Betting news, trends, odds and predictions from various handicappers and websites for Sunday 9/1/19
National League
Brewers (69-66) @ Cubs (73-62)
Gonzalez is 0-1, 9.88 in his last three starts; he is 1-0, 1.65 in three starts vs Chicago this year. Team in his starts: 8-5
5-inning record: 4-8-1 Allowed run in 1st inning: 6-13 Over/under: over 4-0 last four
Darvish is 1-0, 3.54 in his last three starts; he is 1-1, 2.05 in four starts vs Milwaukee. Team in his starts: 12-15
5-inning record: 13-8-6 Allowed run in 1st inning: 7-27 Over/under: 14-11-2
Milwaukee lost four of last six games; under is 6-1-1 in their last eight games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: under 4-2-1 last seven games.
Cubs are 9-4 in their last 13 games; under is 4-1 in their last five games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: under 4-2 last six games.
Mets (69-66) @ Phillies (69-65)
Stroman is 1-1, 5.26 in five NY starts; he is 2-0, 1.86 in three games (1 start) vs Philly. Team in his starts: 4-1
5-inning record: 2-2-1 Allowed run in 1st inning: 1-5 Over/under: 3-2
Eflin is 1-4, 11.52 in his last six starts; he is 1-1, 10.00 in two starts vs NYM this year. Team in his starts: 8-14
5-inning record: 8-13-1 Allowed run in 1st inning: 9-22 Over/under: over 6-2 last eight
Mets lost six of their last eight games but won last two; under is 6-3-1 in their last ten games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: under 9-3-2 last 14 games.
Phillies lost three of last four games; over is 6-4 in their last ten home games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: under 4-2 last six games.
Reds (63-72) @ Cardinals (75-59)
Mahle is 0-2, 9.15 in his last four starts; he is 0-1, 7.84 in two starts vs StL this year. Team in his starts: 4-15
5-inning record: 5-13-1 Allowed run in 1st inning: 5-19 Over/under: last four over
Castillo is 2-1, 6.65 in his last four starts; he is 1-1, 5.51 in three starts vs StL this year. Team in his starts: 15-12
5-inning record: 17-7-3 Allowed run in 1st inning: 7-27 Over/under: over 3-1-1 last five
Mikolas is 1-1, 6.95 in his last four starts; he is 0-3, 6.86 in four starts vs Cincy this year. Team in his starts: 14-13
5-inning record: 6-15-6 Allowed run in 1st inning: 8-27 Over/under: 8-15-4
DeLeon is 0-1, 3.82 in seven starts. Team in his starts: 5-2
5-inning record: 2-2-3 Allowed run in 1st inning: 3-7 Over/under: over 3-0 last three
Reds are 3-9 in last 12 road games; over is 5-3 in their last eight games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: over 4-2-1 last seven games.
St Louis won 11 of last 13 games; over is 6-3-1 in their last ten games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: over 6-3-1 last ten games.
Marlins (48-87) @ Nationals (76-58)
Smith is 1-4, 7.11 in his last five starts; he is 1-1, 6.00 in two starts vs Washington this season. Team in his starts: 11-11
5-inning record: 9-9-4 Allowed run in 1st inning: 9-22 Over/under: over 5-1 last six
Corbin is 1-1, 1.67 in his last four starts; he is 2-0, 0.78 in three starts vs Miami this year. Team in his starts: 16-11
5-inning record: 13-12-2 Allowed run in 1st inning: 7-27 Over/under: under 9-2 last 11
Miami lost 12 of last 15 games; under is 8-5 in their last 13 games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: over 5-2-2 last nine games.
Nationals won eight of last nine games; over is 5-3-1 in their last nine games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: over 6-3-1 last ten home games.
