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MLB Betting News and Notes Wednesday, June 29

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(@blade)
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National League

Mets @ Nationals
Verrett is 2-2, 5.79 in four starts this year (over 2-1-1).

Scherzer is 3-1, 2.38 in his last five starts; six of his last seven went over.

Mets are 5-9 in last 14 road games; under is 10-4 in their last 14 road games. Washington won its last three games; eight of Nationals' last 11 home games went over.

Cubs @ Reds
Hendricks is 1-2, 4.64 in his last four starts (under 9-5)..

Reed is 0-1, 6.75 in two starts this year, which both went over.

Cubs lost six of last nine games; last five Chicago games went over. Cincinnati lost eight of last ten games; six of Reds' last eight games wet over.

Dodgers @ Brewers
Stewart is making MLB debut; he was 3-0, 2.89 in three AAA starts- he started this year in A ball, then also made nine starts in AA. He is 24, so not that young.

Guerra is 2-0, 3.96 in his last four starts; under is 5-2-1 in his last eight starts.

Dodgers lost three of last five games; over is 3-1-1 in last five Dodger games. Milwaukee is 4-2 in last six home games; three of its last four games went over.

Phillies @ Diamondbacks
Eflin is 0-1, 2.31 in his last two starts (over 2-1).

Bradley is 1-0, 1.64 in his last two starts (over 6-2).

Phillies won three of last four games; over is 10-4 in their last 14 road games. Arizona is 4-9 in its last 13 home games; four of last six Diamondback games went over.

American League

Rangers @ Bronx
Martinez is 0-0, 6.10 in two starts this season (over 1-1).

Tanaka is 2-0, 2.57 in his last two starts; six of his last seven stayed under.

Rangers won 12 of last 14 games; over is 11-4-1 in their last 16 road games. New York is 3-6 in its last nine home games, four of its last five games stayed under.

Red Sox @ Rays
Former Ray Price is 1-3, 4.05 in his last five starts; five of his last six stayed under.

Moore is 1-2, 4.55 in his last five starts; three of his last four stayed under. .

Red Sox lost six of last nine games; six of last seven Boston road games went over total. Tampa Bay lost 12 of last 13 games; their last four games all went over.

Twins @ White Sox
Nolasco is 1-2, 4.64 in his last five starts; over is 13-1 in his last 14 starts.

Shields is 0-2, 16.46 in four starts for Chicago, which all went over. .

Twins lost seven of last ten road games. Chicago is 5-3 in its last eight games; four of last fie White Sox games stayed under, as have last four Minnesota games.

Astros @ Angels
Keuchel is 1-3, 5.12 in his last five starts; three of his last four road starts went under.

Weaver is 1-2, 5.76 in his last four starts; four of his last five went over.

Houston won 11 of its last 13 games; under is 15-4 in Astros' last 19 games. Angels are 6-16 in their last 22 games; nine of their last 12 home games went over.

Interleague

Marlins @ Tigers
Koehler is 3-0, 3.00 in his last four starts; four of his last six went over.

Norris allowed three runs in five IP (79 PT) in his first '16 start.

Marlins are 9-5 in their last 14 games; over is 10-2 in Miami's last 12 road games. Detroit lost three of last four games; three of its last four games went over total.

Indians @ Braves
Salazar is 5-0, 2.81 in his last five starts, four of which went over.

Kelly allowed three runs in five IP (85 PT) in his first '16 start.

Indians won their last 11 games, five of last six Cleveland road games went over total. Atlanta lost four of last five games; under is 8-3 in their last 11 games.

Royals @ Cardinals
Volquez allowed 17 runs in 7.1 IP in his last two starts; he was thrown out of the game last night, which doesn't happen much.

Martinez is 3-0, 1.24 in his last five starts, four of which stayed under. .

Cardinals are 10-3 in last 13 road games, over is 12-8 in their last 20 road games. Kansas City lost five of last seven games, seven of Royals' last ten home games went over.

Blue Jays @ Rockies
Sanchez is 3-0, 3.41 in his last five starts (under 10-5).

Anderson is 0-1, 2.55 in his first three MLB starts (under 2-1).

Blue Jays lost six of last nine games, six of their last nine road games went over total. Colorado won seven of last ten home games (over 7-1 in last eight).

