MLB betting trends, odds and predictions for Wednesday, October 4th, 2017 from various handicappers and websites
COLORADO (87 - 75) at ARIZONA (93 - 69) - 8:05 PM
JON GRAY (R) vs. ZACK GREINKE (R)
Top Trends for this game.
COLORADO is 247-441 (-83.1 Units) against the money line as a road underdog of +125 to +175 since 1997.
COLORADO is 447-708 (-138.1 Units) against the money line in road games in night games since 1997.
ARIZONA is 93-69 (+16.8 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
ARIZONA is 52-29 (+15.7 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
ARIZONA is 45-31 (+11.5 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season.
ARIZONA is 65-48 (+9.2 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
ARIZONA is 68-52 (+9.2 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
ARIZONA is 56-36 (+15.7 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
ARIZONA is 35-29 (+8.4 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
GREINKE is 38-20 (+13.9 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
GREINKE is 53-21 (+20.9 Units) against the money line as a home favorite of -125 to -175 since 1997. (Team's Record)
GREINKE is 15-3 (+11.2 Units) against the money line in home games this season. (Team's Record)
GREINKE is 100-49 (+37.4 Units) against the money line in home games in night games since 1997. (Team's Record)
GREINKE is 69-27 (+34.8 Units) against the money line in home games after a win since 1997. (Team's Record)
COLORADO is 87-75 (+12.0 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
COLORADO is 41-40 (+10.5 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
COLORADO is 42-34 (+11.8 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season.
COLORADO is 34-29 (+14.3 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
GRAY is 5-0 (+7.6 Units) against the money line in road games against division opponents this season. (Team's Record)
ARIZONA is 237-235 (-57.2 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 8 to 8.5 since 1997.
Head-to-Head Series History
ARIZONA is 11-8 (+1.6 Units) against COLORADO this season
12 of 17 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+6.8 Units)
JON GRAY vs. ARIZONA since 1997
GRAY is 2-2 when starting against ARIZONA with an ERA of 4.75 and a WHIP of 1.418.
His team's record is 3-2 (+0.5 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-2. (-0.3 units)
ZACK GREINKE vs. COLORADO since 1997
GREINKE is 9-5 when starting against COLORADO with an ERA of 3.97 and a WHIP of 1.290.
His team's record is 14-10 (-2.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 10-13. (-4.5 units)
COLORADO vs. ARIZONA
Colorado is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Arizona
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Colorado's last 6 games when playing Arizona
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Arizona's last 6 games when playing Colorado
Arizona is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games at home
COLORADO @ ARIZONA
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Colorado's last 7 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Colorado's last 13 games
Arizona is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games when playing Colorado
Arizona is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games at home
StatFox Super Situations
COLORADO at ARIZONA
Play Against - Road teams (COLORADO) NL team with a low on-base percentage (<=.350) against a team with a good bullpen (WHIP <=1.350), with a slugging percentage of .500 or better over their last 3 games 246-154 over the last 5 seasons. ( 61.5% | 66.8 units ) 40-39 this year. ( 50.6% | -6.1 units )
StatFox Situational Power Trends
COLORADO at ARIZONA
COLORADO is 97-82 (+32.9 Units) against the money line vs. a team with a good bullpen whose WHIP is 1.350 or better over the last 2 seasons. The average score was: COLORADO (5.3) , OPPONENT (4.7)
MLB Playoffs
Colorado @ Arizona
Arizona is 11-8 against the Rockies this season; teams split 10 games played here.
Gray is 4-0, 2.10 in his last five starts; he is 2-1, 3.50 vs Arizona this season. His last four starts stayed under the total. Colorado is 7-5 in his road starts.
Greinke makes $30M+ a year; he is expected to win this game. He was 1-1, 3.90 in five September starts, and is 2-1, 3.41 in five starts vs Colorado this season. Under is 8-2 in his last ten starts.
Rockies are in playoffs for 4th time ever, first time since 2009; Arizona is in playoffs for first time since 2011- they last made the NLCS in 2007.
Armadillosports.com
National League Wild Card Playoff Preview: Rockies at Diamondbacks
Covers.com
Colorado Rockies at Arizona Diamondbacks (A: +155, H: -170, Total: 8.5)
Two teams make their long-awaited return to the postseason when the Colorado Rockies visit the Arizona Diamondbacks for a battle of National League West rivals in the NL Wild Card Game on Wednesday night. The Diamondbacks are back in the playoffs for the first time since 2011 and had an 11-8 record this year against the Rockies, who make their first postseason appearance since 2009.
Arizona went 52-29 at Chase Field this year and boast a powerful middle of the lineup as J.D. Martinez launched 29 homers in 62 games after being acquired from Detroit while Paul Goldschmidt knocked in 120 runs, but the first baseman finished the regular season by going 0-for-17. “I want these guys to understand that something special is happening here,” Diamondbacks manager Torey Lovullo told reporters. “I’ll tell them to embrace this. … This is the greatest time of year.” Colorado had to battle its way into the playoffs, edging Milwaukee by one game for the final spot, but led the NL in runs (824) while featuring the NL batting champ Charlie Blackmon (.331), the major league runner up in RBIs Nolan Arenado (130) and a red-hot Carlos Gonzalez, who was 9-for-15 in his last four games with five extra-base hits. Arizona’s starting pitcher Zack Greinke has given up five home runs in 42 at-bats to Gonzalez in his career but is 13-1 with a 2.87 ERA at home in 2017, while the Rockies will go with fellow hard-throwing righty Jon Gray, who finished the season with four straight wins - one of them against the Diamondbacks.
