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MLB Betting News and Notes Tuesday, April 4th, 2017

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(@blade)
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MLB betting trends, odds and predictions for Tuesday, April 4th, 2017 from various handicappers and websites

 
Posted : April 4, 2017 8:58 am
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National League

Cubs @ Cardinals
Arrieta is 2-3, 5.22 in his last five starts; seven of his last nine starts went over total.

Wainwright is 4-1, 4.66 in his last six starts; four of his last five starts went over.

Rockies @ Brewers
Anderson is 0-1, 5.40 in his last four starts; five of his last six starts stayed under.

Davies is 1-1, 3.82 in his last five starts; six of his last eight starts went over.

Padres @ Dodgers
Richard is 3-1, 3.48 in his last seven starts; under is 6-3 in his last nine starts.

Maeda is 2-3, 5.56 in his last five starts; over is 9-5 in his last 14 starts.

Giants @ Diamondbacks
Cueto is 4-0, 1.78 in his last five regular season starts. Over is 8-3 in his last 11 starts.

Corbin is 0-6, 11.49 in his last seven starts; his last nine starts went over the total.

American League

Tigers @ White Sox
Verlander is 2-1, 0.98 in his last four starts; under is 15-3 in his last 18 starts.

Quintana is 2-2, 3.75 in his last four starts; his last seven starts all went over.

Bronx @ Tampa Bay
Sabathia is 1-0, 2.82 in his last four starts; six of his last starts stayed under.

Odorizzi is 1-0, 2.45 in his last four starts; six of his last starts stayed under.

Indians @ Rangers
Carrasco was 2-2, 6.45 in his las five regular season starts. Over is 8-6-1 in his last 15 starts.

Perez is 0-1, 5.87 in his last four starts; six of his last eight starts went over total.

Mariners @ Astros
Iwakuma is 2-5, 5.33 in his last nine starts; under is 8-4 in his last 12 starts.

McCullers is 2-2, 1.88 in his last four starts; his last ten starts all stayed under total.

Angels @ A’s
Shoemaker is 3-0, 1.69 in his last four starts, three of which went over the total.

Manaea is 3-1, 1.57 in his last six starts; under is 4-0-1 in his last five starts.

Record with this pitcher starting in 2016

National League
Colo-Mil— Anderson 8-10; Davies 15-13
Chi-StL— Arrieta 20-11; Wainwright 21-11
SD-LA— Richard 6-3; Maeda 20-13
SF-Az— Cueto 23-9; Corbin 7-17

American League
Det-CWS— Verlander 20-14; Quintana 17-15
NYY-TB- Sabathia 14-15; Odorizzi 16-17
Clev-Tex— Carrasco 17-9; Perez 18-15
Sea-Hst— Iwakuma 18-15; McCullers 8-6
LAA-A’s— Shoemaker 9-16; Manaea 11-13

Umpires

National League
Colo-Mil— Under is 4-2-1 in last seven Wendelstedt games; favorites won last ten.
Chi-StL— Over is 8-3-2 in last thirteen O’Nora games, underdogs won four of last five.
SD-LA— Over is 6-4 in last ten Marquez games.
SF-Az— Over is 7-3 in last ten Timmons games; favorites won his last five.

American League
NYY-TB— Over is 5-0-1 in last six Hudson games.
Clev-Tex— Last three Wegner games stayed under total. Favorites are 16-4 in his last 20 games.
Sea-Hst— Over is 3-1-1 in last five Diaz games; favorites won nine of his last ten.
LAA-A’s— Four of last five Hernandez games stayed under; underdogs won last three.

Armadillosports.com

 
Posted : April 4, 2017 9:00 am
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MLB: Streaks, Tips, Notes
Sportspic.com

Chicago Cubs at St Louis Cardinals

St Louis Cardinals and Chicago Cubs get ready to duel again after the Cardinals held on for a 4-3 victory in Sunday's season opener. According to current odds at BetOnline.ag the Cardinals are +133 home underdogs with the total set at 7.5 accross most shops.

Cardinals send ace Adam Wainwright, to the mound Tuesday evening. The Cardinals compiled a 11-4 record before the home audience with the right hander last year. St Louis supporters have to be liking their chances. Cardinals have been a solid proposition vs a divsion opponent with Wainwright. Over the past thirteen vs the N.L. Central the result has been 11 wins, 2 losses including a sparkling 7-0 at Busch Stadium.

Another positive for St Louis backers, the Cardinals have not only won four straight at home vs Cubs with Wainwright, the Cardinals have also made their mark handing the ball to Wainwright following a team victory the previous effort since wins in 12 of 14 games has been the end result.

