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MLB Betting News, Match-Ups and Trends For Monday 8/17/20

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(@shazman)
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Betting news, trends, odds and predictions from various handicappers and websites for Monday 8/17/20

 
Posted : August 17, 2020 10:07 am
(@shazman)
Posts: 59266
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MLB public betting, line movement for August 17
Patrick Everson

Kyle Hendricks takes the ball for the Cubs on Monday in the opener of a doubleheader against the Cardinals. Most sportsbooks didn't post the line for this game Sunday night.

MLB betting odds are on the board and getting attention for a 13-game Monday schedule. Among the highlights is a doubleheader between the NL Central-leading Cubs and rival Cardinals, while the Athletics – currently with the best record in the majors – travel to face the Diamondbacks.

Multiple oddsmakers provided insights on MLB opening lines and early line movement, sharp money and public betting for Monday’s games.

MLB line movement

The Cubs (13-6) owned MLB’s best record heading into the weekend, but lost three in a row to the visiting Brewers, including a 6-5 Sunday setback. Chicago hopes to end that skid by sending out Kyle Hendricks (3-1, 3.08 ERA) for a 5:15 p.m. ET opener of a home twinbill against St. Louis. The Cubs’ starter is set too – Kwang-Hyun Kim – but the line for this game was not posted Sunday.

Oakland is now 16-6, winning at a .727 clip after going 13-2 in its last 15 games. The A’s meet the Diamondbacks in a 9:40 p.m. ET start, and Bet365 opened at Oakland -115/Arizona -105.

The Yankees look to sweep a four-game set against the dismal division rival Red Sox, in a 7:05 p.m. ET first pitch. Caesars opened at New York -157/Boston +147, and there was no line movement by late Sunday night.

MLB public betting

The Yankees were runaway early leaders in Monday Consensus plays, landing 86 percent of picks Sunday night. Interestingly, the streaking A’s were drawing only 56 percent of early Consensus plays. Perhaps that’s because Oakland is facing Arizona’s Zac Gallen, who’s still 0-0 after four starts but sports a solid 2.74 ERA.

 
Posted : August 17, 2020 10:14 am
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951TORONTO -952 BALTIMORE
TORONTO is 16-30 SU (-18 Units) vs. excellent defensive catchers - allowing <=0.35 SB's/game in the last 3 seasons.

953BOSTON -954 NY YANKEES
NY YANKEES are 7-0 SU (8.1 Units) in home games vs. an overused bullpen that pitches more than 3.2 innings per game in the current season.

955WASHINGTON -956 ATLANTA
WASHINGTON is 58-32 SU (25.2 Units) vs teams who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game over the last 2 seasons.

957NY METS -958 MIAMI
MIAMI is 5-15 SU (-13.6 Units) vs. teams who strand 7.5 or more runners on base per game over the last 2 seasons.

959DETROIT -960 CHI WHITE SOX
DETROIT is 17-38 SU (-24.4 Units) vs. a team with a good bullpen that converts on 75%+ of their save opportunities over the last 2 seasons.

961KANSAS CITY -962 MINNESOTA
MINNESOTA is 28-15 SU (11.5 Units) in home games as a favorite of -175 to -250 in the last 3 seasons.

965SAN DIEGO -966 TEXAS
SAN DIEGO is 19-29 SU (-21.8 Units) in road games vs. good fielding teams - averaging <=0.6 errors/game over the last 2 seasons.

967COLORADO -968 HOUSTON
HOUSTON is 24-9 SU (14.1 Units) when playing with a day off over the last 2 seasons.

969OAKLAND -970 ARIZONA
ARIZONA is 31-19 SU (14.1 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.

971SAN FRANCISCO -972 LA ANGELS
LA ANGELS are 26-62 SU (-35.5 Units) in home games when playing against a terrible team (Win Pct. <=38%) since 1996.

973SEATTLE -974 LA DODGERS
SEATTLE is 7-17 SU (-13.1 Units) in road games vs. a starting pitcher whose gives up 1 or more HR's/start in the last 3 seasons.

975CHICAGO CUBS -976 ST LOUIS
ST LOUIS are 8-1 SU (6.9 Units) in home games when playing on Monday over the last 2 seasons.

