National League
Phillies @ Nationals
Nola is 1-2, 5.68 in his last three starts (under 3-1 in '16 starts).
Roark is 2-0, 0.00 (14 IP) in his last two home starts (last three starts went under).
Philly won five of its last six games; over is 7-3-1 in their last 11. Washington won eight of its last ten home games; under is 6-2-2 in its last ten games overall.
Brewers @ Cubs
Jungmann is 0-3, 11.25 in his last three starts; under is 3-1 in his '16 starts.
Arrieta is 4-0, 0.87 in four starts this month (over 4-0).
Milwaukee lost seven of its last ten games; over is 5-2-1 in its last eight. Cubs won six of last eight games; over is 4-1-1 in Chicago's last six games overall.
Pirates @ Rockies
Nicasio is 2-2, 4.50 in four starts this month (over 2-2).
Chatwood is 2-2, 3.86 in four starts this month (under 4-0).
Pirates are 8-3 in their last 11 games; nine of their last 11 road games went over. Colorado lost seven of its last eight games; six of its last eight home tilts went over. .
Cardinals @ Diamondbacks
Wacha is 2-0, 2.25 in his last three starts (over 3-1 in his '16 starts).
de la Rosa is 1-2, 7.07 in three starts this month (under 2-1) .
Cardinals won seven of their last nine road games (over 8-1). Arizona is just 4-9 at home- six of their last seven games went over the total
Marlins @ Dodgers
Fernandez is 1-1, 3.18 in his last three starts (over 2-2 in '16 starts).
Maeda is 3-0, 0.36 in his first four MLB starts (under 3-0-1).
Dodgers lost four of last five home games; under is 6-2-1 in their home games. Miami won its last four games- four of their last six games went over
American League
White Sox @ Orioles
Danks is 0-3, 7.27 in three starts this month (under 2-1).
Wilson allowed three runs in five IP (70 PT) in winning his first '16 start.
Orioles lost four of last six games but are 7-1 at home- eight of their last nine games stayed under the total. Chicago won eight of its last nine games; under is 8-3 in its last 11 road games.
A's @ Tigers
Bassitt is 0-1, 4.81 in four starts this month (over 2-2).
Sanchez is 0-2, 14.73 in his last two starts (over 3-0-1 in '16 starts).
Oakland lost four of its last five games (over 4-1). Detroit lost six of its last nine home games (over 7-2).
Interleague
Braves @ Red Sox
Chacin is 0-1, 4.76 in three starts this month (over 2-1).
Buchholz is 0-2, 6.33 in four starts this month (over 3-1).
Red Sox won their last six games; five of their last eight games stayed under the total. Atlanta lost its last eight games; over is 6-2 in its road games.
Teams won-lost records when this pitcher starts:
Phil-Wsh-- Nola 1-3; Roark 2-2
Mil-Chi-- Jungmann 1-3; Arrieta 4-0
Pitt-Colo-- Nicasio 2-2; Chatwood 2-2
StL-Az-- Wacha 3-1; de la Rosa 1-2
Mia-LA-- Fernandez 2-2; Maeda 3-1
Chi-Balt-- Danks 0-3; Wilson 1-0
A's-Det-- Bassitt 2-2; Sanchez 2-2
Atl-Bos-- Chacin 1-2; Buchholz 0-4
Starting pitchers allowing 1+ runs in first inning:
Phil-Wsh-- Nola 3-4; Roark 1-4
Mil-Chi-- Jungmann 1-3; Arrieta 4-0
Pitt-Colo-- Nicasio 1-4; Chatwood 1-4
StL-Az-- Wacha 2-4; de la Rosa 1-3
Mia-LA-- Fernandez 2-4; Maeda 0-4
Chi-Balt-- Danks 1-3; Wilson 0-1
A's-Det-- Bassitt 1-4; Sanchez 2-4
Atl-Bos-- Chacin 1-3; Buchholz 1-4
Umpires
Phil-Wsh-- Three of last four TBarrett games stayed under.
Mil-Chi-- Home teams won five of last six Marquez games
Pitt-Colo-- Last three Davidson games stayed under the total.
StL-Az-- Six of last seven Randazzo games stayed under.
