National League
Cubs @ Pirates
Lester is 1-1, 1.27 in his last three starts (under 3-2).
Nicasio is 2-1, 2.50 in his last three starts (under 3-2).
Cubs won eight of last ten games; over is 6-0-1 in their last seven road games. Pirates lost their last three games; over is 17-5 in their last 22 games.
Diamondbacks @ Marlins
De la Rosa is 2-0, 0.69 in his last two starts; his last three stayed under.
Fernandez is 2-1, 3.13 in his last four starts (over 3-2).
Arizona lost six of its last seven game; four of its last five games stayed under total. Marlins won seven of last eight games; over is 8-2-2 in its last 12 games.
Giants @ Reds
Peavy is 1-2, 8.61 in five starts this year (over 5-0).
Straily is 0-1, 3.45 in three starts this year (under 2-1).
Giants on eight of their last 11 games; ten of their last 12 overall went over the total. Reds lost ten of their last 12 games; over is 5-1-1 in their last seven home games.
Braves @ Mets
Chacin is 1-1, 3.68 in four starts this year (over 2-2).
Matz is 3-0, 0.93 in his last three starts (over 3-1).
Mets won nine of last 11 games; over is 11-6 in their last 17 games. Atlanta is 3-10 in its last 13 games; four of its last five games stayed under.
Phillies @ Cardinals
Morgan allowed three runs in five IP (97 PT) in his first '16 start.
Leake is 0-3, 6.75 in five starts this year; three of his last four starts went over.
Phillies won ten of last 12 games; six of their last seven games stayed under the total. Cardinals lost five of last six games (over 7-1-2 in last ten).
Rockies @ Padres
Chatwood is 2-1, 1.56 in his last three starts (under 5-0). .
Vargas is 0-1, 0.87 in two starts this year (under 1-1).
Colorado is 8-6 on the road this year; nine of its last 12 road games stayed under. San Diego won four of its last five games; five of their last seven games stayed under.
American League
Tigers @ Indians
Sanchez is 1-2, 9.69 in his last three starts (over 4-0-1).
Kluber is 1-0, 2.40 in his last two starts; three of his last four starts stayed under.
Detroit won five of last six games; eight of its last ten games went over. Cleveland lost five of last seven games; oer is 6-3 in its home games.
Bronx @ Orioles
Sabathia is 1-2, 5.28 in his last three starts (over 2-2).
Wilson is 1-0, 4.66 in two starts this year (over 2-0).
New York lost 14 of last 18 games; six of its last eight road games stayed under the total. Orioles won five of last seven home games; four of their last five home games went over the total.
Rangers @ Blue Jays
Lewis is 2-0, 2.88 in his last four starts (over 3-2). .
Sanchez is 2-1, 2.87 in five starts this year (under 4-1).
Texas won five of its last seven games, but they've lost five of last six on road; nine of its 12 road games stayed under. Toronto is 5-8 in its last 13 games; its last six games all stayed under the total.
Red Sox @ White Sox
Buchholz is 0-3, 6.59 in five starts this year (over 3-2).
Rodon is 0-2, 8.36 in his last three starts (under 4-1). .
Boston won nine of its last 11 games; four of their last five games stayed under. the total. Chicago won 11 of last 14 games; their last eight games at home stayed under.
Twins @ Astros
Hughes is 1-4, 4.75 in five starts this month (under 3-1-1). .
Fiers is 2-0, 4.00 in his last three starts (over 3-1-1).
Twins are 2-11 on road; they lost five of last six games overall. Over is 9-3-1 in their last 13 games overall. Houston lost ten of last 14 games; over is 6-3-1 in its last ten
Mariners @ A's
Hernandez is 2-2, 1.93 in five starts this year (under 5-0).
Manaea allowed four runs in five IP (87 PT) in his MLB debut.
Mariners won ten of last 13 games; under is 7-3 in their last ten road games. A's lost eight of last 11 games; under is 9-4 in their last 13 home games.
Interleague
Dodgers @ Rays
Wood is 0-2, 10.29 in three road starts- they all went over total.
Smyly is 1-1, 1.29 in his last three starts; three of his last four starts stayed under. .
Dodgers lost six of last eight games; over is 5-2-1 in their last eight road tilts. Tampa Bay lost four of its last five games; 12 of its last 15 home games stayed under.
Angels @ Brewers
Santiago is 2-1, 2.89 in his last three starts (under 4-1).
Davies is 0-3, 9.45 in three starts this year (over 1-1-1).
