National League
Brewers @ Cubs
Davies is 3-1, 4.15 in his last five starts; five of his last seven stayed under. Brewers are 3-4 in his road starts.
Arrieta is 2-0, 0.66 in his last two starts; over is 5-3-1 in his last nine. Cubs are 2-5 in his last seven home starts.
Milwaukee is 8-23 in its last 31 road games; four of last six Brewer games went over total. Cubs won 14 of last 16 games; under is 7-4 in last 11 games at Wrigley Field.
Marlins @ Reds
Fernandez is 0-2, 4.76 in his last three starts; three of his last four went over. Miami is 9-4 in his home starts.
Straily is 5-0, 2.13 in his last six starts; his last three went over. Reds are 8-3 in his home starts.
Marlins are 5-10 in last 15 games; six of last eight Miami road games went over. Cincinnati is 17-11 in its last 28 games; over is 7-2-1 in their last ten games.
Dodgers @ Phillies
Stripling is 1-2, 5.40 in his last three starts (under 7-2-1). Dodgers split his four road starts.
Eickhoff is 2-0, 4.32 in his last three starts; three of his last four home starts went over. Phillies are 7-5 in his home starts.
Dodgers won three of last four games; over is 6-1-2 in last seven Dodger games. Phillies won four of last six games; over is 7-1-1 in last nine Philly home games.
Nationals @ Braves
Lopez is 1-1, 5.74 in his three starts (over 2-1) this season.
Whalen is 1-1, 7.31 in his three starts (over 2-1) this season.
Nationals are 10-5 in last 15 games, but lost last two; five of their last seven games went over. Washington is 11-8 in road series openers. Atlanta lost six of last seven games, is 6-13 in home series openers. Five of their last six games went over.
Diamondbacks @ Padres
Bradley is 0-2, 11.48 in his last three starts; five of his last seven stayed under. Arizona is 5-4 in his road starts.
Clemens is 1-2, 5.49 in four starts for San Diego (over 2-2).
Arizona lost its last three road games; they’re 1-5 in last six road series openers. Over is 5-2 in their last seven road games. San Diego lost its last five games; five of their last six home games went over total. Padres are 11-8 in home series openers.
Mets @ Giants
deGrom is 1-0, 0.65 in his last four starts; five of his last seven stayed under. Mets won three of his last four road starts.
Bumgarner is 1-1, 0.60 in his last two starts; five of his last seven stayed under. Giants are 8-3 in his last 11 home starts.
New York lost 14 of last 21 games; under is 22-10 in their last 32 road games. Mets are 9-10 in road series openers. Giants are 9-21 since All-Star break, 0-4 in last four home series openers. Four of their last five games went over the total.
American League
Red Sox @ Tigers
Buchholz is 0-5, 8.00 in his last seven starts; three of his last four stayed under. Boston lost three of his four road starts.
Boyd is 3-0, 3.18 in his last three starts; four of his last six stayed under. Detroit won his last four home starts.
Red Sox won their last six games; they’re 8-2 in last ten road series openers. Under is 12-3 in last 15 Boston road games. Detroit lost seven of last nine games, is 10-4 in last 14 home series openers. Last five Tiger games stayed under the total.
Astros @ Orioles
Musgrove is 1-0, 1.93 in his first two MLB starts (under 1-0-1).
Gausman is 1-3, 5.40 in his last four starts; under is 11-4 in his last 15. Baltimore won his last four home starts.
Astros lost their last four games, are 8-11 in road series openers. Six of last eight Houston games went over total. Baltimore lost five of last seven home games, is 11-8 in home series openers. Under is 11-0-2 in last 13 games at Camden Yards.
White Sox @ Indians
Rodon is 1-0, 2.25 in his last two starts; under is 5-3 in his last eight. White Sox are 2-7 in his road outings.
Salazar is 1-1, 8.25 in his last five starts; his last four went over. Indians are 6-3 in his home starts.
White Sox are 7-12 in last 18 games; over is 10-6 in their last 16 games. Cleveland won six of last eight home games; four of Indians’ last five games stayed under the total.
Twins @ Royals
Duffey is 3-0, 3.79 in his last three starts; over is 7-3-1 in his last 11. Twins are 4-5 in his road starts.
Gee is 0-4, 6.92 in his last five starts; his last three stayed under. Royals lost four of his five home starts.
Twins are 11-4 in last 15 road games, 7-4 in last 11 road series openers. Over is 15-3 in last 18 Minnesota games. Kansas City is 9-2 in its last 11 games, 14-5 in home series openers. Under is 14-4 in Royals’ last 18 games.
Mariners @ Angels
Iwakuma is 8-1, 2.78 in his last nine starts; five of his last seven stayed under. Seattle is 8-5 in his road starts.
