MLB betting trends, odds and predictions for Wednesday, June 28th, 2017 from various handicappers and websites
MLB Knowledge
National League
Cubs @ Nationals
Lackey is 1-3, 4.70 in his last four starts; under is 5-1 in his last six. Chicago is 4-4 in his road starts- their 1st 5-inning record with him: 3-11-1
Strasburg is 1-1, 6.33 in his last four starts; over is 4-1 in his last five. Washington is 5-2 in his home starts- their 1st 5-inning record with him: 8-7
Cubs are 6-14 in their last 20 road games; under is 10-1 in their last 11 games. Washington is 4-3 in its last seven games; under is 8-1 in their last nine games.
Mets @ Marlins
Matz is 1-1, 3.60 in three starts this year (over 3-0). Mets’ 1st 5-inning record with him: 1-2
Locke is 0-3, 6.08 in five starts this year (over 3-2). Marlins’ 1st 5-inning record with him: 2-3
Mets won three of their last four games; over is 11-3 in their last 14 games. Miami is 10-3 in last 13 home games; under is 5-1 in their last six games.
Brewers @ Reds
Anderson is 4-1, 1.33 in his last six starts; over is 7-4 in his last 11. Milwaukee is 4-3 in his road starts- 1st 5-inning record with him: 9-4-2
Castillo allowed two runs in five IP (93 PT) in his first MLB start, at Washington. Reds’ 1st 5-inning record with him: 1-0
Milwaukee lost three of last four games; five of last six Brewer games stayed under the total. Reds lost 14 of last 17 games; under is 5-2 in their last seven games.
Cardinals @ Diamondbacks
Wainwright is 1-2, 11.43 in his last four starts (over 3-1); Cardinals are 3-4 in his road starts- their 1st 5-inning record with him: 7-5-3
Arizona won last five Godley starts (2-0, 2.59); under is 4-2 in his last six. Snakes are 3-1 in his home starts- their 1st 5-inning record with him: 6-2-1
St Louis lost four of last six games; over is 7-2-1 in their last ten games. Arizona is 16-3 in its last 19 games; over is 8-4 in their last 12 home games.
Braves @ Padres
Colon is making his first start since June 5; he is 0-3, 19.64 in his last three starts- over is 9-2 in his last 11. Braves are 3-4 in his road starts; their 1st 5-inning record with him: 3-9
Perdomo is 2-1, 2.41 in his last three starts; under is 4-2 in his last six. San Diego is 5-3 in his home starts- their 1st 5-inning record with him: 6-4-3
Braves won eight of last ten games; under is 8-2-1 in their last 11 games. San Diego won five of last seven home games; under is 6-2 in their last eight games.
Rockies @ Giants
Freeland is 1-2, 5.60 in his last three starts; under is 3-1 in his last four. Colorado is 6-2 in his road starts- their 1st 5-inning record with him: 9-5-1
Blach is 0-3, 9.28 in his last four starts; over is 6-0-1 in his last seven. Giants are 2-5 in his home starts- their 1st 5-inning record with him: 7-5
Rockies lost their last seven games; under is 6-1 in their last seven road games. Giants lost 12 of last 15 games but won last two; over is 5-3 in their last eight home games.
American League
Orioles @ Blue Jays
Miley is 1-2, 11.49 in his last four starts; over is 4-1 in his last five. Orioles are 4-3 in his road starts- their 1st 5-inning record with him: 7-7-1
Stroman is 1-2, 5.25 in his last four starts (under 3-1). Toronto is 4-4 in his home starts- their 1st 5-inning record with him: 8-6-1
Orioles won their last three games; over is 8-3 in their last 11 road games. Toronto is 5-8 in its last 13 games; under is 3-1 in their last four games.
Twins @ Red Sox
Mejia is 1-2, 7.43 in his last three starts (under 6-3-1). Minnesota is 2-2 in his road starts- their 1st 5-inning record with him: 4-3-3
Porcello is 1-4, 6.51 in his last six starts (under 4-2). Boston is 4-5 in his home starts- their 1st 5-inning record with him: 4-12
Twins won five of last eight games; under is 12-6-1 in their last 19 games. Red Sox is 12-4 in its last 16 home games; under is 4-2 in their last six home games.