Pirates (59-77) @ Rockies (59-78)
Brault is 0-2, 3.00 in his last three starts; he is 0-1, 9.00 in two games (1 start) vs Colorado. Team in his starts: 6-8
5-inning record: 6-5-3 Allowed run in 1st inning: 5-14 Over/under: 7-7
Hoffman is 0-1, 7.36 in his last four starts. Team in his starts: 4-5
5-inning record: 3-5-1 Allowed run in 1st inning: 3-9 Over/under: over 3-0-1 last four
Pittsburgh won seven of its last nine games; over is 8-2 in their last tene games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: over 7-3 last ten road games.
Colorado lost 11 of its last 13 games; under is 4-3 in their last seven home games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: under 4-2 last six games.
Dodgers (88-50) @ Diamondbacks (70-66)
Buehler is 2-1, 1.69 in his last five starts; he is 1-0, 1.71 in his last three starts vs Arizona. Team in his starts: 16-9
5-inning record: 16-7-2 Allowed run in 1st inning: 3-25 Over/under: over 8-2 last ten
Young is 2-0, 3.97 in his last two starts. Team in his starts: 6-4
5-inning record: 4-2-4 Allowed run in 1st inning: 1-10 Over/under: 4-6
Dodgers are 3-6 in their last nine games; over is 4-0-1 in their last five games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: under 5-3-1 last nine road games.
Arizona won its last six games; under is 7-4-1 in their last 12 games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: under 6-3-3 last 12 games.
Padres (63-72) @ Giants (66-69)
Lauer is 2-0, 4.32 in his last five starts; he is 2-0, 3.75 in two starts vs SF this year. Team in his starts: 13-11
5-inning record: 8-12-4 Allowed run in 1st inning: 7-24 Over/under: 9-13-2
Beede is 0-5, 7.39 in his last six starts; he is 1-0, 3.86 in two starts vs SD this year. Team in his starts: lost last six
5-inning record: 4-10-2 Allowed run in 1st inning: 9-16 Over/under: over 3-1 last four
San Diego lost seven of last 11 games; under is 8-4-2 in their last 14 games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: over 6-3-1 last ten games.
Giants lost eight of last 11 games; under is 6-4-1 in their last 11 games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: under 5-3 last eight games.
American League
A’s (78-57) @ New York (89-48)
Manaea is making his first 2019 start; he was 12-9, 3.59 in 27 starts before getting hurt LY and is 1-1, 4.58 in three starts vs NYY. Team in his starts: 0-0
5-inning record: 0-0 Allowed run in 1st inning: 0-0 Over/under: 0-0
Happ is 2-2, 7.58 in his last four starts; he is 4-2, 3.96 in 12 games (10 starts) vs Oakland. Team in his starts: 17-9
5-inning record: 14-9-3 Allowed run in 1st inning: 12-26 Over/under: 12-13-1
A’s won 10 of last 15 games; under is 7-4 in their last 11 road games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: over 6-4 last ten games.
New York won six of its last eight games; under is 6-0-1 in their last seven games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: over 6-4 last ten games.
Astros (88-49) @ Blue Jays (55-82)
Verlander is 1-1, 2.73 in his last four starts; he is 3-6, 4.73 in 13 starts vs Toronto. Team in his starts: 19-9
5-inning record: 18-10 Allowed run in 1st inning: 9-28 Over/under: under 6-2 last 8
Bullpen game. Team in his starts: 0-0
5-inning record: 0-0 Allowed run in 1st inning: 0-0 Over/under: 0-0
Houston won 10 of last 13 games; over is 5-1 in their last six games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: over 5-4 last nine games.
Toronto lost nine of last 12 games; under is 6-2-1 in their last nine home games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: under 9-3 last 12 home games.
Indians (79-57) @ Rays (79-58)
Plutko is 2-0, 3.06 in his last three starts. Team in his starts: 10-4
5-inning record: 7-6-1 Allowed run in 1st inning: 5-14 Over/under: 6-7-1
Morton is 0-2, 5.63 in his last three starts; he is 3-2, 3.26 in five starts vs Cleveland. Team in his starts: 17-11
5-inning record: 11-13-4 Allowed run in 1st inning: 7-28 Over/under: 11-14-3
Indians won five of last eight games; under is 6-3-1 in their last ten games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: under 3-1-1 last five games.
