to-Head Series History
MILWAUKEE is 2-1 (+1.0 Units) against MIAMI this season
3 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+3.0 Units)
MARK BUEHRLE vs. MILWAUKEE since 1997
BUEHRLE is 0-0 when starting against MILWAUKEE with an ERA of 6.00 and a WHIP of 1.333.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.2 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)
MICHAEL FIERS vs. MIAMI since 1997
No recent starts.
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HOUSTON (32 - 50) at PITTSBURGH (45 - 36) - 7:05 PM
BUD NORRIS (R) vs. JEFF KARSTENS (R)
Top Trends for this game.
HOUSTON is 7-23 (-12.8 Units) against the money line in road games after a loss this season.
HOUSTON is 89-157 (-43.9 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 38-66 (-21.9 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 9-31 (-17.5 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
HOUSTON is 8-27 (-14.8 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 6-24 (-16.2 Units) against the money line in July games over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 9-31 (-17.5 Units) against the money line in road games in games played on a grass field this season.
HOUSTON is 56-118 (-46.5 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 20-10 (+10.6 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
PITTSBURGH is 45-36 (+17.2 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
PITTSBURGH is 26-13 (+13.5 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
PITTSBURGH is 19-11 (+11.1 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season.
PITTSBURGH is 45-36 (+17.2 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
PITTSBURGH is 28-25 (+7.6 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
PITTSBURGH is 31-28 (+9.5 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
NORRIS is 7-1 (+9.3 Units) against the money line when playing on Thursday over the last 2 seasons.
NORRIS is 10-5 (+14.2 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.
NORRIS is 5-0 (+9.1 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 29-56 (-26.4 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
PITTSBURGH is 5-1 (+3.6 Units) against HOUSTON this season
3 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=-0.3 Units, Under=-0.5 Units)
BUD NORRIS vs. PITTSBURGH since 1997
NORRIS is 4-4 when starting against PITTSBURGH with an ERA of 3.60 and a WHIP of 1.345.
His team's record is 5-4 (+1.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 4-5. (-1.8 units)
JEFF KARSTENS vs. HOUSTON since 1997
KARSTENS is 4-2 when starting against HOUSTON with an ERA of 3.40 and a WHIP of 1.133.
His team's record is 4-3 (+1.5 units) in these starts. The OVER is 3-3. (-0.3 units)
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SAN FRANCISCO (45 - 37) at WASHINGTON (47 - 32) - 7:05 PM
MATT CAIN (R) vs. ROSS DETWILER (L)
Top Trends for this game.
WASHINGTON is 29-17 (+10.4 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
WASHINGTON is 62-51 (+22.4 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 47-32 (+11.8 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
WASHINGTON is 124-114 (+17.7 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 31-19 (+10.8 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
WASHINGTON is 94-87 (+15.5 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 872-725 (+107.4 Units) against the money line in night games since 1997.
SAN FRANCISCO is 16-8 (+9.5 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 23-14 (+10.1 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON is 2-0 (+2.0 Units) against SAN FRANCISCO this season
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+2.0 Units)
MATT CAIN vs. WASHINGTON since 1997
CAIN is 5-4 when starting against WASHINGTON with an ERA of 3.09 and a WHIP of 1.137.
His team's record is 7-4 (+2.2 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 7-4. (+2.5 units)
ROSS DETWILER vs. SAN FRANCISCO since 1997
DETWILER is 0-1 when starting against SAN FRANCISCO with an ERA of 6.35 and a WHIP of 1.940.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)
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CHICAGO CUBS (31 - 50) at ATLANTA (42 - 39) - 7:10 PM
MATT GARZA (R) vs. MIKE MINOR (L)
Top Trends for this game.
CHICAGO CUBS are 31-50 (-12.6 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
CHICAGO CUBS are 12-26 (-12.9 Units) against the money line as a road underdog of +100 to +125 over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO CUBS are 12-30 (-12.2 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
CHICAGO CUBS are 31-50 (-12.6 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
CHICAGO CUBS are 6-17 (-11.2 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters this season.
