MLB betting trends, odds and predictions for Thursday, June 8th, 2017 from various handicappers and websites
MLB Knowledge
National League
Cardinals @ Reds
Leake is 1-3, 3.63 in his last five starts (under 4-1). Cardinals are 4-1 in his road starts.
Feldman is 2-0, 5.87 in his last three starts; over is 3-1 in his last four. Reds are 2-5 in his home starts.
Cardinals lost nine of last 11 games; over is 3-1 in their last four games. Reds are 6-4 in last ten home games; over is 7-3 in their last ten games overall.
Phillies @ Braves
Lively allowed one run in seven IP (98 PT) in his MLB debut against the Giants Saturday.
Dickey is 0-2, 6.67 in his last five starts; over is 6-1-1 in his last eight. Atlanta is 4-2 in his home starts.
Phillies won four of their last five games; over is 7-3-2 in their last 12 road games. Braves are 4-7 in last 11 games; over is 12-4-2 in their last 18 home games.
Giants @ Brewers
Cueto is 1-3, 4.88 in his last four starts; under is 4-1-1 in his last six. Giants are 1-4 in his last five road outings.
Espino allowed three runs in four IP (71 PT) in his first MLB start, on a cold, rainy day at Wrigley Field.
Giants lost seven of last nine road games; over is 8-5-1 in their last 14 road games. Brewers won three of last four games; under is 6-3-1 in their last ten games.
Marlins @ Pirates
Volquez threw a no-hitter in his last start; he is 2-0, 0.60 in his last two starts; under is 6-1 in his last seven. Miami is 0-6 in his road starts.
Cole is 1-1, 9.82 in his last three starts; under is 8-2 in his last ten. Pirates are 4-1 in his home starts.
Marlins won eight of last 11 games; over is 9-3 in their last 12 road games. Miami is 3-7 in road series openers. Pirates had walk-off losses last two nights in Baltimore; they’re 2-5 in last seven games. Five of their last six games went over. Bucs are 4-5 in home series openers.
Padres @ Diamondbacks
Richard is 2-1, 3.48 in his last three starts; under is 5-1 in his road starts. San Diego is 2-4 in his road starts.
Corbin is 0-2, 13.00 in his last two starts; under is 4-3 in his home starts. Arizona won his last six home starts.
San Diego lost its last four games; over is 4-1 in their last five games. Arizona won its last eight home games; their last three games went over.
Rockies @ Cubs
Chatwood is 2-1, 3.26 in his last three starts; under is 3-1-2 in his last six starts. Rockies split his first eight road starts.
Lester is 2-0, 3.00 in his last three home starts; over is 7-2 in his last nine starts. Cubs are 5-2 in his home starts.
Colorado won its last four games; they’re 7-3 in road series openers. Over is 8-3-1 in their last 12 road games. Cubs won eight of their last nine home games; under is 8-4-1 in their last 13 games. Chicago is 4-6in home series openers.
American League
Boston @ New York
Price is 1-0, 3.00 in two starts this season (under 1-0-1).
Pineda is 3-1, 5.40 in his last four starts (over 3-1). New York is 5-1 in his home starts.
Red Sox are 11-5 in their last 16 games; under is 9-3-1 in their last 13 games. New York lost three of its last five games. Under is 7-1 in their last eight home games.
White Sox @ Rays
Holland is 1-3, 6.59 in his last five starts; over is 6-1 in his last seven. Chicago is 4-3 in his road starts.
Odorizzi is 1-2, 5.88 in his last five starts (under 7-3). Rays are 2-3 in his home starts.
Chicago lost six of its last seven games; over is 9-5 in their last 14 road games. Tampa Bay lost four of its last five games; Rays’ last seven home games stayed under the total.
Angels @ Tigers
Ramirez is 2-1, 4.32 in his last four starts, 3-0, 2.37 in his last three road starts. Under is 7-3 in his starts overall this season.
Fulmer is 4-2, 3.27 in his last six starts; over is 5-2-1 in his last eight. Detroit is 4-1 in his home starts.
Angels lost four of last six games; under is 7-2 in their last nine road games. Tigers are 8-3 in last 11 home games; six of their last nine games went over.
Astros @ Royals
McCullers is 4-0, 2.31 in his last five starts; under is 5-2 in his last seven. Houston is 4-2 in his road starts.
Hammel is 1-3, 6.60 in his last five starts (over 4-1). Royals are 2-5 in his home starts.