Tampa Bay lost four of last seven games but won last two; over is 6-2 in their last eight games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: over 7-1 last eight games.
Twins (83-52) @ Tigers (40-93)
Pineda is 4-0, 3.30 in his last five starts; he is 1-0, 4.76 in three starts vs Detroit this year. Team in his starts: 15-9
5-inning record: 14-9-1 Allowed run in 1st inning: 5-24 Over/under: 14-9-1
Turnbull is 0-4, 6.63 in his last four starts. Team in his starts: lost last 12
5-inning record: 5-17-1 Allowed run in 1st inning: 8-23 Over/under: 7-14-2
Twins won 11 of last 15 games; over is 9-2 in their last 11 games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: over 6-1 last seven games.
Detroit lost six of its last seven games; under is 4-3 in their last seven home games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: under 4-2-1 last seven home games.
Mariners (57-80) @ Rangers (66-70)
Kikuchi is 1-1, 4.64 in his last four starts. Team in his starts: 12-15
5-inning record: 11-13-3 Allowed run in 1st inning: 10-27 Over/under: 18-9
Minor is 0-2, 6.98 in his last three starts; he is 3-1, 4.88 vs Seattle this year. Team in his starts: 14-13
5-inning record: 14-7-6 Allowed run in 1st inning: 6-27 Over/under: under 6-2 last eight
Mariners lost six of last eight games; under is 6-0-1 in their last seven games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: over 7-5 last 12 games.
Texas is 8-16 in its last 24 games; under is 9-2 in their last 11 games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: under 10-2 last 12 games.
Orioles (45-90) @ Royals (48-89)
Brooks is 2-0, 0.82 in his last two starts; he is 1-0, 1.80 in one start vs KC. Team in his starts: 5-4
5-inning record: 2-6-1 Allowed run in 1st inning: 5-9 Over/under: under 3-0 last three
Duffy is 1-1, 8.10 in his last three starts; he is 3-2, 2.17 in 10 games (8 starts) vs Baltimore. Team in his starts: 9-9
5-inning record: 8-7-3 Allowed run in 1st inning: 5-18 Over/under: over 4-0-1 last five
Orioles won four of last six games; under is 7-4 in their last 11 games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: over 6-2 last eight games.
Royals lost eight of last 11 games; over is 6-1 in their last seven games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: over 5-1 last six games.
Red Sox (73-63) @ Angels (65-72)
Price is 0-3, 10.59 in his last four starts; he is 7-7, 3.34 in 17 starts vs LAA. Team in his starts: lost last five
5-inning record: 9-8-4 Allowed run in 1st inning: 7-20 Over/under: over 4-1 last five
Heaney is 2-0, 2.14 in his last three starts; he is 1-0, 5.79 in three starts vs Boston. Team in his starts: 9-4
5-inning record: 8-5 Allowed run in 1st inning: 1-13 Over/under: 6-7
Boston won seven of last nine road games; under is 7-5-1 in their last 13 games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: under 3-2 last five games.
Angels lost seven of their last nine games; under is 6-4 in their last ten games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: under 3-2 last five games.
Interleague
White Sox (60-75) @ Braves (83-54)
Giolito is 3-2, 2.45 in his last five starts. Team in his starts: 16-10
5-inning record: 15-8-3 Allowed run in 1st inning: 8-26 Over/under: 10-14-2
Teheran is 1-0, 0.00 in his last two starts (13 IP). Team in his starts: 17-11
5-inning record: 12-10-6 Allowed run in 1st inning: 6-28 Over/under: 15-13
White Sox lost six of last seven games; under is 6-4 in their last ten games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: over 6-3 last nine road games.
Atlanta won 11 of its last 13 games; under is 9-4 in their last 13 games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: under is 10-3-1 last 14 games.
Umpires
Mil-Chi: Three of last four Timmons games went over.
NY-Phil: Favorites won West’s last 13 games behind the plate.