Orioles @ Padres
Gallardo is 1-1, 6.94 in his last five starts; his last three stayed under.

Friedrich is 4-1, 4.29 in his last six starts; six of his last seven went over.

Orioles won their last six games; their last three games went over. San Diego won six of its last nine games; last six San Diego home games went over the total.

Pirates @ Mariners
Taillon is 1-1, 450 in his first four MLB starts, three of which went over.

Miley is 1-1, 2.25 in his last two starts; over is 6-0-2 in his last eight.

Pirates lost ten of last eleven road games; over is 11-9 in their last 20 games. Seattle lost seven of last ten games; three of last five Seattle home games went over.

Giants @ A's
Peavy is 2-0, 1.42 in his last three starts; six of his last nine went over.

Manaea was 1-3, 4.80 in his last five starts before going on DL; under is 4-1-1 in his last six outings.

A's won five of last six games, all of which went over the total. San Francisco lost three of last four games- five of their last six home games went over.

Teams won-lost records when this pitcher starts:

NY-Wsh-- Verrett 2-2; Scherzer 9-7
Chi-Cin-- Hendricks 7-7; Reed 0-2
LA-Mil-- Stewart 0-0; Guerra 8-2
Phil-Az-- Eflin 0-3; Bradley 5-3

Tex-NY-- Martinez 1-1; Tanaka 10-5
Bos-TB-- Price 10-6; Moore 5-10
Min-Chi-- Nolasco 6-9; Shields 1-3/2-9
Hst-LA-- Keuchel 6-10; Weaver 6-9

Mia-Det-- Koehler 6-9; Norris 1-0
Cle-Atl-- Salazar 9-5; Kelly 0-1
KC-StL-- Volquez 9-7; Martinez 7-7
Tor-Col-- Sanchez 9-6; Anderson 1-2
Blt-SD-- Gallardo 4-2; Friedrich 5-3
Pitt-Sea-- Taillon 2-2; Miley 9-4
SF-A's-- Peavy 8-7; Manaea 4-5

Starting pitchers allowing 1+ runs in first inning:

NY-Wsh-- Verrett 1-4; Scherzer 7-16
Chi-Cin-- Hendricks 4-14; Reed 2-2
LA-Mil-- Stewart 0-0; Guerra 2-10
Phil-Az-- Eflin 2-3; Bradley 2-8

Tex-NY-- Martinez 0-2; Tanaka 2-15
Bos-TB-- Price 6-16; Moore 3-15
Min-Chi-- Nolasco 7-15; Shields 7-15
Hst-LA-- Keuchel 4-16; Weaver 6-15

Mia-Det-- Koehler 5-15; Norris 0-1
Cle-Atl-- Salazar 1-14; Kelly 0-1
KC-StL- Volquez 4-16; Martinez 1-14
Tor-Col-- Sanchez 3-15; Anderson 1-3
Blt-SD-- Gallardo 4-6; Friedrich 3-8
Pitt-Sea-- Taillon 1-4; Miley 6-13
SF-A's-- Peavy 4-15; Manaea 1-9

Umpires

NY-Wsh-- Last three Marquez games stayed under the total.
Chi-Cin-- Underdogs won five of last six Foster games.
LA-Mil-- Underdogs are 5-4 in last nine Basner games.
Phil-Az-- Over is 3-1-1 in last five Scott games.

Tex-NY-- Nine of last ten Wegner games went over total.
Bos-TB-- Underdogs won six of last eight Hirschbeck games.
Min-Chi-- Five of last seven Kulpa games went over total.
Hst-LA-- Seven of last ten Davis games went over total.

Mia-Det-- Over is 9-4 in Johnson games this season.
Cle-Atl-- Six of last eight Wendelstedt games stayed under.
KC-StL-- Five of last six Blakney games stayed under.
Tor-Col-- Favorites won six of last seven Lentz games.
Balt-SD-- Six of last seven Tichenor games stayed under.
Pitt-Sea-- Five of last seven Carlson games went over.
SF-A's-- Nine of last eleven Hernandez games went over.

