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MLB Betting News and Notes Tuesday, August 16th, 2016

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National League

Brewers @ Cubs
Garza is 3-0, 3.64 in his last three starts; three of his last four went over. Milwaukee is 1-6 in his road starts. Anderson is 3-0, 2.93 in his last four starts (under 4-0). Brewers won his last three home starts.
Cahill is making his first ’16 start; he is 1-3, 3.07 in 33 relief stints this year (41 IP). He is 66-75, 4.09 in 173 big league starts- he started 3 games for Atlanta LY. Hammel is 5-0, 1.16 in his last five starts; five of his last six stayed under. Cubs are 9-1 in his home starts.
Milwaukee is 8-20 in its last 28 road games, 5-14 in road series openers. Last four Brewer games went over total. Cubs won 11 of last 13 games, are 18-3 in home series openers. Last three Cub games went over the total.

Marlins @ Reds
Urena is 0-2, 5.63 in three starts this year (under 2-1).
DeScalfani is 1-1, 4.50 in his last four starts; his last three stayed under. He is 3-0, 1.93 in four home starts.
Marlins are 5-8 in last 13 games; five of last six Miami road games went over. Cincinnati is 15-11 in its last 26 games; over is 6-1-1 in their last eight games.

Dodgers @ Phillies
Maeda is 3-0, 3.52 in his last four starts; four of his last five went over. Dodgers are 7-3 in his road outings.
Velasquez is 0-2, 5.65 in his last five starts; four of his last six stayed under. Phillies are 5-3 in his home starts.
Dodgers are 4-7 in last 11 road games, 6-12 in road series openers. Over is 5-1-1 in last seven Dodger games. Phillies won their last four games, are 6-12 in home series openers. Six of last seven Philly home games went over.

Nationals @ Rockies
Gonzalez is 3-1, 3.26 in his last five starts; Washington lost five of his last six road starts. Over is 11-6-1 in his last 18 starts.
Bettis is 4-0, 3.98 in his last seven starts; his last three went over. Colorado won his last six home starts.
Nationals are 9-3 in last 11 games; four of last five Washington games went over the total.

Colorado lost 10 of last 12 games; over is 6-3-1 in last ten Colorado games.
Mets @ Diamondbacks
Syndergaard is 0-4, 4.59 in his last six starts (under 4-2). Mets are 6-3 in his road starts.
Shipley is 2-0, 0.95 in his last three starts (under 3-1).
New York lost 13 of last 19 games; under is 22-8 in their last 30 road games. Arizona lost six of last nine home games; over is 15-3-1 in their last 19 home games.

Pirates @ Giants
Taillon is 1-1, 1.35 in his last three starts; four of his last five stayed under. Pirates split his four road outings.
Samardzija is 1-3, 5.18 in his last four starts (under 4-0). Giants are 5-3 in his home starts.
Pirates are 5-9 in last 14 road games; under is 9-5 in their last 14 road games. Giants are 9-19 since All-Star break; under is 6-3 in their last nine home games.

American League

Red Sox @ Orioles
Rodriguez is 0-2, 3.18 in his last five starts; his last six starts stayed under. Boston is 4-2 in his road starts.
Gallardo is 1-3, 4.15 in his last five starts; five of his last seven stayed under. Orioles are 5-0 in his home starts.
Red Sox won their last four games, scoring 34 runs; under is 13-3 in last 15 Boston road games. Boston is 7-2 in last nine road series openers. Baltimore won three of last four games; they’re 11-7 in home series openers. Under is 10-0-1 in their last 11 home games.

Blue Jays @ New York
Estrada is 2-1, 4.00 in his last three starts; four of his last six went over. Toronto won five of his last six road starts.
Pineda is 3-1, 3.48 in his last five starts; seven of his last nine stayed under. New York is 7-5 in his home starts.
Blue Jays are 8-5 in last 13 games; last eight Toronto road games stayed under. New York won five of last six games; four of last six New York games went over the total.

