National League
Mets @ Cardinals
Lugo allowed three runs in 6.2 IP (69 PT) in his first ’16 start.
Wainwright is 0-2, 6.82 in his last six starts (over 5-1). St Louis won four of his last five home starts.
Mets won three of last four games; eight of last nine New York games went over the total. St Louis won six of last nine games; over is 7-2-1 in their last ten home games.
Pirates @ Brewers
Kuhl is 2-1, 2.63 in his last four starts (over 3-3-1). He is 2-0, 2.00 in his three road starts.
Peralta is 2-4, 5.29 in his last six starts (over 11-4). Brewers are 4-4 in his home starts.
Pirates lost five of last six games, are 13-8 in road series openers. Five of last six Pittsburgh road games went over. Milwaukee won its last four games; they’re 10-11 in home series openers. Over is 5-2 in their last seven home games.
Braves @ Diamondbacks
Wisler is 0-3, 11.15 in his last three starts; over is 10-3 in his last 13. Braves are 3-5 in his road starts.
Ray is 2-0, 1.42 in his last three starts; his last three home starts went over. Arizona is 5-7 in his home starts.
Braves lost nine of last 11 games; 12 of last 13 Atlanta games went over. Arizona is 6-3 in its last nine home games; 10 of last 11 Arizona games went over the total.
Giants @ Dodgers
Moore is 0-3, 4.70 in four starts for the Giants (over 2-2).
Stripling 1-2, 5.66 in his last four starts (under 7-3-2). Dodgers split his six home starts.
Giants lost eight of last ten games; over is 8-3 in last 11 Giant games. Dodgers won their last four games; over is 8-3-1 in last 12 games at Dodger Stadium.
American League
Angels @ Blue Jays
Weaver is 0-3, 9.00 in his last three starts; over is 9-4-1 in his last 14. Angels lost his last three road starts.
Happ is 7-0, 1.78 in his last eight starts; over is 7-5-1 in his last 13. Blue Jays won his last eight home starts.
Angels are 3-16 in last 19 road games; under is 8-3 in last 11 Halo games. Toronto is 10-5 in its last 15 home games; over is 8-4-1 in Jays’ last 13 home games.
Red Sox @ Rays
Pomeranz is 2-0, 2.25 in his last four starts; five of his last six starts stayed under the total.
Odorizzi is 5-0, 2.05 in his last seven starts; his last four went over. Tampa Bay won his last four home starts.
Red Sox won ten of last 13 games; under is 18-6-1 in Boston’s last 25 road games. Tampa Bay won seven of last ten games; over is 10-4 in Rays’ last 14 home games.
Tigers @ Twins
Norris is 0-2, 4.15 in his last four starts (under 4-2).
Berrios is 0-2, 11.45 in his last three starts; over is 4-0-1 in his last five. he is 0-2, 11.45 in three home starts.
Tigers won its last four road games; four of last five Detroit games went over. Minnesota lost 11 of last 14 games; over is 18-4-2 in Twins’ last 24 games.
Indians @ Rangers
Tomlin is 0-4, 10.02 in his last four starts (over 3-1). Cleveland is 8-4 in his road starts, but lost last three.
Hamels is 4-2, 2.22 in his last seven starts; four of his last five stayed under. Rangers won four of his last five home starts.
Indians are 3-8 in last 11 road games; they scored three runs in last three games. Under is 8-3 in their last 11 road games. Cleveland is 10-5 in last 15 road series openers. Texas lost three of last four games; four of their last five games went over the total. Rangers won their last five home series openers.
Mariners @ White Sox
Paxton is 2-1, 1.91 in his last four starts (under 3-1). Seattle is 2-4 in his road starts.
Ranaudo is 0-1, 6.75 in two starts (over 1-0-1) this year.
Seattle lost three of last four games; five of Mariners’ last seven games went over the total. Seattle is 4-8 in last 12 road series openers. White Sox won three of last four games, are 10-10 in home series openers. Four of last five Chicago games stayed under.
Interleague
Orioles @ Nationals
Jimenez is 0-2, 10.12 in his last three starts; over is 10-2 in his last 12 starts. Baltimore is 1-7 in his road starts.
