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MLB Betting News and Notes Tuesday, July 19

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(@blade)
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National League

Marlins @ Phillies
Urena is making his first MLB start; he is 1-1, 7.52 in 16 MLB games (20.1 IP) and 1-3, 3.99 in 10 AAA starts this season.

Velasquez is 3-0, 2.12 in his last three starts; over is 7-3 in his last ten. Phillies are 5-2 in his home starts.

Marlins won six of last seven games; over is 17-6 in their last 23 true road games. Philly lost three of last four games, under is 10-2-1 in its last 13 at home.

Brewers @ Pirates
Guerra is 3-1, 1.61 in his last four starts; under is 8-2-1 in his last 11. Milwaukee is 6-0 in his road starts.

Taillon is 2-1, 3.86 in five starts this year (over 4-1).

Brewers lost four of their last five games; they're 5-10 in road series openers. Under is 5-2-2 in their last nine games. Pittsburgh won 10 of its last 14 games; they're 9-5 in home series openers. Last five Pirate home games went over the total.

Dodgers @ Nationals
Kazmir is 2-0, 4.05 in his last four starts; five of his last seven starts went over. Dodgers are 4-4 in his road starts.

Lopez is making first MLB start; he was 4-5, 3.19 in 16 minor league starts this year, mostly in AA Eastern League.

Dodgers are 6-9 in last 15 road games, 5-10 in road series openers. Five of LA's last seven road games went over total. Washington won five of its last six games; they're 10-4 in home series openers. Last six National games stayed under the total.

Braves @ Reds
Jenkins allowed one run in 4.2 IP (64 PT) in his first '16 start. .

Reed is 0-4, 10.22 in five MLB starts (over 5-0). .

Atlanta is 4-8 in its last 12 games; under is 11-4 in their last 15 road games. Cincinnati lost eight of last 12 home games, over is 15-7-1 in Reds' last 23 games.

Mets @ Cubs
Syndergaard is 1-2, 5.52 in his last three starts; over is 6-1-1 in his last eight. Mets are 5-2 in his road starts.

Arrieta is 1-3, 7.17 in his last four starts (over 3-0-1). Cubs are 5-3 in his home starts.

Mets lost nine of last 13 road games; under is 15-4 in New York's last 19 road games. Cubs won four of last five games; last six games at Wrigley Field stayed under.

Padres @ Cardinals
Rea is 2-0, 4.91 in his last four starts; nine of his last 11 went over. San Diego won five of his six road starts.

Martinez is 4-1, 1.49 in his last eight starts; under is 5-0-1 in his last six. Cardinals lost six of his last seven home starts.

Padres won three of last four games; their last three games went over. St Louis lost five of last eight home games; three of their last four games went over.

American League

Orioles @ New York
Worley is 1-0, 6.75 in two starts (over 1-1), last of which was April 15.

Eovaldi is 0-4, 9.61 in his last four starts; five of his last six went over. New York is 5-2 in his home starts.

Orioles won six of last nine games, their last six games stayed under. New York won four of its last six games, their last four games stayed under.

Twins @ Tigers
Milone is 2-0, 2.45 in his last two starts; five of his last seven went over. Minnesota lost four of his five road starts.

Sanchez is 0-6, 8.14 in his last eight starts (over 7-3 in his last 10). Detroit is 2-4 in his home starts.

Minnesota lost three of last four games; six of Twins' last seven road games went over. Detroit won five of last six home games, ten of its last 13 games stayed under the total.

Indians @ Royals
Salazar is 3-1, 2.54 in his last four starts; five of his last six went over. Cleveland split his 10 road starts.

Flynn is making first MLB start; he is 2-1, 3.04 in nine AAA games (four starts) this year. He is 1-0, 2.39 in 13 MLB games (26.1 IP), but no starts

Indians won 10 of last 14 road games; under is 5-3-1 in Tribe's last nine road games. Kansas City lost eight of last 12 games; six of last nine KC stayed under the total. Cleveland lost its last five games in Kansas City.