Mia-Wsh: Favorites won 17 of last 19 Fairchild games.
LA-Az: This is Tosi’s 2nd game behind plate; he has no trends.
Pitt-Colo: Seven of last eight Hallion games went over.
SD-SF: Under is 4-2-1 in last seven Wolf games.
A’s-NY: Last four Scheurwater games stayed under.
Hst-Tor: Under is 8-3 in last 11 Emmel games.
Min-Det: Over is 3-1-1 in last five Hernandez games.
Clev-TB: Seven of last nine Iassogna games stayed under.
Balt-KC: Four of last five Blaser games stayed under.
Sea-Tex: Under is 9-2-1 in last dozen Meals games.
Bos-LAA: Under is 7-2-1 in first 5 innings in last ten Rehak games.
Chi-Atl: Six of last eight Gibson games stayed under.
%age of times teams score in first inning (road/home/total)
Team (road-home-total)- thru 8/30
Ariz 21-71……17-64……38
Atl 21-69…..21-67……42
Cubs 17-66……25-67…..42
Reds 24-65……25-68…..49
Colo 16-69……26-66……42
LA 19-66……23-70……42
Mia 11-63……20-70…..31
Milw 21-66…..24-68…..45
Mets 25-60……21-66…..46
Philly 17-62…..21-69……38
Pitt 24-70…..16-65……40
StL 17-68…..18-64…….35
SD 18-64……21-68…..39
SF 10-67……14-65……24
Wash 22-68…..20-63……42
Orioles 19-67…….23-68..….42
Boston 19-68…….23-67……42
W Sox 16-66…….18-68…….34
Clev 20-68…..18-67……..38
Det 21-68……17-63……..38
Astros 26-67…..17-68……..43
KC 19-68…..23-68……..42
Angels 24-69……15-66…….39
Twins 27-66……18-68……45
NYY 21-66……26-71……47
A’s 17-65…..18-68…….35
Sea 17-67…..17-69…….34
TB 24-70…..21-65…….45
Texas 16-69…..23-66…….39
Toronto 17-68…..19-69…….36
Interleague play- 2019
NL @ AL– 75-55 NL, favorites -$1,213 under 61-60-3
AL @ NL– 61-57 NL, favorites -$1,696 over 66-51-6
Total: 136-112 NL, favorites -$2,909 Over 126-112-9
Interleague play- 2018
NL @ AL– 78-72 NL, favorites -$593
AL @ NL– 75-64 NL, favorites +$175
Total: 153-136 NL, favorites -$418
Interleague play- 2017
NL @ AL– 86-58 AL, favorites -$434
AL @ NL– 75-72 NL, favorites +$396
Total: 159-131 AL, favorites -$38
Totals in interleague games
NL @ AL: Over 72-70-4
AL @ NL: Over 75-65-8
Total: Over 147-135-12
September Pitchers Report
September 1, 2019
By Marc Lawrence
Like our waistlines after a tasty Labor Day barbeque, MLB rosters expand to accommodate September, the final month of the season. And as College Football and the NFL barge onto the scene, MLB pitchers take the final spotlight in hopes of leading their teams on to the playoff trail. The question is which ones can we count on and which ones figure to be candidates for offseason Weight Watchers meetings? Check it out.
Listed below are hurlers that have enjoyed a two-to-one or better success ratio in team starts the last three seasons during the month of September. On the flip side, we’ve also listed pitchers that struggle in September team starts, winning 33% percent or less of their efforts. To qualify pitchers must have made a minimum of 10 starts, with at least one start each September over the last three years.
Note: * designates a categorical repeat appearance by this pitcher, maintaining status quo from last season’s September’s list.
Enjoy the games!
GOOD MONTH PITCHERS:
*Carrasco, Carlos - 11-4 (7-1 H)
Battling leukemia could return in September, but probably only in relief. The better news is he has the entire organization enamored in his recovery.
