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MLB Betting News and Notes Tuesday, August 23rd, 2016

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National League

Mets @ Cardinals
Niese is 1-4, 8.15 in his last six starts; under is 6-3 in his last nine.
Garcia is 3-0, 3.00 in his last three starts; his last three home starts stayed under. Cardinals are 5-7 in his home starts.
Mets are 7-11 in last 18 games, 2-7 in last nine road series openers. Six of last seven New York games went over the total. St Louis won six of last seven games, won their last four home series openers. Over is 5-2-1 in their last eight home games.

Rockies @ Brewers
Gray is 0-2, 14.25 in his last three starts (over 3-0). Colorado lost five of his last six road starts.
Anderson 3-0, 2.86 in his last five starts; he left his last start in first inning with a quad injury. His last five starts stayed under. Brewers won his last three home starts.
Rockies won four of last six games; six of last eight Colorado road games went over. Milwaukee lost six of last eight games; four of last five Brewer games went over the total.

Braves @ Diamondbacks
Whalen is 1-2, 6.55 in four starts this year (over 3-1).
Bradley is 0-2, 11.00 in his last four starts (over 3-1). Arizona is 3-5 in his home starts.
Braves lost eight of last nine games; 10 of last 11 Atlanta games went over. Arizona is 5-7 in last 12 home games; eight of last nine Arizona games went over the total.

Cubs @ Padres
Arrieta is 3-0, 2.79 in his last three starts; over is 6-3-1 in his last ten starts. Cubs are 8-3 in his road starts, but 1-3 in his last four.
Friedrich is 0-3, 4.58 in his last three starts; three of his last four stayed under. Padres are 4-3 in his home starts (1-3 in last four).
Cubs are 17-4 in last 21 games; five of last seven Chicago games stayed under. San Diego lost seven of last ten games; seven of last nine games at Petco Park went over total.

Giants @ Dodgers
Bumgarner is 2-1, 2.25 in his last three starts; three of his last four went over. Giants lost his last four road starts.
Maeda is 4-0, 3.45 in his last five starts; five of his last six went over the total. Dodgers won four of his last five home starts.
Giants lost six of last eight games, are 2-7 in last nine road series openers. Over is 7-2 in last nine Giant games. Dodgers lost three of last four games, are 6-3 in last nine home series openers. Over is 7-2-1 in last ten games at Dodger Stadium.

American League

Angels @ Rays
Skaggs is 0-2, 7.11 in his last four starts (over 3-2).
Dickey is 1-4, 6.97 in his last six starts; (over 4-2). Blue Jays are 3-10 in his home starts.
Angels are 2-15 in last 17 road games, 2-9 in last 11 road series openers. Under is 7-2 in last nine Halo games. Toronto is 9-4 in its last 13 home games, 8-12 in home series openers. Over is 7-3-1 in Jays’ last 11 home games.

Red Sox @ Rays
Buchholz is 0-5, 7.07 in his last eight starts; four of his last five stayed under. Boston is 1-4 in his road starts.
Archer is 2-1, 2.79 in his last three starts; four of his last five road starts stayed under. Tampa Bay is 3-9 in his home starts.
Red Sox won nine of last 11 games; under is 16-6-1 in Boston’s last 23 road games. Tampa Bay won six of last eight games; over is 10-2 in Rays’ last 12 home games.

Tigers @ Twins
Sanchez is 1-1, 4.06 in his last five starts; under is 5-2-1 in his last eight. Detroit is 1-8 in his road starts.
Gibson is 3-1, 4.78 in his last six starts; his last four went over. Minnesota is 4-5 in his home starts.
Tigers are 4-10 in last 14 games, 7-13 in road series openers. Under is 7-2 in Detroit’s last nine games. Minnesota lost nine of last 12 games; they’re 8-12 in home series openers. Over is 16-4-2 in Twins’ last 22 games.

Indians @ A’s
Salazar is 0-1, 16.71 in his last three starts; his last five went over the total. Cleveland split his eight road starts.
Manaea is 1-3, 5.70 in his last four starts; under is 9-5-1 in his last 14 starts. Oakland won five of his last six home starts.
Indians are 9-3 in last 11 games; under is 7-2 in their last nine road games. Oakland lost eight of last nine games; under is 13-3 in their last 16 games.

New York @ Mariners
Sabathia is 1-2, 5.01 in his last four starts; four of his last five went over. New York won four of his last five road starts.
Walker 1-1, 6.45 in his last five starts; three of his last four stayed under. Mariners won his last three home starts.
New York won four of last six games; four of last five New York road games stayed under. Seattle won nine of last ten home games; Mariners’ last five games went over the total.