Astros @ A's
Keuchel is 3-0, 3.34 in his last five starts; six of his last nine stayed under. Houston is 4-6 in his road starts.

Overton is 1-1, 11.42 in two starts (over 2-0).

Astros won nine of last 12 road games; four of their last five road games went over. Oakland is 15-23 in last 38 games overall, 6-11 in last 17 at home. Five of their last seven home tilts went over the total.

Rangers @ Angels
Lohse allowed six runs in five IP (109 PT) in his first '16 start.

Lincecum is 0-3, 8.66 in his last four starts (under 3-2).

Texas lost 12 of last 16 games; over is 9-3-1 in their last 13 games. Angels won eight of last ten games, four of their last six stayed under the total.

White Sox @ Mariners
Quintana is 2-0, 3.46 in his last two starts; under is 15-2 in his last 17 starts. Chicago split his ten road starts.

Miley is 0-4, 6.00 in his last four starts; over is 7-2-2 in his last 11. Seattle is 3-4 in his home starts.

White Sox lost their last four games, scoring one run; three of their last four games stayed under. Seattle lost seven of last ten games; four of their last five home games went over.

Interleague

Giants @ Red Sox
Peavy is 4-1, 3.51 in his last six starts (under 5-1). Giants are 3-5 in his road starts.

Porcello is 3-0, 2.84 in his last three starts; Red Sox are 9-0 in his home starts. Over is 6-2-1 in his last nine starts.

Giants lost their last three games; over is 5-1-1 in their last seven road games. Giants are 8-7 in their road series openers. Boston won eight of last ten games; they're 9-7 in home series openers. Last five Boston games stayed under the total.

Rays @ Rockies
Snell is 1-4, 5.74 in his last five starts (under 4-2). .

Chatwood is 0-1, 6.94 in his last three starts (over 3-0); Colorado is 3-5 in his home starts.

Tampa Bay lost its last 11 road games; Rays' last six games stayed under total. Colorado is 10-6 in last 16 home games, eight of last 12 games at Coors Field went over the total.

Blue Jays @ Diamondbacks
Sanchez is 3-0, 2.18 in his last five starts; Jays are 6-4 in his road starts. Last four Sanchez starts stayed under the total.

Godley is 2-0, 4.91 in his last two starts (over 2-0).

Toronto is 4-7 in its last 11 road games, 9-6 in road series openers. Over is 5-2-1 in their last eight road games. Arizona lost 13 of last 17 games but won last two; they're 3-13 in home series openers. Over is 8-1-1 in their last ten home games.

Teams won-lost records when this pitcher starts:

Mia-Phil-- Urena 0-0; Velasquez 10-5
Mil-Pitt-- Guerra 10-3; Taillon 3-2
LA-Wsh-- Kazmir 10-8 (4-0 last 4); Lopez 0-0
Atl-Cin-- Jenkins 0-1; Reed 0-5
NY-Chi-- Syndergaard 11-6; Arrieta 13-5 (3-5 last 8)
SD-StL-- Rea 10-6; Martinez 8-9

Balt-NY-- Worley 2-0; Eovaldi 8-8 (0-4 last 4)
Min-Det-- Milone 4-4; Sanchez 3-10 (0 of last 8)
Cle-KC-- Salazar 11-6; Flynn 0-0
Hst-A's-- Keuchel 9-10 (5-0 last 5); Overton 1-1
Tex-LAA-- Lohse 0-1; Lincecum 2-3
Chi-Sea-- Quintana 9-9; Miley 9-7 (0-4 last 4)

SF-Bos-- Peavy 10-8; Porcello 14-4 (7-0 last 7)
TB-Colo-- Snell 1-5; Chatwood 10-6
Tor-Az-- Sanchez 11-7; Godley 2-0

Starting pitchers allowing 1+ runs in first inning:

Mia-Phil-- Urena 0-0; Velasquez 3-14
Mil-Pitt-- Guerra 2-13; Taillon 1-5
LA-Wsh-- Kazmir 10-18; Lopez 0-0
Atl-Cin-- Jenkins 0-1; Reed 4-5
NY-Chi-- Syndergaard 4-17; Arrieta 3-18
SD-StL-- Rea 9-16; Martinez 1-17

Balt-NY-- Worley 0-2; Eovaldi 4-16
Min-Det-- Milone 0-8; Sanchez 5-13
Cle-KC-- Salazar 1-17; Flynn 0-0
Hst-A's-- Keuchel 4-19; Overton 1-2
Tex-LAA-- Lohse 0-1; Lincecum 2-5
Chi-Sea-- Quintana 4-18; Miley 7-16

SF-Bos-- Peavy 4-18; Porcello 7-18 (5 of last 6)
TB-Colo-- Snell 2-6; Chatwood 6-16
Tor-Az-- Sanchez 3-18; Godley 1-2

Umpires

Mia-Phil-- Favorites won 10 of last 12 Hallion games.
Atl-Cin-- Six of last nine Barksdale games stayed under.
NY-Chi-- Nine of 12 Cooper games stayed under total.
SD-StL-- Over is 6-3-2 in last eleven Vanover games.

Balt-NY-- Six of last eight Tichenor games stayed under.
Min-Det-- Last eight Layne games went over the total.
Cle--KC-- Over is 5-3-1 in last nine Eddings games.
Hst-A's-- Last five Gonzalez games stayed under.
Tex-LA-- 12 of last 13 Wegner games went over total.
Chi-Sea-- Last four Danley games stayed under.

TB-Colo-- Home side won 11 of last 12 Fagan games.

Armadillosports.com

 
Posted : July 19, 2016 7:39 am
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Posts: 318493
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MLB: Streak, Tips, Notes
Sportspic.com

San Francisco Giants at Boston Red Sox

Boston Red Sox host San Francisco in the opener of a mini two game interleague set at Fenway Park. Red Sox one of the hottest teams in the league this July posting a 9-3 record behind 5.6 runs/game count on Rick Porcello carrying a 11-2 record, 3.66 ERA to the hill including a perfect 8-0 in front of the home audience where his KW ratio is an eye-popping 49-7.

The Giants hitting a rough patch getting swept in San Diego try to get back on track with X-Red-Sox Jake Peavy heading to the mound sporting a 5-7 record, 5.09 ERA. San Francico handing the ball to Peavy does serve as an alarm, since the Giants are 3-5 in his eight road starts this season, 0-9 in his last nine road starts facing a team with a winning record.

Oddsmakers have open Red Sox -$1.60 home favorites with the total set at 10.5 runs. As always, a higher price on a game is cause to ratchet up the tension. However, in this case with Porcello in great form, Giants 0-5 last five times the team has found itself opening a road series with Peavy, the numbers add up well enough to conclude Boston is the right choice.

Houston Astros at Oakland Athletics

Houston southpaw Dallas Keuchel gets his second straight start vs Oakland. In the previous effort he spun seven innings of 1-run ball in Astros' 2-1 victory. The lefthander 3-0 with a 2.78 ERA in his last five starts, Houston 5-0 in those games expect Stros to improve to 8-1 vs Oakland with Keuchel while A's fall to 0-7 at home vs a portside starter.

 
Posted : July 19, 2016 7:47 am
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Tuesday's Diamond Notes
By Kevin Rogers
VegasInsider.com

Hottest team: Angels (8-2 last 10)

It may be too little, too late for the Halos, but Los Angeles has won all four games since the All-Star break. Following a three-game sweep of the White Sox, the Angels rallied from a 4-0 deficit on Monday to stun the stumbling Rangers, 9-5 thanks to Mike Trout’s 19th home run. Los Angeles has scored at least seven runs in three of its last four victories, as the Halos look to provide plenty of run support for Tim Lincecum tonight. The former Cy Young winner hasn’t been particularly sharp since winning his L.A. debut, allowing 17 earned runs in his past four outings, while the Angels own a 1-3 mark in this stretch.