Shoemaker is 1-4, 4.68 in his last five starts; under is 10-4 in his last 14 starts. Angels won three of his last four home starts.
Mariners are 12-3 in last 15 games; seven of last 11 Seattle road games went over. Angels lost 12 of last 13 games; seven of last ten Angel games stayed under total.
Teams’ record when this pitcher starts
Mil-Chi– Davies 11-10; Arrieta 15-8
LA-Phil– Stripling 5-5; Eickhoff 11-13
Mia-Cin– Fernandez 14-8 (0-3 last 3); Straily 13-9
Wsh-Atl– Lopez 1-2; Whalen 2-1
Az-SD– Bradley 8-9; Clemens 2-2/1-1
NY-SF– deGrom 12-9; Bumgarner 14-11
Bos-Det– Buchholz 4-10; Boyd 6-5
Hst-Balt– Musgrove 1-1; Gausman 8-13
Chi-Clev– Rodon 7-12; Salazar 13-7
Min-KC– Duffey 10-10 (8-2 last 10); Gee 2-7
Sea-LA– Iwakuma 10-6 (5-1 last 6); Shoemaker 7-16
Starting pitchers allowing 1+ runs in first inning
Mil-Chi– Davies 5-21; Arrieta 3-23
LA-Phil– Stripling 3-10; Eickhoff 6-24
Mia-Cin– Fernandez 6-22; Straily 5-22
Wsh-Atl– Lopez 2-3; Whalen 2-3
Az-SD– Bradley 7-17; Clemens 0-6
NY-SF– deGrom 2-21; Bumgarner 6-25
Bos-Det– Buchholz 7-14; Boyd 1-11
Hst-Balt– Musgrove 0-2; Gausman 8-21
Chi-Clev– Rodon 6-19; Salazar 3-20
Min-KC– Duffey 6-20; Gee 6-9 (5 of last 5)
Sea-LA– Iwakuma 3-16; Shoemaker 5-23
AArmadillosports.com
Mets head to San Francisco
By Sportsbook.ag
NEW YORK METS (60-60) at SAN FRANCISCO GIANTS (66-54)
Sportsbook.ag Line: New York +145, San Francisco -155, Total: 6.5
The Giants will be looking to get themselves back on track with a win over the Mets on Thursday.
The Giants will be hoping to avoid a fifth straight loss when they host the Mets in this game, but both teams have really struggled lately. New York was seemingly a lock to make the postseason before the season, but the team now finds itself 10.5 games back in the division and four games back in the NL Wild Card race. The Giants, meanwhile, now find themselves out of the division lead after losing seven of their past 10 games. Both teams are desperate at this point and that will make for an exciting game on Thursday.
The starters in this matchup will be RHP Jacob deGrom (7-5, 2.30 ERA, 129 K) for New York and LHP Madison Bumgarner (11-7, 2.11 ERA, 189 K) for San Francisco. The Giants are fortunate to be at home in this game, as they are 4-2 against the Mets in San Francisco over the past three seasons. It is, however, worth noting that New York is 26-10 against the money line after three or more consecutive OVERS in the past two seasons.
2B Neil Walker (Back) is questionable for the Mets in this one, but it’s more likely he won’t play. OF Yoenis Cespedes (Quad) isn’t eligible to be activated until Friday for New York and his presence will be missed greatly.
New York needs to find a way to get back into the win column and Wild Card race and Jacob deGrom will be the guy hoping to get them moving in the right direction on Thursday. The righty has been nearly unhittable over the past four games, allowing just two earned runs total in that span. One thing deGrom is doing well is avoiding both homers and walks. If he can do that on Thursday then the Mets should be in pretty good shape. In his only start against San Francisco this season, deGrom pitched six innings and allowed three runs. None of those runs were owned, though. New York would surely take another performance like that from him in this meeting.
Offensively, the Mets will likely need OF Jay Bruce (.254, 27 HR, 86 RBI) to step it up in this one. Bruce is just 3-for-18 in his career against Bumgarner, but he does have a homer and four RBI. With Walker and Cespedes likely out, he’s the best hitter in this lineup and must set the tone on Thursday.
The Giants are really struggling right now and Madison Bumgarner is on the mound to stop the bleeding on Thursday. The lefty is coming off of a very strong outing against the Orioles, allowing no earned runs in seven innings of work on Aug. 13. He struck out eight batters in that game and will be hoping to carry over that momentum into this one. Fortunately for him Bumgarner, he’ll be facing a Mets lineup that is extremely depleted at the moment.
Offensively, the Giants badly need SS Brandon Crawford (.271, 11 HR, 74 RBI) and C Buster Posey (.294, 12 HR, 57 RBI) to figure out how to hit deGrom. These two guys are the best hitters San Francisco has to offer and they are a combined 0-for-13 against the Mets righty in their careers. If they can’t find a way to produce then this game might get away from the Giants.