Astros won 11 of their last 13 games; over is 8-1-1 in their last ten games. Royals are 7-4 in last 11 games; over is 8-4 in their last 12 games.
Twins @ Mariners
Gibson is 2-0, 6.19 in his last three starts; his last six starts went over. Twins scored 31 runs in his last three starts; they’re 3-1 in his road starts.
Bergman is 2-0, 1.38 in his last two starts (under 3-2).
Minnesota lost three of last four games; over is 7-2-1 in their last ten games. Seattle won eight of last nine games; over is 15-6 in their last 21 home games.
Interleague
Orioles @ Nationals
Asher is 1-2, 5.23 in four starts this season (under 3-1).
Ross is 2-2, 7.63 in six starts this season (over 5-1).
Orioles won five of last seven games, with comeback, walk-off wins last two nights; over is 6-2 in their last eight games. Washington won seven of its last nine games; their last five home games stayed under the total.
Record with this pitcher starting
National League
StL-Cin: Leake 5-6; Feldman 4-8
Phil-Atl: Lively 1-0; Dickey 6-5
SF-Mil: Cueto 7-5; Espino 1-0
Mia-Pitt: Volquez 3-8; Cole 6-6
SD-Ariz: Richard 5-7; Corbin 6-6
Colo-Chi: Chatwood 5-7; Lester 6-6
American League
Bos-NY: Price 1-1; Pineda 8-3
Chi-TB: Holland 5-6; Odorizzi 4-6
LA-Det: Ramirez 6-4; Fulmer 7-4
Hst-KC: McCullers 10-2; Hammel 2-9
Minn-Sea: Gibson 4-5; Bergman 3-2
Interleague
Balt-Wash: Asher 1-3; Ross 4-2
Umpires
National League
StL-Cin: Eight of last nine BWelke games went over.
Phil-Atl: Four of five Blakney games stayed under.
SF-Mil: Last four Hickox games went over total.
SD-Ariz: Underdogs are 7-4 in last 11 Timmons games.
American League
Bos-NY: Three of last four Carapazza games stayed under.
Chi-TB: Three of last four Hamari games stayed under.
LA-Det: Underdogs are 7-4 in last 11 West games.
Hst-KC: Over is 5-1-1 in last seven Blaser games.
Minn-Sea: Five of last six Gorman games went over.
Interleague play
NL @ AL– 33-16 AL, favorites -$49
AL @ NL– 29-27 AL, favorites +$184
Total: 62-43 AL, favorites +$135
Totals in interleague games
NL @ AL: Over 29-24-1
AL @ NL: Over 32-20-1
Total: Over 61-44-2
Armadillosports.com
MLB: Streaks, Tips, Notes
Sportspic.com
Colorado Rockies at Chicago Cubs
Edge Chicago w/Lester: The Cubbies are on a 12-3 bankroll-boosting stretch in front of the home audience, have a 17-3 record in Lester's last twenty in front of the home audience. The clincher, Rockies have not been a peg to hang your hopes recently facing a southpaw starter going 1-5 and are 0-5 their last five trips into Chicago during the month of June.
Thursday's Diamond Notes
By Kevin Rogers
VegasInsider.com
Hottest team: Mariners (9-1 last 10) vs. Twins
Seattle is finding its way after a slow start to pull into second place in the AL West at 30-30. The Mariners remain 12 games behind the runaway train known as the Astros, but at least Seattle is back in the AL Wild Card race as it rallied for a 6-5 victory over Minnesota on Wednesday. The Mariners have caught fire at Safeco Field since dropping three of four to the White Sox last month by going 6-1 on their current homestand.
The M’s go for the sweep of the Twins tonight before the Blue Jays invade the Pacific Northwest on Friday. Christian Bergman takes the mound as the right-hander has been on fire (see below) for Seattle recently. During this current five-game winning streak, the M’s have averaged 9.2 runs per game. Last month, the Mariners went through an eight-game stretch where they scored a total of nine runs.
Coldest team: Cardinals (0-6 last six) at Reds
Talk about a roller coaster season for St. Louis. The Redbirds began 2017 at 3-9, but found their way atop the NL Central in early May. However, things have gone backwards for St. Louis recently by losing 11 of its past 14 games, while dropping all six games on their current road swing. The Cardinals squandered a 3-0 lead in Wednesday’s 6-4 setback at Cincinnati.
