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MLB Betting News and Notes Wednesday, August 10th, 2016

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National League

Padres @ Pirates
Jackson is 2-1, 4.97 in four starts this year (over 2-2).
Vogelsong is 0-0, 1.39 (13 IP) in three starts this year (over 2-1).
Padres are 3-11 in last 14 road games; six of last seven San Diego games went over total. Pittsburgh won six of last eight home games; over is 6-2 in their last eight home games.

Giants @ Marlins
Samardzija is 0-3, 7.23 in his last four starts; his last three stayed under. Giants are 6-5 in his road starts.
Phelps shut Colorado out for 4.1 innings (70 PT) in his first ’16 start.
Giants lost 12 of last 16 road games; under is 4-1-1 in their last six games. Miami is 11-6 in its last 17 home games; six of last seven Marlin home games went over the total.

Diamondbacks @ Mets
Ray is 0-3, 9.56 in his last three starts; three of his last four starts went over. Arizona is 2-9 when he starts on the road.
Colon is 2-1, 3.37 in his last three starts; under is 6-2-1 in his last nine. Mets are 5-5 in his home starts.
Diamondbacks lost 12 of last 16 road games; seven of last eight Arizona games went over. New York is 4-9 in its last 13 games; over is 6-1-1 Mets’ last eight home games.

Braves @ Brewers
De la Cruz is 0-3, 4.57 in his four starts (under 3-1) this year.
Anderson is 2-0, 2.81 in his last three starts (under 3-0). Milwaukee is 5-5 when he starts at home.
Braves won six of last seven games; under is 7-4 in their last 11 road games. Milwaukee lost five of its last six games; under is 11-3-1 in last 15 games at Miller Park.

Reds @ Cardinals
DeSclafani is 4-0, 3.89 in his last six starts; under is 5-1-2 in his last eight. Reds are 3-4 when he starts on the road.
Garcia is 2-2, 4.24 in his last four starts (under 3-1). Cardinals are 4-7 in his home starts.
Cincinnati is 14-8 in its last 22 games; under is 6-2-1 in Reds’ last nine road games. Cardinals lost seven of last 10 games; over is 8-2-2 in their last twelve games.

Phillies @ Dodgers
Hellickson is 3-0, 2.39 in his last four starts; eight of his last nine stayed under. Phillies are 6-4 in his road starts.
Kazmir is 0-2, 6.00 in his last two starts; four of his last five went over. Dodgers are 5-2 in his last seven home starts.
Philly is 5-9 in last 14 road games; over is 12-5 in its last 17 games. Dodgers won five of last six games; under is 14-9 in their last 23 home games.

American League

Rays @ Blue Jays
Snell is 2-0, 1.93 in his last four starts (under 6-4). He is 1-1, 2.22 in four road starts.

Happ is 9-0, 2.64 in his last ten starts; under is 3-1-1 in his last five. Blue Jays are 10-1 in his home starts.
Rays lost five of last seven road games; five of Tampa Bay’s last seven road games stayed under. Toronto won six of last nine home games; over is 6-0-1 in last seven games at SkyDome.

New York @ Red Sox
Eovaldi is 2-6, 6.25 in his last eight starts; three of his last four stayed under. New York lost his last five road starts.
Pomeranz is 0-2, 6.20 in four starts for Boston (under 3-1).
New York lost six of last seven road games; over is 12-5 in their last 17 road games. Red Sox are 7-11 in their last 18 games (under 13-5).

Astros @ Twins
Keuchel is 1-2, 3.09 in his last five starts; five of his last six stayed under. Astros are 4-8 in his road starts.
Santana is 3-2, 2.53 in his last six starts; six of his last eight stayed under. Minnesota is 2-8 in his home starts.
Astros lost 11 of last 15 games; under is 7-1-1 in last nine Houston games. Minnesota won nine of last 13 games; 10 of last 11 Twins games went over the total.

White Sox @ Royals
Quintana is 4-0, 2.29 in his last six starts; under is 17-3-1 in his last 21 starts. White Sox won five of his last six road starts.
Kennedy is 0-3, 4.19 in his last seven starts, 0-0, 0.69 in his last two; eight of his last nine stayed under the total. Royals are 5-3 in his home starts.
White Sox lost 11 of last 15 road games; seven of their last nine games went over. Kansas City lost 14 of last 20 games; eight of their last ten games stayed under.

Orioles @ A’s
Gallardo is 1-2, 5.17 in his last seven starts; under is 7-4 in his last 11 starts. Baltimore is 4-5 in his road starts.
Detwiler is making his first ’16 start; he is 21-37, 4.21 in 76 MLB starts- he started seven games for Texas LY. This year, Detwiler is 6-4, 4.40 in 15 AAA starts.
Orioles are 4-10 in last 14 road games; three of their last four games stayed under. Oakland lost eight of last 11 games but won last two; seven of A’s last nine home games stayed under the total.