Royals @ Tigers
Kennedy is 1-2, 6.57 in his last five starts; over is 8-1 in their last nine. Royals are won his last three road starts- their 1st 5-inning record with him: 2-9-2
Norris is 2-2, 5.48 in his last four starts; over is 4-1 in his last five starts. Tigers are 2-4 in his home starts- their 1st 5-inning record with him: 6-6-2
Royals are 11-4 in last 15 games; over is 8-2-1 in their last 11 road games. Detroit lost eight of last ten games; four of their last six games went over.
Rangers @ Indians
Darvish is 1-2, 5.29 in his last three starts; over is 4-2 in his last six. Texas is 2-5 in his road starts- their 1st 5-inning record with him: 5-4-3
Bauer is 1-2, 5.16 in his last four starts; under is 6-2 in his last eight. Cleveland is 3-4 in his home starts- their 1st 5-inning record with him: 7-6-2
Rangers are 9-3 in last 12 road games; under is 10-3 in their last 13 road games. Cleveland lost four of last five games; six of last seven Indian games stayed under the total.
A’s @ Astros
Hahn allowed 10 runs in two IP in his last start; under is 4-2 in his road starts. Oakland is 0-6 in his road starts- their 1st 5-inning record with him: 3-6-3
Paulino is 3-0, 4.68 in five starts this year (over 3-2). Houston’s 1st 5-inning record with him: 4-1
A’s are 8-4 in last 12 games; over is 7-2-1 in their last ten road games. Houston won six of last eight games; over is 4-1 in their last five games.
New York @ White Sox
Tanaka is 0-6, 7.62 in his last eight starts; his last four starts stayed under. New York is 3-5 in his road starts- their 1st 5-inning record with him: 7-6-2
Rodon is making his first ’17 start; he is 18-16, 3.90 in 51 career starts. He was 0-4, 10.06 in four rehab starts in the minors this year.
New York lost 11 of last 14 games; over is 8-5 in their last 13 games. Chicago lost seven of last nine games; five of their last seven games stayed under the total.
Interleague
Rays @ Pirates
Snell is making his first start since May 13; he is 0-3, 6.00 in seven starts this year (over 5-2). Rays’ 1st 5-inning record with him: 2-4-1
Nova is 2-1, 3.15 in his last three starts; under is 4-1 in his last five. Pirates are 5-2 in his home starts- their 1st 5-inning record with him: 9-5-1
Rays won six of their last nine games; seven of last eight Tampa Bay games went over the total. Pittsburgh lost four of last five home games; under is 6-2 in their last eight home games.
Dodgers @ Angels
Ryu is 1-1, 5.14 in his last four starts; over is 5-2 in his last seven. Dodgers are 1-5 in his road starts- their 1st 5-inning record with him: 4-8
Meyer is 1-2, 3.12 in his last five starts (under 3-1-1); Angels are 2-3 in his home starts- their 1st 5-inning record with him: 4-6
Angels won three of last four games, are 4-7 in home series openers- their last four games stayed under. Dodgers won 11 of their last 12 games; they won last four road series openers. Four of last five LA games stayed under.
Phillies @ Mariners
Leiter blanked Arizona for six innings (81 PT) in his MLB debut- Phillies’ 1st 5-inning record with him: 1-0
Hernandez is 3-1, 4.98 in his last four starts (over 4-2). Mariners’ 1st 5-inning record with him: 3-3
Phillies are 4-16 in their last 20 games; under is 4-2 in their last six road games. Mariners won lost last three games; five of their last six games went over.
