Betting news, trends, odds and predictions from various handicappers and websites for Thursday 10/4/18
MLB
Thursday, October 4
National League
Rockies (92-72) @ Brewers (96-67)
Senzatela is 2-0, 1.62 in his last three starts; his last six starts stayed under. Team in his starts: 7-6, 3-4 road
5-inning record: 5-6-2 Allowed run in 1st inning: 5-13
It is a bullpen game for Milwaukee. Team in his starts: home
5-inning record: Allowed run in 1st inning:
Colorado won ten of its last 12 games, including four of last five on road. Rockies played at home Sunday, in LA Monday, in Chicago Tuesday- they’re in Milwaukee here. Brewers won their last eight games, only three of which were at home.
Colorado lost Wild Card game LY, their first playoffs appearance since 2009. Brewers are in the playoffs for first time since 2011.
Braves (90-72) @ Dodgers (92-71)
Foltynewicz is 3-1, 3.09 in his last five starts; over is 4-2 in his last six. He lost 4-1 to LA July July 27, allowing four runs in five IP. Team in his starts: 14-16, 8-7 road
5-inning record: 15-9-6 Allowed run in 1st inning: 5-30
Ryu is 3-0, 0.47 in his last three starts; over is 5-2 in his last seven. He didn’t pitch against the Braves this year. Team in his starts: 9-5, 7-2 home
5-inning record: 8-4-2 Allowed run in 1st inning: 2-14
Braves lost four of their last five games, after they had clinched NL East- they’re in playoffs for first time since 2013. Dodgers won four in row, 10 of last 13 games; they won six of last seven home games. LA is in playoffs for sixth year in row; they haven’t won a World Series since 1988.
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MLB
Thursday, October 4
Trend Report
Colorado Rockies
Colorado is 10-2 ATS in its last 12 games
Colorado is 10-2 SU in its last 12 games
Colorado is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Colorado is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 12 of Colorado's last 16 games on the road
Colorado is 2-7 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Milwaukee
Colorado is 2-7 SU in its last 9 games when playing Milwaukee
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Colorado's last 12 games when playing Milwaukee
Colorado is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games when playing on the road against Milwaukee
Milwaukee Brewers
Milwaukee is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Milwaukee's last 8 games
Milwaukee is 7-2 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Colorado
Milwaukee is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games when playing Colorado
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Milwaukee's last 12 games when playing Colorado
Milwaukee is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 games when playing at home against Colorado
Atlanta Braves
Atlanta is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
Atlanta is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Atlanta's last 5 games
Atlanta is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Atlanta is 15-8 SU in its last 23 games on the road
Atlanta is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Atlanta's last 5 games on the road
Atlanta is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing LA Dodgers
Atlanta is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing LA Dodgers
Atlanta is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against LA Dodgers
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Atlanta's last 8 games when playing on the road against LA Dodgers
Los Angeles Dodgers
LA Dodgers is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
LA Dodgers is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of LA Dodgers's last 9 games
LA Dodgers is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home
LA Dodgers is 8-17 ATS in its last 25 games at home
LA Dodgers is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home
LA Dodgers is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Atlanta
LA Dodgers is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Atlanta
LA Dodgers is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Atlanta
The total has gone OVER in 7 of LA Dodgers's last 8 games when playing at home against Atlanta
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Colorado Rockies vs. Milwaukee Brewers Preview and Predictions 10-04-2018 in MLB
MLB Previews 3rd October 2018 by Gracenote
Rockies vs. Brewers Preview and Predictions
by Gracenote on 10/03/2018
The well-traveled Colorado Rockies play in their fourth city in five days when they open the best-of-five National League Division Series against the host Milwaukee Brewers on Thursday. The Rockies reached the NLDS by outlasting the Chicago Cubs in 13 innings in Tuesday's classic wild-card game while the red-hot Brewers are the NL Central champions.
Colorado finished the regular season at home Sunday and lost at the Los Angeles Dodgers in a division tiebreaker Monday before posting the epic 2-1 victory in Chicago on Tuesday and arriving in Milwaukee via bus at 4 a.m. on Wednesday morning. "I thought that we could do it," Rockies manager Bud Black said of reaching the postseason during his Wednesday press conference. "We could contend and match these teams. And sure enough, we have. It's a current expectation for sure. That's where we want to be." Milwaukee won its division championship in a tiebreaker Monday in Chicago and has won eight straight games and 23 of its last 30 games as it overcame a five-game September deficit. "We've been battling all year long," Brewers center fielder Lorenzo Cain said at Wednesday's press conference. "Think we were out it, back a few games in September and we found a way to win the division, so that just speaks for itself."
