MLB betting trends, odds and predictions for Thursday, April 6th, 2017 from various handicappers and websites
MLB Knowledge
National League
Cubs @ Cardinals
Lackey is 4-1, 2.65 in his last nine starts. His last three starts went over.
Lynn didn’t pitch LY; he was hurt. Lynn was 12-11, 3.03 in 31 starts for St Louis in 2015.
Phillies @ Reds
Buchholz was 2-0, 1.42 in his last three starts LY. Under is 8-3 in his last 11 starts.
Davis was 10-3, 2.94 in 19 AA starts LY, then 0-2, 7.50 in four AAA starts. This is his major league debut; he’ll be 24 in three weeks.
Rockies @ Brewers
Senzatela was 4-1, 1.82 in seven AA starts LY; he never pitched in AAA. This is his big league debut. He is a 22-year old from Venezuela.
Anderson is 2-0, 2.31 in his last five starts. Under is 8-4 in his last 12 starts.
Padres @ Dodgers
Weaver was 3-1, 2.35 in his last five starts for the Angels LY. Under is 7-1-1 in his last nine starts.
McCarthy is 0-2, 7.13 in his last five starts; under is 7-2 in his last nine starts.
Marlins @ Nationals
Koehler is 0-5, 6.35 in his last eight starts; five of his last seven starts went over.
Gonzalez is 0-2, 8.31 in his last three starts; over is 5-2-1 in his last eight starts.
Braves @ Mets
Garcia was 0-5, 8.61 in his last six starts for St Louis. Six of his last seven starts went over.
Harvey is 0-3, 5.13 in his last six starts; six of his last seven starts stayed under.
Giants @ Diamondbacks
Samardzija is is 2-2, 2.47 in his last seven starts; under is 12-1 in his last 13 starts.
Ray is 0-2, 9.64 in his last three starts; under is 5-3 in his last eight starts.
American League
Royals @ Twins
Hammel is 1-3, 9.15 in his last four starts; under is 9-5 in his last 14 starts.
Gibson is 0-2, 4.96 in his last three starts; over is 10-1-1 in his last 12 starts.
Tigers @ White Sox
Zimmerman was 0-4, 17.18 in his last four starts. Over is 5-1 in his last six starts.
Shields is is 1-3, 6.06 in his last six starts; under is 6-3 in his last nine starts.
Angels @ A’s
Skaggs is 2-1, 1.83 in his last four starts; five of his last six starts stayed under.
Triggs was 1-2, 3.16 in six MLB starts LY (over 3-3).
Blue Jays @ Rays
Stroman was 0-5, 3.65 in his last six starts; his last five starts stayed under.
Snell is 2-1, 3.48 in his last five starts; under is 9-6 in his last 15 starts.
Mariners @ Astros
Miranda is 4-1, 3.41 in his last six starts; over is 7-2 in his last nine starts.
Musgrove is 2-0, 2.91 in his last three starts; under is 5-2 in his last seven starts.
Interleague
Pirates @ Red Sox
Kuhl is 2-1, 4.50 in his last four starts; under is 5-3 in his last eight starts.
Rodriguez is 1-0, 3.24 in his last three starts; under is 12-2 in his last 14 starts.
Record with this pitcher starting in 2016
National League
Chi-StL: Lackey 17-12; Lynn 0-0 (injured)
Phil-Cin: Buchholz (Bos) 9-12; Davis 0-0
Colo-Mil: Senzatela 0-0; Anderson 12-18
SD-LA: Weaver (LAA) 16-16; McCarthy 5-4
Mia-Wsh: Koehler 12-21; Gonzalez 14-18
Atl-NY: Garcia (StL) 14-16; Harvey 6-11
SF-Az: Samardzija 16-17; Ray 11-21
American League
KC-Min: Hammel (Chi) 17-13; Gibson 12-13
Det-Chi: Zimmerman 10-9; Shields 7-15
LAA-A’s: Skaggs 3-7; Triggs 1-5
Tor-TB: Stroman 14-18; Snell 7-12
Sea-Hst: Miranda 5-5; Musgrove 5-5
Interleague
Pitt-Bos: Kuhl 9-5; Rodriguez 8-12
Umpires
National League
Chi-StL: Under is 7-4 in last eleven Wolcott games.
Phil-Cin: Underdogs are 8-4 in last 12 Carapazza games.
Colo-Mil: Over is 3-1-1 in last five Fletcher games.
SD-LA: Six of last eight Rackley games stayed under.
