National League
Marlins @ Phillies
Chen is 1-1, 3.91 in his last four starts; over is 7-3 in his last ten. Marlins are 5-4 in his road starts.
Hellickson is 2-1, 3.38 in his last four starts; under is 10-3 in his last 13. Phllies are 5-6 in his home starts.
Marlins won seven of last eight games; under is 7-3 in their last ten games. Philly lost four of last five games, under is 11-2-1 in its last 14 at home.
Brewers @ Pirates
Anderson is 0-4, 11.04 in his last four starts; over is 4-0-1 in his last five. Milwaukee is 2-6 in his road starts.
Locke is 3-0, 3.57 in his last four starts; over is 13-3 in his last 16. Pittsburgh won his last four home starts.
Brewers lost five of their last six games; under is 6-2-2 in their last ten games. Pittsburgh won 11 of its last 15 games; five of last six Pirate home games went over the total.
Dodgers @ Nationals
Norris is 2-0, 3.94 in three starts for the Dodgers (over 2-1).
Gonzalez is 2-3, 7.27 in his last five starts; over is 8-4-1 in his last 13. Nationals lost four of his last five home starts.
Dodgers are 7-9 in last 16 road games, six of LA's last eight road games went over total. Washington won five of its last seven games; six of last seven National games stayed under. .
Braves @ Reds
Harrell is 1-1, 4.67 in his three starts (over 2-1).
DeSclafani is 4-0, 2.67 in his last five starts; under is 3-0-1 in his last four.
Atlanta won four of last six road games; under is 11-4-1 in last 15 road games. Cincinnati lost nine of last 13 home games, over is 15-7-2 in Reds' last 24 games.
Mets @ Cubs
Colon is 4-1, 3.62 in his last seven starts; under is 3-1-1 in his last five. Mets are 6-3 when he starts on foreign soil.
Hendricks is 4-0, 2.48 in his last five starts (over 4-1). Cubs are 7-2 in his home starts.
Mets lost nine of last 14 road games; under is 16-4 in New York's last 20 road games. Cubs won four of last six games; last seven games at Wrigley Field stayed under.
Padres @ Cardinals
Rea is 2-0, 4.91 in his last four starts; nine of his last 11 went over. San Diego won five of his six road starts. Clemens was 1-0, 6.30 in two starts for Miami this year (over 1-1).
Martinez is 4-1, 1.49 in his last eight starts; under is 5-0-1 in his last six. Cardinals lost six of his last seven home starts. Garcia is 2-0, 4.55 in his last five starts; over is 3-0-1 in his last four. St Louis is 3-7 in his home starts.
Padres won three of last four games; their last three games went over. St Louis lost five of last eight home games; three of their last four games went over.
American League
Orioles @ New York
Gausman is 0-2, 4.58 in his last three starts; under is 9-2 in his last 11 starts. Baltimore lost six of his last seven road starts.
Pineda is 0-3, 4.72 in his last six starts (under 5-1). New York is 5-5 in his home starts.
Orioles are 4-8 in their last 12 road games, their last seven games stayed under. New York won five of its last seven games, their last five games stayed under.
Twins @ Tigers
Santana is 1-1, 2.45 in his last four starts (under 4-0). Minnesota lost six of his seven road starts.
Verlander is 2-0, 2.75 in his last three starts; under is 8-2 in his last 10 starts. Detroit won four of his last five home starts.
Minnesota is 9-5 in its last 14 games; six of Twins' last eight road games went over total. Detroit won five of last seven home games, 11 of its last 14 games stayed under the total.
Indians @ Royals
Carrasco is 4-1, 2.48 in his last six starts; six of his last eight stayed under. Cleveland is 5-2 in his last eight starts.
Kennedy is 1-1, 2.70 in his last four starts; his last five stayed under. Kansas City won five of his six home starts.
Indians won 11 of last 15 road games; over is 8-2-1 in Tribe's last 11 games. Kansas City lost nine of last 13 games; last three KC home games went over the total. Cleveland lost five of its last six games in Kansas City.
Astros @ A's
Fister is 1-3, 5.18 in his last four starts; three of his last four road starts stayed under. Astros are 7-3 in his road starts.
Mengden is 0-1, 11.48 in his last three starts; his last four went over the total.
Astros lost three of last four games; four of their last six road games went over. Oakland won four of its last five games; over is 4-1-1 in their last six home games.
Rangers @ Angels
Perez is 0-2, 15.83 in his last two starts; three of his last four stayed under. Texas is 4-6 in his road starts.
