MLB betting trends, odds and predictions for Wednesday, May 10th, 2017 from various handicappers and websites
MLB Knowledge
National League
Cardinals @ Marlins
Lynn is 4-0, 0.72 in his last four starts (over 4-2).
Koehler is 1-1, 6.63 in his last four starts (over 4-1 in last five).
St Louis won its last eight road games; over is 14-2-1 in their last 17 games. Miami lost 11 of last 14 games; six of last seven at home. Over is 4-1 in their last five games.
Giants @ Mets
Cain is 2-1, 4.75 in six starts this season (over 3-2-1).
Milone is making his first start for the Mets; he was 1-1, 5.14 in three starts for Milwaukee last month.
Giants lost last five games, are 2-10 in last 12 road games- their last three games stayed under. Mets won five of last six games. Over is 11-3 in their last 14 games.
Cubs @ Rockies
Hendricks is 1-0, 1.04 in his last three starts (under 4-1 in last five).
Marquez is 1-1, 7.31 in three starts this season (under 2-1).
Cubs lost four of last five games; Over is 17-4 in their last 21 games. Colorado won five of its last seven games; five of last six Rockies games stayed under.
Pirates @ Dodgers
Kuhl is 1-2, 6.23 in six starts this season (over 3-3).
Maeda is 1-0, 3.00 in his last two starts; over is 4-0-1 in his last five starts.
Pittsburgh lost six of last seven road games; five of last six Pirate games stayed under. Dodgers won nine of last eleven games; five of their last seven games went over.
American League
Indians @ Blue Jays
Salazar is 1-2, 5.06 in his last three starts (under 5-0 in last five).
Liriano is 2-1, 2.79 in his last four starts (under 4-1 in his last five).
Indians won four of last six games; under is 11-0 in Indians’ last eleven road games. Toronto is 5-8 in its last 13 games; under is 10-4 in their home games.
Royals @ Rays
Hammel is 1-4, 5.53 in six starts this season (under 4-2).
Archer is 0-1, 4.68 in his last four starts (over 5-2).
Royals are 5-4 in their last nine games; under is 6-3 in those games. Tampa Bay is 3-7 in its last ten home games. Over is 9-3 in Rays’ last 12 home games.
Twins @ White Sox
Hughes is 2-0, 3.44 in his last three starts (over 3-3).
Holland is 2-0, 2.37 in his last three starts (over 3-1 in last four).
Minnesota lost three of last five games; over is 9-1 in their last ten games. White Sox lost seven of last nine games; under is 5-3 in their last eight games.
Angels @ A’s
Chavez is 1-3, 4.55 in his last five starts (over 3-3).
Triggs is 1-2, 5.82 in his last three starts (over 3-3).
Angels lost four of last six games; their last four road games went over. Oakland won three of its last four games; over is 9-1 in their last ten games.
Interleague
Orioles @ Nationals
Miley is 0-1, 2.18 in his last four starts (under 3-1 in last four); he was taken out of last start in first inning after being hit by consecutive line drives.
Strasburg is 2-1, 2.36 in his last four starts (under 5-1).
Nationals lost their last three games, all of which went over total. Baltimore won its last six games; over is 3-1 in their last four games.
Padres @ Rangers
Perdomo is 0-1, 4.84 in four starts this season (over 2-2).
Darvish is 2-0, 2.14 in his last three starts (under 3-1 in last four).
Rangers lost eight of last 11 road games; under is 3-2 in their last five games. San Diego lost five of its last six games; over is 8-2 in their last ten home games.
Mariners @ Phillies
Gallardo is 1-1, 2.95 in his last three starts (under 4-2).
Eflin is 0-0, 2.57 in his last three starts (over 2-1-1).
Seattle won five of its last six games; over is 6-2 in their last eight games. Phillies lost six of last seven games; over is 7-2-1 in their last ten games.
Red Sox @ Brewers
Kendrick allowed six runs in four IP (69 PT) in his first ’17 start, an 8-3 loss to Baltimore.
Anderson is 0-0, 4.86 in his last three starts (over 3-1 in his last four).