977CHICAGO CUBS -978 ST LOUIS
ST LOUIS are 8-1 SU (6.9 Units) in home games when playing on Monday over the last 2 seasons.

 
Posted : August 17, 2020 10:16 am
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Monday, August 17

National League
Washington @ Atlanta
Nationals (8-11):
Sanchez is 0-3, 9.69 in three starts this year; he is 8-11, 4.64 in 23 starts vs Atlanta.
Teams’ record in his starts: 0-3 Team in first 5 innings: 0-3
Allowed run in first inning: 3-3 Totals: over 2-0

— Washington is 4-6 in its last ten games.
— Nationals lost four of their first seven road games.
— Nationals won four of last five series openers.
— Over is 5-0 in their last five games.

Braves (13-10):
Touusaint is 0-1, 5.52 in three starts this year. He allowed seven runs in 7.1 IP in four relief stints vs Washington.
Teams’ record in his starts: 2-1 Team in first 5 innings: 2-1
Allowed run in first inning: 1-3 Totals: under 2-1

— Braves lost four of their last six games.
— Atlanta is 7-2 at home this year, 3-0 in home series openers.
— Under is 5-4 in their home games.

New York @ Miami
Mets (9-14)
Gsellman is an opener; bullpen game.
Teams’ record in his starts: 0-0 Team in first 5 innings: 0-0
Allowed run in first inning: 0-0 Totals: 0-0

— Mets lost five of their last seven games.
— New York lost its last six series openers.
— Under is 4-2 in their last six road games.

Marlins (9-6):
Yamamoto allowed eight runs in 6.1 IP in two starts this year.
Teams’ record in his starts: 2-0 Team in first 5 innings: 2-0
Allowed run in first inning: 0-2 Totals: over 2-0

— Miami lost five of its last seven games, after a 7-1 start.
— Marlins won four of five series openers.
— Under is 9-6 in their games this season.

St Louis @ Chicago
Cardinals (4-4)
32-year old Kim is making his first MLB start.
Teams’ record in his starts: 0-0 Team in first 5 innings: 0-0
Allowed run in first inning: 0-0 Totals: 0-0

Bullpen game.
Teams’ record in his starts: 0-1 Team in first 5 innings: 0-1
Allowed run in first inning: 0-1 Totals: under 1-0

— St Louis won two of last three games, after not playing for 17 days.
— Cardinals are playing their second doubleheader in three days.

Cubs (13-6):
Hendricks is 2-0, 2.08 in his last two starts; he is 8-2, 2.83 in 18 starts vs St Louis.
Teams’ record in his starts: 3-1 Team in first 5 innings: 3-1
Allowed run in first inning: 0-4 Totals: over 3-1

Bullpen game
Teams’ record in his starts: 3-0 Team in first 5 innings: 2-0-1
Allowed run in first inning: 1-3 Totals: under 2-1

— Cubs lost their last three games.
— Chicago won eight of its 12 home games, but lost last three.
— Under is 7-4-1 in their home games.

American League
Toronto @ Baltimore
Blue Jays (7-11):
Ryu is 1-0, 0.82 in his last two starts.
Teams’ record in his starts: 3-1 Team in first 5 innings: 2-2
Allowed run in first inning: 0-4 Totals: over 3-1

— Blue Jays lost nine of their last 13 games.
— Jays are 6-7 on the road this season.
— Under is 8-2 in their last ten road games.

Orioles (12-9):
Cobb is 1-1, 3.20 in four starts this year; he is 3-5, 4.67 in 11 starts vs Toronto.
Teams’ record in his starts: 3-1 Team in first 5 innings: 2-2
Allowed run in first inning: 1-4 Totals: under 3-1

— Orioles won seven their last nine games.
— Baltimore lost six of their last seven home games.
— Over is 5-1 in their last six games.

Boston @ New York
Red Sox (6-16):
Perez is 2-1, 2.20 in his last three starts; he is 2-2, 9.97 in five starts vs New York.
Teams’ record in his starts: 2-2 Team in first 5 innings: 2-2
Allowed run in first inning: 2-4 Totals: under 2-1-1

— Red Sox lost their last seven games, giving up 67 runs.
— Boston lost seven of its eight road games .
— Under is 6-3 in their last nine road games.