Tigers @ Mariners
Verlander is 5-0, 2.22 in his last seven starts (under 7-0). Detroit won four of his last five road starts.
Hernandez is 2-0, 4.74 in his last three starts; four of his last five went over. Mariners are 4-3 in his home starts.
Tigers lost their last three games; under is 11-5-2 in Detroit’s last 18 road games. Seattle won seven of last eight games; under is 7-5 in their last 12 home games.

Interleague

Rockies @ Rangers
De la Rosa is .1-0, 2.45 in his last three starts (over 10-6). Colorado is 5-5 in his road starts.
Perez is 0-4, 6.35 in his last six starts; under is 5-3 in his last eight. Texas won his last eight home starts.
Rangers won nine of last 12 games; under is 8-1-1 in last ten Texas games. Colorado lost five of last six games; over is 6-4 in their last ten games.

Indians @ Nationals
Tomlin is 1-2, 6.62 in his last three starts; over is 11-5-2 in his last 18 starts. Cleveland is 8-3 in his road starts.
Gonzalez is 3-1, 2.61 in his last five starts; four of his last six stayed under. Washington is 5-4 in his home starts.
Indians lost five of last eight games; six of their last seven road games stayed under. Washington won five of its last seven games; under is 5-1-1 in their last seven home games.

Angels @ Cubs
Nolasco is 0-1, 5.32 in his last four starts; over is 17-4 in his last 21.
Hammel is 4-0, 1.50 in his last four starts; four of his last five stayed under. Cubs are 8-2 in his home starts.
Angels lost 10 of last 12 road games; Five of Halos’ last seven games went over total. Cubs won their last eight games; under is 13-4 in their last 17 home games.

Teams’ record when this pitcher starts

SD-Pitt– Jackson 2-2; Vogelsong 1-2
SF-Mia– Samardzija 11-12; Phelps 1-0
Az-NY– Ray 6-16; Colon 14-8
Atl-Mil– De la Cruz 1-3; Anderson 8-13
Cin-StL– DeSclafani 7-4; Garcia 11-11
Phil-LA– Hellickson 13-10; Kazmir 12-10
TB-Tor– Snell 3-7; Happ 17-5
NY-Bos– Eovaldi 10-10; Pomeranz 2-2/9-8
Hst-Min– Keuchel 10-13; Santana 6-15
Chi-KC– Quintana 12-10; Kennedy 9-13
Balt-A’s– Gallardo 9-5; Detwiler 0-0
Det-Sea– Verlander 14-9; Hernandez 8-6
Colo-Tex– De la Rosa 7-9; Perez 12-11
Cle-Wsh– Tomlin 16-4; Gonzalez 9-13
LAA-Cubs– Nolasco 0-1/9-12; Hammel 13-8

Starting pitchers allowing 1+ runs in first inning

SD-Pitt– Jackson 1-4; Vogelsong 0-3
SF-Mia– Samardzija 8-23; Phelps 0-1
Az-NY– Ray 5-22; Colon 7-22
Atl-Mil– De la Cruz 0-4; Anderson 7-21
Cin-StL– DeSclafani 5-11; Garcia 8-22
Phil-LA– Hellickson 6-23; Kazmir 12-22
TB-Tor– Snell 3-10; Happ 5-22
NY-Bos– Eovaldi 5-20; Pomeranz 4-21
Hst-Min– Keuchel 5-23; Santana 7-21
Chi-KC– Quintana 5-22; Kennedy 8-22
Balt-A’s– Gallardo 6-14; Detwiler 0-0
Det-Sea– Verlander 8-23; Hernandez 3-14
Colo-Tex– De la Rosa 8-16; Perez 9-23
Cle-Wsh– Tomlin 10-20; Gonzalez 6-22
LAA-Cubs– Nolasco 10-22; Hammel 4-21

Umpires

SD-Pitt– Road team is 12-4 in last 16 Hallion games.
SF-Mia– Under is 5-1-2 in last eight Blaser games.
Az-NY– Underdogs are 9-3 in last 12 Hirschbeck games.
Atl-Mil– Five of last seven Nauert games went over.
Cin-StL– Over is 10-5-1 in last 16 Hernandez games.
Phil-LA– Over is 10-6 in last sixteen Tumpane games.
TB-Tor– Over is 9-5 in last fourteen Fagan games.
NY-Bos– Over is 12-2-1 in last fifteen Knight games.
Hst-Min– 15 of last 18 Wegner games went over.
Chi-KC– 12 of last 16 Hoberg games stayed under.
Balt-A’s– Under is 9-5-1 in last fifteen Fairchild games.
Det-Sea– Six of last nine Whitson games stayed under.
Colo-Tex– Three of last four Gibson games stayed under.
Cle-Wsh– Under is 7-2-1 in last ten Blakney games.
LAA-Cubs– Under is 8-2-1 in last 11 Wendelstedt games.