Interleague

Astros @ Pirates
Musgrove is 1-1, 5.12 in his first three MLB starts (over 1-1-1).
Nova is 2-0, 4.41 in three starts for the Pirates (under 2-1).
Astros won their last four games; over is 9-4 in their last 13 games. Pittsburgh lost their last four games; five of last six Pirate home games stayed under.

Nationals @ Orioles
Lopez is 2-0, 1.93 in his last two starts (over 3-1).
Gausman is 2-3, 5.74 in his last five starts; under is 12-5 in his last 17. Orioles won his last five home starts.
Washington is 7-4 in its last 11 road games; five of Nationals’ last six games went over the total. Baltimore lost five of last seven games; under is 14-3-1 in last 18 games at Camden Yards.

Rangers @ Reds
Holland is 0-1, 9.00 in his last three starts, last of which was June 20 (over 6-6-2). Texas is 3-5 in his road starts.
Straily is 6-0, 2.25 in his last seven starts; his last four went over. Reds are 9-3 in his home starts.
Rangers are 6-3 in last nine road games, 5-8 in last 13 road series openers. Last three Texas games went over the total. Cincinnati is 12-5 in last 17 home games, 5-1 in last six home series openers. Over is 10-3-1 in Reds’ last 14 games.

Royals @ Marlins
Ventura is 2-0, 2.25 in his last three starts; six of his last eight stayed under. Royals are 5-8 in his road starts.
Cashner is 0-2, 6.00 in four starts for Miami (over 2-2).
Royals won their last eight games, are 7-13 in road series openers. Under is 4-1-1 in their last six games. Miami won its last three games, but lost last five home series openers. Over is 6-3 in Marlins’ last nine games.

Phillies @ White Sox
Thompson is 1-2, 8.79 in his first three MLB starts (over 2-0-1).
Rodon is 1-0, 2.50 in his last three starts; over is 4-2 in his last six. White Sox won three of his last four at home.
Phillies are 6-9 in last 15 road games (over 10-4-1), 4-1 in last five road series openers. White Sox are 7-3 in last ten home games, 1-4 in last five home series openers. Under is 5-2 in their last seven home games.

Teams’ record when this pitcher starts

Col-Mil: Gray 10-12; Anderson 9-14
NY-StL: Niese 0-1/9-9; Garcia 13-11
Atl-Az: Whalen 2-2; Bradley 8-10
Chi-SD: Arrieta 16-8 (3-0 last 3); Friedrich 7-10
SF-LA: Bumgarner 15-11; Maeda 16-9 (5-0 last 5)
LAA-Tor: Skaggs 1-4; Dickey 9-16
Bos-TB: Buchholz 4-11; Archer 8-18
Det-Min: Sanchez 4-15; Gibson 9-8
Clev-A’s: Salazar 14-7; Manaea 8-10
NY-Sea: Sabathia 11-11; unknown
Hst-Pitt: Musgrove 1-2; Nova 3-0/7-8
Wsh-Balt: Lopez 2-2; Gausman 9-13
Tex-Cin: Holland 8-6; Straily 14-9 (7-0 last 7)
KC-Mia: Ventura 13-11 (4-0 last 4); Cashner 1-3/7-9
Phil-Chi: Thompson 1-2; Rodon 7-13

Starting pitchers allowing 1+ runs in first inning

Col-Mil: Gray 8-22; Anderson 7-22
NY-StL: Niese 4-19; Garcia 9-24
Atl-Az: Whalen 3-4; Bradley 8-18
Chi-SD: Arrieta 3-24; Friedrich 7-17
SF-LA: Bumgarner 6-26; Maeda 5-25
LAA-Tor: Skaggs 2-5; Dickey 6-25
Bos-TB: Buchholz 7-15; Archer 12-26
Det-Min: Sanchez 7-19; Gibson 9-17
Clev-A’s: Salazar 4-21; Manaea 1-18
NY-Sea: Sabathia 5-22; unknown
Hst-Pitt: Musgrove 1-3; Nova 5-18
Wsh-Balt: Lopez 2-4; Gausman 8-22
Tex-Cin: Holland 2-14; Straily 8-23
KC-Mia: Ventura 5-24; Cashner 7-19
Phil-Chi: Thompson 1-3; Rodon 6-20

Umpires

Col-Mil– Over is 5-2-1 in last eight Emmel games.
Atl-Az– Three of last four Vanover games went over.
Chi-SD– Three of four Lentz games stayed under.
Bos-TB– Favorites won seven of last nine Kulpa games.
Clev-A’s– Five of last seven Carlson games stayed under.
NY-Sea– Underdogs are 5-4 in last nine Nelson games.
Hst-Pitt– Last four Baker games went over the total.
Wsh-Balt– Underdogs are 12-6 in last 18 Little games.