Bronx (15-6):
Montgomery is 2-1, 5.28 in three starts this season; he is 1-0, 3.60 in four starts vs Boston.
Teams’ record in his starts: 2-1 Team in first 5 innings: 1-2
Allowed run in first inning: 1-3 Totals: under 2-1

— Bronx won its last five games.
— New York won all nine of its home games, scoring 65 runs.
— Over is 4-1-2 in their last seven home games.

Detroit @ Chicago
Tigers (9-10):
Alexander allowed five runs in 2.2 IP (58 PT) in his first ’20 start.
Teams’ record in his starts: 0-1 Team in first 5 innings: 0-1
Allowed run in first inning: 1-1 Totals: over 1-0

— Detroit lost its last six games.
— Tigers are 5-1 on the road this season.
— Over is 4-1 in their last five games.

White Sox (11-11):
Gonzalez is 0-1, 4.97 in three starts this year; he is 2-4, 6.34 in eight starts vs Detroit.
Teams’ record in his starts: 2-1 Team in first 5 innings: 2-1
Allowed run in first inning: 0-3 Totals: over 3-0

— Chicago split its last six games overall.
— White Sox lost eight of their 11 home games.
— Over is 4-3 in their last seven games.

Kansas City @ Minnesota
Royals (9-13):
Bubic is 0-2, 6.00 in three starts this season.
Teams’ record in his starts: 0-3 Team in first 5 innings: 0-3
Allowed run in first inning: 0-3 Totals: under 2-1

— Royals won six of their last nine games.
— KC lost seven of its last 10 road games.
— Under is 10-4 in their road games.

Twins (14-8)
Maeda is 3-0, 2.66 in four starts this year.
Teams’ record in his starts: 3-1 Team in first 5 innings: 4-0
Allowed run in first inning: 0-4 Totals: over 3-1

— Twins won three of their last four games.
— Minnesota is 6-2 in series openers.
— Under is 10-1 in their home games.

Interleague
San Diego @ Texas
Padres (11-12)
Davies is 2-2, 3.18 in four starts this season.
Teams’ record in his starts: 2-2 Team in first 5 innings: 2-2
Allowed run in first inning: 1-4 Totals: under 3-1

— San Diego lost its last five games.
— Padres are 5-8 on the road this season.
— Under is 7-3 in their last ten games.

Rangers (10-10):
Minor is 0-2, 9.20 in his last three starts.
Teams’ record in his starts: 1-3 Team in first 5 innings: 1-3
Allowed run in first inning: 0-4 Totals: over 3-1

— Texas won seven of its last nine games.
— Rangers won five of their last six home games.
— Under is 7-4 in Texas home games.

Colorado @ Houston
Rockies (13-8):
Freeland is 2-0, 2.45 in four starts this year.
Teams’ record in his starts: 4-0 Team in first 5 innings: 3-0-1
Allowed run in first inning: 0-4 Totals: under 3-1

— Rockies lost five of their last seven games.
— Colorado won six of its eight road games.
— Under is 5-2-1 in their road games.

Astros (11-10):
Bielak is 0-0, 1.80 in his first two MLB starts.
Teams’ record in his starts: 0-2 Team in first 5 innings: 2-0
Allowed run in first inning: 0-2 Totals: 1-1

— Astros won five of their last six games.
— Under is 3-1 in their last four games.
— Astros are 5-2 in series openers.
— Houston is 2-6 in games where winning run scores from 7th inning on.

Oakland @ Arizona
A’s (16-6):
Bassitt is 2-0, 2.42 in four starts this season.
Teams’ record in his starts: 4-0 Team in first 5 innings: 3-1
Allowed run in first inning: 2-4 Totals: under 3-1

— Oakland won 13 of its last 15 games.
— A’s are 7-3 on the road this season.
— Over is 6-1 in their last seven games

Diamondbacks (11-11):
Gallen is 0-0, 2.74 in four starts this season.
Teams’ record in his starts: 3-1 Team in first 5 innings: 0-4
Allowed run in first inning: 0-4 Totals: under 2-1-1

— Arizona won eight of its last 11 games.
— Diamondbacks are 5-4 at home this season.
— Five of their last seven games went over.