Gibson, Kyle - 11-5 (6-2 A)
After having a solid season for Minnesota, Gibson faltered in August with a 6.27 ERA. For the Twins to win their division, they will need the right-hander to be in top form.
*Happ, J.A. - 12-3 (8-0 A)
Happ has not pitched well at all for the Yankees, with his ERA nearly 1.50 higher than normal is surrendering a .270 batting average, along with 32 homers. Skipper Aaron Boone would love another dependable lefty starter for the postseason. However, must respect his road efforts in September.
*Hendricks, Kyle - 10-5 (8-2 A)
After a bumpy start, Hendricks has found his groove and he's at career norms heading into the pennant chase. If the Cubs are to win the NL Central, Hendricks and other Chicago hurlers on this list have to pitch like they usually do.
*Kershaw, Clayton - 13-3 (9-2 A)
Have to love all the negative talk on Kershaw. He's not what he used to be and gives up too many home runs without the big fastball. Not many would pass on a pitcher in September with a 13-3 record and 2.76 ERA.
Kluber, Corey - 12-4 (6-2 A)
While doing a rehab start from a broken arm, Kluber suffered an abdominal strain in August and was shut down for at least two weeks. Hard to surmise what this season will hold for him.
*Lester, Jon - 14-2 (8-1 H)
The lefthander is 35 and his command has not been consistent since May. That explains his ERA 0.75 higher at this point versus what his career number is. Will the warhorse be able to will his way to clutch efforts late in the season? Stay tuned.
Perez, Martin - 11-4 (7-2 H)
Even Minnesota fans knew the lefty Perez could not keep pitching as he did close to the first half of the season. All the Twins faithful care about now is Perez winning as he has in the past during this month.
Porcello, Rick - 12-4 (7-1 A)
Watching the Boston right-hander today, hard to believe he won the Cy Young three years ago. He's on pace for career-highs in ERA, WHIP and walks allowed. It would take a miracle for a complete turnaround.
Quintana, Jose - 11-5 (7-2 H)
Quintana has shaved a half run off his ERA since the end of July. He's back to pitching inside and spotting his tosses and when the port-sider does that, he's at his best.
*Scherzer, Max - 12-4 (5-1 A)
Scherzer came off the DL in late August and now we'll have to see if he can return to total domination and help Washington reach the postseason. We wouldn’t bet against him.
*Severino, Luis - 8-2 (5-0 H)
The Yankees right-hander threw a bullpen session in mid-August, raising hope for a September return.
Snell, Blake - 12-4 (6-1 H)
Snell had arthroscopic surgery to remove loose bodies from his pitching elbow in late July and is thought to return this month.
*Strasburg, Stephen - 11-1 (5-0 H)
With some runs the rest of the way from Nationals teammates, Strasburg could have a shot at 20 wins. Based on his previous September's, that's not out of the question.
Vargas, Jason - 9-3 (6-0 H)
The 36-year old's record says .500, however, opposing teams are only hitting .236 against him (.261 career). Let's watch if he can pick up a couple more W's for the Phillies.
*Verlander, Justin - 11-2 (6-1 H)
At 36, one could make the case this might be Verlander's best season yet. Opposing batters are in the .170's for batting average and his WHIP is 0.81. Sick and fifthly dude. And Kate Upton's his wife.
BAD MONTH PITCHERS:
*Archer, Chris - 5-11 (2-9 A)
Went on the IL on August 20 with right shoulder inflammation, might do him well just to shut down after another crummy season.
Arrieta, Jake - 4-9 (-14 H)
The fastball velocity is WAY down, the curve doesn't break down, just across. Arrieta is allowing a batting average of 50 points higher, that's right 50 points, over career number. Ouch!
Duffy, Danny - 2-8 (1-4 H)
Suffered hamstring strain on August 4, could come back in September.
*Nova, Ivan - 4-8 (2-4 A)
After close to being pulled from the White Sox rotation, Nova had an ERA of around 3.00 the last two-month and is 3-2. Does Nova keep pitching well or does he regress to normal September numbers? We’ll see.