Armadillosports.com

 
Posted : August 23, 2016 8:04 am
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Tuesday's Diamond Notes
By Joe Williams
VegasInsider.com

Hottest team: Royals (8-0 past 8, 11-1 past 12)

The Royals have played their way right back into the thick of the Wild Card race in the American League with their eight-game winning streak, and extended hot streak. The Royals have also won four in a row on the road, and they're 6-0 in their past six games against a starting pitcher with a WHIP greater than 1.30, for which Marlins SP Andrew Cashner certainly qualifies. The Royals are also 5-0 in their past five against right-handed starting pitching while winning each of Yordano Ventura's past four outings. On the flip side, the Marlins are 4-10 in their past 14 vs. RHP, 1-5 in their past six at home against righties and 0-4 in their past four interleague home outings against right-handed starters.

Coldest team: Angels (3-14 past 17)

The Angels hit the road for Toronto to face the first-place Blue Jays. That's not good for a Halos team which has dropped 10 straight on the road, last winning July 26 away from home. The Angels turn to Tyler Skaggs to snap the road woes, but he hasn't been very effective. The Angels are 0-4 in his past four outings, and they're 6-23 in their past 29 road games against right-handed starters. Nothing lines up in the favor of the Angels, as the cold streak should continue north of the border. Toronto has won 17 of their past 24 at home, and they're 5-1 in their past six against American League West foes.

Hottest pitcher: Ivan Nova, Pirates (9-6, 4.83 ERA)

Nova's overall numbers certainly aren't impressive, but he is unbeaten in three outings since coming aboard with the Pirates in a trade from the New York Yankees. He is 4-0 with a 4.41 ERA in three August starts, allowing eight runs with no walks and 12 strikeouts over 16 1/3 innings as a member of the Bucs. The Pirates have been victorious in all three of his outings, too. The Astros have been red hot lately, so this will be a huge test. However, while Houston is 25-10 in their past 35 interleague games, they are just 4-9 in their past 13 against right-handed starting pitchers.

Coldest pitcher: Sean Manaea, Athletics (4-8, 4.73 ERA)

The rookie for the Athletics has won just one of his past nine starts, although he has chopped more than a run from his overall ERA since July 5. Still, he is facing a red-hot Indians team which is 7-1 in their past eight road outings against a team with a losing record and 13-3 in their past 16 against American League West foes. The Tribe has built their first-place standing in the American League Central Division on the backs of the dregs of the league, winning 28 of their past 37 against teams with an overall losing record, including a 1-0 pitcher's duel win in Monday's series opener. The A's have lost four straight against the Indians.

Biggest UNDER run: Athletics (7-0 past six, 13-3 past 16)

Another day, another under for the A's, who continue to struggle scoring runs. They dropped the series opener against Carlos Carrasco and the Indians by a 1-0 count. Carrasco had been struggling allowing the long ball, but that wasn't a problem over eight scoreless innings with four hits and no walks allowed Monday while punching out nine A's. The Oakland lineup consists of a majority of players who came up from Triple-A Nashville. During their 1-8 run the Athletics are averaging just 3.1 runs per game, and if you take out a nine-run outburst in a win Aug. 19, they are averaging 2.4 runs in the eight losses.

Biggest OVER run: Braves (6-0 past six, 10-1 past 11 and 5-0 past five road games)

The offense has been flowing for the Braves lately, and their pitching staff continues to get punched around. That makes for plenty of 'over' results. In their past six games the Atlanta pitching staff is allowing 8.5 runs per game, taking care of the over on their own in four of the six outings. The over is also 20-6 in Arizona's past 26 games at home, 36-14-1 in their past 51 overall and 9-1-1 in Archie Bradley's past 11 home starts. All signs point to another high-scoring game just like Monday's wild series opener which saw Arizona eek out a 9-8 walk-off winner.