CHICAGO CUBS are 39-63 (-18.9 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons.
GARZA is 20-28 (-15.8 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 77-79 (-26.3 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 3 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
CHICAGO CUBS is 4-2 (+3.5 Units) against ATLANTA this season
5 of 6 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+3.9 Units)
MATT GARZA vs. ATLANTA since 1997
GARZA is 0-1 when starting against ATLANTA with an ERA of 4.50 and a WHIP of 1.700.
His team's record is 1-1 (+0.5 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-0. (+2.1 units)
MIKE MINOR vs. CHICAGO CUBS since 1997
MINOR is 3-0 when starting against CHICAGO CUBS with an ERA of 4.86 and a WHIP of 1.440.
His team's record is 3-0 (+3.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-1. (+1.0 units)
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PHILADELPHIA (37 - 46) at NY METS (44 - 38) - 7:10 PM
COLE HAMELS (L) vs. R.A. DICKEY (R)
Top Trends for this game.
PHILADELPHIA is 17-26 (-15.8 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 37-46 (-20.6 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 14-22 (-16.5 Units) against the money line when the total is 7 or less this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 11-18 (-12.4 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 37-43 (-17.6 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
NY METS are 44-38 (+11.0 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
NY METS are 18-12 (+8.8 Units) against the money line when the total is 7 or less this season.
NY METS are 17-12 (+9.6 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season.
NY METS are 40-36 (+7.5 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
DICKEY is 13-3 (+11.9 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
DICKEY is 9-1 (+9.8 Units) against the money line when the total is 7 or less this season.
DICKEY is 12-3 (+10.5 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 14-3 (+11.5 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 11-1 (+10.5 Units) against the money line in road games when playing on Thursday over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 85-55 (+21.2 Units) against the money line in road games in night games over the last 3 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
NY METS is 7-4 (+6.2 Units) against PHILADELPHIA this season
10 of 11 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+8.9 Units)
COLE HAMELS vs. NY METS since 1997
HAMELS is 5-10 when starting against NY METS with an ERA of 4.34 and a WHIP of 1.474.
His team's record is 7-12 (-10.2 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 7-10. (-4.4 units)
R.A. DICKEY vs. PHILADELPHIA since 1997
DICKEY is 3-3 when starting against PHILADELPHIA with an ERA of 2.40 and a WHIP of 1.178.
His team's record is 4-3 (+2.5 units) in these starts. The OVER is 3-4. (-1.3 units)
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COLORADO (31 - 50) at ST LOUIS (43 - 39) - 8:15 PM
CHRISTIAN FRIEDRICH (L) vs. LANCE LYNN (R)
Top Trends for this game.
COLORADO is 31-50 (-17.7 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
COLORADO is 31-44 (-18.3 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons.
COLORADO is 79-123 (-41.5 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 3 seasons.
COLORADO is 13-31 (-18.0 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 3 seasons.
COLORADO is 62-138 (-63.0 Units) against the money line in road games in July games since 1997.
COLORADO is 31-50 (-17.7 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
COLORADO is 125-149 (-42.2 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 3 seasons.
COLORADO is 71-102 (-39.7 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
COLORADO is 61-80 (-21.0 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons.
COLORADO is 41-66 (-23.7 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
COLORADO is 10-27 (-16.7 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 104-75 (+14.2 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 126-110 (-32.3 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 42-51 (-37.5 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 11-17 (-20.6 Units) against the money line as a home favorite of -175 to -200 over the last 3 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
ST LOUIS is 2-1 (+0.3 Units) against COLORADO this season
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+0.9 Units)
CHRISTIAN FRIEDRICH vs. ST LOUIS since 1997
No recent starts.
LANCE LYNN vs. COLORADO since 1997
No recent starts.
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LA DODGERS (46 - 37) at ARIZONA (39 - 42) - 9:40 PM
NATHAN EOVALDI (R) vs. WADE MILEY (L)
Top Trends for this game.