Santiago is 4-0, 2.11 in his last six starts; over is 10-4 in his last 14. Angels are 6-3 when he starts at home.
Texas lost 13 of last 17 games; over is 10-3-1 in their last 14 games. Angels won nine of last 11 games, their last three games all went over the total.
White Sox @ Mariners
Gonzalez is 1-2, 3.15 in his last three starts; six of his last eight stayed under. White Sox are 4-4 in his road starts.
Hernandez makes his first start since May 27; he is 2-2, 3.76 in his last four starts. Under is 7-2-1 in his starts this year.
White Sox lost four of last five games, four of their last five games stayed under. Seattle lost eight of last 11 games; four of their last six home games went over.
Interleague
Giants @ Red Sox
Cain was 1-1, 2.39 in his last five starts; over is 5-3 in his last eight. Giants lost three of his four road starts.
Pomeranz makes first Boston start; he was 3-0, 1.33 in his last four starts for San Diego. Under is 11-2 in his last thirteen starts.
Giants lost their last four games; over is 5-2-1 in their last eight road games. Boston won nine of last 11 games; last six Boston games stayed under the total.
Rays @ Rockies
Archer is 0-6, 4.80 in his last seven starts (under 5-2). Rays are 4-7 in his road starts.
De la Rosa is 4-2, 2.68 in his last six starts (over 8-4). Colorado won three of his last four home starts.
Tampa Bay lost 11 of last 12 road games; Rays' last seven games stayed under the total. Colorado is 10-7 in last 17 home games, four of its last five home games stayed under.
Blue Jays @ Diamondbacks
Stroman is 1-2, 6.75 in his last five starts; three of his last four stayed under. Toronto lost four of its last five road starts.
Corbin is 0-2, 11.09 in his last four starts (over 4-0). Arizona is 1-8 in his home starts.
Toronto is 5-7 in its last 12 road games, under is 6-2-1 in their last nine games. Arizona lost 14 of last 18 games; over is 8-2-1 in their last eleven home games.
Teams won-lost records when this pitcher starts:
Mia-Phil-- Chen 11-7; Hellickson 9-10
Mil-Pitt-- Anderson 5-12; Locke 9-8 (8-2 last 10)
LA-Wsh-- Norris 2-1/5-5; Gonzalez 7-11
Atl-Cin-- Harrell 2-1; DeSclafani 5-2
NY-Chi-- Colon 12-6 (7-1 last 8); Hendricks 10-7 (5-0 last 5)
SD-StL-- Rea 10-6 Clemens 0-0/1-1; Martinez 8-9 Garcia 9-9
Balt-NY-- Gausman 6-10; Pineda 8-10
Min-Det-- Santana 3-14; Verlander 11-8
Cle-KC-- Carrasco 10-3; Kennedy 9-9 (2-6 last 8)
Hst-A's-- Fister 12-6; Mengden 2-5
Tex-LAA-- Perez 10-9; Santiago 13-6
Chi-Sea-- Gonzalez 6-7; Hernandez 5-5
SF-Bos-- Cain 4-7; Pomeranz 0-0/9-8
TB-Colo-- Archer 5-15; De la Rosa 6-6
Tor-Az-- Stroman 9-10; Corbin 7-12
Starting pitchers allowing 1+ runs in first inning:
Mia-Phil-- Chen 2-18; Hellickson 6-19
Mil-Pitt-- Anderson 7-17; Locke 5-17
LA-Wsh-- Norris 2-13; Gonzalez 5-18 (4 of last 5)
Atl-Cin-- Harrell 1-3; DeSclafani 3-7
NY-Chi-- Colon 6-17; Hendricks 4-7
SD-StL-- Rea 10-6 Clemens 0-2; Martinez 8-9 Garcia 6-18
Balt-NY-- Gausman 6-10; Pineda 7-18
Min-Det-- Santana 5-17; Verlander 7-19
Cle-KC-- Carrasco 3-13; Kennedy 6-18
Hst-A's-- Fister 3-18; Mengden 0-7
Tex-LAA-- Perez 6-19; Santiago 8-19 (0 of last 6)
Chi-Sea-- Gonzalez 6-13; Hernandez 0-10
SF-Bos-- Cain 2-11; Pomeranz 4-17
TB-Colo-- Archer 9-20; De la Rosa 5-12
Tor-Az-- Stroman 5-19; Corbin 8-19
Umpires
Mia-Phil-- Over is 3-1-1 in last five Diaz games.
