MLB Betting News and Trends For Tuesday 10/2/18
Colorado Rockies vs. Chicago Cubs Preview and Predictions 10-02-2018 in MLB
MLB Previews 1st October 2018 by Gracenote
Rockies vs. Cubs Preview and Predictions
by Gracenote on 10/01/2018
One day after letting their division titles slip away, the Chicago Cubs and Colorado Rockies find themselves facing elimination. Both teams lost division tiebreakers Monday, setting up Tuesday's winner-take-all Wild Card game at Wrigley Field in Chicago.
The Rockies are in the Wild Card game for the second consecutive year after losing to Arizona last season, while the Cubs last played in the Wild Card game in 2015, beating Pittsburgh. "It's the seventh game of the World Series right out of the chute," Cubs manager Joe Maddon told reporters. Both teams hope to get their bats going after the offenses fell flat Monday. Anthony Rizzo's solo shot accounted for the Cubs' lone run in a 3-1 loss to Milwaukee, while Nolan Arenado and Trevor Story hit back-to-back blasts to get the Rockies on the board in their 5-2 loss to the Los Angeles Dodgers.
TV: 8 p.m. ET, ESPN
PITCHING MATCHUP: Rockies LH Kyle Freeland (17-7, 2.85 ERA) vs. Cubs LH Jon Lester (18-6, 3.32)
Freeland's breakout season closed with an incredible run of 11 consecutive quality starts in which the 25-year-old went 8-0 with a 2.18 ERA. Freeland surprisingly pitched better at home than on the road, where he was 7-5 with a 3.23 ERA in 18 starts. That included a loss at Wrigley Field on April 30 in which he allowed three runs over seven innings.
Lester is no stranger to October baseball, as he's set to make his 22nd postseason start and his second in the Wild Card game. The 34-year-old went 6-1 with a 1.71 ERA over his last eight starts, and he threw six scoreless frames to beat Pittsburgh in his regular-season finale. Lester is 1-3 with a 2.25 ERA in five career starts against the Rockies, and he allowed two unearned runs over 5 2/3 frames in a no-decision April 30.
WALK-OFFS
1. The Rockies won nine of 10 games prior to Monday's loss - their fifth straight against the Dodgers.
2. Arenado (38) led the NL in home runs, while Cubs INF Javier Baez (111) led the NL in RBIs.
3. Cubs RHP Pedro Strop (hamstring) told reporters he will be available to pitch Tuesday. Strop has not pitched since Sept. 13.
PREDICTION: Rockies 3, Cubs 2
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MLB
Tuesday, October 2
National League
Rockies (91-72) @ Cubs (95-68)
Freeland is 6-0, 2.66 in his last seven starts; under is 8-3 in his last 11. He lost 3-2 to the Cubs April 30 in Wrigley, giving up three runs in 7 IP. Team in his starts: 23-10, 10-8 road
5-inning record: 17-10-6 Allowed run in 1st inning: 9-33
Lester is 3-0, 1.50 in his last three starts; over is 12-5 in his last 17. He allowed two runs in 5.2 IP vs Colorado April 30, a game Cubs later won 3-2. Team in his starts: 24-8, 12-5 home
5-inning record: 18-8-6 Allowed run in 1st inning: 9-32
Colorado won nine of its last 11 games, including three of last four on road. Rockies played at home Sunday, in LA yesterday. Cubs won four of their last six games, all at home. These teams split six games this year, with road team going 2-1 in other team’s ballpark.
Cubs are in playoffs for 4th year in a row; they won the World Series two years ago. Colorado lost Wild Card game LY, their first playoffs appearance since 2009.
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MLB
Tuesday, October 2
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Trend Report
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Colorado Rockies
Colorado is 9-2 ATS in its last 11 games
Colorado is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games
Colorado is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Colorado's last 15 games on the road
Colorado is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Chi Cubs
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Colorado's last 12 games when playing Chi Cubs
Colorado is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Chi Cubs
Colorado is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Chi Cubs
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Colorado's last 8 games when playing on the road against Chi Cubs
Chicago Cubs
Chi Cubs is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Chi Cubs's last 9 games
Chi Cubs is 3-9 ATS in its last 12 games at home
Chi Cubs is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Chi Cubs's last 14 games at home
Chi Cubs is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Colorado
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Chi Cubs's last 12 games when playing Colorado
Chi Cubs is 1-7 ATS in its last 8 games when playing at home against Colorado
Chi Cubs is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against Colorado
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Chi Cubs's last 8 games when playing at home against Colorado
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MLB
Long Sheet
Tuesday, October 2
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COLORADO (91 - 72) at CHICAGO CUBS (95 - 68) - 8:05 PM
KYLE FREELAND (L) vs. JON LESTER (L)
Top Trends for this game.
COLORADO is 259-457 (-81.6 Units) against the money line as a road underdog of +125 to +175 since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 42-23 (+12.3 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
LESTER is 24-8 (+14.2 Units) against the money line in all games this season. (Team's Record)
LESTER is 44-16 (+24.2 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
COLORADO is 91-72 (+19.6 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
COLORADO is 26-17 (+9.7 Units) against the money line on the road when the money line is +125 to -125 this season.
COLORADO is 44-38 (+15.1 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
COLORADO is 66-45 (+22.0 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
COLORADO is 61-47 (+19.0 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
COLORADO is 53-39 (+19.5 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
COLORADO is 39-24 (+20.1 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season this season.
FREELAND is 23-10 (+15.5 Units) against the money line in all games this season. (Team's Record)
FREELAND is 19-11 (+13.1 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
FREELAND is 15-6 (+10.7 Units) against the money line in night games this season. (Team's Record)
FREELAND is 14-7 (+8.9 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season. (Team's Record)
CHICAGO CUBS are 1790-1830 (-265.5 Units) against the money line in all games since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 39-37 (-16.2 Units) against the money line as a home favorite of -125 to -175 over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO CUBS are 957-854 (-156.6 Units) against the money line in home games since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 18-27 (-20.8 Units) against the money line in home games in October games since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 4-9 (-9.0 Units) against the money line in home games when playing on Tuesday this season.
CHICAGO CUBS are 41-40 (-17.5 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO CUBS are 211-243 (-61.8 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1997.
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Head-to-Head Series History
COLORADO is 3-3 (+1.5 Units) against CHICAGO CUBS this season
3 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=-0.2 Units, Under=-0.4 Units)
KYLE FREELAND vs. CHICAGO CUBS since 1997
FREELAND is 0-2 when starting against CHICAGO CUBS with an ERA of 4.15 and a WHIP of 1.154.
His team's record is 0-2 (-2.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-2. (-2.2 units)
JON LESTER vs. COLORADO since 1997
LESTER is 2-3 when starting against COLORADO with an ERA of 1.91 and a WHIP of 1.062.
His team's record is 3-3 (-2.6 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 6-0. (+6.2 units)
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