Royals @ Tigers
Duffy is 5-0, 2.32 in his last six starts; under is 6-2-1 in his last nine. Royals are 5-2 in his road starts.
Verlander is 4-0, 1.88 in his last six starts; his last eight stayed under. Detroit won seven of his last nine home starts.
Royals won seven of last nine games; under is 13-4 in their last 17. Detroit won eight of last 11 home games; six of last eight Detroit games stayed under.

White Sox @ Indians
Quintana is 4-0, 2.12 in his last seven starts; under is 18-3-1 in his last 22 starts. Chicago is 5-2 in his last seven road starts.
Kluber is 3-0, 2.14 in his last three starts; over is 7-3-1 in his last 11. Cleveland won his last five home starts.
White Sox are 6-11 in last 17 games, 3-10 in last 13 road series openers. Over is 9-5 in their last 14 games. Cleveland won five of last six home games, is 12-7 in home series openers. Indians’ last three games stayed under the total.

A’s @ Rangers
Triggs is 0-1, 5.14 in two starts this year (over 1-1).
Harrell is 1-0, 5.74 in three starts for Texas (under 2-1).
A’s lost four of last five games; seven of last nine A’s games stayed under. Texas lost three of last five games; under is 12-2-2 in their last sixteen games.

Mariners @ Angels
Miranda allowed two runs in six IP (80 PT) in his first MLB start.
Chacin is 0-4, 15.63 in his last four starts; over is 5-1-1 in his last seven.
Mariners are 11-2 in last 13 games; six of last nine Seattle road games went over. Angels lost their last 11 games; six of last eight Angel games stayed under total.

Interleague

Twins @ Braves
Santiago is 0-3, 10.05 in three starts for Minnesota (over 3-0).
De la Cruz is 0-4, 5.26 in his five starts this year (under 4-1).
Twins lost five of last six games, are 7-11 in road series openers. Last nine Minnesota road games went over. Atlanta lost four of last five games; they’re 6-12 in home series openers. Last four Brave games went over the total.

Padres @ Rays
Jackson is 2-0, 1.80 in his last two starts; three of his last four stayed under.
Snell is 2-1, 3.65 in his last five starts; five of his last seven stayed under. Rays are 2-4 in his home starts.
Padres lost six of last eight games; four of last six San Diego games stayed under. Tampa Bay lost five of last eight games; nine of Rays’ last ten games went over total.

Cardinals @ Astros
Garcia is 2-0, 1.13 in his last two starts; four of his last five stayed under. Cardinal are 6-4 in his road starts.
Keuchel had rough outing (5 runs in 2 IP) rained out in Minnesota last week; he is 1-2, 3.74 in his last three starts– five of his last six stayed under. Astros won four of his last five at home.
Cardinals are 6-9 in last 15 games, 2-5 in last 7 road series openers. Over is 6-2-1 in last nine Cardinal games. Houston lost five of last six home games; they’re 12-7 in home series openers. Under is 7-0-1 in last eight games at Minute Maid Park.

Teams’ record when this pitcher starts

Mil-Chi– Garza 5-6 (4-0 last 4) Anderson 9-13; Cahill 0-0 Hammel 14-8 (5-0 last 5)
LA-Phil– Maeda 15-9 (4-0 last 4); Velasquez 10-10 (0-5 last 5)
Mia-Cin– Urena 1-2; DeSclafani 7-5 (0-3 last 3)
Wsh-Colo– Gonzalez 10-13; Bettis 15-9
NY-Az– Syndergaard 13-9; Shipley 3-1
Pitt-SF– Taillon 7-3; Samardzija 12-12
Bos-Balt– Rodriguez 4-8; Gallardo 9-6
Tor-NY– Estrada 11-9; Pineda 12-11
KC-Det– Duffy 14-3 (9-0 last 9); Verlander 14-10
Chi-Clev– Quintana 12-11; Kluber 12-11
A’s-Tex– Triggs 0-2; Harrell 2-1/3-2
Sea-LA– Miranda 0-1; Chacin 4-7/2-3 (0-4 last 4)
Min-Atl– Santana 6-15; De la Cruz 1-4
SD-TB– Jackson 3-2; Snell 3-8
StL-Hst– Garcia 12-11; Keuchel 10-13