Atl-Cin-- Last three Hernandez games stayed under.
NY-Chi-- Seven of last ten Wolf games stayed under.
Mil-Pitt-- Five of last six Holbrook games stayed under.
LA-Wsh-- Over is 10-0-2 in last twelve Wolcott games.
SD-StL-- Over is 6-3-2 in last eleven Vanover games. Four of last five Guccione games went under the total.
Balt-NY-- Over is 10-1-1 in last twelve Knight games.
Min-Det-- Five of last seven Barry games stayed under.
Cle--KC-- Eight of last ten Blakney games stayed under.
Hst-A's-- 10 of last 13 O'Nora games stayed under.
Tex-LA-- Underdogs won seven of last 11 Muchlinski games.
Chi-Sea-- Over is 8-4 in last twelve Fletcher games.
TB-Colo-- Under is 6-2-1 in last nine Emmel games.
Tor-Az-- Home side won nine of last eleven Demuth games.
SF-Bos-- Last three Scheurwater games went over total.
Armadillosports.com
MLB: Streak, Tips, Notes
Sportspic.com
Cleveland Indians at Kansas City Royals
When a series of baseball betting trends point in one direction, the baseball handicapping industry takes notice. And, that's the case Wednesday afternoon when Indians and Royals close out their three-game set. Tribe have won 6 of the last 7 Carrasco starts at Kaufman Stadium, 6 of the hurler's last 8 road starts, 6 of his last 7 vs a division opponent.
Texas Rangers at Los Angeles Angels
The closing matchup of a three-game series between Los Angeles Angels and Texas Rangers features two teams and starters coming at it from opposite ends of the spectrum.
As a team, Halos are on a solid stretch winning 9 of their last 11, the Rangers hitting a rough patch are 2-8 the past ten, 4-13 the past seventeen.
Halos hand starting duties to Hector Santiago. The southpaw carrying a 7-4 record, 4.27 ERA is 3-0 his last three allowing just a single run with a sparling 20-8 KW ratio. Halos have won four of the last five games that Santiago has started in front of the home audience and nine of the past twelve dating back to last season including 2-0 vs Rangers. Halos have won each of Santiago's last six at home facing a division opponent and have a 9-3 stretch in his last twelve July starts.
Rangers count on lefty Martin Perez who is 7-6 with a 4.05 ERA on the campaign and 0-2 his last three with a whopping 7.56 ERA getting smacked for 19 runs over 16 2/3 innings. Perez has not been a peg to hand your hopes on when taking the hill in an opposing park. Perez is 1-11 past 18 in unfriendly territory with Rangers 7-11 over the span including 0-2 in Halos backyard.
The numbers above illustrate Halos are primed to sweep the series.
Wednesday's Diamond Notes
By Tony Mejia
VegasInsider.com
Hottest team: Marlins (8-2 last 10)
The Marlins have pulled off a pair of extra-inning victories in Philadelphia to improve to 4-1 since the All-Star break. Christian Yelich’s late heroics helped maintain a one-game edge on the Mets for the National League’s second Wild Card, so it’s important for the Fish to stay hot since they’ll return to South Florida this weekend to welcome in New York for a crucial three-game set. Yelich has hit safely in eight of his last nine games, including six straight, going 13-for-37 with two homers and 9 RBI in that span. Miami has won five of Wei-Yin Chen’s last six starts and is favored (-130) on the road against Jeremy Hellickson. A matinee against the Phillies is on tap for tomorrow and the Marlins will be looking for at least one more win to clinch consecutive road series victories for the first time since late April. Miami is also looking to clinch three straight series conquests for just the second time all season.
Coldest team: Rangers (2-8 last 10, 4-13 last 17)
The Rangers began this dreadful run they’re on when the Yankees broke off a six-run ninth inning on June 29. Didi Gregorius hit a walk-off homer to deliver one of the season’s most improbable losses. Texas had won the first two games in that series, but lost the next day and hasn’t won a series since. The fact the Rangers have played the lowly Twins twice and are in danger of getting swept in Anaheim tells you how bad it has been as the pitching has largely imploded and the defense has regressed over the past few weeks. Houston and Seattle have struggled as well, so Texas’ lead remains healthier than it otherwise would be, but things could get worse since its road trip continues this weekend in Kansas City. The Rangers have dropped 10 of 13 on the road and will look to avoid being swept for the first time since May 16-18 in Oakland, sending Martin Perez (7-6, 4.05) to the mound against Hector Santiago (7-4, 4.27). Perez has allowed 17 runs (12 earned) over his last two starts, so you can understand the L.A. Angels (-138) being favored to win for the 10th time in 12 contests.