Record with this pitcher starting
National League
Chi-Wsh: Lackey 7-8; Strasburg 11-4
NY-Mia: Matz 1-2; Locke 0-5
Mil-Cin: Anderson 10-6; Castillo 0-1
StL-Az: Wainwright 4-11; Godley 7-2
Atl-SD: Colon 5-7; Perdomo 5-8
Col-SF: Freeland 9-6; Blach 4-8
American League
Balt-Tor: Miley 8-7; Stroman 9-6
Minn-Bos: Mejia 4-6; Porcello 7-9
KC-Det: Kennedy 5-8 (3-0 last 3); Norris 7-7
Tex-Clev: Darvish 8-8; Bauer 7-8
A’s-Hst: Hahn 4-8; Paulino 4-1
NY-Chi: Tanaka 7-8; Rodon 0-0
Interleague
TB-Pitt: Snell 2-5; Nova 9-6
LA-LAA: Ryu 5-7; Meyer 3-7
Phil-Sea: Leiter 1-0; Hernandez 3-3
Pitchers allowing a run in first inning:
National League
Chi-Wsh: Lackey 8-15; Strasburg 3-15
NY-Mia: Matz 0-3; Locke 2-5
Mil-Cin: Anderson 5-16; Castillo 1-1
StL-Az: Wainwright 4-15; Godley 1-9
Atl-SD: Colon 4-12; Perdomo 4-13
Col-SF: Freeland 4-15; Blach 3-12
American League
Balt-Tor: Miley 5-15; Stroman 3-15
Minn-Bos: Mejia 3-10; Porcello 5-16
KC-Det: Kennedy 3-13; Norris 3-14
Tex-Clev: Darvish 3-16; Bauer 2-15
A’s-Hst: Hahn 5-12; Paulino 1-5
NY-Chi: Tanaka 8-15; Rodon 0-0
Interleague
TB-Pitt: Snell 0-7; Nova 4-15
LA-LAA: Ryu 7-12; Meyer 5-10
Phil-Sea: Leiter 0-1; Hernandez 4-6
Umpires
National League
Chi-Wsh: Underdogs are 9-5 in last 14 Timmons games.
NY-Mia: Over is 7-3 in last ten Muchlinski games.
Mil-Cin: Over is 6-2 in last eight Segal games.
StL-Az: Underdogs won six of last seven Reyburn games.
Atl-SD: Five of last six Winters games stayed under.
Col-SF: Over is 9-1-1 in last 11 Nelson games.
American League
Balt-Tor: Over is 9-3 in last dozen Wolcott games.
Minn-Bos: Over is 4-2-2 in last eight Hoye games.
KC-Det: Underdogs are 5-3 in last eight Lentz games.
Tex-Clev: Home team won six of eight Randazzo games.
A’s-Hst: Under is 9-3 in Cooper games this season.
NY-Chi: Underdogs are 4-4 (+$242) in last eight Wendelstedt games.
Interleague
TB-Pitt: Three of last four Tumpane games went over.
LA-LAA: Over is 6-2 in last eight Hudson games.
Phil-Sea: Five of last seven May games stayed under.
Interleague play
NL @ AL– 40-23 AL, favorites -$162
AL @ NL– 40-38 AL, favorites -$992
Total: 79-58 AL, favorites -$1,154
Totals in interleague games
NL @ AL: Over 41-26-1
AL @ NL: Over 43-30
Armadillosports.com
Wednesday's Diamond Notes
By Joe Williams
VegasInsider.com
Hottest team: Athletics (4-0 past four games, 8-4 past 12 overall)
The Athletics kicked off their series Tuesday in Houston with a 6-4 win, hanging on in the ninth inning for the road win. It comes on the heels of a three-game sweep at Chicago White Sox when they outscored the Pale Hose 18-5 in the three-game road sweep. It's the second four-game winning streak to the Athletics since June 15, and they followed up their last one with a four-game losing streak. Before the current four-game road winning streak the A's were just 5-23 in their past previous 28 outings away from home. Since they're bucking trends, perhaps they'll buck another one Wednesdawy. The A's are 0-6 over Jesse Hahn's past six road outings and 1-5 in his past six on the road against a winning team.
Coldest team: Rockies (0-7 past seven games)
The Rockies haven't appeared on the cold list this season, but they have dropped seven in a row to fall behind the Dodgers and Diamondbacks in the National League West. While pair of losses to close out their series against the D-Backs, and a three-game sweep on the road against the Dodgers wasn't completely shocking, two setbacks and being outscored 13-5 by the cellar-dwelling Giants certainly has been stunning. The Rox turn to Kyle Freelan to stem the tide of losing. They're 6-2 over Freeland's past eight road outings, 9-4 across his past 13 starts overall and 5-1 in his past six starts inside the division.