Starting pitchers allowing 1+ runs in first inning

Mil-Chi– Garza 3-11 Anderson 7-22; Cahill 0-0 Hammel 4-22
LA-Phil– Maeda 4-24; Velasquez 4-19
Mia-Cin– Urena 0-3; DeSclafani 6-12
Wsh-Colo– Gonzalez 6-23; Bettis 10-24
NY-Az– Syndergaard 5-22; Shipley 1-4
Pitt-SF– Taillon 4-10; Samardzija 8-24
Bos-Balt– Rodriguez 3-12; Gallardo 6-15
Tor-NY– Estrada 7-20; Pineda 9-23
KC-Det– Duffy 4-17; Verlander 9-24
Chi-Clev– Quintana 5-23; Kluber 6-23
A’s-Tex– Triggs 0-2; Harrell 4-8
Sea-LA– Miranda 0-1; Chacin 7-16
Min-Atl– Santana 7-21; De la Cruz 0-5
SD-TB– Jackson 1-5; Snell 4-11
StL-Hst– Garcia 8-23; Keuchel 5-23

Umpires

Mia-Cin– Underdogs won five of last seven Reyburn games.
Wsh-Colo– Four of last five Carlson games stayed under.
NY-Az– Seven of last nine Hudson games stayed under.
Pitt-SF– Home team won last seven Foster games.
Tor-NY– Over is 10-4 in last fourteen Layne games.
KC-Det– Over is 6-3-1 in last ten Scott games.
A’s-Tex– Five of last six West games stayed under.
Sea-LA– Last three Porter games stayed under.
SD-TB– Favorites won 10 of last 13 Reynolds games.

Armadillosports.com

 
Posted : August 16, 2016 8:05 am
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Tuesday's Diamond Notes
By Kevin Rogers
VegasInsider.com

Hottest team: Nationals (9-2 last 11)

Washington erased a 3-0 deficit to edge Colorado, 5-4 on Monday at Coors Field as nearly -200 favorites to win its third straight game. Max Scherzer lasted only four innings as he allowed seven hits and four earned runs, but the Nationals’ bullpen didn’t give up a single run in the final five innings. Washington’s offense has woken up after a three-game stretch earlier this month in which the Nats scored exactly one run, as Dusty Baker’s team has plated 33 runs in the past five games. The Nationals send out southpaw Gio Gonzalez to the mound tonight at Coors Field, as he is coming off back-to-back home wins over the Giants and Indians. However, Washington owns a 1-6 record in Gonzalez’s last seven road starts.

Coldest team: Angels (0-11 last 11)

What has happened to the Halos? Los Angeles bolted out of the All-Star break with consecutive home sweeps of Chicago and Texas, but crashed back to Earth. The Angels are currently riding an 11-game losing streak, but since that perfect homestand, Mike Scoscia’s club owns a dreadful 6-17 record. To be fair, 13 of those defeats have come on the highway, even though the Angels were tripped up at home by the streaking Mariners on Monday, 3-2. The Angels’ offense hasn’t produced lately by scoring two runs or less in five of the past eight losses, which has resulted in six UNDERS in this span.

Hottest pitcher: Jameson Taillon, Pirates (3-2, 2.85 ERA)

Pittsburgh has played better of late by winning four of its last five games, including Monday’s 8-5 triumph at San Francisco. Taillon has turned into a reliable starter for the Pirates in his rookie season by tossing at least six innings in six consecutive outings, while the Bucs are 7-2 in his past nine trips to the mound. The right-hander put together his second start of eight scoreless innings in a 4-0 victory over the Padres in his last outing, scattering only three hits, while posting his sixth straight quality start. The Pirates are listed as a short underdog at San Francisco tonight as Pittsburgh owns a 4-1 record in its past five opportunities as a road ‘dog.