Matchup to watch: Dodgers vs. Giants

The Dodgers head home to Chavez Ravine looking to turn aside the rival Giants. Hopefully for L.A. they didn't leave all of their offense in Cincinnati, as they thrashed the Reds 19-8 while smashing seven home runs. Runs should be significantly harder to come by with Madison Bumgarner on the bump for San Francisco. The Giants are 5-12 over their past 17 road games, and 2-6 in their past eight outings. They just haven't been very Giant-like lately, including just 2-5 over their past seven outings by Madison Bumgarner. The Dodgers have won 29 of their past 41 at home, and they're 5-2 in Kenta Maeda's past seven starts against a team with a winning overall record. The Giants have lost six of their past seven in L.A., and they're 0-4 in MadBum's past four outings against the Dodgers.

Betcha didn’t know: CC Sabathia has had a ton of success against the Mariners over his career, and the Bronx Bombers generally fare very well when Carsten Charles is on the bump. The Yankees are a perfect 5-0 in Sabathia's past five starts at Safeco Field, and they're 11-2 in his past 13 starts overall against the M's. The Yankees have won eight of their past nine in Seattle, and the Yankees have won nine of their past 13 against the Mariners. New York has won 14 of their past 19 against American League West foes. The Mariners are 3-7 in Taijuan Walker's past 10 outings, including 2-5 in his past seven against teams with an overall winning mark.

Biggest public favorite: Cubs (-225) at Padres

Biggest public underdog: Pirates (+115) vs. Astros

Biggest line move: Braves (+150 to +125) at Diamondbacks

 
Posted : August 23, 2016 8:13 am
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Mariners host Yankees
By Sportsbook.ag

NEW YORK YANKEES (63-61) at SEATTLE MARINERS (67-57)

Sportsbook.ag Line: Mariners -135, Yankees +125, Total 8

The Yankees will be hoping to avoid losing their third straight game when they face the Mariners in Seattle on Tuesday.

Monday night’s game between the Yankees and Mariners was a real roller coaster, as the teams combined to hit seven homers in a game that featured four lead changes. The Yankees had a 5-3 lead heading into the bottom of the sixth inning, but the Mariners ended up pulling out the 7-5 win.

New York has now lost two straight games and things are starting to slip away from the team in the AL Wild Card race. The Mariners, meanwhile, have won nine of their past 13 games coming into this contest and will be hoping to keep it up.

The starters in this game are set to be LHP C.C. Sabathia (7-10, 4.49 ERA, 110 K) for the Yankees and RHP Taijuan Walker (4-7, 4.10 ERA, 80 K) for the Mariners. Walker has made three starts in Triple-A since being demoted in July, but he has earned another shot in the bigs and the Mariners are hoping their prized prospect will turn things around.

One thing worth noting is that Seattle is an impressive 18-9 when facing AL East opponents this season. The team is, however, just 19-25 against the money line when facing lefties on the year.

The Yankees are hoping to pick up a victory on Tuesday night and C.C. Sabathia will be the guy on the mound for New York. Sabathia has had an up-and-down season for the team, but he is coming off of a brutal start against Toronto on Aug. 17 and must regain his composure coming into this contest.

Sabathia pitched just six innings in that game and allowed seven earned runs on nine hits. He had, however, allowed three or fewer earned runs in three of his previous four games and will be hoping to turn in something close to a quality start in this one. It’s important that he keeps his walks down in this one, as Sabathia has put on three or more batters in three of the past four games.

Offensively, C Gary Sanchez (.385, 8 HR, 15 RBI) has emerged as one of the Yankees’ best hitters. He was 3-for-4 with two homers and three RBI on Monday night and has now homered seven times in the past eight games. He is on fire for New York and should continue to terrorize his opponents the rest of the season.

Taijuan Walker is one of the more prized prospects the Mariners have, but he allowed 11 earned runs in his last two starts before being sent to the minors and clearly has a lot of work to do. Walker did, however, perform well in Triple-A and is hoping that he can improve upon his numbers in the majors moving forward.

He has some really impressive stuff on the mound, but must locate his pitches better and find a way to avoid making huge mistakes. He allowed 15 homers in his past 10 starts in the majors, and that is not going to cut it moving forward.

Walker’s run support in this game is going to be important, but he’ll luckily have a red-hot 2B Robinson Cano (.294, 28 HR, 79 RBI) on his side in this one. Cano has seen his average rise from .291 to .294 over the past eight games and was 3-for-4 against the Yankees on Monday. He is swinging the bat well and should be able to contribute in this one. DH Nelson Cruz (.287, 32 HR, 78 RBI) is another guy to watch in this game. He homered in Monday’s win and tends to hit for power in bunches.

 
Posted : August 23, 2016 2:25 pm
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