INJURY REPORT:
Rockies - RP J. Diaz (Out For Season, Elbow)..
Diamondbacks - RF D. Peralta (Probable, Neck), RP J. Sherfy (Questionable, Tricep), SS K. Marte (Questionable, Hamstring), SS N. Ahmed (Out For Season, Hand), SS C. Owings (Doubtful, Hand), RP S. Hathaway (Out For Season, Shoulder), RP R. Delgado (Out For Season, Elbow), RF Y. Tomas (Out For Season, Abdominal), SP S. Miller (Out For Season, Elbow).
PITCHING MATCHUP: Rockies RH Jon Gray (10-4, 3.67 ERA) vs. Diamondbacks RH Zack Greinke (17-7, 3.20)
Gray became a key part of the rotation after the All-Star break while going 8-4 with a 3.65 ERA over 15 starts, and allowed seven runs across 30 innings in his last five outings. The 25-year-old Oklahoma native also struck out 10 to win at Arizona on June 30 and is 2-2 with a 4.75 ERA lifetime versus the Diamondbacks. Martinez is 2-for-6 with a pair of homers and David Peralta 6-for-13 with a triple against Gray, who has 112 strikeouts in 110 1/3 innings in 2017.
Greinke reached 17 victories for the third time in four seasons, but struggled in his last home start against Miami on Sept. 22 when he permitted eight runs over four innings. The 33-year-old Orlando native, who ended the regular season by limiting Kansas City to two runs over four innings Friday, is 9-5 lifetime against Colorado after going 2-1 with a 3.41 ERA in five outings this season. Mark Reynolds and Trevor Story have homered four times apiece against Greinke.
TRENDS:
* Rockies are 1-7 in their last 8 playoff games.
* Rockies are 4-0 in Grays last 4 road starts.
* Diamondbacks are 11-2 in their last 13 vs. a team with a winning record.
* Diamondbacks are 20-6 in Greinkes last 26 home starts.
* Under is 6-1 in Rockies last 7 road games.
* Under is 5-1-2 in the last 8 meetings in Arizona.
CONSENSUS: The public is siding with the home chalk D-Backs at a rate of 67 percent and the Over is picking up 51 percent of the totals action.
Rockies, D'Backs meet in NL Wild Card Game
By: StatFox.COM
A spot in the NLDS will be on the line when the Diamondbacks host the Rockies on Wednesday.
Both the Rockies and the Diamondbacks had fantastic regular seasons, but only one of these teams is going to advance here. Both of these teams came into the playoffs having lost two of their past three games, but Arizona was at least able to earn a victory in the final game of the season. These teams now face one another and Arizona is the club that should feel more confident here. The Diamondbacks were 11-8 against Colorado this season, but the Rockies did split wins in 10 games at Chase Field here. The starters in this game are going to be RHP Jon Gray (10-4, 3.67 ERA, 112 K) for Colorado and RHP Zack Greinke (17-7, 3.20 ERA, 215 K) for Arizona. While Greinke might be the bigger name, Gray is every bit as good as he is right now. One trend that sticks out for Colorado here is that manager Bud Black is 9-1 against the money line when on the road against a team that has beaten his twice in a row by six runs or more. But working in the Diamondbacks’ favor in this game is the fact that they are 46-22 against the money line at home when the total is 8.5 to 10 runs this season. They’re also 15-3 against the money line when Greinke is on the mound this season.
The Rockies are looking to pull off an upset on Wednesday and they definitely have the right guy on the mound here. Gray was ridiculous down the stretch for Colorado, as the righty allowed two or fewer earned runs in eight of his final 11 starts for the team. He has really turned into the pitcher that many in the organization thought he would, which is huge for a team that has lacked a true ace in recent years. And it’s definitely worth noting that Gray was absolutely ridiculous in his most recent trip to Phoenix. He started against the Diamondbacks at Chase Field on Sep. 12 and allowed only two earned runs in seven innings of work. He struck out 10 batters in that game and walked none. If Gray can do that again then it just might be the Rockies that are celebrating in the locker room after this one. On offense, all of the Colorado stars should be ready to go in this one. 3B Nolan Arenado, OF Charlie Blackmon, and 2B DJ LeMahieu are all going to be looking forward to facing Greinke, as they are all batting over .265 with a combined 16 RBI against the righty. SS Trevor Story could also provide a spark, as he is 8-for-24 with four homers and nine RBI against Greinke in his career.
The last time Greinke faced the Rockies this season was Sep. 11 and he allowed just two earned runs in seven innings of work in that one. Greinke struck out six batters and walked none in that game, and he would definitely take another outing like that on Wednesday. The problem is that Greinke has been rather lousy lately, allowing 10 earned runs in his past eight innings of work. If those two starts for the righty were not flukes then Arizona is going to be in trouble here. Greinke is, however, a very competitive guy and has badly wanted to find postseason success with the Diamondbacks. You can’t put it past him to pitch a complete gem here because of that alone. On offense, the Diamondbacks are going to need 1B Paul Goldschmidt to step it up here. He is a pathetic 0-11 against Gray in his career, which absolutely must change on Wednesday. Goldschmidt is the heart and soul of this Arizona team and needs to lead by example in this game. One guy that could, however, do some damage in this one is OF J.D. Martinez. Martinez was a huge pickup during the season for Arizona, but he also happens to be 2-for-6 with two homers and four RBI against Gray in his career.