Betting news, trends, odds and predictions from various handicappers and websites for Monday 10/15/18
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Dodgers Preview and Predictions 10-15-2018 in MLB
MLB Previews 14th October 2018 by Gracenote
Brewers vs. Dodgers Preview and Predictions
by Gracenote on 10/14/2018
Justin Turner's 180-degree spin from Game 1 goat to Game 2 hero gave the Los Angeles Dodgers homefield advantage in the National League Championship Series, but the Milwaukee Brewers aren't panicking. The Dodgers will try to ride the momentum from their Game 2 win and take a lead in the best-of-seven series when they host Game 3 on Monday.
Turner went 0-for-5 with four strikeouts during a 6-5 loss in Game 1 but connected for a go-ahead, two-run homer to provide the winning margin in Saturday's 4-3 victory that evened the series. "It takes a special athlete to have a night like he had (Friday) and to show up the next day in a big spot and want to have the bat in your hand," Los Angeles manager Dave Roberts told reporters. "And Justin is that guy, and those are hard to come by." The loss was a crushing blow to the Brewers, who watched their seemingly-invincible bullpen crack a bit in each of the first two contests. "I think one of the things we've told you is that our guys are all important, and the way we're going to use our pitching is that we gotta count on all these guys," Milwaukee manager Craig Counsell told reporters. "For me, (right-hander Jeremy Jeffress, who surrendered the homer to Turner) made one bad pitch today, and it cost him, and it was to a very good hitter."
TV: 7:39 p.m. ET, Fox Sports 1
PITCHING MATCHUP: Brewers RH Jhoulys Chacin (1-0, 0.00 ERA) vs. Dodgers RH Walker Buehler (0-0, 9.00)
Chacin breezed through five scoreless frames while scattering three hits against Colorado to win his lone NL Division Series start but could still be on a short lease Monday with a well-rested bullpen behind him. "I'm just trying to give my team the most innings I can," Chacin told reporters. "Whenever Counsell wants to take you out, you just have to give the ball to the bullpen, especially with the bullpen that we have." Chacin suffered through his worst start of the season at Dodger Stadium on Aug. 2, when he was ripped for nine runs - eight earned - on five hits and four walks over 4 1/3 innings.
Buehler allowed five runs on two hits and three walks at Atlanta during the NLDS, coming apart during a rough second inning before battling his way through five frames. The 24-year-old lost his lone start against Milwaukee in the regular season despite allowing one run over seven innings and is much more comfortable at home. Buehler went 4-3 with a 1.93 ERA and 84 strikeouts across 74 2/3 innings at Dodger Stadium in 2018.
WALK-OFFS
1. Los Angeles RF Yasiel Puig is 0-for-5 in the series and 3-for-14 without an RBI in the postseason.
2. Brewers pitchers are 3-for-4 with a home run in the series.
3. Milwaukee went 2-2 in four games at Dodger Stadium during the regular season, including a 21-5 loss.
PREDICTION: Dodgers 5, Brewers 2
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LOS ANGELES -- While the upstart Milwaukee Brewers continue to make noise in a championship-caliber season, it is the old-guard Los Angeles Dodgers who have been forced into an identity change as the National League Championship Series shifts to the West Coast.
With the series tied 1-1 heading into Game 3 on Monday at Dodger Stadium, the Dodgers will look to get their dependable starting pitching back on track. The offense has provided a late lift for the Dodgers in each of the first two games of the NLCS, ultimately rising to the occasion for a victory in Game 2.
But Milwaukee's surprisingly leaky bullpen, outside of left-hander Josh Hader's three brilliant innings in Game 1, has provided this series an unexpected twist. The Dodgers are batting .333 against Brewers relievers and have scored eight of their nine runs against the bullpen.
Yet the Brewers are still looking to unlock more parts of their game, namely NL MVP hopeful Christian Yelich, who is just 1-for-8 in the two games, although he has walked twice and driven in a pair of runs.
"It can't get any closer after two games, right?" Brewers manager Craig Counsell said. "It's been two hard-fought games, two one-run games, tying run on base in scoring position to finish each game. So they've been about as close as they can be. We're looking forward to the next chapter."
While the Dodgers head into Game 3 with their best starter, Walker Buehler, on the mound, the right-hander is still just a rookie and he looked vulnerable in his Game 3 start of the NL Division Series against the Braves. In a span of nine pitches in that game, Buehler walked the pitcher with the bases loaded and gave up a grand slam to Ronald Acuna Jr.
The Dodgers, though, prefer to think of Buehler (8-5, 2.68 ERA in 2018) as the guy who ended the regular season with a 1.55 ERA over his final 12 starts, while holding opponents to a .158 batting average in that stretch. He has faced the Brewers just once, giving up one run over seven innings on July 31, although Milwaukee came away with a 1-0 victory.
The Dodgers' bullpen, though, is showing it can be there when needed. Clayton Kershaw and Hyun-Jin Ruy pitched just 7 1/3 innings over the first two games, but the relievers got the job done by allowing just two runs over their 10 2/3 innings in Games 1 and 2.
It is the much-hyped Brewers bullpen that has a 6.97 ERA over the first two games, although Hader is expected to be available again for Game 3 after not pitching in Game 2.
"I think our (relievers) are taking it personal, as a challenge, because our guys are pretty good back there, too," Dodgers manager Dave Roberts said. "And so there's not a whole lot said about them. But without those guys, we wouldn't be in this position."
The Brewers will have Jhoulys Chacin (15-8, 3.50) on the mound in Game 3, with the right-hander coming off an NLDS start against the Colorado Rockies, when he went five scoreless innings. He is 11-9 in 26 career appearances against the Dodgers (25 starts) with a 4.41 ERA.
MLB
Long Sheet
Monday, October 15
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MILWAUKEE (100 - 68) at LA DODGERS (96 - 73) - 7:35 PM
JHOULYS CHACIN (R) vs. WALKER BUEHLER (R)
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
MILWAUKEE is 4-5 (+0.8 Units) against LA DODGERS this season
5 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+0.6 Units)
JHOULYS CHACIN vs. LA DODGERS since 1997
CHACIN is 11-9 when starting against LA DODGERS with an ERA of 4.42 and a WHIP of 1.528.
His team's record is 14-11 (+4.6 units) in these starts. The OVER is 15-9. (+5.1 units)
WALKER BUEHLER vs. MILWAUKEE since 1997
BUEHLER is 0-1 when starting against MILWAUKEE with an ERA of 1.29 and a WHIP of 0.714.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.6 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)
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MLB
Monday, October 15
Trend Report
Milwaukee Brewers
Milwaukee is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games
Milwaukee is 12-1 SU in its last 13 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Milwaukee's last 6 games
Milwaukee is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Milwaukee is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Milwaukee is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing LA Dodgers
Milwaukee is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against LA Dodgers
Milwaukee is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against LA Dodgers
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Milwaukee's last 8 games when playing on the road against LA Dodgers
Los Angeles Dodgers
LA Dodgers is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 games
LA Dodgers is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games
LA Dodgers is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games at home
LA Dodgers is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
LA Dodgers is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Milwaukee
LA Dodgers is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Milwaukee
LA Dodgers is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Milwaukee
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of LA Dodgers's last 8 games when playing at home against Milwaukee
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