Hottest pitcher: Zack Godley, Diamondbacks (3-1, 2.53 ERA)
Godley has been a godsend for the Snakes this season, posting a 3-1 record with a 2.53 ERA and .202 opponent batting average across 57 innings over nine starts. He also sports an impressive 1.00 WHIP while striking out 52 batters and walking just 17. A huge key to his success has been his ability to keep the ball in the yard, limiting opposing hitters to just four homers so far. Last season, when he appeared in 27 games (nine starts), he had a 6.39 ERA with 53 homers allowing over 74 2/3 innings. Perhaps the Cardinals are the perfect opponent for Godley to stay hot, as St. Louis is just 3-12 over their past 15 road games and 3-12 across their past 15 road games vs. RHP.
Coldest pitcher: John Lackey, Cubs (5-8, 4.74 ERA)
Lackey takes the ball in Wednesday's battle against Stephen Strasburg and the Nationals. He has a decent .255 opponent batting average through 87 1/3 innings across 15 starts, but he has served up 21 home runs, which is third-most in the majors behind Cincinnati's Bronson Arroyo and L.A. Angels' Ricky Nolasco (23). The defending champion Cubs are just 6-14 over their past 20 games on the road, 0-4 in their past four against a right-handed starter and 2-5 in Lackey's past seven outings.
Biggest UNDER run: Cubs (5-0 past five games, 10-1 past 11 overall)
The 'under' has cashed in five in a row for the defending champs, as they have scored just 13 runs (2.6 runs per game). Chicago's pitching continues to be solid, allowing an average of just 2.6 runs per game over the past 10. That lack of hitting and solid pitching is a perfect recipe for 'under' results, and lots of them. While Lackey (see above) has served up plenty of homers, he has actually been decent on the road. The 'under' is 5-1-1 over his past seven starts overall, and 5-0 in the past five on the road. The under is 23-9 in Chicago's past 32 games while going 20-6 in their past 26 tries vs. RHP.
Biggest OVER run: Reds (40-18-2 past 60 overall, 5-2 past seven home games)
The 'over' has been making total bettors a lot of money if they've been pounding Cincinnati games all season long. The over is an impressive 40-18-2 over the past 60 games, 33-16-2 in their past 51 inside the NL Central Division and 5-2 over their past seven at home. In addition, the over is a whopping 21-5 over the past 26 for Cincinnati when facing a team with an overall winning record. They have also handled the twig well against teams using a right-handed starter, as the over is 8-1 in those situations. And the over is a perfect 4-0 in the past four meetings with the Brewers, including Tuesday's 8-6 slugfest win.
Matchup to watch: Padres vs. Braves
The Braves welcome back veteran Bartolo Colon (oblique, back) from the 10-day disabled list to pitch against the Padres. While he has an ugly 2-7 record and 7.78 ERA through 59 innings this season, his best start came against San Diego back on April 16. He allowed just one run and one hit over seven innings with six strikeouts in a win against the Padres. That was just one of two quality starts for Colon in 12 outings this season. The Padres turn to Luis Perdomo, and they're 4-1 over his past five starts at home, including 4-0 in his past four at home against teams with a losing overall mark. The Padres are also an impressive 10-4 in their past 14 home games against a team with a losing road mark.
Betcha didn’t know: If you look at the league leaders in ERA, you'll see a lot of the usual suspects. But Milwaukee's Chase Anderson might be one of the more unheralded pitchers on the list, checking in 10th in the majors with a 2.92 ERA through 15 starts. He has recorded 84 strikeouts through 89 1/3 innings while holding the opposition to a .226 average. While all of that is well and good, the Brewers are still just 7-15 over Anderson's past 22 road starts. While he has been solid at home with a 3-0 record, 2.15 ERA and .202 opponent average, he is a mediocre 3-2 with a 3.92 ERA and a .255 opponent batting average over seven outings on the road.