Armadillosports.com

 
Posted : August 10, 2016 8:17 am
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Wednesday's Diamond Notes
By Joe Williams
VegasInsider.com

Hottest team: Braves (4-0 past four, 6-1 past seven)

The Braves have caught fire on the road, winning four in a row by an average of 6.3 runs scored to just 3.0 runs allowed over the past four games. Atlanta has won four in a row against National League Central Division teams, and they have won six in a row on the road against right-handed starters. In addition, they're 5-1 in their past six games when facing a starting pitcher with a WHIP over 1.30, which Chase Anderson certainly qualifies. On the flip side, the Brewers have dropped five of their past six games overall, and they're just 9-23 in their past 32 games vs. RHP. Milwaukee is also just 6-13 in the past 19 starts with Anderson on the hill.

Coldest team: Angels (0-5 past five, 6-11 past 17)

The Angels have had difficulty scoring runs lately, and that's hard to believe with a lineup consisting of Albert Pujols, Mike Trout, etc. However, since July 17 the Halos have managed three or fewer runs in eight of their past 17 games while allowing five or more runs in 10 of the past 17. The Halos have really gone in the tank, losing their past five on the road, and each of their past four against right-handed starting pitching. They're also 7-19 in their past 26 road games vs. RHP, and 7-15 in their past 22 interleague battles, including 3-9 in their past 12 against NL Central foes.

Hottest pitcher: J.A. Happ, Rays (15-3, 3.09 ERA)

Happ has been a huge part of the team's surprising success this season, posting 15 wins with a 1.15 WHIP. Lately, he hasn't shown any signs of slowing down, going 3-0 with a 0.95 ERA, 0.84 WHIP and 23 strikeouts with eight walks over the past 19 innings in his past three starts. Toronto has won each of Happ's past four outings against divisional foes, 6-0 in his past six starts against a team with a losing record and the Jays are 14-6 in their past 20 games at home. Toronto has won 16 of their past 23 games against divisional rivals, too.

Coldest pitcher: Ian Kennedy, Royals (6-9, 4.03 ERA)

Kennedy posted a 2.77 ERA in four April starts, a 3.24 ERA in six May starts, a 5.83 ERA in five June starts and a 4.96 ERA in six July starts. The biggest problem with Kennedy is his inability to keep the ball down and in the park, as he has given up 26 home runs in just 127 1/3 innings over 22 starts. The Royals have lost each of Kennedy's past seven outings, and they're 0-9 in their past nine games against left-handed starters, too. All signs appear to point to a ChiSox win, although Chicago is just 4-10 in their past 14 trips to Kauffman Stadium.

Biggest UNDER run: Rangers (8-0-2 past 10)

The last time the 'over' hit in a Texas Rangers game was July 29, 10 games ago. The 'under' is 8-1-3 in the past 12 interleague games for Texas, while going 4-1 in their past five games against a left-handed starter. In addition, Martin Perez is on the hill and the 'under' is 7-2 in Perez's past nine assignments, while going 3-0-1 in his past four interleague starts. And another 'under' might be coming, as the 'under' is 20-8 in Colorado's past 28 road games, and 4-1 in Jorge De La Rosa's past five road starts againt a team with a winning record.

Biggest OVER run: Rays (5-0 past five, 8-3 past 11)

The 'over' has connected in five in a row for the Rays, and 4-0 in their past five divisional battles. The 'over' has also went 8-2-3 in their past 13 road games against a left-handed starter while going 10-4-1 in their past 15 games following a victory. In addition, the 'over' is 6-0-2 in their past eight trips to Rogers Centre in Toronto, while cashing in each of the past five meetings overall. And umpire Clint Fagan is behind the dish for Wednesday's game, and the 'over' is 6-0 in his past six Toronto games.

Matchup to watch: Athletics vs. Orioles

The Athletics are giving the Orioles fits at O.co Coliseum, winning each of the first two games to drop the O's into a tie for first place. The struggles on the road are nothing new for the O's, as Baltimore has won just four of their past 14 games away from Camden Yards. They've been unable to take advantage of the dregs of the league, either, winning just two of their past eight road games against a team with a losing record. Baltimore is also 4-13 in their past 17 against AL West foes. The A's have won five straight against AL East teams, and they're 5-0 in their past five home games against a team with a losing road record.