Red Sox are 6-8 on the road. Over is 4-1 in their last five games. Milwaukee won five of its last seven home games; under is 4-2 in their last six games overall.
Braves @ Astros
Garcia is 1-1, 4.54 in five starts this season (over 3-1-1).
Musgrove is 0-3, 5.75 in four home starts (over 3-3).
Braves lost their last five games; over is 9-1-2 in their last 12 games. Houston won seven of last nine games; over is 6-2 in their last eight home games.
Tigers @ Diamondbacks
Boyd is 2-1, 2.61 in his last five starts (under 3-1-1 in his last five).
Godley allowed two runs in five IP (87 PT) in his first ’17 start, against San Diego.
Tigers lost three of last five games; over is 8-0-1 in their last nine road games. Arizona lost five of last six games; five of Diamondbacks’ last six games stayed under the total.
Record with this pitcher starting
National League
StL-Mia: Lynn 4-2; Koehler 3-3
SF-NY: Cain 3-3; Milone 0-0 (1-2 with Milw)
Chi-Colo Hendricks 3-3; Marquez 0-3
Pitt-LA: Kuhl 2-4; Maeda 4-2
American League
Clev-Tor: Salazar 3-3; Liriano 3-3
KC-TB: Hammel 1-5; Archer 4-3
Minn-Chi: Hughes 5-1; Holland 4-2
LAA-A’s: Chavez 2-4; Triggs 4-2
Interleague
Blt-Wsh: Miley 4-2; Strasburg 4-2
SD-Tex: Perdomo 1-3; Darvish 4-3
Sea-Phil: Gallardo 1-5; Eflin 2-2
Bos-Mil: Kendrick 0-1; Anderson 3-3
Atl-Hst: Garcia 3-2; Musgrove 2-4
Det-Ariz: Boyd 3-3; Godley 0-1
Pitchers allowing a run in first inning:
National League
StL-Mia: Lynn 1-6; Koehler 5-6
SF-NY: Cain 3-6; Milone 0-3
Chi-Colo Hendricks 3-6; Marquez 2-3
Pitt-LA: Kuhl 2-6; Maeda 2-6
American League
Clev-Tor: Salazar 3-6; Liriano 1-6
KC-TB: Hammel 0-6; Archer 1-7
Minn-Chi: Hughes 3-6; Holland 1-6
LAA-A’s: Chavez 0-6; Triggs 1-6
Interleague
Blt-Wsh: Miley 1-5; Strasburg 0-6
SD-Tex: Perdomo 2-4; Darvish 0-7
Sea-Phil: Gallardo 4-6; Eflin 3-4
Bos-Mil: Kendrick 0-1; Anderson 1-6
Atl-Hst: Garcia 2-5; Musgrove 2-6
Det-Ariz: Boyd 0-6; Godley 0-1
Umpires
National League
StL-Mia- Over is 3-0-1 in last four Porter games.
Chi-Col: Under is 5-1 in Cooper games this season.
SF-NY- Underdogs won three of five Knight games.
Pitt-LA- Over is 7-3 in last ten Fagan games.
American League
Clev-Tor: Favorites won four of five Carapazza games this year.
Minn-Chi: Over is 9-4-1 in last fourteen Hudson games.
KC-TB- Over is 3-1 in Whitson games this season.
LA-A’s- Under is 9-3 in last dozen Meals games.
Interleague
Sea-Phil: Over is 4-0-1 in last five Fairchild games.
SD-Tex: Four of five Hoye games stayed under.
Balt-Wsh: Four of last five Eddings games went over.
Bos-Mil: Under is 5-2 in Culbreth games this season.
Atl-Hst: Under is 8-4 in last twelve Foster games.
Det-Ariz: Three of last four Danley games stayed under.
Armadillosports.com
MLB: Streaks, Tips, Notes
Sportspic.com
Minnesota Twins at Chicago White Sox
Going back to the well is something that 'Under' gamblers have no problem doing, especially when it continues to offer up winning plays. In this case, it involves the clash between the Chicago White Sox and Minnesota Twins.