Hottest pitcher: Carlos Carrasco (6-3, 2.49 ERA)
Carrasco is still under .500 in his six-year career, but definitely looks like the elite pitcher scouts felt he’d turn into when he was plucked out of Venezuela as a 16-year-old. The Tribe has won five of his last six starts and is 10-3 when Carrasco has taken the mound this season. He’s exhibited great control and the ability to get a strikeout or a double play when he needs it. The Royals have hit the ball hard against him this season, but Carrasco is 6-5 with a 3.63 ERA against Kansas City over his career, which includes a 5-2 mark and 3.02 ERA at Kauffman Stadium. The Indians are favored (-135) to win the rubber match of this three-game set against the Royals, who counter with Ian Kennedy (6-7, 3.86).
Coldest pitcher: Chris Archer (4-13, 4.68 ERA)
Archer’s stock has never been lower. He’s already matched his career-high in losses set in 2015. His ERA is higher than it ended in his rookie year and he’s already given up more home runs (20) through the first four months of 2016 than he had in any of his previous four seasons. Considering he’ll be pitching at Denver’s Coors Field for the first time, Archer’s propensity for surrendering the long ball should be disconcerting. He’s given up home runs in 10 of his last 13 starts, which includes eight of 10 on the road. Tampa Bay has failed to win any of his last seven starts and is 1-10 in his last 11. Colorado (-115) is a slight favorite against the Rays despite losing last night’s game in blowout fashion. Lefty Jorge De La Rosa (6-6, 5.50) will pitch for the Rockies. Only Mark Reynolds and Brandon Barnes have faced Archer in the majors.
Biggest UNDER run: Tigers (8-1 last nine)
Detroit managed a single hit off Tommy Milone entering last night's ninth inning and saw James McCann and Jose Iglesias strike out with the bases loaded in a 6-2 loss. As a result, the under struck again as the Tigers were held to four runs or fewer for the 11th time in 12 games. Miguel Cabrera is on a 4-for-25 run at the plate, while Victor Martinez is on a 3-for-33 streak. Despite those struggles, the Tigers are heavily favored as they (-174) send Justin Verlander (9-6, 3.91) to the mound for this matinee series finale against Minnesota, who will count on Ervin Santana (3-8, 4.12) coming off a wrist ailment.
Biggest OVER run: Dodgers (7-2 last nine road games)
Chase Utley got the party started in DC by hitting the third pitch he saw from rookie Reynaldo Lopez out of Nationals Park, sparking a three-run first inning in an 8-4 win. L.A.'s victorious return to the East Coast was fueled by its bats as it continues a run of high-scoring road games by banging out 13 hits. Every starter besides pitcher Scott Kazmir got a hit. The Dodgers have actually banged out double-digit hit totals in every game they've played since the All-Star break, running their streak of doing so to five games. Washington lefty Gio Gonzalez (5-8, 4.70) will look to slow the Dodgers down and has won two of his last three starts after a dreadful two-month run. L.A. will turn to Bud Norris (5-7, 4.17) for his fourth start since it traded for him. Two of the three starts he's made for the Dodgers have gone over the posted total.
Matchup to watch: Giants at Red Sox
Despite a four-game losing coming out of the break, San Francisco still owns the best record in baseball. Meanwhile, Boston has a chance to pass Baltimore for first place in the AL East with a victory and additional help from the Yankees. The Red Sox will break out their newest toy as lefty Drew Pomeranz (8-7, 2.47) makes his first start since being acquired from San Diego. The All-Star has allowed one run over his last three starts, a span of 21 innings, and will be seeing the Giants for the fourth time this season, owning an 0-2 mark despite a 2.60 ERA due to a lack of run support. Matt Cain (1-5, 5.34) is making his first start since June 13 and only his second appearance since May 27 due to hamstring trouble, so this will be a big night for San Francisco as it hopes to rely on him in the rotation going forward. The Giants were shut out for only the fifth time this season last night and are 2-2 coming off games in which they’ve been blanked. Boston (-195) is a heavy favorite despite an unsettled bullpen situation since Koji Uehara left yesterday’s game with a pectoral injury, likely leaving the closer’s role in the hands of the recently acquired Brad Ziegler, who recorded 18 saves in Arizona but has been used as a set-up guy since arriving earlier this month.