Coldest team: Rays (1-9 last 10)

Tampa Bay just can’t seem to bust out of this category, as the Rays dropped their 11th straight road game in Monday’s setback at Colorado. The Rays have won just twice this month, while allowing at least four runs in nine of the past 10 contests. The last time that Tampa Bay won on the road came at Arizona back on June 8, as the Rays tries to end their highway woes tonight at Coors Field. Southpaw Blake Snell takes the mound for Tampa Bay as the Rays have compiled a 1-5 record in his six starts this season.

Hottest pitcher: Vince Velasquez, Phillies (8-2, 3.32 ERA)

Philadelphia suffered a heart-breaking loss in Monday’s 3-2 defeat to Miami, allowing two runs in the ninth inning before Martin Prado’s game-winning homer in extra innings. The Phillies turn to Velasquez tonight, who has won three straight starts since missing time in June with a sore arm. Velasquez has allowed a total of four earned runs in these three victories, while striking out 10 Marlins the last time he faced Miami in a 3-1 victory back on May 17.

Coldest pitcher: Cody Reed, Reds (0-4, 8.39 ERA)

Cincinnati is looking for three straight wins for the first time since early June after routing Atlanta on Monday. The two teams hook up tonight at Great American Ballpark as the southpaw Reed is seeking his first Major League win in his sixth start. Reed hasn’t lasted past the fifth inning in his last four outings, while giving up at least four runs in each of his first five starts. Reed will be listed as a favorite for just the second time in his short career, as the left-hander was lit up for five earned runs in five innings against San Diego on June 24.

Biggest UNDER run: Mets (7-0 last seven)

The Cubs finally got over the hump against the Mets after getting swept in last season’s NLCS and dropping all four games at Citi Field earlier this month in Monday’s 5-1 rout. New York’s offense hasn’t woken up in July, scoring two runs or less in five of the past seven games, including four of those performances against the Cubs and Nationals. It should be another low-scoring affair at Wrigley tonight with Noah Syndergaard and Jake Arrieta on the mound. Arrieta has benefited from plenty of rest, last taking the mound on July 8 as the 2015 Cy Young winner owns a 1.65 home ERA.

Biggest OVER run: Dodgers (7-3 last 10 on road)

Los Angeles ventures east for a three-game series with the NL-East leading Nationals. The Dodgers came up short in Sunday’s 6-5 defeat at Arizona, but managed to cash the ‘over’ in two of three games against the Diamondbacks. The Dodgers’ offense has been up and down on the road of late, scoring at least five runs in five of the past seven games away from Chavez Ravine, but putting up one or less in the other two in this span. Scott Kazmir has cashed the ‘over’ in six of eight road starts this season for Los Angeles, while allowing at least three earned runs in six highway outings.

Matchup to watch: Giants vs. Red Sox

Two teams that will likely be playing in October hook up for a brief two-game interleague set at Fenway Park. San Francisco and Boston split a two-game series at AT&T Park last month as the Giants make their first trip to Beantown since 2007. The Giants were swept by the Padres this past weekend, the first time San Francisco was swept on the road this season. The Red Sox captured two of three from the rival Yankees in the Bronx, while Boston owns a 7-3 record in its past 10 home contests. Former Red Sox right-hander Jake Peavy heads to the mound tonight for San Francisco opposite Rick Porcello, as the Giants try to improve on a 4-1 interleague record on the highway.

Betcha didn’t know: It’s been a nightmare of a second half for the White Sox, who blew a 3-0 ninth inning lead in last night’s 4-3 defeat at Seattle. Chicago dropped its fifth straight game overall and is 0-4 since the All-Star break. The Mariners have been impressive in the second game of a home series this season coming off a victory in the opener, putting together a solid 6-2 record in this situation.

Biggest public favorite: Blue Jays (-190) at Diamondbacks

Biggest public underdog: Rangers (+105) at Angels

Biggest line move: Dodgers (+100 to -110) at Nationals

 
Posted : July 19, 2016 10:12 am
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