St. Louis tries to avoid the four-game sweep to Cincinnati on Thursday afternoon as former Red Mike Leake takes the mound. Leake started the season at 4-1, but the right-hander is winless in four of his past five starts. In two starts against the Reds this season, Leake has allowed just two earned runs in 14 innings of work, but St. Louis has lost both times to Cincinnati as a heavy favorite.
Hottest pitcher: Christian Bergman, Mariners (3-2, 4.36 ERA)
For a rotation that has gone most of this season without ace Felix Hernandez, Bergman has emerged as a nice surprise lately. The ex-Colorado Rockies’ righty bounced back from a terrible start at Washington in which he was torched for 10 earned runs in four innings of work on May 23 to beat the Red Sox and Rays. Bergman put together seven scoreless innings in a 5-0 victory at Boston as a +175 underdog, while scattering seven hits and two earned runs in six innings of a 12-4 rout of the Rays.
Coldest pitcher: Joe Ross, Nationals (2-2, 7.34 ERA)
The Washington right-hander tossed eight innings of five-hit ball against Seattle in a 10-1 blowout on May 23. Since that victory, Ross has gone backwards by losing each of his last two starts to the Padres and Athletics. Ross pitched a total of seven innings, while yielding 19 hits and 12 runs (11 earned), as the third-year pitcher has given up at least five earned runs in four of his past five outings. The task doesn’t get easier in a make-up contest with the rival Orioles, as Baltimore has taken two of three meetings from Washington.
Biggest OVER run: Diamondbacks (4-1 last five)
Arizona registered its third straight OVER in Wednesday’s 7-4 home triumph over San Diego as -220 favorites. The D-backs have plated seven or more runs in four of the last five matchups with the Padres, as Arizona seeks the series sweep this afternoon at Chase Field. Another OVER could be in order today as D-backs’ left-hander Patrick Corbin has been knocked around in his last two starts, allowing 13 runs in nine innings of work. However, both those rough outings came on the road, as Corbin has delivered a pair of quality starts against the Padres this season by giving up two earned runs each time.
Biggest UNDER run: Angels (5-2 last seven)
The Halos and Tigers have played plenty of low-scoring affairs this season, now cashing the UNDER in five of six matchups after Detroit shut out Los Angeles, 4-0 on Wednesday. Since allowing 11 runs to Minnesota on June 2, the Angels have given up a total of 12 runs in the past four games, while moving their mark to 7-2 to the UNDER in the last nine road contests. In Thursday’s matinee, J.C. Ramirez takes the mound for L.A., who owns a perfect 7-0 ledger to the UNDER in seven road starts, including three wins in his last three outings away from Anaheim.
Matchup to Watch: Rockies vs. Cubs
The last time these teams met up at Coors Field in early May, Colorado captured two of three from Chicago. The Rockies head to Wrigley Field for a crucial four-game series between a pair of first place squads in the National League. Colorado travels to the Windy City after sweeping a mini two-game set from Cleveland, while winning four straight.
Tyler Chatwood has been moved up a day for Colorado as the right-hander tries to capitalize off a solid outing at San Diego his last time out. Chatwood struck out eight batters in eight innings of work to pick up only his third win in his previous eight starts. In his only start against the Cubs last season, Chatwood dominated Chicago by tossing seven scoreless innings of two-hit ball in a 2-0 triumph as a hefty +210 underdog.
Jon Lester opposes Chatwood for Chicago, coming off a no-decision against the Cardinals in his last trip to the mound in a 6-3 win. The Cubs own a 5-2 record in Lester’s seven starts at Wrigley Field this season, while winning in each of his past three outings on the North Side. Chicago saw its five-game winning streak come to a halt in Wednesday’s 6-5 defeat to Miami, as the Cubs remain one game behind the Brewers atop the NL Central.
Betcha didn’t know: The Red Sox and Yankees are playing again tonight. Okay, you knew that, but Boston has been dynamic in Game 3’s of a series this season by displaying an 11-3 record, including a 6-1 mark off a loss, coming off an 8-0 rout at the hands of the Yankees last night. Is that record in jeopardy? Sox southpaw David Price failed to produce a victory at Yankee Stadium in three starts last season as he takes the mound in the finale tonight.
Biggest public favorite: Astros (-185) at Royals
Biggest public underdog: White Sox (+135) at Rays
Biggest line move: Twins (+120 to +105) at Mariners