San Francisco @ Anaheim
Giants (8-15):
TAnderson is 0-1, 4.63 in three starts this season.
Teams’ record in his starts: 1-2 Team in first 5 innings: 0-2-1
Allowed run in first inning: 1-3 Totals: over 2-1

— Giants lost 11 of their last 14 games.
— SF is 5-9 on the road this season.
— Under is 7-4-1 in their last 12 road games.

Angels (7-15):
Canning is 0-3, 5.89 in four starts this season.
Teams’ record in his starts: 1-3 Team in first 5 innings: 0-3-1
Allowed run in first inning: 1-4 Totals: 2-2

— Angels are 5-12 in their last 17 games.
— Halos are 4-8 at home (over 10-1-1)

Seattle @ Los Angeles
Mariners (7-16):
Dunn is 1-1, 5.54 in three starts this season.
Teams’ record in his starts: 2-1 Team in first 5 innings: 1-2
Allowed run in first inning: 1-3 Totals: over 2-1

— Seattle lost 12 of its last 15 games.
— Mariners are 4-9 on the road.
— Over is 9-4 in their road games.

Dodgers (16-7)
Stripling is 3-1, 5.56 in four starts this season.
Teams’ record in his starts: 3-1 Team in first 5 innings: 3-1
Allowed run in first inning: 0-4 Totals: 2-2

— Dodgers won six of their last nine games.
— LA is 6-4 at home this season.
— Last four Dodger games went over the total.

 
Posted : August 17, 2020 10:17 am
(@shazman)
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MLB

Monday, August 17

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

St. Louis @ Chi Cubs
St. Louis
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of St. Louis's last 6 games
St. Louis is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Chi Cubs
Chi Cubs
Chi Cubs is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Chi Cubs's last 5 games when playing St. Louis

Boston @ NY Yankees
Boston
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Boston's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Boston's last 9 games on the road
NY Yankees
NY Yankees is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Boston
NY Yankees is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Boston

Washington @ Atlanta
Washington
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Washington's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Washington's last 5 games on the road
Atlanta
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Atlanta's last 7 games when playing at home against Washington
Atlanta is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Washington

NY Mets @ Miami
NY Mets
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of NY Mets's last 5 games on the road
NY Mets is 10-3 SU in its last 13 games when playing Miami
Miami
Miami is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Miami is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against NY Mets

Toronto @ Baltimore
Toronto
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Toronto's last 5 games on the road
Toronto is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Baltimore
Baltimore
Baltimore is 9-1 ATS in its last 10 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Baltimore's last 6 games when playing Toronto

Detroit @ Chi White Sox
Detroit
Detroit is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Detroit's last 5 games
Chi White Sox
Chi White Sox is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against Detroit
Chi White Sox is 13-5 SU in its last 18 games when playing Detroit

Kansas City @ Minnesota
Kansas City
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Kansas City's last 9 games when playing Minnesota
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Kansas City's last 6 games
Minnesota
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Minnesota's last 12 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Minnesota's last 9 games when playing Kansas City

Chi Cubs @ St. Louis
Chi Cubs
Chi Cubs is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Chi Cubs's last 11 games on the road
St. Louis
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of St. Louis's last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of St. Louis's last 5 games when playing Chi Cubs

San Diego @ Texas
San Diego
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of San Diego's last 6 games when playing on the road against Texas
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of San Diego's last 7 games
Texas
Texas is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games at home
Texas is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home

Colorado @ Houston
Colorado
Colorado is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games on the road
Colorado is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games on the road
Houston
Houston is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Colorado
Houston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Colorado

Oakland @ Arizona
Oakland
Oakland is 13-2 SU in its last 15 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Oakland's last 7 games on the road
Arizona
Arizona is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Arizona is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

San Francisco @ LA Angels
San Francisco
San Francisco is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing LA Angels
The total has gone OVER in 5 of San Francisco's last 6 games
LA Angels
The total has gone OVER in 6 of LA Angels's last 7 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 6 of LA Angels's last 7 games