EOVALDI is 0-7 (-7.4 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
EOVALDI is 0-7 (-7.4 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
ARIZONA is 136-114 (+19.2 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 59-45 (+11.6 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 136-114 (+19.2 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 97-74 (+24.8 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
LA DODGERS are 27-9 (+16.7 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 7-13 (-9.6 Units) against the money line in home games after a loss this season.
ARIZONA is 9-20 (-11.3 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
ARIZONA is 24-33 (-12.8 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
Head-to-Head Series History
LA DODGERS is 3-2 (+1.2 Units) against ARIZONA this season
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+0.8 Units)
NATHAN EOVALDI vs. ARIZONA since 1997
EOVALDI is 1-0 when starting against ARIZONA with an ERA of 3.60 and a WHIP of 1.200.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.3 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-1. (-1.1 units)
WADE MILEY vs. LA DODGERS since 1997
MILEY is 1-0 when starting against LA DODGERS with an ERA of 1.35 and a WHIP of 1.349.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.1 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-1. (-1.3 units)
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CINCINNATI (44 - 37) at SAN DIEGO (33 - 50) - 10:05 PM
MAT LATOS (R) vs. EDINSON VOLQUEZ (R)
Top Trends for this game.
LATOS is 17-27 (-13.5 Units) against the money line when the total is 7 or less over the last 2 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 38-23 (+19.0 Units) against the money line in road games after a loss over the last 2 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 313-286 (+49.7 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1997.
CINCINNATI is 174-150 (+34.5 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season since 1997.
CINCINNATI is 587-672 (+48.0 Units) against the money line in road games since 1997.
CINCINNATI is 524-616 (+32.0 Units) against the money line in road games in games played on a grass field since 1997.
CINCINNATI is 386-433 (+36.9 Units) against the money line in road games in night games since 1997.
CINCINNATI is 431-488 (+43.6 Units) against the money line in road games against right-handed starters since 1997.
SAN DIEGO is 15-33 (-20.6 Units) against the money line in home games after a win over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 8-21 (-12.0 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
SAN DIEGO is 104-142 (-23.5 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 66-97 (-27.0 Units) against the money line when the total is 7 or less over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 51-70 (-21.2 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 50-68 (-20.1 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 7 or less over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 104-142 (-23.5 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 61-99 (-33.1 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
MAT LATOS vs. SAN DIEGO since 1997
No recent starts.
EDINSON VOLQUEZ vs. CINCINNATI since 1997
No recent starts.
MINNESOTA (35 - 46) at DETROIT (40 - 42) - 1:05 PM
SCOTT DIAMOND (L) vs. RICK PORCELLO (R)
Top Trends for this game.
MINNESOTA is 98-146 (-27.1 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 66-110 (-29.3 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
PORCELLO is 18-5 (+11.2 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 11-7 (+9.3 Units) against the money line in road games after a loss this season.
DETROIT is 40-42 (-16.3 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
DETROIT is 18-20 (-12.9 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
DETROIT is 37-41 (-18.2 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
DETROIT is 14-25 (-18.9 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
DETROIT is 8-11 (-11.3 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
Head-to-Head Series History
MINNESOTA is 4-4 (+2.5 Units) against DETROIT this season
5 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.8 Units)
SCOTT DIAMOND vs. DETROIT since 1997
DIAMOND is 0-2 when starting against DETROIT with an ERA of 4.38 and a WHIP of 1.865.
His team's record is 0-2 (-2.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-2. (-2.2 units)
RICK PORCELLO vs. MINNESOTA since 1997
PORCELLO is 6-4 when starting against MINNESOTA with an ERA of 3.06 and a WHIP of 1.360.
His team's record is 7-7 (-1.3 units) in these starts. The OVER is 4-10. (-6.8 units)
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TEXAS (50 - 32) at CHI WHITE SOX (44 - 37) - 2:10 PM
MATT HARRISON (L) vs. JOSE QUINTANA (L)
Top Trends for this game.