TV: 5:07 p.m. ET, Fox Sports 1
PITCHING MATCHUP: Rockies RH Antonio Senzatela (6-6, 4.38 ERA) vs. Brewers TBA
Senzatela finished strong by going 2-0 with a 1.62 ERA during his final three starts. The 23-year-old made 13 starts and 10 relief appearances this season and limited opposing hitters to a .220 average on the road compared to .316 at home. Sentazela's lone appearance against the Brewers came in his major league debut April 6, 2017 when he gave up two hits in five scoreless innings while receiving a no-decision.
Milwaukee manager Craig Counsell indicated at Wednesday's press conference that he will go with an "opener" and make Game 1 a bullpen game. Counsell declined to say who will start the game or would be used, saying the focus is on how "to share the 27 outs," before indicating he will use a traditional approach in Game 2. "We're going to use guys that haven't kind of been our starters this last couple weeks," said Counsell of the Game 1 plan, "so we're going to use a bunch of different guys and still deciding on exactly the order of that scenario."
WALK-OFFS
1. The Brewers went 5-2 against the Rockies in the regular season.
2. Colorado SS Trevor Story batted .333 with seven homers and 18 RBIs - including four four-RBI outings - against the Brewers this season.
3. Milwaukee star OF Christian Yelich batted .370 with 10 homers and 34 RBIs since the first of September to finish the regular season with a NL-best .326 average along with 36 homers and 110 RBIs.
PREDICTION: Brewers 7, Rockies 6
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Atlanta Braves vs. Los Angeles Dodgers Preview and Predictions 10-04-2018 in MLB
MLB Previews 3rd October 2018 by Gracenote
Braves vs. Dodgers Preview and Predictions
by Gracenote on 10/03/2018
The Los Angeles Dodgers were one victory away from winning the World Series last autumn and after putting in an extra day's work to secure another National League West title, they begin the NL Division Series at home Thursday against the surprising Atlanta Braves. The Dodgers overcame a 16-26 start, then beat Colorado in Monday's play-in game behind homers from Cody Bellinger and Max Muncy to secure a sixth consecutive West crown and take aim at a second straight pennant.
In a curious move, Dodgers manager Dave Roberts is pushing Clayton Kershaw back to Friday's Game 2 and will start Hyun-Jin Ryu in the opener, and the Dodgers have a distinct advantage given a lineup featuring Manny Machado, Justin Turner and breakout player Max Muncy. But the Braves are confident their return to the playoffs will turn out differently from their last postseason appearance, a four-game loss to Los Angeles in the 2013 NLDS. Rookie of the year favorite Ronald Acuna, and veterans Freddie Freeman and Nick Markakis sparked the NL East champions to a 90-win season, an 18-victory improvement over 2017, and the Braves matched the Dodgers for best road record in the NL at 47-34. Los Angeles won the season series 5-2, outscoring the Braves 35-18 in winning twice at home and three times in Atlanta.
TV: 8:37 p.m. ET, MLB Network
PITCHING MATCHUP: Braves RH Mike Foltynewicz (13-10, 2.85 ERA) vs. Dodgers LH Hyun-Jin Ryu (7-3, 1.97)
Foltynewicz's emergence from promising prospect to NL All-Star is one big reason why Atlanta is in the playoffs, and across his final 11 starts he gave up more than two runs only twice while going 6-3 in that span and holding opponents to a .529 OPS. The 26-year-old, who makes his postseason debut, is 1-1 in two career starts against the Dodgers with a victory last season and a loss in 2018. Foltynewicz finished fifth in the NL in hits per nine innings (6.39), sixth in strikeouts (202) and tied for sixth in ERA.
Ryu has been outstanding since returning from a groin injury that cost him more than three months, posting a 1.88 ERA with five walks and 53 strikeouts in nine games since Aug. 15. The 31-year-old ended the regular season with a flourish, giving up only one run on 12 hits across 19 innings in winning his final three starts. Ryu, who did not face Atlanta this season, has pitched in three postseason games but none since 2014, giving up four runs to the Braves in a start in the 2013 NLDS.
WALK-OFFS
1. Atlanta SS Dansby Swanson (partially torn ligament in left hand) likely will miss the series, forcing former Dodgers INF Charlie Culberson into the starting lineup.
2. Los Angeles RHP Kenley Jansen gave up two solo homers in the ninth inning Monday, but since Aug. 31 is 1-0 with six saves, a 2.70 ERA and 16 strikeouts in 13 1/3 innings.
3. The Dodgers finished the regular season with a franchise-record 235 homers, led by Muncy's 35.
PREDICTION: Dodgers 4, Braves 2
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