Armadillosports.com

 
Posted : June 29, 2016 8:08 am
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MLB: Streak, Tips, Notes
Sportspic.com

Houston Astros at Los Angeles Angels

When Halos and Stros meett in the finale of this three game set they'll look to continue a solid trend for 'Under' gamblers. In the last 16 meetings between Halos and Stros at Angel Stadium the 'Under' has paid dividends 11 times with 4 'Over', 1 'Push. Matching that, Stros have a habit of keeping the score low in an opposing park. In the last thirteen the result has been 11 'Under', 2 'Over'.

 
Posted : June 29, 2016 8:14 am
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Wednesday's Diamond Notes
By Joe Williams
VegasInsider.com

Hottest team: Indians (11-0 past 11)

The Cleveland Indians remain on a roll, winning their 11th consecutive game Tuesday night in Atlanta. It's their longest winning streak since 1982. They will look to keep the good times rolling Wednesday with Danny Salazar on the bump. Salazar has the second-lowest ERA in the American League at 2.40, and he will be opposed by Braves RHP Joel De La Rosa who is making his major league debut. De La Cruz had an underwhelming 4.68 ERA and 1.49 WHIP over 57 2/3 innings at Triple-A Gwinnett, so the Indians will be heavy favorites to rack up their 12th straight victory.

Coldest team: Reds (3-10 past 13)

The Cincinnati Reds have certainly given the first-place Chicago Cubs fits in the first two games of this series, knocking around RHP Jake Arrierta while holding their own against LHP Jon Lester. Not only are the Reds ice cold over their past 13 games, they have the worst run differential in the majors at minus-123. Cincinnati has dropped six of their past seven games at Great American Ball Parkl, and they're just 11-29 in their past 40 against National League Central Division foes. Cincinnati is also just 5-12 in their past 17 home games against right-handed starting pitching.

Hottest pitcher: Carlos Martinez, Cardinals (7-5, 3.02 ERA)

Martinez has heated up over the past month, going 3-0 with a 1.24 ERA over his past five starts with a .184 opponent batting average and 0.91 WHIP. The Cardinals have managed to win just three of Martinez's past 10 starts, and they're 1-5 in his past six outings at home. However, the Cardinals are 4-1 in their past five against right-handed starting pitching and they are 21-7 in the past 28 starts by Martinez when he spins a quality start in his most recent appearance. He did just that in Seattle last time out, holding the Mariners bats at bay. The Royals have won just one of the past six meetings between these Interstate 70 rivals, so that bodes well for Martinez.

Coldest pitcher: James Shields, White Sox (2-9, 6.22 ERA)

'Big Game' James hasn't looked like a major league caliber pitcher this season, stumbling to an awful 2-9 record, 6.22 ERA and 1.70 WHIP. Shields has looked like he is pitching batting practice since being acquired from the San Diego Padres, going 0-2 with a 15.80 ERA and amazingly poor 3.07 WHIP in four outings over 13 2/3 innings. The White Sox added Shields' arm for a run at a postseason spot, but his addition has actually hindered their chances at the playoffs way more than it has helped.

Biggest UNDER run: Mariners (7-3 past 10)

The under connected in Tuesday's interleague series opener against the Pirates, hitting for the seventh time in the past 10 games. The under is also 5-1-1 in Seattle's past seven home games against a right-handed starter, while going 8-3-1 in their past 12 games overall vs. RHP. And for what it's worth, in the past 10 meetings between these interleague teams the under has hit in nine of those outings. The under is also 5-1 in the past six meetings at Safeco Field, including Tuesday's opener.

Biggest OVER run: Athletics (6-0 past six)

The Oakland Athletics and San Francisco Giants looked like they were playing slow-pitch softball in Tuesday's game at AT&T Park, with the A's scratching out a 13-11 win. They managed to tap the plate 21 times in the two games across the bay, and now they'll host the Giants at O.co for two. The A's have managed at least six runs in five straight games, averaging 7.9 runs per game in the past six while allowing 5.4 runs per outing. The A's have a patchwork rotation with several injuries, and Giants RHP Jake Peavy has a 5.22 ERA. Wednesday's game looks good for the A's to continue their over run.

Matchup to watch: Athletics vs. Giants

The San Francisco Giants dropped a pair against the Oakland Athletics at home, now they look for revenge across the bay. The Giants are facing Athletics LHP Sean Manaea (2-4, 6.02 ERA, 1.44 WHIP) in Wednesday's game, and he is coming off the 15-day disabled list and could show rust. The Giants are 11-2 in their past 13 games against left-handed starting pitching, they're 21-5 in their past 26 games againts a starter with a WHIP over 1.30, and they're 22-7 in their past 29 road games against a team with a losing record. One thing to give bettors pause is the fact the Giants are just 4-12 in their past 16 trips to Oakland.