CHI WHITE SOX are 579-588 (+42.7 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.
TEXAS is 66-35 (+23.4 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons.
HARRISON is 34-16 (+15.0 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
HARRISON is 19-7 (+12.2 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons.
HARRISON is 33-15 (+15.0 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
HARRISON is 12-3 (+9.6 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
CHI WHITE SOX are 57-66 (-26.1 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
CHI WHITE SOX are 57-66 (-26.1 Units) against the money line in home games in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
CHI WHITE SOX are 28-34 (-17.1 Units) against the money line in home games after a win over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
CHI WHITE SOX is 3-2 (+1.6 Units) against TEXAS this season
4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+2.9 Units)
MATT HARRISON vs. CHI WHITE SOX since 1997
HARRISON is 3-0 when starting against CHI WHITE SOX with an ERA of 2.91 and a WHIP of 1.176.
His team's record is 5-1 (+4.3 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-4. (-2.3 units)
JOSE QUINTANA vs. TEXAS since 1997
No recent starts.
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TAMPA BAY (43 - 39) at CLEVELAND (42 - 39) - 7:05 PM
JEREMY HELLICKSON (R) vs. JOSH TOMLIN (R)
Top Trends for this game.
CLEVELAND is 125-121 (+8.4 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 122-118 (+7.2 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 27-20 (+8.6 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
CLEVELAND is 34-23 (+12.0 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
TOMLIN is 17-10 (+10.7 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 113-92 (+18.3 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 3 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
JEREMY HELLICKSON vs. CLEVELAND since 1997
HELLICKSON is 1-0 when starting against CLEVELAND with an ERA of 0.00 and a WHIP of 0.714.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-1. (-1.2 units)
JOSH TOMLIN vs. TAMPA BAY since 1997
TOMLIN is 0-1 when starting against TAMPA BAY with an ERA of 5.25 and a WHIP of 1.417.
His team's record is 1-1 (+0.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-1. (-0.2 units)
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KANSAS CITY (36 - 44) at TORONTO (42 - 40) - 7:05 PM
LUKE HOCHEVAR (R) vs. HENDERSON ALVAREZ (R)
Top Trends for this game.
TORONTO is 163-143 (+19.7 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 3 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 13-9 (+10.8 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
TORONTO is 150-172 (-54.3 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 10 to 10.5 since 1997.
Head-to-Head Series History
TORONTO is 6-1 (+4.4 Units) against KANSAS CITY this season
4 of 6 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.8 Units)
LUKE HOCHEVAR vs. TORONTO since 1997
HOCHEVAR is 3-1 when starting against TORONTO with an ERA of 3.19 and a WHIP of 1.145.
His team's record is 3-3 (+0.8 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-6. (-6.3 units)
HENDERSON ALVAREZ vs. KANSAS CITY since 1997
No recent starts.
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BALTIMORE (44 - 37) at LA ANGELS (45 - 37) - 10:05 PM
JAKE ARRIETA (R) vs. GARRETT RICHARDS (R)
Top Trends for this game.
LA ANGELS are 636-545 (+69.5 Units) against the money line after a loss since 1997.
LA ANGELS are 626-615 (+44.7 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.
BALTIMORE is 25-18 (+10.4 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
BALTIMORE is 28-19 (+14.9 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
BALTIMORE is 54-64 (+21.3 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 44-37 (+13.6 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
BALTIMORE is 20-10 (+13.7 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 this season.
BALTIMORE is 22-17 (+11.9 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
BALTIMORE is 10-4 (+9.0 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 8 to 8.5 this season.
BALTIMORE is 41-31 (+15.1 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
BALTIMORE is 32-29 (+7.2 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
LA ANGELS are 124-115 (-61.2 Units) against the money line as a home favorite of -150 to -175 since 1997.