Betcha didn’t know: Astros LHP Dallas Keuchel is 7-11 with a 4.56 ERA in 148 innings this season, a far cry from his Cy Young award-winning season of a year ago. He has turned things around at home, going 3-4 with a 3.18 ERA in 10 home outings, but he is absymal on the road with a 4-7 record and 5.74 ERA while the opposition is hitting .282 against him on the road. He works against the Twins in Wednesday's game, and he was tuned up for five runs, seven hits and five walks in just 4 1/3 innings in his first encounter with Minnesota this season back on May 2.

Biggest public favorite: Cubs (-200) vs. Angels

Biggest public underdog: Reds (+165) at Cardinals

Biggest line move: Angels (+225 to +195) at Cubs

 
Posted : August 10, 2016 8:18 am
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MLB: Streak, Tips, Notes
Sportspic.com

San Francisco Giants at Miami Marlins

The Giants have collapsed since the All-Star break with 15 losses in 22 games. No reason to think they'll turn things around in the finale at Marlins Park. San Francisco as a team has had its problems of late in an opposing park with just 4 wins the last 16 away from the home. Giants have certainly followed in that same vein in Miami with the club compiling a 1-5 record the past five visits.

Adding to Giants woes, starter Jeff Samardzija has fallen on hard times with just one win in eight attempts surrendering four or more runs in all but one game. Additionally, Samardzija is not your typical August Guy going 0-8 recently and compiling a 1-10 record his last eleven starts during the month.

 
Posted : August 10, 2016 8:20 am
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Yankees, Red Sox hook up
By Sportsbook.ag

NEW YORK YANKEES (56-56) at BOSTON RED SOX (61-50)

Sportsbook.ag Line: New York +165, Boston -175, Total: 9.5

The Red Sox will be looking to take another game from the Yankees in Boston on Wednesday.

New York still has a slim shot at making the postseason, but the team is more concerned with getting some of its talented players reps heading into next season. That does, however, exclude this series against the Red Sox. The Yankees have every intention of winning this series, but that’s going to be tough now that they lost the opening game. Boston, meanwhile, needs to win this series, as the team has struggled lately and doesn’t want to fall behind in the AL East race. This is a golden opportunity to pick up a few games against a lousy Yankees team and a win on Wednesday would be huge for the Sox.

On the mound in this game will be RHP Nathan Eovaldi (9-8, 4.80 ERA, 97 K) for New York and LHP Drew Pomeranz (8-9, 3.09 ERA, 136 K) for Boston. Both guys have had their issues recently, but the Red Sox are hoping that Pomeranz can snap out of it and perform like the player they thought they were getting in their deal with San Diego. One bad sign for the Yankees is that they are just 2-10 against the money line with Eovaldi pitching after allowing two or more home runs in his most recent outing over the past two seasons.

Nathan Eovaldi had a poor stretch earlier in the year, but he has been a bit better for the Yankees recently. Over his past four starts, Eovaldi has allowed just 10 earned runs in 25 innings of work. Eovaldi’s main issue is that he throws extremely hard, but will occasionally give his batters a fastball right over the middle. He’ll need to make sure he keeps his pitches down, as he has allowed two homers in each of the past two games and needs to make sure that doesn’t happen again on Wednesday.

Offensively, the Yankees can expect a good performance from OF Jacoby Ellsbury (.272, 4 HR, 35 RBI) in this one. Ellsbury has hit Pomeranz well in his career, going 3-for-5 with two doubles against the lefty. New York will also be hoping that DH Gary Sanchez (.217, 0 HR, 3 RBI) can come through for them on Wednesday. Sanchez is one of the Yankees’ prized prospects and has been solid for the team since being promoted on Aug. 3. He should be in the lineup against a lefty pitcher and he’ll be counted on to produce.

Drew Pomeranz has had an up-and-down stint with the Red Sox so far, but he is coming off of a good outing for the team. Pomeranz pitched six innings against the Mariners on Aug. 4 and allowed just two earned runs. He struck out six batters in that game, but he did walk six as well. That is an unfathomable number and Pomeranz must start pitching with better control moving forward.

The run support for the lefty could come from guys like 2B Dustin Pedroia (.297, 12 HR, 49 RBI) and 1B Hanley Ramirez (.271, 14 HR, 62 RBI). Both guys have had a ton of success against Eovaldi in their careers, as Pedroia is 5-for-13 with a homer and an RBI against him and Ramirez is an even better 8-for-19 with a homer and six RBI. If the two of them can continue to hit the Yankees’ flamethrower that well then it’s likely the Red Sox will emerge victorious on Wednesday.

 
Posted : August 10, 2016 11:53 am
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