Scherzer is 4-1, 3.04 in his last eight starts; under is 8-2 in his last ten. Washington is 5-5 in his home starts.
Washington lost its last four games; six of Nationals’ last eight games went over the total. Baltimore won four of last five road games; three of their last four games stayed under.
Royals @ Marlins
Volquez is 1-2, 8.56 in his last five starts (over 4-0-1). Royals are 4-6 in his road starts.
Koehler is 3-0, 2.08 in his last six starts; over is 8-3 in his last 11. Miami won his last four home starts.
Royals won nine of last ten games; under is 6-1-1 in their last eight games. Miami won four of last five games; their last four games stayed under.
Teams’ record when this pitcher starts
NY-StL: Lugo 0-1; Wainwright 16-9
Pitt-Mil: Kuhl 6-1; Peralta 6-10
Atl-Az: Wisler 5-15; Ray 9-16
SF-LA: Moore 1-3/9-12; Stripling 5-6
Det-Min: Norris 2-4; Berrios 2-6
Bos-TB: Pomeranz 4-3; Odorizzi 13-13
LAA-Tor: Weaver 9-15; Happ 19-5 (12-0 last 12)
Clev-Tex: Tomlin 16-7 (0-4 last 4); Hamels 18-7
Sea-Chi: Paxton 4-9; Ranaudo 1-1
Balt-Wsh: Jimenez 8-10; Scherzer 16-10 (5-1 last 6)
KC-Mia: Volquez 14-12; Koehler 12-13 (5-1 last 6)
Starting pitchers allowing 1+ runs in first inning
NY-StL: Lugo 0-1; Wainwright 10-25 (4 of last 4)
Pitt-Mil: Kuhl 3-7; Peralta 6-16
Atl-Az: Wisler 10-20; Ray 5-25
SF-LA: Moore 6-25; Stripling 3-11
Det-Min: Norris 1-6; Berrios 4-8
Bos-TB: Pomeranz 1-7; Odorizzi 5-26
LAA-Tor: Weaver 9-24; Happ 5-24
Clev-Tex: Tomlin 11-23; Hamels 5-25
Sea-Chi: Paxton 3-13; Ranaudo 0-2
Balt-Wsh: Jimenez 9-18 (5 of last 6); Scherzer 9-26
KC-Mia: Volquez 8-26; Koehler 8-25
Armadillosports.com
MLB: Streak, Tips, Notes
Sportspic.com
Atlanta Braves at Arizona DBacks
When Atlanta Braves and Arizona D-Backs conclude this four game series they'll look to continue a solid trend for 'Over' gamblers. In the last seven meetings the 'Over' is 6-0-1. Matching that, Braves have played 'Over' in twelve of thirteen games, D-Backs have played 'Over' in twelve of thirteen in front of the home audience.
Thursday's Diamond Notes
By Joe Williams
VegasInsider.com
Hottest team: Dodgers (4-0 past 4, 7-3 past 10 at home)
The Dodgers have taken down the Giants in each of the first two games of their series, knocking off All-Stars Madison Bumgarner and Johnny Cueto in the process. As such, the Dodgers have pulled away from the Giants with a three-game lead in the National League West Division. A win in Thursday's game would not be a nail in the coffin, but a major setback for a San Francisco team which has frittered away a division lead and has now lost five straight against teams with a winning overall record while picking up just five wins in the past 18 games. The Dodgers have won four straight against left-handed starters while going 7-1 in their past eight at home against teams with a winning road record.
Coldest team: Indians (2-3 past five, 3-8 past 11)
The Indians won a nailbiter in the series opener at Oakland by a 1-0 score, and then the Athletics busted out the sticks and took Cleveland behind the shed by a combined 14-2 score over the final two games in the series. The Tribe continues to struggle on the road, winning just three of their past 11 road outings as their trip shifts to Texas. Realistically, this series could be an American League Championship Series preview, but if the Indians do not find a way to win on the road that would be a short series. The one thing the Indians have going in their favor is that they are 9-2 in their past 11 against American League West foes and 22-7 in their past 29 against left-handed starters. However, the Rangers are 14-3 in Cole Hamels' past 17 outing at home, and 29-8 in his past 37 overall.