Head-to-Head Series History
LA ANGELS is 4-1 (+2.3 Units) against BALTIMORE this season
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.0 Units)
JAKE ARRIETA vs. LA ANGELS since 1997
ARRIETA is 0-1 when starting against LA ANGELS with an ERA of 5.25 and a WHIP of 1.250.
His team's record is 1-1 (+0.7 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-0. (+1.1 units)
GARRETT RICHARDS vs. BALTIMORE since 1997
No recent starts.
MINNESOTA vs. DETROIT
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Minnesota's last 6 games when playing Detroit
Minnesota is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Detroit's last 15 games
Detroit is 17-8 SU in its last 25 games when playing Minnesota
MIAMI vs. MILWAUKEE
Miami is 8-17 SU in its last 25 games
Miami is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games
Milwaukee is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games when playing Miami
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Milwaukee's last 7 games
TEXAS vs. CHI WHITE SOX
Texas is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Texas is 16-6 SU in its last 22 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Chi White Sox's last 7 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Chi White Sox's last 5 games when playing Texas
HOUSTON vs. PITTSBURGH
Houston is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Pittsburgh
Houston is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Pittsburgh's last 6 games
Pittsburgh is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home
TAMPA BAY vs. CLEVELAND
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Tampa Bay's last 6 games when playing Cleveland
Tampa Bay is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Cleveland
Cleveland is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Tampa Bay
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Cleveland's last 6 games when playing Tampa Bay
SAN FRANCISCO vs. WASHINGTON
The total has gone OVER in 4 of San Francisco's last 5 games on the road
San Francisco is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Washington
Washington is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing San Francisco
Washington is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
KANSAS CITY vs. TORONTO
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Kansas City's last 11 games when playing on the road against Toronto
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Kansas City's last 8 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Toronto's last 7 games at home
Toronto is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Kansas City
PHILADELPHIA vs. NY METS
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 5 games when playing NY Mets
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 5 games when playing on the road against NY Mets
The total has gone OVER in 5 of NY Mets's last 5 games when playing at home against Philadelphia
NY Mets are 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Philadelphia
CHI CUBS vs. ATLANTA
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Chi Cubs's last 6 games when playing on the road against Atlanta
Chi Cubs are 4-1 SU in their last 5 games when playing on the road against Atlanta
Atlanta is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Atlanta's last 6 games when playing Chi Cubs
COLORADO vs. ST. LOUIS
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Colorado's last 11 games when playing on the road against St. Louis
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Colorado's last 9 games
St. Louis is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games when playing at home against Colorado
St. Louis is 10-3 SU in its last 13 games when playing Colorado
LA DODGERS vs. ARIZONA
LA Dodgers are 4-2 SU in their last 6 games when playing Arizona
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of LA Dodgers's last 9 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Arizona's last 5 games when playing at home against LA Dodgers
Arizona is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
CINCINNATI vs. SAN DIEGO
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Cincinnati's last 9 games on the road
Cincinnati is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing San Diego
The total has gone OVER in 5 of San Diego's last 7 games
San Diego is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing Cincinnati
BALTIMORE vs. LA ANGELS
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Baltimore's last 11 games on the road
Baltimore is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 8 of LA Angels's last 9 games