Coldest pitcher: Jhoulys Chacin, Angels (3-8, 5.84 ERA)

The Los Angeles starting rotation has been terrible all season, while Chacin hasn’t produced at all when given an opportunity. The former Colorado hurler was racked for seven earned runs in less than two innings of work in his last start at Cleveland, while allowing 31 earned runs in his previous six starts. In this span, Los Angeles owns a 1-5 record, but the only victory came at home against Minnesota in mid-June. Chacin faces the Mariners tonight, who the Angels actually beat as a +145 road underdog on May 14 as the right-hander limited Seattle to five hits and two earned runs in seven innings of work.

Biggest UNDER run: Padres (4-2 last six)

Even though this isn’t an impressive UNDER stretch, let’s focus more on San Diego’s recent offensive woes. Since the Padres posted five runs in the first inning of Friday’s blowout of the Mets, San Diego has plated eight runs in the last 35 innings, including two in Monday’s 8-2 defeat at Tampa Bay. Edwin Jackson takes the mound for San Diego tonight, as the journeyman right-hander has compiled four UNDERS in his last five starts, while holding his own in two road outings at Pittsburgh and Washington by giving up two earned runs in 13 innings.

Biggest OVER run: Phillies (9-0 last nine)

When the Phillies and Dodgers met in southern California last week, all three games finished OVER the total. The two teams switch coasts and start a three-game set at Citizens Bank Park as Philadelphia’s offense has been on fire by scoring 23 runs in a weekend sweep of Colorado. All three contests sailed OVER the total, while the Phillies have plated at least five runs seven times in the last nine games. Six of the last seven games at Citizens Bank Park have eclipsed the OVER, as Vince Velasquez takes the mound for Philadelphia tonight, trying to improve on a 1.72 ERA at home.

Matchup to watch: Red Sox vs. Orioles

The AL East has turned into a three-horse race between Baltimore, Boston, and Toronto. This trio is separated by one game as the Sox travel to Camden Yards following Monday’s make-up game victory at Cleveland. The Orioles return home from a 5-5 road trip, capped off by erasing a 7-1 deficit in Sunday’s 8-7 triumph at San Francisco. Baltimore owns the best home record in the American League at 39-17, while the Orioles are riding an 11-game UNDER streak at Camden Yards.

Yovani Gallardo heads to the mound for Baltimore in the series opener, as the right-hander has seen his most success at home with Baltimore posting a 5-0 record in his five starts at Camden Yards. In Gallardo’s previous outing against the Red Sox in April, the veteran allowed five earned runs in five innings but the Orioles outlasted the Sox, 9-7 as +170 underdogs. Eduardo Rodriguez counters for Boston, as the Sox own a dreadful 2-7 record in his past nine trips to the mound. Boston has beaten Baltimore only once in Rodriguez’s five career starts against them, a 6-2 triumph at Camden Yards on May 31.

Betcha didn’t know: The Mets haven’t had any luck against the Diamondbacks this season, losing all four meetings, including Monday’s series opener at Chase Field. Mets’ right-hander Noah Syndergaard looks to rebound after allowing eight hits and three earned runs in five innings of a 9-0 home loss to Arizona as a -230 favorite last Thursday. Syndergaard is back on the mound tonight in the desert, as New York owns a 5-2 record in his seven road starts this season.

Biggest public favorite: Indians (-200) vs. White Sox

Biggest public underdog: Rockies (+115) vs. Nationals

Biggest line move: Rays (-150 to -170) vs. Padres

 
Posted : August 16, 2016 8:14 am
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MLB: Streak, Tips, Notes
Sportspic.com

Toronto at New York

The Toronto Blue Jays have been an 'Under' bettor’s dream. Last night's 1-0 loss to the New York Yankees the Blue Jays are now 46-68-5 O/U on the year split between 28-32-2 O/U in front of the home audience, 18-36-3 O/U in an opposing park. Blue Jays unable to find a consistent stroke at the plate during August crossing just 3.5 runs/game in posting 11 'Under', 3 'Over' look to keep 'Under' gambler's happy when they play the second of this three game set at Yankee Stadium.