The White Sox and Twins and have already have faced each other seven times in 2017, with six meetings playing 'Under' and one 'Push'. The most compelling number that should keep 'Under' gamblers happy is the fact Pale Hose hand the ball to lefty Holland. The White Sox hurler has not allowed more than two earned runs in any of his six starts and his teams are 6-1-1 'Under' when tossing infront of the home crowd. Additionally, Twins are 6-1-2 'Under' swinging away at a southpaw starter.
Wednesday's Diamond Notes
By Joe Williams
VegasInsider.com
Hottest team: Dodgers (4-0 past four games, 9-2 past 11 overall)
The Dodgers have been pushing all the right buttons lately. L.A. had a little Chavez Ravine magic in Tuesday's game, coming from behind to top Ivan Nova and the Pirates in extra innings. Chalk eaters have been making out like bandits lately, risking 814 to win 400 during the team's four-game winning streak. They'll turn to Kenta Maeda to keep it rolling. He posted a win in San Diego last time out, and he has allowed just three earned runs with 16 strikeouts over the past 12 innings after giving up 17 earned runs across 19 innings in his first four appearances.
Coldest team White Sox (2-7 past nine games)
The White Sox have fallen on hard times, dropping four in a row and seven of the past nine overall. They turn to southpaw Derek Holland to end their losing skid. He is the last pitcher to record a win, and he has picked up victories in two of the past three Chicago wins dating back to April 29. While the White Sox have dropped four in a row against winning teams and four of their past five against right-handed starters, they're a perfect 4-0 in Holland's past four outings against divisional foes. The White Sox are also 21-10 across their past 31 at home against teams with a road winning percentage of .600 or better.
Hottest pitcher: Derek Holland, White Sox (3-2, 2.20 ERA)
Holland might not have the most attractive record in five decisions, but he has turned in a sparkling 2.20 ERA with a 1.04 WHIP and .191 opponent batting average through 35 2/3 innings across six starts. He has also turned in an impressive 30/12 K/BB ratio which serves him well. The Twins rank 27th in strikeouts, but Holland will still post solid numbers at home. The opposition is hitting just .167 against him at U.S. Cellular Field, and he struck out five Twins while allowing just two earned runs over six innings in his first meetings with Minnesota back on April 7.
Coldest pitcher: Kenta Maeda, Dodgers (2-2, 5.81 ERA)
Maeda has started to piece it together lately, and he looks to keep the Dodgers hot. Overall the pitcher has an awful 5.81 ERA and 1.32 WHIP while the opposition has a robust .271 batting average against him. That includes 20 earned runs over 31 innings, including seven homers allowed over 31 innings. The Pirates will likely be angry after blowing a late lead in Tuesday's game, and they won't give Maeda much to work with. Pittsburgh's offense does rank 28th in the majors with just 121 runs scored and a .230 team batting average, so there is hope.
Biggest UNDER run: Diamondbacks (5-1 past six games, 8-3 past 11 outings)
The 'under' run by Arizona will certainly be tested with Tigers LHP Matt Boyd being opposed by minor-league call-up SP Zack Godley. The 'over' is also 4-0 in Detroit's past four overall, and 6-0 in their past six against a right-handed starting pitcher. However, there is hope, as the 'under' is 6-2-1 in Boyd's past nine road starts and 3-1-1 in his past five overall. The 'under' is 4-1 in Arizona's past five interleague games against a team with a left-handed starter, but the 'over' is 7-0 in Godley's past seven assignments and 5-0 in his past five at home. That 'under' streak will be tested hard.
Biggest OVER run: Athletics (8-1 past nine games)
After an 'under' result in Monday's series opener against the Halos, it was back to 'overs' in Tuesday's game, a 7-3 setback. That's now eight over results over the past nine games, and a 7-3 mark over the past 10 at home for the Athletics. The over is also 5-1 in Oakland's past six tries against a right-handed starter and 4-0 in their past four games following a loss In addition, the over is a perfect 5-0 in their past five tries against a starter with a WHIP of 1.30 or greater. The Angels are also on an over kick, going 5-2-1 in their past eight outings.