Mia-LA-- Favorites won seven of last nine Miller games
A's-Det-- Seven of last ten Muchlinski games stayed under
Atl-Bos-- Visiting team won six of last seven Fletcher games
Armadillosports.com
Thursday's Diamond Notes
By Kevin Rogers
VegasInsider.com
Hottest team: White Sox (6-0 last six)
The biggest surprise in the American League this season resides on the South Side of Chicago. The White Sox finished off an impressive three-game road sweep of the Blue Jays, capped off by a 4-0 shutout on Wednesday. After allowing five runs in the series opening victory, Chicago’s pitching staff clamped down on the loaded (but struggling) Toronto offense to give up a combined one run in the past two wins. Since getting shut out at home by the Angels on April 18, the Sox have won eight of their last nine games as they travel to Baltimore to begin a four-game set.
Coldest team: Rockies (0-5 last five)
This category can be reserved for the Braves this season after they lost to the Red Sox on Thursday to fall to 4-17. However, we’ll focus on the Rockies, who try to avoid a four-game home sweep to the red-hot Pirates this afternoon. Colorado won the first game of its homestand against Los Angeles on April 22, but the Rockies have proceeded to lost five consecutive contests, while allowing 36 runs in the past four defeats. The Rockies own a 4-8 record at Coors Field, as Colorado has dropped eight consecutive home matchups with Pittsburgh.
Hottest pitcher: Kenta Maeda, Dodgers (3-0, 0.36 ERA)
The Cubs were rained out last night as Jake Arrieta’s start was moved to this afternoon against the Brewers. Arrieta owns a 4-0 record with a miniscule ERA of 0.87 after registering a no-hitter in his past outing at Cincinnati. But there is one starting pitcher in the National League that owns an ERA lower than Arrieta’s and he pitches for the Dodgers. It’s not Clayton Kershaw, instead it’s Japanese standout Kenta Maeda. The right-hander has allowed one earned run in four starts, while the Dodgers are 3-1 in his four outings. Maeda is making his first start against a team outside the NL West, as each of his last three outings have finished ‘under’ the total.
Coldest pitcher: Clay Buchholz, Red Sox (0-2, 6.33 ERA)
Boston goes its fourth straight win over Atlanta as Buchholz tries to turn around his recent bad luck. The Red Sox right-hander is winless in four starts this season, while giving up five earned runs in three separate outings. The Astros knocked around Buchholz in his last outing on Saturday, but the righty allowed a grand slam to blow the doors open in an 8-3 loss. Buchholz had success against the Braves last season in his lone start at Turner Field by scattering six hits and allowing two unearned runs in seven innings of a 5-2 victory last June.
Biggest UNDER run: Orioles (4-0 last four)
The only team not to register an OVER at home this season is Baltimore, who has finished UNDER the total in all seven games at Camden Yards. The Orioles hit the UNDER in five of six games on their recent road trip, including all three contests at Tampa Bay. The offense hasn’t produced many runs lately, scoring a total of five runs in the last four games, while all three runs in Wednesday’s 3-1 victory over the Rays came on a three-run homer off the bat of right fielder Joey Rickard.
Biggest OVER run: Pirates (13-3 last 16)
Pittsburgh’s offense has exploded since a miserable 1-6 run in mid-April. The Pirates have won eight of their last 11 games, while plating at least six runs in six of the past seven contests. In three victories at Coors Field, the Pirates have reached home plate 24 times, while surviving on Wednesday night in spite of blowing a 7-1 lead in a 9-8 triumph. The Pirates have eclipsed the OVER in nine of the last 11 games away from PNC Park with one of those UNDERS coming on a 12 total in Monday’s 6-1 victory at Colorado.
Matchup to watch: Cardinals vs. Diamondbacks
These two teams finish off this wild series at Chase Field after St. Louis rallied for an 11-4 victory on Wednesday. The Cardinals fell behind 3-1, but pitcher Adam Wainwright cleared the bases with a three-run triple to start the comeback and St. Louis never looked back as they scored nine runs in a three-inning span. All three games in this series have flown OVER the total, as the D-backs look to improve on their 4-9 home record. Rubby De La Rosa takes the mound for Arizona in the finale, coming off a solid performance in his last start, a 7-1 victory over the Pirates in which he allowed three hits and one earned run in six innings of work.
Betcha didn’t know: It took the Phillies 21 games to reach 11 victories, while the 76ers won just 10 games all season in 82 tries. Philadelphia goes for the three-game sweep of Washington this afternoon, as the Phillies last swept a road series last August at San Diego. Since starting the season 0-4 on the road, the Phillies have won six of their last seven games away from Citizens Bank Park, including four victories as an underdog of +140 or higher.
Biggest public favorite: Red Sox (-200) vs. Braves
Biggest public underdog: White Sox (+120) at Orioles
Biggest line move: Tigers (-130 to -140) vs. Athletics