National League
Cubs @ Nationals
Lackey is 3-0, 1.34 in his last five starts; four of his last six stayed under. .
Gonzalez is 0-4, 8.34 in his last four starts; four of his last five went over.
Washington won six of last seven games; over is 7-3 in their last 10 home games. Cubs won 13 of last 18 games; five of their last eight road games went over.
Pirates @ Mets
Rookie Taillon allowed three runs in six IP (91 PT) in his MLB debut. .
deGrom is 0-1, 2.25 in his last three starts; four of his last six stayed under.
Pirates lost five in row, 10 of last 13 games; they're 6-5 in road series openers. Four of their last five games went over. New York lost 10 of its last 16 games; under is 6-2 in their last eight games.
Reds @ Braves
Finnegan is 1-2, 2.60 in his last four starts (under 3-0-1 in his last four road starts). .
Teheran is 1-2, 3.79 in his last three starts; six of his last seven stayed under. .
Atlanta lost eight of last ten games; their last three games went over. Reds are 9-4 in their last 13 games, seven of their last eight road games went over the total.
Marlins @ Padres
Koehler is 2-1, 3.79 in his last three starts, which all went over. .
Pomeranz is 1-2, 4.76 in his last three starts; six of his last seven stayed under.
Padres lost 10 of last 12 road games; eight of last ten San Diego road games went over. Marlins lost five of last nine games; seven of last eight Miami road games went over.
Dodgers @ Diamondbacks
Maeda is 2-1, 1.50 in his last three starts; four of his last six went over.
Bradley is 2-2, 5.16 in his five starts, four of which went over.
Arizona lost 16 of last 24 home games; eight of last 11 Arizona home games went over the total. Dodgers lost ten of last 15 road games; nine of last 13 LA games stayed under the total.
Brewers @ Giants
Garza is making his first '16 start; he is 81-89, 3.99 in 243 big league starts, was 0-2, 4.76 in three rehab starts this year. .
Bumgarner is 3-0, 0.84 in his last six starts; four of his last five stayed under.
San Francisco won eight of last ten home games; under is 5-3-1 in its last nine home games. Milwaukee is 6-5 in its last eleven games; last four road games went over.
American League
Orioles @ Red Sox
Tillman is 7-0, 2.56 in his last nine starts; under is 7-3 in his last ten.
Price is 0-2, 3.15 in his last three starts, all of which stayed under.
Orioles lost its last three games; six of its last seven road games went over. Baltimore is 5-4 in road series openers. Boston is 4-6 in its last ten games, 6-4 in openers of home series. Over is 13-4 in last 17 games at Fenway Park.
Mariners @ Rays
Walker is 1-4, 6.07 in his last five starts (under 8-4).
Odorizzi is 3-1, 2.89 in his last five starts; three of his last four stayed under.
Mariners lost seven of last ten games; they're 6-4 in road series openers. Four of their last five road games went over. Tampa Bay won seven of last nine games; they're 3-7 in home series openers. Under is 20-7 in their last 27 home games.
Tigers @ White Sox
Zimmerman is 3-3, 5.92 in his last six starts; over is 3-0-1 in his last four.
Gonzalez is 1-0, 2.55 in his last three starts; three of his last four stayed under.
Tigers won six of their last nine games; seven of its last nine road games stayed under. Chicago is 9-21 in its last 30 games; under is 9-6 in White Sox' last 15 home games.
Indians @ Royals
Tomlin is 1-0, 2.13 in his last two starts; over is 7-1-1 in his last nine.
Young is 0-3, 7.94 in his last four starts (over 4-4). .
Indians won eight of last 12 games; under is 6-1-1 in their last eight road tilts. Royals won their last seven home games; under is 6-2-1 in KC's last nine games.
Twins @ Angels
Santana is 0-4, 7.43 in his last four starts; six of his last eight went over.
Chacin is 1-2, 4.26 in his last four starts (over 3-2-1).