LA Angels are 2-4 SU in their last 6 games
National League
Miami at Milwaukee
Buehrle: Miami is 38-66 SU as an underdog of +100 to +150
Fiers: Milwaukee 37-16 SU in home games after a loss
Houston at Pittsburgh
Norris: Houston 7-23 SU in road games after a loss
Karstens: Pittsburgh 15-4 SU when the money line is -100 to -150
San Francisco at Washington
Cain: San Francisco 16-8 SU against left-handed starters
Detwiler: Washington 13-37 SU after a game they hit 4 or more home runs
Chicago Cubs at Atlanta
Garza: Chicago Cubs 44-43 SU in road games
Minor: Atlanta 4-11 SU with a hot bullpen whose ERA is under 3.00
Philadelphia at NY Mets
Hamels: Philadelphia 14-22 SU when the total is 7 or less
Dickey: Dickey 9-1 TSR when the total is 7 or less
Colorado at St. Louis
Friedrich: Colorado 1-8 SU with a struggling bullpen whose ERA is over 6.00
Lynn: ST Louis 74-46 SU when the total is 8.5 to 10
LA Dodgers at Arizona
Eovaldi: 0-7 TSR in all games
Miley: Arizona 44-30 SU after 3 games vs a division rival
Cincinnati at San Diego
Latos: Cincinnati 20-7 SU after batting .250 or worse
Volquez: San Diego 15-33 SU in home games after a win
American League
Minnesota at Detroit
Diamond: Minnesota 13-7 SU as a road underdog of +125 to +175
Porcello: Detroit 7-16 SU after 3 or more consecutive home games
Texas at Chicago White Sox
Harrison: 19-7 TSR in road games
Quintana: CHI White Sox 33-41 SU at home when the total is 8.5 to 10
Tampa Bay at Cleveland
Hellickson: Tampa Bay 4-12 SU against AL Central opponents
Tomlin: Cleveland 13-3 SU after a win by 6 runs or more
Kansas City at Toronto
Hochevar: 8-1 TSR after giving up 2 or more home runs last outing
Alvarez: Toronto 1-8 SU after allowing 3 runs or less 2 straight games
Baltimore at LA Angels
Arrieta: Baltimore 17-10 SU after 2 straight wins by 2 runs or less
Richards: LA Angels 28-30 SU when the total is 7 to 8.5
Diamond Trends - Thursday
By Vince Akins
VegasInsider.com
SU TREND OF THE DAY:
The Mets are 0-9 since June 17, 2011 as a home favorite after a loss in which they had a higher team-left-on-base than their opponent for a net profit of $1061 when playing against.
OU TREND OF THE DAY:
The Angels are 0-14-2 OU since April 12, 2011 when playing a night game as a favorite after a loss in which they had a higher team-left-on-base than their opponent for a net profit of $1400 when playing the under.
STARTER TREND OF THE DAY:
The Cubs are 11-0 OU since May 17, 2011 when Matt Garza starts when he is off a start in which he needed more than 4 pitches per batter for a net profit of $1100 when playing the over.
MLB BIBLE TREND OF THE DAY:
The Rays are 12-0 (2.8 rpg) since May 20, 2008 if not a -140 or greater favorite after a game where they struck out at least 14 times.
TODAY’S TRENDS:
The Pirates are 0-10 OU since June 01, 2010 when Jeff Karstens starts after going at least 6 innings and giving up 6 or fewer hits and they won in his previous start for a net profit of $1000 when playing the under.
The Rangers are 10-0 since July 17, 2011 when Matt Harrison starts as a road favorite for a net profit of $1000.
The Indians are 7-0 since April 05, 2011 when Josh Tomlin starts at home after his team lost the last time he started vs this opponent for a net profit of $758.
Total Talk - Thursday
By Chris David
VegasInsider.com
Thursday’s pro baseball card features 10 games under the lights, seven in the National League and three in the American League. Rather than break down the sides, let’s look clearly at the totals for each contests. Let’s break ‘em down!
Astros at Pirates
The first series between these teams in May all went ‘under’ the number and now the first three games in this four-game set have all gone ‘over.’ Pittsburgh has produced an ‘over’ mark of 22-17 on the road but at home, the ‘under’ owns an eye-opening 25-12 (68%) record despite the three straight ‘over’ tickets in this series. Houston’s Bud Norris has watched the ‘over’ go 6-2 on the road, including three of the last four. However, when Norris faced the Pirates in Western Pennsylvania on May 11, his squad captured a 1-0 victory and the ‘under’ (7) was never in doubt.Tough to get a total read on Jeff Karstens at home, since he only has five starts on the season and one at home, which came on Apr. 7 against Philadelphia. Since he returned to the rotation in late June, his last two games saw 11 and 10 combined runs, both easy ‘over’ tickets. The total opened at 8½ and spiked to 9 at CRIS. Make a note that the Pirates haven’t seen a total over 9 at home all season, which tells you something. Also, the Astros traded Carlos Lee to the Marlins so that extra pop won’t be in the lineup tonight.