Hottest pitcher: JA Happ, Blue Jays (17-3, 3.05 ERA)
Happ has been on a historic roll for the Blue Jays, winning 17 of his 20 decisions this season. Over the past few outings he has shown no signs of slowing doing, going 3-0 with a 2.33 ERA and 0.98 WHIP over the past three starts while striking out 22 and walking just four in the past 19 1/3 innings. The Blue Jays are in good shape with Happ on the hill, especially against the hapless Angels. The Halos are just 5-21 in their past 26 road games against a team with a winning record, and they're 6-14 in Jered Weaver's past 20 road outings. Meanwhile, the Jays are 21-5 in Happ's past 26 starts, and 20-7 in his past 27 home outings.
Coldest pitcher: Jered Weaver, Angels (8-11, 5.47 ERA)
Happ's counterpart, the veteran Weaver, has been awful this season. He has an 8-11 record, 5.47 ERA and 1.53 WHIP over 138 1/3 innings, as he has been extremely hittable all season. Lately it has gotten a lot worse, as Weaver is 0-3 with an 8.40 ERA and 2.13 WHIP while striking out just five over the past 15 innings. The Angels have won just one of Weaver's past six starts against a team with a winning overall record, and the Angels are 7-19 in their past 26 road games overall. Weaver hasn't been the stopper for the team, either, as the Angels are 1-7 in Weaver's past eight outings following a team loss in their previous game.
Biggest UNDER run: Royals (6-1-2 past nine, 16-5-2 past 23)
The Royals have been posting tremendous pitching results while also having a power outage at the plate. As such, 'under' results have been flowing nicely. Over the past three games Kansas City has scored a total of three runs while allowing a total of just four runs scored. During the past nine games, the Royals are allowing an average of just 1.3 runs per game. Interleague play usually means 'under' results for Kansas City, too, as the under is 4-1 in the past five interleague road games against a team with a winning record and 4-0 in Edinson Volquez's past four interleague starts.
Biggest OVER run: Braves (8-0 past eight, 11-1 past 12 and 7-0 past seven road games)
The Braves and Diamondbacks have posted quite a bit of offense and some uneven pitching in the first three games of their four-game set. The slugfest Wednesday night was the highest-scoring game yet, as Arizona outlasted Atlanta 10-9 in 11 innings to give the Braves their eighth consecutive 'over' result. Atlanta has scored at least six runs in each of the past six games, while the first three games of this series has resulted in an average of 8.0 runs per game while allowing 8.0 runs per game. As such the 'over' looks very good for both sides in the series finale.
Matchup to watch: Brewers vs. Pirates
The Brewers are a strange team figure. They traded away one of their best hitters with Jonathan Lucroy being dealt to Texas, and they were 5-14 in August through the 20th. However, they won their interleague series finale in Seattle Aug. 21 by a 7-6 score, and they swept the previously hot Colorado Rockies to carry a four-game win streak into their home series againt the Bucs. The good times could continue in Cream City, as the Pirates have dropped five of their past six games while going 1-5 in their past six outings against right-handed starting pitchers. The Brewers have also won four of the past five meetings in this series, and they have dominated the Bucs at Miller Park going 62-16 in the past 78 meetings in Wisconsin.
Betcha didn’t know: The Chicago White Sox have won five straight games against left-handed starters at home, and they're 5-1 in the past six games overall against southpaws. Plus, the Pale Hose have been hot with eight wins in the past 11 at home. They have also dominated the Mariners in recent seasons, going 35-16 in the past 51 meetings overall and 40-13 in their past 53 home games against Seattle. The M's haven't fared very well with James Paxton on the hill lately, going 4-10 in his past 14 outings and 2-10 in his past 12 starts on grass.
Biggest public favorite: Blue Jays (-235) at Angels
Biggest public underdog: Royals (+105) at Marlins
Biggest line move: Mariners (-130 to -145) at White Sox