Angels lost six of their last seven games; six of their last eight home games stayed under. Minnesota lost nine of its last thirteen games; over is 17-5-2 in Twins' last 24 away games.
Rangers @ A's
Perez is 4-0, 2.63 in his last four starts, three of which stayed under.
Surkamp is 0-3, 6.18 in six starts this year (under 4-2).
Rangers are 16-6 in their last 22 games; seven of their last eight road tilts went over. A's lostseven of last nine games but won six in row at home; under is 4-1-1 in their last six games overall.
Interleague
Phillies @ Blue Jays
Eflin is making MLB debut; he was 5-2, 2.90 in 11 AAA starts this season.
Stroman is 0-1, 9.37 in his last three starts; five of his last six went over.
Phillies lost 16 of last 22 games; over is 7-3 in their last ten road games. Toronto won seven of last ten home games; under is 9-4-1 in their last 14.
Astros @ Cardinals
Fister is 5-0, 2.70 in his last eight starts; under is 6-3-1 in his last ten.
Garcia is 1-3, 6.38 in his last five starts; three of his last four went over.
Astros lost five of last seven games, with last six staying under; Houston is 3-8 in road series openers. St Louis won seven of last eight games; they're 4-6 in openers of home series. Six of last eight Cardinal games went over the total.
Bronx @ Colorado
Eovaldi is 0-0, 8.44 in his last two starts (over 5-3 in his last eight).
de la Rosa is 0-3, 16.21 in his last three starts (over 5-1).
New York lost five of last seven road games; they're 4-5 in road series openers. Under is 5-2-1 in last eight Bronx games. Rockies won six of last eight games; they're 4-6 in home series openers. Under is 7-2-1 in their last ten games.
Teams won-lost records when this pitcher starts:
Chi-Wsh-- Lackey 8-4; Gonzalez 5-7
Pitt-NY-- Taillon 0-1; deGrom 5-5
Cin-Atl-- Finnegan 3-10; Teheran 3-10
LA-Az-- Maeda 6-6; Bradley 3-2
Mia-SD-- Koehler 4-8; Pomeranz 5-7
Mil-SF-- Garza 0-0; Bumgarner 10-3
Balt-Bos-- Tillman 11-2; Price 8-5
Sea-TB-- Walker 5-7; Odorizzi 7-6
Det-Chi-- Zimmerman 8-3; Gonzalez 4-3
Cle-KC-- Tomlin 10-1; Young 2-6
Min-LA-- Santana 1-10; Chacin 3-3/2-3
Tex-A's-- Perez 6-7; Surkamp 3-3
Phil-Tor-- Eflin 0-0; Stroman 7-6
Hst-StL-- Fister 9-3; Garcia 6-6
NYY-Col-- Eovaldi 8-4; de la Rosa 2-4
Starting pitchers allowing 1+ runs in first inning:
Chi-Wsh-- Lackey 3-12; Gonzalez 1-12
Pitt-NY-- Taillon 0-1; deGrom 2-10
Cin-Atl-- Finnegan 3-13; Teheran 2-13
LA-Az-- Maeda 1-12; Bradley 2-5
Mia-SD-- Koehler 4-12; Pomeranz 2-12
Mil-SF-- Garza 0-0; Bumgarner 2-13
Balt-Bos-- Tillman 2-13; Price 4-13
Sea-TB-- Walker 2-12; Odorizzi 2-13
Det-Chi-- Zimmerman 2-11; Gonzalez 4-7
Cle-KC-- Tomlin 6-11; Young 5-8
Min-LA-- Santana 4-11; Chacin 3-11
Tex-A's-- Perez 4-13; Surkamp 1-6
Phil-Tor-- Eflin 0-0; Stroman 3-13
Hst-StL-- Fister 3-12; Garcia 4-12
NYY-Col-- Eovaldi 3-12; de la Rosa 2-6
Umpires
Chi-Wsh-- Over is 6-3-2 in Scott games this year.