Angels lost nine of last 12 road games; under is 6-3-1 in their last ten road games. Milwaukee won its last three games; over is 6-0-1 in their last seven at home.
Nationals @ Royals
Strasburg is 4-0, 2.25 in five starts this year (over 3-0-1 last four).
Medlen is 0-2, 5.87 in his last three starts (under 3-1).
Washington won six of its last eight road games; under is 6-2-2 in their last ten games on foreign soil. Royals lost six of their last eight games; under is 10-3 in their last thirteen games.
Teams won-lost records when this pitcher starts:
Chi-Pitt-- Lester 4-1; Nicasio 3-2
Az-Mia-- De la Rosa 2-2; Fernandez 3-2
SF-Cin-- Peavy 2-3; Straily 1-2
Atl-NY-- Chacin 2-2; Matz 3-1
Phil-StL-- Morgan 1-0; Leake 1-4
Col-SD-- Chatwood 3-2; Vargas 1-1
Det-Clev-- Sanchez 3-2; Kluber 1-4
NY-Balt-- Sabathia 2-2; Wilson 2-0
Tex-Tor-- Lewis 3-2; Sanchez 2-3
Bos-Chi-- Buchholz 0-5; Rodon 2-3
Minn-Hst-- Hughes 1-4; Fiers 2-3
Sea-A's-- Hernandez 2-3; Manaea 1-0
LA-TB-- Wood 2-3; Smyly 2-3
LAA-Mil-- Santiago 4-1; Davies 0-3
Wsh-KC-- Strasburg 5-0; Medlen 1-3
Starting pitchers allowing 1+ runs in first inning:
Chi-Pitt-- Lester 1-5; Nicasio 1-5
Az-Mia-- De la Rosa 0-4; Fernandez 3-5
SF-Cin-- Peavy 2-5; Straily 0-3
Atl-NY-- Chacin 2-4; Matz 0-4
Phil-StL-- Morgan 0-1; Leake 3-5
Col-SD-- Chatwood 1-5; Vargas 0-2
Det-Clev-- Sanchez 2-3; Kluber 1-5
NY-Balt-- Sabathia 0-4; Wilson 0-2
Tex-Tor-- Lewis 3-5; Sanchez 1-5
Bos-Chi-- Buchholz 1-5; Rodon 2-5
Minn-Hst-- Hughes 3-5; Fiers 2-5
Sea-A's-- Hernandez 0-5; Manaea 0-1
LA-TB-- Wood 1-4; Smyly 0-5
LAA-Mil-- Santiago 2-5; Davies 1-3
Wsh-KC-- Strasburg 1-5; Medlen 0-4
Umpires
Chi-Pitt-- Over is 3-1-1 in Nelson games this season.
SF-Cin-- Four of five Joyce games stayed under total.
Atl-NY-- Over is 8-2-2 in last twelve Wolf games.
Az-Mia-- Five of last seven Gibson games went over.
Phil-StL-- Five of last seven Wolcott games stayed under.
Col-SD-- Underdogs are 9-7 in last sixteen Knight games.
Det-Clev-- Eight of last eleven Morales games went over.
NY-Balt-- Three of four Guccione games stayed under total.
Tex-Tor-- Underdogs are 9-7 in last sixteen Drake games.
Min-Hst-- Three of last four Barry games stayed under.
Bos-Chi-- Under is 8-4 in last twelve Timmons games.
Sea-A's-- Six of last nine Hamari games went over total.
LAA-Mil-- Nine of last twelve Reyburn games stayed under.
LA-TB-- Under is 6-1-1 in last eight LBarrett games.
Wsh-KC-- Home side won six of last eight Bucknor games.
Armadillosports.com
MLB: Streaks, Tips, Notes
Sportspic.com
Arizona at Miami
The presence of Jose Fernandez on the mound bodes well for Miami's chances. History shows Jose Fernandez loves pitching in front of the friendly crowd at Marlins Park. In the righthanders 28 starts at the venue he is 18-1 with Miami 24-4 in those games. The dominance is reflected by the fact he's allowed an average 1.91 runs/game over the span with a 214-49 strikeout-to-walk ratio. Fernandez will be trading pitches with Rubby DeLarosa carrying a 3-3 record, 4.18 ERA over four starts, three relief appearances tagged for 3 long-ball, 13 runs over 23 2/3 innings.