In this contest, Toronto hands hand the ball to Marco Estrada carrying a 10-5-1 'Under' record vs a division opponent and 17-7-1 'Under' record last 25 overall. His counterpart Michael Pineda brings to the table a 7-2 'Under' his last nine starts, 5-1-1 'Under' stretch in front of the home crowd.

Another positive for 'Under' gamblers. The 'Under' has been the right decision in 8 of 10 meeting this season. Sports Interaction has the total set at 8.5 runs.

 
Posted : August 16, 2016 8:19 am
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Pirates, Giants hook up
By Sportsbook.ag

PITTSBURGH PIRATES (60-56) at SAN FRANCISCO GIANTS (66-52)

Sportsbook.ag Line: Pittsburgh +105, San Francisco -115, Total: 7.5

The Pirates will be looking to win their third straight game when they face the Giants in San Francisco on Tuesday.

Pittsburgh has come on strong recently, as the team has now won seven of its past 10 games. The Pirates are now only one game back in the NL Wild Card race and this team is surely thinking that it is going to be playing some postseason baseball this year. Another road win over a good Giants team would be a major boost in confidence as well.

San Francisco, meanwhile, is really struggling and has now lost eight of its past 13 games coming into this one. The Giants likely aren’t in danger of losing their postseason spot, but they are getting cold at the wrong time and need to turn things around soon.

The starters in this game are going to be RHP Jameson Taillon (3-2, 2.85 ERA, 47 K) for the Pirates and RHP Jeff Samardzija (10-8, 4.23 ERA, 107 K) for the Giants. It’s worth noting that Pittsburgh is an impressive 47-17 against the money line against NL West opponents over the past two seasons. C Buster Posey (Back) is questionable for San Francisco in this one.

Jameson Taillon will be on the mound for Pittsburgh on Tuesday night and he has been unbelievable for the team this season. Taillon’s last start was actually the best of his young career, as he pitched eight innings of shutout baseball against the Padres on Aug. 11. One thing that is big for him is that he avoids leaving pitches too high in the zone. He has had games where he has allowed two or more homers and he can’t afford to let the ball leave the park too often against this Giants team.

Offensively, OF Andrew McCutchen (.243, 16 HR, 49 RBI) is the guy to watch for Pittsburgh in this one. McCutchen seems to slowly be regaining his form, as he has seen his average rise from .240 to .243 over the past 10 games and has racked up five RBI over the past four games as well. If he can start to creep closer to the .292 average that he has hit in his career over the remainder of the season then this Pirates team could be extremely dangerous come playoff time.

The Giants will be hoping to end their recent struggles on Tuesday and Jeff Samardzija is the guy that will need to give them a good outing. Samardzija is coming off of a very good performance against the Marlins, allowing no earned runs in 5.2 innings of work. It came after a stretch of four straight games where the righty allowed at least four earned runs apiece, so perhaps the meeting with Miami was the confidence boost he needed. He did, however, get lit up the last time he faced the Pirates, allowing six earned runs in three innings of work on Jun. 22.

If C Buster Posey (.288, 12 HR, 54 RBI) doesn’t play in this one then the Giants will need some others to provide Samardzija the run support he’ll need. One guy that has been swinging the bat well for San Francisco is 3B Eduardo Nunez (.287, 13 HR, 50 RBI). Nunez is 3-for-9 with a homer and three runs scored over the past two games. He has been solid since coming to the Giants and they can use some extra base hits out of him in the remainder of this series.

SS Brandon Crawford (.270, 11 HR, 71 RBI) must also come through for his team. Since going 7-for-8 in an extra inning game against Miami on Aug 8, Crawford is just 3-for-23 at the plate. The team needs him to step it up and snap out of this slump.

 
Posted : August 16, 2016 1:38 pm
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