Biggest public favorite: Mariners (-190) vs. Phillies
Biggest public underdog: Rockies (+110) at Giants
Biggest line move: Angels (+130 to +105) vs. Dodgers
MLB Picks of the Day
By Zabo Jones
Bangthebook.com
MLB Favorite of the day: Cleveland Indians -115
The Indians are one of the tougher teams to figure out in the league this season. In the past couple years, their biggest strength has been their starting rotation, but this year it’s likely their biggest weakness. The emergence of Jose Ramirez, and Michael Brantley returning has made their lineup one of the best in the MLB, but Salazar, Bauer and Tomlin have all been somewhat disappointing this season. Bauer is starting today against Darvish of the Rangers.
Trevor Bauer is a pitcher that the Indians still view as a very high ceiling pitcher. His personality has often been a little tough to deal with, but the underlying talent is impossible to deny. The Indians have been comfortable allowing him to throw a high volume of pitches, but this hasn’t always gotten him deep into games. In his 15 starts, Bauer has only pitched 80 innings, which is not nearly innings. Part of this is that he has a pretty high ERA at 5.53, but his indicators are all pretty good. He has a strikeout rate of 10.29 per nine innings, and he’s walking 3 batters per nine innings. High walk volume, and high strikeouts is going to lead to a lot of pitches, but what’s strange is that his zone rate is still pretty high. Almost 50% of pitches that he has thrown have been in the strike zone, while average is 45%. This probably indicates he’s had some sequencing bad luck, and it’s probably likely that the walk rate should start to drop. Bauer also has a higher than average homerun to flyball ratio at 18%. This can indicate a batted ball problem, but can also mean some unlucky events. Bauer’s batted ball profile is not especially interesting, so I think that’s going to regress to average. I think Bauer is going to be a key cog to the Indians for the rest of the season.
MLB Underdog of the day: Colorado Rockies -102
For the past two weeks, I’ve been fading the Rockies a little bit, and it’s worked out okay. My concern with Colorado was never that they were a bad team, but more that the market was starting to overvalue them. For this particular game though, I don’t feel like they are. Kyle Freeland is going to be starting against Ty Blach for the Giants.
Kyle Freeland has been in the Rockies system for a few years, and was viewed as one of their best prospects for a couple years. He’s been in the MLB for the whole season so far, and he’s looked like a pretty good pitcher in his short time. He has an ERA of 3.70, and while his FIP and xFIP are much worse, there are some reasons I think that could continue. He has a really high groundball rate, near 60%, which isn’t surprising considering his high sinker usage, and cutter usage. This is different than a lot of the Rockies staff who has been largely dependent on 4-seamers. The sinker and cutter may cause some problems somewhere like Coors Field, because low balls can be driven a little bit easier than high pitches, but at AT&T Park, his batted ball profile is great.
Ty Blach is starting for the Giants. Blach isn’t an especially interesting pitcher, and in general his stats are not great. He is valuable in that he can eat innings, and is providing a quality bridge while the Giants are trying to rebuild their rotation after the falls of Cain and Lincecum. What’s a little bit more surprising about the Giants is just how bad the offense has been. They have the third worst offense in the MLB by wRC+ at 81, but it’s effectively tied for the worst as the Padres and Rockies are both at 80 (it’s worth noting that wRC+ is park adjusted, but not perfectly. The park effects of Coors have been more extreme this season than in the past, so I’m not convinced that the Rockies offense has actually been this bad). The Giants have never had a great offense, but it has been a pretty decent contact oriented one that has managed to outscore people in their extreme pitchers park. This can work when it’s combined with good pitchers, but this year both the starters and bullpen has been terrible for the Giants. I don’t think it’s unreasonable to think that the Giants will be back in the playoffs in the next two years, but looking at their current roster, it’s tough unless you squint to see their path.
Cubs face Nationals
By: StatFox.com
The Nationals will be going for a second straight win over the Cubs on Wednesday.