Texas at Toronto
The third matchup of a four game series between Toronto Blue Jays and Texas Rangers this evening at Rogers Center should grab the attention of 'Under' gamblers. Blue Jays unable to find a consistent stroke at the plate crossing 3.9 runs/game have played 'Under' 64.3% of the time cashing 18 'Under', 8 'Over', 2 'Push'. Rangers following in that same vein are crossing 3.4 runs/game in enemy territory posting 9 'Under', 3 'Over'.
Matching that, 'Under' has been the correct betting option with Aaron Sanchez handed Jays' starting durites. Sanchez has shown that he can keep the score low. In his last ten starts the 'Under' has paid out eight times (2-8 O/U). Have the hurler toss in front of the friendy crowd at Rogers Center the 'Under' has paid out six times (2-6 O/U). Sanchez trades pitches with Colby Lewis off back-2-back quality starts allowing 3 runs with each game playing 'Under'. Lewis has also shown he can keep the score low tossing north of the border. In three career starts in Toronto the game has played 'Under' in each case.
Wednesday's Diamond Notes
By Kevin Rogers
VegasInsider.com
Hottest team: Marlins (8-1 last nine)
In spite of losing last season’s NL batting champion Dee Gordon to an 80-game suspension, Miami has continued to roll by winning eight of its past nine games. The Marlins pulled off a four-game sweep of the Dodgers and grabbed two of three at Milwaukee on their recent road trip to improve to 12-12. Miami returned home and rallied past Arizona on Tuesday, 7-4 to grab only their third home victory of the season. Tonight, the Marlins turn to ace Jose Fernandez to keep their winning ways going as Miami owns a 24-4 record when the right-hander takes the mound at home.
Coldest team: Yankees (0-7 last seven)
The Bronx Bombers aren’t producing much from an offensive standpoint, as New York is tied for last in the American League in run scored. New York fell to 3-9 on the highway after scoring just one run in Tuesday’s loss at Baltimore. The Yankees have lost 14 of their past 18 games, including a 1-7 mark in their last eight attempts as an underdog. CC Sabathia looks to end New York’s woes tonight, but the southpaw has allowed three earned runs in each of his first four outings, while the Yankees have dropped five straight meetings with the Orioles.
Hottest pitcher: Colby Lewis, Rangers (2-0, 3.19 ERA)
Texas has won three of Lewis’ last four outings, as the veteran right-hander has given up three earned runs in his last two starts. The Rangers beat the Angels as a home underdog in Lewis’ previous outing, 4-2, as he tossed seven innings for the first time this season. Texas owns a 7-4 record in Lewis’ last 11 starts in the road underdog role since last June, including a victory as a +155 ‘dog last month at Seattle.
Coldest pitcher: Phil Hughes, Twins (1-4, 4.45 ERA)
Minnesota fell to 2-11 away from Target Field following Tuesday’s 6-4 defeat at Houston. Hughes tries to turn around the Twins’ road luck as the right-hander has picked up only one win in five starts this season. The offense hasn’t offered much support for Hughes by scoring two runs or less in all four of his losses, resulting in three ‘unders.’ Minnesota has lost each of Hughes’ last five road starts since last season, but the only positive note for the Twins tonight is they face an Astros’ squad that hasn’t won consecutive games this season.
Biggest UNDER run: Blue Jays (6-0 last six)
Even though Toronto won on a walk-off homer to stun Texas on Tuesday, the Blue Jays produced their 18th ‘under’ in 26 games this season. One of the biggest mysteries with this Toronto club is the lack of production at home, as the Blue Jays have plated a total of five runs in the past four contests at Rogers Center. The Jays have knocked out 33 home runs, which ranks fourth in the American League, led by reigning MVP Josh Donaldson, who has hit nine, tied with Seattle’s Robinson Cano for the most in the AL.
Biggest OVER run: Brewers (6-0 last six)
Milwaukee owns the best ‘over’ record at home this season, by posting an 11-4 mark at Miller Park following Tuesday’s comeback victory over the Angels, 5-4. The Brewers have eclipsed the ‘over’ in seven of the last eight home contests, while scoring at least five runs six times in this span. Milwaukee has drawn a heavy interleague schedule so far, going 7-1-1 to the ‘over’ in nine games against American League foes, as the Brewers wrap up their series with the Angels this afternoon.