Giants at Nationals
The Giants haven’t seen a lot of high-scoring games in the Bay Area this season, which has helped the ‘under’ go 27-12 at home. However, the ‘over’ has gone 26-14 in San Francisco’s road games, which includes the first two games of this series against Washington. Even though the Giants’ Matt Cain has an ERA of 2.53, his total numbers are all even at 8-8. Like the rest of his staff, he’s received more support on the road (4.62 RPG). The Nationals’ Ross Detwiler has seen the ‘over’ cash in last five starts at home, rather easily too. The total is hovering around 7½ runs, which makes you wonder a little bit considering Cain hasn’t seen an ‘over/under’ this high in his last six starts.
Rays at Indians
Tampa Bay just completed a series with New York that saw the ‘under’ go 2-1, while Cleveland saw the ‘over’ go 2-1 in three battles against the Angels. The Tribe put up 21 runs the last two games after getting shutout in the opener to Los Angeles. The Rays’ Jeremy Hellickson has seen the ‘under’ go 9-3-2 in his 14 starts and that includes three straight ‘under’ tickets on the road. Cleveland’s Josh Tomlin has only received an average of 3.7 runs of support at home, which has helped produce a 4-2 ‘under’ mark. Most shops are offering a total of 9½ shaded to the ‘under’ (-115).
Royals at Blue Jays
This game has a real surprising total of 10, which seems a run too high. After watching the ‘over’ cash in five of his first six starts, the Royals’ Luke Hochevar has watched the ‘under’ go 9-1 in his last 10. The offense has helped the cause here, only providing 3.8 runs per game. We understand Toronto’s Henderson Alvarez isn’t an ace but the Blue Jays score for this guy. In his last three starts, all ‘over’ winners, the offense put up 26 runs. High number for a reason!
Cubs at Braves
The ‘under’ has cashed in five of the first six meetings this season, which includes two ‘under’ winners in this series. The pitchers for this battle have both been seen their share of shootouts this season. Chicago’s Matt Garza has seen the ‘over’ go 9-6, giving up a 5.56 ERA to boot. Also, Atlanta’s Mike Minor has watched the ‘over’ go 11-4, 5-1 to the ‘over’ at home, plus his ERA is 6.17 in Georgia. Thought we would see a total of 9 runs but the opener was 8½.
Phillies at Mets
When in doubt, bet the Philadelphia ‘over.’ The Phillies have watched the ‘over’ go 52-29 on the season and 28-14 on the road, both ranked first in the majors. Two good pitchers on the mound tonight with Cole Hamels (10-6) and R.A. Dickey (7-9), however both have had their share of ‘over’ winners. The ‘over/under’ has listed at 7 runs.
Rockies at Cardinals
Last season, the ‘under’ went 4-2 in the six meetings between the pair. That trend has continued this year with the ‘under’ going 2-1 in the first three encounters. That could change tonight as bettors are looking at a total of 9½ runs. The Rockies’ Christian Friedrich has watched the ‘over’ go 7-4 on the season but all four of the ‘under’ tickets have come on the road. He’s pitched well, 2.75 ERA compared to a 9.62 ERA at home. The Cardinals’ Lance Lynn has watched the ‘over’ go 11-5 on the season, which includes an 8-2 run in the last 10. Lynn has been aided with an average of 6.19 runs per game of support from St. Louis.
Dodgers at Diamondbacks
Possible ‘under’ look here with the Dodgers’ Nathan Eovaldi on the mound. He’s watched the ‘under’ go 6-1 in his seven starts, and Los Angeles is 0-7 over that span as well. The two teams have played three times in the desert this season and the ‘over’ has gone 2-1, with 15 combined runs posted in two of the games. Tonight’s total is 8½ runs at most shops, with a couple already moving up to 9.