Cin-Atl-- Over is 6-1-1 in last eight Diaz games.
LA-Az-- Over is 5-1-1 in last seven Knight games.
Mia-SD-- Favorites won las four Lentz games.
Mil-SF-- Six of last seven Fletcher games went over.
Det-Chi-- Over is 4-0-1 in last five Wolcott games.
Cle-KC-- Five of last six Wolf games stayed under.
Min-LAA-- Six of last eight Reyburn games stayed under.
Tex-A's-- Five of last seven Carapazza games stayed under.
Phil-Tor-- Eight of last ten Miller games went over.
Armadillosports.com
MLB: Streak, Tips, Notes
Sportspic.com
Houston Astros at St Louis Cardinals
Sure Houston has been a big disappointment this season but it's worth mentioning the Astros have won eight straight Fister starts, 6-of-7 vs a team with a winning record with the hurler, 7-of-10 with the righty after a team loss the previous effort and straight as underdogs with Fister. Stros get a chance to improve those numbers when they take on Cardinals and Jamie Garcia who sports a 2-5 life-time record
Minnesota Twins at Los Angeles Angels
The Twins have a losing record in just about every statistical way imaginable. Twins lose on the road (8-22), lose at home (12-21), lose at night (11-25), lose during the day (9-18), lose as dogs (13-34), lose when favored (7-9) and lose handing the ball to Ervin Santana (1-10) who is scheduled to start Tuesday night.
Tuesday's MLB Game of the Day: Orioles at Red Sox
By Covers.com
Baltimore Orioles at Boston Red Sox (A: +155, H: -175, Total: 8.5)
The Boston Red Sox and the visiting Baltimore Orioles will battle for three games with first place in the American League East on the line beginning on Tuesday at Fenway Park. Both clubs squandered an opportunity to enter the series with the lead when the Orioles fell at Toronto on Sunday and the Red Sox lost in Minnesota.
The two clubs got a day off on Monday to contemplate their respective crushing defeats, with Boston going down on a walk-off home run in the 10th inning and the Orioles leaving the tying run at third base in a 10-9 setback to the Blue Jays. The setback was the third straight for Baltimore, which allowed 30 runs in the four-game series at Toronto. The Orioles gave up a total of 29 runs in a four-game series at home against Boston bridging May and June but managed to slug their way to a pair of wins and take a 4-3 lead in the season series. The Red Sox are just 4-4 since leaving that series in Baltimore and are opening a 10-game homestand on Tuesday that includes visits from the Seattle Mariners and the Chicago White Sox.
INJURY REPORT:
Orioles - RP D. O'Day (15-Day DL, hamstring), 3B Manny Machado (Questionable Tuesday, suspension appeal).
Red Sox - C B. Swihart (15-Day DL, ankle), C R. Hanigan (15-Day DL, neck), LF B. Holt (15-Day DL, concussion).
WEATHER REPORT: It is going to be a perfect day for baseball at Boston's historic Fenway Park on Tuesday night. Temperatures will be in the mid-70's, skies will be clear, humidity will be low, and there will be a light 5 mph breeze blowing in from the Green Monster in left field. Perfect day to hit up the Cask 'n Flagon after work and make your way over to the stadium for game-time.
PITCHING MATCHUP: Orioles RH Chris Tillman (8-1, 3.01 ERA) vs. Red Sox LH David Price (7-3, 4.63)
Tillman bounced back from one of his worst starts of the season with one of his best on Wednesday against Kansas City, striking out nine without issuing a walk in 7 1/3 scoreless innings to earn the win. The 28-year-old allowed three home runs in each of his previous two starts but surrendered just one extra-base hit – a double – against the Royals. Tillman missed Boston the first two times around this season but is 9-3 with a 2.84 ERA in 18 career starts against the Red Sox.