Mia-Wsh: Three of last four Hickox games stayed under.
Atl-NY: Favorites won eight of last ten Little games.
SF-Az: Over is 5-3-1 in last nine Reyburn games.
American League
KC-Min: Four of last five Drake games stayed under total.
Det-Chi: Road team won seven of last ten Iassogna games.
LAA-A’s: Over is 3-1-1 in last five Tumpane games.
Sea-Hst: Underdogs are 14-5 in last 19 Blaser games.
Interleague
Pitt-Bos: Six of last eight Guccione games stayed under.
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MLB: Streaks, Tips, Notes
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Miami Marlins at Washington Nationals
The Washington Nationals and Miami Marlins close out a three-game set at Nationals Park starting at 4:05 EST. According to the current betting odds at BetOnline.ag the Nationals are -$154 home favorites, with a run total of 8.5.
Gio Gonzalez is projected to start for Washington. The lefty is off a sketchy 2016 that saw Washington go 15-18 in his 33 starts, 10-6 in the Nation's Capital including 6-1 his last seven in front of the home audience. Nationals have won five straight and six of seven at home vs Miami handing the ball to their southpaw. As a team, the Nationals have had success at home vs the division. In the past 24 occasions the result is 20 wins, 4 losses.
Tom Koehler has been tasked with starting durites for Miami. The Marlins were 12-21 in his 33 starts, 6-12 in his 18 trips to the mound in an opposing park. Marlins are currently ridding a 1-7 skid vs Washington with Koehler and have struggled on the road recently vs the division posting a 5-10 record including 1-4 in Washington.
As always, a higher price on a game is cause to ratchet up the tension for a sports bettor. However, in this case the numbers add up well enough to conclude that Nationals are the right choice.
Red-hot Astros host Mariners
By: Zach Cohen
StatFox.COM
The Astros will be looking to complete a four-game sweep over the Mariners on Thursday.
Seattle is not off to the start that the team was hoping for this season, as the Mariners have dropped their first three games of the year. The Astros, meanwhile, are doing what many thought they would, as they made some significant improvements to their team in the offseason. Their young core is ready to compete at a high level, and they now have the veterans to help them continue to develop. On the mound in this game will be LHP Ariel Miranda (5-2, 3.54 ERA, 40 K in 2016) for the Mariners and RHP Joe Musgrove (4-4, 4.06 ERA, 55 K in 2016) for the Astros. Musgrove is one of Houston’s top prospects and the team is very excited about what he can add this season. He’ll hope to help the Astros continue their dominance over the Mariners, as they are 16-7 against Seattle over the past three seasons. One trend that favors the Mariners in this game is the fact that they are 22-12 against the money line in road games after two straight games without giving up a stolen base under manager Scott Servais. The Astros, meanwhile, are 59-29 against the money line in home games after three or more consecutive home games over the past three seasons.
The Mariners are hoping to get into the win column on Thursday and they will need a solid performance from Ariel Miranda in this one. In the lefty’s only start against Houston last year, he pitched seven innings and gave up only two earned runs. Miranda also struck out eight batters in that game, and the Mariners would surely sign up for another start just like that. Offensively, Seattle badly needs both 2B Robinson Cano (.298 BA, 39 HR, 103 RBI in 2016) and OF Nelson Cruz (.302 BA, 44 HR, 93 RBI in 2016) to wake up. The two of them are a combined 3-for-24 this season, and they need to start hitting soon. They combined to rack up 196 RBI last season, and the Mariners badly need them to start driving in runs. One positive note for Seattle is the fact that SS Jean Segura (.319 BA, 20 HR, 64 RBI in 2016) appears to be settling in nicely with his new team. He was 2-for-6 with a homer and two RBI against Houston on Wednesday, and it’s good that he is showing some of the same power from last year’s career year.
The Astros are off to a perfect start this season and OF George Springer (.261 BA, 29 HR, 82 RBI in 2016) has a lot to do with that. Springer drove in all of the Astros’ runs in a 5-3 win over this Mariners team on Wednesday. He was 2-for-7 with a double and a homer in that one, and he has already hit two bombs this season. Look for him to have another good game on Thursday, as Springer is better against lefties than he is righties. 2B Jose Altuve (.338 BA, 24 HR, 96 RBI in 2016) is also good against lefties, as he hit .306 with five homers and 23 RBI against them in 2016. As for the pitching, Musgrove would be doing just fine by turning in a quality start in this one. This offense takes a lot of pressure off the rotation, and Musgrove should be able to cruise here.