Cincinnati at San Diego
This matchup has the lowest total (6½) on the board and deservingly so. San Diego’s offense hasn’t been sharp all season and the Reds have seen the ‘under’ go 25-15 on the road. During its current road trip, Cincinnati has watched the ‘under’ go 5-1-1 in the first seven games. The Reds’ Mat Latos has seen the ‘over’ go 9-7 but he’s been sharp in his last two outings (18 innings, 2 earned runs). San Diego’s Edinson Volquez, a former Red, has watched the ‘under’ go 10-7 in his 17 starts.
Orioles at Angels
The Orioles (42-37) and Angels (46-34) have both leaned towards the ‘under’ this season. Baltimore and Los Angeles have squared off five times this season and the ‘over’ has gone 3-2 in those games. The Angels have put up six or more runs in four of the five battles. Baltimore’s Jake Arrieta has seen the ‘over’ go 10-7 while the Angels’ Garrett Richards has watched the ‘under’ go 3-1 in his four starts. The total seems a little low (8.5) when you consider Arrieta’s ERA (5.81).
What Bettors Need to Know: Orioles at Angels
By Covers.com
Baltimore Orioles (44-37) at Los Angeles Angels (45-37)
With growing concerns about the starting rotation, the Los Angeles Angels are counting on rookie right-hander Garrett Richards to right the ship when they open a four-game home series against the Baltimore Orioles. Right-handers Dan Haren and Ervin Santana had rough outings as the Angels dropped the final two games of their series at Cleveland, leaving Los Angeles in need of a strong start from Richards to help the overworked bullpen recover.
Starting pitching has not been a problem this week for Baltimore, which had Wei-Yin Chen take a perfect game into the seventh on Tuesday and Chris Tillman give up just two hits in 8 1/3 innings Wednesday. At 44-37, the overachieving Orioles have their best record at the halfway point of the season since they had the same mark through 81 games in 2005.
PITCHING MATCHUP: Orioles RH Jake Arrieta (3-9, 5.81 ERA) vs. Angels RH Garrett Richards (2-1, 2.81)
Arrieta's inconsistent season continued Friday against Cleveland, as he allowed five runs on eight hits over 3 2/3 innings. He has lost seven of his last eight decisions and has just one win since May 2. Arrieta is 0-1 with a 5.25 ERA in two starts against the Angels. The loss came April 21 in Anaheim, as he allowed five runs in 4 1/3 innings.
Richards posted quality starts in each of his first four major-league starts this season, but the shine came off a bit Saturday at Toronto. He was touched up for 10 runs (five earned) on nine hits in 4 1/3 innings and suffered his first loss. Richards made one relief appearance against the Orioles last season and allowed one run on two hits in one inning.
BETTING NOTES AND TRENDS:
Eight of the last nine Angels games have gone over the total
The Orioles are 3-7 in their last 10 vs. a team with a winning record
The Orioles are 0-6 in Arrieta's last 6 starts as a road underdog of +110 to +150
The Angels have won their last four series openers
The Angels are 20-7 in their last 27 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30
The Angels are 27-12 in their last 39 overall
The over is 8-1 in Orioles last 9 vs. American League West
Under is 24-7-2 in Angels last 33 games following a loss
Orioles are 1-5 in the last 6 meetings in Los Angeles
WALK-OFFS
1. Orioles OF Adam Jones hit his team-leading 20th home run Wednesday - 12 of them have either tied games or given Baltimore the lead. The Orioles are 16-3 when Jones hits a home run.
2. Angels 2B Howard Kendrick, who got the day off Wednesday, is riding a nine-game hitting streak during which he is batting .368 (14-for-38). Teammate Kendrys Morales is 13-for-33 (.394) during his eight-game hitting streak.
3. Orioles 1B Mark Reynolds went 2-for-4 on Wednesday to snap an 0-for-20 skid and record his first multi-hit game since June 14.