Price is looking much more like the ace Boston paid him to be over the last month with a string of six straight quality starts. The former No. 1 overall draft pick was a tough-luck loser in San Francisco on Wednesday, when he was reached for two runs on three hits – two solo home runs – over eight innings in a game the Red Sox went on to lose 2-1. Price was knocked around for five runs in as many innings against Baltimore on April 11 and is 8-4 with a 2.90 ERA in 20 career starts against the Orioles.
TRENDS:
* Orioles are 14-3 in Tillman's last 17 starts.
* Red Sox are 1-4 in their last 5 vs. American League East.
* Over is 6-1 in Orioles last 7 road games vs. a team with a winning record.
* Over is 6-0-1 in Red Sox last 7 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
* Orioles are 12-2 in Tillman's last 14 starts vs. Red Sox.
CONSENSUS: The Red Sox are picking up 64 percent of the wagers while Over 8.5 is grabbing 67 percent of the totals plays. View full consensus data here.
Nationals, Cubs hook up
By Sportsbook.ag
CHICAGO CUBS (43-19) at WASHINGTON NATIONALS (40-24)
Sportsbook.ag Line: Chicago -115, Washington +105, Total: 7.0
The Nationals will be looking to win their fifth straight game when they host the Cubs on Tuesday.
The Cubs and Nationals played the first of a three-game set on Monday and Washington won that game 4-1. The team racked up 10 hits in the game, but Chicago was only able to get two hits in the contest. That was mostly because of the impressive pitching of Max Scherzer. He struck out 11 batters in the game and allowed just one earned run in seven innings of work.
The starters in this game won’t be quite as fun to watch, as RHP John Lackey (7-2, 2.63 ERA, 84 K) will be on the mound for the Cubs and LHP Gio Gonzalez (3-5, 3.93 ERA, 71 K) will be going up against him for the Nationals.
Chicago is 4-1 against Washington this season, but the team is just 4-4 against the Nationals when playing at Nationals Park. One thing favoring the Cubs is that they are an impressive 25-11 against the money line on the road with a money line of -100 to -125 over the past two seasons. Chicago is, however, 3-14 against the money line in road games after giving up one or less earned runs in his last outing over the past three seasons.
The Cubs have been one of the most dominant teams in baseball this season, but they are down in this series and will be looking to even it up on Tuesday. John Lackey will be the guy tasked with getting Chicago a victory in this one and he has been excellent recently. Lackey has not allowed a run in his past 13.2 innings on the mound and he has also allowed just one earned run over his past 20.2 innings. He has struck out 8.5 batters per game over the past two contests and should be feeling really confident coming into this one. It also doesn’t hurt that he already has one good start against the Nationals under his belt this season, allowing just two earned runs in seven innings against Washington on May 6.
One guy to keep an eye on in this game for Chicago is OF Dexter Fowler (.289, 7 HR, 28 RBI). Fowler is 8-for-17 with a homer and three RBI against Gio Gonzalez in his career and should be able to find some success against him on Tuesday. It’d be big if he could get on base in this game.
3B Kris Bryant (.277, 15 HR, 45 RBI) could also have a big game in store in this one. He is 2-for-5 with a homer and a walk against Gonzalez in his career. He has gone hitless in his past two games, so this matchup could be exactly what he needs to get back on track.
The Nationals have been on fire recently and they can guarantee themselves a series win with a victory over the Cubs on Tuesday. Gio Gonzalez is the guy that will take the ball for them and he’ll need to be sharp in this one. He struggled badly against Chicago in his last matchup with the team, allowing five earned runs on seven hits in 5.2 innings of work. That type of performance will put way too much pressure on the Nationals’ hitters, so he’ll need to find a way to put in a quality start on Tuesday.
Offensively, Jayson Werth (.246, 10 HR, 35 RBI) could be in for a big game. He is on a six-game hitting streak for Washington and also happens to be 7-for-17 with a homer, four doubles and three RBI against Lackey in his career. It’d be big if he can drive in some runs in this one. OF Bryce Harper (.256, 13 HR, 38 RBI) will, however, need to come through in this one as well. He is 0-for-7 against Lackey in his career and needs to find a way to figure him out on Tuesday.