Seattle @ LA Dodgers
Seattle
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Seattle's last 8 games when playing LA Dodgers
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Seattle's last 11 games on the road
LA Dodgers
LA Dodgers is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
LA Dodgers is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing Seattle

 
Posted : August 17, 2020 10:17 am
(@shazman)
Posts: 59266
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MLB
Dunkel

Monday, August 17

St. Louis @ Chicago Cubs

Game 963-964
August 17, 2020 @ 5:15 pm

Dunkel Rating:
St. Louis
(Kim) 00.000
Chicago Cubs
(Hendricks) 00.000
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
St. Louis

Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
St. Louis

Dunkel Pick:
St. Louis
N/A

Boston @ NY Yankees

Game 953-954
August 17, 2020 @ 7:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Boston
(Perez) 17.786
NY Yankees
(Mntgmry) 16.623
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Boston
by 1
13
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
NY Yankees
-160
10
Dunkel Pick:
Boston
(+140); Over

Washington @ Atlanta

Game 955-956
August 17, 2020 @ 7:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Washington
(Sanchez) 17.572
Atlanta
(Toussaint) 16.096
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Washington
by 1 1/2
11
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Atlanta
-150
10
Dunkel Pick:
Washington
(+130); Over

NY Mets @ Miami

Game 957-958
August 17, 2020 @ 7:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
NY Mets
(Gsellman) 16.191
Miami
(Yamamoto) 15.169
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
NY Mets
by 1
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
NY Mets
-145
9 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
NY Mets
(-145); Under

Toronto @ Baltimore

Game 951-952
August 17, 2020 @ 7:35 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Toronto
(Ryu) 17.547
Baltimore
(Cobb) 16.619
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Toronto
by 1
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Toronto
-145
9
Dunkel Pick:
Toronto
(-145); Under

Detroit @ Chicago White Sox

Game 959-960
August 17, 2020 @ 8:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Detroit
(Boyd) 16.267
Chicago White Sox
(Gonzalez) 15.194
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Detroit
by 1
11
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Chicago White Sox
-140
9 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Detroit
(+120); Over

Kansas City @ Minnesota

Game 961-962
August 17, 2020 @ 8:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Kansas City
(Bubic) 15.408
Minnesota
(Wisler) 17.113
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Minnesota
by 2
8
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Minnesota
-200
9 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Minnesota
(-200); Under

Chicago Cubs @ St. Louis

Game 975-976
August 17, 2020 @ 8:45 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Chicago Cubs
(TBD) 00.000
St. Louis
(TBD) 00.000
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Chicago Cubs

Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Chicago Cubs

Dunkel Pick:
Chicago Cubs
N/A

San Diego @ Texas

Game 965-966
August 17, 2020 @ 9:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
San Diego
(Davies) 00.000
Texas
(Lyles) 00.000
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
San Diego

Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
San Diego

Dunkel Pick:
San Diego
N/A

Colorado @ Houston

Game 967-968
August 17, 2020 @ 9:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Colorado
(Freeland) 16.740
Houston
(Bielak) 15.869
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Colorado
by 1
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Houston
-160
1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Colorado
(+140); Under

San Francisco @ LA Angels

Game 971-972
August 17, 2020 @ 9:40 pm

Dunkel Rating:
San Francisco
(Anderson) 15.606
LA Angels
(Canning) 14.775
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
San Francisco
by 1
13
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
San Francisco
No Line
N/A
Dunkel Pick:
San Francisco
N/A

Oakland @ Arizona

Game 969-970
August 17, 2020 @ 9:40 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Oakland
(Bassitt) 17.882
Arizona
(Gallen) 16.232
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Oakland
by 1 1/2
14
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Oakland
-115
9
Dunkel Pick:
Oakland
(-115); Over

Seattle @ LA Dodgers

Game 973-974
August 17, 2020 @ 9:40 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Seattle
(Dunn) 13.707
LA Dodgers
(Strpling) 18.673
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
LA Dodgers
by 5
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
LA Dodgers
-290
9 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
LA Dodgers
(-290); Under

 
Posted : August 17, 2020 10:18 am
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