Betcha didn’t know: St. Louis should be aware that the Padres are unbeaten in doubleheaders this season, sweeping a pair from the Cubs on May 11. Keep that in mind since they were heavy underdogs that day too, cashing +220 in the opener and +180 in the nightcap. More than two months later, Rea will be starting another twinbill opener, but that's where the similarities end. Pomeranz started the second game and won a 1-0 pitcher's duel over John Lackey and is now in Boston. Fernando Rodney saved both wins in Chicago and finds himself in Miami, traded there June 30. Ex-Marlins starter Paul Clemens (1-0, 4.73) will take the ball for the second game against the Cardinals, following Rea and making his first start for San Diego after three relief appearances since being claimed off waivers late last month. Clemens was pitching for New Orleans, Miami's Triple-A affiliate, on May 11. Rotation mainstays Carlos Martinez and Jaime Garcia will pitch for the Cards.
Biggest public favorite: Blue Jays (-160) at Diamondbacks
Biggest public underdog: Phillies (+110) vs. Marlins
Biggest line move: Yankees (-130 to -160) vs. Orioles
Wednesday's MLB Game of the Day: Giants at Red Sox
By Covers.com
San Francisco Giants at Boston Red Sox (A: +180, H: -220, Total: 10.5)
The Boston Red Sox spent the first half of the season fretting about the state of their pitching rotation but appear to be in pretty good shape so far in the second half. The Red Sox will welcome the newest addition to that staff on Wednesday when Drew Pomeranz takes the mound in the finale of a two-game interleague set against the visiting San Francisco Giants.
Boston took the series opener 4-0 on Tuesday and has watched its pitching staff surrender a total of eight runs in four games since the All-Star break, allowing Pomeranz to ease into his transition back to the American League. "It's pretty exciting coming here, being on a team that all they want to do is win out there," Pomeranz told reporters. "I'm excited to get out there on the mound and get that first start under my belt and keep going." The Giants are struggling since the break with losses in four straight games and have totaled three runs in the last two contests. All-Star first baseman Brandon Belt is having the most difficulty getting his feet under him after the break and is 0-for-16 with eight strikeouts in the last four contests.
INJURY REPORT:
Giants - 2B J. Panik (15-Day DL, concussion), SP M. Cain (Probable Wednesday, hamstring), RP C. Gearrin (15-Day DL, shoulder), 3B M. Duffy (15-Day DL, achilles), RF H. Pence (15-Day DL, hamstring).
Red Sox - RP K. Uehara (Doubtful Wednesday, pectoral), LF C. Young (15-Day DL, hamstring), RP J. Tazawa (15-Day DL, shoulder), RP C. Kimbrel (15-Day DL, knee).
WEATHER REPORT: It's going to be a perfect night for baseball at Boston's Fenway Park on Wednesday evening. Clear skies, zero percent chance of rain, low humidity, and temperatures in the low 80's for first pitch (dropping to mid-70's by later in the game). The wind will be swirling but shouldn't be a factor at only 5 mph.
PITCHING MATCHUP: Giants RH Matt Cain (1-5, 5.34 ERA) vs. Red Sox LH Drew Pomeranz (8-7, 2.47)
Cain has been out over a month with a hamstring injury originally suffered on May 27. The Alabama native tried to make a quick comeback on June 13 against Milwaukee but was ripped for three runs on five hits and five walks over 3 2/3 innings before heading back to the disabled list. Cain, who is facing Boston for the second time his career, was hammered for nine runs on 10 hits over four innings in his last minor league rehab start on Friday.
Pomeranz made the National League All-Star team for San Diego before coming over to the Red Sox in a deal that sent away top pitching prospect Anderson Espinoza. Pomeranz dominated in his final three starts for the Padres before the break, allowing a total of one run and 10 hits in 21 innings. The 27-year-old former first-round draft pick had one of his best starts of the season at San Francisco on May 23, scattering two hits over seven scoreless innings without factoring in the decision.
TRENDS:
* Giants are 5-23 in their last 28 road games vs. a team with a winning record.
* Giants are 1-6 in Cain's last 7 road starts.
* Red Sox are 8-0 in their last 8 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
* Under is 6-0 in Red Sox last 6 overall.
* Giants are 0-4 in the last 4 meetings in Boston.
* Home team is 4-0 in Scheurwater's last 4 games behind home plate.
CONSENSUS: The Covers public is favoring the home favorite Boston Red Sox at a rate of 62 percent. Totals wagers are trending in the direction of Under 10.5 at 60 percent.