Daves' MLB Tuesday
By Dave Essler
Cubs/Nats: Many expected the Cubs to win because they're the "Cubs" last night - but not us and not in our thread. Many will go right back there tonight with Lackey having three straight great games - albeit against weak teams. There's enough evidence for me to consider the Nats here, but I'm not a big Gio fan and their pen has underperformed so that'd be perhaps a F5 bet.
Reds/Braves: We were right on in yesterdays' thread regarding the over between these two last night, and it'd be tough to consider much else tonight. Teheran has been giving up long balls and the Reds can certainly hit them - he doesn't walk many but that's a bad matchup against a team like Cincinnati that swings at everything (most of them). But, the Reds have very limited exposue to Teheran. Finnegan has not been THAT bad of late but what is important to me is that he had four straight 100+ pitch games, the last one being 113. The Braves are better against LHP than not - can't trust either bullpen - F5 under til they settle, then Braves by default of a slightly better pen.
Dodgers/D-Backs: They've already bet the Dodgers up .20 since the opener if -120 and for some reason I have a hard time laying -140 on the road with Los Angeles, especially against a division rival. With Bradley being a fly bal pitcher I I might look at the over here, but LA just really hasn't been putting up runs - and their pen is solid. Right now, better games or wait and see if "9" pops up and take the under.
Miami/San Diego: All the money and the move to Miami was right on last night.Surprisingly Keohler has only allowed more than three earned runs once in his last ten starts in spite of walking five batters in four of those games. Pomeranz has been incredibly solid of late but I do see where his fly ball/ground ball ratio has started to climb. The Fish are over .500 on the road and 9-4 against LHP, so I could make the case for Miami and under.
Baltimore/Boston: There is no chance I take Boston and Price - who has not REALLY been dominant too often and of course goes against a team that saw plenty of him with the Rays. I don't like not having O'Day in the O's pen - but although Tillman can give up the long ball, anyone with a WHIP of 1.17 at this time of year is worth looking at. Orioles RL or nothing for me.
Seattle/Tampa Bay: The conventional wisdom has been to take Odorizzi at home and fade him on the road, and honestly I don't see much other than a "hot" Walker. Honestly, the Rays pen has finally come around, they've been winning, and Seattle has not. Like the Rays here.
Detroit/Chicago: Easily cashed the F5 over between these two last night in the second inning - I don't see a whole lot that makes me think this one doesn't go over for the full game as well, but perhaps like the Tigers a bit better, inasmuch as road favorites are typically not my thing.
Royals/Indians: We were dead on last night when looking at the Royals as a home underdog, and honestly I think Young can adjust well enough to look at them again tonight. We have been all over Tomlin and cahsed a 3* on him last week but he's beaten the Royals twice this season, both at home - and I don't like his chances of doing it again.
Minnesota/Angels: Chacin hasn't had much exposure to the Twins, so there's perhaps a big early advantage there, and Santana has often been hammered by the Angels - not enamored with -140 here but I do think the Angels win this game or at least are ahead after five innings.
St. Louis/Houston: The Cardinals have a fair amount of exposure to Fister since he was in the NL for a bit, so couple that with him having to hit and Garcia simply cannot be as bad as he was last week (or can he) and I cannot take Houston (yet) but cannot get a grip on Garcia (yet) either.I'd love to see that total go to 8 because I do lean over there, although have yet to check the weather.
Rockies/Yankees: I do know it's Coors Field and I thought perhaps Colorado would have seen some of Eovaldi when he was with the Fish, but not so much. No Parmalee and no Texiera - I don't see twelve runs being scored here, but I do like the Yankees even without a DH almost as a fade of De La Rosa, who I cannot get behind.