Betcha didn’t know: The Rangers have won 40 of their past 54 games played on a grass surface, and they're 20-8 in their past 28 games following a win. On the flip side, the Yankees are just 2-5 in their past seven home games against a right-handed starter. And while the Yankees have won six of their past seven home outings by Masahiro Tanaka, they are just 1-5 in Tanaka's past six starts against a team with a winning overall record. The Yankees are also 0-5 in their past five home games against the Rangers, and 0-4 in the past four meetings overall.

Biggest public favorite: Nationals (-155) vs. Mets

Biggest public underdog: Rangers (+180) at Yankees

Biggest line move: Diamondbacks (-150 to -175) vs. Phillies

 
Posted : June 29, 2016 8:16 am
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Wednesday's MLB Game of the Day: Royals at Cardinals
By COVERS.COM

Kansas City Royals at St. Louis Cardinals (A: +150, H: -180, Total: 8.0)

After earning a split on the road against their intrastate rival, the St. Louis Cardinals return home to host the reigning World Series champion Kansas City Royals on Wednesday night in the back end of the home-and-home four-game series. It's the opener of a nine-game homestand for St. Louis, which has dropped five in a row at Busch Stadium.

Matt Carpenter homered, doubled and drove in a pair of runs in Tuesday's 8-4 victory for St. Louis, which is 15-21 on the season at home. Kansas City has lost five of seven overall and may have suffered a costly injury when center fielder Lorenzo Cain was forced to leave Tuesday's game with a left hamstring strain. “We don’t know what’s wrong with Cain yet. We’re hoping the best," Royals left fielder Alex Gordon said. "If he goes down, we got a guy that can step in with (Jarrod) Dyson." Kansas City sends right-hander Edinson Volquez, who was ejected from Tuesday's contest, to the mound to oppose red-hot Carlos Martinez.

INJURY REPORT:

Royals - CF L. Cain (Questionable Wednesday, hamstring).

Cardinals - SS A. Diaz (Out Wednesday, face), RP J. Walden (15-Day DL, shoulder).

WEATHER REPORT:
It should be beautiful baseball weather for phase two of the I-70 series. Partly cloudy skies, low humidity, and temperatures in the mid-80's will welcome the two teams to St. Louis. There will be a slight breeze (5 mph) blowing in from center field, but it certainly won't impact the play on the field at all.

PITCHING MATCHUP: Royals RH Edinson Vólquez (7-7, 5.15 ERA) vs. Cardinals RH Carlos Martínez (7-5, 3.02)

Volquez has nowhere to go but up after a wretched performance versus Houston on Saturday, when he was hammered for 12 runs (11 earned) and failed to retire a batter in the second inning. Volquez managed to come away with a win despite giving up five runs to Detroit in his previous turn following seven scoreless innings of two-hit ball against Cleveland on June 13. Matt Holliday is 11-for-34 with two homers off Volquez, who is 5-6 lifetime against St. Louis.

Martinez has had a season of streaks, posting a 4-0 record with a 1.93 ERA in his first four starts before losing his next five outings and giving up at least four runs in four of them. He has reclaimed his early-season form during a five-start unbeaten streak in which he has yielded a total of five runs and pitched at least seven innings four times. The 24-year-old Martinez has struggled at Busch Stadium, posting a 3-4 record and 4.21 ERA in eight starts.

TRENDS:

* Royals are 1-10 in their last 11 road games vs. a team with a winning record.
* Royals are 1-7 in Volquez' last 8 road starts vs. a team with a winning record.
* Cardinals are 2-8 in their last 10 interleague games.
* Cardinals are 1-5 in Martinez' last 6 home starts.
* Over is 8-1 in Royals last 9 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.
* Under is 5-1-4 in the last 10 meetings.
* Road team is 4-0 in Blakney's last 4 games behind home plate.

CONSENSUS: As the I-70 series shifts to St. Louis, so does the public opinion - 70 percent are on the Cards tonight. The Over is picking up 58 percent of the totals wagers.

 
Posted : June 29, 2016 10:20 am
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