Matchup to watch: Brewers vs. Red Sox
The Red Sox and Brewers had a slugfest in Tuesday's interleague opener, as Boston was bested 13-7 while Eric Thames belted his league-leading 13th home run. Boston has won just six of its past 19 games on the road, although they're an impressive 8-3 in the past 11 road games against a team with a losing home mark. The Brewers are just 1-4 in Tyler Anderson's past five starts at home, but they're 5-2 in their past seven at home overall. Milwaukee has also turned in victories in five of the past six against teams with a winning overall record.
Betcha didn’t know: The Pirates turn to Chad Kuhl in Wednesday's outing, and he likely will not have to face Andrew Toles, who left Tuesday's game with a knee injury. Kuhl has yielded two or fewer earned runs in five of his six starts overall, but he is 0-1 with a 2.76 ERA across three road outings. He was also 2-0 with a 4.09 ERA in two assignments against Los Angeles in 2016, so don't overlook him. Maeda of the Dodgers coughed up four runs across five innings in a loss June 25, 2016 in his only previous career start against the Bucs.
Biggest public favorite: Dodgers (-230) vs. Pirates
Biggest public underdog: Blue Jays (+145) vs. Indians
Biggest line move: Dodgers (-180 to -230) vs. Pirates
Struggling Marlins host red-hot Cards
By: StatFox.com
The Marlins will be hoping to get on track with a victory over the Cardinals on Wednesday.
The Cardinals are on fire right now, as the team has rattled off five straight victories to move into first place in the NL Central. St. Louis has been winning games mostly on the strength of its pitching, as the team has allowed only 135 runs this season (10th in MLB). RHP Lance Lynn (4-1, 2.04 ERA, 31 K) will be hoping to keep it going on Wednesday, and he has actually been the team’s strongest starter thus far. For the Marlins, RHP Tom Koehler (1-1, 5.40 ERA, 23 K) will be hoping to get the team back into the win column. Miami was hoping to fight for a playoff spot this season, and the team has dug itself quite a hole to open the year. The Marlins need to start winning games soon and a good start from Koehler would certainly help them on Wednesday. The trends in this game strongly favor the Cardinals to come away with a win, though. St. Louis is 8-1 against the money line versus NL teams with on base percentages of .325 or worse this season. The Cardinals are also an impressive 21-9 against the money line against NL teams scoring 4.5 or more runs per game over the past two seasons. St. Louis will, however, be without OFs Dexter Fowler (Shoulder) and Stephen Piscotty (Hamstring) in this contest.
St. Louis is as hot as could be at the moment and will be trying to pick up another victory on Wednesday. Lance Lynn will be taking the ball for the Cards, and he has been ridiculous this season. Over his past four starts, Lynn has allowed only two earned runs in 25 innings of work. He has struck out five or more batters in each of those four contests and could give this Marlins lineup some serious trouble here. One thing Lynn will need to keep doing is stay down in the strike zone. In his only truly poor start this year, Lynn allowed three homers against the Nats in an Apr. 11 game. He has allowed just one homer since that, and that is a huge reason for his success. Offensively, 1B Matt Carpenter (.268 BA, 7 HR, 22 RBI) and 3B Jedd Gyorko (.333 BA, 6 HR, 15 RBI) will need to produce on Wednesday. Both guys have been hitting very well this season, and they should be able to get to Koehler in this contest.
The Marlins are not playing the way they are capable of right now and the team knows that it needs to start winning games soon. Tom Koehler will be tasked with shutting down a scorching hot Cardinals team on Wednesday, and that’s just not going to be easy for the righty. Koehler has allowed three or more earned runs in five straight starts, and he has failed to pitch into the sixth inning of four of those outings. It’s going to be tough for Miami to win if Koehler can’t work deeper into this game. If he is going to struggle then the Marlins offense will need to find a way to provide runs for him. One guy to keep an eye out for in this one is OF Giancarlo Stanton (.254 BA, 11 HR, 26 RBI). Stanton has been on fire lately, as he has hit four homers over the past four games. If he can go yard on Wednesday then the Marlins will have a shot to win here.