Matchup to watch: Tigers vs. Indians
Cleveland has owned Detroit this season by winning each of the first four meetings, including Tuesday’s 7-3 home victory as a -125 favorite. The Indians snapped a three-game losing streak, while ending Detroit’s five-game winning streak as the Tigers have scored just eight runs in the four losses to the Tribe. The Cy Young season that Corey Kluber put together in 2014 seems like a memory as the right-hander owns a 10-19 record in his last 29 decisions, including a 1-3 mark in 2016. However, Kluber’s only victory this season came against Detroit in his best outing, allowing two hits and one earned run in eight innings of work in a 10-1 victory on April 23.
Betcha didn’t know: The Phillies own an 8-8 record in Adam Morgan’s 16 career starts since June 2015. However, the southpaw beat the Cardinals in his Major League debut, 9-2 as a +170 home underdog, while seven of Philadelphia’s eight victories with Morgan on the mound have come as a ‘dog of +160 or higher.
Biggest public favorite: Mets (-215) vs. Braves
Biggest public underdog: Dodgers (+145) at Rays
Biggest line move: Astros (-130 to -150) vs. Twins
Red Sox, White Sox clash
By Sportsbook.ag
BOSTON RED SOX (15-11) at CHICAGO WHITE SOX (19-8.)
Sportsbook.ag Line: Boston +105, Chicago -115, Total: 8.5
Carlos Rodon and the American League-best White Sox look to take the series from Clay Buchholz and the Red Sox in Chicago.
How about those White Sox (19-8.)? Robin Ventura’s team owns the best record in the American League—only the crosstown Cubs have a better mark—and holds a four-game lead over the second-place Tigers in the AL Central.
Chicago took the series opener from the Red Sox (15-11), 4-1, on Tuesday night and will look to take the three-game series on Wednesday. Pitching for the White Sox will be LHP Carlos Rodon (1-3, 4.33 ERA, 27 SO, 11 BB, 3 HR in 27 IP).
On the hill for John Farrell will be RHP Clay Buchholz (0-3, 6.51, 19 SO, 13 BB, 4 HR in 27 2/3 innings), who has allowed five earned runs in four of his five starts this season. Rodon is a bad matchup for the Red Sox, as Boston has gone 0-3 against left-handed starters this season, averaging just 1.3 runs in those games. Both Boston and Chicago have won five of their past seven games. The White Sox are 7-3 at U.S. Cellular Field, and the Red Sox are 7-4 away from Fenway Park.
The Red Sox have scored the most runs in the American League (135), and they do it without the long ball. Boston leads the AL in average (.280) and on-base percentage (.340), but is tied for second-to-last in the league with 22 home runs.
2B Dustin Pedroia (.321, 3 HR, 13 RBI, .367 OBP) has been Boston’s best hitter, and 3B Travis Shaw (.312, 3 HR, 17 RBI, .379 OBP), DH David Ortiz (.306, 5 HR, 19 RBI, .404 OBP) and SS Xander Bogaerts (.304, 1 HR, 11 RBI, .372 OBP) have been very solid as well. Rodon has never faced the White Sox, so these hitters will be seeing the 23-year-old for the first time.
Only LF Chris Young (.167, 0 HR, 1 RBI, .219 OBP)—a backup outfielder—has faced him before, going 2-for-5 with a double and a walk.
Buchholz has allowed 10 runs in his last 12 innings pitched, so he needs a bounce-back outing—badly. Unfortunately for the two-time All-Star, he has the difficult task of containing the best team in the AL. Despite their record, the White Sox haven’t hit a ton through the first 27 games (106 runs – 7th in AL).
No regulars are hitting over .300, as LF Melky Cabrera (.296, 2 HR, 8 RBI, .373 OBP) and RF Adam Eaton (.294, 1 HR, 6 RBI, .371 OBP) lead the club with .296 and .294 averages, respectively. 3B Todd Frazier (.214, 7 HR, 18 RBI, .293 OBP) hasn’t racked up the hits in his first season with the Sox, but he’s supplied the power. 2B Brett Lawrie (.284, 4 HR, 10 RBI, .382 OBP) is second on the club in long balls.
Cabrera has faced Buchholz 31 times, but only has seven hits off of him—although one of those hits was a homer. Austin Jackson (.224, 0 HR, 8 RBI, .275 OBP)—who is 5-for-19 with a homer and two doubles—and Lawrie (3-for-28) have struggled to hit the 2013 World Series champion.
C Dioner Navarro (.172, 2 HR, 9 RBI, .206 OBP) is 5-for-18 with a double and three RBIs against him. For his career, Buchholz is 2-3 with a 4.25 ERA against the White Sox in eight career starts. Chicago’s bullpen has been utterly brilliant thus far, posting a microscopic 1.58 ERA.