Chicago has not been able to consistently put together wins this season, and that has not changed recently. The Cubs have alternated wins and losses over the past eight games, and they are going to need to figure out a way to rattle off a nicely sized winning streak soon. It would be unacceptable for Chicago to not win the division after winning the World Series a year ago, and the team definitely has that in mind. The Nationals, meanwhile, are still sitting pretty atop the NL East standings. They prevented a three-game losing streak with their win Tuesday, and they’ll now look to get hot here. The starters in this Wednesday night matchup are set to be RHP John Lackey (5-8, 4.74 ERA, 81 K) for the Cubs and RHP Stephen Strasburg (8-2, 3.57 ERA, 109 K) for the Nationals. While Lackey is no slouch, the Nats have the clear advantage on the hill here. One trend that favors the Cubs in this game is the fact that the Nationals are a lousy 10-13 against the money line in home games after two or more consecutive home games this season. Washington is, however, a ridiculous 31-13 against the money line when the total is 7 to 8.5 this season.
John Lackey has had a terrible season for the Cubs, but he has had two very good starts in a row coming into this one. Lackey has allowed one earned run in two straight games, and he has pitched six innings in each of those contests. If he is able to do that again on Wednesday then Chicago would be more than happy. The only problem is that this Nationals offense is a lot better than the Marlins and Pirates, who are the last two teams that Lackey has gone up against. Offensively, it’s hard to imagine Chicago finding a way to beat Washington without both 3B Kris Bryant (.259 BA, 16 HR, 32 RBI) and 1B Anthony Rizzo (.258 BA, 17 HR, 49 RBI) playing at the top of their games. Bryant was 1-for-3 with a triple and an RBI in Tuesday’s game against the Nats, and he will need to continue to drive in runs moving forward. He has just 32 RBI this season, and he is obviously a guy that should be racking up 100 or so per season. Rizzo, meanwhile, has been good since moving to the leadoff spot for Chicago. The Cubs are just hoping that he can keep it up moving forward.
The Nationals are rolling right now, but they are definitely hoping that Stephen Strasburg can find his footing in Wednesday’s start. The righty has really struggled recently, allowing 13 earned runs in his last 15.1 innings of work. Strasburg has been getting hit very hard, and his stuff just hasn’t been like what it was earlier in the year. If he can start missing bats again on Wednesday then that would be big for Washington. It’ll also allow him to work deeper into games. On offense, it’s worth watching what OF Bryce Harper (.316 BA, 18 HR, 56 RBI) is able to do in this game. He is 0-for-9 against Lackey in his career, and the team can’t afford that trend to continue. The Nationals need their best player to perform at a high level, and he should be able to answer the bell.
MLB Daily Line Drive
Covers.com
Double-Play Picks
New York Yankees at Chicago White Sox (+120, 9)
The early season good feelings surrounding the Yankees, due to a hot start and the emergence of Aaron Judge, has faded slightly since the Bronx Bombers have stumbled a bit of late, especially on the road. Despite the struggles, New York will try to take the third game of a four-game set against the White Sox in Chicago.
New York has lost seven of their last eight road games and seven of their last 10 overall, but were able to take Game 1 of this series 6-5 on Monday night, before falling just short of a comeback win in a 4-3 loss last night.
The Yankees hand the ball to Masahiro Tanaka for Game 3. The Japanese right-hander has been inconsistent this season, but is coming off eight innings of shutout ball against the Rangers, in which he allowed just three hits and struck out nine.
Tanaka has dominated the White Sox over the course of his career as well, going 3-0 with a 2.05 ERA and a 1.253 WHIP with 25 strikeouts and eight walks in four starts. The Yankees are also 7-0 in Tanaka’s last seven starts versus American League Central opponents.
He faces a White Sox lineup that ranks 20th in runs per game, 23rd in OPS and 23rd in home runs.
Meanwhile the White Sox counter with Carlos Rodon, who is making his first start of the season. Rodon missed almost the first three months of the season due to a bursitis in his left bicep (his throwing arm).
The hard-throwing south paw has been roughed up by the Yanks in the past, pitching to a 9.64 ERA and a 2.571 in three career starts and that was pre-awesome Aaron Judge.
The Yankees offense has slowed a little, but this is a situation in which they could really explode.