Chicago has its own ace in the hole with Jake Arrieta heading to the mound. The Cubs finished 13-6 last year in Arrieta's nineteen starts in an opposing parks and have been the right choice with the hurler in seven consecutive April starts, eleven of his thirteen during the first month of play.

Cubs did emerge on the right side of the scoreboard in three of four vs Cardinals with Arrieta last year. However, Cubbies are just 1-3 in his last four pitching at Busch Stadium.

Getting an underdog price on a quality home pitcher like Wainwright is too good to pass up. Therefore, the MLB pick is St Louis.

 
Posted : April 4, 2017 9:15 am
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Cubs, Cardinals meet in St. Louis
By: Zach Cohen
StatFox.com

The Cardinals will be looking to win a second straight home game against the Cubs on Tuesday.

The opening day meeting between the Cubs and Cardinals was pretty epic, as St. Louis won the game on a walk-off single in the bottom of the ninth inning. Chicago had tied the game with a three-run bomb in the top of the ninth, but that was not enough to hold off a hungry Cardinals team. St. Louis is tired of hearing about Chicago’s 2016 World Series victory, and the team is ready to compete this season. On the mound for the second matchup between these teams will be RHP Jake Arrieta (18-8, 3.10 ERA, 190 K in 2016) for the Cubs and RHP Adam Wainwright (13-9, 4.62 ERA, 161 K in 2016) for the Cardinals. Arrieta was not very good in Spring Training this year, as he posted a 5.79 ERA in 14.0 innings of work. He had a down year in 2016, so hopefully that spring performance is just him knocking off the rust and not a continuous downward spiral from a year ago. Wainwright was, however, even worse in the spring, posting a 7.78 ERA in 19.2 innings of work.

Jake Arrieta had a bad spring, but he will likely welcome an early season meeting with the Cardinals. In four starts against St. Louis last season, Arrieta was 3-1 with a 2.38 ERA and a total of 26 strikeouts. It’d be big if he can pitch seven or so innings of solid baseball on Tuesday. Offensively, Chicago is going to need its stars to step it up in this one. 3B Kris Bryant (.292 BA, 39 HR, 102 RBI in 2016) was 0-for-4 with three strikeouts on Sunday night, and the 2016 NL MVP needs to get it going on Tuesday. 1B Anthony Rizzo (.292 BA, 32 HR, 109 RBI in 2016) should be able to have a solid game in this one. In his career against Wainwright, Rizzo is 11-for-36 with a homer and five RBI. It’d be huge if he can go yard on Tuesday. Another guy who has had some success against Wainwright is SS Addison Russell (.238 BA, 21 HR, 95 RBI in 2016). Russell is 4-for-7 with two doubles and two RBI against the righty in his career, and Chicago can use some production from him this week.

The last time Wainwright faced the Cubs at home, the righty pitched 6.2 innings of three-run ball and the Cardinals won 4-3. He’ll certainly be hoping for another start like that one on Tuesday, and the most important thing for him is keeping the ball in the park. He let up far too many homers last year, as he gave up 22 bombs. That is five more than his previous career-worst in 2009. Offensively, it’s hard not to mention OF Randal Grichuk (.240 BA, 24 HR, 68 RBI in 2016). Grichuk was the hero on Sunday night, going 2-for-4 with a homer and three RBI. He delivered the walk-off hit in that game, and he’ll be hoping to stay hot here. St. Louis might also turn to 1B Matt Adams (.249 BA, 16 HR, 54 RBI in 2016) in this one. Adams is 7-for-22 with two doubles and four RBI against Arrieta in his career, so the Cardinals would be wise to give him a look.

 
Posted : April 4, 2017 2:09 pm
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Dave's MLB Tuesday
By Dave Essler

Brewers/Rockies: Tyler Anderson is quite servicable, especially away from the tiny park in Colorado. With that in mind, the Brewers stadium can be a launching pad and some of this line is reflective of that Colorado did (won) yesterday. The problem here is that Zach Davies has been (for me) one of the Brewers' best options, and Colorado hasn't seen much of him. I don't trust either bullpen, especially after last night, so I could make a case for the F5 under and the Brewers, at home - at a decent price.

Giants/D-Backs: As usual I'd love to try and make the case for the home dog here - but Corbin has been nothing shy of bad, since coming on the scene well 3/4 years ago. He's giving up too many jacks, and this isn't the ballpark for that. Cueto is who is he is, and of course Arizona has seen a bit of him, so there's that - and we has 10-2 on the road last season. That total of 9 is a bit high for the NL, and we know both bullpens are quite suspect. This is game I might look to bet in-game, especially if the first two or three innings are low scoring - and get in in-game total at 7.5/8 or less. Otherwise, I'd just lay the chalk and be done with it.

 
Posted : April 4, 2017 5:42 pm
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