Pick: Yankees -141
St. Louis Cardinals at Arizona Cardinals (-130, 9.5)
The Cardinals and Diamondbacks collide for Game 2 of their three-game series in the desert Wednesday night. The blazing hot D-Backs took the opener Tuesday by taking down the Cards, in a game started by ace Carlos Martinez, in a late-inning comeback and tenth inning walk-off, 6-5.
Tonight the Diamondbacks will send their hottest arm NOT named Robbie Ray to the hill. Arizona has won seven of Zack Godley's last eight starts, including his last five outings. Over those last five games Godley owns an ERA of 2.59, a WHIP of 0.9574, 32 strikeouts in 31.1 innings pitched, and has only allowed two home runs.
Godley will be countered on the Cardinals' side by veteran right-hander Adam Wainwright. The Cards have lost three of "Waino's" last four starts and he has been absolutely trashed in his last two appearances on the road. In previous road starts in Baltimore against the Orioles and in Cincinnati against the Reds, Wainwright has allowed nine earned runs in 1.2 innings pitched and nine earned runs over 3.2 innings respectively. The math on that works out to an ERA of 30.38 and he allowed three home runs during those 1.2 innings in Baltimore.
The D-Backs own the second best home record in baseball at 30-10 and they are 15-2 in their last 17 games at Chase Field. The Cards, on the other hand, are 3-12 in their last 15 road games.
Pick: Diamondbacks (-130)
Yesterday's Picks: 0-2
Season To Date: 74-66-7
Streaking and Slumping Starting Pitchers
Streaking: Luis Perdomo, San Diego Padres (2-4, 4.56, $-211)
You don't often hear much about the San Diego Padres pitching staff, unless it's for very negative reasons like Jered Weaver, but young right-hander Luis Perdomo has been putting together some good starts lately.
Over his last three outings, Perdomo is 2-1 with a 2.41 ERA. His walks are slightly high at nine but the Padres average runs against in those three starts is only 1.67. He owns a ground ball to fly ball ratio of 4.00 over his last three (and 4.86 this season overall) so he's getting out of jams with double-play balls.
Perdomo and the Padres are -120 favorites at home tonight against the Braves.
Slumping: Ty Blach, San Francisco Giants (4-5, 4.86 ERA, $-319)
Giants’ right-hander Ty Blach has be the epitome of a slumping starter after initially giving the San Francisco pitching staff a boost when he joined the rotation at the end of April.
The Giants have lost the rookie southpaw’s last four starts, where he has pitched to a 9.28 ERA and a 1.922 WHIP.
Blach and the Giants are currently slight -102 home dogs this afternoon against the visiting Rockies.
Wednesday's Top Trends
* The Colorado Rockies are 0-7 in their last seven overall. -108 today @ Giants.
* The Chicago Cubs are 7-0 in their last seven games following a loss. +145 today @ Nationals.
* Under is 15-3 in the last 18 meetings between the Baltimore Orioles and Toronto Blue Jays. O/U: 9.5.
* The Detroit Tigers are 0-6 in their last six games vs. a right-handed starter. -140 today vs. Royals (Ian Kennedy).
Weather To Keep An Eye On
The only chance of precipitation in today's MLB forecast is Chicago where the White Sox will host the New York Yankees tonight. Everything should be fine if the game moves along at a reasonable pace, but there are thunderstorms expected to move in at around 11:00 PM local time.
There is a 15 mile per hour hitter's wind blowing out to left-center field for this afternoon's game between the Rockies and Giants at AT&T Park. This wind is a usual occurrence in San Francisco and the total is currently at 9. There will also be a strong hitter's wind in Cleveland for tonight's game between the Rangers and Indians. A 10-15 mile per hour wind is expected to be blowing out to right-center field and the total for this one is also currently set at 9.
The strongest wind of the day will be a 22-25 mile per hour right-to-left cross wind for the Yanks/White Sox game in Chicago. The total for that one is also set at 9.
Ump Of The Day
Jeff Nelson will be behind the plate this afternoon in San Francisco for the game between the Rockies and Giants. In Nelson's last 11 games behind the plate this season the Over is 8-1-2 and his games this season are averaging 3.13 home runs per contest.
The total for this one is set at 9.